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Salesforce May Face DistributionSalesforce has limped as other tech stocks hit new highs, and some traders may think it’s going into distribution. The first pattern on today’s chart is the bearish price gap on May 29 despite better-than-expected quarterly results. That may reflect waning enthusiasm about the software company’s fundamentals. Second is the pre-earnings closing price of $276.03. CRM has remained trapped below that level, which may suggest it’s become resistance. Third is the June 13 low of $258. The stock bounced there in mid-July but may now be at risk of breaking it. Next, Bollinger Bandwidth has narrowed as the stock formed a tight range between the two levels. Could price movement expand following that period of compression? Last, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA in April. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also below the 21-day EMA. Those patterns may be consistent with bearishness in the long and short terms. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:CRM
by TradeStation
Deep Dive Into Bollinger Bands 🗓This article explores the Bollinger Bands indicator—a powerful volatility tool used by traders worldwide. You'll learn how it works, how to calculate it, and how to use it to detect potential breakouts, trend reversals, and overbought or oversold conditions in the market. 📚 Introduction to Bollinger Bands In the fast-paced world of trading, understanding market volatility is key to making informed decisions. Bollinger Bands, developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s, offer a visual and statistical method to measure this volatility. Unlike simple moving averages, which only tell you the trend, Bollinger Bands expand and contract based on recent price action, helping traders spot overbought, oversold, or consolidation phases. These bands dynamically adjust to market conditions, making them one of the most popular indicators for trend-following, mean-reversion, and breakout strategies. Whether you’re trading crypto, stocks, or forex, Bollinger Bands can help you identify high-probability setups by combining trend direction with volatility. 📚 How Bollinger Bands Are Calculated Bollinger Bands consist of three lines: Middle Band – This is a simple moving average (SMA) of the price, typically over 20 periods. Upper Band – The middle band plus two standard deviations. Lower Band – The middle band minus two standard deviations. Middle Band = SMA(n) Upper Band = SMA(n) + (k × σₙ) Lower Band = SMA(n) - (k × σₙ) Where σₙ is the standard deviation of the price for n periods and k is the multiplier, typically set to 2, which captures ~95% of price action under normal distribution. The middle band shows the average price over the last 20 candles. The upper and lower bands adjust based on how volatile the price has been — expanding in high volatility and contracting in low volatility. 🤖 For those traders who want to implement Bollinger Bands into algorithmic strategy we provide formula it's calculation in Pine Script: basis = ta.sma(src, length) // Middle Band (SMA) dev = mult * ta.stdev(src, length) // Standard Deviation × Multiplier upper = basis + dev // Upper Band lower = basis - dev // Lower Band 📚 How to Use MACD in Trading Strategies ⚡️Bollinger Band Squeeze (Volatility Contraction and Expansion) The idea is pretty simple, а squeeze indicates low volatility and often precedes a breakout. The squeeze is the situation when the Upper Band and Lower Band contract, and BB width is at a local minimum. In this case you shall be prepared for the high volatility after the period of low volatility. This strategy doesn’t predict direction — it prepares you for volatility. Long setup: Price is in long-term uptrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be above it. Bollinger Bands is narrow in comparison to the previous period. Price usually is in sideways. Open long trade when candle shows a breakout and closes above the Upper Band. Set a trailing stop-loss at the Middle Band. Short setup: Price is in long-term downtrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be below it. Bollinger Bands is narrow in comparison to the previous period. Price usually is in sideways. Open short trade when candle shows a breakdown and closes below the Lower Band. Set a trailing stop-loss at the Middle Band 📈Long Trading Strategy Example 1. Price candle shall be closed above 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame. 2. Bollinger Bands shall be narrow in comparison with the previous periods. 3. Open long trade when candle closes above the Upper Band. 4. Close trade when price touched the Middle Band. 📉Short trading strategy example 1. Price candle shall be closed below 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame. 2. Bollinger Bands shall be narrow in comparison with the previous periods. 