Crypto Silver Ethereum importance The most important reason of this bullish wave is not Ethereum, maybe it's rised as normal as others but the main reason is BTC and gold
And the reason of Rising and the main Stuff was The presidency of an important country like us, can make a Big wave like this
Some flagship Coins like Xrp and Ada has their own news and fundamental.
So i think eth cant relate this Sharpy wave rise.
The dominance of Btc on market is dumping in my opinion and it will continue tol the Eth dominance rise to see a new alt season.
This valuable and volume of Eth is not really fair for This young Crypto Silver.i can bet one day you will forget about btc lol just kidding.
Btw we have 2 scenarios for monthly ranging triangle technically for:
If you don't expect any sudden news or war tensions or Powell Time Sharp moves, we can have rising scenario with slowly ranging in 1month timeframe
Instead if we have the Low and weak Eth we can expect Dumping and we can start to check the Eth after breaking triangle from Down part.
Btw i like to just wait to see what happens in 2 weeks for this young mom Coin(eth) haha
Good luck
Value
Ripple can continue rising or ?...This place of price can be the Most risky spot for all people not Whales
This is for who trading rarely and watching the market as weeks and trading every 2weeks or checking the market every week .
As the picture we have 2 scenarios
I am bearish about xrp now and drawing the purple scenario for my myself!
A good handled and mathematics sell Position can be Good now
But the yello scenario can happen and after some ranges we can see the sharp Pump of xrp again!!
If the yellow one happen the potential of xrp will rise of 2.5$
Good luck
$BTBT could skyrocket as ETH prepares to pump!Why NASDAQ:BTBT Could Be a Sleeper Pick + How ETH is Poised for a Pump
If you’ve been following the markets, both traditional and crypto, you’ve probably noticed how volatile things have been lately. Bitcoin (BTC) has been slipping, but here’s why this could actually set up a golden opportunity for Ethereum (ETH) and why NASDAQ:BTBT stock might be the key to capturing the upside.
What is NASDAQ:BTBT ?
Bit Digital Inc. ( NASDAQ:BTBT ) is a cryptocurrency mining company with a focus on Bitcoin and Ethereum mining operations. While many crypto-related stocks move in sync with Bitcoin’s price, NASDAQ:BTBT has exposure to Ethereum as well, which makes it an intriguing play in this current market environment.
With BTC currently dumping, the spotlight could shift toward ETH, which has lagged behind Bitcoin’s recovery over the past few months. ETH still has massive potential for growth, especially as network upgrades and Layer 2 scaling solutions gain traction.
Why Ethereum is Primed for a Pump
While Bitcoin has been dominant, ETH is overdue for its moment to shine. Here’s why:
1. The Merge and Staking Yields: Ethereum’s shift to proof-of-stake (PoS) has solidified its position as the go-to network for decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and other blockchain applications. As staking gains popularity, ETH supply is shrinking, creating upward price pressure.
2. BTC Dominance Dropping: Bitcoin’s dominance often cycles with periods of altcoin pumps. With BTC struggling, funds could flow into ETH, especially given its use cases.
3. Underperformance Relative to BTC: Historically, ETH tends to follow BTC pumps but lags slightly behind before making an outsized move. If BTC is correcting now, ETH might be next in line to shine.
How NASDAQ:BTBT Fits Into This Narrative
NASDAQ:BTBT isn’t just a Bitcoin miner; its Ethereum operations give it unique exposure to a potential ETH pump. As ETH’s price rises, the profitability of mining increases, which could significantly boost NASDAQ:BTBT ’s earnings.
Moreover, NASDAQ:BTBT has been investing in green mining solutions, which aligns with the growing push for environmentally-friendly blockchain operations—a key consideration for institutional investors.
With the current discount on NASDAQ:BTBT stock (trading well below its highs), it represents a speculative but asymmetric risk/reward opportunity for investors who believe in ETH’s potential rally.
Conclusion: ETH to Pump, NASDAQ:BTBT to Benefit
If you’re bullish on ETH and expect it to outperform in the coming weeks or months, NASDAQ:BTBT is a stock to watch. Its connection to both Bitcoin and Ethereum mining makes it a hedge against broader crypto volatility while positioning it to benefit from an ETH-driven rally.
As always, this is not financial advice. Do your research and only invest what you can afford to lose. But if ETH pumps like it’s poised to, NASDAQ:BTBT could be one of the biggest beneficiaries.
What do you think? Is ETH’s time finally here, and could NASDAQ:BTBT be the hidden gem to capitalize on it?
Cryptocurrency analysis of the near futureWe saw a small correction of BTC/USDT on the 25th of November as it was overbought in my opinion. Right now we are in an uncertain situation and I advise to trade carefully.
In this chart we look at the 1h timeframe of BTC/USDT since the correction. There is a strong support at the ~91'500 mark and if this zone can hold and will break the minor resistance at ~95'000 we might continue to go upwards. If this support zone breaks the price can fall lower and I would start a short trade in the crypto market as a whole because it also drags the altcoins down.
Let me know what you think will happen in the near future. Trade carefully!
Measurable Data (MDT)MDT is a decentralized data exchange economy built on the Ethereum Blockchain.
mdt token is a standard ERC 20 token and facilitates the economy of the MDT ecosystem, It denominates the value of big data and serves as mechanism for utility in the ecosystem.
recently Chain announced the acquisition of the MeasurableData platform in a deal worth over $100 million
in a month MDT price moved from 0.025 to 0.036 and today we had 80 million volume
short tg 0.039 , 0.043 , 0.051
HES CVX M&A ArbitrageCVX & HES are expected to complete a merger on 6/30/25. CVX will pay every holder of HES stock 1.025 shares of CVX per share of HES. This is represented by the spread. Spread has been widening since announcement date, and would be interesting to make a play on. FTC seems to be interested in having a say in the merger.
NYSE:CVX *1.025-NYSE:HES
3 XRP projection based on crypto multiples from intrinsic value The total transaction demand (D) is derived from three key components: Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity (ODL), retail trading volume, and on-chain fees. ODL facilitates cross-border payments, with 60% of its annual $11.856 billion volume utilizing XRP, contributing $7.1136 billion USD/year in demand. Retail trading volume adds another $257.24 billion USD/year. On-chain fees, derived from XRP burned during transactions (1,857,194 XRP/year at an average price of $0.55), contribute approximately $1.021 million USD/year. Combining these components, the total transaction demand (D) is approximately $264.35 billion USD/year.
Using the quantity theory of money, the required XRP supply (M_required) is calculated as D divided by V, where V represents velocity. Substituting D = $264.35 billion USD/year and V = 4.34, the required XRP supply is approximately 60.89 billion XRP. Using the reported circulating supply of 56.93 billion XRP from CoinMarketCap and the intrinsic price formula P = D divided by M_circulating, the intrinsic price of XRP is P = $264.35 ÷ 56.93 ≈ $4.64 USD/XRP.
Cryptocurrencies typically trade at multiples of their intrinsic value, reflecting speculative market dynamics. Using conservative multiples, XRP’s projected price ranges are as follows: at 1.5x intrinsic value, $6.96 per XRP; at 3x intrinsic value, $13.92 per XRP; and at 5x intrinsic value, $23.20 per XRP. These projections reflect potential price scenarios under varying market conditions, from conservative trading to speculative bull markets.
While speculative bull market cycles could push XRP’s price as high as $23.20 (a 5x multiple), a realistic estimate in a moderately speculative market suggests XRP could trade at 3x its intrinsic value, or approximately $13.92 per XRP. This price projection reflects a balance between XRP’s utility-driven demand and market sentiment. However, in highly speculative market conditions, XRP could reach $23.20 during a peak bull cycle.
GBPUSD Short opportunity Re-entry in Order Block Price made the high of the week on Wednesday and closed yesterday's daily candle with a bearish pattern. Today, I was looking for shorts only and found a good entry earlier during the London session, hitting Wednesday's low. Price just gave a reentry in the order block around 1.26470. Targeting today's low and ultimately Tuesday's low, with a longer-term target at Monday's low around 1.26014.
