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Vixfutures

ridethepig | VIX Panic Cycle?📍 The main function of the VIX appears to be miles ahead of the relevant flows. In this sense, it itself tends to be mobile. And yet (for it has great vitality!) it is not rare to witness it display considerable activity. Namely: 1️⃣ From the initial ' Swing the Vix into Fed and Q close ' the Vix was prepared . 2️⃣ A certain elasticity, which shows itself in the 'Capitulation Waters' was appropriate to generate the energetic slingshot given the appropriate circumstance. 3️⃣ The journey looked so promising, connection breaks in Vol are usually one way express trains. Stay long. 4️⃣ If we can continue the advance in the absence of capitalism, we are set for a measured return on the expectation of normality but only with more clarity on the timing side. Once reality hits shore, the masses will realise they were sold a turd. 5️⃣ The home run!! A flawless (and serious contender for trade of the year btw) 600%+ swing from the 11/12 lows all the way to 85. Now to put the icing and sprinkles on top, we had to take care of business at the 85 highs. 6️⃣ ...here we are. After a round trip we are back to the strong support at 25 and just below the centre of the flow at 38. The power to develop knowingly here and systematically, unlike during the middle of Covid is to the buyers advantage. The effect of the cycle ending will convey more than one quarter's worth of damage. As soon as the stabilisers (stimulus) is turned off, we are heading for a Sovereign Debt Crisis .
CBOE:VIXLong
by ridethepig
11
[TVIX] June Price Target Exit Points... You're Gonna Need ThisOk people, things are about ready to boil over here. Everyone is holding their breath and crossing their fingers that all the economic data dropping first week of June 'won't be as bad as expected' so the market will then rebound. It's all hopes and dreams though. It's gonna be worse, decent chance of MUCH worse. If we get to the end of June, and I have to sell off my $150 TVIX at $100 because it was all smooth sailing the whole month. So f*ckin be it. I'll hold my head high and take the L. But I aint missing a play that could pay up to 5x (proven just two months ago) within a couple weeks when fundamentals are the worst in a century and the global economy is running on hopes and dreams lol. What a setup. ---------------------- Today the price hit the lowest we'll see in awhile at $138 and climbed to $144 by close, that's the bottom. I also expect that we move out of the buy zone by June 5th and begin harvest preparations. You're probably reading this after the spike but here's the targets for the few active TVIX riders out there: Buy Targets: >$280 = Do not buy (risk/reward ratio starts looking substantially worse here) $205-$280 = Okay value $180-$205 = Good value $150-$180 = Great value <$150 = You're crazy like me Sell Targets based on Volume Profile of spike two months ago: $390 - Will sell 20% of my shares $600 - Will sell another 20% chunk $750 - Another 20% $920 - Another 20% Best Value - Final 20% trying to catch the peak :) If at any point a peak looks imminent, prior to the estimated peak here, will dump all. Not trying to be a hero here. Lets hope for a bountiful June harvest :).
TLong
by ProfitHarvest
6
[TVIX] Indicators and Support Pointing toward BreakoutCheckout that upward support trend from May 12th low. That is particularly interesting given the nature of the TVIX to constantly fall lower. Lookout for ADX crossing the DPO, better the divergence the stronger the trend. Also lookout for RVI crossing and holding just above RSI, could be a leading indicator here of upward movement. Those indicators are really both primed signaling a pretty strong buy right now. MACD still terrifying, it's clear something has to break. I'm betting that the news dropping 1st week of June with ensure that break is downward. I'll be looking to expand my position Thursday and probably get my last bets in Friday before close. Maybe hold till weekend but unlikely we'll need to. Prepare for the harvest!
TLong
by ProfitHarvest
10
[TVIX] 1D, 4H, 1H and 30M All Lined Up for ReferenceMostly reference purposes here. What an epic setup. Buy Signals: 1. RSI flipping from buy to sell on the 1D and 4H and holding closely to the sell dashed line in the 4H or 30M 2. OBV trend change, up or down in the 1D or 4H overall but here the 1H and 30M will give quicker signals of the trend change 3. 1D VPT as RSI flipping from buy to sell and 4h holding close to sell dashed line, 1H should hold to buy dashed line at start of uptrend, 30M should be very volatile crossing both dashed lines back and forth frequently. 4. MACD on the 30 and 1H breaking through zero (We've got 3 beautiful waves in both charts that are still waiting on a fourth due anytime *cough*June*cough*), MACD lines on 1D and 4H primed to break up too 5. POC trending 30M>1H>4H>1D (This ones tricky to dial in properly but that's the idea) There's a lot more there, just some zoomed perspective for all the TVIX riders out there.
TLong
by ProfitHarvest
1
VIX long I usually do not post vix trades... however After some attention was brought to me by traders in my circle.. I have an interesting comparison vix long dated contracts look to be a play uncertainty is in the air... election, virus woes, economic data coming out that is brutal, fed running out of ammo, warren buffet not buying, old large cash sitting out this rally, not wanting to buy the top here... only makes sense we see a spike in volatility and a drop in the broader indices to retest lows or take them out going into 2021 from an expert on vix "Right now you are paying almost 0 carry on the futures, ie. it costs nothing to hold them (VIX = medium term futures). If you hold a VIX ETN, you will have a rolling exposure to the medium term futures always... basically both short term and long term futures cost the same to hold right now (usually long term futures much more expensive). So your exposure will be purely directional from a "cost" standpoint. Short term will be more volatile, medium term less volatile. But have to pay attention to the curve in case that dynamic changes." enjoy... good luck to all traders
TVC:SPXLong
by Freshly_Snipes
SDOWI noticed a few things happening in the markets. 1. The DJIA has dropped from 29k all the way down to 18k in couple days. 2. SDOW has hit record lows while DJIA puts in lower Highs 3. VIX is still above 30 and has been above 60 during this crash. The market is pumped up by all these stimulus packages the Don keeps creating, but is still struggling to get back above 25k, while the SDOW is priced as if the DJIA is above ATH's on the DJIA, mix this with the large div between the VIX & SDOW got me thinking when the market crashes (when I said) SDOW will need to play catch up, even if the crash is not as bad % wise as the most recent crash. I am looking for $24 to enter but may close all my longs and enter soon, depends on how the market reacts today. We could stay flat today then open on Monday for 1 last pump to 26-27k next week or we could just start crashing B4 this. So I am monitoring all this as we speak.
AMEX:SDOWLong
by Big_Mike716
4
Being Brave when others are fearful. VIX near all-time highContinuation of my previous VIX idea. RSI just crossed 70 and Volumes show that Long Volatility is a crowded trade. I will open the position with the 50% of my idle cash so NOT All-in but not a small bet. I am sure traders can find better/higher prices, but i just don't want to lose this opportunity. SL @97.13, TP@19.28, Risk/Reward 2 as usual. IMPORTANT NOTE: DO NOT OPEN A MARGIN POSITION with this trade or in this environment, we are in a thin liquidity market. You want to provide liquitidy for margin callers, not demand it for your margin call.
CBOE:VIXShort
by nikvo1990
2
ridethepig | VIX Positional PlayLet me begin by congratulating all shorts from the 85 highs , perfect timing in another flawless VIX swing traded live together...btw that is now sharing its significant anniversary moves with a historic crash in Global Equities. Mission accomplished! Sellers of Vol can now really consider themselves as an integral player caught in decent profit taking areas which also happen to be the middle of a WIDE range and to put the cherry on top, buyers of Volatility are still under further protection from the virus impact.... it's time to pay attention. As you look at it be sure to notice how the inner strength which belonging to those who bought the initial breakout, failed immediately on the 85 target as expected. We could go on to consider many points which are worth considering, but for the sake of today's example we are going to look at the bullish cash here. Before we turn to the next strategy, we must sum things up: Volatility Cycles you see, project a point in defensive or attacking behaviour as they expect strategic advances of capital flows. It always comes down to the same situation: any swing complex which could be called sound, must always take in the brutal component of Volatility. It is the centrepiece for measuring confidence...and the return to 'normal' life after covid-19 (whatever that means) is all down to confidence. How fast the consumer comes back and managing these expectations is the one to track and it boils down to whether people have the confidence to return to hotels, travel, shops, bars, restaurants etc. The great charter we have traded together so far has played a vital part in predicting decisions and the economic cycle down. Now it is no surprise...It was an essential ingredient for the insane moves I forecast right on time in Unemployment claims. Economists are the unsung heroes of the financial world and their role as academics will only be recognised by politicians by the time it is too late. Selecting important movers and shakers, preparing flows and insuring facts and history align and summarising the strategy precisely all require expertise, intelligence, care and effort. The moment one starts the think about it, one realises how great an impact economic strategy must have on the development of finance. The VIX is in a position of being able to bring together its own herd of early sellers - those betting on the virus to be a one and done quick bounce, then everything is neatly protected again and the shepherd can turn to other matters with a clear mind. No...the stupid sheep will run away from the shepherd - watch-out for the flock, smells to me like the virus ending has one final manoeuvre and a sweep of 100 for a blockbuster headline would be an easily won ending. Remember, the necessity for sellers to clear shorts from the 85 highs is both strategic and planned! We are entering into key value support. This case for a fresh high in VIX would coincide with a fresh low in Global Equities, another round of demand for USD on the G10 FX board (see related ideas below)....it opens many doors, correct handling of the strategy indicates an extremely difficult few weeks ahead and requires exact knowledge of how to play the advance. So I must leave you, dear reader to your own devices, and hope that fate is kind to you. As usual thanks for keeping the support coming with likes, comments, charts and etc!
TVC:VIXLong
by ridethepig
13