Get started

Volatility

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 20066.50 - PR Low: 20033.25 - NZ Spread: 74.25 No key scheduled economic events Rolled over to contract month M with near volume match with H - Slight rotation above previous week high - Fading inside previous session range, below the close Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 3/18) - Session Open ATR: 476.01 - Volume: 26K - Open Int: 144K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -11.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Short
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/17/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 19686.25 - PR Low: 19559.50 - NZ Spread: 283.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM) Index futures contract rollover week begins - Next contract month June (M) already over 60% of current month - Advertising rotation above previous week high - Retracing ~25% of Friday's range Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 3/17) - Session Open ATR: 475.10 - Volume: 36K - Open Int: 243K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -12.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
C
by mv3trader5
Solana: Intra-week Setup Locked In I’m targeting an intra-week play on Solana, but staying cautious. That’s why I’m using a tighter stop-loss and placing my entry slightly lower. Still, this is a strong level for me because multiple key factors are lining up. We have the midpoint of the 30-minute Fair Value Gap, an untouched VWAP (which I’ve hidden to avoid clutter), the VAL from VWAP (Volume Area Low), and a huge liquidity zone above the Previous Weekly High, including an order block – acting as a potential magnet. On the 30-minute time frame, the RSI is trending further into oversold territory, adding more confluence to the setup. Lower time frames are still looking bullish, as long as we hold this level. If not, things could get messy. But until then, everything looks solid.
Long
by stromm
HOW-TO: Optimizing FADS for Traders with Investment MindsetIn this tutorial, we’ll explore how the Fractional Accumulation/Distribution Strategy (FADS) can help traders especially with an investment mindset manage risk and build positions systematically. While FADS doesn’t provide the fundamentals of a company which remain the trader’s responsibility, it offers a robust framework for dividing risk, managing emotions, and scaling into positions strategically. Importance of Dividing Risk by Period and Fractional Allocation Periodic Positioning FADS places entries over time rather than committing the entire position at once. This staggered approach reduces the impact of short-term volatility and minimizes the risk of overexposing the capital. Fractional Allocation Fractional allocation ensures that capital is allocated dynamically during building a position. This allows traders to scale into positions as the trade develops while spreading out the risk. Using a high volatility setting, such as a Weekly with period of 12 , optimizes trend capture by filtering out minor fluctuations. Increasing Accumulation Factor to 1.5 results in avoiding entries at high price levels, improving overall risk. Increasing the Accumulation Spread to a higher value, such as 1.5 , expands the distance between buy orders. This leads to fewer trades and a more conservative accumulation strategy. In highly volatile markets, a larger distance between entry positions can significantly improve the average cost of trades and contribute to better capital conservation. To compensate for the reduced number of trades, increasing the Averaging Power intensifies the position sizing proportionate to price action. This balances the overall risk profile by optimizing the average position cost. This approach mimics the behavior of successful institutional investors, who rarely enter the market with full exposure in a single move. Instead, they build positions over time to reduce emotional decision-making and enhance long-term consistency.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by fract
10
Momentum Trading Strategies Across AssetsMomentum trading is a strategy that seeks to capitalize on the continuation of existing trends in asset prices. By identifying and following assets exhibiting strong recent performance—either upward or downward—traders aim to profit from the persistence of these price movements. **Key Components of Momentum Trading:** 1. **Trend Identification:** The foundation of momentum trading lies in recognizing assets with significant recent price movements. This involves analyzing historical price data to detect upward or downward trends. 2. **Diversification:** Implementing momentum strategies across various asset classes—such as equities, commodities, currencies, and bonds—can enhance risk-adjusted returns. Diversification helps mitigate the impact of adverse movements in any single market segment. 3. **Risk Management:** Effective risk management is crucial in momentum trading. Techniques such as setting stop-loss orders, position sizing, and continuous monitoring of market conditions are employed to protect against significant losses. 4. **Backtesting:** Before deploying a momentum strategy, backtesting it against historical data is essential. This process helps assess the strategy's potential performance and identify possible weaknesses. 5. **Continuous Refinement:** Financial markets are dynamic, necessitating ongoing evaluation and adjustment of trading strategies. Regularly refining a momentum strategy ensures its continued effectiveness amid changing market conditions. **Tools and Indicators:** - **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** This momentum oscillator measures the speed and change of price movements, aiding traders in identifying overbought or oversold conditions. - **Moving Averages:** Utilizing short-term and long-term moving averages helps in smoothing out price data, making it easier to spot trends and potential reversal points. **Common Pitfalls to Avoid:** - **Overtrading:** Excessive trading can lead to increased transaction costs and potential losses. It's vital to adhere to a well-defined strategy and avoid impulsive decisions. - **Ignoring Market Conditions:** Momentum strategies may underperform during sideways or choppy markets. Recognizing the broader market environment is essential to adjust strategies accordingly. By understanding and implementing these components, traders can develop robust momentum trading strategies tailored to various asset classes, thereby enhancing their potential for consistent returns. Source: digitalninjasystems.wordpress.com