Additionally, today's focus is on the weekly jobless claims data, which could impact market sentiment. Stop-loss is set above today's high around 1.26600, a psychological level, to manage risk effectively. RSI is showing bearish divergence, supporting the short bias. Overall market sentiment is bearish due to increased concerns over economic data. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data.
Chart Annotations:
- Wednesday High
- Thursday High
- Monday Low
- Tuesday Low
- Wednesday Low
- Order Block around 1.26470
- Selling Point at 1.26415
- Buying Point at 1.26427
The Future of AI Operations: MLOps and NVIDIA's VisionMLOps: Transforming AI into Scalable Enterprise Solutions
In today’s fast-evolving technological landscape, MLOps (Machine Learning Operations) has emerged as a vital discipline for businesses striving to scale AI solutions effectively. This burgeoning field combines machine learning, DevOps, and data engineering to streamline the development, deployment, monitoring, and management of machine learning models in production.
While MLOps was initially shaped by generalized practices, industry leaders like NVIDIA have taken this framework to new heights, integrating it with cutting-edge hardware and software to drive enterprise AI innovation. Here's a comprehensive look at MLOps and how NVIDIA has helped businesses unlock the true potential of AI. As NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA prepares to release its third-quarter earnings, with estimates of $0.74 per share and $32.81 billion in revenue, its dominance in AI and MLOps underscores the strategic importance of these technologies in today’s digital economy.
What Is MLOps?
At its core, MLOps is a set of best practices, tools, and methodologies designed to operationalize machine learning models, ensuring they remain reliable, scalable, and effective in dynamic environments. It builds on the principles of DevOps, extending them to include data scientists and machine learning engineers, ensuring seamless collaboration across teams.
MLOps enables businesses to:
1. Automate repetitive processes such as model training, deployment, and monitoring.
2. Ensure reproducibility of experiments and results.
3. Scale AI solutions as businesses grow.
4. Continuously monitor and refine models to prevent performance degradation over time.
Core Components of MLOps
1. Data Pipeline Management:
- Automating data collection, cleaning, and preprocessing.
- Managing real-time data streams for dynamic model training.
2. Model Development and Experimentation:
- Providing tools for tracking experiments, version control, and reproducibility.
- Allowing iterative experimentation to optimize models for specific tasks.
3. Model Deployment:
- Deploying models into production environments using containers (e.g., Kubernetes, Docker).
- Supporting diverse deployment scenarios, including real-time inference and edge computing.
4. Monitoring and Maintenance:
- Continuously monitoring model performance for accuracy, latency, and resource efficiency.
- Automating retraining pipelines to adapt to changes in data or operational requirements.
5. Scalability and Governance:
- Enabling enterprises to scale AI solutions across large datasets and infrastructures.
- Ensuring compliance with industry standards and ethical AI guidelines.
Here's a practical pie chart showing the distribution of effort across key stages in the MLOps workflow: Data Collection, Model Training, Model Deployment, and Monitoring.
MLOps in Action: The NVIDIA Story
As one of the pioneers in AI and GPU-based computing, NVIDIA has played a transformative role in advancing MLOps, enabling businesses to scale and operationalize AI solutions with unprecedented efficiency. By providing a robust ecosystem of hardware, software, and services, NVIDIA has set a gold standard for MLOps in enterprise AI.
1. NVIDIA’s AI Infrastructure:
NVIDIA’s DGX Systems and DGX SuperPODs deliver the computational power needed to train and deploy complex AI models. These GPU clusters provide unmatched scalability, making them ideal for handling large datasets and real-time AI workloads.
Example: The DGX BasePOD architecture allows organizations to create powerful GPU clusters optimized for AI development and deployment.
2. NVIDIA AI Enterprise Suite:
The NVIDIA AI Enterprise platform includes tools like:
- Triton Inference Server for efficient model deployment.
- TAO Toolkit for fine-tuning pre-trained models with minimal coding.
