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BITCOIN Bullish OutlookMy bullish outlook on Bitcoin stems not only from it potential as a politically neutral asset, but also due to the recent decision of the SEC to not appeal the Grayscale BTC ETF, thus making it a more attractive means of investment for the average consumer, as well as giving it credibility in the legacy markets. In terms of price targets, some technical views suggest the following levels: - $28,296 - $31,800 - In an extremely optimistic scenario, it might even reach $40,000. 1. The recent decision by the SEC not to challenge the approval of the Grayscale Bitcoin ETF suggests a more investor-friendly approach to Bitcoin investment may be on the horizon. This change in stance could make it easier for average joes to enter the Bitcoin market. 2. The rising global tensions are making Bitcoin appear increasingly attractive as it's a non-biased and politically neutral asset. This quality positions Bitcoin for potential success in uncertain times. 3. Notably, prominent figures like SkyBridge CEO Anthony Scaramucci embracing Bitcoin and JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon altering his previously negative stance on cryptocurrencies add credibility to Bitcoin's prospects.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Helios_Capital_Investment
2
The Semiconductor Industry and Texas Instruments Long TXN Company Overview: Texas Instruments (TXN) is a prominent and long-established semiconductor company headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Founded in 1930, TXN has evolved into a global leader in the semiconductor industry, with a diverse portfolio of analog and embedded processing products. Here are some key aspects of the company: Product Range: TXN specializes in analog and embedded processing semiconductors. Analog chips are designed to process real-world signals such as sound, light, temperature, and motion. They are used in a wide range of applications, from industrial and automotive systems to consumer electronics. As tensions between Taiwan and China continue to rise, it is a good idea to consider the semiconductor business as an industry to invest in. The largest chip manufacturer in Taiwan by far is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC). Although TSMC focuses on digital semiconductors, the hype alone could lead many investors to add TXN to their portfolio simply because they don't understand the difference. TXN is also in a unique position, where in the event of a China-Taiwan conflict, it could certainly garner increased government funding. We are currently watching three main price points. 1. $156.00 2. $167.00 3. $186.00 We are currently hitting the direct top of our Ichimoku cloud. If we bounce here i anticipate All targets being hit within 2 months. Especially if we see geopolitical events continue in their current manner.
NASDAQ:TXNLong
by Helios_Capital_Investment
1
Edwards Lifesciences - A Fine Enterprise How to summarize this business ? Rising earnings with high profit margins and low debt over long period of time. *** EPS has grown from 0.3 in 2010 to 2.48 in 2022, with average profit margin of 22% for the past 7 years. Equity has been growing from 1.9 in 2010 to 9.5 in 2022 (book value per share). For the past 7 years highest Debt to Equity was 0.35 in 2017, currently standing at 0.12 ; Sales per share have been on a steady rise from 2 in 2010 to 8.6 in 2022. Company handles cash very well with free cash flow being around the level of net income for most years. At these market levels with current EPS, company has not been valued so low since 2015, making it an attractive offer for this kind of enterprise. Have A Great Day.
NYSE:EWLong
by vmaksimovic
Gazprom price retracement to the fair value 7th October 2023 Synopsis: Despite the conflict in Ukraine, Gazprom revenue is growing and currently on its historical high while price dropped to the 2016 level in US dollars. Price to the assets including oil subsidiary is on very low level. Large buyers started accumulating position according to Accum/Dist indicator. Entry: 1st- 1.5 USD (160 RUB), 2nd - 1.12 USD* (113 RUB) Target 3.0 USD (300 RUB) and above Duration: 180d * Potential new lower low in USD based on historical rubble price
RUS:GAZPLong
by fondOrange28771
1
XDB Accumulation - with XDB/BTC pairing.Accumulating XDB and running it in XDB/BTC pairing bots.. It is my coin for the year that may turn around and is finding it's bottom, if it hasnt already done so. Current info - XDB is an active project with updates informed vua Twitter and Medium - It is a payment system that offers 10-15% in rewards after its used for a purchase at this time. - They just launched payments in ASRoma, Doppleganger and Nuvolari (50 or so) stores. according the their Twitter handle Digitalbitsorg. - In ... I believe MEXC AMA, they teased a large 900+ location brand chain that they are working with to launch Digibits for payments and rewards. - Uses AtraX wallet - It was primarily traded on Kucoin and Gate.io, but in the past month or two it has been listed on MEXC, CoinDCX, BTCEX, Deepcoin, etc. - Also according to their Twitter, "#Defi is coming. AMM and liquidity pools are part of the V18 update, which is in testnet." - Tokenomics roughly 3b/20b circulting. Some have been burned, some donated to Ukraine (address untouched since donation as of now). - A token release/minting schedule is unknown. I've been accumulating for a month or two.It has an ATH of 0.84 and is currently trading at ~0.00138. I'll be accumulating 0.0002-0.006. It's All time low is 0.00113147 on Kucoin. Which is down 99.xx%. Given the project being active, payments/rewrds available in a growing list of new stores, and DEFI in testnet the project appears to be undervalued. Weekly volume since October 2022-current is roughly 50x when copared to 2021 when it had it's high of 0.84 which is good news, but the Tokenomics needs to be monitored.
