How to Trade Triangles.________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hello, Traders Investors And Community, here I show the important triangle-formations and how to trade them properly.
These formations come in every-shape from big to small in today's markets and are sometimes quite often spotted.
There are however some important and significant differences in trading them which I explain further.
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1.) Bullish Ascending Triangle
2.) Bearish Ascending Triangle
3.) Bearish Symmetrical Triangle
4.) Bullish Symmetrical Triangle
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1.) Bullish Ascending Triangle
This formation is a typical known textbook bullish uptrend-formation. Normally it develops within a bullish trend and is a continuation-formation. Suggesting
that the bulls make a break before going higher upward. It is formed by the typical horizontal higher boundary with steady-highs and the rising lower
boundary with higher-highs.
It is a logical mechanism that this formation breaks to the upside because the bulls are clearly stronger. The price projection range is taken by the first touch
with the higher boundary and the ground of the lower boundary to project the minimum target in the breakout-zone where the triangle broke out
to the upside. The triangle can be traded with immediate entry and stop-loss below the last low or conservative with the breakout to the upside.
2.) Bearish Ascending Triangle
This formation is the logical and coherent counterpart of the ascending broadening wedge, the main difference here is that it breaks to the upside and is
normally seen as a continuation to the downside. Here we see steady lows with a horizontal lower boundary and lower highs with a declining upper
boundary.
The formation breaks to the downside because the bulls getting weaker every new lower high is formed. When projecting the price to the downside we
can take the measure from the first touch with the lower boundary and the equivalent point with the higher boundary to project our minimum.
target. The triangle can be traded aggressively with entry before the breakdown or with confirmation after the breakdown.
3.) Bearish Symmetrical Triangle
Here we have an interesting formation that must conform to the downside to give us the proper signal that it is actually really a bearish symmetrical
triangle. Here we get lower highs with a descending upper boundary and higher lows with an ascending upper boundary.
This formation has also an end-date, it is the date in which the lower and upper boundary come together which means that the formation has definitely
ended at this date. We can measure our target from the touch with the lower boundary and its equivalent point at the upper boundary. The wisest
way tot trade the triangle is after the breakout and confirmation.
4.) Bullish Symmetrical Triangle
This formation is the bullish counterpart to the bearish symmetrical triangle and the difference here is that we get the first price touch with the upper
boundary indicating a bullish outcome. We see lower highs with a descending upper boundary and higher lows with an ascending lower boundary before
breaking to the upside.
The breakout can be heavy which depends on the time symmetrical triangle has confirmed, the longer we stay in the triangle the stronger the breakout
will be. We will get a minimum target when projecting the first touch of the higher boundary and its equivalent point of the lower boundary to the
point where the triangle broke to the upside. The best way to trade the triangle is after breakout and confirmation of the boundary.
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If you like this tutorial feel free to support. I also made an tutorial about broadening wedges which you find when scrolling down on my account.
Will be great to see you there. Have a good day and all the best.
Thank you.
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“An investment in knowledge pays the best dividend”
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Vinceprince
Can Ripple Manage To Trade Above Resistance Or Fall Back Below?!Hello friends, welcome to this analysis about ripples current middle-to-long-term price action and where we are advancing the next days and weeks, hopefully, everybody is doing good in these markets we are facing today. I made already an analysis of the ongoing subject with ripple where the important resistance we are still having in ripple is mentioned, I highly recommend to you that you go to my account and look on it to have a full-depth-overview about the things going on in ripples price-action we currently see. As I mentioned there ripple will confirm it as resistance and will have a hard time coming over it when this possibility should play out.
Unlike other cryptocurrencies like ethereum or bitcoin we can see now really really different signs at the moment in ripples price-action. Unlike to other cryptocurrencies, ripple didn't make a higher high which exceeded the previous high made, currently, it is still trading under this high which first of all is a sign that ripple is more bearish then the other leading cryptocurrencies. Firstly ripple has to come above the strong resistance level which you see in my chart marked with the blue box, this level still serves as the major resistance level and cant be ignored in the structure, as you can see it bounced several times to the downside from that level, this mechanism can happen again.
On the other side, we have some worthwhile signs currently happening on the indicational side where I detected a fractal forming in the past price-action together with the MACD movement. There we could see a bear-fakeout which happened before we had this strong-up-move to the high at 0.34681. The fractal providing first the faster moving line crossing the slower moving line down and then rapidly to the upside providing a fake-out which served as an exact indicator for the trend-change to the upside. Exactly that same fractal is happening now which can be the next confirmation of the fractal signaling a continuation to the upside.
Now puzzling all these signs together we can expect ripple to decide the next days where it is going with the overall trend and if it is confirming greatly to the upside or falling back again to the downside. When ripple manages with the current possibility given to confirm to the upside it needs to trade with a close above the blue resistance level you can see in my chart also it needs some good volatility and a clear break when this scenario should happen, if it happens I see a high probability for a continuation to the Fibonacci-resistance at 0.23041 you can see marked in my chart with the grey line. Otherwise, when ripple does not serve to come above the resistance we can contemplate ripple to visit the underlying support level you see in the chart marked with the green box. When this happens we need to look forward if ripple confirms this range of stable support or show more decline to the downside.
The current situation is a situation in which ripple has to decide where it is going and therefore we have to wait and then spot the reversal or continuation by when it is happening and take the needed action to trade the opportunity resulting from the confirmed scenario therefore trade ripple in the right direction. We currently cant say that this or that scenario will happen for sure and that ripple will hit the moon soon or fall to nearly-zero, that is mere speculation we see at mass today and has nothing to do with elevated market-decision-making. The only thing a wise and motivated trader should do is to keep patients in the market and keep the logical approach to trade the movements with the highest possibility for a profit. Sometimes it is waiting time and now we need ripple to show us the right price-action which will be confirmed as mentioned.
Thanks for watching the analysis, feel free to support my friends, have a good rest of the weekend.
Success comes from elevated concentration on the projected goals
FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Ethereum Showing Weakening Signs, Here Are Important Levels!Hello, Traders Investors And Community And welcome this analysis about ethereums current short-term price action, the second-largest cryptocurrency and invented by the super-nerd vitalik buterin with an IQ of 1158. We saw some great volatility and momentum before ethereum decided to move above the blue resistance level and form recently a peak at 194.85 USD, this move was not with so good volatility and momentum, therefore, we formed a weak-move above the red resistance-line you see in my chart.
Currently, we see ethereum struggling on the short-term-basis to move higher and form another higher high therefore it is highly possible that we see a correction. This awaited correctly can be strong or not so strong but it will come highly likely. The first important supprt-zone is building with the recent tops and the current up-trend channel a logical confluence-cluster which you can see marked in my chart with the orange box. If we continue to decline I see this level as the first important support-zone to be respected.
After that level is reached there are other possible scenarios where ethereum is going with its overall trend-structure. Firstly we could see more decline at least falling below the confluence-cluster, this would be a very bearish sign for ethereum because the past support levels would be taken out and also the break of the uptrend-channel to the downside, this is normally a heavy bearish move with more downside ahead which shouldn't be ignored.
On the other side, we can expect ethereum to move higher when it reached the overall confluence-cluster and confirmed it as support. When this scenario happens and when we imagine that we move higher from there and at least form a new higher high there are other significant signs in the structure that shouldn't be disregarded. When we form the new higher high there is an heavy up-ward-moving resistance line which you can see in red in my chart when this line is touched we can confirm it as resistance which could lead to a bigger bearish wedge forming which when confirmed will show more price-action to the downside.
Therefore thanks for watching, feel free to support and have a good day.
"The best qualification of a prophet is to have a good memory. "
FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
THIS Is What I Wanted TO See For USDBTC To Confirm Bullish!Hello, Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update-analysis about bitcoins short-term price action, bitcoin made exactly these things I wanted to see to confirm bullish on the short-time-frame and we have seen the awaited volatility and momentum, in my past analysis about this subject, I described it if you did not see this analysis I highly recommend that you go to my account and look at it to have a full-depth-overview about the mechanism I mentioned.
Now as I said already we have to confirm the bullish uptrend two times, once it is the move about the resistance line in the neutral zone which you can see in my chart marked with the orange line, this move above the resistance gave bitcoin a bullish shape while still remain neutral. The next confirmation was the touch after the breakout of the falling grey trend-line you see in my chart it confirmed exactly on that point. After these confirmations where done bitcoin had the ability to become fully bullish as you see it in the bull-zone and move higher with heavy momentum.
In the next hours and days, we can anticipate bitcoin to have a smaller correction to the support/resistance level which you see in my chart marked with the blue box before moving higher. At that level, I expect some good support for the USDBTC and a set of new trading orders. Also, this current trend can be traded on the long side. The aggressive entry was after the second confirmation above the orange support-line and on the falling grey trend-line you see in my chart and the moderate entry is now to wait on the correction and then set the long-position there.
The current perspective is a short-term perspective meaning that bitcoin confirmed bullish in the short-term when we look at the middle-to-long-term-perspective we can spot different signs which playing a big role and have to take into consideration in determining bitcoins future outcome. As for now, we have a good bullish shape in the short-term we can expect bitcoin to move higher at least to the 38.2 % Fibonacci-resistance which you see in my chart. From that standpoint, we have to take a new picture of the underlying trend and elevate if bitcoin manages to continue higher.
Friends it should always be the goal to look at the market with a clear head to determine further trends, I see many people calling bitcoin for the moon in two weeks that is an unrealistic approach. We need to look at the market as it is and trade what we see not what we think or believe therefore please keep it in mind that the markets every time sending different signals and these signals have to be interpreted right to trade the market properly within the given circumstances.
Therefore thanks for watching, feel free to support and have a good day.
"The best qualification of a prophet is to have a good memory. "
FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Important Situation Determining Bitcoins Further Price-Action! Hello friends, hopefully, everybody of you is doing good in today's volatile market environment and welcome to this analysis about bitcoins actual price-situation we have seen some exciting things going on the last time, as many people were bullish on bitcoins actual price-movement and further continuation there are some significant signs which make it harder to underline the bullish scenario at all, that does not mean the bullish scenario is fully out of the sight but that does mean that we need to march above resistance and confirm it properly otherwise the heavy bearish scenario will play out.
Alright, when looking at my chart we can elevate that bitcoin is currently trading in a neutral zone divided by the two grey falling trend-lines you can see in the chart, we have seen some bearish decline the last hours and days in which bitcoin firstly confirmed the support and after falling below confirmed it as resistance, you can see the important support/resistance level in orange at my chart, currently, we have it as resistance. Furthermore, we have seen heavy volume when falling below the support that is indicating that this is not a weak bullish down-turn and can be a signal for further bearish continuation, therefore, the bearish scenario to the downside can't be ignored.
In my chart, you can watch also the black trend-lines which are equivalent to the point of control in this structure which is signaling the price-level with the highest volume, therefore, it can transform into an important support/resistance level playing and highly meaningful role in the structure. I made also already other analysis of this subject, just go to my account and look at the given ideas when you are interested in it. When we fall below the black point of control this is a sign for a possible continuation to the downside pushing down from orders executed. Otherwise, we can confirm it and the range around it as support and form a slow but steady uptrend.
At the moment we have to wait and see which scenario confirms properly either it is the bullish scenario with a break and confirmation of the falling grey trend-line or it is the bearish scenario with a break of the black point of control level and continuation into the bearish zone of the current range. In both cases, we can expect a high possibility for the continuation in the confirmed direction although we have support-resistance levels in the range. Currently, I see a slightly higher possibility for a continuation upward because the falling trend-lines looking like an original textbook wedge but that scenario has to be confirmed otherwise we are still neutral and the price can turn bearish.
Great friends, this should give you the proper overview of bitcoins current situation, remember we are always trading what we see not what we think this is mere speculation and we have to distance ourselves from the illogical approach in the markets.
Thanks for watching, feel free to support and don't forget as I always use to say: Success is a science; if you have the conditions, you get the result.
In this manner: FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Ethereum Moving Faster Than Bitcoin, Correction Awaiting?!Hi my friends, hopefully, everybody of you is doing well in these volatile times we are facing today and welcome to this update-analysis about ETHEREUMS price-action, we are looking at the daily chart and as I told you in recent analysis about ETHEREUM the possibility is given that we are approach higher from the 78.6 % retracement to the 61.8 %Fibonacci-resistance this is exactly the scenario which occurred the last days, I highly recommend that you watch this analysis and will add the chart here so you have a full-overview about my concern for the ETHEREUM price-movement:
For now, we have a similar situation as seen before but there are some details which remain different, we are approaching the 61.8 % Fibonacci-resistance which is a highly important resistance for the further outcome of ETHEREUM, for now, it is more important than the 78.6 % Fibonacci-resistance. As you can see in the chart before we approached the 78.6 % Fibonacci-resistance and after that higher, we had a healthy correction which holds for some days before catapulting ETHEREUM above the resistance. At the moment I am expecting an equal correction but stronger as you can see it marked in the chart in the meaningful equilibrium range.
At the moment the correction is the more likely and possible scenario than an immediate continuation of the bullish trend. When the less likely scenario happens otherwise and the trend continues immediately we have the next important resistance between 218 and 237 as you can see it in the chart but for now, that scenario is not highly possible because the price weakens at the moment and we have significant resistance-levels above us. After the correction occurred we can talk about a possible continuation of the bullish trend, what is important in this scenario is that we remain in the equilibrium range because when we fall below the 78.6 % Fibonacci that would not only cause an important break of resistance but also a shift from neutral to bearish. Therefore we have to keep this scenario in mind and look for more signs after the correction occurred.
Great this should give you a good overview of ETHEREUMS current price-action, thanks for watching, feel free to support, all the best and have a good day!
The ambition to transform opportunities into gold remains the most significant tool for a trader!
