Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry This is a concept of decaying price and time as an underlying move towards our theoretical projection, where if the underlying enters our built faded cross-section, the SL is triggered to avoid sideways consolidation and decaying contract premiums.
This ‘right’ triangle that is ‘sclene’ by nature is created by taking the furthest projection in price/time symmetry (78.6%) and drawing a vertically placed straight line to the highest/lowest point in the rally previously identified. Here, I create a ‘right triangle’ by turning 90 degrees towards my final point, which is made by the nearest projection in price/time symmetry (38.2%). In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle.
Rules —
1. Enter position with strike of 38.5% retracement in price and expiration of +21 days past 78.6% retracement in time.
2. SL is LOW or HIGH in PRICE from rally. Structure invalidates with new low or high made that expands rally — this protects against price decay.
3. SL is STOP LOSS TRIANGLE cross-sectional zone built. Structure invalidates with horizontal extension into faded cross-section to protect against time decay.
The beauty of this concept is the ability to trade with rules the potential retracement in price/time symmetry distinctively and without emotion, as the underlying trades to potential harmonic reversals.
Volatility
05/05 SPX Weekly Playbook - GEX Zone Outlook🔮 What-If Scenarios for This Week – Based on GEX Structure until Firday
Last week’s market momentum pushed the S&P 500 up by almost 3%, effectively erasing the price gap left behind on Liberation Day. The index also strung together nine straight days of gains—something we haven’t seen since late 2004.
Meanwhile, implied volatility dropped significantly, with the VIX touching its lowest level since the holiday, falling to around 22.5.
Several factors seem to have fueled this bullish tone, including a more measured approach from Trump on trade policies and strong quarterly results from major tech names like Microsoft and Meta.
Still, the nature of the buying raises questions—was this a thoughtful rotation, or just a broad sweep of optimism?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
🔄 Chop Zone: 5650 – 5670 (wide transition zone)
🔹 Gamma Flip: 5615
🔺 Key Call Wall: 5725 (5800 potential shift)
🔻 Key Put Wall: 5500 (5400 major support below)
🔼 Upside Path
IF > 5670 → transition cleared →
➡️ 5700 stall / reaction
IF > 5725 → call wall breached →
➡️ Path to 5750 / 5775 → stall at 5800 (largest net call OI)
IF > 5800 → gamma resistance breaks down →
➡️ 5825/5850 zone opens up
🔽 Downside Path
IF < 5615 → gamma flip triggered →
➡️ 5500 = battle zone (massive put wall + high negative GEX)
IF < 5500 → negative gamma squeeze likely →
➡️ Stall zone: 5450 → flush to 5400
IF < 5400 → high-volatility regime →
➡️ Possible acceleration to 5375 / 5340 depending on IV spike
⚖️ Neutral Setup
IF 5650–5670 holds → dealer hedging = balanced →
➡️ Ideal for non-directional spreads / theta plays
➡️ Wait for breakout confirmation above 5670 or below 5615
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
🔍 Final Thoughts
We’ve seen a sharp rally since the Trump trade war scare, with barely any meaningful pullback. The market appears to be looking for one—as a breath. Based on current GEX positioning, there’s significantly more downside hedging than upside, especially in the mid-term May expirations.
That doesn’t necessarily mean we crash—but it does mean that moves lower can accelerate faster, while upward breakouts may require more energy or time. In this environment, consider:
Bearish or neutral spreads (put debit spreads, call credit spreads)
Volatility-based strategies
Avoiding naked upside trades unless we see a strong reclaim of 5725+
Stay safe and adapt—GEX doesn’t tell direction, but it does tell where the fire might start, beacuse of reflexting to hedging activity.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/12/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20474.75
- PR Low: 20376.75
- NZ Spread: 218.75
No key scheduled economic events
Unfilled weekend gap up over 1%
- Gap fills below 20160
- Auction pausing at March 26 pivot
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 5/12)
- Session Open ATR: 551.42
- Volume: 47K
- Open Int: 260K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -10.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry Here we have my STOP LOSS TRIANGLE on our beautiful Bitcoin — if you’re not quite sure what I mean or am doing drop me a follow here and check out a few post! Or come find me on X —
The beauty of this concept is the ability to trade with rules the potential retracement in price/time symmetry distinctively and without emotion, as the underlying trades to potential harmonic reversals.
UVXY shortVIX above regular range
After SPY quick down, VIX is high, there might be sideway consolidation.
Short entry 40
Stop 50,
Target 35
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week.
On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25.
We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear.
In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/9/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20182.50
- PR Low: 20137.00
- NZ Spread: 101.5
No key scheduled economic events
Auction maintaining week range, holding in the highs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 5/9)
- Session Open ATR: 555.12
- Volume: 33K
- Open Int: 260K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -10.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Earnings today with a break out and gap above?I am seeing a clear break of structure with a large liquidity gap above at my red lines.