Long
by TheRediJedi
2
You can plainly see what is happening to the US dollarHistoric value of the US dollar before it collapses to Historic lows Every step the U.S. Government has taken will strengthen the dollar and put massive pressure on the economy. When will people learn that nothing holds an inflated value too long. The flaw most human beings have is they want the value to keep going up and maintain. Housing markets, Bonds, commodities, company stocks and even cryptocurrency. Nothing holds value!!! Not even gold. Value goes up and down. Sometimes a value never increases to the levels you purchased. Incorporating new technology into an asset depreciates when tech and material used starts dropping in value. Housing market will be hit hard. Economy is taking a beating to maintain a level of profits with merchandise. Less spending causes a wave of layoffs and restructuring to balance the companies financials. Cheaper alternatives to inflated goods will just inflate the cost and value of cheaper alternatives. Never ending cycle in global markets to make money NO investment strategy This is just an example of what could potentially happen
INDEX:DXY
by UnknownUnicorn35774657
AAPL Downgraded by KeyBanc: Weak Sales Outlook Raises ConcernsIntroduction: In a recent development, KeyBanc has downgraded Apple Inc. (AAPL) due to a concerning weak sales outlook. This downgrade has sent shockwaves through the market, prompting traders to reevaluate their positions and consider potential shorting opportunities. In this article, we will delve into the reasons behind the downgrade and discuss why traders should exercise caution when dealing with AAPL. Understanding the Downgrade: KeyBanc's downgrade of AAPL stems from their analysis of the company's sales outlook. They have identified certain factors that indicate a potential decline in sales, thereby raising concerns about the stock's future performance. As traders, it is crucial to pay attention to such expert opinions and assess the potential impact on our investment strategies. Reasons for Weak Sales Outlook: Several factors contribute to the weak sales outlook for AAPL. KeyBanc highlights the following key concerns: 1. Slowing iPhone Sales: The iPhone has been Apple's flagship product, accounting for a significant portion of its revenue. However, KeyBanc predicts a potential slowdown in iPhone sales due to market saturation and intense competition. 2. Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China have the potential to disrupt Apple's supply chain and negatively impact its sales. Any escalation in these tensions could further hamper AAPL's growth prospects. The Call-to-Action: Consider Shorting AAPL with Caution Given the weak sales outlook and KeyBanc's downgrade, traders should approach AAPL with caution. While shorting AAPL may present an opportunity for profit, it is essential to consider the following factors: 1. Conduct Thorough Research: Before initiating any short position, conduct comprehensive research to understand the potential risks and rewards associated with shorting AAPL. Analyze the company's financials, market trends, and competitor performance to make informed decisions. 2. Diversify Your Portfolio: Shorting AAPL should be part of a well-diversified investment strategy. Avoid placing all your bets on a single stock, as this can expose you to unnecessary risks. Diversification helps mitigate potential losses in case the market responds differently than anticipated. 3. Monitor Market Sentiment: Keep a close eye on market sentiment and news updates related to AAPL. Any positive developments or changes in the company's outlook can quickly impact stock prices. Be prepared to adjust your trading strategy accordingly. Conclusion: KeyBanc's downgrade of AAPL based on the weak sales outlook highlights potential challenges for the company in the near future. While shorting AAPL may offer profit potential, traders should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Diversification and monitoring market sentiment are essential for managing risks effectively. Stay informed and adapt your trading strategy accordingly to navigate the uncertainties surrounding AAPL's future performance.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by bryandowningqln
XRP - Failure as a CryptoCurrency ? Deep Thoughts 💭Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉 For those who have been following me here for a while, you'll know that I've always been a notorious fan of XRP. I used to be a true "believer", #xrparmy and the whole deal. Followed all the XRP pimps (such as BlockchainBacker ) on Twitter back when Twitter was still blue... but recently, I'm starting to develop some serious doubts about the fundamentals of this altcoin. And I'm going to level with you here. These are just my thoughts, and you are still entitled to your own opinions infact we encourage it. As a trader; I can't help but notice the unusual price action on XRP compared to other coins. Did you know that XRP is one of VERY FEW altcoins / cryptos that has been unable to reclaim it's ATH for years after? Even with the benefit of being one of the first titans in crypto. Other coins have long surpassed their ATH's. But XRP made one high, and never again. This speaks of weakness in terms of value. And that can no longer be ignored. The unfortunate truth about XRP is that the trading volume is low, and buyers are not keen to buy XRP due to it's ever increasing unpopularity. This directly creates weak support zones and strong resistance zones, as there is little confidence in the coin and bag holders are all waiting for the first best opportunity to sell. Short term traders would rather take losses than hold indefinitely. XRP has become more and more unpopular over the course of time because of it's "Pump and Dump" price action. The SEC case and the whole controversy about the Taco stand (founders holding millions and dumping on the market) also didn't help. Don't misunderstand. I will still trade XRP. The big difference in my approach, is the matter of accumulating. I've been accumulating XRP since about forever. And I have decided I will no longer accumulate. Instead, as soon as the price reaches higher than what I bought for, I will be looking to sell my bags. Considering this argument and the fact that I'm probably not alone in this approach, you can see from a trading perspective how dire this outlook is for support and resistance zones. This is a real pity and hits close to my heart. It's hard to let go of an ideology you've held and defended for years. I really believed in the promise of a coin for institutions, cross border settlements etc. But unfortunately, as a trader, it makes no sense to hold a coin for years, no matter what great promises were made by the creators of Ripple. The truth is, if I bought as much DOGE as I did XRP, my portfolio would have been up x100 compared to now. This is sad, considering that DOGE and many others, like PEPE, are meme coins and hold no real fundamental value. The fact that meme coins do better than a coin " created for banking and large institutions " is a shock. And here's where you have to ask yourself... was it really? 💭So, what's the trading plan from here for XRPUSDT ? If you must trade it... Buy low, sell high. I'll keep making updates on SHORT and NEAR TERM targets. But LONG term targets are too hard to speculate. Focus on technical indicators and trendlines alone to get price targets. No more fundamental-analysis "value" targets. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck CRYPTOCAP:XRP BINANCE:XRPUSDT BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
by CryptoCheck-
64
CYBIN Cybin is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company on a mission to create safe and effective psychedelic-based therapeutics to address the large unmet need for new and innovative treatment options for people who suffer from mental health conditions. Cybin’s goal of revolutionizing mental healthcare is supported by a network of world-class partners and internationally recognized scientists aimed at progressing proprietary drug discovery platforms, innovative drug delivery systems, and novel formulation approaches and treatment regimens. Billionaire Steve Cohen Buys 19M Shares Of Cybin Stock For Psychedelics R&D, Blake Mycoskie $100M Pledge. The considerably large acquisition puts Cybin in the limelight with credibility status in ongoing and future work - see Cybin’s recent acquisition announcement of DMT therapeutics developer Small Pharma DMTTF. Blake Mycoskie On His $100M Pledge To Psychedelics Research Following a sound pledge of $100 million for psychedelics research, billionaire Blake Mycoskie has updated on how his funding agenda -representing around 25% of his wealth- will unfold. Mycoskie says he is planning to “give $5 million a year for the rest of the time, until the $100 million runs out,” a yearly sum that “feels right, because the industry still feels nascent.” That could change in the presence of “a huge opportunity” or in the need of “a huge campaign push.” Although he understands other donors are waiting for further regulatory and scientific success, his personal standpoint is that those aren’t needed in view of solid works authored by Johns Hopkins and New York University, among others.
