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Volatility

KOLD Natural Gas Pivots Again LONGKOLD on the 15 minute chart has reversed and swung upside. The the anchored VWAP price dropped through the mean VWAP and is now in the deep undervalued territory of the second lower VWAP band line. This is an oversold zone for buying. On the chart, a green arrow is a buy while a red arrow is a sell. New share buys are funded with profits from BOIL positions now closed. Relative volatility and volume indicators support the analysis. I will add further to the position whenever there is an entry provided by a correction found on a lower time frame of 3-10 minutes.
AMEX:KOLDLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/26/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024 - PR High: 17988.50 - PR Low: 17941.25 - NZ Spread: 105.75 Key economic calendar events 10:00 | New Home Sales Holding just below Friday's close Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 249.54 - Volume: 27K - Open Int: 286K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18106 - Mid: 16963 - Short: 16391 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2024
by mv3trader5
UCAR a penny China stock now at bottom 300X upside LONGUCAR, a NASDAQ penny stock and a Chinese auto dealership enterprise is experiencing a huge relative volume spike. UCAR had a great week in very active trading. Now priced at about 0.07 per share, my near term target is 1.58 representing a consolidation pivot on the chart. The all time high is the is 300X upside more or less. This is a risky play. It could get delisted although NASDAQ will give it some more quarterly reports to make a case for regulatory compliance and stock price stability I will take a small position here given the risk. Warren Buffet got in on the cheap with BYD over the counter, he has been massively rewarded for his very large position. Retail traders can make good profits with undervalued penny stocks. I think that this right now is one of them. I will use a zig zag strategy to take profits at high pivots and add into the position at low pivots along the way.
NASDAQ:UCARLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
TSLA moves yield volatility and trader profit LONGTSLA is shown here on a 15 minute chart with a set of anchored VWAP bands. A relative volume indicator shows spiking volumes each and every morning and fades as the trading session wears on. Overall, TSLA trends between the upper and higher VWAP bands and their counterparts below the mean VWAP. Like most other stocks, TSLA has periods of ranging and other periods where it trends. Day traders can capture intraday volatility while swing traders can sometimes get a 10% move over 2-3 days. In the past month TSLA moved 5% up overall. However, in that move price fluctuated widely which has been exploited by traders. The high trading volumes keep spreads very low while the volatility makes options trading very challenging. Que sera, sera.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by AwesomeAvani
3
SOGP looks for trader capitulation SOGP is a company in the AI subsector focused on voice to text and vice-versa with the twist of between different languages marketing itself internationally as a penny stock with great potential upside. If a trader on a low budget wants AI exposure for high potential profit if patient this one may be better than PLTR because it is a value at a lower price per share and has not surged already like PLTR. This is similar from SOUN. On the 120 minute chart, SOGP had a big pop and then a slow fade. The volume has disappeared as quickly as it came. A descending and falling wedge pattern is seen. SOGP did 100% in a day and could do it again in the unpredictable near term future. I will take a long trade in SOGP and hold it for inevitable pop again.
NASDAQ:SOGPLong
by AwesomeAvani
SRZN a Penny biotech LONGSRZN has had good momentum. It has no revenues. Clinical trials but a lot of cash. SRZN has advanced trials underway for a product to treat alcoholic hepatitis presumably settling it down before it becomes irreversible cirrhosis (only for patients who are alcohol-free) and also useful for liver metabolic disorders from a genetic basis. SRZN has been trending up for a week with a bit of a pause in the middle of it. It picked up 60% of its price while breaking out through the anchored VWAP lines and the volume profile. The far greater market is the former. It is priced at 90 or more off it's all-time high of about $160. IF it picks up hype from the last clinical trial getting a report and a calendared review by the, SRZN could reach for that all time high. This is speculative and risky as are most biotechnology penny stocks. They are trading news and potential not current net revenues. A small position with room in the stop loss for the average range and volatility is best. This is a typical high risk higher potential reward type of trade.