3. Open short trade when candle closes below the Lower Band. 4. Close trade when price touched the Middle Band. ⚡️Mean Reversion (Rebound from the Bands) This is the most common approach to use Bollinger Bands. The idea is also very simple, we just want to open long if price touches Lower Band and short if price reaches Upper Band. Price tends to revert to the mean (Middle Band), especially in range-bound markets. It's very important to trade in the direction of the major trend to reduce the probability of the large move against you. Long setup: Price is in long-term uptrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be above it. Open long trade when price touches the Lower Band. Set the initial stop-loss at the fixed percentage below entry price. Choose this percentage number with your personal risk/money management, you shall be comfortable to lose this amount of money in case of stop-loss hit. If price reached Middle Band set stop-loss at breakeven. Close trade when price reached the Upper Band. Short setup: Price is in long-term downtrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be below it. Open short trade when price touches the Upper Band. Set the initial stop-loss at the fixed percentage above entry price. Choose this percentage number with your personal risk/money management, you shall be comfortable to lose this amount of money in case of stop-loss hit. If price reached Middle Band set stop-loss at breakeven. Close trade when price reached the Lower Band. 🧪 Important: the most common approach to close trades is the Middle Band touch, this is classic mean reversion. We experimented multiple times with different approached and revealed that usually it's better to take profit at the Upper/Lower band for long/short trades and use Middle Band only for setting stop-loss at breakeven. This approach provides better risk to reward ratio. 📈Long Trading Strategy Example 1. Price candle shall be closed above 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame. 2. Open long trade the Lower Band. 3. Put Initial stop-loss 2% below the entry price. 4. When price reached Middle band place stop-loss at the breakeven. 5. Close long trade at the Upper Band. 📉Short trading strategy example 1. Price candle shall be closed below 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame. 2. Open short trade the Upper Band. 3. Put Initial stop-loss 2% above the entry price. 4. When price reached Middle band place stop-loss at the breakeven. 5. Close short trade at the Lower Band. 🧪 Important tip: notice that initial stop-loss is needed only to avoid disaster in case of price moves strongly against you. This percentage shall give enough space to avoid its reaching too often. Mean reversion strategy provides fast trades with the small average gain, so you shall maintain the high win rate (perfectly above 70%). You have to choose stop-loss based on particular asset volatility. ⚡️Combined Approach: Mean Reversion + Trend Following Skyrexio made multiple researches about Bollinger Bands strategies and we found that we can receive better gains in combination of different approaches. Mean reversion gives you great entry with discount but you don't need to exit that early. Use the trading stop and allow to gain profit while market is moving in your direction. This approach you can find in our advanced strategy Bollinger Bands Enhanced Strategy which we shared in 2024. Click on the link to read about it and understand how you can combine best features of this popular indicator. 📚 Conclusion Bollinger Bands are more than just a volatility indicator — they provide a flexible framework for understanding price dynamics and market conditions. By visualizing the relationship between price and standard deviation around a moving average, traders can gain valuable insights into whether an asset is consolidating, trending, or preparing for a breakout. The real strength of Bollinger Bands lies in their versatility. They can adapt to different trading styles — whether you’re a short-term scalper, a swing trader, or a long-term position holder. From identifying squeeze setups to riding strong trends or capturing mean reversion moves, BBs offer a strategic edge when used correctly. However, Bollinger Bands should never be used in isolation. Like any technical tool, they work best when combined with momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, volume analysis, and price action signals. Context is key: a signal that works well in a ranging market may fail during high momentum trends. Ultimately, Bollinger Bands help traders make more informed, disciplined decisions by clarifying where price stands relative to recent history. When paired with sound risk management and broader market awareness, they become a powerful ally in navigating market uncertainty.
Education
by Skyrexio
Chart Overview (SOL/USDT – 1D, Binance)Key Insights: Support Zone: Around $160–165, aligning with Ichimoku support lines. Fibonacci Levels: Price broke above the 1.618 level (~$175) and is now retesting. Indicators Below: Showing a strong bullish crossover, supporting upward momentum. Target Path: Drawn to reach $223, then $240–260 if bullish trend continues. 📈 Bullish Scenario: Bounce from $160–165 zone -Short-term target: $195–200 -Mid-term target: $223 -Long-term: $240–260 📉 Bearish Scenario: If $160 support breaks: Next support levels: $145, then $122 Worst-case retest: $95 ✅ Conclusion: Crucial zone now: Either a strong bounce or a bearish breakdown. Current indicators and structure favor a bullish continuation if support holds.
