XLE looks like its forming a nice Rising Wedge on the daily chart. The bad news is we're heading into the Summer which usually leads to higher demand, and Rising Wedges aren't particularly good performers from a statistical standpoint. The good news is that they do offer about 2:1 odds of a reversal once the Wedge breaks. In addition, the momentum indicators are...
This is a chart of the S&P Futures (ES!) showing a declining wedge pattern. While technical analysis is admittedly down on the list of my personal trading hierarchy, I think this particular formation is presenting some interesting implications and possible trade ideas. Macro factors not withstanding, I wouldn't be surprised to see either A) more channeling...
Alibaba suffered the past one year. My last trade was an $BABA Iron Condor, closed in profit: Now it's time to play for some bullish bounce. Reasons: * Bullish volume, +10% in one day. * Oversold smooth RSI * Reasonable setup before event * Bullish action candle Max profit: $1100 Probability for 50% of Profit: 50% Profit Target relative to my Buying...
Description WMT double rejection off 150, a decisive close below this level triggers a short position. Using A put debit spread, because profits are always limited by time. Put Debit Spread Levels on Chart SL > 150 *Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss The Trade BUY 11/26 148P SELL 11/26 135P R/R & Breakevens vary on...
I shorted on Friday in the November contracts trading $15 OTM for a net credit 4.40. Decent premium for sky high contracts. Target at 50 DMA ~438; expect further bounce from support before the real correction, IMHO; all corrections so far were preceded by double tops. I sold 62 spreads, can add or just hold. I don't recommend this for the faint of heart. Calls...
After a beartrap switched back to bullish view with large ETF-s. First of all: SPY Max profit: $204 Probability for 50% of Profit: %90 Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 20% Req. Buy Power: $996 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Expiry: 22 days Buy 3 SPY Jul16' 420 Put Sell 3 SPY Jul16' 416 Put Credit...
Long time waiting for a pullback at this territory.... Today RSI breaking up, volume arrived, but IVR is still very high. Optimal for some credit put spread. Max profit: $250 Probability for 50% of Profit: 72% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 33% Req. Buy Power: $750 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty...
$EDU short put vertical 73% PoP for credit at support New Oriental Education & Tech Group had a big move and a big correction. It's time to playing some bullish move. Weekly timeframe: Oversold on weeky and on daily too, sitting on the bullish trendline. Daily timeframe: Oversold too, bullish divergence. Playing short put vertical here, because...
TA at 1HR TF (because this stock is new, no daily history) Quick Coinbase play at high IVR, reasons: - trend changed: higher high , lower lows - divergence at bottom - my strike is last bottom as support- $260 - I have very plenty safety zone - Buying power arrieved as volume Max profit: $220 Probability of Profit: 72% Profit Target relative to my Buying...
Quick option spread play for the next 2 weeks: * 1 year trendline still holding * bullish trend Max profit: $154 Probability of Profit: 62% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 18% Max loss with my risk management: ~$150 Req. Buy Power: $846 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 12 Expiry: 13 days Sell 2...
I'm planning to expand in better conditions. Max profit: $186 Probability of Profit: 73% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 22% Max loss with my risk management: ~$220 Req. Buy Power: $814 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 7.7 (relative low) Expiry: 44 days Sell 2 AAPL Jun18' 135 Call Buy 2 AAPL...
Fib 0.78 hit after event, trendline kissed 4 times: 4hr / 1hr TF in oversold territory Max profit: $500 Probability of Profit: 55% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 56% Max loss with my risk management: ~$200 Req. Buy Power: $882 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 5.5 (relative low) Expiry: ...
Max profit: $70 Probability of Profit: 83% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 20% Max loss with my risk management: ~$150 Req. Buy Power: $430 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 28 (average at futures) Expiry: 36 days Sell 1 !6CM1 Jun4' 0.8 Put Buy 1 !6CM1 Jun4' 0.785 Put Credit Call spread for 0.70cr...
Smooth RSI is extreme oversold, and the IVR is ultra high. Obvious bounceback play. Max profit: $240 Probability of Profit: 57% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 47% Max loss with my risk management: ~$200 Req. Buy Power: $510 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 88 (ultra high) Expiry: 35 days Buy 3...
Hoping to see a bounce off this previous break out of the Head and Shoulder pattern. As long as we close above $700 this week, I think earnings on Monday will bring Tesla back above $800 level. FUD spreading by the media of Tesla's autopilot killing 2 people in their vehicle, experience traders should see this as a buying opportunity. I have bought several more...
TESLA smooth RSI confirms the breakout, well defined loss level. Max profit: $165 Probability of Profit: 60% Profit Target relative to my CAP: 46% Max loss with my risk management: ~$100 Req. Buy Power: $355 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 16 (relative low) Expiry: 51 days Buy 1 TSLA May21' 595...
Here is some big tech-play. 1) Divergence in oversold territory My Smooth RSI indicator absolutely in the oversold territory, some bullish divergence detected. 2) Momentum confirmed with volume Some buy volume finaly arrived. 3) Parallel charting I love parallel speed-, or trendlines on chart. Now another breakout. 4) Not everything is an...
I've played yesterdays some S&P500 with vetical spread. (1) RSI in the middle zone Any direction is possible (2) Forming a bullish triangle - again Similar cases in the past one year: (3) There is a little more space to the upside (4) Relative Implied Volatility is low So I'm choosing a debit strategy. CONCLUSION: I'm using LONG...