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Vixx

UVXY crosses over mean anchored VWAP LONGUVXY which leverages the VIX as a measure of volatility / greed/ fear has finally crossed over the mean anchored VWAP. This is a sign of bullish momentum and perhaps a signal that traders should hedge or consider their positions in terms of hard risk management. Those who traded this move up today made 10% or better in the trade. Those who bought call options expiring tomorrow made 10X and those with call options for next Friday made 5X overnight. Tomorrow is another day. Likely the market will rise from the correction and UXVY will fade a bit. No matter, its value for insurance and hedging is reinforced on days like the past day. I am maintaining a full position aside the call options closed at the afternoon bell which expire on Friday and had time decay to contend with. My first target is 7.75 then comes 8.05 and 8.45. I will take off 20% at each target and keep the others for insurance for a true market crash or black swan event to buffer losses while stops get hit.
AMEX:UVXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
UVXY - VIX Futures ETF- rises from a falling wedge breakout LONGUVXY on the 30- minute chart is now in an establish falling wedge breakout. Increasing volumes lend support for bullish momentum as does the fear that rate cuts may be postponed the the market's bullrun may stall and correct. This chart is left clean with only trend lines drawn in recognizing that quite a few traders only have a basic subscription on Tradingview without the luxury of multiple indicators, alerts and so on. A rise in the VIX may be a signal to start trimming long positions or hedging with short trades.
AMEX:UVXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
UVXY the VIXX following ETF ShortUVXY the fear and volatility ETF ran up nearly 10% on the past trading day before retracing a bit all due to the quick about-face in the market at about 1PM New York time. It moved from the lows at the opening bell and let up with after hours profit taking. The relative volatility indicator shows the volatility pump and then dump. The dual signal RSI indicator shows the low time frame in blue dropping faster than the higher time frame in black. I see this as a good setup for a short trade that could yield half of the run-up over the next two trading days or 5% by next Tuesday, August 1. The stop loss set at the top wicking at 17.25 while the target the pivot low from which price began at 15.55. I have contemplated a put option on this but have not yet reviewed the options chain. Price action down may begin slow until price crosses under the POC line of the volume profile and then accelerate as price drops below the high volume area into relative volume voids.
AMEX:UVXYShort
by AwesomeAvani
14
SVXY rises on returning greed or trader confidence LONGSVXY runs inverse to UVXY- it was trending up for weeks but fell off the cliff with the VIXX spike on the fed news of the debt rating downgraded ( like the US posting an earnings miss) a 7% adjustment in almost no time. The analysis now is the red candlestick pattern is that of inside bars, a Doji then a green bar and a red. The zero-lag MACD has had a line cross under the histogram showing bullish divergence coming into that indicator. Price has come to rest for support on the one standard deviation line below the mean VWAP. From this analysis I will take a long trade targeting the POC line of the volume profile 87.5 as the final target for 66% of the trade after taking 33% off at the mean anchored vwap at 85.85 The stop loss today's pivot low of 82.85. This offers a very favorable risk to reward as trader positive sentiment recovers.
AMEX:SVXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
SVXY a volatility ETF play LONGSVXY is the ETF shorting the VIXX ( and UVXY) which pumped hard this past trading session. It goes up when volatility goes down and vice-vera. VIXX is expected to drop after the trama in the market starting at 1PM when the Treasuries auctions were duds with little transactions occurring and the financial data reported in the late morning. SVXY dropped to its near term lows as the VIXX too off. SVXY bounced above the long term anchored mean black VWAP line which provides a logical stop loss at 85.65. The relative trend indicator shows the dip and early recovery while the RS indicator shows low and high time frame lines bottoming and reversing with the low blue line above the higher black time frame line. I see this as a long trade setup targeting the pivot highs in the near left of the price trend or about 90.5, A similar trade would be to short UVXY in a trend down.
