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MED - underrated stock?Hello my dear subscribers Finally I am back with new investing candidates. Today we will talk about Medifast Inc. It is personal services company, which made own product OPTAVIA for peoples, which want change their lifestyle and habbits on healthy and strong. Levels for entry are here: From 1-year profile we have 2 levels. First level is at 188.42 to 197 USD. That is lower part of market profile and price haven't fallen lower. And from that levels price jumped up. Here we can buy stocks with cheaper prices. Second level is at 223 to 235 USD. That was most popular price with biggest volumes and value for market. It is chance to breaking POC to grow up - it can be positive for both swing traders and long-term investors. Ok, now reasons - why I am thinking that MED will grow fine(source - Guru Focus service)? First: all 2018-2021 year company acts good with good financial result. Net margin is 11,18% and operating margin has meaning 14,67% ROE has meaning 91,53% Last 3 years EPS growth at 56% - which is unique for that industry. And here is no manipultion with financial results. Medifast Inc DO NOT provide activity, which is unusual for that industry. Second: really stable financial situation Low debts (10%), enough cash to pay for debts, high interest coverage and extremely high meaning ROIC (274%) cause strong financial stability for Medifast Inc. Third: well organized business Company works with clients directly, without any third parties. And allow work from home for couches and sellers. This new organization caused 92% of sellings. Company has good PEG ratio (0,44) and fast-circling product. Medifast Inc continue to buyback her stocks and makes strong investing in growth. In official statements Medifast Inc plans to move on Asia-Pacific markets. Strongest points are Hong Kong and Singapour. They are reasons, why at my opinion price and value of the company will grow after new year. So just expecting financial statement 10-K at 31 december.
NYSE:MEDLong
by ValueInvest_Pro
SIMCORP A/S | UNDERVALUED | MARGIN OF SAFETY 47%Hello investors! It has been a while since I posted my latest investing idea/opprotunity. I have been researching SIMCORP A/S for a while now. For my intrinsic value I used a formula from "RULE 1 Investing" by Phil Town. I have calculated 3 differend intrinsic values for 3 differend scenarios. Optimistic: 1999,61 kr Neutral: 1282,01 kr Pesimistic: 837,64 kr Actual value at the moment: 678,40 kr This gives us a margin of safety of the neutral scenario of 47 %. I would recommend to put STOP LOSS and TAKE PROFIT in the areas shown, but maybe consider the stock to be a long term buy, given the undervaluation, that you do not see often these days. This makes SIMCORP A/S seem like a nice buy. In 2020 the stock value and company revenue has dropped by a lot, but looking into 2021 data gives me a strong confidence, that the stock should grow in the future. I would like You to give any kind of feedback on my idea and maybe point out any flaws within the company, that can lead to stock price drop. I wish you all successful investing!
SLong
by JanMachacek
1
ALIBABA BOUNCE FROM TREND LINE Alibaba oversold - RSI is low, historically this has preceded growth. P/E and P/B are low compared to other industry players and historically. Stochastic RSI was also down so tomorrow may be good for a buy. Debt to equity ratio decreasing. despite a bit of increased dept from a few Quarters ago. Let's see what the next few days bring, likely will open a buy position. I will update with TP levels. Hope you enjoy the idea. Let me know what you think below, anything to add or that I miss? Good day to you
NYSE:BABALong
by SaucyLettuce
4
ROOT - Daily - Break or No Break?1. Indicators: RSI, MACD, and KDJ is well setup for a run. 2. Price and Volume just looks like the hulk wanna break out. HOWEVER 1. financially pessimistic numbers and weak earning power 2. the past price performance is with doubt it will ever perform 3. the general "BIG TREND" is a downtrend, the consolidation started Aug 13 might just be a correction of the "BIG TREND" If I were to play this, (in my opinion): -Buy shares sell covered calls. -option premium is great at the moment. -sell some puts?
NASDAQ:ROOT
by stockjanitor
MOMO - Monthly - Value Trap? or Value Buy?1. Price has entered the 2015 level 2. RSI Flattening out 3. MACD is crossing below -0 (personally i think is unreliable) 4. Volume is above average from Sep 2020 5. KDJ is at bottom 6. Financial Reports are positive net income with attractive PE 7. Market comparison with Tinder is just a huge discount, 8. although it is a Chinese company which has political risk, the political risk discount seems included at current price. 9. ~ 4.5% annual dividend for a tech
NASDAQ:MOMO
by stockjanitor
5
Is IBM the Next Oracle?A lot of people forget about International Business Machines. However the 110-year old tech giant’s chart has some interesting patterns. First and most important is the series of higher lows since early July. IBM has been trapped around the same $144 area where it bounced on June 21. That combination (higher lows + resistance) has produced a bullish ascending triangle with breakout potential. Also notice how the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and 100-day SMA closely match the top and bottoms of the ascending triangle. The current squeeze is so tight that Bollinger Band Width has narrowed to its lowest reading since January 2020. This could add fuel to a breakout. Finally, don’t forget about Oracle. The lumbering software giant broke out this year after its Cloud business improved. IBM gapped higher after showing similar progress its last two quarters. With a 12x forward P/E and price/revenue under 2x, it could also benefit from sentiment shifting toward value stocks. TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
NYSE:IBMLong
by TradeStation
1
Nasdaq Shows Signs of Fatigue as Cyclicals GainThe Nasdaq-100 has led the broader market since early June, but now the tech-heavy index is showing signs of fatigue. First, consider its falling MACD over the last four weeks. That’s occurred as the index struggles around 15,000, a sign of bearish momentum developing. Second is the waning relative strength versus the S&P 500. NDX is starting to lag at the same time cyclicals like financials and industrials start to gain. That suggests money could be shifting back toward “value” and away from “growth.” This pendulum has swung a few times in the last year. Now could also be a logical time for it to happen again because bond yields are rising and Big Tech earnings have passed. Speaking of Big Tech earnings, several major NDX members suffered technical damage in their last quarterly results. Amazon.com and Facebook gapped lower (and have yet to recover). Netflix is flying a potential bearish flag. Even Apple failed to break out on a stellar quarter. Overall NDX isn’t explicitly bearish, but investors may be getting ready for another rotation back toward smaller and more cyclical stocks. Big growth names could get sold to make room for financials and industrials. TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
TVC:NDQ
by TradeStation
2
Do you have Diamond Hands? Check out NXRP's Volatile Reversal...NRXP is in for a wild & volatile ride where it may reverse & double in value or even more. Technicals support a reversal over weeks with a current strong trend on the daily. Fundamentals are strong; F-Score is 9 & they just had some major news catalysts including a COVID-19 Treatment drug. High risk with potentially high reward: up to a 25% drawdown and a potential 100+% gain leading to a 4:1 risk to reward ratio. With a ~30% short interest this could be a wild ride like GME or AMC. Risk management by day trading may be possible.
NASDAQ:NRXPLong
by jsgiardino
Best Deep-Value Large-cap Growth play - Alibaba (BABA)Macro Reasons -China has a population of 1.3billion VS US's 0.33 Billion, about 4x more -Rising Chinese middle class with a growing disposable income -It is estimated that China's GDP is set to overtake the US in 5-8 years Fundamentals Reasons -With 56% of the e-commerce market share in China and a growing e-commerce pie, Alibaba is poised for greater growth in 5-10years -Supported by Cainiao logistics to enable efficient e-commerce delivery and Alipay to complete its transactions/funding for their merchants, it forms Alibaba's iron triangle to capture a large market share in the e-commerce related space. -Dominant Cloud player at 40% market share, this segment just turned profitable recently and will contribute to its growth strongly like Amazon's AWS (30% margins) Valuation FCF: 26Bil USD per year i.e 9.6 USD per share (2.711 Billion shares outstanding) 20X multiple(Bottom valuation) : 192 USD per share 25X multiple(Bottom valuation) : 240 USD per share Net Cash of 20 USD per share (462bil RMB Cash - 115bil RMB Debt = 347 RMB Net Cash = 54bil USD net Cash ) Fair Value at current conditions = 212 USD per share (20X FCF) - 260 USD per share (25X FCF) FCF 10 years later: 9.6 USD *4.04 (15% CAGR for 10 yrs) = 38.78 USD per share 20X multiple (10% discount rate - 5% perp growth): 775 USD per share +20USD net cash =795 USD per share 795/215 (Current share price 14th June 2021) = 3.70X in 10 years* i.e 14% CAGR *Very conservative estimate of 15% CAGR FCF & terminal multiple of 20X, also assuming all FCF are re-invested in other biz and not distributed via dividends/ buybacks Technicals Seems like it is at its bottom after a 30% slump in its share price, touching a very strong upward sloping support line indicating the bottom is near. Incidentally, it corresponds with the bottom valuation of 212 USD per share (20X FCF + net cash). Addressing Risks Risks of VIE structure & CCP risk are unfounded, one can easily exchange its ADR for the equivalent HK shares at the ratio of 1ADR:8 HK shares and Alibaba is too big to fail for the CCP. The recent USD2.8 Billion fine on BABA is only 4% of revenue and not as dramatic as the 30% slump in BABA's recent valuation (from $310 to $211 per share). Also, the CCP has recently approved Ant Group’s new license to operate Chongqing Ant Consumer Finance, in which it has a 50 per cent stake. This indicates that the CCP doesn't want to tear down Alibaba but rather work towards a more successful China together.
NYSE:BABALong
by FIRE_CAPITAL_SG
1
Oh RATS!! 🐀Well mice actually... 🐁 There is mouse plague going on in parts of Australia right now, and I suspect we may find the Australian Government turning to pest control companies to help get things under control. Fundamental news like this can drive prices abruptly on announcements of partnerships, larger orders, etc. I went long today on the company, SNES. I made my decision of the Weekly chart. What I'm seeing that I like. Location, it is at the very bottom of its range. There is evidence it has found a bottom by strong support over months, almost a year. Price just accepted back in to value in the VP, and I wouldn't be surprised if we see a return to $2.50 if not higher (contrarily, the bottom could fall out and it goes to 0). There are converging moving averages. OBV looks great! Huge spike of green buy volume within the last two months. MACD is positive, and there is a bullish divergence. It appears to be coming out of oversold. I entered at $1.68, and because it is just a nibble (pun intended), I'm risking my position to 0. I will self half my position if and when it doubles at $3.36, and let the rest run. Fundamentally: Low outstanding shares 12.16M No debt Some Insider Own 355.22% Institutional Trans finviz.com You can read more about the company on their home page here: senestech.com NASDAQ:SNES
NASDAQ:SNESLong
by Cryptough
1
IQ Apparently in Wycoffian Terminal Shake Out (compare Silver)Introduction Bitcoin's recent markdown has put Wycoff and Distribution on a lot of new traders radar as well as investors who have not had to deal with this kind of pattern recognition. There were a lot of people that thought that it looked too picture perfect so disregarded it, Guess what? They were taken the most by surprise and I know what it is like to be there because I was there 3-4 years ago when I had problems believing in TA because so much of it so so bad. That leads to good news on IQ as IQ appears to be in Terminal Shake out and it is looking picture perfect. I have marked out the lower end of the action and have left the top alone because I think the indicators have done a good job showing that resistance. The volume on the final stage of the shake out is lower than what took us edge to edge on the bollinger band and value VPVR value area and this low volume helps us see that sellers are approximately exhausted. Another way to confirm the fact that the selling was relatively low volume is the Value Area did not move down. Much like a slow but persistent sell off can slowly bend a bollinger band lower and lower it can also drag the value area down. I have been watching IQ for a couple of years now and have a couple of posts. My last post was bullish and I was going to update it when I bought some calls and I never pulled the trigger. This time is a bit difference. I have the stock and I have some OTM calls already on the books. It might go lower somehow but my entry this week is pretty solid for a long term hold and I hope to trade the options like a degenerate. Indicators I have put the monthly bollinger band on the weekly chart to show that price actin has gone below the monthly bollinger band. That is a very solid entry point if you generally have any faith in the long term outcome of an asset. Price has also gone below the Volume Profile Value area which contains +/-1 standard deviation of volume by price. When price goes out of the Value Area to the downside when it recovers you often see price actin go coast to coast and end up at the top of the value area. If price action is as bullish as I expect price can hop out of the limits of the BB and VPVR Value area as you can see in silver. From there price would enter into a multi-month re-accumulation. The On Balance Volume with EMAs also has a bollinger band that I often don't show in my posts because if it isn't needed it just adds visual distractions. But the circles have shown times were a green week after a massive sell off has kinked the OBV at the bollinger band and price action has recovered. If you look at the second blue circle you can see how above the Volume Profile Visible Range moved down. That means the sell off hit a tipping point and was significant to move the whole visible range down roughly $5. That VPVR has not moved down in such a serious way with this dump. Silver Below is silver with the bollinger band and VPVR during the "Covid crash" and we can clearly see that buying with price action below both was a fantastic entry for a trade or investment. You should have the tools from the main chart to see all the key points of Accumulation. And I roughly expect something similar to happen with IQ. A rather quick move to or above the Point of Control and then a massive spike in price. I have not used the On Balance Volume because silver futures are a different beast with a different history. Fundamentals and Conclusion I think IQ has a very strong chance of behaving like silver did after its dump, so I bought some. Silver sold off for no good reason, as it didn't lose its industrial or intrinsic value and it is not like you can spread a virus by contaminating a silver mine and IQ sold off because some over-leveraged hedge fund degenerate couldn't answer his margin call, his stuff got liquidated and the momentum traders took this way too low. There was earnings a couple of days ago and it seems that the company can turn a profit within like, 5 years. Look at Facebook and Netflix below and how long it took these companies to have their stock clear the high of their first month of public trading. There is going to be a shake out off the weak hands. My only concern is a rout in tech stocks could take this lower but so far it is doing well.
NASDAQ:IQLong
by This_Guhy
3
Cloud-computing vs crude oil: Lessons in a Dramatic ChartOne of the biggest events in the history of the Dow Jones Industrial Average happened last August when Salesforce.com replaced Exxon Mobil as an index member. A 21-year software company elbowed out a transnational giant tracing its origins to John D. Rockefeller and the dawn of modern capitalism. Despite the stunning endorsement, things haven’t worked out so well for CRM since then. Its shares peaked above $280 one week later and then turned lower. (That was a giddy moment for growth stocks because Apple and Tesla had just split their shares.) Additionally, TradeStation analytics show that CRM has gone 172 sessions without a new 52-week high. That’s the longest for any member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. XOM, in contrast, hit a new high yesterday. It’s a good lesson in froth and exuberance: Just when it seems things can never go wrong, it’s often a sign of the top. Other adages that could apply are "buy the rumor, sell the news," or "be fearful when others are greedy." The chart above compares CRM to XOM since they traded places in the Dow. Notice how XOM lagged for a couple more months but then ripped higher after November 9’s vaccine news ignited the reopening trade. Switching to CRM's candlestick chart below, some challenging patterns may have emerged. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) slid beneath the 200-day SMA on March 22, resulting in a “death cross.” Next is the descending channel in place since the peak in early September. If that trend continues, it could imply move toward $180. TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
NYSE:CRM
by TradeStation
15
Halliburton Squeezes Toward a Breakout as Oil RalliesEnergy is coming to life again as the economy reopens. Let’s take a look at oil-field service provider Halliburton, which has a few interesting chart patterns. First is the downward-sloping trendline running along the highs of March and April. HAL closed above that resistance yesterday for the first time. Second notice the tight range on the weekly chart, with a bullish inside candle last week, which it’s now escaping. Next, HAL’s MACD crossed to positive yesterday. Finally, consider how the stock has completed an ABC correction since March. TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
NYSE:HALLong
by TradeStation
Potential for over +700% return ?! $GNW (Genworth Financial) is a stock that I purchased recently at $3.51 per share Company has formed a flat base in the stock price in recent years but i feel its massively undervalued The book value per share is up at $30 and we have the following data: Free cash flow = 1.96 billion Total cash = 3.31 billion Total debt = 3.64 billion So debts are perfectly manageable with the cash they have and the nice positive cash flow coming in on top of that. the net asset value of the business is nearly 10x higher so this company looks massively undervalued to me. If we are able to reach the $30 per share target that would be a return of over 700%
NYSE:GNWLong
by BenSparham
1
Bank of America BAC Bearish CrabBank of America (BAC)... this company is found in Warren Buffet's Portfolio and once it becomes a bargin price it will be found in mine too. I follow the advice layed out by The Oracle of Omaha. The company financials are very weak from a value investors point of view. The total revenue has been flat line at best for the past decade and when your operating income eats up 74% of your total revenue thats a problem. I always try to remember the law of depreciating return which is "you get back less than you put in." Warren Buffet always says "its easier to take 100,000 to a million than to take a billion to 100 billion. I mean the company is absoultly massive with 2 Trillion dollars in assets?!?! So, I guess the Value invstor needs to look at other things when considering Bank of America. I dont forget that major banks created these mortgage bonds back in 2008 that imploded when the real estate market crashed, so i have to dig deeper into where the assets are coming from. However their EPS has been growing at a decent rate over the past decade so thats also a plus. Their total ratio (becasue they do not report current assets and curret liabilities) is a 1.14 which if using a a current ratio thats real good (not exceptional but better than just plain "good") They are currently undervalued by the Ben Graham Formula (revised) by 61%. Which is a real good thing as well. They pay an annual dividend of 1.75%, but i am not sure if theyre an S&P aristocrat or not. Overall, based on what i have read based on Marry Buffets books and listening to videos of Warren Buffet himself i would grade BAC ( Bank of America Corp.) a C+ company which I would hold only for a few years up to 5 years max. Dont get me wrong the company is NOT going anywhere, so if youre looking to hold just to hold to sound trendy and chic amongst your friends then sure, but it is not going to be your star player, but more like your practice squad ...just a great supplemental. the technical side is the Bearish Crab. the grey box is the PRZ with a 3.618 projection of the BC leg, a 1.618 of the XA leg and 2.0 fibo extension of the ABC legs. if youre looking for a decent bargain then wait for Price to reach the pink line which is .382 of the whole pattern and if youre looking for a great bragain then wait for the .618 of the entire pattern. Seeing how the market is flowing at the moment i would probably buy at the .382 of the retrace anything lower than that there might be mass hysteria of a market "crash" which is honestly a very much needed correction for the stock market. But a good deal is better than no deal. I dont publish often my investing ideas as my investing is vastly different than my speculation ideas. If you guys want to know more about my investing ideas please let me know in the comments. I know value investing is not as flashy as speculating, but the longevity of investors is far greater than that of any speculator; moreover, it is of dire importance to know the difference of speculation and investing.
NYSE:BACShort
by ARegularGuy
JPMorgan Chase Could Be Coming to LifeJPMorgan Chase has snoozed since its big November-February rally. But now it may be getting ready to move again. The first pattern on the chart is the downward trendline running along the highs of March 18 and April 12. It’s breaking that resistance today. Next are the series of candlesticks last week. Notice how prices tried to close at the low but each day snapped back to close at the high. This suggests buyers outnumber sellers. The fact it happened at the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is potentially bullish. Third, price action has been very dull for the last month. Just look at how Bollinger Band Width is holding the bottom of its longer-term range around 5 percent. That kind of consolidation above the December 2019 peaks could be turning into a high basing pattern with price acceptance in new record territory. Finally, intermarket trends may favor JPM. Bond yields have consolidated as the economy recovers. Both situations favor banks and financials. Key ETFs tracking the sector like KBE and XLF are also trending higher. Once we get past Big Tech earnings, focus could return to value stocks like the banks. TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
NYSE:JPMLong
by TradeStation
ET, Energy Transfer, Tickets PleaseET, monthly, energy value play: The current monthly bullish engulfing candle patter within the right ellipses appears to repeat an identical, bottom reversal candlestick pattern from 2009 (yellow+orange). Strengthened by the local Adam Eve double bottom , bullish divergence makes case for Fibs targets & the measured move validates 1.272 overhead extension. Get paid along the way. Remember this is the monthly, so the idea here is a slow and low setup with easy risk management and excellent profit exposure.
NYSE:ETLong
by WhoLetTheBullsOut-
NLG/USD Awakens from Bearish Hibernation; Last stop: ValhallaThis project is one of the best kept secrets in the entire crypto space. While people chase after DOGE which has over 120B coins and very little development and only rises because of the Musk Effect, Gulden's current supply is ~0.475% of DOGE's...which makes the NLG supply *closer to BTC's supply than DOGE's supply is to Gulden's* ...yet DOGE is 4x the price of Gulden?! Think about that for a while. In terms of "Value Investing", one might say that NLG's eventual and much-deserved appreciation will make DOGE's rise look modest by comparison, especially when you take into account NLG vs. DOGE current price per exchange volume in relation to aggregated available supply. There are folks selling dozens of millions of DOGE at 5 cent, meanwhile there are less than 5 Million NLG *that are even available to be bought from the order books*--That's how scarce NLG is since a significant percentage of the supply is locked into the Witnessing protocol that rewards holders which makes NLG objectively one of the safest, longest standing and efficient blockchains available. It just needs more promotional traction from popular influencers and a handful of fat cats to start entering the fray... and the price discovery that could occur for Gulden would (once again) bring the spotlight onto the vibrant fintech environment in which it can begin to flourish as a store of value and resume its status as one of the top merchant-centric and user-friendly cryptos available. Green lines signify structural avenues within the incoming bull market. Short term: look for consolidation in the 0.012-0.015 range to solidify and a break toward the recent local high of just over 2 cents. Medium term: If it violates the 0.0225-0.025 zone and breaks noticeably back above this nearly 3 year price resistance at this level, look for another doubling effect up to 4-5ish cent range and around here another raucous consolidation hangout between the former resistance of 0.025 and 5 cent is likely. If we start flooding past 5 cents, then another doubling effect will likely occur. Long term: 10-15 cents then becomes the next logical trading range for NLG to re-establish (since it traded in this zone for over a year between late 2016-early 2018 in the prior bull market in its early development phases, now it's way more seasoned). Longer term: NLG Will eventually challenge prior ATH again (30x from here) and could even breeze past it the more capital inflows amplify and stay within the crypto sector, which appears likelier by the week at this point.
NLong
by doxoliday