Long
by billelgm
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/1/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23347.50 - PR Low: 23241.75 - NZ Spread: 236.0 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings - Nonfarm Payrolls - Unemployment Rate 09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI - ISM Manufacturing Prices Engulfing daily bar from ATH into new week lows Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 8/1) - Session Open ATR: 262.82 - Volume: 45K - Open Int: 280K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -2.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5
UK 100 – Moving Back Into the Spotlight It’s been a while since we covered the UK 100, but it feels like recent moves and the fact there is a Bank of England (BoE) rate decision next Thursday (August 7th) means it warrants some extra attention. For much of 2025 the UK 100 has been the under achiever when compared to other European indices, but things have changed slightly in July as a result of the breakout above the previous all-time high at 8909 (more on this below in technical update) which has led to multiple record peaks all the way up to the most recent one registered on July 28th at 9177. This up move has been aided by bullish technical momentum, a weaker GBPUSD exchange rate, which can add support to the index given that UK 100 companies are multi-national, earning over 60% of their revenue outside of the UK, and increased expectations for a BoE rate cut of 25bps (0.25%) at their next rate meeting on Thursday August 7th. Now, looking forward, before traders get ready for that BoE meeting, they must contend with the challenges presented by President Trump’s trade policy and two key US economic data releases that could impact sentiment towards the UK 100 into the weekend. The first piece of data is the US PCE Index inflation print, released later today at 1330 BST and the second is tomorrow’s Non-farm Payrolls update at 1330 BST. Once traders have more clarity on the outlook for global trade after President Trump’s August 1st tariff deadline has passed, alongside the fresh insight into the current path of US inflation and the health of the labour market provided by these two pivotal pieces of economic data, their preparation can begin for a potential 25bps (0.25%) rate cut in the UK, as the market expects and the accompanying commentary from BoE Governor Bailey in the press conference on whether more cuts could be in the pipeline across the remaining months of 2025. Technical Update: Assessing the Current Uptrend Since posting a low of 7525 on April 7th it has been a positive period of trading for the UK 100 index, a move that has seen a near 22% advance. As the chart below shows, except for the decline down to 8692 on June 26th, this has been an almost uninterrupted phase of price strength, as a positive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows has materialised. Of course, there is no guarantee that this type of positive pattern will extend and continue to see new all-time highs posted, but traders may be anticipating further attempts at upside price extension, especially while support below current price levels remains intact. So, with this in mind, let’s look at what could be the relevant support and resistance levels that might influence trader sentiment over upcoming sessions. Potential Support Levels: While Monday did see a new all-time high posted at 9177, a price sell-off then materialised to register a low for the day at 9060, but with support being found at this level, it might be suggested this now represents a higher low within the positive trend and as such, is potentially now the first support focus, as the chart below shows. Traders may find it useful to monitor how 9060 performs as a support on a closing basis, as if it were to give way over coming sessions, a more extended phase of price weakness may result. Such downside support breaks could then see the focus shift to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of June 26th to July 28th strength which stands at 8990, possibly even the 50% level at 8933. Potential Resistance Levels: Having been capped by the July 28th high at 9177, the UK 100 index may now need to see successful closing breaks above this level to suggest a continuation of the recent positive price trend. Successful closing breaks above the 9177 high, may be an indication of continued price strength, opening potential for moves to the next possible resistance at 9253, which is the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, even 9335, the higher 200% extension level. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:UK100
by Pepperstone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/31/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23744.25 - PR Low: 23686.00 - NZ Spread: 130.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - Core PCE Price Index (MoM|YoY) 09:45 | Chicago PMI New ATHs through Asian hours Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/31) - Session Open ATR: 244.46 - Volume: 32K - Open Int: 283K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/30/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23474.75 - PR Low: 23449.25 - NZ Spread: 57.0 Key scheduled economic events: 08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 08:30 | GDP 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 14:00 | FOMC Statement - Fed Interest Rate Decision 14:30 | FOMC Press Conference AMP temp margins increase anticipating vol spike for economic events Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/30) - Session Open ATR: 232.98 - Volume: 16K - Open Int: 281K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
