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Shadow Banking The shadow banking system is something you're probably not familiar with. Until today! the shadow banking system is made up of mainly investment banks i.e. your market whales or market makers, money market funds i.e. like schwab and vanguard, and hedge funds. these financial entities dont give out loans to you or I, but rather trade amongst themselves. which is what is known as the shadow banking system. one of the main functions of the Shadow Banking system is to provide liquidity aka money (which is mostly made up anyways) to the financial system. for example if a whale wants to move a massive amount of money into a position, or what happened to Zimbabwe a while back and give an entire nation a loan at a ridiculous amount of interest they're able to do so, or take a massive position in a promising opportunity and need capital fast! How does this work? How do you ensure that a hedge fund will pay back on their loan? collateral! Usually in the form of government issued bonds and bills. one can trade an equilivent amount of t-bills plus interest for X-amount of dollars to carry out said transaction. example: Hedge fund A wants to take a position shorting the RMBS market. (strictly coincidental) Hedge Fund A is so confident in their analysis they are willing to take a whales position. they need the capital. well like all good risk management practices they have off set their high beta shares with low risk positions. the lowest risk investment you can have is a US Bond or Treasury Bill. So, Investment bank A says okay I can lend you 10 Billion Dollars at a 4% interest rate per day for 3 days, if you default I keep your Bonds. The swap happens. Now, Hedge Fund A has not only to make their money back on the bond trade, but they have to make at least 4.01% to make the trade profitable and they have 3 days to do it. Another way this can be done is Hedge Fund B says I too am going to short the RMBS market but i am going to offer it to all the investment banks and other hedge funds. So they offer it as an investment opportunity. the offering fund takes a small fee and the winnings or losings are dealt accordingly. while this might sound a a little familiar... well it is! names and places have been changed to protect the innocent. The major critique the financial system has with this Shadow Banking is that its not really regulated. becasue going back to our example with Hedge Fund A If Hedge Fund A Doesnt pay then Investment Bank A can shoot their interest rate from 4% to 40% in one day making the loan almost impossible to pay back causing the Hedge Fund to collapse and all the unsuspecting investors in the Hedge Fund are out of pocket. Or my personal favorite. Lets Say Hedge Fund (HFA) A is going to short the RMBS market with a 10 Billion dollar Position for 3 days and Investment Bank A (IBA) wants to short the CMBS market with a $20 billion position for 5 days. well the trade between HFA and IBA happens 10 billion will float to HFA at a 4% interest rate per day for 3 days. Now, IBA wants to short CMBSs they will approach Life Insurance Group A (LIA) and will offer $20 billion dollars in bonds 10 from their reserve and the 10 billion from HFA. at a 5% per day interest rate for 5 days. Now, you might see the problem. but i will continue. Day 3 is up. HFA made their little profit. IBA doesnt have their bonds (because theyre with LIA). So, IBA will probably give HFA 10 billion of their own bonds which for this post is what happens. HFA is squared away with IBA. Now, in the 5 days that IBA is holding LIAs money the fed decided to raise interest rates 200 base points. the bond market yields sky rocket causing their prices to plummet. but fortunately IBA made 10% on their risk they pay LIA their 5% interest and take a 5% loss on their bonds and come out BE or Break even. As you can see in this overly simplified example how if any one part of these parties failed it could be detrimental for a lot of people. Because peoples pensions are held by hedge funds, countries and other governments have their investments with the Investment Bank peoples money and loans are held with the Life Insurance groups. I believe this shadow banking system is also the Stock Markets (yes the entire stock markets) Stop Loss!
