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VIX CBOE Volatility Index

$UVXY above $30, brings $60+CBOE:UVXY has two big hurdles it needs to make it over before it can see higher prices. 1. It needs to get over the 200DMA (light blue line) 2. It needs to get over $30 As you can see, price has been consolidating in a channel since the August spike and IMO is almost ready for a big move. I think this move will likely take place the second half of February and potentially into March. I'll be looking at buying call options for 3/7 expiration, or 3/21 is even safer. I think the move is likely to hit the $71 level on the chart, and could potentially go as high as the top resistance (however I don't see that as very likely). To me, most probable target is $78-82 right below the trend line. Let's see how it plays out.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by benjihyam
49
Will the Fear Gauge Flash Red?The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street's closely watched "fear gauge," is poised for a potential surge due to US President Donald Trump's assertive policy agenda. This article examines the confluence of factors, primarily Trump's planned tariffs and escalating geopolitical tensions, that are likely to inject significant uncertainty into the financial markets. Historically, the VIX has proven to be a reliable indicator of investor anxiety, spiking during economic and political instability periods. The current climate, marked by a potential trade war and heightened international risks, suggests a strong likelihood of increased market volatility and a corresponding rise in the VIX. President Trump's impending "Liberation Day" tariffs, set to target all countries with reciprocal duties, have already sparked considerable concern among economists and financial institutions. Experts at Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan predict that these tariffs will lead to higher inflation, slower economic growth, and an elevated risk of recession in the US. The sheer scale and breadth of these tariffs, affecting major trading partners and critical industries, create an environment of unpredictability that unsettles investors and compels them to seek protection against potential market downturns, a dynamic that typically drives the VIX upward. Adding to the market's unease are the growing geopolitical fault lines involving the US and both China and Iran. Trade disputes and strategic rivalry with China, coupled with President Trump's confrontational stance and threats of military action against Iran over its nuclear program, contribute significantly to global instability. These high-stakes international situations, fraught with the potential for escalation, naturally trigger investor anxiety and a flight to safety, further fueling expectations of increased market volatility as measured by the VIX. In conclusion, the combination of President Trump's aggressive trade policies and the mounting geopolitical risks presents a compelling case for a significant rise in the VIX. Market analysts have already observed this trend, and historical patterns during similar periods of uncertainty reinforce the expectation of heightened volatility. As investors grapple with the potential economic fallout from tariffs and the dangers of international conflicts, the VIX will likely serve as a crucial barometer, reflecting the increasing fear and uncertainty permeating the financial landscape.
CBOE:VIXLong
by UDIS_View
Nasdaq 100 Volatility. US Tech Stocks Remain 'Runoff Smelling'It's gone two months or so... (Duh..? WTF.. only two monts, really? 😸) since comrade Trump entered The White House (again). Everyone was on a rush, chatting endless "Blah-Blah-Blah", "I-crypto-czar", "crypto-capital-of-the-world", "we-robot", "mambo-jumbo", "super-duper", AI, VR and so on hyped bullsh#t. - And now?.. - It's gone. It's absolutely gone..! Leveraged bets and crypto assets turned into Bearish market; all four major US indices (S&P500, DJIA, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000) are negative over the past two months, while Gold OANDA:XAUUSD has doubled in price over the past 5 years (4th time in history ever), and remain the only is premium positioned. This is why we at our 💖 Beloved @PandorraResearch Team decided to paint this idea for Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index CBOE:VXN to emphasize (again) that nothing last forever and no one should chase a feather, or dust in the wind. Broadly-known ominously among investors as the "fear index" and launched by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (now the Cboe) in 1993, the Volatility Index (VIX) is meant to present the market's expectation of volatility over the coming 30 days. The metric is derived from options prices on the S&P 500 Index and captures the anticipated swings that drive investor sentiment. In recent years, the VIX has become a far more central index, especially during periods of financial turbulence, such as the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. During these stretches, spikes in the VIX reflected widespread anxiety; during others, it's been a crucial barometer for market participants seeking a glimpse into investors' collective psyche. When the VIX is low, this suggests calm seas ahead. When it spikes, it signals approaching storms. Every single stock index do have its own volatility. This story (again) is about Cboe NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index CBOE:VXN The Cboe NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index (VXN) is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by NASDAQ-100 Index (NDX) option prices. It measures the market's expectation of 30-day volatility implicit in the prices of near-term NASDAQ-100 options. VXN is quoted in percentage points, just like the standard deviation of a rate of return, e.g. 19.36. Cboe disseminates the VXN index value continuously during trading hours. The VXN Index is a leading barometer of investor sentiment and market volatility relating to the NASDAQ-100 Index. Learn more about Methodology for Calculation of the VXN Index, using official CBOE website. Technical observations The main technical graph indicates that CBOE:VXN Index has recently jumped to current 'above 20' basic points. In nowadays 'above 20' VXN levels indicate on further potentail Bearish progress in US Tech Stocks (Nasdaq 100 Index NASDAQ:NDX ). -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
CBOE:VXN
by PandorraResearch
$VIX spike to $80-100 incomingI think there's a large spike coming in VIX despite most people turning bullish on the market and bearish on the VIX. Price has maintained elevated levels for the past few months, all of the RSIs are in extreme bullish territory and the move looks very similar to the spike that we got on August 5th. Have no clue what will cause it, whether it's the fed meeting, gov't shutdown or some other outside factor, but the chart is looking like we should see a spike next week up to the $80-103 level. Let's see how it plays out.