USDJPY – Strap in For the Central Bank Rollercoaster The next 4 trading days could be crucially important for FX markets, with traders bracing for the outcomes of a variety of different events including several central bank meetings, economic data readings and trade deal/tariff negotiations. No currency pair within the majors is likely to feel the impact of these events more than USDJPY, given that both the Federal Reserve (Fed) and Band of Japan (BoJ) interest rate decisions take place within a 9-hour window late on Wednesday evening and early Thursday morning, UK time (Fed 1900 BST Wed, BoJ 0400 BST Thurs). The first move in USDJPY at the start of this week has been higher. This was in response to the announcement of a trade deal between the EU/US, which sees tariffs of 15% on most EU goods imported into the US and has been taken as a success for President Trump and his trade team. (general USD positive). When coupled with the political uncertainty surrounding Japanese PM Ishiba, who is fighting to keep his job, (potential JPY negative) USDJPY has traded from opening levels at 147.51 on Monday up to a high of 148.71 earlier this morning in Asia. Looking forward, both the Fed and BoJ are expected to keep interest rates unchanged. This could make what is said at the accompanying press conferences by Fed Chairman Powell (1930 BST Wed) and BoJ Governor Ueda (0730 BST Thurs) on the timing of their next respective interest rate moves potentially pivotal for the direction of USDJPY into the weekend. Tier 1 US economic data may also be important, with the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge (PCE Index) due for release at 1330 BST on Thursday, and the next update on the current health of the US labour market due on Friday at 1330 BST in the form of Non-farm Payrolls. Sentiment may also be impacted on Friday by any headlines or social media posts from President Trump regarding trade deals and updates on whether he may extend or hold certain countries to his current deadline of August 1st. Technical Update: Focus on Fibonacci Retracement Resistance at 149.40 On July 16th 2025, USDJPY traded to a price high of 149.19, nearing what might have been considered a resistance level by traders at 149.40. This level is equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the price weakness seen from 158.88 on January 10th down to 139.88, the April 22nd low. Having been capped by this resistance level, a setback in price developed last week. However, this phase of price weakness encountered buying support around the Bollinger mid-average, currently at 146.98, from which fresh attempts at price strength have emerged. As a result, it might be argued that this type of price action is more constructive in nature, especially as since the April 22nd low was posted a pattern of higher price lows and higher price highs has so far materialised, as the chart above shows. That said, with potential for a sustained period of USDJPY volatility in the week ahead let’s consider what may be the important support and resistance levels that could influence the direction of prices moving forward. Potential Resistance Levels: Having previously capped price strength, the 149.40 retracement level may prove to be successful in doing so again, meaning closing breaks above 149.40 might now be required to suggest a further period of price strength. As the chart above shows, if successful breaks above 149.40 do materialise, potential may then turn towards tests of the next resistance at 151.21, the March 28th session high, even 151.65, the higher 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level. Potential Support Levels: Having seen it offer support to recent price declines, traders may still be focusing on the 146.98 Bollinger mid-average as an important level that if broken on a closing basis, might lead to a further phase of price weakness. Closing breaks under the 146.98 support while not a guarantee of further declines, could suggest potential to test 145.85, the July 24th session low and rally point, even towards 142.68, the July 1st low. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/29/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23531.00 - PR Low: 23503.00 - NZ Spread: 62.5 Key scheduled economic events: 10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence - JOLTs Job Openings Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/29) - Session Open ATR: 233.38 - Volume: 17K - Open Int: 280K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
US 500 – Potentially A Pivotal Week Ahead The US 500 index registered a new record closing high on Friday at 6396 continuing a bullish trend that has yet to show many signs of faltering. The Monday open has seen this move extend as traders digest the positive news flow from the weekend that a US/EU trade deal has been agreed after President Trump and EU Commission head Ursula Von der Leyen, met in Scotland on Sunday. This has seen the US 500 index rally another 0.4% to a new high of 6429 (0730 BST). However, the week ahead could be a pivotal one for the direction of US stock indices over the remainder of the summer, and in this regard, it is perhaps surprising that market volatility measures, such as the VIX (fear Index), are back to their lowest levels since late March, indicating limited trader concern for what lies ahead. Although, things can change very quickly. In many ways the week ahead is one that has it all, including a new round of US/China trade talks which start today, a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate decision, key tech earnings, tier 1 US data releases and on-going trade/tariff discussions. More than enough to ensure there is the potential for US 500 price action to become increasingly volatile as the week progresses. Looking forward, Wednesday could be a very busy day, with the Fed Interest Rate Decision released at 1900 BST and quickly followed at 1930 BST by the press conference led by Chairman Powell, who has been under intense political pressure in the last 10 days. While the Fed are expected to keep rates unchanged, traders may be interested to see which policymakers were keen to vote for a cut, as well as whether Chairman Powell’s comments indicate a September rate reduction may be more likely than currently anticipated. Then, later Wednesday evening Microsoft, Qualcomm and Meta release their earnings updates after the close, with Amazon and Apple’s results due after the market close on Thursday. These releases could be crucial for sentiment towards the US 500, with particular focus being paid to what these companies say about future revenue and tariff issues, as well as the specific performance of AI and cloud services. This only takes us to the middle of the week, which is where the tier 1 US economic data releases take over, with the PCE Index, the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation, due on Thursday at 1330 BST, and then the all-important Non-farm Payrolls update on the current health of the US labour market released on Friday at 1330 BST. US 500 index traders may well be sensitive to the outcome of both of these prints. That’s still not all. Friday’s US employment update coincides with President Trump’s tariff deadline which could add to US 500 volatility into the weekend. Wow, I did say it’s a week that has it all! Technical Update: New All-Time Highs Posted Again It looks as if the latest US 500 index activity is maintaining the current positive trending themes after another all-time high was posted this morning at 6429. This could skew risks towards the further development of the pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows that has materialised since the April 7th downside extreme at 4799 was seen. However, it must be remembered, these moves do not guarantee this price activity will continue, so traders may find it useful to assess the possible support and resistance levels that could influence price activity moving forward across what is set to be a very busy week of events. Possible Support Levels: If any US 500 price weakness does materialise across the week ahead with the potential to develop into a more extended phase of declines, a support level that traders may consider worth monitoring could be 6289. 6289 is equal to the current level of the rising Bollinger mid-average. Closing breaks below 6289 might suggest a more extended phase of weakness is possible, opening the potential for moves back to 6234, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, possibly further if this level in turn gives way. Possible Resistance Levels: Having been capped by the 6429 all-time high this morning, sellers may continue to be found at this level, so this might prove to be the first potential resistance if fresh attempts at price strength develop over the coming week. It may be helpful for traders to watch how this 6429 level is defended on a closing basis, as successful closing breaks might suggest a further extension of the uptrend pattern currently evident in price activity. Such closing breaks higher may well suggest price strength towards 6671, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci extension level of the February 19th to April 7th sell-off. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Pepperstone
Ethereum Staking Strain Exposed — Daxprime Weighs InIn July, the Ethereum ecosystem faced a new challenge: a sharp increase in the staking exit queue revealed structural weaknesses in the current liquid staking architecture. Within just a few days, more than 75,000 validators submitted requests to exit, causing temporary disruptions in certain derivative protocols and downward pressure on the prices of liquid staking tokens such as stETH, rETH, and sfrxETH. Daxprime, a firm specializing in institutional analytics and active strategies in the Web3 sector, believes that this situation presents not only risks, but also new opportunities for profit — particularly for well-prepared market participants. What Happened? Since transitioning to Proof-of-Stake in 2022, Ethereum has enabled staking through validators. However, to exit the network, validators must join a queue. Under normal market conditions, this process takes just a few hours to a couple of days. But in July, a sudden surge in withdrawal requests extended the queue to over seven days — the longest wait time since the Shanghai upgrade. Several factors contributed to the spike in exits: Increased market volatility; Rising yields in alternative DeFi instruments; Panic reactions to liquidity stress in certain protocols. As a result, liquid staking tokens — which are designed to trade close to a 1:1 ratio with ETH — began to trade at discounts of 3% to 4%, particularly on low-liquidity DEX platforms. Systemic Risk or Temporary Disturbance? Daxprime analysts emphasize that this is not a structural threat to Ethereum itself. However, the recent events clearly demonstrate that even "liquid" staking is still fundamentally tied to base-layer network constraints. Protocols like Lido and Rocket Pool are susceptible to imbalances between assets and liabilities, especially when there is a rapid increase in redemption demand. This also means that users trading staking derivatives without understanding the mechanics of validator exit processes may face temporary illiquidity or losses when attempting to unwind positions during stress events. How to Profit — Daxprime’s Perspective For experienced market participants, such imbalances offer entry points with positive expected value. Here’s how Daxprime identifies ways to profit: 1. Arbitrage on Discounted Tokens When stETH or sfrxETH fall below 0.97 ETH, there is an opportunity to buy these tokens on the secondary market and redeem them for full ETH value — either through redemption protocols or by waiting through the validator exit process. 2. Liquidity Provision with a Premium Liquidity providers in stETH/ETH or sfrxETH/ETH pools during periods of market stress earn higher trading fees and farming incentives due to increased volume and imbalance in the pools. 3. Futures and Hedging Strategies On platforms such as dYdX or Aevo, traders can build structured positions using stETH as the spot asset and hedging via ETH futures. This allows them to profit from either the restoration of parity or a continuation of the spread. Daxprime’s Conclusion The current exit queue backlog is not a catastrophe — it is a reminder that liquidity in crypto markets is always conditional. Stress events create inefficiencies that sophisticated investors can turn into sources of return. Daxprime provides the tools to monitor such inefficiencies and helps clients execute strategies that not only mitigate risk but convert volatility into profit. In markets where even “liquid” assets can become illiquid, those who understand the mechanics and act ahead of the curve stand to win.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by CryptoLifeone
Capital B Hits 2,000 BTC as BBDelta Highlights StrategyEthereum has surged past the $3,900 mark, propelled in part by news that Sharplink has acquired 77,200 ETH — a transaction worth over $300 million at current market value. For BBDelta, this move is not just market noise — it’s a concrete example of how institutional-grade Ethereum strategies can drive both asset growth and consistent income. Sharplink, originally focused on gaming and Web3 infrastructure, has recently pivoted toward an asset-heavy Ethereum strategy. This latest acquisition positions the firm among the top ETH holders globally — and, more importantly, signals a clear roadmap to profit generation within the Ethereum ecosystem. BBDelta analysts believe Sharplink isn’t buying ETH for speculative purposes. Rather, the company is likely deploying a multifaceted revenue model using its holdings. That includes high-yield staking via Ethereum’s proof-of-stake protocol, engagement with DeFi lending platforms, and participation in liquidity pools. These strategies, when executed correctly, can yield between 4% and 8% annually — paid directly in ETH or stablecoins. In addition to yield generation, Sharplink could be utilizing ETH to collateralize derivatives positions, fund tokenized infrastructure, or support its presence in NFT ecosystems. Ethereum, as a platform, offers an incredibly diverse set of use cases — making it more than just a crypto asset, but a cornerstone of digital finance. The breakout past $3,900 further strengthens this strategy. BBDelta’s technical analysis shows increased open interest in ETH futures and options, indicating rising institutional demand and the likelihood of continued volatility — a prime environment for experienced players to profit from both price movement and structure-based yields. Sharplink’s timing also reflects sound macroeconomic thinking. As fiat currencies continue to face inflationary pressure and traditional interest rates plateau, ETH-based strategies offer both protection and performance. BBDelta believes this dual value proposition — yield + appreciation — is driving renewed interest in Ethereum as a strategic reserve asset. At BBDelta, we empower clients to capitalize on these same dynamics. Whether it’s through ETH staking, DeFi revenue models, or structured derivatives, we offer the tools and advisory frameworks that allow investors to turn ETH holdings into active profit centers — with proper risk management in place. Ethereum’s $3,900 milestone is not a peak — it’s a gateway to next-level opportunity. For those with the infrastructure, insights, and risk controls in place, the digital economy is not just a bet — it’s a business.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by CryptoLifeone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/28/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23558.25 - PR Low: 23504.00 - NZ Spread: 121.25 No key scheduled economic events Weekend gap up of 0.37% into new ATH Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/28) - Session Open ATR: 245.44 - Volume: 23K - Open Int: 276K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5
bullish on GOLDTrading Idea Setup: XAUUSD has given me enough confirmation indicators to forecast a bullish run from this price point. ↗️🟢   ✅Favorable TP level(s): ⦁ 3414.022 ⦁ 3445.179 🛑Stop Loss: ⦁ 3277.205 Indications used: Trend confirmation indicator Elliot wave assistance Momentum indicators ______________________________ Trading Involves Risk: Decisions to buy, sell, hold, or trade in securities, commodities, and other investments carry inherent risk, including the possibility of substantial losses. Please ensure every trade placed is supported by your own thorough analysis and/or fundamental research. Ps: All the trades that I place, I do hold indefinitely unless noted otherwise but TP points will always be provided. Happy Trading 🖤
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by justin_MXM
Weekly Volatility ReadGood Evening --🌗 🌕🌓 I hope everyone is having a relaxing weekend with friends and family alike because soon we will be in the thick of the price action again -- and it may get spicy! Let't us dive in as we review what happened last week and we look towards the next to trade range or observe. The CBOE:SPX opened the week fairly slow at $6,193.18 and increased throughout the week wicking up to a new ATH of $6,315.61 only to close the week off at $6,267.28 -- This leaves the IM on the week +$83.10. This closest respects the quarterly implied range that was a 'strength of IV' of 129.30%. Now looking towards this next week we have extremely low HV across the board in the broader markets. CBOE:SPX IV (13.14%) is trending 32% IV percentile on the year -- premium is seemingly cheap. HV10 (6.97%) is coiled within 97.67% of it's sliding yearly lows, showing a need for short-term volatility to consolidate. HV21 (7.78%) is even more coiled to it's yearly low at 98.76% respectively. Both are roughly mid 50% 'strength to IV' as IV predicts twice the potential move next week. Lastly, HV63 our quarterly trending values is showing a 'strength of IV' at only 108% but, could be supporting the thesis IV is projecting, as we do need a TVC:VIX pop OR time-wise consolidation. 📈📉 I hope everyone has a great week trading ranges and I will see you next weekend! Cheers! 🍻🍻🍻
CBOE:VIX
by splitmyIVandmelt