With benefits to pharma tariffs being lifted it will provide bullish narratives for exporting our pharma production.
I honestly don't know much about the stock, but the technicals add up here.
Bearish thesis is a gap down to grab liquidity for long term.
Wow, Id be dumping my life savings into this.First target is $25 and the $30 once we start to see price move closer to its volume profile gap down at my pink lines.
The key price level I see for support is 12.62$ but honestly, this looks like it could rip any day now.
Im longing until we break below $12
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/8/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19957.25
- PR Low: 19910.75
- NZ Spread: 103.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction
Auction remains inside week range, 19920 to 20200
- Contained inside Friday's range, advertising return to 20280 high
- Strong value increase through Asian hours
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 5/8)
- Session Open ATR: 578.32
- Volume: 43K
- Open Int: 257K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -10.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/7/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20133.75
- PR Low: 19799.50
- NZ Spread: 746.25
Key scheduled economic events:
10:30 | Crude Inventories
14:00 | FOMC Statement
Fed Interest Rate Decision
14:30 | FOMC Press Conference
Temporary AMP margins increase for upcoming FOMC (25%)
- Session open volatility creates 334 point initial range
- Maintaining Friday's range, holding 20200 rotation advertisement
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 5/7)
- Session Open ATR: 592.41
- Volume: 57K
- Open Int: 257K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -11.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
GBP/USD Analysis – Resistance Zone and Possible CorrectionThe GBP/USD pair is currently trading at a significant resistance zone. This level is noteworthy because it has historically been a point of strong selling and because technical indicators are approaching the overbought region.
Additionally, considering the likelihood of the DXY reacting from support, a strengthening of the dollar could lead to a corrective move in GBP/USD. If the pair struggles to break through this resistance zone, an initial correction towards lower support levels may be observed.
EUR/USD Analysis – Difficulty at Resistance and Possible PullbacThe EUR/USD pair is currently trading at a strong resistance level. This area stands out both because it has historically been a zone of intensified selling pressure and because indicators like the RSI are giving overbought signals.
On the other hand, the DXY being at a support area and the potential for an upward response suggests that the dollar may strengthen against the euro. If this scenario occurs, we are likely to see a downward correction in the EUR/USD pair.
Gold - All eyes on Wednesday 08 May - FED🟡 Gold Traders: Nothing Matters Until Wednesday! ⏳💤
Hey traders! 👋
This week, all eyes are on Wednesday... and everything before that? Mostly noise.
Let me break it down for you. 👇
📊 Technical Outlook
Gold is chilling above a key resistance level right now.
Trendlines suggest we won’t see any major moves before Wednesday unless big news drops. 📰
🕐 Asian session is kicking things off above resistance.
If bulls show up there, we could break Trendline 1 (Image below) and head towards the $3300 🎯 target.
📉 RSI across multiple timeframes? Pretty neutral.
If Asia trades flat or slightly bearish, gold might range between $3210–$3250.
Break below $3201, and things could get shaky... but the European session might push us back above that support.
U.S. session on Monday? Likely a sideways snoozefest 😴 (unless surprise news hits).
🎯 Trade Setup (Mon–Wed)
I’m looking to play the range between:
$3261 (Trendline 2) 🔼 and $3169 (Trendline 4) 🔽
That’s a comfy $90 window I’m aiming to trade before Wednesday's fireworks. 🚀
🔮 After Wednesday – The FED Factor 💣
Here’s the real catalyst:
Wednesday, May 7 at 2:00 PM EST – FOMC Rate Decision
If the FED cuts rates (not likely, but possible under pressure), gold could tank hard. 💥
I’m talking a potential drop to $3150 or lower 🕳️📉
That’d be a -$90+ move easy.
FED has been holding the line 💪, resisting pressure (especially from Trump back in the day), but if the economy flashes red, that rate cut might come sooner than expected.
🧠 Final Thoughts
FED paused hikes, but left the door open for 3 rate cuts this year.
Until we get more clarity, no strong bullish signals on gold.
My bias stays: Bearish unless proven otherwise. 🐻💬
Stay sharp out there, and watch those sessions. Wednesday’s the real deal! 💼📉
And last but not least, look at this and let us know what you think about please:
Some would say its impossible but as we know, gold can do everything!
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/6/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20036.75
- PR Low: 20007.00
- NZ Spread: 66.75
Key scheduled economic events:
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
Auction holding around 50% of Friday's breakout range
- Value gradually declining below previous session low
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 5/6)
- Session Open ATR: 598.47
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 255K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -11.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/6/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20201.75
- PR Low: 20108.25
- NZ Spread: 209.0
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global Services
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
Holding previous week's highs
- Advertising ability to break 20400 into Mach 26 daily pivot
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 5/6)
- Session Open ATR: 634.22
- Volume: 43K
- Open Int: 258K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -11.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
GBPUSD Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025🔮 Price Forecast (Main Scenarios)
📈 Bullish Scenario (if price reacts from current level):
Price may bounce from the current 1H LQ Close zone (gray).
It could rally toward the upper 1H LQ Close zone (purple) to retest it and potentially trigger Phase 2 Inducement.
🎯 First target: 1.33150
🎯 Second target: 1.33450 (just below the 4H LQ Close)
📉 Bearish Scenario (if the current zone breaks):
A clean close below 1.32500 could open the path toward the 4H LQ Close zone.
🧲 Expect potential reversal around 1.31600–1.31800 (major buy zone).
EURUSD Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025📊 Comprehensive Analysis – Multi-Layered Setup Based on LQ Close + Classic Liquidity Manipulation
✅ 1. Proper Reaction to 8H LQ Close Zone
Price reacted accurately to the 8-hour LQ Close zone. However, the 40% level of the ATI candle remains untouched. If price revisits this area, we can expect a potential sell setup, especially if we get confirmation through structure breaks, engulfing candles, or ATI invalidation.
🧠 2. Manipulation of Classic Liquidity Patterns (Trendline, Channel, Triangle)
We see a clean sweep of all classic retail patterns – trendlines, ascending/descending channels, and triangle breakouts. These acted as liquidity traps and were perfectly manipulated, representing Phase 1 and 2 inducements, similar to concepts in ICT and Vector strategies.
📈 3. Bullish Move From 1H LQ Close to Black Trendline
From the 1H LQ Close zone, we had a bullish impulse that pushed price toward the black trendline. However, this move failed to sustain due to a sharp drop caused by news, indicating it might have been a fakeout or part of an incomplete internal structure.
⚠️ 4. Suicide Level Below = Potential for Short-Term Reaction
There’s a key “suicide level” at the bottom of the chart – a high-probability zone for a quick bullish reaction. If price shows impulsive behavior or liquidity sweeps on lower timeframes, this level could push price back up to the 1H LQ Close zone.
🔁 5. If Suicide Level Fails → Watch for 4H LQ Close Zone to Act as Reversal Point
If the suicide level doesn't hold, we shift focus to the 4H LQ Close zone, which could act as a major reversal area. Look for bullish confirmations like order blocks, strong engulfing candles, or liquidity voids forming around that area.
🎯 Final Note:
This chart is a perfect example of how LQ Close zones across multiple timeframes, paired with classic liquidity traps and smart price action confirmation, can guide high-quality setups in the Phantom Pips style.
Right now, we’re waiting for a clear reaction from either:
The 40% ATI candle zone above → Sell opportunity
The 4H LQ Close zone below → Potential buy setup
04/28 Weekly GEX AnalysisDETAILED IMAGE:
Here’s what the charts and indicators are showing right now until Friday.
We are approaching a key breakout zone.
🐂 🟢 IF the market breaks above the white bearish daily trendline, the next bullish target could be between 5515–5680.
🟦 ⚖️ The chop area is between 5435–5515.
Expect more back-and-forth moves here if the breakout fails.
🐻🔴 Watch out: if the price drops below 5435 or 5425, there’s little support left.
This could trigger a sharp sell-off ("Bearish Armageddon" scenario).
GEX profiles remain positive 🟢 across all near expirations — for now — suggesting that underlying support still exists, but we need to monitor any changes closely.
IVRank is still relatively high (30.9), meaning options are priced with a decent amount of implied volatility.
🟢Short-term sentiment is currently bullish, with some speculative activity picking up.
This suggests that traders are expecting less volatility over the next month compared to what we saw in the past week.
However, if we look at institutional positions focused on longer-term expirations (especially beyond 30 days on SPX/AM maturities), the picture remains bearish 🔴 or at least highly volatile.
These players are still strongly hedging against downside risks.
This confirms the broader point:
Even though price action managed to recover to pre-tariff-announcement levels — with very low trading volume — we’re not out of the woods yet.
Until we can break and hold above the key resistance bearish trend with HIGH BUY VOLUME (aka. momentum), we shouldn't expect a strong, stable GEX profile across all expirations like we had in the past.
Good PalantirianNoticed recently there is very few NASDAQ:PLTR stock for sale on the market. As a good and kind trader I decide to borrow ad sell couple of NASDAQ:PLTR like a good move to provide liquidity to the market and help other traders to obtain so passionately desired Palantir stock.
Dear Palatirians pls don't get me wrong. I'm not betraying our faith, just need to step back for a while
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/2/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19797.25
- PR Low: 19749.50
- NZ Spread: 106.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
Nonfarm Payrolls
Unemployment Rate
Advertising rotation short off 20100
- Holding auction inside previous session range
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 5/2)
- Session Open ATR: 647.21
- Volume: 47K
- Open Int: 250K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -11.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone