Volatility MonitorThis is a volatility monitor I use to tell when volatility is peaking in vol compression.
To give yourself alerts from trading view.
Right click on the vol compression horizontal line and select Add Alert on Horizontal Line.
Select preferences and now you will get an alert when vol compression is at its highest compression point and you can maximize your returns on your hedges.
Vixfutures
VIX is back into it's channelInteresting if that move below the support orange line was the OPEX stop run
The Bollinger bands are about to start widening as well as turning up! Pay attention to this, as its going to go parabolic within next week or 2.
Only one thing is kinda stopping me to be fully short is the reaction of 29th low into the Sep Quarterly OPEX, then the markets are free to move big again one way or another
VIX broke one important support, still in consolidation mode imoVIX will start moving in Sep. Im not touching it till EOM or 4330SPX+
We got another VIX long signal with the close, same as we had on July 29th
Ideally it wont make a lower low from Apr 4th, it was 18.45. A gap up tomorrow is possible.
Going to do my homework, was an amazing wake up opening for me with both NQ and ES longs since last night, didnt trade much but the end of the day for extra more points
VIX long positionCurrently, price is at the support level: The last candle touches the lower bollinger band, it means that there will be a bounce and the price should increase.
Moreover, DMI indicator suggests a future crossroad between the blue line and the orange line so the blue line will go beyond the orange one, that it means the price will increase.
To conclude, we can except a price increasement with a target located on the resistance level, the entry is at the support level and the stop loss is below the support level.
$VIX analysisAs most of you know, $VIX measures volatility index. It is usually inverse to $SPX/ US500. We have been trading within this curved pattern in $VIX since COVID. Break of this monthly curved pattern will likely imply a change in market sentiment. Downward break would likely imply a bull run resumption. Bounce from this area would likely lead us back to lows. Heavy supply and demands are marked in this chart. $VIX going back under 20 would be more bullish for the market.
34-38 is where I'd like to short as you all know. Break of this supply would be very unlikely as it would require a catastrophe news such as world war/ nuclear war.
Keeping an eye for another bounce on $VIX from this lower part of the curve to start shorting the market again. Would be patient for that, as it will provide plenty opportunities along the way.
Break of this curved trendline to the downside would be ending a 2yr trend in $VIX which may not happen until inflation is back under control.
Another bounce from this curve would likely imply market going back for another leg down. Been in this curved path for nearly 2yrs now.
Potential scenarios highlighted in the chart.
Approaching near the weekly demand where we have seen multiple bounces in 2022.
VIX - Volatility is set to skyrocketWith the FOMC only a week away, the volatility index is set to rise again. Our conclusion is based upon the premise that the upcoming rate hike will negatively impact the U.S. economy, which already started to manifest a return of selling pressure. In our opinion, this marks the resumption of the downtrend. We expect the selloff to accelerate in the coming weeks. Therefore, our short-term price target for VIX stays at 35 USD.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.