META (NASDAQ:META) Doubts at fair valueHaving some doubts looking for facebook and metaverse in the short-mid term.
I cannot rely on my opinions and I estimate fair value at $158 with my algorithms running on fundamental data and forecast earnings.
Mr Market and the chart have the last word. Watching actual price is at my forecast fair value, also at a strong trendline (weekly chart) and at 0.618 Fibonacci Level.
This is not enough to buy now. Waiting signals on volume still missing and I want to see a strong rebouncing and accumulation.
If a breakdown will occur below the trendline and 0.618 level, my buy value will be close to $128 that is my estimate fair value less my margin of security (15-20%)
Value
How to use Fundamental Analysis in FX.Fundamental analysis is something that's not overly spoken about when it comes to FX trading. Now, a lot of educators and gurus out there recommend you check the FX calendar and you understand when different news events are due as it is important to be risk off during these times. But very few of them actually speak about how you can utilize different aspects of fundamental analysis to actually gain a confirmation bias in trading.
When I'm trading the one hour or 4 hour charts, I like to have some kind of definition or reason behind what I'm actually investing in. Do not forget, we are buying an asset when we're trading, so you are investing into an asset with an expectation of the value going up or down. Now, while some people play the game of probability based on technical analysis, when I am trading these higher timeframes, I do like to have some reason or at least a good idea on why I want to invest in these certain asset. That is where fundamental analysis comes into it. Fundamental analysis doesn't change very often, it flips and turns once every two to three weeks. However, you do notice a trend after a while of picking what you think is the week and what you think is the strong currencies at the time. Movements on the chart tend end up playing out along those lines, so you can increase your win rate by only taking positions that have the same correlation with your fundamental analysis.
In terms of undergoing fundamental analysis there is a wide range of ways to do it. You can read news and you can get an understanding of what experts are saying about different currencies, what the economic conditions are and even factor into the side of where you are based and understand how the businesses are running in your country. You can be more short term bias and you can have a look at what the news has been forecasted over the next week, which can give you an indication in these different news events whether or not experts are forecasting growth or shrinking. Usually, these forecasts are pretty good.
Once you've read through a number of different articles and you start actually reading what different news means, you will start to generate a bit of a picture on whether or not the economy is going strong, whether the economy is shrinking, or whether we actually just sitting neutral kind of cruising. From here you can determine which pairs you want to be bullish on, which pairs you want to be bearish on, and which pairs you just not really looking to trade over the next week. Then you can dive into your technical analysis on those pairs.
There are multiple benefits to fundamental analysis, not only increasing win rate when you get it right, but also increasing your emotional state while in the trade. I know personally when I'm holding onto trades, if I have that fundamental push behind me as well, I tend to hold on a little bit longer and let profits run as compared to what I do if I'm only using technical analysis.
Using fundamental analysis can bring you an extra edge. It can turn odds into your favor as a trader, don't sleep on it is massively impressive on the results you can generate from using fundamental analysis.
XRP - The Most Undervalued Altcoin BY FARHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📉📈
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
When it comes to investing, we can all take a page from Warren Buffet's book - invest for the future potential value and ignore the price now. Warren Buffet made his fortune by spotting great opportunities early , and talking a leap of faith . XRPUSDT is one of those altcoins that show great promise - but maybe not right now. Founded by Ripple in 2012, XRP has a massive advantage over other altcoins - time. With time comes progress, innovation and most importantly : the establishment of a network. Ripple is the only crypto-presence at the World Economic Forum, you will find their CEO (Brad Garlinghouse) on the website of the WEF. That's a great pluspoint in terms of fundamentals.
In the video, we talk a little bit more about technical analysis with the Fibonacci retracement and local support zones.
Spot this bearish fractal on Bitcoin 👀
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More than a correlation coefficient?I am looking very close to NASDAQ:NVDA for years and I am curious, that every time the market goes up, NVDA improves with a steeper angle than the index - at least very often. Of course, the same is true in the reverse direction :-), but nevertheless it looks like some kind of overpressure that makes me believe in this stock in the long run. I don't want to discuss the fundamental reasons, why I think there is still a bright future for NVDA, but it'll be my first project on TradingView to find the right indicator for this overpressure or to implement it. It relates somehow to volatility and together with the correlation coefficient it is a good starting point, but for me it doesn't visualize this kind of price pressure correctly. So let's see, what my first steps in Pine script will yield. Maybe another well-known indicator solves my problem immediately, but again, since I am new to the technical analysis of stock charts, I have no applicable indicator in mind and I first have to dig deeper into all these tools. Any help appreciated!
Crypto101 - What is DeFi & Blockchain ?Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
Whether you've just gotten into crypto trading or you're trying to expand your knowledge on what this space has to offer; this post is for you!
Decentralized finance or DeFi, is a financial ecosystem based on blockchain technology. So lets recap, what Is a blockchain exactly?
Blockchain is a software technology, it is basically computer coding that creates a usable service like an app or website for the public. Most blockchains are entirely open-source software. This means that anyone and everyone can view its code. The first-ever implementation of Blockchain was originally written in C++ (coding language). Blockchain and it's possible use cases was first introduced to the world in the Bitcoin Whitepaper, written by the infamous Satoshi Nakamoto (the pseudonym used by the creator or creators of BTC).
A blockchain is an online database that is shared to many computer networks. This means that if one computer in the network fails, the data is unaffected and transactions carries on. It is not dependent on one single data storage facility. As a database, a blockchain stores information electronically in digital format. A blockchain collects information in groups, known as blocks, that holds many sets of information (like time of transactions, amounts etc.). Blocks have certain storage capacities and, when filled, are closed and linked to the previously filled block, forming a chain of data known as the blockchain. An online database usually structures its data into tables, whereas a blockchain, as its name implies, structures its data into "3D chunks" (blocks) that link to each other. For easy reference and transparency, each block in the chain is given an exact timestamp when it is added to the chain. The revolutionary innovation idea behind blockchain is that it guarantees the truthfulness and security of data and generates trust without the need for a government/private institution to validate it.
Back to DeFi - In centralized finance , your money is held by banks and corporations whose main goal is to make money . The financial system is full of third parties who facilitate money movement between parties, with each one charging fees for using their services. The idea behind DeFi was to create a system that cuts out these third parties, their fees and the time spent on all the interaction between them. Defi is a technology built on top of blockchain - it can be an app or a website for example, which means that is was written in code language by software programmers. It lets users buy and sell virtual assets (like crypto and NFT's) and use financial services as a form of investment or financing without middlemen/banks. This means you can borrow, lend and invest - but without a centralized banking institution. In summary, DeFi is a subcategory within the broader crypto space. DeFi offers many of the services of the mainstream financial world but controlled by the masses instead of a central entity. And instead of your information being filed on paper and stored by a banker, your information is captured digitally and stored in a block with your permission. Many of the initial DeFi applications were built on Ethereum (which is a blockchain technology, but the code is different to Bitcoin's, in other words it operates/works differently). The majority of money in DeFi remains concentrated there.
Lending may have started it all, but DeFi applications now have many use cases, giving participants access to saving, investing, trading, market-making and more. A prime example of such a market is PancakeSwap (CAKEUSDT). PancakeSwap is a decentralized exchange native to BNB Chain (Binance chain). In other words, it shares some similarities with established platforms like UniSwap in that users can swap their coins for other coins. The only difference is that PancakeSwap focuses on BEP20 tokens – a specific token standard developed by Binance .
The BEP20 standard is essentially a checklist of functions new tokens must be able to perform in order to be compatible with the broader Binance ecosystem of dapps, wallets and other services.
PancakeSwap uses liquidity pools instead of counterparties/orders from other traders. A liquidity pool in this context refers to funds deposited by investors – which can be anyone from around the world – into smart contracts for the aim of providing liquidity to traders. With this system, buyers do not have to wait to be matched with sellers, or vice versa. Whenever someone wants to trade one token for another, they simply deposit the token they have into the pool and withdraw the other token they wish to receive. That said, PancakeSwap is not just for swapping coins. You can also take up the role of a liquidity provider (that is, you can deposit tokens in a liquidity pool for the chance of earning a share of trading fees paid by those trading against the pool in question).
Yield Farming is another income-generating opportunity available on PancakeSwap. With this, you can farm for a token called CAKE. So why would you want a token? Tokens are like the money video-game players earn while killing monsters, money they can use to buy gear or weapons. I personally love collecting my Glimmer in Destiny 2. But with blockchains, tokens aren't limited. They can be earned in one way and used in lots of other ways. They usually represent either ownership in something or access to some service. For example, in the Brave browser, ads can only be bought using basic attention token (BAT). I think I'll cover more on this in another post, otherwise this will become a too long read.
Final Thoughts 💭
Even though banks are slow and inefficient (to name only a few of the problems), there is still something that comes with using a bank that crypto cannot (yet fully) offer - guarantees and peace of mind. At least at this point. I believe in a future where blockchain is easily accessible, open but at the same time protects user privacy, transparent, decentralized and safe. But the truth is, we're still far away from that. Blockchain is in its infancy, being used by too many opportunists and crooks. So be careful when you invest in DeFi. The beautiful dream of blockchain still contains too many scammers that have no intention of cutting out banks; instead they want to get to the bank FIRST.
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Mc Donalds. Popular, resilient but overvaluedI’m developing an app using Tradingview data for my stock picking and fundamental analysis.
I get financial data from Tradingview into excel file, producing aggregated statistics and fair value calculation based on estimate of future earnings and discounted free cash flows.
Continuing my search in the best sectors, undervalued stocks that could perform well in the next time. In uncertain times, americans stick with fast food. This stock is popular, resilient, but still overvalued based on my algorithms.
My estimate of fair value is $201 based on forecast earnings and $166 based on forecast discounted free cash flows.
Just I set an alert on the next volume cluster for my reminder
RTN:Lucrative risk reward!They recently agreed to acquire a Mexican style restaurant for £7 mil. With inflation expected to go slightly higher than current levels, consumer spending will definitely go down. Despite this I expect bulls to come in and support the share and catapult it higher from these levels its currently trading at. We are currently close to the all time lows and price action created a bullish formation on the weekly last week.
I look to buy last week's close with ultimate target being the £80.00 zone. Will however take some off the table around the £60.00 zone. Total R is 4.35.
Intel, a falling knife and undervaluedI’m developing an app using Tradingview data for my stock picking and fundamental analysis.
I get financial data from Tradingview into excel file, producing aggregated statistics and fair value calculation basing on estimate of future earnings and discounted free cash flow.
Actual price is near $30 but my estimate of fair value is over $50.
All statistics are ok to me but stock is currently a falling knife and I will wait an accumulation before buying my first position. Next target volume clusters and possible accumulation at $27, $24 and $22.
XAUUSD Bullish scenario H4 TimeframeHey there,
Please first of all note that this analyse is my personal opinion and please do not open any position on that.
Specifically we can see a Strong divergence on H4 timeframe on #xauusd chart. Maybe price see some lows from here but in the end price will go higher because of strong divergences we have.
I will be happy if you share your ideas with me too.
sincerely
Btc Sol usdt usdAmerican Health Information Management Association (AHIMA) – Certified Health Data Analyst (CHDA)®
American Board of Preventative Medicine – Clinical Informatics Certification
Healthcare Information and Management System Society (HIMSS) – Certified Associate in Healthcare Information and Management Systems (CAHIMS)
Healthcare Information and Management System Society (HIMSS) – Certified Professional in Healthcare Information and Management Systems (CPHIMS)
Project Management Institute (PMI) – Certified Associate Professional in Project Management (CAPM)**
DTRUY LONG THE SMART ELECTRIC TRUCK BET$15 before end of 2023. Compared To competitors in the same field daimler has been making trucks since 1896, they have been producing and manufacturing trucks while competitors like NASDAQ:TSLA , NASDAQ:PLUG , NYSE:HYLN and NASDAQ:NKLA don't come close to the years of experience OTC:DTRUY has.
Smarter And Safe Trucks
Daimler will not only be creating electric trucks, they will also be utilizing nvidia's smart driving technology.
Unlike other companies trying to get into the ev trucking business, if Electric trucking turns out to not be a feasible en devour unlike its competitors Daimler is already manufacturing and selling trucks buses and vans across the globe.
Market | Q2FY19 |Q3FY19 |Q4FY19 |Q1FY20 |Q2FY20
Truck Unit Sales (units) |126,474 | 125,382 | 120,745 | 92,468 |57,945
EU30 |19,836 | 19,942 | 21,075 |13,197 | 9,675
NorthAmerica | 54,533 | 53,240 | 45,549 | 35,550 | 20,023
Latin America | 10,215 | 11,569 | 12,139 | 6,996 | 6,208
Asia | 33,982 | 33,550 | 33,382 | 30,651 |17,739
Rest Of the World | 7,908 | 7,081 | 8,600 | 6,074 |4,300
Target Price 19.10
Upside 52%
VZVerizon Communications, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of communications, information, and entertainment products and services to consumers, businesses, and governmental agencies. It operates through the Verizon Consumer Group (Consumer) and Verizon Business Group (Business) segments. The Consumer segment provides consumer-focused wireless and wire line communications services and products. The Business segment offers wireless and wire line communications services and products, video and data services, corporate networking solutions, security and managed network services, local and long distance voice services, and network access to deliver various Internet of Things (IoT) services and products. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in New York, NY.
Etherum 2.0 is COMING... More DetailsHello friends
So finally we will ee ETH 2.0 as soon as posibble.
I want to explain more details about MERGE upgrade
and launch day.
then have a look at some NEWS about ETH 2.0.
lets see again whats Etherum 2.0 and MERGE upgrade?
Ethereum will move from a proof-of-work consensus mechanism to a proof-of-stake blockchain known as MERGE
Right now Ethereum uses the same consensus mechanism as Bitcoin known as proof of work.
This requires miners to validate transactions and keep the network secure.
It is slow, costly, and uses large amounts of energy by design.
Proof of stake is different because it gets rid of miners altogether and uses validators
(people who “stake”—or lock-up—Ethereum to keep the network secure and running).
After the upgrade the only way to create new ETH will be to stake pre-existing ETH on the network
which analysts expect could have a deflationary impact on the cryptocurrency.
Moving to proof of stake will then make Ethereum “99% more energy efficient.
Ethereum Merge expected between 10 and 20 September.
Now lets check some HOT news about this happening:
22 August 2022: CME Group to launch Ethereum options prior to ETH 2.0 Merge
17 August 2022: Coinbase pausing ETH deposits during Merge is ‘not significant’
12 August 2022: Ethereum Merge to take place 15/16 September after Goerli success
I hope this upgrade be successful and after that Vitalik can go ahead
SHARDING mechanism...
More incredible things will be happpen...
just BE patient...
Share me your opinion about this article.
are you like this type of atticles???
so let me know..
thanks
BTC careful buying opportunity?It is difficult to predict the future and I am not trying to. But statistically I can see some signs that have proven to be good buy opportunities in the past - at least for long-term holding.
With the recent negative outlook for the global industry, exploding inflation, ever increasing interest-rates with no easing in sight and an overall picture of a looming several years-long recession, it is not easy to appear bullish, yet we must not forget that these were the times in the past when equities (and so far Bitcoin too) have created the highest gains in the following few years.
This time might be different of course so all my current idea may prove to be a false hope but anyways, let's see it:
1. even non-crypto media is writing about the end times for crypto (just like they used to write about the exploseive strength of cryptos, especially the metaverse and gaming almost a year ago). This has often been a good sentimental sign that most of the selling has taken place.
2. a historically significant past resistance has been retested: the 2018 Jan (then) All-Time-High. These ATH levels tend to be retested before the price goes to new ATH's. Now it has finally happend.
3. In the past, whenever hitting significant resistance levels was accompanied by significantly larger-than-recent-average volume, a bottom was either in or very close in terms of price level - though it sometimes took months for the price to lift off - one could argue that reently there was a double volume-pike and price still continued lower - I think that was because of point 2: retesting the past resistance. As that was only a one-timeATH in2018 and not an otherwise strong support/resistance, I can still see a bearish case for the proce to retest a true S/R level which has held back price on several occasions over a long accumulation period between 10.5k and 12.5k from March 2018 to October 2020 (2.5 years!). That is an area where I am ready to deploy even more capital than at today's price level.
Timing the market is frequently called an unwise strategy - at least in equities market. Whether you do lump-sum invetsing or DCA'ing I think it is a good time to buy an S&P or world-TOP-stocks index fund or ETF index fund or even some well-diversified REIT or REIT ETF.
BUT BTC still has to prove its intrinsic value (it does not create a real cashflow - at least in my experience and price is mainly moved by speculation on future appreciation). I am happy to debate that but crypto is generally still in its infancy, with 99% of the projects in the space being either "nice tries" or outright scams. Crypto assets still need to prove that they have anunreplacable role in the real economy. Very-very-very few prove it indeed but still this does not mean that any crypto is the future Google or Amazon if compared to the dotcom period.
Stay safe out there.
An Option for ZMZM has been on a steep downward trend since stay at home began to lift last year. Now its nearing the IPO stock price with 10x the revenue. We all know it can go lower but perhaps at these prices your considering a position based on its new lines of business and cash stock pile that is ripe for acquisitions. So let's look at a play that can provide a buffer down to pre the IPO price with a fixed 24% yield ( 30% annualized yield ) unless ZM falls more than 24% to below $65.27 . Where we can only start to lose if ZM falls by more than 29% to below $60.94 as of 06/16/2023.
Required Capital: $8470.94
Order
Buy 4 $55 puts
Sell 5 $65 puts
Exp 6/16/23
Limit price: $16.65
DNAA Chamath IPO play- high targetDNAA is one of Chamath ipo’s play that will moon ~ its a very risky play but it worth it
Looking at Monday opening my target are as below:-
1st target 75$
2nd target is 125$
And my 3rd target is 170$
Trade safe ~
The power of 0.5FIB can pump BTC!?Hi Forks This daily chart is so exciting and juicy to enter a Long position with large Level money and risky Leverage haha
Btw we can be patient to watch the way of BTC in these 8 hours, maybe 1 day close can change the market whales decision!
I think at this time, the behave of companies like GOOGLE in market can Seduce the others to Join Crypto and we can see the rise of Crypto and web3
Im so sure to make my long here with ×13 Leverage to 28100:)
I hope you enjoy this bullish mind!!
Good luck
E-MINI S&P500'S SEARCH FOR VALUE15TH OF AUGUST – 1ST ENTRY (ES Futures Contract)
I started to build my swing position by shorting the market at 4275.00. At the moment I’m risking 0.25%. I’m 25 points away from my entry targets. The reasons for an early entry are:
1. Overall weak Market Structure (last 2 month-rally).
2. Weak liquidity on 4 Consecutive Days. This is suggesting me that we might be experiencing a temporary bullish hype by weak hand traders.
3. Gradual build up of my trade. A market that trades against me and goes to 4300 and beyond will allow me to add more size and complete the trade, while improving my average price of entry.
NOTES
4100 – 4150 = it is logical for the market to trade in brackets around a high-volume area, which in this case it was also the fairest price of the instrument (VPOC). The most important aspect of monitoring the VPOC (volume point of control) or fairest price level is the ability to visualise the potential change or no change in the fairest price level. On the 10th of August the market breaks away in an attempt to raise the perceived value of the S&P500.
11th of August – Perfect example of how the markets lie and trading what you see can be dangerous. The daily candle closed as a shooting star and trapped many traders into weak positions making them think it was a possible turning point. I was suspicious due to weak liquidity been put into the market and various volume anomalies. On the next day we have the shooting start violation and therefore a market confirming the fact that we didn’t have any real selling pressure that day, but rather a liquidation due to profit taking of weak hands traders.
4300 – 4365 = This is the area of potential entries. The value of the instrument is out of balance once again, the market can now be attracted to this area where we have significant low volume nodes. Low volume nodes represent past aggressive auctions (aggressive sellers here) which take the market out of fair value. They tend to be rebalanced by the market at some point, just like any other weak/inefficient area. At 4300 we also have obvious/weak highs. Any buying that took place above the fairest price level (VPOC) saw buyers buying price above the fairest price. When this is occurring traders are taking above-average risk , when I trade I like to constantly think in terms of odds. Any selling, relative to the fairest price level, would be considered selling short-in-the-hole or selling price below value. In other words, by going out of balance now (breaking away from the VPOC) we are testing the best short locations. This becomes particularly powerful when contextualised in a particular scenario (like this case) and compared with volume in relation to time and price, market structure and other relevant clues.
For more explanations, please view my previous post, "A Dive Into My Swing Trading Approach (+setup)".
BTCUSDTPERPThis is not sure for 80 % and do your search before you enter in this position and you can do with your money whatever you want to do dont forget to follow me. Go with 0X leverage and the stop loss is less than 2% so if this trade loss we will nit less so much but if this trade going right we will take so much