In this manner FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Ethereum H%S Scenario When Support Cant Be Held!Hello friends, there are some important and significant signs revealing the outcome in the second-largest cryptocurrency ETHEREUM which I take a look at and in which we saw some heavy up-moves with good volatility in the last time but was that all strong enough to continue the next time? There are some interesting and consequential signs right now on the locally time-structure which have to be taken into consideration before looking at the possible further outcome.
When looking at my chart we firstly see this huge huge upward-rising channel in which ETHEREUM is currently trading, secondly, we can expect a correction coming soon the next time. Taking an insight at the overall structure of the previous high and the high which formed recently we can see an original textbook possible double top forming, this is a reversal formation which breaks normally to the downside when confirmed, as you can see it marked with the left head and right head in my chart.
Now this formation gives a solid reversal signal to the downside when confirmed below the neckline which you see marked in grey in my chart. However, there is also the other option that ETHEREUM manages to confirm the local support-level as valid support which forms the starting of the next wave to the upside, in this scenario, we have to confirm the support between 160 and 165 before moving upward otherwise the bearish double top pattern will play out correctly.
For now, we have to wait and look if ETHEREUM manages to keep the local support-zone and move higher from that point or it turns out as a weak support-zone which breaks to the downside. When the second scenario sets in as you can see it in my chart the confirmed double top formation can be traded on the SHORT-side with targets at 136 to 132 USD. therefore we have to confirm below the neckline you see in my chart when that scenario plays out we have a strong bearish confirmation to the downside.
Alright my friends, thanks for watching, may all luck and happiness come to you and of course good trading profits. Feel free to support for more insight ;)
Don't forget as I always use to say: The men on the trading floor may not have been to school, but they have Ph.D.’s in man’s ignorance.
In this manner: FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Breakout Of The Downtrend-Channel Suggesting Further IncreaseHello Traders Investors And Community, I hope everybody of you is doing well in this volatile market-environment we are facing these days, as I suggested in my analysis about bitcoin we have been trading in an important downtrend-channel which will determine the further outcome of bitcoins price action and that has confirmed right now, as I also pointed out we have a point of control where the volume is the biggest, this point of control serves as an important support/resistance level and now we confirmed it as support, the bullish scenario I mentioned confirmed, but that does not mean we are fully out of the woods with bitcoin at the moment as I showed in my middle-to-long-term-analysis about bitcoins further price action, on the middle-term we still have strong resistance levels, if you didn't saw these ideas I recommend that you go to my account and check these out to have a full-depth overview about the current multi-timeframe picture. It is always wise to look at different structures in the market to have a picture of the highest possible scenarios developing forward in the markets!
Now we can see that bitcoin made a bullish breakout of the falling downtrend-channel this is suggesting that the downtrend developed before is now over and a new bullish trend established on the short-time-frame, for now, it is only the shorter time-frame, this is very important to keep in mind because bitcoin has still significant resistance-levels above the head which will also be respected as these when touched. The next time we can expect a second confirmation of the downtrend-channel, therefore it is highly possible that we visit the point of control again where we have the highest volume otherwise we have the next support at 6910 to 6930 as you can see it in the chart, together with the falling downtrend-channel this level will build a bullish confluence-zone when touched, so keep an eye on that. After that second confirmation, I am expecting the next leg to the top of the structure, the next important resistance-zone is the zone between 7360 and 7470 which will highly likely confirm as the proper resistance when we visit this area, on the daily chart there is also the 650-EMA which serves at an important resistance-line. After that pull-back in this range played out it is very very important for bitcoin to hold the range between 7130 and 7370 otherwise we can move lower when these levels do not confirm as steady support levels after the pull-back, after visiting this area it is possible for bitcoin to move higher but as we have high resistance in this area it is important that we get the right confirmation, therefore we have to look on further signs in this area.
Great now it should give you a good overview of the current situation with bitcoin on the short-term, remember that we are not out of the woods at all in the middle and long-term as I already show in a recent analysis. I see many people calling for the moon, this cant be the right approach and is more speculation then elevated market-observation because we are still in an overall weak up-trend and as we approaching heavy resistance-lines the trend can always fall back to bearish therefore we have to look at the chart with a clear head and elevate ourselves above the mere speculations. Today's markets are literally highly complex and there are many things which have to be considered therefore we cant say this scenario or that scenario happens 100 % for sure, there are always possibilities in the markets playing together and creating the overall big picture in which we can follow the given opportunities when they arise.
In this manner have a good day and rest of the weekend ;) Feel free to support for more market insight.
Success comes from elevated concentration on the projected goals
FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets
Price Reached Equalization, Determining Next Outcome!Hello, Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update-analysis about the current bitcoin price-action on the locally time-frame, as I already pointed out in past analysis the bitcoin price has the chance to move higher in its weak up-trend but there are some conditions it has to prove successful before deciding to climb some higher when you did not see these mentionings already I recommend that you go to my account and check these out. Now we are looking at the 4-hour-timeframe and there are some important signs which playing in the way bitcoin will decide to go in the next days. Currently, we are trading in a downtrend-channel which can easily continue to the downside so let's have a look at the situation!
As you can see in my chart bitcoin currently reached an equalization-range which means that the price is in consolidation on the local structure, which is confirming this is the downtrend-channel and the sideways-movement we have seen the last days. As you can see in my chart I marked the point of control of the current range with the grey trend-lines and the black text, this is the point on which we have the highest volume that means that point can work as a support or resistance, currently we have it as support but that can change! When we confirm under the point of control bearish as you can see it in my chart bitcoin will have an easy way to fall more to lower levels, the next respectable support in this scenario will be the range between 6000 and 6100 as you can see it in my chart. However this, for now, is not the most likely scenario I am considerating, as we are still trading above the POINT OF CONTROL bitcoin has the possibility to move higher and break-out of the downtrend-channel, when we break it to the upside and also close above the 20-EMA this will be a good bullish signal on the short-term. Bitcoin then will have the room to visit the 7370 to 7470 are and test the overall upper resistance in the range, that will be a hard test because there we have many bearish confluence-factors playing into a bearish reversal as I already pointed out in the recent analysis.
For now, the good news is that we can trade both outcomes after confirmation! My friends, always wait on the proper confirmation and don't rush into trades of weak consideration, at the moment we can't say definitely for sure in which direction we will continue, we can place a trade in the direction we wish but that wouldn't result in a good trade with a high possibility. Therefore in this structure, it is best to wait in which direction we brake and then place the trade in the confirmed direction.
Alright my friends, thanks for watching, may all luck and happiness come to you and of course good trading profits. ;)
Don't forget as I always use to say: Success is a science; if you have the conditions, you get the result.
In this manner: FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
LITECOIN Is Trading On the Edge, Time To Make A Decision!Hello My Dear Traders Investors And Community, hopefully, everybody od you are doing well, today I have a look on LITECOIN and what we can expect from the next days and weeks, there are some interesting technical observations I made looking on the 4-hour time-frame. As I already pointed out with ETHEREUM we are still in an important zone, the same is with LITECOIN but we a different edge in the overall chart-picture. Therefore let's have a calm look at the current situation. Feel free to support for more market insight, my friends!
Now, when looking at my chart we can see that LITECOIN is trading in a major up-trend channel, you can see this channel marked with the grey trend-lines which go to the right loft of the chart, this is an important up-trend-channel for LITECOIN because it touched several times on the lower-trend-line of the channel, as you can see this marked in my chart with the purple circles, that shows the high significance of this up-trend-channel, when we cross below the channel this will be a bad bearish sign for LITECOIN and the falling downtrend channel which you can see in my chart will be intact therefore in this scenario a high possibility is for more downside is given.
What is a good sign currently is that LITECOIN is trading on an important bullish support-zone which you see marked with the orange box and the black trend-line, we have support in this area from past price movement and also it is building a logical coherent confluence-zone with the up-trend-channel. Therefore the possibility is given that we will see a bounce to the upside from that level, this scenario is confirmed when we cross the falling downtrend channel to the upside, but be aware! This can also be a fake-breakout with a bounce-back down after the test failed, therefore, we need a concrete confirmation with good momentum in this range.
Both scenarios can be traded accordingly to the structure but the right scenario either the bullish or bearish should be confirmed rightly as I already mentioned! For the bearish scenario, the logical breakdown of the up-trend channel to the downside with a definite trend-continuation in the falling down-trend-channel can be traded after confirmation with a conservative SHORT-entry. The bullish scenario can be traded after we confirmed above the falling-downtrend-channel and above the orange box you see in my chart. In both cases, we have to wait and don't rush in an unsuccessful trade which goes in the other direction, this is what a good trader should always keep in mind to take the opportunities with the highest probabilities, in this case it will be when either scenario has confirmed properly!
In this manner have a good day friends ;) Feel free to support for more market insight.
Success comes from elevated concentration on the projected goals
FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets
Ethereum Move As Expected, Continuation Or Reversal?!Hi my friends, I hope everybody of you is doing well in today's volatile times, for now, Ethereum provided good signs to rely on the last weeks different to bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies the signals with Ethereum were highly worthwhile for me with some good opportunities in the schedule, therefore, I highly recommend that you read the last ideas I made on ETHEREUM these are living examples for how well technical analysis can work and that is a science which can be applied on today's markets. The triangle which I forecasted broke out as expected and the bearish pull-back came, in the trading-perspective, these observations can be measured highly profitable. Friends, I see many people distracting with giving wild promises that bitcoin or ETHEREUM skyrocket to 1.000.000, etc, this is mere speculation and we should always keep an unattached cool head to consider the best opportunities with the highest possibility the market gives us. The market is full of many contrary signals which has to be ordered rightfully. Great, let's look at the current situation and what ETHEREUM is doing right now, we have some important signs which shouldn't be ignored therefore I am looking at the 4-hour locally time-frame.
When looking at the current chart which is building a coherent follow-up to the previous ideas I published about ETHUSD, we can see that it almost did what I expected it will do, we had a downturn from the strong resistance level at 170 USD, the market was at resistance. For now, we have a support-base between 145 USD and 150 USD this support base will be respected because there are many confluence factors coming together building up a highly possible confluence-zone where the price will surge, from there we can see two possible price-action-scenarios coming. At the first hand, it is the scenario in which we get a bullish up-move bringing ETHEREUM into resistance and then falling back again, this moves us possibly because we still see selling pressure. The other way will be that ETHEREUm stabilizes at the support and establishes to move above resistance.
What is important to be said in this structure is that we have a very very very bearish zone confirmed when we fall with ETHEREUM under the 145 confluence-zone you can see in my chart. When we cross this level to the downside I do not see a fast reversal coming so soon. The next support below that level will be at 128 and the next one at 120. On the other hand for a bullish reversal in the confluence-zone, we have to cross above purple EMA and finally to get a middle-term bullishness with ETHEREUM take out the upper red resistance level which already confirmed once to the downside.
Alright, friends, this should give you a good overlook of the current situation facing ETHEREUM, remember that each scenario has to be confirmed properly before looking for a pleasant trade-entry.
In this manner have a good day and rest of the weekend ;) Feel free to support for more market insight.
Success comes from elevated concentration on the projected goals
FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets
Bitcoin 28 Day Old Trend-Line Broken These Zones Are Important!Hello, Traders Investors And Community, Today I made an important observation in terms of the locally time-frame 4-hour bitcoin-chart, we just broke out of a highly respected 28 days old trend-line. This trend-line served bitcoin all the way from 3900 to 7450 and now it is broken to the downside!
When looking at my chart we can see that bitcoin bounced several times at this trend-line, in fact, this was 5 times before on the trend-line before bitcoin broke finally to the downside the sixth time. You can see these bounces marked in purple and the breakdown to the downside marked in red, now the problem is that bitcoin can still fall more which wouldn't be good at all for further performance.
For now, we see the first local support zone between 6600 and 6750, in this zone, it is possible that we see a bullish-bitcoin-bounce but this is in fact not 100 % sure at the moment, also we can see the bounce coming and then quickly falling back to the level where it was before. When we fall below 6600 that is critical for bitcoin because below there is a huge free-fall zone where many sellers and bitcoin bears will sell. When this scenario happens we can expect the first next support between 5900 and 6000 this will be a major zone that should be confirmed as support, from that level we can see a bounce to the upside.
Okay what is also important is the major black trend-line currently above bitcoins price you can see it in my chart, this is a huge resistance right now and if bitcoin bounces at the mentioned support level we can expect the resistance firstly at the black trend-line, therefore I would be cautious with opening along to trade the reversal firstly it will be wise to wait for a confirmation which confirms a possible reversal. So this should be a good outlook of the current situation, have a good day and good trading profits, my friends!
Thanks for watching my analysis, feel free to support my friends and don't forget as I always say:
The ambition to transform opportunities into gold remains the most significant tool for a trader.
In this manner FAREWELL
Information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be used to take action in the markets
The Abnormality Within Bitcoins Current CycleHello, My Friends, I hope everybody of you is doing well in today's market-environment and welcome to this analysis about bitcoins current cycle movement. There are some important signs and worthwhile indications I made which also play a big role within the current corona crisis and therefore the logical consequences the crisis is playing for the cryptocurrency-space. First of all it has to be mentioned that most countries in this world currently note a decline in their economic growth because of the hard corona-measures, therefore, we can see a recession declining price-action in the stock-markets and the normal economic-markets like car-industry or luxury-industry but this fact does not necessarily mean the cryptocurrency is in a bear market or a bull market, I already pointed out in recent analysis that we are still consolidating in the middle-term and that the next weeks and months will show us where the journey is bringing us. People who say that this or that scenario happen 1000% for sure can't be right, we have to look on the possibilities taking place in the markets and elevate ourselves above mere speculation, therefore, it is important to watch the chart as detached as possible and don't set a final-result as the only possible solution defined, volatile markets can show massive turns in the indicators used from day to another. I recommend that you read the whole analysis to have a full-depth perspective of the current situation.