AMEX:CYBNLong
by CBKWahoo
USDJPY UP INTO THE CLOUDSTOP DOWN ANALYSIS ON USDJPY: USD/JPY is approaching the psychological barrier at 150, not too far from the 2022 high of 152.00. There is no sign of reversal of the uptrend, while momentum on the weekly charts isn’t showing any signs of fatigue. This suggests the pair could give a shot at 152.00. For the immediate upward pressure to begin easing, USD/JPY would need to fall below the early-September high of 147.75. Above 152.00, the next level to watch would be the 1990 high of 160.35. "Luke 18:31" My entry on the bounce from 15M trendline up intp the 150 clouds
Long
by Zealonit
Warren Buffett's Margin of SafetyIn the world of investing, few names carry as much weight as Warren Buffett. Often hailed as the Oracle of Omaha, Buffett's wisdom has guided countless investors to financial success. At the core of his investment philosophy lies a concept he considers paramount: the Margin of Safety. Buffett once famously said that the three most important words in investing are "Margin of Safety." To delve deeper into this principle, he pointed to Chapter 20 of "The Intelligent Investor," a seminal work by Benjamin Graham, which he deemed the best chapter ever written on the subject. Chapter 20: The Concept of a Margin of Safety At its essence, the Margin of Safety revolves around the idea that every stock has a fair (intrinsic) value based on the underlying company. However, this fair value often deviates significantly from the stock's current market price. No Margin of Safety: When the stock price exceeds its fair value, there is no margin of safety. Margin of Safety: When the stock price falls below its fair value, a margin of safety exists. Benefits of the Margin of Safety Investing in any asset for less than its intrinsic value is a sound financial decision. However, in the world of investing, where determining precise fair values can be elusive, this principle holds even greater significance. One can never pinpoint an exact fair value; they can only estimate a range. The Margin of Safety serves as a shield against potential errors in estimating fair value. The Mathematical Advantage A Margin of Safety provides two critical mathematical advantages: Downside Protection: Avoiding losses is paramount in investing. It takes a 100% gain to recover from a 50% loss. Therefore, preventing losses should be a top priority. Exponential Returns: Imagine a stock with a fair value of $10 but currently trading at $8, offering a 25% upside. Now, if that same stock were available for $5, the upside potential would skyrocket to 100%. A Margin of Safety can turn a good investment into an exceptional one. Why Do Margins of Safety Exist? The concept of Mr. Market, introduced by Benjamin Graham, plays a pivotal role in understanding the existence of Margins of Safety. Mr. Market is depicted as an impulsive individual, prone to bouts of depression (selling stocks at a discount) and exuberance (selling at a premium). Stock markets exhibit such fluctuations due to the psychological biases and errors of market participants. Understanding this human element is crucial in grasping the significance of Margins of Safety. In the words of Warren Buffett himself, "If you understand chapters 8 and 20 of 'The Intelligent Investor' and chapter 12 of 'The General Theory,' you don't need to read anything else." These chapters provide a foundation for investors to navigate the complexities of the market with the wisdom of a Margin of Safety. In conclusion, the Margin of Safety isn't just a concept; it's a guiding principle that can safeguard your investments and unlock their full potential. Buffett's reverence for this idea underscores its importance in achieving success in the world of finance.
Education
by Vestinda
Kelly Criterion and other common position-sizing methodsWhat is position sizing & why is it important? Position size refers to the amount of risk - money, contracts, equity, etc. - that a trader uses when entering a position on the financial market. We assume, for ease, that traders expect a 100% profit or loss as a result of the profit lost. Common ways to size positions are: Using a set amount of capital per trade . A trader enters with $100 for example, every time. This means that no matter what the position is, the maximum risk of it will be that set capital. It is the most straight-forward way to size positions, and it aims at producing linear growth in their portfolio. Using a set amount of contracts per trade . A trader enters with 1 contract of the given asset per trade. When trading Bitcoin, for example, this would mean 1 contract is equal to 1 Bitcoin. This approach can be tricky to backtest and analyse, since the contract’s dollar value changes over time. A trade that has been placed at a given time when the dollar price is high may show as a bigger win or loss, and a trade at a time when the dollar price of the contract is less, can be shown as a smaller win or loss. Percentage of total equity - this method is used by traders who decide to enter with a given percentage of their total equity on each position. It is commonly used in an attempt to achieve ‘exponential growth’ of the portfolio size. However, the following fictional scenario will show how luck plays a major role in the outcome of such a sizing method. Let’s assume that the trader has chosen to enter with 50% of their total capital per position. This would mean that with an equity of $1000, a trader would enter with $500 the first time. This could lead to two situations for the first trade: - The position is profitable, and the total equity now is $1500 - The position is losing, and the total equity now is $500. When we look at these two cases, we can then go deeper into the trading process, looking at the second and third positions they enter. If the first trade is losing, and we assume that the second two are winning: a) 500 * 0.5 = 250 entry, total capital when profitable is 750 b) 750 * 0.5 = 375 entry, total capital when profitable is $1125 On the other hand, If the first trade is winning, and we assume that the second two are winning too: a) 1500 * 0.5 = 750 entry, total capital when profitable is $2250 b) 2250 * 0.5 = 1125 entry, total capital when profitable is $3375 Let’s recap: The trader enters with 50% of the capital