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Volatility

Keysight May Be Attempting a BreakoutKeysight Technologies has been stuck in a range, but some traders may think a breakout is coming. The first pattern on today’s chart is the $165.89 level. It was the intraday high on February 26 as the broader market began a slide to the downside. The technology stock stalled near the same level in late May, even after a strong quarterly report. KEYS ended above it on Thursday, July 3. It was the highest weekly close since February. (The stock also formed a bullish outside candle.) Bollinger Band Width narrowed during the period of limited movement. Could that price compression give way to expansion? Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. Prices have also found support above the 200-day simple moving average, which is gently rising. Those signals may reflect bullishness in the short- and long-term periods. Finally, KEYS noted increased demand for its network-testing equipment as data centers grow. Could investors come to view it as an overlooked AI play? Check out TradingView's The Leap competition sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:KEYS
by TradeStation
06/30 Weekly Gamma Exposure Outlook🧠 SPX Weekly Outlook — Gamma Breakout + Short Week Setup The bulls finally broke through after weeks of painful grinding — and they did so with force. 📈 Thursday & Friday brought a textbook gamma squeeze as SPX sliced through the long-standing 6100 call wall , triggering sharp upside acceleration. We are now firmly in positive Net GEX territory. 🔺 Entire GEX structure has shifted higher. 🎯 New squeeze zone at 6225 , with major call resistance near 6200 . 🔍 What Just Happened? 📊 The 6060–6120 zone acted as a tough resistance range for weeks — until last week’s breakout. 💥 Put skew collapsed , suggesting downside hedges are being unwound. 📉 VIX and IV keep dropping , confirming a shift toward lower-volatility environment . 🧲 Strong Net GEX across expiries created sustained upward dealer pressure → we’re in long gamma mode . ✅ Bullish Bias — But Stay Tactical We're in a bullish gamma regime , so dips are likely to be bought. Key pullback zone to watch: 6125–6060 . 🛠️ Strategy Ideas: • Wait for a 6060–6125 retest before re-entering longs • Use shorter-DTE bull put spreads or 0DTE gamma scalps above 6130+ • Scale out or trim risk near 6200–6225 ⚠️ Risks to Watch We’re overextended short-term. 🚨 Losing 6130–6125 could spark a quick flush to 6050 . Bearish signals to monitor: • IV spike or renewed put buying • Loss of 6100 = no-man’s land without confirmation • Consider short-term debit put spreads if breakdown confirms 🗓️ Short Trading Week Note 🇺🇸 U.S. markets closed Friday, July 5 for Independence Day. This compresses flows into 4 sessions. Expect: 📌 Early week dealer hedging 📌 Possible positioning unwind on Thursday 💡 Weekly Trade Idea — Structure in Place 💼 Setup: • Put Butterfly below spot • 3x Call Diagonal Spreads above spot (5pt wide) • Slight net negative delta , 11 DTE 🎯 Why it works: • Leverages IV backwardation • Profits from time decay • Favors a stable or modestly bullish week • Takes advantage of horizontal skew (July 11 vs July 14) 💰 Profit Target: 10–20% return on ~$1,730 risk. Take profits before time decay kills the center valley — don’t overstay. 🏃💨 📌 Final Thoughts: The 6100 breakout was technically & gamma-structurally significant , but big moves often retest before continuing. Let price breathe. Stay aligned with gamma exposure profile. 🔄
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
VIX Hits Key Level as S&P 500 Breaks Out – What’s Next?I keep a close eye on VIX levels that consistently matter — and one of those was just tagged: 📍 VIX levels I watch: 11.00 | 14.35 | 18.16 | 20.58 | 37.22 Today, we spiked up to 18.16 and stalled. This is my "in-between" level — not major, but notable — and we’re already seeing volatility slow right at that point. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) has broken out to fresh all-time highs. What I’m watching now: ➜ Will VIX stay below 20.58 and compress further? ➜ Does SPX hold the breakout into early July? ➜Could this set the tone for a melt-up summer? July’s first half is historically up and a mixed bag in the back half, but the price action and volatility narrative could give us the edge. July is the best month of Q3 traditionally (institutions). Stay focused on the close and the VIX response. #VIX #SP500 #SPX #volatility #macro #tradingview #DisciplineTrading
