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Lamb Weston Holdings | LW | Long at $51.32Lamb Weston Holdings NYSE:LW , the potato / French fry king, has gone through a tremendous downturn since 2023. Yet, earnings are forecast to grow 22% per year into 2027. Debt is quite high at 2.5x and this company, like many others, will significantly benefit from lower interest rates in the future. If the US experiences another way of inflation, Lamb Weston Holdings could be on the beneficiary side of things. From a technical analysis perspective, the price has entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. Typically, this area signals a bottom, but it's not guaranteed. I foresee the daily price gap near $50 being closed in the short-term before a true move up. A dip to $47-$48 is not out of the question. Regardless of trying to predict bottoms, at $51.32, NYSE:LW is in a personal buy zone. Targets: $62.00 $68.00 $77.00
NYSE:LWLong
by WorthlessViews
HAL NV: Unlocking Hidden Value in a Discounted InvestmentCurrent Price: Approximately €117.40 per share Target Price: €150 per share HAL NV (traded via HAL Trust) has long been recognized as a unique investment vehicle, thanks to its diversified portfolio of high-quality assets. Despite a current trading level around €117.40, a closer look at the underlying holdings and operational performance reveals a significant value gap—one that suggests the stock should be priced nearer to €150. Key Holdings and Their Strengths Boskalis – A Fully Owned Flagship • 100% Ownership: HAL NV owns Boskalis outright, giving it full exposure to the maritime and offshore construction market. • Robust Order Books: Boskalis benefits from a full order book, which not only secures future revenues but also demonstrates strong market positioning. • Operational Efficiency: With steady execution in its core business, Boskalis adds both resilience and growth potential to HAL’s overall portfolio. SBM Offshore – Secure Order Pipeline • Substantial Stake (22.9%): While not fully owned, SBM Offshore represents a key component in HAL’s strategy. • Solid Order Books: Like Boskalis, SBM Offshore’s strong order backlog underscores its ability to generate future cash flow. • Strategic Exposure: The offshore energy market, driven by both traditional and renewable energy projects, positions SBM Offshore for long-term growth. Vopak – Consistent Performer with Upward Trends • Major Stake (51.4%): HAL’s significant interest in Vopak captures exposure to the global tank storage and logistics sector. • Earnings Fluctuation, But Upward Trend: Although Vopak’s earnings can fluctuate year over year, the overall trend has been strongly positive, reinforcing its role as a reliable income generator. Additional Growth Catalysts • Coolblue (56.4%) & TKH Group (5.2%): These holdings further diversify HAL’s portfolio, offering exposure to high-growth sectors such as retail technology and industrial services. The Valuation Gap: NAV vs. Market Price One of the most compelling aspects of HAL NV is the notable discrepancy between its Net Asset Value (NAV) and its market capitalization: NAV Insight: Recent reports and annual filings suggest that the NAV per share of HAL’s underlying assets is approximately €165.95. Market Discount: Trading at around €117.40, HAL NV is effectively offered at a significant discount. This “hidden value” implies that the market has yet to fully recognize the aggregate worth of its high-quality investments. Equity vs. Market Cap: With the equity value of its portfolio (including fully consolidated companies like Boskalis and the robust valuations from quoted holdings such as Vopak and SBM Offshore) substantially higher than the current market cap, the potential for upward re-rating is evident. Hal NV is poised for robust long‐term growth, with annual rates expected to reach around 15%. This optimism is driven by strong demand for the services of Boskalis and SBM Offshore, both of which continue to benefit from substantial order books. Additionally, the accelerated growth of Coolblue and the steady, consistent performance of Vopak—bolstered by emerging opportunities in India—further enhance the outlook. Coupled with a conservative balance sheet that ensures a low cost of capital, these factors collectively support the company’s promising growth trajectory. Catalysts for Price Convergence Several factors support the rationale for a price target of €150: Strong Order Books: Both Boskalis and SBM Offshore are backed by extensive order books, which not only secure future revenue streams but also reduce operational risks. Consistent Growth Trends: Vopak, despite some earnings volatility, has demonstrated a significant long-term upward trend in earnings—enhancing the overall stability of HAL’s portfolio. Undervalued Underlying Assets: The current market price does not fully reflect the NAV derived from HAL’s diverse investments. As market sentiment improves and the intrinsic value becomes more widely recognized, a re-rating toward the NAV is likely. Favorable Valuation Metrics: HAL NV’s relatively low Price/Earnings ratio compared to its growth prospects and asset quality makes it an attractive buy for value-oriented investors. Conclusion HAL NV represents an intriguing investment opportunity—a trust whose market price currently undervalues a robust portfolio of operationally strong and strategically significant companies. With full control over Boskalis and solid stakes in SBM Offshore and Vopak, combined with additional growth prospects from Coolblue and TKH Group, the underlying equity far exceeds the current market valuation. In essence, if the market were to recognize the full value of these assets, a price target of €150 per share appears not only justified but highly attainable. Investors looking for a value play in the industrial and investment holding space should keep a close eye on HAL NV, as the convergence of market price to NAV could deliver significant upside potential. Note: The analysis above is based on current market data (price ≈ €117.40) and recent annual reports, and reflects the author’s view on the intrinsic value of HAL NV. Investors should perform their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
EURONEXT:HALLong
by The_Prince
1
BTC | NEWS | Abu Dhabi Invests $436.9M in ETFAbu Dhabi's sovereign wealth fund, Mubadala Investment Company, has made a significant investment in Bitcoin by purchasing $436.9 million in shares of the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT). This MUST be a clear indicator that they are bullish on BTC, at least for the longer term. Investment firms most commonly invest with the eye on the longer term, and are usually unphased by short term swings like daily or even weekly corrections. This is, if anything, extremely bullish for BTC in the longer term (1 year and possibly beyond). In similar news; the potential of the SEC approving XRP ETF is causing optimism for XRP. XRP has recently made great progress in terms of fundamentals, more on that HERE: ________________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
PARAMOUNT - EPS Beat 12 out of 17 Q's can we extract potential?Hi guys we are going to take a look into Paramount and see if we can extract some potential from this stock! Fundamentals&Technicals below - As of February 15, 2025, Paramount Global's Class B stock (ticker: PARA) is trading at $11.30 per share, reflecting a 4.5% increase from the previous close. This marks the fourth consecutive day of gains, though the stock remains 22.3% below its 52-week high of $14.54 achieved on May 3, 2024. In the third quarter of 2024, Paramount reported net income of $1 million, a significant decline from $295 million in the same period the previous year. Earnings per share reached breakeven, missing analyst expectations of 24 cents. Total revenue decreased to $6.731 billion from $7.133 billion, influenced by a 6% drop in TV media revenue and a 34% decline in filmed entertainment revenue.Despite these challenges, the company's streaming segment showed resilience. Paramount+ added 3.5 million subscribers in the third quarter, bringing the total to 72 million. The streaming service reported an adjusted operating income of $49 million, defying analysts' predictions of a $160.1 million loss. In 2024, Paramount undertook significant restructuring efforts, including a $6 billion write-down of its cable-TV business and the elimination of approximately 2,000 jobs, representing about 15% of its U.S. workforce. These measures aim to achieve $500 million in cost savings and address challenges in the traditional TV sector. Looking ahead, Paramount is set to merge with Skydance Media, with the merger expected to complete in early 2025. This strategic move is anticipated to inject significant capital into Paramount, aiding in debt reduction and enabling investments in new content and technologies. Entry: on market open Target: 17.00 just below the weak resistance. SL: 7.50 P.S. We are sitting on a very key support area which has been overviewd long term which is around the 9.00 and 11.00 area, so this gives us additional confidence in the stock increasing.Hopefully the positive earnings report will have another beat in EPS, and would yield great value.