In the crisis right now there are anticyclical investments like gold, pharmaceutics, food, and armor-industry! These fields are not influenced by the hard corona-measures, therefore, it is possible and not to be dismissed by hand that bitcoin plays into the anticyclical investments we have in this economic decline. I don't want to say right now that it is 100% the fact but what we can say is that bitcoin is not affected like the stock market and is not cyclical with the stock-market we saw this in recent bitcoin-bear-markets where bitcoin declined and the stock market increased. What is the importance now also when looking at my chart-picture is that we have a 4-years cycle in bitcoin similar to a normal economic cycle. Bitcoins cycle consists of three phases once it is the expansion, the second is growth and the third is a contraction, the normal economic cycle in the real economic consists of 4 phases. Because bitcoin is not like the normal economy we have a different cycle-movement similar to gold. The abnormality within the current cycle is defined by the hard corona-breakdown seen in the last weeks before we had this slow slow stabilization, it also affected other markets as stocks as well. The volatility was seen in this breakdown to the downside was not normal and we have never seen such a fast and heavy decline in bitcoin, also the situation right now that people do not leave their houses and have to stay inside, etc has been never seen since before, it is a completely new environment with other difficult problems we never saw in the crisis before.
Bitcoin 4-Year Economic Cycle
When we watch the chart closely now we see that bitcoin completed a full cycle in 4.04 years (can be rounded up to four years) that are 1477 days, in this phase bitcoin reached a new All-Time-High and peaked you can see the cycles marked in my chart, also the cycle is building a coherent structure with the underlying sine-curve. The problem in the current cycle is that we should do a new peak within the next cycle-ending time this will be in 2021. Also, we have a definite end where the bear-market is confirmed and a heavy contraction-phase to the downside sets in this is when we cross the lower black-support-line which you can see in my cyclical-picture. We need to see things now as they are and do not get too attached to wild irrational ideas that leading nowhere, therefore it is necessary to see bitcoin detached from the stock-market as an independent financial-instrument. When we establish to hold above the black-line we can see a possible second growth-phase within the 4-year cycle, in this case, we have to stabilize a minimum above 9000 and look at other mid-to-long-term indicators indicating the price-action of next weeks and months. Also my friends, we have seen the heavy decline because of the corona-fears coming in and affecting all markets but these first fears are over what comes now is the recession in many countries which are the consequences of the corona. This causes stocks to decline further because the economy is decreasing but that does not necessarily affect cryptocurrency, it can also be used as a hedge like pharmaceutics or armory which are seen as hedges in the classical stock-market of today's crisis.
So my friends thank you for watching my analysis, I hope everybody of you could get some important insight and where the journey will bring us the next time, feel free to support, thanks for everybody who is supporting, my friends. As I always say it is the motivation to transform opportunities into gold remains the most significant tool for a trader. this is why we should take the market seriously and make the best of every situation. ;)
FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
As Expected, Ripple Is Facing The Anticipated Resistance-Mark!Hello, Traders Investors and Community, welcome to this update-analysis on the middle-to-long-term-perspective looking at the XRPUD-trading pair, as I told in my recent analysis about XRPUSD we have still plenty of resistance above our heads which just confirmed right in the last time and there is the possibility given for now there is a high possibility given for a reversal to the downside when the bullish weakness increases further. I highly recommend that you look at this analysis when going to my account and watch the recent XRPUSD analysis to have a full-perspective on today's situation. Okay, my friend's lets have a look on my chart there we can see that XRPUSD bounced into the strong resistance-zone between 0.18750 and 0.20200, this resistance zone marked in blue builds also a coherent bearish-confluence level together with the EMAs you see in my chart, this is why this zone shouldn't be ignored at the moment. So what can we expect when XRPUSD declines further because of the huge resistance? In the case XRPUSD falls more and leaves the resistance zone which you see in my chart to the downside we can expect support in the zone between 0.15976 and 0.17056, you can see this support-level marked with the green box in my chart, in case XRPUSD visits this level again we have good support in this range. No on the other side there is a little possibility given for a bullish continuation, in this case, XRPUSD would consolidate between the 0.19 and 0.2 range before it breaks-up higher, as I told already in the recent analysis this scenario is also given but it is more likely that we see minimum a correction first. Now when the unlikely bullish scenario sets in we can expect a move higher to the 50 % Fibonacci-resistance at o.23 you can see this level marked in grey with text and a trend-line in my chart, this is the next significant resistance-zone in case XRPUSD manages to glide higher. This scenario is confirmed when we close above the EMA and confirm it as support otherwise the bearish scenario with the respected trend-line will set in and we will see the correction.
Okay so now we should have a good overview of the situation, remember that either case has to be confirmed accordingly before trading the proper direction when confirmed, always wait on the confirmation and take the trade with the highest possibility, my friends! I see many people guiding others into giving a 100 % promise on this or that scenario, this cant be the approach for a wise trader, we should always look on the given moment as clear as possible and considerate the opportunities which are given to place trades with the best possibilities playing into the trade, therefore, detach ourselves from mere speculation.
Thanks for watching my analysis, feel free to support my friends and don't forget as I always say:
The ambition to transform opportunities into gold remains the most significant tool for a trader.
In this manner FAREWELL
Information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be used to take action in the markets
This Scenario Can Lead Bitcoin Above Resistance And Even HigherHello Traders Investors and Community, today I talk about a significant issue according to bitcoins price movement on the middle-to-long perspective, there are some important signs which can indicate a break of the strong resistance levels we have above our heads. As I pointed out in recent analysis about the bitcoin price action we are still in an overall consolidation, this consolidation will end when we confirmed in the proper direction, I highly recommend that you go on my account and see the past bitcoin-charts to have a full-perspective about the current price action and where it is going.
Alright, the important issue we currently face when looking at the chart is that bitcoin approaches higher little by little with small steps as we have still plenty of resistance-level above. We can see some good bullish confirmations on the locally time-frame but that does not mean at all that we are bullish in the long-run, to get bullish in the long-run there has to come to the right confirmations on the way otherwise bitcoin is still in consolidation. Now, what does bitcoin have to do to get bullish firstly in the middle-term? As you can see in my chart bitcoin is trading in a possible descending broadening wedge formation, this is a formation which is seen on many time-frames from the one hour chart to the weekly chart and it has to be confirmed properly to indicate a continuation and to validate the target of the wedge. This validation will be in this current case firstly the break of the strong resistance-zone you see in my chart, which is a resistance-trendline drawn from bitcoins all-time-high to the down-swings and lower highs of past weeks and months, this trend-line matches also with the upper-trend-line of the broadening wedge thus building a coherent structure which has to be taken out to confirm the broadening wedge. Please remember that a broadening wedge can also fail the confirmation is, in this case, the important part similar to a triangle.