- RAPIDS for accelerating data science workflows.
These tools simplify the end-to-end AI lifecycle, ensuring businesses can deploy and manage AI models with ease.
3. Real-World Use Cases:
- Retail Optimization: A major retailer used MLOps capabilities in a public cloud powered by NVIDIA GPUs to create an AI service that reduced food waste by 8-9%. By forecasting when to restock shelves, the retailer optimized inventory management and minimized spoilage.
- Predictive Maintenance: A PC manufacturer utilized NVIDIA’s AI infrastructure to predict laptop maintenance needs, enabling proactive updates and reducing downtime for customers.
Scaling MLOps with NVIDIA and Cloud Providers
NVIDIA has partnered with major cloud providers to integrate MLOps capabilities into their platforms:
- AWS SageMaker: Accelerates machine learning workflows with NVIDIA GPUs, enabling automated model training and deployment.
- Google NASDAQ:GOOGL Vertex AI: Leverages NVIDIA GPUs for seamless scaling and orchestration of AI models.
- Azure Machine Learning: Offers NVIDIA-optimized infrastructure for developing responsible AI solutions.
- Alibaba NYSE:BABA Cloud and Oracle Cloud: Provide NVIDIA-powered platforms for quick experimentation and deployment of machine learning projects.
These integrations allow businesses to choose flexible, cloud-based solutions for their AI needs, reducing operational overhead while ensuring performance and scalability.
Here's a bar chart illustrating the resource allocation in AI infrastructure across Compute Resources, Storage, Networking, and Software Tools.
Why NVIDIA Excels in MLOps
1. Industry-Leading Hardware: NVIDIA’s GPUs are designed for high-performance AI workloads, enabling rapid training and inference.
2. End-to-End Solutions: From infrastructure to software tools, NVIDIA offers a comprehensive ecosystem for MLOps.
3. Focus on Standards: NVIDIA’s collaboration with the AI Infrastructure Alliance (AIIA) helps set industry standards and best practices for MLOps.
4. Support for Open-Source Tools: NVIDIA works with open-source platforms like Kubeflow and ClearML, ensuring flexibility for developers and engineers.
With a revenue estimate of $32.81 billion for Q3, NVIDIA’s financial success reflects its role in pioneering AI infrastructure and MLOps solutions. Its offerings, like DGX systems and AI Enterprise, continue to dominate the enterprise AI landscape
MLOps: The Future of AI in Business
The rapid adoption of AI across industries underscores the importance of robust MLOps frameworks. With NVIDIA’s contributions, enterprises can now manage the full lifecycle of AI development, from data collection to model deployment, with confidence and efficiency.
Whether it’s optimizing retail operations, predicting maintenance, or developing cutting-edge applications, MLOps ensures that AI becomes a seamless part of an organization’s digital ecosystem. Thanks to pioneers like NVIDIA, the vision of scalable, reliable, and impactful AI is now a reality.
Final Thoughts
MLOps is more than just a framework—it’s a paradigm shift in how businesses approach AI. By leveraging NVIDIA’s advanced tools, infrastructure, and partnerships, organizations can achieve unparalleled efficiency, scalability, and innovation in their AI endeavors. The journey from experimentation to enterprise-ready AI has never been more accessible or powerful.
As NVIDIA announces its Q3 results, the company’s vision for the future of AI operations becomes even more critical. The expected revenue of $32.81 billion underscores how integral MLOps and AI are to the company's continued growth and innovation.
The chart visualizations in this article were created using the TradingView platform, a leading solution for market analysis and charting. Special thanks to TradingView for providing an exceptional platform that supports traders and analysts worldwide.
A warning: BTC to $70.000?Bitcoin is currently trading around $90,000, which is notable. The sharp price increases following Donald Trump's election victory have been significant, but experts suggest that a period of cooling or consolidation could be expected. During strong upward trends, investors often delay selling, anticipating further gains. However, if the price unexpectedly starts to decline, it can trigger a wave of sudden sell-offs as many decide to sell at the same time. This dynamic often leads to significant corrections during bull markets.
According to this supply and demand indicator from LuxAlgo, we see an equilibrium zone around this specific level. This suggests that in that zone supply equals demand. Financial markets tend for price to move toward equilibria.
CryptoQuant analyst BaroVirtual sets his target for Bitcoin's correction just above $70,000. The reason for this is that the short-term moving averages of the Bitcoin price are starting to move further apart.
But what do you think?
GBPUSD Analysis Monday Nov 18th Today's analysis for GBP/USD shows an overall bearish trend. I am looking to go short once the price hits the Sell-Side Imbalance Buy-Side Inefficiency (SIBI) Fair Value Gap (FVG) area. Additionally, there's a breaker block just around the FVG that reinforces this potential short entry. The resistance level at 1.2650, aligned with the 14-day EMA, is a key zone I'm watching closely. If the price reaches this level, it will provide an ideal entry point for a short position.
Stop Loss: 1.2680 - Placed 30 pips above the entry point to protect against unexpected upward movement.
Take Profit: 1.2590 - Positioned 60 pips below the entry point at a previous support level where price action may slow down or reverse.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
NB. The dollar has been strong since the elections and hoping to continue for a while with the BOE uncertainties.
Always keep an eye on upcoming economic events and market sentiment for any sudden changes. Happy trading!
Market Crash. It will happen again!! Be ready..There are not only similarities. Many factors are the same even worse. It will crash !!
Today, let’s look back at how everything in 2007 was sunny until it wasn’t, and we will compare that data with today’s.
The current market situation, as reflected in the Fed's rhetoric and actions—general narrative, interest rates, inflation, unemployment, etc.—is very similar to the state that preceded past crises.
Yes, history is not a guarantee that the future will be the same, but it is a guide that should not be ignored. It’s good to take at least the main lessons from it because listening to the general sentiment and talking heads on TV often doesn’t pay off. Those who now lament that the Fed is unnecessarily and excessively lowering rates will shout the loudest in six months for the Fed to continue lowering them. Ignoring the past is like voting for Kamala Harris and expecting change and development. Sorry, white braindead dudes…
So, let’s get to the main message of today’s article: We will take a very detailed look at 2007 and how it all unfolded step by step. First, we’ll analyze 2007, and then compare it with 2024. After that, we’ll look at the financial “health” of the average US consumer and American companies.
Let’s go!!
CHAPTER 1: THE YEAR 2007
The first rate cut was at the September FOMC meeting on 18.9.2007 by 50bps to 4.75%. The market was shocked by this Fed decision because it expected a cut of only 25bps, and articles began appearing everywhere that the Fed was ahead of itself and would cause inflation and another endless stock market rise. The Fed succumbed to market pressure! Below is an excerpt from The NY Times article:
The S&P500, DJI, and all other major indexes immediately surged to new all-time highs.
Yay, bullbrun!!! Helicopter money, the Fed has given up. Sell your car and buy stocks, everyone!
Meanwhile, unemployment at this time remained around 4.7% and was relatively stable.
The next rate cut came at the November meeting by 25 basis points (bps) and another 25 bps at the December meeting. “Let’s enjoy Christmas in peace, there’s nothing to worry about, we’re lowering rates for a soft landing. Like lying down in a bed with Egyptian cotton sheets.”
But then the new year arrives, and it seems Wall Street spent all its money on gifts because a week before the planned January FOMC meeting, an EMERGENCY MEETING is held, and the Fed cuts rates by 75 bps. A week later, at the planned FOMC meeting on January 30, 2008, another 50 bps cut brings rates down to 3%. In March, another 75 bps cut follows, and in April, another 25 bps, bringing the total to 2%.
Then comes a long pause until early October, when the Fed holds another EMERGENCY MEETING and cuts rates by 50 bps. Immediately at the next planned FOMC meeting two weeks later, it cuts again by 50 bps to a final 1% interest rate.
Here it is an Excel chart for better clarity !!
Here is a complete overview of the rate cuts during this period:
Let’s forget about the Fed Funds for a moment and look at what the yield curve (US02Y YIELD) on 2-year bonds was doing.
Since the first rate cut in September 2007, it went down and then dropped another 82% over the next 12 months!
What were MONEY SUPPLY and INFLATION doing during this period?
Both money supply and inflation were rising. M2SL increased from $7.4 trillion to $8.2 trillion, and inflation rose from about 2.8% to 5.4%. However, this range in inflation has been completely normal since 1982, as we have been moving within this range. Although inflation had a momentary rise, it was nothing out of the ordinary and then experienced an absolute washout.
It’s crucial to keep asking the key question: What was the narrative at that time? What was the “general” opinion and sentiment? It was: The Fed gave in, the bull run continues, inflation is up, the market is saved, and the Fed is overdoing it, buddy, unnecessarily.
What about the long pause between April and October when rates were flat?
It was half a year of stabilization, waiting to see what would happen. They were worried that they had cut rates so aggressively that they were ahead of the market and now had to wait for the market to calm down. Read: every pundit in the news claimed the Fed had overdone it and was unnecessarily aggressive.
So, when did the total meltdown in the stock market begin?
During the pause in interest rates between April and October 2008, the market was relatively stable and only lost about 15% of its value. It was only after this period that the real crisis hit, and the DJI lost another 41% of its value over the next six months – see chart below.
Let’s put everything together for the year 2007:
Comparison of US02Y Yield, DJI, Unemployment, and Interest Rates:
US02Y Yield: The yield on 2-year bonds dropped significantly, falling by 82% over the next 12 months after the first rate cut in September 2007.
DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average): The market initially surged to new all-time highs but later experienced a significant downturn.
Unemployment : Remained relatively stable at around 4.7% during this period.
Interest Rates: The Fed cut rates multiple times, starting with a 50 bps cut in September 2007, followed by several more cuts, eventually bringing the rate down to 1% by the end of the period.
Alright, let’s take a look at what GOLD and the VIX were doing at that time. Gold kept hitting new all-time highs, while the VIX was lying in bed with a cold until October 2008. In short, it took about 13 months from the first-rate cut for the VIX to show any significant upward movement, which then triggered the final cascade of the entire market.
From the first rate cut in September 2007 to March 2008, gold increased by 38%, while the VIX remained dormant. The VIX only started to spike in October 2008 after the Fed had kept rates flat for six months, leading to the real and juicy market meltdown.
Alright, enough history, let’s move on to the current state.
Chapter 2: The Year 2024
Now, let’s shift to the present and look at what the same charts, narratives, and everything else tell us today. We’ll start with the Fed. We’ll always start with the Fed because it’s our bestseller.
Surprise, surprise, the Fed cut rates on September 18, 2024, exactly like in 2007, by 50 basis points to 4.75%1. The talking heads are just as shocked and fascinated by this event as they were in 2007.
For the upcoming meetings, the expectation is a 25 bps cut in November and another 25 bps cut in December. Any resemblance to 2007 is purely coincidental…
What about the indexes?
Well, we’re hitting new endless records, champagne is flowing, and we’re using rolled-up newspapers for coke because banknotes are too small. In LalaLand, the DJI reaches 43,100 USD and the S&P500 hits 5,900 USD. The crowds are going wild…
The current sentiment, according to “experts,” is:
According to a survey, only 8% of respondents expect something like a hard landing. Yuck, who would want a hard landing? 76% expect a soft landing, and the rest prefer not to expect anything at all.
Notice how the probability of a HARD LANDING has been decreasing throughout the year. This reflects the general sentiment because if a crisis were to happen, it would have come long ago.
What about UNEMPLOYMENT?
It remains stable at around 4.1%, but due to statistical errors from the statistical office, we will have to wait about 12 months for the actual values.
What about the MONEY SUPPLY and INFLATION charts?
The money supply is increasing, and inflation is back in its “comfort zone” of around 2-5%.
Let’s put everything together for the year 2024:
Comparison of US02Y Yield, DJI, Unemployment, and Interest Rates:
Interest Rates: Decreased from 4.75% to 4.25% (a reduction of 50 basis points).