TVC:VIXLong
by disciplinetradingteam
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/7/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23028.50 - PR Low: 22943.00 - NZ Spread: 191.25 No key scheduled economic events First full trading day following long holiday weekend Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 7/7) - Session Open ATR: 323.71 - Volume: 33K - Open Int: 271K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23239 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/8/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 22853.50 - PR Low: 22808.50 - NZ Spread: 100.5 No key scheduled economic events Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/8) - Session Open ATR: 318.85 - Volume: 24K - Open Int: 269K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23239 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
AAPL - Weekly HV/IV PerspectiveGood evening — I wanted to do one more write up with that being on NASDAQ:AAPL as we enter the week with futures just opening. HV10 (16.58%) is trending -11.56% below IV (28.14%) showing a weekly price gap differential of -$2.89 on the stated implied move to what trending markets are doing. This current IV value entering the week sits 69% within the sliding year spectrum. Now, with Apple consolidating in range for almost eight weeks after selling off when it reached its 4T milestone in December of 2024, has now begun advancing back upwards in price. The strength here is obvious and the quality of company is well, Apple. My price targets on the week is first the upper band of stated IV ($220.58) then moving on towards the upper implied range of HV63 ($225.87). I believe the markets are going to push apple higher while balancing the indices out selling off in other areas. This would start to accelerate HV10, as it is now 91.23% coiled to its yearly lows and needs to unwind. Hopefully with a few short-term trending days increasing we find our regression. Please come back next week and see how our position and volatility progressed forward.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by splitmyIVandmelt
BITx -- Weekly Volatility SnapshotHello Bitcoin community 🤠👾🤑👾🤠 Good morning/Good afternoon, maybe goodnight to you pending where you are in the world! Nonetheless, I'm glad you found me because here we are going to look over our weekly historical volatility ranges on CBOE:BITX and assess where IV is in perspective to what's trending. Then we will talk targets within my custom adjusted implied weekly ranges. Entering the week, IV (76.86%) is projecting +17.74% more than what short-term trending markets are showing with HV10 (59.12%) holding a 'strength of IV' of only 76.91%. This is a price differential on the week of -$1.19. Our monthly values with HV21 (71.20%) are hinged slightly below IV, showing a 'strength of IV' slightly more at 92.64%. In my opinion looking towards this week, IV may be painting the bigger picture of price distribution upwards towards quarterly trends. It is expansive from past weeks and above short-term trending markets with a wider range and with IV percentile slowly creeping up. If the trend holds that started last week, my price target will be HV63 at $61.07 which draws confluence with the correction impulse wave top of $60.39 -- a price action to implied calculation difference of only +/-$0.69. Fantastic , right?!? This would take BTC approaching new ATHs again. If price action can find quarterly trends we will be seeing a 'strength of IV' of 108.44% -- only slight advantageous over IV premium. In the end, markets are unpredictably wild and we can only assess and reduce our risk using the tools provided. Always remember your ABCs and to hedge your bias! Come back next week as we recap how the weekly volatility unfolded. Cheers!
