Value
Markowitz Risk/Reward outlook diverse portfolioHere's a allocated set of decimals based on 20,000 prandom portfolio constructs based on 14 years of data (since recovery after 2008-09 GFC)
This timeline gives us less noise and focuses on the momentum of the current trend.
The final ticker decimals represent % allocation based on optimal reward with minimal risk.
The TRUTH is Pending through BULLISH CYCLESThe truth is pending but my REVERSAL STRADEGY unveils secret truths. Smart Money is playing it out into a rising wedge behind the background. Will it play out this way? maybe it is. They know how we think, if this happens to change then I will update later.
Meanwhile, when it is time for the crash fall, TA data will be accumulating on my end. This data will start printing out in tiny portions the CRASH IS NEAR.
We must understand, that when the crash is near, BITCOIN reads to be in its most bullish conditions which we've never seen before. The world will not stop talking about how bullish Indices, Stocks, and Crypto has been and will be.
I have no doubt many of any sort will be providing feedback to those who listen. These information providers will be on the WHALE's PAYROLL to deceive many to say more than what they shouldn't say and many will follow their advice and just then, the BULLISH FULL MOON will turn into darkness and those who provided feedback, displaying themselves as professional analyst traders, many will not to be found.
Pivot high and pivot low is my strategy, I've retraced. The Ma's work with my pivots. The yellow trend that's dotted is a possible scenario of price movement.
This bullish dragonfly doji has not closed but it's reading out BULLISH MOMENTUM for our coming months.
Beware; after 5 pm Pacific time, a minor downtrend then will reverse, and this may last for some time.
The #1 "PriceAction" Power Strategy I am from watering the garden.Now the time frame for most vegetables to grow is about 31 days.
So in the beginning when you start to water your garden it doesn't look like it will grow.
But the key is to know the Germination time frame.
It's the same with trading.Each position has a germinate time frame and then a harvest period on this chart.
Look at the bull power it's showing you that the bulls are in control of this price action, because it's green and above
The zero line.
For this stock price a buy position is the best analysis according to the" price action power strategy "
This is a new trading system am developing and testing.
Come back within a week to check to see if it went up.
Rocket 🚀 Boost this content to learn more.
⚠️Discliamer: Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies.
What Happened to Walgreens?Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) has essentially crashed. I think many of us know this story, seeing it across cities and towns across the country.
However, based on the recent price action, who knows how much longer this will last. It currently trades at 25+ year lows.
Here are a few key reasons why Walgreens stock is in a free fall:
1. E-Commerce Growth: Walgreens has lagged behind competitors like CVS and Amazon in capturing the digital health and e-commerce market. It may be too late.
2. Weak Earnings: Its latest earnings report showed lower-than-expected revenues, and the outlook for 2024 hasn’t provided much optimism.
3. Debt Load: Walgreens' acquisition of Boots and other ventures has left it with a significant debt burden, making it harder to navigate in this high-interest-rate environment.
Is it a dip buy? I think the debt is too much. There don't seem to be any catalysts.
A story I'll watch a little more closely...
INTEL Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW ?According to the Financial Times, Intel and the United States will finalize $8.5 billion in chip funding by the end of the year.
-(Reuters) - The Financial Times reported on Friday, citing people familiar with the discussions, that Intel and the U.S. government are likely to finalize $8.5 billion in direct funding for the chipmaker before the end of the year.
- The report stated that the negotiations were at an advanced stage, but there was no guarantee that it would be finalized before the end of 2024. It added that any acquisition of all or part of Intel’s (NASDAQ: INTC) business could risk disrupting the negotiations.
Intel and the U.S. Department of Commerce did not immediately respond to Reuters’ requests for comment.
- U.S. President Joe Biden awarded Intel nearly $20 billion in grants and loans in March to boost the company’s domestic semiconductor chip output.
- The preliminary agreement was for $8.5 billion in grants and up to $11 billion in loans for Intel in Arizona, where some of the funding will be used to build two new factories and modernize an existing one.
Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM) has approached Intel to explore a potential acquisition of the troubled chipmaker.
- Once a dominant force in chipmaking, Intel ceded its manufacturing edge to rival Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) and failed to produce a widely desired chip for the generative AI boom capitalized on by Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and AMD (NASDAQ: AMD).
I expect that the price will grow very quickly...
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The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Gold Has Never Been More ValuableYou often hear about equity markets at all-time highs, and some of the excitement in crypto, but today I just have to showcase the recent move in gold.
Gold is at an all-time high today and remains the most valuable asset in the world by market cap. Here are some stats and facts:
Gold's Market Cap: Valued at over $12 trillion, gold is the most valuable asset in the world by market cap.
Central Bank Holdings: Central banks worldwide hold nearly 35,000 metric tons of gold in their reserves, including the U.S., China, and Russia.
Gold as a Safe Haven: During the 2008 financial crisis, gold outperformed most major asset classes, reaffirming its role as a safe haven.
I have more stats and facts to share, but just wanted to share this one to showcase the recent move higher.
Telegram Games==>Share your experiencesToday, I want to talk about Telegram programs or games that are added to their number daily, and share my experiences from these programs or games with you.
I would be happy if you share your opinion or experience with me.
First, the purpose of these programs/games is to introduce the project and their tokens to the users, and for this purpose, they give their own tokens to the users in the form of Airdrop.
Now, let's see what Airdrop means.
What is the Airdrop!?
An airdrop in crypto is when a project distributes free tokens or coins to users' wallets, often as a marketing strategy to promote the project or reward existing holders. Users may receive these tokens by holding a specific cryptocurrency or completing simple tasks.
First, I must say that what has been proven to me in the cryptocurrency market is that the crypto market has had seasons over the years, such as NFT, Metaverse, Memes, Defi, etc. This means that in these seasons, the tokens of each season have increased and received a good reception, and always the first ones in each season gave a good reception and profit to the users, and with the passage of time, their reception decreased, and then it was the turn of scam projects in It has been every season.
I gave these explanations to say that I think we are in the middle or end of Telegram's program/games season. The season began with the BINANCE:NOTUSDT was obtained by tapping to earn and introducing friends. In the Notcoin project, users received good profits.
After the BINANCE:NOTUSDT project, the Hamster game , which is supposed to be listed on September 26 in various exchanges (perhaps the price of each $HMSTR token is equal to $0.01 ), was well received by Telegram users. If the Hamster game is listed at a price of $0.01 in various exchanges, it will disappoint many users because there are few users who have more than 10,000 $HMSTR tokens, and it could be a sign of the end of the season of Telegram programs/games.
How many $HMSTR tokens did you get in Hamster!?
In the coming days, tokens of other games are going to be listed in different exchanges, for example, today the game Rocky Rabbit with GATEIO:RBTCUSDT token was listed in different exchanges, which disappointed all its users.
Now I decided to share my personal experiences with you from some of the trending Telegram games.
Catizen :
Catizen game with BINANCE:CATIUSDT token was listed on 2024 September 20 in various exchanges. Catizen game was the most famous game that was listed in different exchanges after Notcoin, although those who spent money in the game were awarded a good number of tokens, but those who played the game for more than 5 months were awarded a small number of OTC:CATI tokens. which brought the dissatisfaction of the users of this game.
In terms of entertainment, the Catizen game seemed to be boring and time-consuming.
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Rocky Rabbit :
Rocky Rabbit game with OTC:RBTC token is listed in different exchanges today and according to the number of tokens given to users according to the time they spent in the game, it really disappointed its users.
In terms of the game space, the game is very time-consuming, the interesting point of this game was that you had to give 0.5 TON to the game to withdraw your tokens, otherwise 45% of your RBTC tokens would be burned and according to the number of tokens that Users are credited and the price of RBTC token, Rocky Rabbit game is like a scam project in my opinion.
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MemeFi Coin :
Memefi Coin game, which is going to be listed in various exchanges on October 9, 2024.
The gameplay of Memefi Coin is so boring that you have to go through 15 levels. This game has also recently activated in-game payment and you can spend the work of someone who spent several months to go through different levels by paying 23 dollars in one day. I think this game is only looking for income in the last few days.
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There are many games, and if I try to analyze them all for you, you might get tired; let's go to the conclusion.
My analysis of Telegram games is that with the listing of the Hamster game token, we are approaching the end of the season of Telegram games and these games are very weak in terms of entertainment and only take the time of the users and the main winners are the game creators because according to When you play, you will definitely have a low reception, so I advise you to only look at these games as entertainment, although in terms of entertainment, I think these games are of low quality.
And if the Telegram game token is listed, it is better to sell it immediately, because with the passage of time, the price of these tokens will decrease at least for a short period of time, because the users received free tokens and were waiting for the sale of these tokens for several months, and for sure, the selling pressure will be high.
Also, be careful of SCAM programs/games because surely SCAM games will increase as these games become a trend.
In my opinion, the best game that didn't take much time was BINANCE:DOGSUSDT , do you agree with me?
I would be happy to share your opinion and experiences about Telegram programs and games with me in the comments!?
Is there a Telegram game or program that you think has a good future!?
If you can analyze every game below this post like me, this post can be a source for these games.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks
FBU Monthly Fletcher Building On trading halt while they do a $700mil capital raise
Hoping it drops to ~$1.80 ish for a long term buy due to technicals but fundamentally needs a restructure of debt or more equity...
Carrying too much debt from memory due to their residential developments with long cash cycle payments which is problematic when the market stalls and buyers dry up
Basically too much inventory...
Hopefully they can convert some of these back into liquid cash.... and move on and perhaps focus a little more on the commercial projects and building materials that have better cash cycles
Fedex Taking Flight?Fedex took a 10% dip today based on their earnings report on Sept. 19th, 2024. Their profit showed a decline of profit near $382 million year over year. However reading into it, they invested heavily in cost reductions and optimization that should start being evident in the next year or so. Fedex right now seems like an undervalued stock pick. We could possibly see a correction to the Gap Fill Target of 300$ in the next two or three weeks.
Palantir Technologies and a strong look into its FundamentalsNYSE:PLTR is one of the most popular stocks of the last 2 years , and not for no reason being a high revenue growth stock "16.8% Growth Rate" , My personal problem with the stock lays with the valuation holding a PE Ratio of 201x, and a forward PE Ratio of 172.5x, a 20.1x Price to Books Ratio, and a 32.8x Price to Sales (Revenue) Ratio. an interesting Return on Equity of 10% , A Return on Assets of 4.6% , And an Return on Capital Employed of 6.7% , with Net margins of 16.3%. Being Completely "Debt" free according to there Balance Sheet
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Valuation:
PE Ratio: 201x
Forward PE Ratio: 172.5x
Price to Sales: 32.8x
Price to Books Ratio: 20.1x
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Balance Sheet:
Cash: US$4.00b
Debt: US$0
Equity: US$4.14b
Total Liabilities: US$1.05b
Total Assets: US$5.19b
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Strengths and Weaknesses:
The Valuation to me personally is a weakness, however the Balance sheet is a Strength in my view. I think based on the price I currently would wait to add this one to my own portfolio however all investors and traders are different.
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Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Palantir Technologies) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may pose different risks and overall be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this idea or any idea. Please be careful! this post is only for conversation.
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Idea:
Jinko Solar .... a 10-Bagger in Front?NYSE:JKS
In my Eyes Jinko Solar could be one of the next 10-Baggers (not an investment advice):
Positive:
Sales up 420% in 6 years, but stock ist down 81% (!)
Profit pretax 2023 was higher than Market Cap now (!...!)
Dividend 2023 was 4%
Price to sales only 0.06 ..... (!)
Price near IPO of 2010 (!)
Almost always proftable!
Return on Equity and ROIC always positive!
Worldmarket Leader Solar WITH 16B sales
Several Factories around the world, also in US (in case of more Import taxes in US).
Solar will boom extremly in coming years as there is no cheaper Source of energy now!
With Solar and Wind you need NO Fuels(!) All other source of energy will need something like Gas, Uran, Oil, Coal etc. PERMANENTLY and Solar Panels last min 25 years with almost NO maintenance costs!
All drivers of EV dream of having own Solar on Roof to drive free without paying for Gas!
And EV will be the major share vehicles on the streets in comming Years WHICH WILL BOOST SOLAR IN TANDEM!
Negative:
Not much loved Chinese Stock
Closely held by management is only 0.48%
Net Dept 3.75B
FCF negativ past years (!)
Very competitive Solar Rooftop Market with maybe toooo many suppliers
DERO is extremely undervalued.DERO a homomorphic encrypted blockchain with secure and private smart contracts is truly one of it's kind.
With a fast 18 second block time, being a layer 1 private decentralized application platform with instant syncing and fast transactions DERO is extremely undervalued.
The blockchain is relatively new and is in it's alpha stage which means there will be lots of future development coming.
Recently TELA is launched, TELA enables the secure and decentralized storage of application files on DERO's blockchain using smart contracts.
This makes the DERO protocol capable of hosting true WEB3.0 decentralized webApps.
Welcome to the future!
How High/Low Could The US Election Day Send Us?CRYPTO:BTCUSD New visits to lower levels are highly expected, as that would constitute a continuation of the short-mid term downtrend we are in. Keep cash on the sidelines to progressively accumulate and give yourself some peace of mind. Finding liquidity at around 40k before a big run pushed by new debt is a real possibility, count on it and be prepared for that scenario. Remember DCA is king because Time on the market is. ♥
NAVA LTD - A Diversified Investment OpportunityCore Business:
- **Metals:** Nava Limited is involved in the production of ferro alloys, including Silico Manganese Alloys and Ferro Silicon. The company operates ferro alloy plants in Telangana and Odisha, India.
- **Energy:** The company has a significant presence in the energy sector, primarily through its subsidiaries such as Nava Bharat Energy India Limited (NBEIL) and Maamba Collieries Limited (MCL). These entities operate power plants, including a 150 MW plant in Telangana and a 300 MW plant in Zambia.
- **Mining:** Nava is engaged in coal mining, particularly through MCL in Zambia. The mining division also explores other minerals like magnetite ore.
- **Agribusiness:** The company has ventured into agribusiness, focusing on avocado plantations in Zambia. This project is managed by Nava Avocado Limited.
- **Emerging Businesses:** Nava is diversifying into healthcare services, especially in Singapore and Malaysia, and other innovative business initiatives.
Global Hue:
- **Geographical Presence:** Nava has a global footprint with operations in India, Zambia, Singapore, Malaysia, and Côte d'Ivoire. This global presence is a key aspect of its business strategy, enabling the company to leverage diverse markets and resources.
- **International Subsidiaries:** The company has several international subsidiaries, including Nava Bharat (Singapore) Pte. Limited, Maamba Collieries Limited, and Nava Resources CI, which facilitate its global operations.
Investment Perspective
Qualitative Analysis:
1. **Diversification:** Nava's diversified business portfolio across metals, energy, mining, agribusiness, and emerging sectors reduces dependence on any single market, making it a more stable investment.
2. **Financial Performance:** The company has achieved significant financial milestones, including becoming long-term debt-free and reporting record revenues and profits. This indicates strong financial management and resilience.
3. **Operational Efficiency:** Nava has demonstrated operational efficiency improvements, such as cost optimization in its metals and energy segments, which contribute to its profitability.
4. **Sustainability and CSR:** The company's commitment to sustainability and corporate social responsibility (CSR) aligns with global ESG standards, which can attract socially responsible investors.
5. **Innovation and Adaptability:** Nava's ability to adapt to market challenges and innovate across its business segments is a positive indicator for long-term growth.
Quantitative Information:
1. **Revenue and Profit:**
- **Consolidated Revenue:** `3,818 crores for FY 2023-24, a YoY growth of 8.2%.
- **Consolidated Profit:** `1,256 crores, the highest in the company's history.
2. **Financial Metrics:**
- **EBITDA Margin:** 46.9% for FY 2024, indicating resilience in consolidated operations.
- **Debt Repayment:** MCL repaid long-term debt of US$ 314.4 million, making it debt-free.
3. **Segment Performance:**
- **Metals:** Despite challenges, the segment demonstrated resilience with strategic shifts to Ferro Silicon production.
- **Energy:** NBEIL's 150 MW plant operated throughout the year, supported by bilateral contracts and remunerative tariffs.
- **Mining:** MCL's coal sales increased by 35.3% YoY, contributing to free cash flows.
4. **Dividend Payout:**
- **Dividend:** Recommended dividend of 200% (`4.00 per share of `2/- each) for FY 2023-24.
Risk Analysis
1. **Market Risks:**
- **Export Market Fluctuations:** The metals segment faced reduced demand in the export market, affecting realizations.
- **Competition:** The mining division faced competition from newly opened coal mines nearby.
2. **Operational Risks:**
- **Raw Material Handling System Breakdown:** The Odisha operations experienced a breakdown in the raw material handling system, affecting production.
- **High Coal Costs:** The 114 MW power plant in Telangana faced high coal costs from Singareni Collieries, impacting generation and sales.
3. **Regulatory Risks:**
- **Compliance:** The company must comply with various regulations, including those related to environmental and social governance.
4. **Financial Risks:**
- **Loan Repayments:** Delays in loan repayments from subsidiaries, such as NBEIL, though managed within the group, could impact credit profiles if not managed carefully.
Value and Growth Investment
**Value Investment:**
- **Debt-Free Status:** Achieving long-term debt-free status at both standalone and group levels enhances the company's financial stability and reduces risk.
- **Consistent Dividend Payout:** The company's policy of consistent dividend payout provides a stable return for investors.
- **Operational Efficiency:** Cost optimization and efficiency improvements across segments contribute to sustained profitability.
**Growth Investment:**
- **Diversification and Expansion:** Nava's expansion into new sectors like agribusiness and healthcare, along with its global footprint, offers potential for future growth.
- **Innovation and Adaptability:** The company's ability to innovate and adapt to market challenges positions it for long-term growth.
- **Strategic Initiatives:** Initiatives such as backward integration in mining and the development of new products in the metals segment are expected to drive future growth.
Overall, Nava Limited presents a balanced profile for both value and growth investors, with its strong financial performance, diversified business portfolio, and commitment to sustainability and innovation. However, investors should be aware of the operational and market risks associated with the company's diverse business segments.
WARNING: LAST WAVE BULL RALLYThis is part of my algorithm, I consider many more factors when studying SMART MONEY MOVEMENTS, view my arrows for guidance. We're in an uptrend based on volume. My MA will start moving downwards based on uptrend volume.
TA reads BEARISH but that's not what I read.
Where will the uptrend end? That's up to the whales. There are plenty of BAITs for retail traders. Many will know when to get out. Do you?
As the MA downtrends for an uptrend, the MA move-up means there will be a CRASH FALL.
Value Investing at its FinestThanks to trading view, we do not have the capability to create groups specially for value investing. In the Indices group, I mentioned ALTM and lithium prices and its analysis of global demand and geo political factors.
People laughed at my idea and the bears came hunting on the group.
China has shut down a lithium plant leading to 8% decline in lithium production in the country which led to US lithium stocks soaring.
Value investing at its finest - only at Foxx Invest.
Feel free to DM me for value investing discussions. No charity. Trade an idea and analysis for an analysis and idea.
Feel free to see my previous ideas and check out their performances. No 15000 lines on a chart trying to outguess the other guy in a crowd of millions.
Simple, easy, detailed analysis leading to returns which you can see for yourself in all my ideas.
Never doubt the Foxx