Vehicles
May have found a base and turn upAfter reaching an ATH just above 75, the price has since fallen back and consolidated after failing to reclaim the upward trend line. Long entry above 51.49 is a confluence above the.236 fib as well as the VPOC, more conservative entry is at reclaim of the trend line. This may also have a possible earnings run-up approaching late November.
Oversold, possible reversal and reentry of broadening formationVroom fell back on market weakness but is very oversold on the SlowStoch. Fib levels provided which have acted as support throughout its short trading history. While the fib marker in purple may provide strong entry, seeing this re-enter and base in the broadening formation would confirm h higher highs (or at least higher lows) are in store.
FUV a quarterly gainer, rising +380.87%. Expect Uptrend reversalArcimoto (FUV, $5.53) was one of top quarterly gainers, jumping +380.87% to $5.53 per share.Tickeron A.I.dvisor analyzed 16 stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry over the last three months, and discovered that 16 of them (100%) charted an Uptrend while none of them (0%) trended down. Tickeron A.I.dvisor found 125 similar cases when FUV's price went up 15% within three months. In 122 out of those 125 cases, FUV's price went down during the following month. Based on these historical data,Tickeron A.I. thinks the odds of an Uptrend reversal for FUV are 90%.
FUV in Uptrend: 50-day Moving Average crossed above 200-day Moving Average on June 10, 2020
A buy signal is indicated by this change in price, due to the trend repositioning higher. In 2 of 2 cases where FUV's 50-day Moving Average crossed above its 200-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
TSLA was a top gainer,rising +81.92%.Expect Uptrend continuationTickeron AI shows that Tesla (TSLA, $960.85) was one of top quarterly gainers, jumping +81.92% to $960.85 per share. Tickeron A.I.dvisor analyzed 16 stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry over the last three months, and discovered that 16 of them (100%) charted an Uptrend while none of them (0%) trended down. Tickeron A.I.dvisor found 336 similar cases when TSLA's price jumped over 15% within three months. In 217 out of those 336 cases, TSLA's price went up during the following month. Based on these historical data, Tickeron A.I. thinks the odds of an Uptrend continuation for TSLA are 65%.
NIO was a top gainer, rising +161.96%. Expect Uptrend reversalTickeron AI shows that NIO Inc - ADR (NIO, $7.23) was one of top quarterly gainers, jumping +161.96% to $7.23 per share. Tickeron AI analyzed 16 stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry over the last three months, and discovered that 16 of them (100%) charted an Uptrend while none of them (0%) trended down. Tickeron A.I.dvisor found 79 similar cases when NIO's price went up 15% within three months. In 66 out of those 79 cases, NIO's price went down during the following month. Based on these historical data, Tickeron A.I. thinks the odds of an Uptrend reversal for NIO are 84%.
Foresight autonomous holdings bullish flag breakout?Unique technology and competitor of LiDAR. Already strategic partnerships with FLIR Systems Inc., Elbit System Ltd. (high quality standards!) and CORNES Technologies. Could be disruptive in the autonomous technology (level 3 and 4). This company is still in an early stage
MBUU upside breakout possibleMalibu Boats just got some big analyst upgrades on the strength of upward earnings revisions. It's been in a gentle upward channel, but I actually think it could break out and establish a steeper upward channel leading up to earnings in September. Watch for the upside channel breakout and then buy the pullback.
As always, this does not constitute investment advice, just an idea as to how the market will move. Full disclosure: I know the founder of this company.
A First Look at Lithium Ion Batteries (Electric Vehicles)Electric cars (mobility in general) are part of our future. Demand is growing all over the world and producers now exist in Asia, Europe & North America. It's an emerging market and is yet to mature. This makes it interesting from an investment point of view. But when and how to invest? I'm just going to publish my research here as and when I can be bothered. If anyone wants to contribute with news, ideas, technical info I will be grateful.
Lithium Ion Batteries (Li-ion)
Provide energy storage, make up one of the key components in e-vehicles, determine to a large degree vehicle range and performance limitations
Key ingredients incl: lithium (carbonate or hydroxide) as well as cobalt , nickel , aluminium , manganese and graphite
Basically ions (charged particles of lithium) flow from a negative electrode (anode) to a positive electrode (cathode) in a liquid medium (electrolyte).
Lithium is used in production of the electrolyte and cathode
Current li-ion types incl: lithium-cobalt oxide ( LiCoO ) and lithium-nickel-manganese-cobalt oxide (LiNiMnCoO or NMC ). NMC takes a leading place in the automotive sector.
Apart from lithium both cobalt and nickel are highly prized by manufacturers and NME batteries, which are made out of all three, offer good safety levels with promising energy densities.
For investors li-ion innovation/production is an important area to keep abreast of. Recently prices of cobalt have gone through the roof, this led manufacturers to look for alternatives such a nickel and manganese. Berkeley researchers claim it is possible to build electrodes without cobalt (cleantechnica.com) which also offer more capacity using manganese for example. So it is important to have a layman's grasp of the technology and ensure knowledge of latest research. It is likely that a variety of different solutions will come online in the next 10 years and the market / physics will decide on the winners.
However, many R&D advances have long lead times to reach production. This makes it unlikely that cobalt will disappear completely from the manufacturing process in my opinion in the near future.
Market Activity
Recently cobalt (Co) has skyrocketed whilst nickel has not increased that much and shows possibility of more growth whilst cobalt looks to be correcting (hard). This is in my view due to
Development of cobalt bubble unsupported by fundamentals
A shift of fundamentals away from cobalt to other metals such as nickel
Does this mean nickel will see continue uptrend at cobalt's expense? The speculative activity in this sector seems to force manufacturers away from the underlying asset / material. Therefore it is imperative to get in early. Again this is an area of very active R&D and fundamentals can change rapidly within limited time, often before uninformed investors can react.
Futures Launching
Another interesting development is the London Metals Exchange (LME) will be launching car battery metals' futures sometime in 2019/2020:
www.cnbc.com
This will include cobalt, nickel, manganese, graphite and lithium. As far as I am aware futures are generally released at the top of a bubble (see gold/silver/bitcoin...).
See recent Tesla bubble and research that shows just how overvalued shares were: all due to e-vehicle hype. New tech sectors are rampant with hype. Just look at fang stocks: all hideously overvalued with exception of Google.
The hype in the e-car market is real and is an area that will continue to grow into the coming decade, but e-vehicles is a real manufacturing sector.
$SOLO - Will HISTORY repeat itself?!? Only TIME will tell...$SOLO - Will HISTORY repeat itself?!? Only TIME will tell...