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Volatility

Major earnings are times to hedge or BTDAs far more eloquent and technical writers have covered (spotgamma, etc) - it's very clear that the markets in general are driven by single name options on the largest market cap companies. And to help visualize just how much volatility can happen around earnings on these single names, I wanted to be able to visualize those earnings dates and impacts against some of the major benchmark ETFs like SPY or QQQ. So far, I hadn't seen a place that gives this a more clear presentation so here is my first attempt at visualizing just how large the ripples are from the "megacaps" (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA, etc) in a very "glanceable" way. Introducing this indicator here first! Earnings Date Highlighter - from0_to_1 Easily see the earnings dates from top market movers or the top holdings of your favorite ETF!
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by from0_to_1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/6/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 18933.75 - PR Low: 18902.25 - NZ Spread: 70.5 Key scheduled economic events 08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings Nonfarm Payrolls Unemployment Rate Holding range above 18800 at week lows - AMP raises margin requirements for expected pre-RTH employment volatility Session Open Stats (As of 1:05 AM 9/6) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 394.42 - Volume: 30K - Open Int: 240K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -9.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Short
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/5/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 18985.00 - PR Low: 18961.50 - NZ Spread: 52.5 Maintaining Tuesday lows above 18800 Key scheduled economic events 08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 11:00 | Crude Oil Inventories Session Open Stats (As of 10:25 PM 9/4) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 398.86 - Volume: 20K - Open Int: 243K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -9.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
Why WAITING on XAU Will pay BIG TIME The charts cover different timeframes of the XAU/USD (Gold/US Dollar) pair, and they reveal several key technical structures and patterns that are useful for trading analysis. 1. Flag Pattern and Breakout (5-Minute and 15-Minute Charts) - On the 5-minute and 15-minute charts, there is a visible **flag pattern** following a strong upward move (bullish flag). This pattern typically indicates a continuation of the prevailing trend after a consolidation phase. - The flag's lower trendline (support) and upper trendline (resistance) are marked in yellow. The price consolidated between these lines, and the breakout occurred upwards, confirming the bullish continuation. This breakout could be a potential entry point for a long position, with the stop loss below the flag's lower trendline and a target based on the flagpole's length (the initial strong upward move preceding the flag). 2. Descending Channel and Potential Reversal (1-Hour and 4-Hour Charts) - The 1-hour and 4-hour charts display a **descending channel** (marked with yellow trendlines). The price recently touched the lower trendline and bounced back, showing signs of a potential reversal. - If the price continues to break above the upper trendline of the descending channel, it could signal a bullish reversal, providing a possible entry for a long trade. The risk management strategy should include placing a stop loss below the recent low (or the channel's lower trendline) and targeting previous resistance levels or the channel's upper boundary. 3. Broadening Wedge Formation (4-Hour Chart) - The broader view on the 4-hour chart shows a **broadening wedge pattern**, where the price has been making higher highs and lower lows. This pattern is generally considered a sign of increasing volatility and potential trend reversal. - If the price breaks above the broadening wedge's upper trendline, this could further confirm a bullish reversal. Conversely, a break below the lower trendline would suggest further downside potential. 4. Support and Resistance Zones (Highlighted on All Charts) - Several horizontal lines mark significant **support and resistance levels** around $2,507 and $2,532.144, respectively. These levels could serve as potential entry or exit points based on how the price reacts when approaching them. - Observing how the price interacts with these levels can provide clues for future price action. For example, a sustained move above $2,507 could confirm a bullish sentiment, whereas a rejection or false breakout might suggest the continuation of the bearish trend. Trading Strategy Recommendations: 1. Flag Pattern (Short-Term Bullish) If looking for short-term trades, consider entering a long position on a confirmed breakout of the flag pattern, with a stop loss below the flag's lower trendline. Target a move equal to the height of the flagpole added to the breakout point. 2. Descending Channel (Potential Reversal):If trading based on the descending channel, a break above the upper trendline could signal a reversal and a potential buying opportunity. In contrast, if the price rejects the upper trendline, consider shorting with a stop above the recent highs and target the lower boundary. 3. Broadening Wedge (Cautious Approach): For traders cautious about volatility, wait for a confirmed breakout from the broadening wedge to determine the trend direction. Enter long if it breaks upwards and short if it breaks downwards, setting stop losses just beyond the breakout points. 4. Support and Resistance Levels (Decision Zones): Use the marked support and resistance zones as decision points. Enter trades based on confirmation signals near these levels, and manage risk by adjusting stop-loss orders accordingly. By combining these observations with confluence factors such as higher time frame trends, candlestick patterns, and multi-touch confirmations, you can refine your entry and exit points and enhance your trading strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
7
POPCAT: Our Next Crypto Swing PlayIt's been a while since we posted any crypto swing trades. The last few months have been particularly challenging for swing plays, and we made very good profits just by scalping in August. However, we've been closely monitoring the higher time frames, and we believe we've found a potential play with POPCAT. For this trade to work out, we need BTC to behave, but so far, everything looks good, and the depth of the retracement is consistent with prior pullbacks. Recently, POPCAT has shown a change in structure after what seems to be a completed Wave (2). We want to bid on this continuation with a wider stop loss because there's a 12H FVG below that is relatively important for altcoins. There's a chance that we tag this FVG before rising higher, though a body close below it would invalidate our bullish outlook. Therefore, we're cautious but still want to place this bid, and we will DCA down if necessary. We'll keep you updated whenever we make any moves. As for targets, we're looking to go above the high of the latest COS, then the fair value gap above, and finally, a continuation above the current Wave (1). If we get this far, we would let it run as a moonbag, but we'll keep you informed regardless.
Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/4/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19005.75 - PR Low: 18947.00 - NZ Spread: 131.25 Key scheduled economic event 10:00 | JOLTs Job Openings Rollover back below daily Keltner average cloud Session Open Stats (As of 11:45 PM 9/3) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 412.95 - Volume: 45K - Open Int: 246K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -10.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Short
by mv3trader5
4hr BITCOIN mean reversion rejection - Leave the rest for laterIn #Bitcoin's 4-hour chart scenario, we reject the EMA50 we are currently at and take the low at $56k in the next couple of days. We get a lot of economic data in the next few days until Friday, which could strengthen the US dollar and lead Bitcoin into a sell-off. Chart-wise, it looks like a rejection of the 4hr EMA50. The first target would be $56k and if things look really ugly, we should also consider $51k as a possible target.
Short
by reports20netrust
2
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/3/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19683.00 - PR Low: 19615.50 - NZ Spread: 151.0 Key scheduled economic events 09:45 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI 10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI - ISM Manufacturing Prices Contract rollover month - Holding previous week's range - Near Friday's high Session Open Stats (As of 11:15 PM 9/2) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 388.02 - Volume: 94K - Open Int: 244K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -6.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Short
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/30/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19462.50 - PR Low: 19407.50 - NZ Spread: 123.0 Key scheduled economic events 08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (2x) 09:45 | Chicago PMI Last trading day of the month ahead of long Labor Day weekend - Auctioning near 50% of previous session range - Inventory response long off daily Keltner average cloud Session Open Stats (As of 2:15 AM 8/30) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 392.61 - Volume: 23K - Open Int: 241K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -7.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/29/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19264.75 - PR Low: 19140.25 - NZ Spread: 278.5 Key scheduled economic events 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - GDP Break and follow-through below 19600 - Finding inventory zone around 19200 Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 8/29) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 388.21 - Volume: 37K - Open Int: 238K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -8.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
