Insecticides - Poised for a 25% upmove Swing Trade1) The stock is about to break out of a multi year Trend Line, 2017, 2022 in Monthly timeframe.
2) The stock is in up trend in all major time frames.
3) Daily shows a god trigger of a breakout soon indicated through a Volatility contraction Pattern.
For a 3% SL, 25% Targets expected , around 1000 Rs.
My entries - 789
SL - 767 Daily closing Basis
Target Around 1000
Sector : Chemical - Momentum Sector - AGroChemical.
Vcppattern
Bharat Dynamics (BDL): Cup & Handle or VCPBharat Dynamics which was already in nice uptrend has currently taken a pause.
When it was move up, it formed big range candle with big volume (in May month), then when it halted, its first pulled back with lower volume.
Whenever there is green candle, there is big volume and where there is red candle there is low volume.
Volume completely dried at second pullback, it means less and less supply is coming, supply is getting absorbed.
So could be the short term trading good opportunity.
Electronica Mart India Ltd #EMIL After a monster post IPO rally EMIL has been cooling off for 6 months, forming a nice base to potentially launch another rally
Showing v strong Relative Strength on hourly TF
hovering on the top of a 27%/ 25wks base
forming an inverse head & shoulders type pattern
Volatility falling and volume drying up
Entry 225 SL 211 Target 3RR
Anuh Pharma - The Non-stop Blaster, but its Just about to Start Anuh Pharma - Going non-stop. Another 6.3% up today. Multi-year VCP Pattern BO happening. Volume build up is good. Just let it sustain above 261 levels until Weekly Close for rockets to Fly....Target 320, 445 (Still 2x to go from here). But fresh entries wait for BO confirmation on weekly. Remember - this is a Monthly Pattern. Even WEEKLY confirmation of BO is not good enough, but atleast we need to wait for this minimum
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Solarinds all coiled up. Ready for an explosive move 🧨Stock has made beautiful VCP pattern and Volatility and volume have both dried up suggesting that there may be no more sellers left. The Q3 result has also been declared. One can also see a clear triangle pattern although the stock has not broken out. To me it looks set to make new highs.
Understanding the Volume Contraction Pattern (VCP)The VCP is an essential pattern for swing traders, as it signals the potential for a significant price move. The pattern occurs when a stock goes through a series of contractions in price and volume, indicating that selling pressure is waning and the stock is setting up for a potential breakout.
Key Components of VCP:
Trapped Buyers (TBs): These are investors who bought at the peak and are now "trapped" in a position as the stock price declines. They are likely to sell when the price gets back near their purchase price, creating resistance.
Loss Cutting (LC): As the stock declines, some investors will cut their losses and sell their positions, adding to the downward pressure.
Profit Taking (PT): Once the stock rebounds, those who have profits from buying at lower prices may start to take profits, which can lead to a temporary reversal or pullback in price.
Bottom Fishers (BFs): These are investors who are looking to buy the stock at what they perceive to be a bargain price, often near the lows of the pullbacks.
Stages of VCP:
Initial Decline (1): The stock experiences a significant drop in price, often on high volume, indicating strong selling pressure.
First Contraction (2): The price begins to stabilize and contract. Volume diminishes here, suggesting that selling pressure is decreasing.
Advance (3): The stock price rises, potentially leading to TBs selling near their break-even points. This can create resistance, but if the stock can move past this level, it's a positive sign.
Second Contraction (4): A higher low is formed compared to the initial low. Volume contracts further, indicating selling pressure continues to wane.
Subsequent Advance and Contractions (5): The pattern repeats, with each pullback being shallower and on lower volume, showing that supply is being absorbed and demand is taking over.
Breakout (6): Finally, the stock breaks out from the VCP on increased volume, signaling that demand has overwhelmed the remaining supply.
Trading the VCP:
When trading the VCP, look for the following:
A series of at least two contractions in price range and volume.
Each contraction should be shallower than the last, showing less and less selling pressure.
The breakout should occur on higher volume, confirming the pattern.
Entry Point: A trader might enter a position as the stock breaks out from the final contraction.
Stop Loss: A stop loss can be placed under the most recent low of the last contraction to limit risk.
Profit Target: Targets can be set based on previous resistance levels or a multiple of the risk (stop loss size).
Remember, while the VCP is a strong pattern, it's not foolproof. Always use proper risk management and consider the overall market conditions before taking a trade.
SMMT - FLAT BASEI bought my positions today
September 18, 2023
The reasons:
1. The stock offers a low-risk entry point
2. It developed a textbook flat base setup
3. It has VCP characteristics
4. It has a high relative strength
5. It outperforms the general market
6. Volume dries up and huge volume on the breakout
Flaw:
The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 33.8% of total stocks above the 200-day MA.
VCP Breakout Buy in NVONovo Nordisk is emerging from a textbook volatility compression pattern (VCP) - the setup made famous by Mark Minervini. Notice the series of progressively shallower pullbacks from left to right as supply has been absorbed by buyers.
NVO is a market-leading stock by all accounts. Shares are up 75% over the last twelve months with no signs of slowing down. This is largely thanks to its new weight loss drug showing tremendous results in clinical trials.
The company has also experience accelerating earnings growth for the last several quarters - another favorite quality of Minervini's for identifying top performers.
NVO looks buyable here as a swing trade with a stop loss 9-10% below the current price.