ETH to Lead BTC Over Next 6 Months, Says Galaxy CEOIn a bold forecast that has reignited the debate over crypto market leadership, Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz stated that Ethereum (ETH) is poised to outperform Bitcoin (BTC) over the next six months, citing improving fundamentals, institutional tailwinds, and critical network upgrades. Novogratz, a long-time crypto advocate with deep ties to both traditional finance and blockchain innovation, made the statement during an interview at the Digital Asset Summit in New York, sparking renewed discussion about the shifting dynamics between the two largest digital assets by market capitalization. Ethereum’s Evolving Investment Case “Ethereum is becoming more than just a smart contract platform,” said Novogratz. “It’s evolving into a foundational layer for the future of finance.” This confidence is underpinned by Ethereum’s transition to proof-of-stake, reduced energy consumption, and growing usage of Layer 2 scaling solutions like Arbitrum and Optimism. These developments, Galaxy argues, have made Ethereum more attractive to institutional investors who previously stayed away due to scalability concerns and environmental critiques. Stronger Fundamentals, Expanding Utility Ethereum’s network revenue—driven by transaction fees and on-chain activity—has consistently outpaced competitors. According to Galaxy’s internal research, Ethereum generated over $2.1 billion in protocol revenue in the first half of 2025, compared to just under $1.5 billion for Bitcoin. Additionally, the rise of real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, DeFi resurgence, and the adoption of Ethereum-based stablecoins by traditional finance platforms have significantly enhanced ETH’s long-term value proposition. “Ethereum is no longer a tech experiment. It’s infrastructure,” Novogratz stated. Bitcoin Still Dominates, But ETH Momentum Grows While Novogratz remains bullish on Bitcoin, he emphasizes that BTC is now more of a macro hedge than a dynamic growth asset. With institutional investors already heavily exposed to Bitcoin via spot ETFs, the marginal capital over the next cycle may shift toward Ethereum, particularly as ETH-based ETF products gain traction. “Bitcoin remains the king of store-of-value assets in crypto. But Ethereum is where innovation and yield are happening,” Novogratz added. Six-Month Outlook Galaxy projects that ETH could outperform BTC by 20–30% in the second half of 2025, driven by upgrades like Proto-Danksharding, expanding Layer 2 activity, and Ethereum’s role in cross-chain interoperability. Novogratz also hinted that Galaxy is allocating more capital into Ethereum-based venture projects and staking infrastructure, in anticipation of a “second-layer boom” later this year. Conclusion While Bitcoin remains the undisputed anchor of the crypto economy, Ethereum’s expanding utility, institutional relevance, and revenue-generating capabilities position it to lead performance in the near term.
by HCN-News12
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/25/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23420.50 - PR Low: 23385.00 - NZ Spread: 79.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Durable Goods Orders Session open ATH break and retrace Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 7/25) - Session Open ATR: 248.86 - Volume: 20K - Open Int: 274K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5
NZDCHF BUYSPrice was in a long downtrend, but sellers eventually lost strength. After a sharp selloff, the market began moving sideways — showing signs that larger players were quietly building positions while keeping price in a range. Price then dipped below the range and quickly reversed, followed by strong buying that broke previous highs and shifted the overall structure from bearish to bullish. If that same buying pressure returns, we could see a continuation of the upward move as momentum builds. Entry: 0.47629 Take Profit: 0.48139 Stop Loss: 0.47490
Long
by richard925
Bitcoin Slips Under 200-Day Moving Average – Will the Downtrend Bitcoin (BTC), the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, recently slipped below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA)—a key technical indicator widely used by traders to assess long-term market trends. This breakdown has raised concerns among investors that the current correction could turn into a more sustained downtrend. What Does the Break Below the 200-Day SMA Mean? The 200-day SMA is traditionally viewed as the dividing line between bullish and bearish market phases. When BTC trades above this level, it signals strength and long-term bullish momentum. However, a drop below it is often seen as a warning sign that sentiment is shifting and sellers are gaining control. As of writing, BTC is trading around $57,000, below the 200-day SMA, which stands near $58,400. Trading volumes have decreased, while technical indicators like the RSI and MACD are pointing to weakening momentum. Reasons Behind the Decline Several factors are contributing to BTC’s current downward movement: Increased regulatory pressure – Recent actions by the SEC and other regulatory bodies targeting exchanges and token classifications have spooked markets. Macroeconomic uncertainty – Market expectations of more hawkish monetary policy by the U.S. Federal Reserve, including possible interest rate hikes, have added to investor anxiety. Decreased institutional interest, as capital flows shift back toward traditional assets like gold and bonds. Profit-taking by large holders (whales), especially after the strong performance during the spring rally. Will the Downtrend Continue? From a technical perspective, the next key support zone lies around $54,000–$55,000. A breakdown below this area could open the door to $50,000 and possibly lower levels. On the flip side, if BTC quickly recovers and closes above the 200-day SMA, the move could turn out to be a false breakdown, preserving the broader uptrend. Traders should watch for: Volume on rebounds: A bounce accompanied by rising volume could signal renewed buyer interest. Altcoin behavior: In periods of uncertainty, capital tends to flow out of altcoins and into BTC or stablecoins. Fundamental catalysts, such as ETF approvals or major institutional investments, which could quickly shift sentiment. Conclusion The drop below the 200-day SMA is a bearish technical signal and could mark the beginning of a medium-term downtrend. However, given the volatility of the crypto market, a swift recovery is always possible. Investors should remain cautious, closely monitor key levels, and keep an eye on both macro and on-chain developments.
CRYPTO:TESLAIUSDLong
by HCN-News12
Can Gold Regain Its Recent Highs or Does a Shakeout Loom?Gold has seen its price volatility increase across the first three trading days of this week. The initial move was a 3% spike higher from opening levels at 3339 on Monday, to a one month high of 3439 early on Wednesday morning, as traders sought out Gold as a safe haven hedge against renewed political attacks on the independence of the Federal Reserve and more specifically its Chairman, Jerome Powell. Then on Wednesday, the outlook for Gold changed again, almost instantaneously, and prices reversed their course, dropping 1.7% to touch a low of 3381 after President Trump announced a trade deal with Japan, which agreed tariffs of 15% on Japanese imports into the US, a number better than many traders and investors had anticipated. Taken alongside a Bloomberg report released on Wednesday afternoon suggesting a similar agreement could be reached with the EU using the Japan deal as a blueprint, and suddenly the need for Gold as a safe haven hedge didn’t seem quite so necessary. However, while Gold has traded as low as 3374 this morning, prices remain around 1% higher on the week (around 3380 at time of writing 0700 BST), supported on dips by an on-going theme of dollar weakness, which has continued as risk sentiment has shifted to a more positive stance. The challenge for traders is to determine whether this will remain the case into the weekend. Looking forward, President Trump still needs to agree any trade deal negotiated with the EU, which could be a stumbling block keeping Gold volatility elevated, as could updates on the strength of the US economy when the Preliminary PMI Surveys for July are released later today at 1445 BST. Any print below 50 = economic contraction, while any print above 50 = economic expansion, and the direction of service activity in the US economy may be what draws the most headlines, especially if it moves back to the downside. The failure of Gold ahead of the June high at 3451 may also be potentially important from a technical perspective and this is discussed further below. Technical Update: 3451 June Highs In Focus Having previously encountered selling pressure leading to price weakness after being capped at the June 16th high of 3451, this level remains a potential resistance focus for traders. These themes may also have been strengthened after Wednesday’s failure below this level (the session high was 3439), which has prompted the latest downside price activity, as the chart below shows. This activity may see traders question the sustainability of the recent price strength, even looking for fresh price declines. With this in mind, let’s consider what support or resistance levels could be monitored to help establish the direction of the next possible price move. Possible Support Levels: The first support level if price declines are seen over the balance of the week may be marked by 3343, which is equal to the Bollinger mid-average. Closing breaks under the 3343 support, while not a guarantee of a more extended phase of price weakness, might then open potential for a move towards 3246, the June 30th session low. Possible Resistance Levels: As we have suggested, it’s possible the 3451 June 16th session high represents the first resistance focus for traders, if attempts at price strength are again seen. However, closing breaks above 3451 may be required to suggest the potential of a more extended phase of price strength to challenge the 3500 April 22nd all-time high and possibly further if this is broken on a closing basis. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Pepperstone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/24/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23404.25 - PR Low: 23383.00 - NZ Spread: 47.75 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | New Home Sales Front run ATH, advertising breakout potential Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 7/24) - Session Open ATR: 258.10 - Volume: 18K - Open Int: 271K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/23/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23205.00 - PR Low: 23170.25 - NZ Spread: 77.75 Key scheduled economic events: 10:00 | Existing Home Sales 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/23) - Session Open ATR: 261.82 - Volume: 34K - Open Int: 270K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -0.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5