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Potential ZIM breakout trade setupHere's a trade setup I've been waiting for to get ripe for a while. ZIM: the dividend IPO pump n dump darling. It has some ridiculous fundamentals with currently a book/share of 48.4 and a cash/share of 26.12 along with a crazy 166% dividend: finviz.com It has been following this linear regression trend on the way down, just as well as on the way up. And now it is making a large wedge (orange) that looks to me like it is ready to breakout soon. We also got some positive divergence on the MACD and RSI. There's also a long-term resistance line developed on the RSI that I'm watching as potential resistance. One of the RSI lines will have to be broken in the coming months and I'd expect that'll be a big move in what ever direction that will be. Now as for bearish patterns, it is forming a pattern that looks like a bear flag (blue), so there is the risk of the flag being broken and it continues the trend lower. This one also likes to gap up and down, so there is the risk of stopping out lower than my stop. If it breaks out, I'm hoping for a rally to the low 20s and will exit there, as it will be hitting the top of the regression trend, increasing risk substantially. You can also see there are a lot of bag-holders at that price based on the Fixed Range Volume Profile so they will likely want to sell at those prices. My stop is quite loose at 15.78 since zim is a wild one, and if it's going to be an uptrend, I would not expect it to go much below the previous lows. If my target is reached, I'd then watch on the sidelines to see if it is primed to break out of the regression trend, creating an epic rally. The broader market conditions will have to be in a good situation next year for such an event to happen. I got a bit excited this morning and bought at 17.41, now it is an even lower price, closer to where I originally wanted to buy lol. But the risk-reward ratio I have for myself is 2.55, not too shabby! Note: I chart this with the chart adjusted for dividends because they make such a large impact on the chart and I've noticed that my old zim chart is now all messed up because of this, so the published chart appears to get less accurate as time goes on.
NYSE:ZIMLong
by Lynxys
3
Growth stock's hiatus ?Growth stocks outperform value stocks most of the time on a weekly chart of $VUG / $VTV, Vanguard's growth and value elf's respectively. Since the start of the 2022 bear market that relationship has reversed and, in August 2022, broke both horizontal support as well as a 14 year long diagonal support. These breakouts are being retested now, in January 2023. The outcome can impact both trading and long term investing strategy. For reference: $SPY in the bottom pane. Today's close: 400.35 Fib tool (not formal analysis)
AMEX:VUG
by gb50k
1
Perspective of SOL hodlThe last week was reach of occasions. Situation with FTX really scarad, and looks it will be bankrupt. The SOLANA is big ecosystem that hosts a lot of different projects. The death of SOL will kill each of them. That's why I trust in this token and it will not be equal 0. Market makers would like to make hodlers scary, and they have some sucess looking on chart. But from other side, they make a good price for enter. Sure it can go down till 10 USDT or less, but In case of longterm investments strategy, price will return back. Nice trades all!
Long
by JoFiBaTaL
4
Solar directionalsOrange directionals : Fast recovery to the upside, top out earlier than other possible directionals. The drawback is a risk of longer term decline. At the end, the challenge to the bottom middle blue line might occur here. Increased volatility is due to the distance between top and bottom. Blue directionals : Correction continues to the downside and bring solar stocks back into stable range. The drawback is a reduced ATR. The big positive will be that Solar stocks remains in range upwards that will grow for years. This will allow individual solar companies to compete on a level playing field. Yellow directionals : Solar companies have enough cash on hand and will put the capital to work. The expectation is to keep cost basis about 72.50 for the average investor in order to give investors a chance to reduce their cost basis by mid-summer, or hold the stocks. Caution : The arrows are approximately drawn for education/illustration purpose, and does not mean the prices will arrive at their ends precisely where they are drawn. All arrows may get to their targets early or break to the further upside, or decline to the downside extensively.