CBOE:BITXLong
by splitmyIVandmelt
Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood Evening -- Happy July 4th to everyone Let us review last week as we look towards the next in anticipation of the trade deal deadline that looms. I had a target on the SP:SPX of $6,253.59 and the weekly high was $6,284.65. The candle on the short week opened at its low of $6,019.21 and closed $6,233.08 making the weekly range +$213.87. This represents closest to HV63 over IV which stated +/-$253.26 and a 'strength of IV' that was 295% . Again the weekly high is above our range target, but my volatility will always be measured close-to-close. Now as we look towards this week -- IV (13.85%) has shifted upwards slightly with HV10 (7.36%) hinged down and still lowering. In fact, I have bi-weekly volatility as 97.28% 'coiled' to it's sliding yearly low of 4.64% -- HV21 (9.92%) is closer to what IV states with it being 'coiled' 96.61% to it's respective sliding yearly lows. In my opinion, volatility still has room to consolidate slightly as markets rotate higher. I think we can see upwards $6,327.73, but slowly over the course of the week with the last tariff uncertainty getting out of the way. From there, going into mid July we may need to see a volatility spike. The HV10 range I am watching holds a 'strength of IV' entering this week of only 53% -- this shows the price per move is expensive by almost twice as much. Till next time, know your ABCs, have a great long weekend, and stay hedge! CHEERS
CBOE:VIX
by splitmyIVandmelt
Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood Morning -- ☀️☀️☀️ What an amazing last full week of June that was as we pulled out of corrective territory and onto new ATHs with the SP:SPX body of its weekly candle moving +3.41% -- bottom to top. The weekly move open-to-close was +$98.40 as that is how I gauge my volatility metrics. This in comparison is closest in value to IV entering the week as it was stating an implied move of +/-$102.08, which was a volatility read of 16.34% -- As you see in reflection of the weekly chart below and within daily candle structure, price action moved upwards all week surpassing quarterly marks. This in turn is raising short-term volatility and lowering monthly averages as we rotate higher. Here is the weekly price action of the TVC:VIX from a 5m perspective. This is showing the EOW trend break upwards drilling the indices back down -- A healthy pullback after being seemingly over-extended. This happened during the news cycle release of the U.S. and Canada reciprocal tariff disagreement. Hopefully this settles over the weekend and we rotate higher into the 4th of July week. Now looking towards this holiday week -- We have the SP:SPX IV (13.29%) after melting during the ATHs move previously -3.09% -- This places IV on the sliding yearly spectrum at the 39% down range showing increasing discount in yearly value. Remember, If you form option positions IV affects VEGA 1% at a time and the algos bid down IV in contracting markets as they rotate higher. HV10 (12.46%) has hinged down and still is contractive per IV prediction but, increasing in comparison with a ' strength of IV ' now showing 94% entering this week. As the TVC:VIX has closed at $16.32 -- I believe that there is still a little room to extend potentially upwards to the HV10 weekly range of $6253.59. Currently, the SP:SPX YTD return is +4.96% with weekly momentum pointing up and room for volatility to still decrease. If this mark is reached it would put the YTD return at +6.52%. Very feasible and realistic being halfway through the year and going into the 4th of July 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 Watch as we climb the wall of worries around us. This would in turn decrease short-term volatility more maybe even to a bottoming point and IV would melt during the rotation upwards with the VIX slowly grinding down. Come back next week as we review what happened within the implied ranges posted and overlook the volatility potentially bottoming and looking towards a VIX spike in the near future. Remember to know your ABCs and stay hedged against your bias! CHEERS!
CBOE:VIXLong
by splitmyIVandmelt
2
Pre-Earnings Breakout in Financials?Financials could be attempting a breakout, two weeks before the sector kicks off earnings season. The first pattern on today’s chart of the SPDR Select Sector Financial ETF is the price level around $52. XLF stalled at that zone in February after peaking about 1 percent below it in November. February 28’s final price of $52.18 could be especially important because it represented the highest weekly close. The fund broke above it on Monday and remaining here could represent a potentially more significant breakout. Second is the narrow price range between mid-May and late June. (Notice the tightening Bollinger Band Width.) Could that period of price compression open the door to price expansion? Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Those signals may reflect short-term bullishness. Next, the steadily rising 200-day simple moving average may reflect long-term bullishness. Finally, the calendar may be a factor because Wells Fargo reports earnings on Monday, July 14. Citi, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and others follow later in the week. Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above: SPDR Select Sector Financial ETF (XLF) 1-year: +27.39% 5-years: +126.32% 10-year: +164.49% (As of June 30, 2025) Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs") are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
AMEX:XLF
by TradeStation
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/2/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 22723.00 - PR Low: 22683.00 - NZ Spread: 89.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/2) - Session Open ATR: 328.85 - Volume: 20K - Open Int: 265K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23239 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/1/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 22886.75 - PR Low: 22852.50 - NZ Spread: 76.75 Key scheduled economic events: 09:30 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks 09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI - ISM Manufacturing Services - JOLTs Job Openings Holding in ATH range Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 7/1) - Session Open ATR: 329.32 - Volume: 21K - Open Int: 269K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23239 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Short