AMEX:SVXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
UVXY Greed Fear Volatility 20% in 24 hoursUVXY trades inverse to the general market direction in a leveraged manner. An example of this is shown on the current chart 15 minutes time frame of the price action this week. I have added two indicators the buy low sell high composite and price volume trend to support entries and exits which are typically done on lower time frame charts. On the chart, if a long trade was taken when the BLSH indicator went from red to green on Wednesday afternoon and was held for about 22 hours until price peaked coincident with both the BLSH indicator and the PVT both peaking, the trade would have closed with 20% realized profit. Overall, I will watch UVXY as a means to trade any further downturn in the general market.
AMEX:UVXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
UVXY Volatility Index ETFUVXY as shown in the 15 minute chart is slightly above the basis line on the Bollinger Bands as shown also on the BB indicator or Luxalgo. Price is slightly below the mean VWAP of the anchored VWAP situated in the fair value area as also confirmed by the volume profile and its POC line confluent with the VWAP bands. Given impending federal data reports and news, I expect volatility will rise. UVXY could have positive price action in the range of 10% in tomorrow's trading day which can be day traded or scalped.
AMEX:UVXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
Long Volatility into AugustBy now you all know the drill. Let's start with an initial framework, assess the current environment, and evaluate all below questions. are we trending or ranging? - a series of higher highs, higher lows - sellers structure is broken, we are tracking whether buyers will protect or find it difficult to hold discount? - we are tracking the lows for the previous wave block - Support 20, Pivot 25, Resistance 38 managing trade? - Trading and assess based on quarters, 00, 25, 50, 75 - Market participation in form of current strength/weakness, when market is weak we are sellers and when strong we are buyers This position, technically speaking, is very similar to the swing we traded in 2020. Buyers have developed a structure of higher highs, and higher lows, and desire their chance to go over to a direct attack on the highs. In this case the result is not certain; but since attacking in this fashion is characteristic of a volatility event. There are two lines, assuming the 20 support holds. In the first case, as well we need to track 25, the combinatory breakout of 25 will allow buyers to continue their summer dance with a romantic hue, unlocking 38 for August.
TVC:VIXLong
by ridethepig
5
VIX - The market weakness will lead to higher volatility The market volatility is on the rise, with VIX rising over 30% since 12th August 2022. We continue to be bullish on the index as we forecast more pain for the stock market. Our view is based upon fundamental factors. Because of that, we will pay close attention to the upcoming FED meeting. Accordingly, we maintain a short-term price target for VIX at 30 USD and a medium-term price target at 35 USD. Illustration 1.01 Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
10
ridethepig | VIX Exploding 📌 ridethepig | VIX Exploding Morning all... a short post, but one that is full of dramatic events. The 'discovered naked short' from wsb is a wildfire burning...the cleanest place to see the damage is in vol. This discovered vector in GME clarified the damaged relationship between central banks and market pricing while QE infinity provides a cover a 'risk free' environment. It's very similar to the round trip explosion we traded last year from 12 to 85 and back again. When you pin shorts (the root of all evil), whether its GME, BB or VIX... it has enormous mobility. The magic of reddit has exposed Melvin Capital, Blackrock (own +/- 10% of GME) et al, while Citadel cheerlead in the background and will of course be fine and make money either way. Let us take a closer look at the possible moves with the VIX; I find that the 44 pivot which is in the crosshairs can do one of two things; a) The offer can evaporate rather quickly, even if it was previously nailed by barrier, which will trigger a momentum gambit towards 85. b) We can attack and our opponent (sellers) without any anxiety step back in to occupy the control since it is their jurisdiction, i.e. one ladder that is controlled by your opponent. Now consider the latest chart update: Here a) was very much dependent on the October 2020 highs. Bear in mind how unafraid the buyers which are moving with force are. The wildfires are capable of satisfying a healthy appetite from retailers. with that in mind we are going to see capitulation across some more names. Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
CBOE:VIXLong
by ridethepig
8