AMEX:TAN
by TrustThePhi
I'm still fascinated by the small cap crashI continue to be fascinated by the fact that small caps once retraced their entire post-Covid move. What I mean is, the Russell 2000, which is 2,000 companies that are identified as small cap stocks, had such a terrible year in 2022 that they went BELOW were they were before Covid was ever a thing. But why is this interesting? Because roughly $5 trillion was spent to stimulate the economy in various ways after the first Covid panic occurred. So let's quickly think about that: the Russell 2000 was, at one point lower last year than it was before an extra $5 trillion hit the economy. I continue to wonder what this means: did the market overreact? Is it stagflation? Did the recent rise in interest rates suck that $5 trillion back up? The money supply is shrinking again? There are tons of questions to consider and I also think it's important to wonder if this is still not the end. The following assets have still not yet retraced their covid highs: • Tech stocks and the Nasdaq 100 • The S&P 500 • The Housing Market • Inflation • Price of food • Price of average goods Keep in mind, several other assets have retraced and crashed quite hard including: • Vehicle sales and car prices • Crypto market • Treasuries/bonds So the question remains: is there more carnage ahead or will the market stabilize from here? The Fed does seem to be on a mission to crash food prices, inflation, and by extensions soaring housing. So one must wonder if the policy toward that eventually makes its way back into markets, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100, or if indeed the worst is over and now we are plateauing. Part of me thinks its possible the Fed will get inflation under control while also preserving some of the market gains in tech, S&P 500, and more. Time will tell. So much more to think about.
AMEX:IWM
by scheplick
13
Looking back at equity factors in Q4 with WisdomTreeAfter three negative quarters, 2022 closed with a bang. Equities around the world delivered very strong returns in both October and November on the back of relatively good news on the inflation front. Therefore, despite a negative December, developed market equities gained 9.8% in Q4, and emerging market equities gained 9.7%. This instalment of the WisdomTree Quarterly Equity Factor Review aims to shed some light on how equity factors behaved in this rebound and how this may have impacted investors’ portfolios. Overall factors performed strongly for Global and US investors. Only Growth delivered an underperformance in Q4. Value, High Dividend and High Quality dividend payers delivered the strongest performance in both regions. In Europe, Small Cap stocks performed the best, followed by Value and High Dividend stocks. In emerging markets, Value and High Quality dividend payers delivered the strongest outperformance. Looking forward to 2023, the same issues that drove markets in 2022 remain. While inflation has shown signs of easing, we expect central banks to remain hawkish around the globe as inflation is still very meaningfully above target. In an environment where interest rates and inflation remain high, and volatility of both equities and interest rates is increasing, we continue to tilt toward High Dividend, Value and High Quality dividend payers. Performance in focus: High Dividend and Value finish strong In the fourth quarter of 2022, equity markets posted their first positive quarter of the year across regions. In October and November, markets benefitted from positive inflation numbers and increased hopes for a Fed Pivot or at least a pause in rate hikes leading to a sharp rebound. MSCI World gained 7.2% and 7% in those two months, respectively. However, hopes of such a pivot were dashed quickly, with the Federal Reserve Chair making clear in the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting that he wanted to see “substantially” more progress on inflation before the hiking would stop. This led the MSCI World to lose -4.3% in December. Overall, factors performed strongly for Global and US investors: Only Growth delivered an underperformance in Q4 in US and global equities Value, High Dividend and High Quality dividend payers delivered the best performance across regions but mostly in the US. In Europe, factors had a more difficult time. Small Cap stocks performed the best, followed by Value and High Dividend stocks but Quality, Momentum and Min Volatility delivered underperformance. In emerging markets, Value and High Quality dividend payers delivered the strongest outperformance. In this market, Quality, Momentum and Min Volatility also delivered underperformance. In Q4, the market environment continued to discriminate strongly between Quality stocks. The definition of Quality and the criteria used have hugely impacted the result. Quality, left unattended, tends to tilt toward growth (investors pay for Quality, after all) and would have suffered from that tilt, as illustrated with MSCI Quality (‘Quality’ in Figures 1 and 2). Highly profitable companies and dividend growers have fared better this quarter, as illustrated by WisdomTree Quality. 