QQQ sold off today and plummeted in after hoursQQQ started to finally show selling with momentum for first day in nearly a week of slowly selling. It looks as though distribution phase has passed and selling with momentum has begun. After hours etf continues to slide dramatically Bulls have lost with bears firmly in control at the moment The after hours sell we are experiencing now could possibly cause it to gap down on open then get filled in the morning before selling continues.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by ratchet-mint
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/28/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19645.00 - PR Low: 19575.50 - NZ Spread: 155.5 Key scheduled economic event 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories Quick inventory grab into liquidity below 19500 - Maintaining week range from 19500 to 20000 Session Open Stats (As of 10:45 PM 8/27) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 377.89 - Volume: 18K - Open Int: 237K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -6.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
USD/NOK 1-Hour Long Signal Based on SMA/EMA Crossover and Bull BDescription In this idea, I want to highlight a potential long trading opportunity on the IBKR:USDNOK 1-hour chart, identified through a combination of technical indicators and thorough market analysis. 1-Hour Chart Analysis: A signal was generated as the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossed under the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), triggering a long entry condition. This crossover, highlighted by the yellow background on the chart, marks a potential shift in market momentum, signaling a possible bullish move. The strategy also incorporated the Bull Bear Power indicator to confirm this signal. The indicator showed that the bear power has weakened, falling below a predefined threshold of 0.00140, which further supports the idea of a potential upward move. Additionally, the strategy includes an ATR-based stop-loss and take-profit calculation, providing clear risk management levels for the trade. The stop-loss is set using a 1.2 ATR multiplier, while the take-profit is calculated with an 8.0 ATR multiplier, both rounded to the nearest value ending in 0 or 5 for precision. Daily Chart Analysis: Looking at the daily chart, we can observe that the previous day's candle left a significant shadow, indicating possible rejection of lower prices and potential buying pressure. The MACD histogram on the daily chart shows early signs of upward momentum, suggesting that the market might be gearing up for a bullish move. Moreover, the price is currently hovering around a key Fibonacci retracement level, adding another layer of support to the bullish scenario. Trade Details: Entry Price: 10.5439 Stop Loss: 10.46065 Take Profit: 10.6218
Long
by Tezbot
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/27/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19574.00 - PR Low: 19521.50 - NZ Spread: 117.5 Key scheduled economic event 10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence Maintaining daily range - Auctioning in 8/22 lows Session Open Stats (As of 10:45 PM 8/26) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 387.53 - Volume: 13K - Open Int: 232K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -6.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/26/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19832.50 - PR Low: 19731.50 - NZ Spread: 226.5 Key scheduled economic event 08:30 | Durable Goods Orders Maintaining Friday's inside print range - QQQ gap below 468 Session Open Stats (As of 10:45 PM 8/25) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 395.80 - Volume: 21K - Open Int: 236K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -5.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
USD/CHF: Signal Triggered - Expecting a Bullish MoveA buy signal has been generated for based on the following technical conditions: SMA50/EMA26 Crossover: The 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA50) has crossed above the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA26), which is a strong bullish signal indicating a potential upward trend. Bullish Power Confirmation: Bull Bear Power indicator has confirmed the signal by reaching a specified level that historically correlates with positive price action. This level is carefully selected to filter out false signals and ensure high probability trades. Trade Setup: Entry Level: 0.85225 (Based on SMA50/EMA26 crossover) Stop-Loss: 08508 (Determined by the strategy) Take-Profit: 0.8622 (Calculated with a predefined multiplier on risk) This setup indicates that IBKR:USDCHF is likely to continue its upward movement, supported by strong technical indicators. Traders should consider entering a long position at the current market price.
Long
by Tezbot
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/23/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19637.25 - PR Low: 19612.50 - NZ Spread: 55.25 Key scheduled economic events 10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks - New Home Sales 20000 pivot short back towards daily Keltner cloud - Maintaining previous session lows ahead of what could be a high vol Friday morning Session Open Stats (As of 1:55 AM 8/23) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 401.27 - Volume: 21K - Open Int: 234K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -6.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5