NASDAQ:PARALong
by DG55Capital
STOCKS | AI | Amazon, Meta & MSFTPeople who are saying that AI is just a bubble are missing the big picture. Huge tech companies are pouring serious money into it, which shows they believe AI is here to stay. We're talking massive investments – like over $320 billion in AI infrastructure by 2025, according to the Financial Times. Amazon is planning over $100 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, mainly focused on AI infrastructure. This could be huge not only for NASDAQ:AMZN as a whole but also for the AI industry. Alphabet is also throwing in around $75 billion this year to boost its AI capabilities. These kinds of investments from the top players make it clear: they know you have to spend big to win in the AI game and clearly there is a race going on, especially after the release of DeepSeekAI. American companies don't want to be left behind, and it's likely that they will pour money into integrating AI to improve their business operation - with the ultimate aim to improve profit - which is great for stock prices. How they make money from AI might change over time, but the overall direction is obvious – AI is changing everything and driving innovation. According to Statista, the global AI market is predicted to reach around $826 billion by 2030. That kind of growth tells you AI is going to be a major force in just about every industry. And therefore I believe that all the companies making major investment in AI will also see exponential growth over the next 5 years - meaning it may be a longer term game play. _______________ NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:META
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by CryptoCheck-
2
Perfect Time to Long PYTH – Targeting $0.50-$0.55, Then $1-$1.15PYTH is showing a strong setup for a long position. A move to the $0.50-$0.55 range looks likely, with the next key resistance at $1-$1.15 if market momentum mirrors February-March 2024. Fundamentally, Pyth Network has gained dominance due to Solana's high-speed, low-cost infrastructure, which aligns perfectly with Pyth's real-time, on-demand price feeds. With the meme coin frenzy and massive trading activity on Solana, Pyth has become the go-to oracle for fast and reliable data. Unlike Chainlink, which relies on slower, aggregated updates, Pyth leverages direct data from multiple premium providers (like CBOE and Binance) and delivers ultra-low-latency price feeds, which makes it ideal for high-frequency trading and DeFi protocols. Additionally, Pyth rapidly expanded its price feeds across multiple assets and chains, outpacing Chainlink in both speed and adoption, while maintaining gas efficiency and cross-chain compatibility. PYTH:PYTHUSD
PYTH:PYTHUSDLong
by toghrulaliyev
FTI CONSULTING / FCN Long IdeaSeasonality gives us a very high propability that we see 10+ % gain in price the comping das until mid of April. I am already invested but add to my trade as soon as we see some price action to the upside. Trade at your own risk and trade only what you see and understand. FCN is a quality stock in my list of shares I look at anyway, so it is good to find cheap price entries. The stock is undervalued, too. Fair price can be considered 210. Good Luck Cheers!
NYSE:FCNLong
by ernstschwarz
Epic Cash = Satoshi's vision for Peer-to-Peer Digital CashEPIC CASH is what Satoshi Nakamoto would build today, using modern technology — and the valuable insights learned during Bitcoin’s (and other altcoins’) journey over the past 15 years. EPIC offers a robust and decentralized financial system that will exist for future generations, immune from geopolitical turmoil and banking crises. With a limit of just 21 million coins, EPIC follows 100% of Satoshi’s Bitcoin DNA scarcity formula. It has ALL the needed features of a decentralized, current, P2P, digital currency. Below are just some of the unique feature that make EPIC CASH superior digital cash: Scarcity with a fixed supply of only 21 million coins: EPIC maintains Bitcoin’s identical hard cap of 21 million coins — With 84% of the supply already in circulation, its ownership trajectory aligns with BTC’s, to reach 20.3 million coins by 2028. Mineable by Anyone EPIC employs a multi-algorithm mining system that allows ordinary computers to mine it with their laptops or desktops using CPU and GPU, making it accessible to over 6.4 billion devices worldwide, allowing for broad usage and continued decentralization. In contrast, BTC can only be mined on ASICs, which are large cumbersome industrial computers that need frequent replacement and have obvious onerous environmental repercussions. Privacy and Fungibility EPIC leverages Mimblewimble blockchain compression to ensure that ALL transactions are commercially private, requiring no extra steps. This ensures that EPIC is fully fungible—and every coin is indistinguishable from another, so there are no "tainted coins,” which is an Achilles’ heel of BTC. Absolute privacy is achieved via Mimblewimble technology as no wallet addresses and no transaction amounts are ever stored on the blockchain. LEARN MORE - epicash.com