2022, the year of the dividends Looking back at the whole year, High Dividend has dominated the factor space consistently across the year. It delivered a 13.4% outperformance to the MSCI World and a 15.2% outperformance versus the MSCI USA. In Global equities, Value and Min Volatility completed the podium with 8.3% of outperformance. In the US, the podium is a bit different, with WisdomTree Quality (that is, High Quality dividend payers) finishing second (+11.4%) and Min Volatility and Value coming third and fourth. In both regions, Growth and Quality (with its growth tilt) were the only factors to deliver underperformance. In Europe, High Dividend and Value also dominated the field. Valuations rebounded in Q4 In Q4 2022, valuations rebounded across the board on the back of markets’ positive performance. Small Caps saw the largest increases with +1.7 in Global and European equities and +2.2 in US equities. European and Emerging markets remain quite cheap, leading to factors being cheap as well. Emerging market value is currently priced at a 4.9 P/E Ratio. Looking forward to 2023, recession risk is continuing to rise. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is warning of a recession in the US, a deep slowdown in Europe, and a drawn-out recession in the United Kingdom. While inflation has shown signs of easing, we expect central banks to remain hawkish around the globe as inflation is still very meaningfully above targets. The Federal Reserve made clear in its December meeting that ‘substantially’ more progress will need to happen on the inflation front before hiking stops. The European Central Bank (ECB) projections show inflation is unlikely to reach the 2% target until late 2025, leading to a hawkish turn there as well. The Bank of Japan also surprised markets in December with its own hawkish move. Overall, as we transition to 2023, three questions still remain unanswered from 2022: 1) how sticky will the underlying inflation be 2) how intense will the recession be 3) will we find a solution to Europe’s energy crisis? With markets facing the same issues in 2023 that they faced in the second half of 2022, we continue to tilt toward the strategies that delivered for investors in 2022, that is, High Dividend, Value and High Quality dividend payers. Please note: World is proxied by MSCI World net TR Index. US is proxied by MSCI USA net TR Index. Europe is proxied by MSCI Europe net TR Index. Emerging Markets is proxied by MSCI Emerging Markets net TR Index. Minimum volatility is proxied by the relevant MSCI Min Volatility net total return index. Quality is proxied by the relevant MSCI Quality net total return index. Momentum is proxied by the relevant MSCI Momentum net total return index. High Dividend is proxied by the relevant MSCI High Dividend net total return index. Size is proxied by the relevant MSCI Small Cap net total return index. Value is proxied by the relevant MSCI Enhanced Value net total return index. WisdomTree Quality is proxied by the relevant WisdomTree Quality Dividend Growth Index.
NASDAQ:NQFFUSHY
by aneekaguptaWTE
2
Yen's gains look cappedThe end of an era The global stock of bonds yielding sub-zero yields has been erased at the start of 2023, after peaking at US$18.4Trn in late 20201. The fight over inflation has caused central banks from the US, Europe, UK and across the world to exit their low to negative interest rate policy. Even the Bank of Japan – the world’s last dovish monetary authority- has left the sub-zero club and is inching towards normalisation. BOJ policy shift The Bank of Japan (BOJ) unexpectedly widened its target range for the 10-year Japanese Government Bond yields (JGB) from ±25Bps to ±50Bps at its December 20th meeting. Since then, the surge in 10-year JGB yields has caused a sharp rise of additional fixed rate and fixed amount purchases by the BOJ amounting to ¥17Trn. Market participants are speculating that BOJ will be forced to tighten policy even more in 2023. Political pressure alongside costly intervention forced the BOJ to tweak policy In 2022 – despite the BOJ keeping the Japanese 0–10-year curve fixed, sharply rising yields globally led the Yen to depreciate to a 24-year low, thereby stimulating Japanese net exports. This placed direct upward pressure on Japanese inflation via higher import prices. Japan was no longer able to sustain its yield curve control policy against a backdrop of ever-rising global yields because the interventions it needed to make in its government bond markets to defend the rise in JGB yields were becoming too costly. In addition, pressure from the Kishida administration due to concern about Yen’s depreciation pushing up prices and inflicting further damage on cabinet approval ratings. Yen gains look capped as policy framework likely to be maintained for longer The change in policy prompted the yen to appreciate to ¥130 versus the US dollar, a level last seen in early August. The Yen’s current rally marks a sharp turnaround from last year where investors were shorting the yen owing to the widening interest rate gap between the US and Japan. As illustrated below, an unwind -63%2 in net speculative short positioning helped drive the appreciation in the Yen towards the end of the year. If the BOJ were to make additional adjustments, it could spur further Yen appreciation. However, we feel the BOJ probably wants to keep its modified framework in place for a longer time frame, especially now that Yen versus USD stands at more comfortable levels. This was evident from its announcement of expansion of JGB purchases to ensure yields stay in the new range. Signs that current inflation isn’t sustainable The more concerning reason is wages are failing to keep up with inflation. In November, inflation adjusted pay slide 3.8% which was far worse than October’s 1.2% drop, marking the worst reading in 8 years3. 