NASDAQ:SRZNLong
by AwesomeAvani
Beating the S&P500 (SPX) Buy&Hold strategy by 16 timesS&P500 (SPX) strategy using Stochastic RSI Min-Max, normalized Volatility and Trailing Stop signals, beats the Buy&Hold strategy by 16 times Embarking on the quest to time the market accurately, the 'Holy Grail' of strategies, led me to create a script to approach this goal. Unlike other strategies that I tested, this one not only surpasses the long-term S&P500 Buy&Hold approach but does so by a remarkable 16.38 times! Initially, I employed an A.I. program based on an LSTM Neural Network using TensorFlow. Despite achieving a 55% next-day prediction accuracy for short/long positions, I sought improvement using a heuristic pine-scripting approach, incorporating stochastic RSI oscillators, moving averages, and volatility signals. With default parameters, this strategy, freely available as "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" delivered a staggering 2,663,001% profit since February 1871. In the same period, the Buy&Hold strategy "only" generated 162,599% profit. Picture this: a $1,000 investment in 1871 would now be worth $26,630,014 by February 2024. Check it out for yourself loading this strategy. The script operates as a Stochastic RSI Min-Max script, automatically generating buy and sell alerts on the S&P500 SPX. What sets it apart? The strategy detects "corrections," minimizes losses using Trailing Stop and Moving Average parameters, and strategically re-enters the market after detecting bottoms using tuned Stochastic RSI signals and normalized Volatility thresholds. Tailor its parameters to your preference, use it for strategic exits and entries, or stick to the Buy&Hold strategy and start new buy trades at regular intervals using buy signals only. In the pursuit of minimizing losses, the script has learned the effectiveness of a 9% trailing stop on trades. As you can clearly see on the upper graph (revolving around 100), the average overall green surfaces (profits) of all trades are much bigger than the average red surfaces (losses). This follows Warren Buffets first rule of trading to "Never lose money" and thus minimizing losses. Update: Advanced S&P500 Stochastic RSI Min-Max Buy/Sell Alert Generator I have also created an Alerter script based on the same engine as this script, which auto-generates buy and sell alert signals (via e-mail, in-app push-notifications, pop-ups etc.). The script is currently fine-tuned for the S&P500 SPX tracker, but parameters can be fine-tuned upon request for other trackers or stocks. If you are interested in this alerter-version script or fine-tuning other trackers, please drop me a message or mail xplorr at live dot com. How to use this Strategy? Select the SPX (S&P500) graph and set the value to "Day" values (top) and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right). Select in the Indicators the "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" script and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right) Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values "Percent Profitable" and "Net Profit" (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters). How to interpret the graphical information? In the SPX graph, you will see the Buy(Blue) and Sell(Purple) labels created by the strategy. The green/red graph below shows the accumulated profit/loss in % of to the initial buy value of the trade (it revolves around 100%, 110 means 10% profit, 95 means 5% loss) The small purple blocks indicate out-of-trade periods The green graph below the zero line is the stochastic RSI buy signal. You can set a threshold (green horizontal line). The vertical green lines show minima below that threshold and indicate possible buy signals. The blue graph above the zero line is the normalized volatility signal. You can set a threshold (blue horizontal line) affecting buy signals. The red graph above the zero line is the slower stochastic RSI sell signal. You can set a threshold (red horizontal line). The red areas indicate values above that threshold. However real exits are triggered if close values are crossing below the trailing stop value or optionally when the fast moving average crosses under the slow one. The red areas above the threshold are rather indicative to show that the SPX is expensive and not ideal to enter. Please note that in bullish periods the red line and areas can stay at a permanent high value, so it is not ideal to use as a strict sell signal. However, when it drops below zero and the green vertical lines appear, these are strong buy signals together with a high volatility. These Parameters can be changed Buy Stochastic Lookback Buy Stochastic Smoother Buy Threshold Buy Only After Fall Minimum % Fall Sell Stochastic Lookback Sell Stochastic Smoother Sell Threshold Sell Only With Profit Minimum % Profit Use Sell MA Fast MA Sell Slow MA Sell MA Sell Threshold Use Buy Volatility Volatility Smoother Volatility Threshold Use Trailing Stop Use ATR (iso of a fixed percentage for the trailing stop) ATR Lookback Trailing Stop Factor(or fixed percentage if "use ATR" is false) Trailing Stop Smoother Important : optimizing and using these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
SP:SPXEducation
by XPl0RR
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/23/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024 - PR High: 18049.75 - PR Low: 18019.00 - NZ Spread: 68.75 No significant calendar events Back near ATHs, last explored 2/12 - Holding above 2/16 pivot Evening Stats (As of 1:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 252.25 - Volume: 23K - Open Int: 296K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18106 - Mid: 16963 - Short: 16391 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2024