by Linnovations
FMC - A deep value play for the steel stomach investor The Foxx is back. After the stellar returns of 2024, and by that I mean triple digits %, the Foxx is back to give out a charity to his followers. FMC A deep value agricultural stock with rising inventory and low market demand. But, like the market always does - what goes down - goes up ! the demand is expected to go up in 2026-27 and the invesntory goes down at the same time. Book value per share is ridiculously close to the price. The Foxx announces a 10,000 stock position on FMC at an average price of 38.10 as per 10th Feb 2025 830am ET No lines, no colors, no ATH or no fibonnacci .. Just pure value investing. Do i sound arrogant ? I do and I am. Because i only give out winners. see my previous ideas and like they say - the rest is history !! Make money Foxx
NYSE:FMCLong
by FoxxInvest
4
MicroStrategy’s Premium Is Fading – Time to Brace for a Drop?The strong optimism following Trump’s election in November fueled a Bitcoin rally, which in turn led to a massive surge in MicroStrategy’s ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) stock. However, after reaching an all-time high near $550, MSTR experienced a sharp decline. Interestingly, despite Bitcoin hovering around $100K and even attempting a new ATH recently, this momentum hasn’t been reflected in MSTR’s stock price. From a technical perspective, the price has broken below its ascending trendline and is now consolidating between $320 and $360. Given the unjustified premium (at least in my opinion), I expect further downside for the stock. Additionally, if Bitcoin fails to hold the key $90K confluence support, MSTR could see a sharp plunge below $200.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Mihai_Iacob
Analysis of #SUSDT – Watching for a Breakout📊 Analysis of BYBIT:SUSDT.P – Watching for a Breakout 15M TF ✅ Overview: ➡️ BYBIT:SUSDT.P is trading within a range, consolidating between $0.4025 (support) and $0.4181 (resistance). ➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $0.4087 represents the highest liquidity area, making it a key level where price could decide its next move. ➡️ A breakdown below $0.4025 could lead to further downside, as there is little strong support below this level. ➡️ If the price holds above $0.4181, we could see a push toward higher resistance levels. ⚡ Plan of Action: 📈 Bullish Scenario: ➡️ If price holds above $0.4087 (POC) and breaks $0.4181, an upward move is expected with increased momentum. 📉 Bearish Scenario: ➡️ If price drops below $0.4087 and breaks $0.4025, expect accelerated downside movement. 🚀 BYBIT:SUSDT.P is in a consolidation phase – preparing for a breakout! 📢 BYBIT:SUSDT.P is in an accumulation phase, and a breakout of key levels will determine the next trend. 📢 Watch volume closely – an increase on a breakout will confirm a stronger move.
by MoriartyTrading
Beyond BTC - Why Coinbase (COIN) is a Long-Term Buy?As a trader, I'm always watching the markets, but building long-term wealth is also key. That's why I'm digging into assets like Coinbase (COIN) . While my day job is trading, Coinbase has definitely caught my eye as something portfolio-worthy for the long haul. We might have missed the IPO buzz back in 2021, but looking at where Coinbase is headed, I think we're still early in a massive growth story. Don't let short-term crypto ups and downs distract you. Coinbase is playing a long game, and here's why it's a smart long-term investment - CEO Brian Armstrong's Big Vision (and Big Numbers): Already a Financial Giant: Think of Coinbase as a bank or brokerage – it's already HUGE. It's as big as the 21st largest US bank by assets ($0.42 trillion!) or the 8th largest brokerage. This size matters. Going Global: Coinbase isn't just focused on the US. They're expanding worldwide to grab new users and markets.   Becoming Your All-in-One Financial Hub: Forget old-school banks. Coinbase wants to be your single crypto-powered financial account for everything – payments, investing, and more. This is where finance is heading. Token Powerhouse: Crypto is about more than just Bitcoin. Coinbase wants to list every token, becoming the go-to place for the entire crypto universe.   