2023 wage growth depends largely on the results of annual spring negotiations between corporate management and labour unions. We expect bigger raises in base pay this year than in 2022, however its likely to keep up with inflation as the global economy slows. Japanese economy could avoid a recession in 2023 Japan’s inflation is likely to remain low in 2023, resulting in less need to tighten policy further. Japan is likely to avoid a recession in 2023. As it has yet to benefit from the re-opening trade that the Western economies have witnessed over the last two years. Consumption is likely to benefit from the economic re-opening and capex intentions are likely to rise on the back of pent-up demand for goods and services. While goods exports could soften due to the global economic slowdown, services exports are poised to steadily improve throughout the year, led by inbound spending following the lifting of border controls by the Japanese government in October 2022. The government also launched a new economic stimulus package in October to tame inflation and cushion the blow from rising raw material prices which should support the economic recovery in 2023. Factors underpinning the resilience in Japanese equity market performance In the face of the global equity market turmoil in 2022, Japanese equities4 performance has been fairly resilient (-11% versus -20%5 for global equities). Japan generates a large portion (nearly 52.7%6) of its revenues from global markets. So, a weaker Yen supported its profit outlook thereby making Japanese exporters more competitive than global peers. In 2022, a number of companies announced increased dividend pay-out ratios as well as share buybacks, with the intention of protecting shareholder returns amidst the global market volatility. Pay-out ratios rose to 63% from 40%7 at the start of 2022.
CME:6J1!
by aneekaguptaWTE
IDX:PWON 12th JANUARY 2023PT Pakuwon Jati Tbk is an Indonesian real estate developer based in Surabaya and the holding company of the Pakuwon Group. In 2023 the company prepared a budget for land expansion. This year PWON has prepared a capital expenditure (capex) fund. PWON has obtained a fixed price and started installments for land in Batam. PWON will enter new projects such as expanding in Surabaya by adding condominiums, mall infrastructure and mixed use projects such as shopping centers, hotels, and housing for expansion in Batam, Central Java, and Bali.
IDX:PWONLong
by DNP-FX
2
Scott's Miracle Grow WILL GROW!SMG strong buy ratings and solid financials make SMG a good Long Term Buy. The cannabis industry is helping build it's revenue from critical fertilizers and other materials that are it's core business. I honestly believe SMG is a stock that will double in the year. Mark my words Trading View! SMG will be a big winner! Also, buying SMG while it's under it's major moving averages is a much better strategy than waiting for a large break-out and trying to time it perfectly. I think accumulating SMG the next few months is a wise idea.
NYSE:SMGLong
by DontSlamTheDoor
LTC-USD : Assessing DemandI like what LTC could be ahead of its EoY forecasts.... this chart is a quick short term rally. Come Summer time the real festivities kick off. I will be adding LTC to the portfolio. I think its an excellent option for people who feel priced out of ethereum and bitcoin. The demand hasn't even really begun, anticipate steady demand & incremental climbs. Those who understand market will be able to leverage experience. Hypothetically bitcoin could go to 10k and i think consumer confidence would hold current pricing levels. Technicals signal strong buy.... and in discussions w/ peers we're in consensus on how good the return could be for LTC. I could see steady demand intensifying the closer we get too Q4. Temporary cooling periods are getting shorter and shorter. Those who understand Litecoin, will understand why we're climbing in steps. LTC loyalists know what time it is. Circle the months of June, & July.
Long
by BIG-BLACK-CRYPTO
DOG. x1000It's crypto, never say never. Fractionalization is a completely new phenomenon. DOG is backed, you know? The price does not depend not only on utility, you know? It's like bitcoin only in the realm of art. I count it not only x1000... I count it x10000 in the future. Just because it's art, it's the history of the internet... It's the beginning of memes. It's legendary. It's culture. Cyberpunk. Look at volume - this could be a historical price bottom as we tested the resistance line after more than 130 days and bounced off with just wild volume. Smart money is coming, look. Study it . Information is easy to find. Read the history of this and you will understand what I am talking about. At one point it just explode.
