Trading EWZ with options. Calenders and Verticals in specific. looking for a retrace so im open ended on the position to the down side. Im long term Bullish. Short term Bearish. Also note, if retracement actually matures, it will leave a bearish formation producing resistance levels. The market will have to fight back a little harder to bring back the current...
I am not licensed or certified by any individual or institution to give financial advice. I am not a professional Stock trader. Chevron (CVX) gapped down today, big time; but it couldn't break the 100 Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). If you look back to October 27, 2017 (see the purple arrow I inserted on the lower left of the chart to mark the date) Chevron...
Trade details: 65/60 Put Vertical Credit Spread @ $1.00 Prob. of Max Profit = 70.13% Prob. of Max Loss = 10.10% Break-even @ $64.00 119 D.T.E. Trade plan: Entry by oversold + support/resistance analysis Expecting $68.00 support level to survive possible test before earnings report next week for an uptrend continuation before May '18 expiration. Using...
This is a directional play, BABA looks over extended and I think we will get a move back to the 20 EMA or even lower sometime between the next month. So I sold a Call vertical spread for $2.25 ea. This is a directional play and is basically a 58% probability of making money. Our max loss is $275 per contract and max win $225. Will look to close it early. The...
Trade details: 66/61 Put Vertical Credit Spread @ $1.82 Prob. of Max Profit = 4.90% Prob. of Max Loss = 29.12% Break-even @ $64.18 51 D.T.E. Trade plan: Straight up hedge against technology sector/semiconductor industry (NVDA + AMAT long put credit spread positions - both are linked below). Feb.'18 expiration chosen to focus on Feb.'18 earnings reports for...
Trade details: 57.5/50 Put Vertical Debit Spread @ $3.01 Prob. of Max Profit = 10.86% Prob. of Max Loss = 34.02% Break-even @ $54.49 50 D.T.E. Trade plan: Entry by overbought status + indication of correction/mean reversion analysis. Expecting pullback to moving average (VWMA) before earnings report in Feb.'18 for profit on weakening uptrend as seen in...
Trade details: 105/98 Put Vertical Debit Spread @ $2.69 Prob. of Max Profit = 13.29% Prob. of Max Loss = 35.05% Break-even @ $102.31 28 D.T.E. Trade plan: Entry by overbought + mean reversion signals Expecting for pull-back to the $100 level well within the at-the-money straddle expected move by expiration. Expecting to adjust aggressively to minimize loss if...
Trade details for QQQ: 159/149 Put Vertical Debit Spread @ $2.97 Prob. of Max Profit = 18.00% Prob. of Max Loss = 43.96% Break-even @ $156.03 52 D.T.E. Trade plan: QQQ identified to be overbought + sign of weakness compared to recent rally. SPY & QQQ are highly correlating, with QQQ as more volatile mover (suitable for debit spread). Feb. expiration has...
Trade details: 47/42 Put Vertical Credit Spread @ $0.98 Prob. of Max Profit = 69.49% Prob. of Max Loss = 13.53% Break-even @ $46.02 114 D.T.E. Trade plan: Similar bias as NVDA trade (check it out below). Entry by oversold + support/resistance analysis Expecting $48.00 support level to survive possible test before earnings report in Feb.'18 for an uptrend...
Trade details for SPY : 261/258 Put Vertical Credit Spread @ $0.37 Prob. of Max Profit = 79.79% Prob. of Max Loss = 12.62% Break-even @ $260.63 52 D.T.E. Trade plan: QQQ identified to be overbought + sign of weakness compared to recent rally. SPY & QQQ are highly correlating, with QQQ as more volatile mover (suitable for debit spread). Feb. expiration has...
Trade details: 175/160 Put Vertical Credit Spread @ $2.93 Prob. of Max Profit = 72.17% Prob. of Max Loss = 14.05% Break-even @ $172.07 84 D.T.E. Trade plan: Entry by oversold + support/resistance analysis Expecting a response up or down from $191.20 support level test, probably during next week or the early in Jan. Expecting older support level to hold...
Trade details: 100/90 Put Vertical Credit Spread @ $1.85 Prob. of Max Profit = 68.04% Prob. of Max Loss = 11.34% Break-even @ $98.15 84 D.T.E. Trade plan: Entry by oversold + support/resistance analysis Expecting old gap-up support level at $104.50 to hold after recovering from breakdown test on 12/04/17, until Mar.'18 expiration. RISKS: Break-even within...
I don't like debit spreads, but sometimes they give a nice risk reward, SPY have a Implied volatility rank of 1.4 at the time of this trade. This is basically a 50/50 trade but we are risking less than the potential max profit. The trade: Buy 242 Put Sell 240 Put Paid 0.65 per contract I did 10 contracts so the max profit is $1,350 and my max loss is $650. ...
With a low Implied volatility rank of 15 in the real estate ETF I decided to make a directional bet with a debit put spread. This is a low probability trade, but will add some negative deltas to my portfolio. It does have a decent R:R of almost 2:1 so at least I will get paid when I am right and my risk is defined. Bought a Vertical debit put spread on IYR for...
Jun GLD Vertical Spreads. Have taken few Spreads in Jun GLD for $.0.28. with a neutral outlook.
Made a custom Earnings trade on TSLA. Originally was going to make a bearish trade, but since today we had a over 2% negative move down, I decided to add the ratio spread to the downside. Sold the 330/340 Call spread for $1.40 and the (1)302.5/(2)295 Put ratio spread for $.20 Total credit $160 Max win is $905 at 295 price Max loss to the upside is $840 Naked to...
Bought 61.5 Call Sold 2 62.5 Call for .35 credit. Max win is $135. Our break even is at 63.85
triangle final wave E completed, potential breakout in NFLX. Impulsive 5 wave movement to the upside IF this breaks higher with wave 5 target at 61.8% retracement