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/30/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 22842.50 - PR Low: 22751.50 - NZ Spread: 202.75 Key scheduled economic events: 09:45 | Chicago PMI Weekend volatility taking auction into new ATHs Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/30) - Session Open ATR: 345.85 - Volume: 33K - Open Int: 261K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: +0.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23239 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry The Stop Loss Triangle is back! This time with BITSTAMP:BTCUSD coming off its recent impulse rally. For those of you that aren’t familiar with my strategy — let me start from the beginning… This concept involves positioning against the opposing decline in price and time as a precursor to our theoretical projection. If the underlying enters our predetermined faded cross-section, the stop loss is triggered to prevent sideways consolidation and the erosion of contract premiums or leverage decay. This inherently ‘sclene’ triangle is constructed by drawing a straight trend line through the bottoming reversal candle and the furthest projection in price and time symmetry (78.6%) of the retracement. Once connected, draw a vertically positioned straight line from the highest or lowest point in the previously identified retracement to the bottom reversal candle area once again. To create a ‘right triangle’, now turn 90 degrees towards the final point, which is determined by the nearest projection in price and time symmetry (38.2%). This allows time after the imposed price and time date, yet not enough for premium or leverage decay to become significant. In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle. I encourage my followers to identify and explore the system on their own. As always, feel free to ask me anything related to it. We’ll follow along and you’ll be amazed at the precision of Fibonacci symmetry. CHEERS
Short
by splitmyIVandmelt
1
Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood Morning -- I hope everyone had a good week of trading ranges -- although short, we saw some VOLATILITY . Here we will step back with the year-to-date TVC:VIX in the background as we look towards a fresh week trading within the broader market ranges. Let us begin -- Last week the S&P500 -- with the SP:SPX gapped up opening into strength of a short week at $6,007.46 and wicking up to $6,050.83 only to sell off during U.S. wartime engagement threats within the news cycle, closing the weeks range at $5,984.57. This provided a move of $96.96 and is most comparative to what IV (16.18%) stated entering last week -- that was predicting a range of +/- $101.24. Now, looking towards this week -- IV (16.34%) is nearly unchanged as HV10 (9.75%) is showing a 'strength of IV' lowering at only 60% currently. IV within the yearly spectrum sits with an IVp of 74% -- fairly expensive as this can show the majority of money is spending up to protect downside uncertainties. Understandable of course. Our long-term trending volatility of HV63 (30.25%) is showing a 'strength of IV' at 185% which is correlating to an implied move of +/- $188.98 for the week. This is an advantage if reached of $86.90 over stated IV. A massive premium capture potential. With the MACRO news cycle pointing EXTREMELY NEGATIVE, I will be watching for volatility expansion. I believe futures will open up gapping into quarterly marks -- this is just my humble opinion of course. I see the opposite of last week happening, where we gap down and run up into the week. I don't hold a swing position, just an observation that psychologically retail will flip bearish on wartime news with a massive gap down, only to get trapped as broader markets expand upwards into the week. That's all for now. Everyone have a good week trading ranges, and I will see you Saturday to review! As always, know you ABCs and stay hedged for whatever your bias may be! CHEERS
CBOE:VIX
by splitmyIVandmelt
4
Sharing the advanced Bollinger Bands strategyHere are the Bollinger Band trading tips: * 📌 If you break above the upper band and then drop back down through it, confirm a short signal! 📌 If you drop below the lower band and then move back up through it, confirm a long signal! 📌 If you continue to drop below the middle band, add to your short position; if you break above the middle band, add to your long position! Pretty straightforward, right? This means you won’t be waiting for the middle band to signal before acting; you’ll be ahead of the game, capturing market turning points！ Let’s break it down with some examples: 1. When Bitcoin breaks above the upper Bollinger Band, it looks strong, but quickly drops back below: ➡️ That’s a “bull trap”—time to go short! 2. If Bitcoin crashes below the lower band and then pops back up: ➡️ Bears are running out of steam—time to go long and grab that rebound! 3. If the price keeps moving above the middle band: ➡️ Add to your long or short positions to ride the trend without being greedy or hesitant. Why is this method powerful? It combines “edge recognition + trend confirmation” for double protection: 1. Edge Recognition—spot the turning point and act early. 2. Trend Confirmation—wait for the middle band breakout and then confidently add positions! You won’t be reacting after the fact; you’ll be ahead of the curve, increasing your positions in the trend’s middle and locking in profits at the end. This is the rhythm of professional traders and the core logic of systematic profits! Who is this method for? - You want precise entry and exit points. - You’re tired of “chasing highs and cutting losses.” - You want a clear, executable trading system. - You want to go from “I see the chart but don’t act” to “I see the signal and take action.” Follow for more. Make sure to like this if you found it useful.
Education
by SolanaMemeCoins
Jade Lizard on PLTR - My 53DTE Summer Theta PlayMany of you — and yes, I see you in my DMs 😄 — are trading PLTR, whether using LEAPS, wheeling, or covered calls. I took a closer look. And guess what? 📈 After a strong move higher, PLTR was rejected right at the $143 call wall — pretty much all cumulative expiries cluster resistance there Using the GEX Profile indicator, scanning all expirations: After a brief dip, the market is repositioning bullish Squeeze zone extends up to 150 The most distant GEX level is sitting at 160 On the downside, 130 is firm support, with some presence even at 120 — the market isn’t pricing in much risk below that 📉 From a technical standpoint: We’re near all-time highs 125 (previous ATH) and 100 are key support levels The OTM delta curve through August is wide, and the call side is paying well — with a current call pricing skew 🔬 IVx is at 57, trending lower + call pricing skew📉 IV Rank isn't particularly high, but the directional IVx matters more here 💡 Summer Theta Play: Jade Lizard on PLTR Since I’ll be traveling this summer and don’t want to micromanage trades, I looked for something low-touch and high-confidence — and revisited an old favorite: the Jade Lizard. If you're not familiar with the strategy, I recommend checking out Tastytrade's links and videos on Jade Lizards. 🔹 Why this setup? Breakeven sits near $100, even with no management On TastyTrade margin:~$1800 initial margin ~$830 max profit 53 DTE — plenty of time for theta to work Earnings hit in August — I plan to close before then Covers all bullish GEX resistance zones Quickly turns profitable if IV doesn’t spike Highly adjustable if needed My conclusion: this strategy covers a much broader range than what the current GEX Profile shows across all expirations — so by my standards, I consider this to be a relatively lower-risk setup compared to most other symbols right now with similar theta strategies. 🔧 How would I adjust if needed? If price moves up: I’d roll the short put up to collect additional credit Hold the call vertical as long as the curve supports it If price drops: Transition into a put ratio spread Either extend or remove the call vertical depending on conditions 🛑 What’s the cut loss plan? I have about 20% wiggle room on the upside, so I’m not too worried — but if price rips through 160 quickly, I’ll have to consider early closure. If that happens, the decision depends on time: If late in the cycle with low DTE:→ Take a small loss & roll out to next month for credit If early with lots of DTE remaining:→ Consider converting to a butterfly, pushing out the call vertical for a small debit→ Offset this with credit from rolling the put upward As always — stay sharp, manage your risk, and may the profit be with you. See you next week!– Greg @ TanukiTrade
NASDAQ:PLTR
by TanukiTrade
2
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/27/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 22713.50 - PR Low: 22669.25 - NZ Spread: 98.75 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY|MoM) Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 6/27) - Session Open ATR: 348.99 - Volume: 21K - Open Int: 260K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -1.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23239 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week. On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25. We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear. In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
COMEX:GC1!Short
by LeapTrades
7
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/26/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 22488.25 - PR Low: 22450.25 - NZ Spread: 85.0 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims GDP Durable Goods Orders Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 6/26) - Session Open ATR: 358.17 - Volume: 20K - Open Int: 252K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -1.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5