DLong
by Tropnik
Litecoin will pass Bitcoin before EthereumA strong position at $70+ and thrusting upward at a weak $85 resistance line, Litecoin spirals up and out of the meme generation. With all indicators looking positive for the crypto industry... We must look to utility in the coming months for profitable gains, I believe, with crypto underdog quietly taking the lead... LITECOIN What we know: - BINANCE:LTCUSDT active (true) market cap is $2.3 billion if you do not include dormant/lost Litecoin from early adoption years. - COINBASE:LTCUSD circulating supply is 1/4 the scarcity of BINANCE:BTCUSDT - BINGX:LTCUSDT Volume / Liquidity is 1/10 of COINBASE:BTCUSD - KUCOIN:LTCUSDT market cap is less than 1/50 of INDEX:BTCUSD - BINANCE:LTCBTC scales BINANCE:BTCPERP on layer 2 using Lightning Network, a high speed / low fee P2P transaction protocol. - COINBASE:LTCBTC competes with other layer 2 protocols such as BITSTAMP:ETH2ETH and BINANCE:MATICUSDT but is wildly undervalued in market cap comparison All things considered, I obviously don't think anything will pass Bitcoin. However I do believe, competitively, Litecoin will outperform it's layer 2 competitors like Ethereum in the coming months/years just on basic fundamentals alone. My price target for Litecoin in 2023: $375 - $3500
Long
by UnknownUnicorn47199281
📉ZBC to test:↓0.008068 or ↓0.005084I have circled January 23rd on my calendar as a date to observe how ZEBEC's price behaves at a certain intersection. As a high frequency trader who is accustomed to volatility and high risk, I am concerned about the lack of price stability. It is essential for the management to clarify their direction. I am puzzled by the unsustainable 300% APY on a 5-day lock-up and 50% on a 30-day lock-up offered. You know who else did that, companies like CELSIUS, VOYAGER, 3AC, and FTX. These token offerings seem more like a liquidity dump to me. Communication needs to be improved as well. Currently, there are two Twitter accounts, one Discord, and six or seven Telegram channels, which makes it difficult to keep track of updates. There isn't enough video content. A more centralized and organized approach to communication would improve social cohesion. I am also not a fan of the "zebec army" mentality. If we are not at war or planning to go to war, why act like an army? The constant farming for engagement and regurgitation of facts has taken away from my enjoyment of the project. Trying to cut through the noise is a minor annoyance, as i am empathetic.... but now we have an "army of ambassadors". To some its semantics, but to me i take it seriously. I like mass adoption w/out self-obstructing hurdles. I applied for the ambassador program, but have not heard back about when it will be implemented or who will be selected. Additionally, I have not received my USDT prize after participating in a giveaway two weeks ago. This has made me hesitant to participate in small giveaways. I only ever do so as a way to test a project's reliability. It seems that I am not the only one who has not been paid out... ZEBEC is currently running on Solana and BSC, but it is not as popular as the recently released memecoin called #BONK. Furthermore, the project has caused issues with GALXE and Cyberconnect, two major web3 schedulers on BSC. Now, the team is working with crew xyz, and after that, Quest or until we build our own... its going to get increasingly difficult to get the message out. I am located in a North America, and am focused on business and growth. However, I have become disenchanted with the way the project is being run. The farmed engagement is bot-like, which has taken away from my enjoyment of the project. I am rather patient, so don't take any of this as being harsh. The parroting is just noise, but its annoying. Perceived criticisms are intended to be guiding directions. As a ZEPOCH Node operator who is committed to the project, last i checked an insignificant number of nodes had been sold. However, I am not able to trade or sell my node until the 30,000th node is sold. While I am not interested in selling nor trading my node, I do have a vested interest in the project and believe that improvements need to be made... I'm hopeful things will turn around, but I'm not expecting an overnight makeover. Of course a bull run could change everything and anything.
Z
by BIG-BLACK-CRYPTO
2