and, based on the outcome of the first trade, even if the following two trades are profitable, the difference between the final equity is: a) First trade lost: $1125 b) First trade won: $3375 This extreme difference of $2250 comes from the single first trade, and whether it’s profitable or not. This goes to show that luck is extremely important when trading with percentage of equity, since that first trade can go any way. Traders often do not take into account the luck factor that they need to have to reach exponential growth . This leads to very unrealistic expectations of performance of their trading strategy. What is the Kelly Criterion? The percentage of equity strategy, as we saw, is dependent on luck and is very tricky. The Kelly Criterion builds on top of that method, however it takes into account factors of the trader’s strategy and historical performance to create a new way of sizing positions. This mathematical formula is employed by investors seeking to enhance their capital growth objectives. It presupposes that investors are willing to reinvest their profits and expose them to potential risks in subsequent trades. The primary aim of this formula is to ascertain the optimal allocation of capital for each individual trade. The Kelly criterion encompasses two pivotal components: Winning Probability Factor (W) : This factor represents the likelihood of a trade yielding a positive return. In the context of TradingView strategies, this refers to the Percent Profitable. Win/Loss Ratio (R) : This ratio is calculated by the maximum winning potential divided by the maximum loss potential. It could be taken as the Take Profit / Stop-Loss ratio. It can also be taken as the Largest Winning Trade / Largest Losing Trade ratio from the backtesting tab. The outcome of this formula furnishes investors with guidance on the proportion of their total capital to allocate to each investment endeavour. Commonly referred to as the Kelly strategy, Kelly formula, or Kelly bet, the formula can be expressed as follows: Kelly % = W - (1 - W) / R Where: Kelly % = Percent of equity that the trader should put in a single trade W = Winning Probability Factor R = Win/Loss Ratio This Kelly % is the suggested percentage of equity a trader should put into their position, based on this sizing formula. With the change of Winning Probability and Win/Loss ratio, traders are able to re-apply the formula to adjust their position size. Let’s see an example of this formula. Let’s assume our Win/Loss Ration (R) is the Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss from the TradingView backtesting statistics. Let’s say the Win/Loss ratio is 0.965. Also, let’s assume that the Winning Probability Factor is the Percent Profitable statistics from TradingView’s backtesting window. Let’s assume that it is 70%. With this data, our Kelly % would be: Kelly % = 0.7 - (1 - 0.7) / 0.965 = 0.38912 = 38.9% Therefore, based on this fictional example, the trader should allocate around 38.9% of their equity and not more, in order to have an optimal position size according to the Kelly Criterion. The Kelly formula, in essence, aims to answer the question of “What percent of my equity should I use in a trade, so that it will be optimal”. While any method it is not perfect, it is widely used in the industry as a way to more accurately size positions that use percent of equity for entries. Caution disclaimer Although adherents of the Kelly Criterion may choose to apply the formula in its conventional manner, it is essential to acknowledge the potential downsides associated with allocating an excessively substantial portion of one's portfolio into a solitary asset. In the pursuit of diversification, investors would be prudent to exercise caution when considering investments that surpass 20% of their overall equity, even if the Kelly Criterion advocates a more substantial allocation. Source about information on Kelly Criterion www.investopedia.com
Education
by sofex
4
Invitation Homes - The Strangest Stock I Know OfInvitation Homes NYSE:INVH presents a fascinating and somewhat enigmatic story within financial markets - especially as a stock that can be traded. I personally, am quite bearish and think its crash would benefit countless home buyers across the country. Let me explain... Founded by Blackstone, this company has evolved into the largest single-owner entity of homes in the United States. Today, they own over 80,000 single-family and multi-family homes. How did they do this? Invitation Homes took advantage of low-interest rates to amass its portfolio, buying home after home, and using the cash flows from renting those homes, to secure loans to buy even more homes. As far as I can tell, they own 80,000+ homes that are all dependent on the cash flow from renting those homes out being greater than the costs to service them whether it's repairs, taxes or something else. In a way, this kind of card game, cards stacking on top of cards, reminds me of the financial crisis. Remove one card and... For a little more historical context: Invitation Homes has managed to become the fastest-growing entity of single family home purchases that has ever existed. Even more interesting, one can't help but wonder if their acquisitions have, in some way, artificially inflated housing prices in certain areas. Did home prices really rise as much as they did an organic fashion? Or did one single buyer prop up entire markets? And now, their purchases have nearly halted, meaning the buying power in those regions is shrinking dramatically. It's possible that they were cornering the market on themselves! In essence, Invitation Homes serves as a captivating case study in the intricate dance between the real estate market, financial markets, and now trading/investing. I wonder what kind of implications a home purchaser like this could face if the market were to realize some cracks in its model. What if it was forced write down its book as home prices correct? What if rents drop? What if counties raise their taxes? What if the wear and tear of certain homes exceed their monthly rental costs? It's on my watchlist as a SHORT, because the company that could be worth $0.00 if the market turns on them faster than is being realized. No position right now, but watching.
NYSE:INVH
by scheplick
1