TVC:VIXLong
by benjihyam
8
VIX PARABOLIC means MAJOR DROP, we are on that zone now. After VIX's massive breakout this past few weeks -- rendering the market helpless bringing forth a bleeding season, VIX is bound for a major drop after tapping a strong resistance level. That parabolic move should warrant a weighty trim down ahead in the next few weeks. Expect markets across the board, from equities/crypto/fx majors/gold to bounce big from here on. Ideal opportunity to enter here relative to your preferred asset to trade. Spotted at 27.85 Interim target 20.0 Mid Target 15.0
TVC:VIXShort
by JSAL
1
Nasdaq Bank Index 2025 Edition — Let's Make Sh#t Great Again.President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policies, we at @PandorraResearch Team characterize as a term "Tariff Bazooka", have significantly destabilized the Nasdaq Bank Index NASDAQ:BANK , reflecting broader financial sector vulnerabilities and investor anxiety. These tariffs, including a 25% levy on imports from Canada and Mexico, a 20% duty on Chinese goods, and proposed reciprocal tariffs, — have triggered cascading multi effects on banking stocks through several paths. Market Volatility and Investor Flight The Nasdaq Bank Index, which tracks major U.S. financial institutions, has been disproportionately impacted by tariff-driven uncertainty: Sharp Equity Declines. Since Trump announced reciprocal tariffs in February 2025, the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC dropped over 10% from its December 2024 peak, erasing $1 trillion in tech-sector value. Banking stocks, sensitive to macroeconomic shifts, mirrored this downturn as investors fled equities for safer assets. Risk-Off Sentiment. Bonds rallied as tariffs sparked fears of stagflation—a combination of stagnant growth and rising inflation—prompting a 30-basis-point drop in 10-year Treasury yields. This flight to safety squeezed bank profitability, as narrower yield curves reduce net interest margins. Economic Contagion Mechanisms Interest Rate Pressures. Tariffs have raised input costs for businesses, contributing to inflationary pressures. The Federal Reserve now faces a dilemma: tolerate higher inflation or hike rates to curb it. Either scenario harms banks. Elevated rates could suppress loan demand and increase default risks, while delayed rate cuts prolong financial tightening. Trade Retaliation and Sectoral Risks. Canada, Mexico, and China have retaliated with tariffs on $155 billion (Canada) and unspecified billions (China, Mexico) of U.S. goods. For banks, this raises exposure to sectors like agriculture, manufacturing, and automotive - industries heavily reliant on cross-border trade. Loan defaults could surge if protected industries fail to offset higher costs. Global Financial System Strain. Trump’s tariffs risk fragmenting the rules-based trading system, undermining the stability that banks depend on for international transactions. The EU and other regions may retaliate by restricting U.S. financial services, directly impacting revenue streams for Wall Street firms. Sector-Specific Impacts Tech-Finance Nexus. Many Nasdaq-listed banks have significant exposure to tech firms, which face disrupted supply chains due to tariffs on Chinese components. This dual pressure — higher operational costs for clients and reduced tech-sector valuations — weakens banks’ asset quality. Consumer Credit Risks. Tariffs on everyday goods (e.g., 25% on Mexican produce, 10% on Canadian energy) could elevate household expenses, straining consumer creditworthiness and increasing delinquency rates for retail banks. Projected Outcomes Economists estimate Trump’s tariffs could reduce U.S. GDP growth by 1.5 percentage points in 2025, with a stagflationary shock amplifying equity sell-offs. For the Nasdaq Bank Index, this implies prolonged volatility, compressed earnings, and potential credit rating downgrades as macroeconomic headwinds intensify. Technical challenge The main technical graph of Nasdaq Bank Index NASDAQ:BANK indicates on further Bearish trend in development, since major supports (nearly 5-month flat bottom and 52-weeks SMA) have been recently broken. Conclusion In conclusion, Trump’s tariff strategy has acted as a destabilizing force for financial markets, with the Nasdaq Bank Index serving as a barometer for sector-wide risks. By exacerbating economic uncertainty, inflation, and trade fragmentation, these policies have eroded investor confidence and heightened systemic vulnerabilities in the banking sector. -- Best 'sh#t hits the fan' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ:BANK