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/22/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024 - PR High: 17710.00 - PR Low: 17675.50 - NZ Spread: 77.25 Significant calendar events 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 09:45 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI - S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | Existing Home Sales 11:00 | Crude Oil Inventories FOMC volatility driving price back to weekly supply - Daily print, pivot long - Pushing ~70 points above prev session high - Finding resistance near Tuesday's highs Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 248.28 - Volume: 47K - Open Int: 286K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18106 - Mid: 16963 - Short: 16391 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2024Long
by mv3trader5
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/21/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024 - PR High: 17590.75 - PR Low: 17563.25 - NZ Spread: 61.5 FOMC day 14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes Sold to 17550 inventory zone - Volume returned to avg Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 236.34 - Volume: 22K - Open Int: 286K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -3.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18106 - Mid: 16963 - Short: 16391 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2024
by mv3trader5
SOUN might be overbought and overvalued for a reversalSOUNDHound AI on the 15 minute on Wednesday 60 hours ago, broke out after a trend down to begin the year. The tailwinds of the technology stock earnings and their tailwinds pushed hard. SOUN broke out through the entire high volume area and then rose above it. Pretty much the same from the lower aVWAP bands into the uppers after crossing over the mean line. On the three indicators, RSI , MACD and the Chop index bearish diveragence is seen. This may be an early reversal in progress but then again it might just be prudent traders liquidating to take full or partial profits to close out the week. I am running full on this, I will watch the price action early next week to determine a continuation vs a reversal. Relative volume and relative volatility may show long traders closing with targets reached and shorts taking their positions causing a pivot high of even a " long squeeze". Alerts and their notifications are set on a 5-minute time frame to allow for some early warning. On the other hand it SOUN can put out some higher decibels I may decide to look at the 2/16 options chain and chart for an OTM call in the $2.5 or $3 range.
NASDAQ:SOUNLong
by AwesomeAvani
4
AMZN in a triangle pattern LONGAMZN on the 15 minute time frame is in a relative symmetrical triangle pattern. A volume profile and intermediate term anchored VWAP are overlaid. They validate one another since the POC line and the mean anchored VWAP line up. Price is below both of them. My forecast is that price will rise and temporarily so sideways in the high volume and volatility zone of VWAP / POC and then ascend higher as that tug o war is finalized. My long target for now is 170.35 as the top boundary line of the high volume area of the VP. This is a good trade for shares on margin to get some juice into the trade. I will instead take call options for March 16th striking $ 172 for some leverage and beyond linear RIO. AMZN is good to go. Admittedly, this is an early bird trade. I see the risk as minimal.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by AwesomeAvani
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/20/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024 - PR High: 17790.00 - PR Low: 17738.75 - NZ Spread: 114.75 No signficant calendar events High vol open creating super wide NZ spread - Anticipated high volume following virtually a long weekend - Maintaining prev week's range - Daily print showing pivot to downside - Breaking lows of engulfing bar Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 235.22 - Volume: 133K - Open Int: 285K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18106 - Mid: 16963 - Short: 16391 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2024Short
by mv3trader5
XAUUSD Trendline Downside❤️MY FOREX TEAM❤️ INFORMATION Gold price is set to finish the week with losses, even though has recovered some ground. According to the daily moving averages (DMAs), XAU’s is upward biased, but since reaching $2088 on December 28, it has printed successive series of lower highs/lows, opening the door for further downside. If XAU/USD prints a daily close below $2000, that could sponsor a leg-down to the 100-DMA at $1996.10, followed by the December 13 low of $1973.13. A breach of the latter will expose the 200-DMA at $1965.46. 🔥BUY AND SELL SIGANALS UPDATE ON MONDAY ❤️MY FOREX TEAM - Technical Analysis Technical indicators SMA | EMA | MACD | SAR | VWAP | RSI | MARKET TREND | NEWS ❤️NOTE Geopolitical Tension week gold in downtrend ❤️MONEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT ⚡️ Only Trade With Risk Capital ⚡️ Cut Losses Short, Let Profits Run On ⚡️ Avoid Using Too Much Leverage ⚡️ Avoid Taking Too Much Heat ⚡️ Do Not Give in to Greed ⚡️ Take profit equal to 4-6% of your capital ⚡️ Stop lose equal to 2-3% of your capital
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by My_Forex_Team