Now, what can we expect when the broadening wedge formation confirms accordingly right to the structure? When this scenario sets in we can expect the target to be measured in the range between 12300 and 13800, which depends on the time and level on which the broadening wedge confirmed. When we reach this level after the successful confirmation we can expect high supply in this zone, therefore, I expect a stronger move to the downside in this case we have the first support at the now support line which was the resistance line before. When looking at this fact we see a nearly three years old resistance level taken out now this gives bitcoin possible space for further continuation. After that level confirmed as support, there is a possibility to take out the higher high 2019 and therefore giving bitcoin room to advance higher, please remember that we have to confirm these scenarios and that the direction can only be measured when bitcoin confirms the scenario right to indicate the next steps, this is how technical analysis should work and it is the difference to mere speculation. It is also the critical thinking of which every trader should handle the market, to activate the brain properly and trade what to see and not what to think or hear from people which call bitcoin to reach 1.000.000 in two weeks.
Okay, my friends, this should give you a picture of the current situation facing bitcoin, remember that we first have to take out the strong resistance above our heads to confirm the broadening wedge as validating otherwise it can still fail and turn into bearish as the consolidation in which we currently trading is still neutral in trading terms, firstly when we close above the resistance we can see bitcoin closing in the bull-zone.
Thanks for watching my analysis, feel free to support my friends and don't forget as I always say:
The ambition to transform opportunities into gold remains the most significant tool for a trader.
In this manner FAREWELL
Information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Crypto-Magnetism, Ethereum Approaching The Equilibrium-RangeHello My Dear Cryptocurrency-Family And All Other Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update-analysis about Ethereum, I made some amazing and interesting discoveries observing the ETHEREUM price chart we have to take a look at it right now, the last day we saw some important signals coming in at other cryptocurrencies, you can watch these when going to my account and look at the charts. For those unfamiliar with the law of supply and demand please read this whole analysis so you have a complete perspective over the situation. Thank you.
So now what do we have here? First of all, we saw some good up-moves coming in the last days and weeks where ETHEREUM approached higher and made almost more than 70 % profit after the bear-trap which I already mentioned in my previous analysis about ETHEREUM. For now, we trading against an important resistance zone it is also the lower boundary of the equilibrium range which you see marked in my chart with the orange range. This level is highly important for ETHEREUM to maintain and develop further because when not we can see a bearish reversal to the downside, firstly touching the upper-trend-line of the falling channel and afterward a possible bear-continuation, this is why that level is so important for Ethereuem to maintain further!
What counters in this overall picture is the law of supply and demand, it is a simple law from economics and it explains the interaction between the sellers of a resource and the buyers for that resource. The theory defines what effect the relationship between the availability of a particular product and the desire (or demand) for that product has on its price. Generally, low supply and high demand increase price and low demand and low supply decrease price. When looking at this amazing fact of the law of supply and demand we can maintain the current situation facing Ethereum, as you can see the equilibrium range fits for normality in price, therefore we are still in the demand-range.
What can we expect from ETHEREUM the next days and weeks? As you can see marked in my chart there is a significant scenario marked with the blue words "If confirmed" which will develop when ETHEREUM establishes to move beyond the important 76.8 % Fibonacci-Resistance Level and also confirm above the orange box, when this will happen we will see an increase in demand and the price will surge like you can see it marked in my chart, the next serious resistance in the structure then is the 61.8 % which marks also the point before the big breakdown happened which brought ETHEREUM more then 50 % downwards. This can be a good place to SHORT, for the current moment I would be careful when shorting ETHEREUM because the possibility is given that we confirm above the scenario.
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In this manner: The Mind of a trader is the most significant tool to succeed in today's markets.
Thanks for watching, have a good weekend ;) Feel free to support for more market-insight.
FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets
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The Truth About Bitcoins Current SituationHello My Dear Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this middle-to-long-term-analysis about the BTCUSDs price movement. As we are still in uncertain terrain right now it is important to look at BITCOIN with a rational head, as it should always be the motto to trade what we see not what we think, many people call for the complete moon shot or the fall to zero the next months this is why I take a calm eye on the current situation facing BTCUSD to point out where we have to go with the bitcoin-adventure to succeed in the markets, the big question in the corona-crisis now for the cryptocurrency market is if bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is an anticyclical investment like food-companies, armor or pharmaceutics. This is the big question now because BITCOIN is still trading between the lines with different bearish and bullish signals coming in as on the other side the economy of many countries of the world is in a confirmed recession and stocks in a confirmed bear market.
Please read the whole analysis to have a full-depth perspective! Thank you.
Halving-Cycles: First of all the third and next halving day will be the 2nd May 2020 this year, it is only one month to go and bitcoin is still stuck in consolidation, today this is the first difference to the last two halving cycles which you see in my chart, there was a clear accumulation before the halving cycles before BITCOIN exploded bullishly to the first halving-cycle target at 1162 and the second halving-cycle target at 19666, now as we have only one month to go and we aren't in a confirmed accumulation right now this is a bad sign that the next halving cycle may not confirm like the last two ones. But this date and the time after this date shouldn't be ignored because as the empirical approach to the last halving-dates shows is that it confirmed every time and BITCOIN made amazing 90.52 times more in price in the first halving cycle and in the second amazing 28.74 times more. Looking at this fact from a mathematical point of view the next confirmed halving-cycle would shoot bitcoin to the moon! But this is only half of the
The 20- And 50- EMA: Now when we look at bitcoins past we saw two confirmed bear-markets at all, these two were confirmed with the 20-EMA and the 50-EMA, as you can see these changes in the trend in my chart, these where confirmed bear-markets. The situation now is whether in a bear nor a bull-market it is still consolidating. But what is important right now, as you can watch it in my chart, is that we are shortly before a bearish confirmation of the 20-EMA crossing the 50-EMA down, as we are trading below the EMAs this could be a possible bearish signal to the downside when we cant develop to trade above the EMAs again, as you can see this signal signaled the confirmed bear-markets in the past, there are also other bearish indications which signal a bearish continuation like the Thunder-CLoud-Suite which closed recently bearish on the weekly chart if the EMAs confirm it will add one more confirmed bearish indicator to the list!
The Big Triangle And Where It Will Be Confirmed:
In anticipation of bitcoins further price-movement we have to keep the big symmetrical triangle in the head, which is still developing and will show a break in either direction. You can see it developing in the middle of the red falling support line and the major rising black trend-line of the whole bitcoin-big-picture. There is a definite end-date where this triangle will end, it will be after the halving date, the triangle will definitely be confirmed at the 14th December this year. This is an important date because it is highly probable that the recession and bear-market decline will still progress at this time, so the outcome can be bearish when BTCUSD confirms to be procyclical going along with the stocks, indices and real estate market. Otherwise when we see bitcoin stabilizing above the 20 and 50 EMA, the thunder cloud suite and other factors at the local time-frame there is the possible breakout to the upside which has to be confirmed definitely with the full break-up of the huge falling red resistance line!
So my friends thank you for watching my analysis, I hope everybody of you could get some important insight and where the journey will bring us the next time, feel free to support, thanks for everybody who is supporting, my friends. As I always say it is the motivation to transform opportunities into gold remains the most significant tool for a trader. this is why we should take the market seriously and make the best of every situation. ;)
FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
BTCs Thrid Attempt, Will It Fail Again At Resistance Or Succeed?_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hello My Dear Traders Investors and Community, today this is an important chart because we are facing a difficult situation in BTCUSD. The BTCUSD mid-to-long-term-chart is full of contrary signals at the moment, as I already mentioned in past analysis, on a mid-to-long-term-perspective we are still in an overall consolidation phase because BTCUSD is trading in a big triangle if you didn't saw these analyses I recommend that you check these out when going on my account and look on the past BTCUSDs charts!
Okay, let's look at the chart. As you can see when zooming in, BTCUSD bounced at the support just as I forecasted, you can see the support marked with the orange box, the support is between 5770 and 5900 now what is important is that we have still plenty of resistance above us, there is the smaller falling red resistance line on the short-term-perspective and the huge falling resistance line on the mid-to-long-term-perspective (Which also builds the upper-line of the triangle we are trading in).
As we are approaching the third time the red-falling-trend-line now I am expecting a pull-back in this region, consolidation is also possible, just similarly as seen with the second attempt to break the resistance. Remember that this is a really strong resistance which brought BTCUSD almost - 58.7 % down, together with the 135-EMA there is a strong resistance-confluence-zone which should be ignored. Now the good news is that when we break these important and strong resistance levels it is a good bullish signal which can be considered for a bullish continuation to the upside. When it breaks it has to confirm fully and the 135-EMA and resistance line should be clearly broken with minimum more than 10 % to the upside, otherwise, it could be still a failure, that sometimes happens when the breakout confirms slowly but not for 100 % and the trend snaps back again in the other direction, it can also be described as a bull-trap.
In this manner, there could be still a possibility for a bull continuation although BTCUSD printed only bearish signs in the last-time not to mention the heavy bearish decline which brought BTCUSD from 9200 to 3900, but when the resistance confirms we have still the 38.2% retracement above us and the strong falling red-resistance line which have to be taken out for a full bullish scenario on the mid-to-long-term-perspective.
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The amount of good luck coming your way depends on your willingness to act.
Feel free to support for more valuable insight, thanks for your support, my friends! ;)
FAREWELL
Information is only educational and should not used to be for taking action in the markets.
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These Are The Obstacles BTCUSD Is Currently Facing._______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hello, Traders Investors And Community, Today I discuss some important observations I made the last time looking at the BTCUSD-chart, what I already mentioned in recent middle-to-long term analysis of BTCUSD watching the Daily-to-Weekly price-chart of BTC is that we are still in an overall consolidation period as I already pointed out the importance of the three-major trend-lines we have in this picture now, once it is the huge resistance above our heads which you see in the chart marked with the red straight trend-line and the red dotted trend-line, there is also the black rising trend-line which holds the structure and the blue falling trend-line which formed from the lower-lows in the past months, as I already said this overall formation is still neutral so, I highly recommend to you that you watch my analysis where I determined the shape of our situation to have an overall picture of what is going on now:
Now, what you can see in my chart, is, that we got rejected two times in a major confluence zone which plays an important role in determining bitcoins further movement. The first time we got rejected in this confluence-zone BTCUSD provided a 57 % drop-down to the low at 3850 from which we saw this slowly establishing up-trend to the recent point and the recent second rejection at this confluence-zone. What does the second rejection mean? It is possible that BTCUSD falls more because this is such a strong important level, the good news is that we have support below us which BTCUSD will first recognize at the 5800 - 6000 range. When this level cant be held and bitcoins drop more down the next support-range is between 5800 and 5000. These levels building a logical triangle with the falling and dotted red resistance line and the falling blue trend-line as you can see in this chart, if we approach these levels before moving up I am expecting a healthy development of support in this range.
Furthermore, if we establish the support in this arena we can expect some up-moves there, but, to have a decent bull-continuation we first have to break the falling red-line to the upside, which isn't impossible for sure but it is still a strong resistance level. On the other side, we have the 45-EMA which plays into the confluence-zone, it will also be a highly respected resistance level which first has to be taken out to initiate a further up-trend! So what we do have now at hand? On the one side, it is a -bullish scenario showing decent moves after the confirmation of support, but with more than one obstacle in the way and still resistance above us, to provide a confirmed up-trend BCTUSD has first the task to take the major strong falling red trendline out. On the other side it is the -bearish scenario which kicks in when we cross the rising black trend-line down, this scenario is possible but when it forms it will take some time and it will be recognized as the scenario because BTCUSD won't be to hold the support between 5000 and 5800. The bullish scenario is definitely possible and I know many of you want the bullish scenario to be confirmed as it is also the healthiest way in the markets and everybody is happy but we have to see the confirmation first as I explained, we are still in a financial crisis, and as the coronafears and the economy all over is recovering a little bit, step by step, that does not mean we are in a solid confirmed bullish environment, this includes bitcoin as well as the major indices, stocks, and gold.
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In this manner: The Pessimist Sees Difficulty In Every Opportunity. The Optimist Sees Opportunity In Every Difficulty.
Thanks, For Watching! Have a good day!
Information provided is only educational and should not used to be for market purposes.
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BITCOINS Valuable Fractal Development In This STARTING-HOLES!!_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hello traders investors and community, there are a lot of signs in the BTCUSD chart which tell us that there is already much resistance above us, but as I said already in previous analysis the coronavirus fears on the markets and economy all over showing signs of stabilization after the major panics rose through the markets the last days and weeks, that is why we see some little up-bouncing after the heavy decline and therefore we can expect that bitcoin remains slowly to touching the ups-side resistance lines, which we have of course between 6450 and 6900, thats why the price is sluggish right now and the volatility seen before is turning down.
But what is more important and what I found out analysing the chart is that bitcoin can possibly develop a third fractal of this significant structure which first traded below the EMA and confirmed it as resistance and after that moved back up with heavy and healthy bull-moves, you can see this fractals which already developed in the chart marked with the dark blue boxes and the numbers "1" and "2" in red, there is amazing symmilarity with the first, second and third possible fractal now, all of these confirmed the 20-Day-EMA as resistance before developing a consolidation and finally moving steady up-wards:
What was also catching my eye in this structure was the support which is developing in the falling black support-line and the rising black-support line, we have great convergence at this level, it is highly likely possible that when bitcoin touches this level we can confirm that level as support, I marked it also with the green cycle when this level is touched and bitcoin establishes an up-rise from there we can expect a third fractal forming just as seen before, the structure would originally match into this formation.
Taking this information into consideration we can say that a possible pull-back into the support zone at the support-lines can wait on us, this will be a great opportunity for bitcoin to test these levels, there is a great possibility to confirm it also as support, but when looking from the trading-perspective it is important to wait here for a definite confirmation on these levels otherwise bitcoin can also fall lower! Remember that when we cross this black rising trend-line there is a bearish zone which I already mentioned in the previous analysis. In such times it is always the wisest opportunity to wait until a pattern or fractal confirmed and then take the inevitable initiative with the given market information. For now, I see much resistance and bitcoin will have a hard time coming up, otherwise, this can change after a second or third confirmation of the given support levels and a strong breakout.
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In this manner: "The key to success is to focus on goals, not obstacles."
Have a nice day my friends! Wish you all good trading profits in these volatile times! For more worthwhile insights feel free to support!
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
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Empirical Approach to Past Bearmarkets And The Current Situation_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hello traders investors and community, today I look empirically on the bear markets bitcoin suffered in the past and an important signal which we saw in the bear markets and which is repeating right now, the last weeks were highly volatile and the coronavirus shocked the whole markets up, not just the cryptocurrency market-landscape, also all-important index and stock markets.
However, I am expecting a cool down the next days and weeks from the fears as the economic-structure is recovering from the panic on the markets, that's why we can expect some moves to the upside, but that doesn't mean bitcoin is completely out of the woods, we have strong and serious resistance above us!
I recommend to you that you read the whole analysis to have a complete outlook on the situations:
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We have a strong resistance above us and there is this devastating thunder cloud suite signal which provided the final change in direction in the past bear markets, I already did an analysis on this some time ago as I pointed out it now turned to the downside, you can see it in the chart:
In this analysis, my point was to show how the market could turn bearish when the weekly close closes below the thunder cloud suite, which it already did in past events turning from bullish to bearish. As you can see it in the chart marked with the red cycle it signaled originally the bear markets of 2014 and 2018.
Please look also at this major important trend-line which has its origins at the very beginnings of the bitcoin eras, this trend-line is so devastatingly important that in the bullish scenario it has to be secured from breaking down-side. The point now is that when bitcoin doesn't manage to stabilize above this trend-line it will give another bearish signal for bearish continuation. What is also important in this structure is the 100-EMA and the 200-EMA which also supported the last two confirmed bear-markets with a first confirmation below the 200-EMA before moving below the 100-EMA. When we break the 100-EMA down this will be devastatingly difficult.
As the Thunder Cloud Suite Signal is already a heavy-handed important fact which shouldn't be ignored! Because it was so reliable in the past this could also be the next time now. Please look also at the consolidation phase happened after the second signal provided the second bear-market in 2018, there was a looong consolidation-phase before finally going down, this could also be the case now, creating a longer consolidation phase between the black-trend-line, the 100 EMA, the 200 EMA and below the thunder cloud suite which already closed weekly in the bearish zone.
So we have some important bearish signals that we have to consider now as reasonable, but as I already pointed out in my recent analysis bitcoin is in an overall consolidation phase which hasn't already ended, there is the possibility given that the Thunder-Cloud-Suite-Signal is actually a fake-out and that it turns bullish after the consolidation-phase has confirmed, but for now, this is not the most reliable scenario to depend on:
The next days and weeks we can expect bitcoin to remain in the consolidation channel as mentioned in my analysis, but there is plenty of resistance above us and with this information given we can say that when bitcoin starts to approach higher it will have a difficult time to do that, for that reason I consider the bearish scenario after the consolidation phase has finally ended as highly possible but that can turn when we take out these massive resistance levels above us and close above the red falling dotted trend-line you can see in the chart above the current price action.
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In this manner: "The grand aim of all science is to cover the greatest number of empirical facts by logical deduction from the smallest number of hypotheses or axioms."
Have a good day and starting in the weeks! Wish you all luck, happiness and of course good trading profit! ;)
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
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BTCUSD - Trading between the Lines, Time to make a Decision. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hello traders investors and community, like many people talking about the next bull or bear phase I want to have a rational look on the things going on, as of talking, technically we are still in an overall big consolidation phase.
As you can see in my chart we have this long long important support line just below us, this support line has its origins at the very beginnings of bitcoin in 2013. This support line needs to hold otherwise bitcoin will visit the bearish zone and go playing with the fishes, it will be a definite bearish signal when we cross this support line to the downside. What is the good thing right now is that we are in a neutral position where the potential for a possible bull continuation is given.
On the other side, there is also a huge resistance which is marked in red in the chart and stands for a crucial step in turning bullish for bitcoin, this resistance is important to be broken when we consider the bullish scenario. Also we have the two trend-lines consolidating into each other, the support trend-line and the resistance trend-line, they are forming an ultimate "Decision Process End-Date" as you can see it marked with the blue vertical line in the chart and it is the 29th of November, until this date the definite decision will happen.
What is with the halving cycle? The important halving cycle which I predicted in a previous forecast can technically still develop, we have the "Bitcoin Halving Date" on the 13th of May, after this date is possible for bitcoin to see a surge in price as seen after previous halving dates but remember until the price hasn't confirmed the huge crucial resistance above us as support bitcoin is still in a neutral consolidation phase and the potential to turning bearish again is given.
The corona fears going on and the panic on the markets shouldn't be ignored, as for now, many countries increase the restrictions against the public. We have a confirmed recession in the US and the stock market is down. In this case, bitcoin can form an anticyclical market movement in the other direction but that has to be, as I already mentioned, confirmed in the structure and we saw the last days how fast bitcoin can turn bearish taken off by the corona fear sellings.
In this manner "Success is not final; failure is not fatal: It is the courage to continue that counts."
Information provided is only educational and should not used to be for market purposes.
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XRPUSD - 2.87 Year Old Trend-Line Broken, What Comes Next?!_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hello, Hello, Hello! Traders, Investors and Community! Welcome to this tremendous significant RIPPLE / US DOLLAR analysis, I detected some important signs of where we heading the next weeks and months and important support levels which we need to hold.
The corona fears going on these days and the markets showing volatility never seen for years. For wise traders that doesn't mean crying! For wise traders that does mean searching for profitable opportunities!
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As you can see in my chart RIPPLE just broke down a very very very important support trend-line which was there for 1043 days that means 2.87 in years.
This trend-line held the whole structure up and now it is broken, as for now this break looks like a bear-trap BUT that does not mean we are out of the woods, as you can see in my chart we have a huge bearish zone below the trend-line.
For now, I see some steady up-trends coming the next weeks and months but these up-trends will trade into resistance right above RIPPLES head, you can see it marked with the resistance levels and the major important falling trend-line which first need to be surpassed to develop further up-trends.
The 50 and 200 EMA marked in orange and purple showing resistance also, which means we have another confluence for resistance in the area. When the price touching this area it is important to show good bullish continuation signs otherwise ripple will fall back into the bearish zone which would accomplish a slow death ride to lower levels.
Considering this scenario, trade on the SHORT side will be appropriate when a reversal confirmed but for now, the price first has to visit these areas.
When dividing the chart into bullish, neutral and bearish areas there are, as mentioned clear obstacles in the neutral zone for ripple to turn bullish:
For the next weeks and months we can expect some good up-moves coming but what hold ripple back in this structure are the few resistance levels that shouldn't be ignored. When these levels confirm as resistance a SHORT trade will be appropriate otherwise we have to watch out for a possible bullish confirmation leaving the obstacles
in the neutral zone behind and confirm the turning-point into the green bullish area as seen in my chart.
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Thanks for watching my analysis! Hopefully, it will be profitable for you. There are always opportunities in markets also in times of great fear or greed, good treaders keep a cool head and look for the golden apples popping up ;)
For more market insight feel free to support.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in markets.
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