Unemployment: Increased from approximately 3.4% to 4.4%.
US02Y Yield: Dropped from 5.2% to 3.5%.
Dow Jones Index: Continues to hit new all-time highs every day.
And what about the GOLD and VIX charts?
Gold has risen by about 9% since the first rate cut, reaching new all-time highs (ATHs), while the VIX is still “sleeping” and pretending not to notice.
That’s all well and good, but what does it all mean?!
YEAR 2007 vs 2024
It means that if we look closely and with the benefit of hindsight at 2007, the current situation is not just similar to before, it is EXACTLY the same. I don’t believe that history will repeat itself step by step and down to the last detail as before, but this comparison is meant to show you that most events can be seen in the data in advance. However, it’s hard to find this information through the disinformation deluge we call MAINSTREAM MEDIA.
Macro charts, which most smart money follows and which have historically proven to be very accurate, show the same sequence of events as in 2007-2008. Additionally, China is already experiencing a similar real estate crisis as in 2008 (their words, not mine) and they think they can cover a 20 trillion loss with a 500 billion package. That will require a lot of prayers and incense sticks…
CHAPTER 3: STRONG ECONOMY AND INDOMITABLE CONSUMER
Powel, Yellen and all politics still speaking about a strong economy, I don’t know if they are intentionally lying or they are stupid. but here is retail data. How is the average American citizen doing, who barely finished high school, sleeps with a machine gun under their pillow, doesn’t have a passport, and thinks Africa is just below England?
Average Americans are starting to drown in debt, and the chance of defaulting on the minimum debt in the next 3 months is increasing to about 14%.
Auto loan defaults 90 days past due are now at 2.9%. Highest in 14 years.
let’s look at ALL loan defaults together:
We are in a very, very similar situation to 2007. There is no extreme yet, but notice how everything is starting to prepare for expansion. I don’t give it much weight as long as we’re below about 2, but I definitely wouldn’t support this chart because it’s another piece of our MACRO puzzle.
What about the labour market?
The labour market in the USA has fallen to 34.2 hours in terms of average hours worked per week. This is the lowest in 14 years. It is a continuous decline, with the labour market weakening for 8 months in a row, starting with the slow reduction of full-time jobs to part-time jobs and continuing with the gradual reduction of the workforce.
Moreover, most large companies plan to lay off more employees at the beginning of the new year, which will result in hundreds of thousands of people losing their jobs. Last month, the number of part-time jobs was at 28.16 million. The third highest number in history and 400,000 more than in 2008.
Additionally, household investment in the stock market is at an absolute maximum, with the average Joe having over 48% of their assets in stocks. Double the value of the last 15 years.
Well, everyone has some stocks, what’s wrong with that?
There’s nothing wrong with investing in stocks, quite the opposite. Anyone with a bit of extra money should have a portion of their assets in quality stocks. However, it’s always important to keep in mind what the smart money is doing.
CEOs, owners, and large investors are selling their stocks, and so-called “corporate insiders” are buying stocks at the slowest pace in the last 13 years
The problems that crush the middle class are of course also connected to the real estate market housing affordability is currently the worst since 1985 and we are below 2008 levels! That’s not even talking about how many properties are now for sale in the US below pre-Covid values.
What about companies? How do entrepreneurs succeed and why does it all take so long?
First, we have the US election in about 3 weeks, and Japan’s Powell (samurai sake kimono, or something) has confirmed that the BOJ will not raise rates until after the US election.
Moreover, the buyback in stocks has never been as brutal as this year 2024 – see chart below.
Come on, it’s cool, isn’t it? When a snake starts eating itself, maybe it’s a long enough snake. The problem is that the SPX index consists of 7 strong companies. The remaining 493 companies report yet another quarter when they have a 0% increase in earnings.493 companies do not even meet the reduced expectations for 2024.
But Magnificent 7 and AI Narrative will take it all by themselves. We’re already looking forward to having a robot make us a drink and getting into Elon’s autonomous taxi… which will actually be driven by a remote-controlled Indian from somewhere in the basement of Marrakesh.
The Russell index is not much better, with so-called “zombie companies” reporting negative earnings reaching over 43% of the index.
Buffet is not buying properly for the past 3 years and he is sitting on the historically biggest cash positions. He is waiting for the opportunity, which can come soon or next year. This is macro and it has a much longer timing.
This week NFPs are coming with bad data and corrections are even worse. Most of the new jobs are created in the government sector.
Oh and banks are holding in the biggest unrealized losses in the past two decades
Also, we just passed 36 Trillion in debt, they added 1 Trillion in just 4 months.
It's a mix for the mother of all crashes, when it will happen. I don't know macro top timing is difficult as you can see Kyosaki, Schiff, Burry and many more have been calling for the crash for years, eventually one day it will happen. Growing unemployment + fed rapid rate cuts are the last pieces to the puzzle.
Once FED starts rapid cutting it will be the time.
What to do?
Definitely don’t be leveraged in any position. Be solvent and make sure you have a stable income. Have cash to use on this lifetime buy opportunity and buy some great assets when the interest rate hits 0% it could be the bottom of the crash. Will Bitcoin protect you? I don’t know, Bitcoin was not through such a crisis yet. But Im holding since I bought it down here
Of course as usual this is not financial advice just my opinion. Do your own research.
Be ready, to buy the bottom, this will be epic!
Dave Hunter
BabayDoge VS Floki | ALTCOINS | WHICH can MOON ?Comparing B abydoge to Floki in this analysis.
Both are memecoins , and both have digits for days.
However, the one is evidently a pump-and-dump coin that showed no growth so far, whilst the other looks a little more promising ( for a memecoin at least ).
I'd still prefer DOGE and SHIB, but there are interesting trading opportunities in these two alts. First after a retracement, BabyDoge is likely to be the next one to make large increases since Floki is already trading close to its previous ATH.
More on DOGE VS SHIB here :
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MEXC:BABYDOGEUSDT BINANCE:FLOKIUSDT
DOGE vs SHIB | UPSIDE POTENTIAL | Which is Better for ALTSEASON?DOGE and SHIB have one thing in common : both are meme coins - and that is probably the only thing.
They each take turns to pump and dump, based on their position in the Total Cryptocurrency by Market Cap Rank. One of these, stands to gain much more than the other due to a few reasons as pointed out in the analysis.
Which one are you rooting for this altseason?
Speaking of altseason; don't miss yesterday's important update on BTC, Bitcoin Dominance, TOTAL3 and altseason:
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
Part 2 of DOGE vs BTCWeekly candles, zoomed all the way to the beginning of the trackable orderbooks.
Bitcoin's halvening seems to trigger an immediate "alt season" pump, and DOGE always benefits massively, claiming higher lows as a store of value.
Let's be clear- nobody originally wanted to DOGE to ever be considered a store of value- that's why it has infinite emissions (a slowly dripped never ending supply) .
In fact, the original idea was to make fun of Bitcoin's purity as a digitally scarce asset!
So it's fundamentally strange to me that this inflationary asset continues to gain value against it's disinflationary older cousin.
Oh well- hope you enjoy this one. DO NOT BASE YOUR TRADES OFF OF THIS!
Great Buy.......First Solor......leading US Solar Manufacture!NASDAQ:FSLR has great Fundamentals, and we are now signaling Bullish Divergence (2h Chart). The post-election selloff is a little overdone. This was due to the market anticipating the trade disruption caused by Trump tariffs. With NASDAQ:FSLR being domestically positioned I believe this is a great buying opportunity on this stock......I am not a financial advisor this is just my outlook and predictions on the market.
So good SOWG a trailblazer in the freeze-dried candy and treat industry, will hold a conference call on Thursday, November 14, 2024, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time to discuss its results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024. The Company will provide its financial results in a press release prior to the conference call. Set up here looks good after retest. Revenue estimates are lower this quarter than previous, see what happens tm. Annual revenues are excepted to 3x in 2025. Low volatility for now.