by PandorraResearch
Greatest Volatility of all times is approaching...#vix the volatility index has been accumulating since covid 2020 crash. In higher time frame, TVC:VIX has broken out in 5th August 2024 and it was just a test!.. Then continued consolidation till this time , also doing the retest. at this zone, accumulation of the 2020 covid crash for a new impulsive wave!.. In lower time frame , several days ago VIX broke out the accumulation zone coming from 5th August and this warns you about your greedy positions my friends. We haven' t seen a real great volatility since covid crash and VIX chart is getting alarming. You' ve been warned. Not financial advice. Temporary INVALIDATION: If VIX dumps below 13 zone , this will be more secure. Below 10 is the main invalidation.
TVC:VIXLong
by naphyse
12
VIX/USDT.D - Is crypto the next volatility? I like to follow unusual ratios. I also regularly follow those that make sense for at least a few years. VIX/USDT.D is one of them. What I see when I examine the chart actually makes me think that no matter how positive I try to think, there is a high probability of a southward price movement for crypto assets. I predict that we will see more volatility in crypto assets than in the classical markets in the coming period and that this will be bearish for crypto assets. Good luck to everyone.
TVC:VIXShort
by ladedimone
S&P500 Index Goes 'Draconian', ahead of Roller Coaster ExplosionThe S&P 500's "roller coaster" behavior stems from its sensitivity to various economic, geopolitical, and market-specific factors that influence investor sentiment and corporate performance. Economic Factors: Changes in interest rates, inflation, and Federal Reserve policies significantly impact the index. For example, rising interest rates can reduce corporate earnings and valuations, leading to market sell-offs. Conversely, expectations of rate cuts can boost optimism and drive rallies. Investor Sentiment and Volatility: The S&P 500 is closely tied to the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), often called the "fear gauge." The VIX rises during market downturns as investors seek portfolio protection, amplifying price swings. This inverse correlation highlights how fear or optimism can drive sharp movements in the index. Global Events: Geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or pandemics can disrupt markets by creating uncertainty about future economic performance. Such events often lead to sudden spikes or drops in the S&P 500 as investors react to perceived risks. Valuation Cycles: Overvaluation or bubbles in specific sectors can lead to corrections. For instance, high price-to-earnings ratios combined with slower economic growth can result in prolonged periods of stagnation or volatility. These factors collectively create the "roller coaster" effect begun in the S&P 500. // Life is like a roller coaster, as you don't know what's going to be thrown at you next, so all you can do is give us your best shot. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
CBOE:SPX
by PandorraResearch
VIX going higher: Sector Rotation UnderwayTVC:VIX is the tool I use for market timing. It tells us a lot. When it spikes to a Resistance (often 50% of the last major high) that tends to be a market bottom. But when you see what it is doing the last few weeks: Closing sustainably higher each bar... you know the market is pricing in more volatility. VIX is known as the "fear index" and you can extrapolate that out to see that fear is increasing. The VIX is also the most forward looking indicator I have found for the stock market. All signs point to more broad market downside. Another thing going on in context is a clear Sector Rotation. I noticed this last week but today's look at the Sector ETFs make it more clear. Not everything is down; AMEX:XLP and AMEX:XLU are up even as AMEX:SPY makes new lows. What this tells me is that investors are fleeing into "quality" stocks with low volatility and that pay dividends. I'm currently sitting in cash, waiting for opportunities, and hedged some of my long term tax advantage accounts in AMEX:SH
CBOE:VIXLong
by norok
3