Blending Crypto Worlds: Coinbase is smart – they're linking up with new decentralized crypto systems (DeFi) to give you the best of both worlds, easy to use but with more options. Working with Regulators: Coinbase is playing it smart, working with governments to make crypto safe and trusted for everyone long-term. Massive Crypto Payments: People are using crypto to pay – big time. $30 TRILLION in stablecoin payments happened last year alone. Coinbase is ready to cash in on this payment revolution. Why This Matters for Long-Term Investors: Crypto is Exploding: Everyone knows crypto is going to get bigger. Coinbase is in the perfect spot to ride this massive wave. Big Money is Coming: Big institutions like banks are starting to invest in crypto. Coinbase is built for them – safe, secure, and ready for big players.   Coinbase is the Brand You Trust: Coinbase is the big name in crypto. People know and trust them, which is gold in a new market. Bottom Line: Coinbase isn't just a trend; it's building the future of finance. Yes, crypto is bumpy, but for the long haul, Coinbase is positioned to be a winner. Now let's get technical and have a look at what the charts are saying - Uptrend is Clear: Forget short-term noise – this chart shows Coinbase has been on a solid climb since late 2023. There's a strong bullish structural break which indicates the trend has shifted up after a short bearish run. $350 is the Line in the Sand: Think of $350 as the ceiling right now. The price hit it, and we saw some selling. Gotta break above $350 to really see the bulls charging again. $225-$250 is the Safety Net: On the flip side, $225-$250 is like solid ground. As long as we stay above that, the bull run is still in play. Just Taking a Breather: Right now, the chart says "consolidation." Think of it as Coinbase catching its breath after a big run. This pause can be a good thing – building up energy for the next push up. RSI is Neutral for Now: The RSI thing is the 50% level. Not screaming "buy" or "sell," just saying "wait and see." After showing us bearish divergence we are likely to see oversold conditions within the current range - if that does happen it would be a good time to strike. What to Watch For (Trader Style): Breakout Above $350 = Green Light: If COIN blasts through $350 with some volume, that's the signal to jump in long. Think higher targets. Stuck Between $250 and $350 = Range Trade Time: If it stays in this range, you can play the range – buy low, sell high within the range. But be ready for a break either way. Drop Below $250 = Caution Flag: If we crack below $250, that's a warning sign. Might be time to get a bit more defensive. Final Notes: Coinbase looks good long-term, but we're in a "show me" moment right now. Watch those key levels – $350 and $250. Patience is key, but the chart is set up for a potential bullish move if we get the right trigger. If you're looking to invest for the long-haul, now would be a good time to add some shares to your portfolio. Important Disclaimer: Please remember, I am not a financial advisor. My analysis here is based on my personal research and is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Before making any investment decisions, it is essential to consult with a qualified financial professional who can provide advice tailored to your individual circumstances. Investing in financial markets, especially in assets like cryptocurrencies and related stocks, carries significant risk. There are no guaranteed returns, and it's crucial to understand that investing is not gambling. Strategic investing involves thorough research, careful timing, and a clear understanding of your own risk tolerance and investment amounts. Always conduct your own independent research and due diligence before investing in any asset. NASDAQ:COIN COINBASE:CBETHUSD COINBASE:CBETHETH COINBASE:CBETHUSDC OANDA:NAS100USD
NASDAQ:COINLong
by Apexfx_Alpha
Blacksky - Geospatial intelligence on steroidsTicker: BKSY Exchange: NYSE Market Cap: ~$360M Sector: Aerospace & Defense | Satellite Data & Geospatial Intelligence BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) is an emerging leader in the real-time geospatial intelligence (GEOINT) sector, utilizing its next-generation satellite constellation and AI-powered analytics platform to provide high-frequency Earth observation services. The company has positioned itself as a key player in defense, national security, and commercial intelligence, winning multiple government contracts while rapidly scaling its operations. With an undervalued market cap (~$360M), growing demand for satellite intelligence, and a low-float stock, BKSY presents a high-upside opportunity in the satellite imaging industry. 1. Competitive Edge: Superior Satellite Technology & AI Integration Gen-3 Satellite Upgrades (2024) - Best-in-Class Capabilities • 35cm resolution (among the highest for commercial satellites). • 90-minute revisit rates (frequent monitoring of global hotspots). • Laser communication technology (faster, more secure data transmission). • AI-powered analytics (real-time image processing and automated alerts). BKSY’s next-gen satellites outperform many competitors, including Planet Labs (PL), by offering higher resolution and real-time tasking, which is crucial for military and intelligence applications. 2. Major Government Contracts Secured in 2024-2025 Expanding Partnerships with the U.S. Government • $200M Luno B IDIQ Contract (5-year base period, providing real-time GEOINT to NGA & military agencies). • U.S. Space Force Contracts (Data analytics services for national security intelligence, awarded in Jan 2025). • Navy Research Contract for Gen-3 Satellites (AI-driven satellite intelligence for military operations). • National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) Contract Extension (BlackSky continues to deliver critical intelligence under a multi-year agreement). Government reliance on real-time geospatial intelligence is growing rapidly, and BKSY is securing multi-year contracts to provide strategic intelligence services, ensuring long-term revenue stability. 3. Strategic Partnership with Palantir (PLTR) • Integrated into Palantir’s AI-Powered Defense Tech Stack (since 2021). • Automated real-time data delivery to Palantir customers (reducing manual processing time from hours to minutes). • Synergy between AI-driven analytics (PLTR) & BlackSky’s satellite network creates a powerful data pipeline for national security clients. With Palantir rapidly expanding its AI and defense intelligence business, BlackSky stands to benefit from deepening collaborations and contract expansions. 4. Growing Demand for Satellite Intelligence • Russia-Ukraine War & Global Tensions → Increased government reliance on real-time battlefield intelligence. • Maritime Security & Illegal Activity Monitoring → Demand for shipping lane surveillance & military monitoring. • Climate Change & Disaster Response → Increased use of satellite data for natural disasters, deforestation, and infrastructure planning. BlackSky’s services align perfectly with global security, climate monitoring, and defense needs, ensuring sustained long-term demand. 5. Strong Financial Momentum & Low Float Stock • Q/Q revenue growth positive (outperforming competitors in contract wins). • 8:1 Reverse Split (Oct 2024) → Reduced dilution, improving stock attractiveness. • Low float → BKSY could see sharp price movements on contract news. • 2026 Warrants (Sept 2026, $92 strike) trading at $0.16 → A speculative but high-upside leveraged play. With increasing revenue, strong contract execution, and a lean cost structure, BKSY is heading toward potential profitability in the coming years. 6. Technical Analysis & Price Potential • Breakout Potential: Currently trading at a low market cap ($360M) despite securing hundreds of millions in government contracts. • Catalyst-Driven Growth: Major contract announcements could trigger a parabolic price move, as seen with similar low-float defense sector stocks. • Key Resistance Levels: $20 (psychological level) → $32 (pre-reverse split equivalent). • Long-Term Target: If execution continues, BKSY could see a SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B + market cap, aligning with competitors like Planet Labs (PL) and Maxar Technologies. Conclusion: A High-Upside, Catalyst-Driven Growth Stock With cutting-edge satellite tech, multi-year government contracts, deep integration into Palantir’s AI ecosystem, and strong industry tailwinds, BlackSky (BKSY) is primed for explosive growth in 2025-2026. For investors seeking exposure to the booming geospatial intelligence and defense AI sector, BKSY offers a rare asymmetric opportunity with a high-risk, high-reward profile. 🚀 Price Target (2025-2026): ✅ Short-Term: $20-$25 ✅ Mid-Term: $40+ (if contract momentum continues) ✅ Long-Term (2026+): SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B + market cap potential 📌 Watch for contract announcements & earnings reports as key catalysts! TL;DR - Why BKSY is Bullish: ✔ Gen-3 satellite upgrades (superior imaging, AI, and laser communication). ✔ Winning government contracts (Space Force, NRO, Navy, NGA). ✔ Palantir partnership (integrated into AI-driven defense intelligence). ✔ Expanding demand for geospatial intelligence (global security & commercial use cases). ✔ Low-float stock with strong momentum (breakout potential in 2025). 🔥 One of the best small-cap defense/space plays right now!
NYSE:BKSYLong
by stensgaard81
1
Randstad: A Value Caution in a Shifting LandscapeRandstad NV (AEX: RAND) currently trades around €41.55 with a market cap of approximately €7.62 billion. While many investors may be drawn to its strong dividend history and solid reputation in staffing, a closer look at the fundamentals and macroeconomic outlook suggests that the market may be overestimating its near‐term growth prospects. Declining Profitability A review of Randstad’s recent financials is cause for caution. The company’s net income has shown a marked deterioration over recent years—from €929 million in 2022 to €624 million in 2023 and further down to €272 million on a nine‑month basis in 2024. This steep decline is partly due to mounting operating costs and weakening revenues. From a Buffett perspective, a business with persistent profitability erosion—even one with a storied track record—may have its intrinsic value overstated relative to its current market price. Earnings Release Timing: Pre‐Market Clarity Randstad’s Q4 2024 earnings are scheduled for release on February 12, 2025, at 01:00 AM CET—well before the regular trading hours (pre‑market) on the Amsterdam exchange. This timing can sometimes lead to volatility, as the market digests the numbers before the open. In a scenario where the figures further confirm the declining trends in net income and margins, the pre‑market reaction could set the tone for a downtrend next week.  Macroeconomic Headwinds Beyond company-specific issues, broader economic signals weigh on Randstad’s prospects. Staffing firms are inherently tied to the health of the labor market. Recent reports indicate that while headline figures such as a 143,000-job gain in January might appear robust, underlying trends—including uncertainty over labor market stability and rising concerns over long‑term employment—suggest caution. An environment of higher unemployment (or the fear thereof) can dampen demand for staffing and recruitment services as companies curtail expansion plans. In other words, if fewer people are employed, fewer job openings and less turnover can translate into lower revenues for Randstad over time.  The Technology Disruption Factor Adding another layer of risk, the accelerating pace of technological advancement—particularly in artificial intelligence—could further disrupt traditional staffing. As AI and automation drive efficiencies, many roles traditionally filled through temporary or permanent placement may become obsolete. This transformation not only dampens the immediate demand for recruitment services but also challenges long‑term earnings growth forecasts. When future cash flows are discounted in a model, even a modest shock to growth expectations can result in a present value that is lower than the current market price. Index Inclusion and Credit Concerns Another point to consider is Randstad’s position as the smallest company in the AEX index. Index inclusion is not merely a matter of prestige; it also affects liquidity and investor perception. Losing its spot in the index would heighten uncertainty and could trigger a reassessment of its creditworthiness. A downgraded credit score would raise borrowing costs—further squeezing margins in an already challenging operating environment. A Cautionary DCF Under a Short‑Term Shock A refined look at Randstad’s valuation—one that factors in its debt—offers additional perspective on the risks ahead. In our pessimistic scenario—where net income falls to around €300 million, the perpetual growth rate declines to 2.5%, and the discount rate rises to 7% (reflecting increased credit risk)—the resulting firm value (or enterprise value) comes out to approximately €6.67 billion. However, since this figure represents the value of both debt and equity, we must subtract the net debt to determine the value attributable solely to shareholders. Assuming net debt is roughly €1.38 billion, the estimated equity value would be about €5.29 billion. Dividing that by the 175.14 million shares outstanding gives an estimated share price of around €30. This refined approach, which includes the effect of debt, reinforces the view that a short‑term earnings shock combined with a less favorable long‑term outlook could significantly compress Randstad’s share price. Conclusion In the spirit of Warren Buffett’s careful, long‑term analysis, the case for Randstad appears to be one of caution rather than opportunity. Persistent declines in profitability, headwinds from both macroeconomic signals and technological disruption, and risks associated with its index position all point toward a stock that may be overpriced relative to its intrinsic value. With the pre‑market earnings release scheduled for February 12 (01:00 AM CET), investors should be prepared for potential downside pressure in the coming week if the results confirm these concerns. In summary, while Randstad remains a well‑managed company with a solid track record, its recent decline in profitability, exposure to macroeconomic headwinds, and risks from technological disruption suggest that its current price may be overoptimistic. A simple DCF analysis—even one that factors in debt—underscores this caution: under a short‑term earnings shock scenario, the estimated share price could drop to around €30. For value investors who prize long‑term clarity and rational assessment, these multiple signals warrant a careful reassessment of Randstad’s outlook.
EURONEXT:RANDShort
by The_Prince
1
Copper, we had a great move up, time to reach higher highsHi guys we would be looking into copper today , again focusing on the fundamentals which give us the remark that President Donald Trump will impose international tarriffss on the imports of precious metals! President Donald Trump's threat to impose tariffs on U.S. copper and aluminium imports will result in higher costs for local consumers because of a shortfall in domestic production, analysts and industry participants said on Tuesday. In a speech on Monday, Trump said he would impose tariffs on aluminium and copper - metals needed to produce U.S. military hardware - as well as steel, to entice producers to make them in the United States. Trump made fresh remarks about imposing tariffs on Monday Said he would impose import tariffs on aluminium and copper Also plans tariffs on computer chips, pharmaceuticals, steel US copper futures widen premium over London prices US aluminium buyers face higher costs due to import dependence The rising copper price reflects strong global demand, driven by economic growth, infrastructure development, and the increasing shift toward renewable energy and electric vehicles. Supply constraints and growing industrial use further support this upward trend. This is a positive sign for mining companies, investors, and economies reliant on copper production, as it boosts revenues and encourages further investment in the sector. Additionally, higher copper prices indicate a healthy industrial landscape, reinforcing its vital role in modern technology and sustainability efforts. Entry: 4.28 Target: 4.57 SL area based on your risk management,it can be on the strong support area at 4.08 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
CAPITALCOM:COPPERLong
by DG55Capital
NFLX - Fundamentals and simply a great company to invest in!Hi guys, next we would be looking into NFLX , which has had a tremendeous year already! It is up 480.28$ YTD as of today 26th December , which accumulates to 103.99% upside of their stock value. Currently they have shown fantastic financial data throughought Q1,Q2,Q3 not only that they showed a good growth towards their subscribers, and last but not least they just started their NFL Program which launched recently which definitely would boost their revenue. Additionally they signed a very important contract that goes as follows : Contract: Deal with Fifa, soccer’s global governing body, covers the 2027 and 2031 editions of the Women’s World Cup Agreement covers Puerto Rico and includes both English and Spanish-language broadcasts Netflix will produce an exclusive documentary series in the lead-up to both tournaments Streaming platform’s coverage will also feature studio shows So the stars are alligning for this company and I am deffinetely looking for the break through to the levels above 1,000$ per share. Entry: on market open - 935$ Target: 1,150$ As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by DG55Capital
Carvana - continuation of a strong sell off?Hi guys , we would be taking a look into CARVANA Short position. Fundamentals : 1. High Debt Levels Carvana's capital-intensive business model, combined with aggressive expansion, has led to a substantial accumulation of debt. The company has issued high-interest debt to finance operations, acquisitions, and inventory growth. This debt burden poses a risk, especially in a rising interest rate environment, as refinancing could become more expensive or unattainable. 2. Profitability Concerns Despite significant revenue growth over the years, Carvana has consistently struggled to achieve profitability. Operating losses remain high, and the company’s path to sustainable positive earnings remains uncertain. Elevated operating costs, including vehicle reconditioning, marketing, and logistics, have weighed heavily on margins. 3. Cash Flow Problems Carvana has a history of negative free cash flow, reflecting its inability to generate sufficient cash from operations to fund its business activities. This reliance on external financing is unsustainable in the long term and could lead to liquidity issues if the company fails to improve its cash flow position. 4. Declining Market Sentiment Carvana’s stock has been highly volatile, experiencing dramatic price swings due to market concerns over its financial stability and business model. Analysts and investors have expressed skepticism about the company's ability to weather economic downturns, especially as demand for used vehicles normalizes post-pandemic. 5. Macroeconomic Challenges The broader macroeconomic environment has added pressure to Carvana’s business. Rising interest rates have made vehicle financing more expensive for consumers, potentially dampening demand for used cars. Additionally, inflationary pressures on operational costs and declining vehicle prices further strain Carvana’s already thin margins. 6. Competitive Pressure Carvana operates in a highly competitive market, facing established players like CarMax and emerging online-only platforms. The intense competition has limited its pricing power, forcing the company to invest heavily in customer acquisition and retention, further straining profitability. 7. Regulatory and Legal Risks The company has faced legal challenges, including consumer complaints and regulatory scrutiny over its vehicle titling and registration practices. Such issues could lead to reputational damage, fines, or increased compliance costs. Technical Spectrum: They reached a good strong upper level, and then failed to deliver and sustain around that area. Entry: 176$ Target: 130$ As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
NYSE:CVNAShort
by DG55Capital
FMC Corp | FMC | Long at $58.00NYSE:FMC Corp is currently trading at a P/E ratio 6x and has a 3.98% dividend. It had a very rough year in 2023, but the company estimates improved earnings and growth after 2024. From a technical analysis perspective, it appears to be in an accumulation phase after seeing a low around $50 and wavering between that value and $68 for 11 months. Unless fundamentals change post earnings, it is currently in a personal buy zone at $58.00. Target #1 - $81.00 Target #2 - $85.00 Target #3 - $90.00 Target #4 - $122.00 (very long-term...)
NYSE:FMCLong
by WorthlessViews