Europe Vs US Break Out!This chart suggests huge long-term implications after breaking for the 2nd time this 16-year downtrend. EU since Trump took office has outperformed the US by 23%!
More than half of that has occurred since the ambush on Zeleneskyy in the Oval Office.
While no new high has been made yet to confirm, it is noteworthy that money may be flowing toward the EU more than the US for a decade or more.
EU has a much lower debt to GDO at 80% than the US at 125%. Stock valuations are much more attractive than in the US. So much so that I labeled the EU as a value trap. Not anymore!
The biggest obstacle right now is how much would a US recession impact the EU. Even if it does, I expect the EU to perform much better than the US. As such this chart should continue to outperform.
I have another post up you may want to follow.
VGK
EUROPE VS US Stock Dramatic Moves CAUTION!Zelenskyy Oval office ambush did much more than ambush and betray an ally in support of a dictator like Putin.
Betraying an ally destroyed the trust in the U.S. government. Without trust in the government, democracy cannot be, leaving only a dictatorship capable of surviving.
Markets have spoken very loudly with trillions of dollars, not words out of people's mouths.
Superpowers are only as strong as their allies. Isolationism doesn't work. Ask N. Korea, The Soviets etc.. why that is.
Trust can not be granted nor taken, it may only be lost.
CAUTION IS IN ORDER!
Europe Keeps Working, Particularly Ex the Euro. Charting HEDJ.Foreign markets have made some headlines in recent months. The German Dax and French CAC 40 hit record levels toward the end of 2023. Those indexes are generally priced in local currency, and a rising dollar in 2023 led to relative underperformance among US-traded ETFs. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has consolidated around the key 104 level lately. Amid this FX volatility, non-US funds that hedge currency risk have their merit.
Research shows that hedging the dollar can work since US investors in international equities are susceptible to what is called “wrong-way” risk. That is, when stocks plunge, the move lower usually coincides with a surging dollar, compounding losses in foreign stock holdings. The WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity Fund ETF (HEDJ) addresses this reality by focusing on holding shares in companies with significant exports while engaging in currency hedging to remove the risk of a declining euro.
What I like about HEDJ’s chart today is that it has climbed to new cycle highs as of last month, whereas traditional Europe index ETFs remain well under their mid-2021 highs. HEDJ has historically performed well during the first quarter, with shares rising 71% of the time in February and 79% in all March instances, according to data from Equity Clock. But what about the price action on the chart? I see positive signs there, too.
My featured chart illustrates that HEDJ continues to trend higher. Price is above both its rising 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and just recently held the key $41 to $42 zone. In terms of where the ETF may go from here, we can project a price target using the $31 low from October 2022 and the range highs between $41 and $42. That $10 to $11 height, added on top of the $42 breakout point, leads to a measure move price objective into the low $50s.
What happens to Europe in the long run?Such a thought provoking chart. Monthly log scale and chart is forming a symmetrical wedge. There are so many scenarios at play right now that either push Europe into a breakout economy or into a turmoil.
No specific trade here or anything. Current chart looks like it will be harder to go much lower here but we'll see.
VGK update - bullish to neutral - 3/6/2015This week's down turn was not that surprise (given the RSI channel resistance and 40 week MA resistance). Overall trend is still up (judging by 10 week MA, RSI channel direction, and a positive MACD, also the upward blue trend line). I will start to worry if it loses 10 week MA and falls out of the RSI channel.