VIX daily - opex weekend at 28th FebWe are heading into an OPEX this 28th of Feb. Volatility is running and seems like fear is all over. Crypto is crashing and people are talking about fear and losing everything.... Well, the big whales are buying the dip and Eric Trump just tweeted about buying the dips. For having a bottom process, it is essential to see the TVC:VIX hit that 23-25 area while its #RSI should be around 70 on the Daily chart. In that way, we are more likely to have the bottom area and see the market turn and hard. The US10Y is now at 4.3% which is going down and pushes the NASDAQ:TLT to higher prices. I lean to the local bottom around 580-585 in the AMEX:SPY with a nice capitulation move that seems to be coming exactly with the OPEX and with liquidity issues in the entire market and in crypto. I am looking to buy the dip and keep adding to my long positions in crypto. CRYPTOCAP:AVAX CRYPTOCAP:ETH CRYPTOCAP:BTC $PAAL $DSYNC $AINTI AMEX:NHC LSE:ALU MYX:ASTRA $XBG and much more.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by thestockspicker94
Market Open: VXX Pops...This morning, the VIX popped to $19.26, not seeing levels like this since the Jan. 27th, 2025 jump to $19.93, where the SPY saw an almost 3% drop, NASDAQ dropped 5%. We saw concerns of heightened market uncertainty, with investors weighing robust consumer spending against mixed economic signals. There were murmurs that the subdued durable goods orders and emerging signs of slowing GDP growth might signal that the current momentum is hard to sustain. Additionally, dovish cues from the Fed—which hint at a more cautious approach to rate hikes—raised questions about whether these measures could ultimately mask underlying inflationary pressures and economic challenges. On the corporate front, the market was further rattled by underwhelming earnings reports from several key technology players, a sector that had previously driven much of the market’s optimism. This divergence in performance—where defensive sectors such as consumer staples and financials held their ground while growth stocks stumbled—added to the overall anxiety. Finally, the backdrop of ongoing geopolitical tensions and sporadic trade disputes continued to contribute to a risk-off sentiment, ensuring that market volatility remains elevated. Follow us for more Financial & Investment News at @MyMIWallet
SKILLING:VXX
by MyMIWallet
Prepere yourself for buying opportunities ... So there we are ... CPI little bit higher than exceptating , powel clearly talks about monetary policy and Trump goin wild with tarrifs ... what to except in this macro&political economic driven environment ? I don't think it will grow to extreme values ​​now. Rather, there will be some more carving and from a short-term perspective an opportunity to buy at a good price ... Well, it is very important, at least for me in this environment of a trade war combined with a period when historically the Fed has raised rates and not lowered them as many expect. It is important to take profits and hold losses short and uncompromisingly exit losing positions. The year 2025 will be full of opportunities, which goes hand in hand with pain. What is heaven for one guy is hell for another guy. I am a fan of everyone who tries to make money in this environment and I hope to rob you of your money. Because that is what the market is about. Good luck and enjoy your game
TVC:VIX
by STLMfx
1
[02/03] SPX Weekly GEX OutlookSPX shifted into a strong sideways trend after recent market whipsaws, but premarket today saw a sharp sell-off. Now, let’s break down the GEX levels set for Friday’s weekly expiration (first weekly expiry). These are already reflected in today’s GEX data—check them on your indicator! COMMENT: This week, we’ve started updating our seamless GEX & options indicators before the market opens . This has been a long-standing request from users—especially 0DTE traders, who will likely benefit the most. Key GEX Levels for SPX 📍 Highest Positive Call Wall (Call Resistance): 6075 Acted as resistance last Friday, as it often does initially. 📍 Sideways Zone: 6000-6070 (Transition Zone with GAMMA flip) Wide Transition Zone → Expect high volatility or slow drifting within this range. Easy flow between positive and negative GEX profiles, meaning potential sharp moves in either direction. 📍 Put Support (Sum 4DTE): 5900 Very deep support—market is clearly pricing in fear of a potential future drop. 📌Below 6000, there are only negative NetGEX strikes down to 5900, which signals a lack of strong support until that level. What This Means for the Week 📊 SPX opened (gapped down) in negative GEX territory—if buyers don’t reclaim this zone, we are in for a highly volatile week, potentially with a spiking VIX. 🚫 No reason for bullish optimism unless we break above 6070—until then, expect uncertainty and potential downside pressure. PS: FINAL GEX ZONE COLORING SHEET
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade