MYEG VCP (Huge Base)Happy New Year everyone. Just got back from year end vacation.
Have been following MYEG since Nov 2021 (link below), pull back after attempt breakout. (50% of the time pull back will happened in stock market), our job is to monitor if the pull back is a healthy or unhealthy pull back.
Seem like this round is natural reaction where pull back <10% range. Price stand firm back up MA50. Entire VCP form 4 contraction below:
C1: -31%
C2: -10%
C3: -9%
C4: -4%
Awaiting strong demand come in and breakout again!
Disclaimer:
Not a buy call recommendation, technical analysis sharing based on chart pattern analysis. Trade at your own risk.
VCP
DLTR - Dollar Tree, Inc.Bought position as the stock came thru the high-volume pivot from Dec 10. The stock has been one of the strongest in the market, gapping up and out of a very long-term base on an analyst upgrade in November and having a very strong day on earnings.
Since earnings, it has digested its move very orderly and with very low volatility. It looks like it may be ready to attempt another leg higher, but since this name does not have the strong earnings numbers I usually look for, I will be aggressive with profit taking.
$F / Long through a VCPScan Criteria
Does this stock meet my 8 point scan criteria? Yes
Structural Checklist
1. Can a proven price patterns be identified? Yes, a VCP
2. Is the 50D SMA trending up? Yes
3. Has price moved >20% since its last consolidation? Yes
4. Is the weekly RS above its Zero Line? Yes
5. Does price action suggest the stock is consolidating / digesting the recent price move? Yes
6. Is the price consolidation longer > 20 days? Yes
7. Has price volatility contracted from left to right? Yes
8. Has volume volatility contracted from left to right? Yes
9. Are there visible signs of demand within the base? Yes
10. Are there visible signs supply has been absorbed? Yes
Pivot Buy Point (Last 3 Bars)
1. Is there a visible Tight Zone? Yes
2. Have there been 3 Tight Closes? Yes (2)
3. Has there been a Constructive 3 Bar Correction? No
4. Is there a Bullish Inside Bar? No
AND
1. Has volume dropped dramatically? Yes
2. Can risk be managed under 8% in one of 3 ways? Yes
Other Notes
1. Note made of the the distribution day on December 16th, Supply still present above 20.50.
Scan Score (Minimum 8/8)
All Trading Dirty stocks have a Scan Score of 8
Structural Score (Minimum 7/10) 10
Entry Score (Minimum 1/4 then 2/2) 4
$FLNC Strong IPOcame across $FLNC this weekend so haven't have a chance to see it trade so not sure how spready it is but a strong looking alternate energy IPO that is acting very well.
Broke its down trending line (red dotted) and putting in a sideways cheat shelf.
looking for an inside day below supply line to give us a bit lower risk entry.
Why is it better to wait for move up out of VCP!!! <= IMPORTANT!it might be tempting to buy within VCP ... but is it still so when you look at what happened to VGR?
Once you have been caught in a move like that ... you learn very fast :)
ALWAYS apply risk management where size of your position is in line with your risk apetite!
Happy trading!
VCP formingthe left hand side looks a bit choppy but you can see a nice price contraction together with volume lower than average. In good market conditions - this would be a good candidate for long entry provided it would clear the 17.40 level.
BMRI - CUP WITH HANDLEA classic Cup-with-handle with VCP characteristic on its handle, very exciting. I got my starting position today, and I am watching this stock closely now. I like to see a breakout with institutional sponsorship/huge volume soon.
The market is currently quite volatile, I'm using a mathematical stop to protect my equity. As my last couple of trades doesn't work so well, I'm trading my smallest with the lowest possible risk possible now.
SCOMNET DOUBLE BOTTOM PATTERNBeside the VCP low cheat pattern i shared earlier (link below), SCOMNET also match another pattern called DOUBLE BOTTOM.
A: Beginning of the base
B: Bottom of the first leg
C: Middle of the W (important area)
D: Bottom of second leg
E: Top of handle (important area)
F: Bottom of handle
Price/Volume action looking real good! Not sure if a rally will come soon or not. Let's see!
Water supply ETF $CGW may explote to the upsideIs in a confirmed uptrend and now after a volatility contraction pattern (VCP), AMEX:CGW is showing a pivot buy just above $60. My trade will be buying above the pivot with a stop just below the 50-day MA and a target sell at $66. Low risk trade with a 2:1 risk/reward ratio.
NASDAQ:PIO , another water supply ETF is behaving very similarly but, I prefer AMEX:CGW because it has had better historical returns. But still, could be a good trade.
Some of the industry leaders are also showing the same bullish pattern. The ones that I have on my watchlist are NYSE:DHR and NYSE:AWK .
ES - Volatility Contraction PatternExpanding on the Volatility Contraction Pattern trade into XMAS.
1. Strong Underlying Demand
Elevated Relative Volume compared to prior days’ average
A premarket gap or explosive move off the open
The potential for a breakout on higher time frames
Underlying significant support (20D-50D moving average)
Inability to breakdown
2.Recent Overbought / Supply Pressure
Higher lows
Extreme price contraction on low volume
3.Diminishing Suppy Characteristics
Begin to see the wave tightening
Consolidation into 20D,50D Moving Average
4.Decreasing Volatility
5. Explosive Breakout (TBD)
!!!Not Trading Advice. Just a Bag Holder!!!
CIMB VCP SETUP AGAINPreviously i shared CIMB VCP setup on Aug (link below).
After the breakout at Aug, price rally up to 18% till 20 Oct. Then the price went for natural reaction with below contraction:
C1: -8%
C2: -4%
C3: -3%
This region is tight and consider a low risk entry zone with overall risk around 6%.
Let's see if huge demand will come in and breakout strong or not.
Disclaimer:
Not a buy call recommendation, just technical analysis sharing based on chart pattern and technical indicator. Trade at your own risk.
SCOMNET VCP (Low Cheat)Recently market is bad and not much stocks showing setup.
SCOMNET is one of the least that showing a nice setup. 7% tight area for 10 weeks. Overall price and volume actions are nice!
Waiting strong demand and breakout.
MYEG still setting up as well. Kindly refer to MYEG link for my pervious sharing.
Disclaimer:
Not a buy call recommendation, just technical analysis sharing based on chart pattern and technical indicator. Trade at your own risk.
(US) CUBESMART VCPCUBESMART experience 2 fake breakout that follow with a contraction.
Sky rocket volume then came in 17 Nov and experience another contraction.
C1: -13%
C2: -6% (after fake breakout)
C3: -4% (after fake breakout again)
Price recover at pivot area. Awaiting another breakout attempt! Will this round successful? Let's monitor.
Disclaimer:
Not a buy call recommendation, sharing based on my personal experience in technical analysis and chart pattern. Trade at your own risk.