NASDAQ:KRX
by ARegularGuy
Decisive Battle Fed Interest Rate ResolutionThere are still 2 hours before the announcement of the Fed's interest rate decision. At that time, it will guide the direction of gold in the short term, and all we have to do is seize the market trading opportunity. As long as we seize the opportunity, we will make a very good profit.Let's see if Gold will use this opportunity to challenge the 2050 position again.I will announce more detailed market information and trading opportunities in the channel. Are you ready for the decisive battle over the Fed's interest rate decision?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Short-term-king
XAUUSD:Short gold decisivelyGold currently continues to maintain a range fluctuation on the daily line, and the price is temporarily compressed between 1970-2010. In terms of the overall trend, the market is slightly restrained before facing important data such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and non-farm payrolls.Therefore, in the short-term structural trend, gold shuttles back and forth around 2000 points. In the near future, the watershed of long- and short-term strength and weakness will pay attention to the 2010 mark, and the daily line level will continue to be bearish below this position. So wait patiently for a reliable position to participate in shorting gold.As for the specific location of participating in shorting gold, I will announce my trading signals on the channel as soon as possible when the opportunity is right. Please pay attention to the information in the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Short-term-king
8
First choose to short goldYesterday, stimulated by the news, gold rose sharply in the short term, reaching as high as near the first line of 2020. At present, gold has fallen slightly and is trading at the 2016 level. Gold has shown serious technical deviations due to the stimulus of the news, and there is a technical response demand; and it is about to face the Fed's interest rate decision. In principle, gold has a certain volatility within a few days before the announcement of the interest rate decision. On the whole, due to the cautious attitude of the market, it is still necessary to maintain a state of range consolidation as a whole, so gold has a demand to fall after the news calms down. So gold can consider choosing to sell on the first line of 2018-2010, TP1:2010, TP2:2006. For more high-quality trading signals, please refer to the content in the channel
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Short-term-king
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis According to the data of Bitcoin Dominance chart, it can be seen that it is placed between two support and resistance levels (blue and red areas). My personal opinion: According to the analysis of liquidity in the market (link below) We will have the growth of Bitcoin dominance and this shows that the growth of the price of Bitcoin will come with it. Of course, I must mention that because we will not have a significant growth of liquidity in the market, the expectation is a temporary growth of Bitcoin and then the distribution of liquidity to altcoins. The point that is very important is that it should be considered that the price of altcoins will decrease, and after the growth of the price of Bitcoin, Dominance will decrease and the traders will save profit and then enter the resulting profit into altcoins. do
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by ExduS021
Gold Prices Are Back Lower. Are Your Trades Alright?Hello ladies and gentlemen, it is a pleasure to meet you here. I have been trading in gold, crude oil, foreign exchange, cryptocurrency, etc. for more than 13 years. Just like my name, we are the children of the ocean, and the future will be You show me how to use technical indicators to analyze the movement of trends. It is expected that the return will reach about 300% next week. The U.S. dollar edged higher against major currencies on Friday, April 22 (Saturday), as business activity data showed that the world's largest economy remained resilient, supporting expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by another 25 basis points at its policy meeting next month. Gold prices slumped and headed for their worst week in eight, while oil prices posted weekly losses. Commodity close: U.S. gold futures settled down 1.4 percent at HKEX:1 ,990.50. Brent crude futures rose 56 cents to settle at $81.66 a barrel. U.S. crude was up 5 cents at $77.87. U.S. stocks closed: the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.07% to 33808.96; the S&P 500 rose 0.09% to 4133.52; the Nasdaq rose 0.11% to 12072.46. Gold prices have fallen about 1.2% so far this week, pressured by a broader rise in the U.S. dollar, with Fed officials saying on Thursday that inflation remains "well above" the Fed's 2% target. Fed Governor Bowman reiterated that more needs to be done to curb inflation. U.S. business activity accelerated to an 11-month high in April, an S&P global survey showed, at odds with growing signs that the economy could slip into recession as interest rates rise and demand cools. Gold is also under pressure as a result. The market currently sees an 85.4% chance that the Fed will raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its May 2-3 meeting. Gold is expected to trend lower in May if the U.S. dollar raises interest rates at the May 2-3 meeting. Finally, I will give you a personal summary: Generally speaking, people who like to chase up can make money, and they will tend to repeat the action of chasing up again. When this action is repeated and more or more money is made, it will affect the people around them, and they even complain about the lack of positions. mentality, so that the market is gradually pushed to a climax until this profit-making effect comes to an end, and if those who chase the rise start to lose money, they will feel self-punishing and tend to be cautious in their operations, which is reflected in the disk The above is a gradual decline in activity. Similarly, there are also a group of people who like to buy bottoms in the market. If they can make money by buying bottoms, they will continue to buy bottoms. Punish the mind, and reduce the actions of bottom-hunting in operations. Once the number of bottom-hunting people starts to decrease, some stocks will fall without resistance after a little selling pressure. Finally, I wish you all a happy weekend, and it is a pleasure to share knowledge with you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Orca_Jimme
5
Will gold reverse on the way down?Will gold continue to fall to 1950 next? First of all, what I want to explain is that gold as a whole is still weak, but it cannot be directly shorted in trading. The reasons are as follows: From the continuous closing of the lower hatching line at 1970 in the recent trading days, it can be seen that gold is currently receiving technical support at 1970, so gold may take this weak rebound. So which areas are mainly observed above? 1.First observe the 1988-1992 area 2.Secondly, observe the 2000-2004 area If these two regions can recover quickly in the short term, then gold may reverse its decline and there is a possibility of challenging the previous high again.It is also worth noting that don't just pay attention to integer thresholds and avoid the pitfalls of technical false breakthroughs. In addition, in this week's trading, we have achieved a record of consecutive wins and zero losses. Starting tomorrow, our revenue target for this week is 300%. Remember to pay attention to and follow the detailed trading signals in the channel. I am also very happy to make more profits with you.In addition, for the recent ups and downs of the market, over and over again, and frequent long and short conversions, there may be many friends in the trading, back and forth continuous loss orders.So whether it's a friend who has a trading order quilt, or a friend who has recently lost money in a row, I have the real strength to help you solve the quilt, or satisfy your desire to make money. Welcome everyone to visit the channel!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Short-term-king
1
BBBY Possible Double Bottom FormingPossible double bottom forming on the 30 minute chart. .27 Showing some strong support now. Green box possible target price range for a break after the double bottom. Orange boxes are gaps on the daily chart, could get some pops up to close those gaps. All gaps down below have been closed, and the recent move to the downside could've been to close the gaps (aside from stock being shorted to hell). .55-.6, and then .95-1.05 going to be another big gap to really get some momentum going. .81 is where the downtrend started so that will hopefully be stop number 2. Gotta get past .5 first and power through. Not quiet like GME squeeze just yet, we do not have stimulus checks coming in, BBBY is also not talked on WSB until it surpasses the necessary market cap. Other reddiots and YouTubers fighting blah blah blah blah Still awaiting Earnings. Possible Reverse stock spilt, and possible dilution from all the crazy deals going on. Special meeting coming up may 9 2023, we shall see if we make it to that date. Apparently BBBY is 5 days away from declaring BK if things do not change. Funny thing is the green vertical line is when im hopeful for a move up, happens to be just before the meeting. None of this is financial advice. Do your own research, these are my speculations and opinions, and if this goes south I am aware I can and or will lose the total notational value of my trade. I hold call options of BBBY, and 2000 shares. I have been in and out of BBBY since August, and it's been a gnarly ride. My tinfoil has gone through the microwave now, and I'll see where my bag takes me.
NASDAQ:BBBYLong
by rrak279067200
Gold between fires! This week's close will be decisive for gold and be prepared for volatility. The forecast for gold that was posted on my channel continues to be implemented. Let me remind you that gold looks good in the short term, BUT In medium and long term, gold will grow. This is because gold is highly correlated with 10-year US bonds and the dollar index. And in these assets, the main panic has already passed (or will end in the coming months). Therefore, if you want to short gold, then do it only with a stop! I predict the maximum fall limit for gold at $1700-1800. I will be buying gold big at these levels Write in the comments what other asset to analyze according to technical analysis
GLong
by Dorado_Crypto
Has gold stopped its decline and is it about to rebound?After the news was suddenly bearish last Friday, the market bulls initiated a multiples sell-off. On the one hand, it was due to technical overbought and divergence reasons, on the other hand, it was because of market sentiment taking the opportunity to hype. Judging from the current trend of gold, the intraday trend is still biased towards the correction trend after the decline. After the correction, there is still an expectation of continued decline, because the technical daily divergence has just been released, and the probability of the market continuing to decline in the later period has also increased.Therefore, in the short term, we need to pay attention to the strength of the rebound and the expectation of the second downward trend.In the short term, gold can first observe the defensive situation of the 20-day line. This position has also become a short-term reference point. If the 20-day line is lost, it may be possible to retreat below the intersection of the two trend lines in the early stage near 1970. From an intraday perspective, the current downward trend is stopped and there is a weak rebound trend, but it does not mean a change of direction. Therefore, the short-term structure is still a weak link after the sharp drop, and there is still a possibility of a sustained decline under the pressure of the intraday rebound. I will share specific transactions and operations in real time on my channel based on intraday details.In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Short-term-king
DXY: CBDC's Total Takeover? 🏛Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. For the past eight decades, the U.S. dollar has been the dominant global currency following the Second World War. It has been widely accepted worldwide, with only a few exceptions, and is commonly recognized by the image of Andrew Jackson and the seal of the U.S. Treasury, making it the most recognizable export of the United States. The U.S. dollar became the reserve currency of the world following the Second World War, mainly because the United States was the dominant global economic and military power at the time. The Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944 also played a crucial role in establishing the dollar's role as the world's reserve currency. Under this agreement, other countries agreed to peg their currencies to the U.S. dollar, which was backed by gold. This made the U.S. dollar a stable and reliable currency for international transactions, leading to its widespread acceptance as a reserve currency. Additionally, the U.S. had a large trade surplus, making it easier for other countries to hold dollars as reserves to pay for U.S. goods and services. The dominance of the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency has been a source of both admiration and resentment among other countries and superpowers. Many countries have benefited from the stability and liquidity that the U.S. dollar provides as a reserve currency, allowing them to conduct international trade and investments with greater ease. However, some countries have also experienced the negative effects of dollar dominance, such as the risk of currency fluctuations and the potential for U.S. monetary policy decisions to have spillover effects on their own economies. The U.S. dollar was not only commonly used in international transactions but also widely held as a long-term store of value across the globe. Central banks worldwide held more U.S. dollars than any other currency. This resulted in low borrowing costs for Americans, which allowed middle-class people to buy homes. Furthermore, the U.S. government was able to incur significant debts without apparent consequences due to the dollar's global dominance. Americans may not have been aware of this situation, but it had a favorable impact on their daily lives. Occasionally, the Congress discussed the debt ceiling, but it seemed like an abstract topic that most people did not care about since America controlled the global reserve currency and could print U.S. dollars. This privilege made money cheap, and Americans enjoyed benefits that were not available to other countries. However, the thought of losing this dominance was too terrible to contemplate, and concerns began to arise around the time the Russian military entered Ukraine about a year ago. The consequences of such a loss would be dire, and it was a worrisome issue. The Russian military's invasion of Ukraine was destabilizing, as wars typically are. However, it was the West's reaction to the invasion that raised concerns. U.S. policymakers, led by USA President Joe Biden and supported by Republican senators, seemed intent on not only toppling the Russian government but also disrupting the post-World War II economic order that had benefitted the U.S. for decades. The sanctions weren't expected to harm the U.S. economy more than the Russian economy. Russia's economy is not heavily reliant on financial services but on natural resources such as oil, gas, iron, and coal. Despite the sanctions imposed on Russia, its Ruble remains stable against the US dollar, which suggests that the sanctions did not have a significant long-term impact on Russia's economy. The seizure of Russia's central bank's dollar reserves was intended to collapse Russia's credit system and cause bank runs, but it didn't happen. The USA did not consider the dangers when using the dollar, the sign of security and unity, as a weapon. The result of this is unsurprising, many countries lost confidence in the dollar. And so, Russia, Brazil, Pakistan, India, Malaysia, France, China, and Saudi Arabia are conducting business in currencies other than the US dollar, such as the Chinese currency Yuan. This is happening at a fast pace and shutting out the US dollar, which is losing trust from other countries due to its use as a weapon and excessive printing, leading to inflation and currency devaluation. 💭Final Thoughts 💭 We look to history to speculate on the future. As the saying goes, history repeats itself. During the First World War, the German government borrowed heavily to finance the war effort, resulting in a significant increase in national debt. The government continued to print money to pay for its expenses, which led to hyperinflation and a collapse of the German economy in the early 1920s. In 1923, the German mark was practically worthless, and people had to carry wheelbarrows of money to buy basic goods. This hyperinflation had a devastating effect on the German people, wiping out their savings and pensions and causing widespread poverty and social unrest. The situation stabilized when the German government introduced a new currency, the Rentenmark, backed by mortgages on agricultural and industrial land which restored some degree of confidence in the currency. The German government basically inflated their currency due to excessive debt accumulated from war. The United States has a similar history with wars, relying on the reserve currency status to recover from the economic damage of these wars. However, considering the large economical impact of Russia and BRICS's contribution the the economy, it could be catastrophic due to the current state of the US economy. The BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) are exploring the possibility of creating a new reserve currency as an alternative to the US dollar-dominated international financial system. The proposal was discussed at a virtual meeting of the BRICS finance ministers and central bank governors, with a goal to decrease the dependency on the US dollar and increase trade between member countries. However, no specific details were provided yet about the potential reserve currency. However, it's highly likely that this "new reserve" will be in digital form, as a CBDC (central bank digital currency). _______________________ 📢 Show us some LOVE 🧡 Follow for daily updates and trade ideas on Crypto , Stocks , Forex and Commodities 💎 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
TVC:DXYShort
by CryptoCheck-
13
Grindrod $GRIN - Acquisition Target at a very very cheap price. NASDAQ:GRIN Taylor Maritime Investments (TMI) closed its offer to acquire all of the issued ordinary shares in Grindrod Shipping for HKEX:26 back in October 22. NASDAQ:GRIN has since sold off sharply following concerns of imminent de-listing by TMI. However, TMI does not meet the compulsory acquisition threshold of at least 90% for delisting of GRIN from the JSE. I wouldn't be surprised if NASDAQ:GRIN is the target of future buyouts from larger dry bulk shipping companies which recognise it's strong fundamentals and growth prospects. My DCF model of NASDAQ:GRIN supports my opinion that current stock price April 2023 is very very cheap. An opportunity to make some serious gains for the patient investor.
GLong
by Bullish_On_Value
$ID Rally - #SPACEID Could Surpass $1 USD SoonDisclaimer: I do have a BAG of ID My opinion: I'm thinking on or around Sunday evening we could see a 1 USD ID price... reasons why; Strategy: Accumulate & Chill.... how long am i holding for? I have no intention of selling b/c of the DAO they're forming. So these tokens do have a "governance" role. And in Q4 they can be staked for discounts in the marketplace. Currently the APR's on Binance are generous. Pancakeswap's APR was generous imo. So there's strong incentive for a rapid growth in marketcap. Fundamentals for your consideration: i) Binance has allowed leveraged trading which has seen significant volume pump into $ID. Do note when people state that it seems "manipulated". A billion in volume is par the course, during the TGE 2.8BN in BNB was pledged by eager hodlers. So understand that any point this marketcap could swell beyond $3BN at the blink of an eye. ii) Current market cap and price point is appealing, because unlike the ENS drop... user's are seeing the opportunity to hold something with growth in mind. At present price lvl's user's can look to the roadmap for insights on why token price is likely to surge in a Bull Market of its own. DYOR, NFA... but on the horizon there's a NFT gated merch store, Universal TLD's (Domains). iii) Significant Milestones Reached - - Domains Registered: 701,646 SID | Holders: 495,507 addresses - ID Holders: 60,247 addresses - BSC Scan & other integrations make the project a juggernaut in web3 identity - .ARB & .ETH support in the marketplace - The domain market place does significant volume in trading daily - In pure sales volume, they're #2 & they did that in 6 months Something not commonly discussed is that the team actually achieved a lot of their roadmap rather early, hence why more has been added to their roadmap. The project has a solid team of developers buidling. There incubated and backed by Binance Labs. There second seed round raised $10M USD (Polychain Capital + dao5). Not often discussed is the sheer size of opportunity to grow. Remember Binance has 26 million website visitors.... and Binance is invested in twitter... and twitter just announced a partnership with eToro to provide crypto & stock prices on the platform. #SPACEID in theory now has access to 450M (2022) plus twitter users .... Again DYOR + NFA... this also doesn't factor in the mega bullrun to come with the Litecoin & BTC halving's ahead. When in doubt zoom out. I'm the least bit concerned by sideways conditions.
Long
by BIG-BLACK-CRYPTO
Nagarro SE (NA9): Small Cap Multi-Bagger in Germany.Nagarro SE (NA9) is a global software engineering and digital transformation company. It provides services such as software development, cloud computing, data analytics, and user experience design to clients across various industries including retail, healthcare, finance, and manufacturing. In terms of Nagarro SE's competitive advantages , some of the key factors that set the company apart from its competitors include: Technical Expertise: Nagarro SE has a highly skilled and experienced team of software engineers, data scientists, and UX/UI designers who are proficient in cutting-edge technologies and frameworks. This technical expertise enables the company to deliver high-quality software solutions that are customized to meet the unique needs of its clients. Agile Delivery: Nagarro SE follows an agile methodology for software development and delivery, which allows the company to quickly adapt to changing client requirements and market conditions. This approach enables the company to deliver projects faster and with a higher degree of flexibility and scalability. Global Delivery Model: Nagarro SE has a global delivery model, which allows the company to tap into a diverse talent pool across different geographies. This model also enables the company to provide 24/7 support to its clients and reduce development costs by leveraging the cost arbitrage between different regions. Client-Centric Approach: Nagarro SE puts a strong emphasis on understanding its clients' businesses and their unique challenges. This client-centric approach enables the company to provide customized solutions that address specific pain points and drive business outcomes for its clients. Overall, Nagarro SE's technical expertise, agile delivery, global delivery model, and client-centric approach are key competitive advantages that differentiate the company from its competitors in the software engineering and digital transformation space. As with any company, Nagarro faces various risks that could impact its business and financial performance. Some of the key risks that the company faces include: Economic and Market Risks: Nagarro SE's business is dependent on the overall health of the global economy and the demand for software engineering and digital transformation services. A slowdown in economic activity or a downturn in the global market could reduce demand for the company's services and negatively impact its financial performance. Competition: Nagarro SE operates in a highly competitive industry, and faces competition from both established players and new entrants. If the company is unable to compete effectively in terms of price, quality, and innovation, it could lose market share and revenue. Dependence on Key Clients : Nagarro SE's revenue is concentrated among a few key clients, which increases the risk of revenue volatility if these clients reduce their spending on the company's services, or if the company is unable to secure new clients to replace lost business. Talent Retention: Nagarro SE's success depends on its ability to attract, retain, and develop top talent in a highly competitive labor market. If the company is unable to attract and retain top talent, it may not be able to deliver high-quality services and meet its clients' needs. Technological Risks: Nagarro SE operates in a rapidly evolving technology landscape, which requires the company to invest continually in research and development to stay ahead of the curve. If the company is unable to adapt to new technologies or fails to innovate, it could lose market share to competitors that offer more advanced solutions. Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) Nagarro has a ROCE of 20%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the IT industry average of 15%. To sum it up, Nagarro has proven it can reinvest in the business and generate higher returns on that capital employed, which is terrific. Given the stock has declined 55% from its highs, this could be a good investment if the valuation and other metrics are also appealing. With that in mind, I believe that the promising trends warrant this stock for further investigation.
SWB:NA9Long
by GenadiYankov
Will gold still rise to a high of 2070?At present, gold is higher for the third consecutive trading day. Because yesterday's US CPI data well supported the expectation that the Fed's interest rate hike cycle may be nearing its end, the decline in US Treasury yields and the weakening of the US dollar have supported gold prices. Although gold prices have been supported to rise, intraday technical signals indicate that gold prices are approaching the previous high, the upward momentum has slowed. Gold is currently in a pattern of high volatility and rightward movement at the daily line level. This is a typical time-for-space pattern, and the long-term pattern in the general direction of gold has not changed.However, for the short-term level, the top of gold is under certain pressure, and in addition to the impact of news and data, the recent rebound in gold prices is not extremely strong, so there is still a demand for volatility in the short-term. Once the momentum is completed, it will be a new round of large long-term market start. In summary, gold as a whole still maintains a bullish pattern, but there is still a demand for volatility in the short term.Therefore, in terms of operation, long positions at low levels are mainly used, supplemented by short positions at high levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Short-term-king
Gold prices are unable to rebound, can they continue to rise?According to the current trend pattern of gold prices, gold failed to continue its downward trend after falling, rebounded upward after the lower shadow line appeared, and returned to the top of 2000, basically smoothing out the short-term decline, so the short-term buying support is strong.In addition, the Fed's recent dovish bias has also provided some support for gold prices, so it is difficult for gold prices to show a continuation of the decline in the short term. The current short-term structural kinetic energy has slowed down, fluctuating narrowly near the first line of 2010, and the current rebound power is weak. According to the current technical indicators, there is still a certain amount of room for short-term energy to be released, and in the process of weak rebound, it will also consume short-term energy to a certain extent. In addition, there are differences in market expectations for interest rate increases, and we still need to wait for intraday US inflation data to find clues to future interest rate increases, and we also need CPI data to bring a new round of market guidance. Short-term structure: the bottom pays attention to the first-line support of 2007-2006; the top pays attention to the first-line pressure of 2020-2022. Short-term trading reference: Pull back to 2008-2007 to buy gold, stop loss 2002, target 2020 I will share specific transactions and operations in real time on my channel based on intraday details.In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Short-term-king
6
ENPH: Energize Your Investments with a Leading Solar CompanyOne key factor that makes ENPH an attractive investment opportunity is the rapid growth of the solar energy market. According to a report by the International Energy Agency, solar power is expected to become the largest source of electricity by 2035, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18% from 2020 to 2025. As a leading provider of energy management systems, ENPH is well-positioned to benefit from this trend. In addition, ENPH has a strong financial position. The company has consistently posted strong revenue growth over the past few years, with a revenue CAGR of 50.4% and 67.8% from 2015 to 2020. Furthermore, the company has a solid balance sheet with no long-term debt and a healthy cash reserve. This financial stability puts ENPH in a strong position to weather any potential economic downturns or market volatility. Finally, ENPH has a strong track record of innovation and product development. The company has a robust research and development program and has consistently introduced new and innovative products to the market. This positions ENPH to stay ahead of its competitors and to maintain its position as a leader in the solar energy industry. In summary, ENPH is a strong investment opportunity due to its position in the growing solar energy market, strong financial position, and track record of innovation and product development.
NASDAQ:ENPH
by CAPFINEX
Potential Short Apple WWDC 2023From a TA perspective, we can see Apple in a parallel channel. Price action bounced off a weekly level 124.55. After the first impulse bounce off the weekly, the retracement of the price action hits the .382 Fibonacci level (aka Dead cat bounce). From a Fundamental perspective, Apple's World Wide Developer's Conference can be the catalyst to send the price a little higher from where we are today. In turn, this could potentially send the price action back down to the bottom of the parallel channel.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by pvulr
Big Picture: S&P 500 (SPY) Over a Simple Risk/RewardI like to follow the course of 'risk appetite' but there are many definitions of sentiment from the perception of confidence in a particular asset up to an assessment of the entire financial system as a whole. I like the top down approach in this case as much of what happens in individual assets on a regular basis roles up to an industry/region/asset class or the broader financial system. For me, gauging 'risk appetite' answers much of the market activity currently unfolding in the market. For measures of market-wide sentiment, I have made very simple to very complicated. This is very simple. Going by the standard 'risk/reward' perspective: a singular (but imperfect) 'risk' measure is the $VIX and a similar 'reward' metric is the US 10-year yield. Of course, there are many issues with the VIX and it is derived from US markets (S&P 500 specifically). However, the US equity index is one fo the most ubiquitous gauges of investor activity in the world. As for the US 10-year, there is certainly better yielding assets, but most of it is based on a 'prime-plus' and this benchmark is treated as the prime. All that said, this risk/reward gauge seems to have just recently rounded off as the rate regime starts to taper off and volatility start to stir. Longer-term relationship has skewed - a sign of equities ($SPY S&P 500 here) inflating over time and the lack of return in a traditional portfolio one makes in zero rate environments. You can rise the SPY wave or FAANG or meme stocks or crypto to try and get greater return; but it invites ever greater risk relative to the expected returns. Are there any other good 'risk/reward' measures that are both indicative of the global market and simple?
AMEX:SPY
by JohnKicklighter