CME:LBR1!Education
by j7892
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 19382.00 - PR Low: 19296.75 - NZ Spread: 190.75 No key scheduled economic events Maintaining Tuesday's range, rotating back to Wednesday's lows - Constant intraday swings has overall sentiment frustrated Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 3/14) - Session Open ATR: 481.32 - Volume: 50K - Open Int: 264K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -13.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CLong
by mv3trader5
Whales are loading up ETH while retailers are giving it away...Hello Traders 🐺 In this idea, I want to talk about the ETH/BTC chart, because in my opinion, ETH is already heavily oversold, and this signals a massive upward move coming for ETH. 🚀 Also, I've brought solid evidence showing that whales are silently accumulating ETH, just like they did when ETH was around $ 4000 — while right now, we are sitting at the very bottom of the cycle, far from the previous ATH. 👀 Take a look at this CryptoQuant chart, showing the ETH balance of whale wallets (10K - 100K ETH): 🧐 My Analysis: As you can see, whales have been silently accumulating ETH since early 2023, while the price (white line) has been consolidating. 📈 This exact same pattern happened in 2017 and 2020 before Ethereum's major bull runs. 🔥 What does this mean? ✅ Whales always accumulate before the big move happens. ✅ This is a strong signal for an upcoming ETH breakout. ✅ We are currently at the bottom of the ETH/BTC chart, which gives the highest risk/reward opportunity right now. In my opinion, Ethereum will be one of the best-performing assets in this bull cycle. 🐂💎 Don't miss it. 🚀 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Long
by Kiu_Coin
3
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/13/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 19637.25 - PR Low: 19567.50 - NZ Spread: 155.75 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - PPI 13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction AMP margins temporarily increased for tomorrow economic events - Previous session closed as inside print - Auction returning to previous session low (closed bullish) - Advertising rotation back to Tuesday's lows Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 3/13) - Session Open ATR: 484.58 - Volume: 37K - Open Int: 280K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -13.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CShort
by mv3trader5
Silver Could Be on Breakout Watch Before the FedSilver has been clawing higher as gold soars. Is the white metal ready to break out? The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trendline along the highs of October, February and March. Traders could watch that resistance for evidence a move is starting. They may also notice the rally after a similar line was broken in January. Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) just crossed above the 100-day SMA. Both are above the 200-day SMA. The alignment, with faster SMAs above slower SMAs, may reflect increased bullishness over the long-term. Third, the low reading on Bollinger BandWidth reflects tight price action. Could that narrow range create potential for price expansion? Finally, silver has spent most of the last six months above its peak from early 2021. That is also potentially consistent with a longer-term breakout. All these points could make the commodity important to watch with initial jobless claims and producer prices tomorrow, retail sales Monday and the key Federal Reserve meeting on March 19. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
O
by TradeStation
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/12/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 19479.75 - PR Low: 19399.25 - NZ Spread: 180.0 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | CPI (Core|YoY|MoM) 09:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction Previous session closed practically unchanged following wide value swings - Auctions continues to hold Monday's lows - Inventory low declined to 19200, advertising rotation above 19690 Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 3/12) - Session Open ATR: 482.56 - Volume: 30K - Open Int: 292K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -13.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
C
by mv3trader5
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/11/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 19461.50 - PR Low: 19370.25 - NZ Spread: 204.0 Key scheduled economic events: 10:00 | JOLTS Job Openings Value decline continues, finding 19200s inventory - Advertising continued selling, keeping slight gap above previous session high open - Holding auction above previous session close at the lows Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 3/11) - Session Open ATR: 498.26 - Volume: 83K - Open Int: 297K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -13.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CShort
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/10/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 20147.00 - PR Low: 19995.50 - NZ Spread: 339.0 No key scheduled economic events Advertising rotation long potential above Friday's high - Auction likely to return to 200, filling weekend gap down - Holding auction inside Friday's range - Mechanically pivoting off 19900s inventory Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 3/10) - Session Open ATR: 462.08 - Volume: 50K - Open Int: 279K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -10.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
C
by mv3trader5
Backwardated Volatility Curve: A Thesis on Fear and OpportunityWhen the ephemeral grip of fear tightens, it often manifests as a divergence in the volatility landscape. Specifically, when the immediate dread, captured by spot VIX, surges beyond the horizon of longer-term anxieties, represented by VIX 3M, a unique market condition arises: the inverted, or backwardated, volatility term structure. Beyond a mere statistical anomaly, this phenomenon paints a vivid portrait of market psychology. The thesis posits that such an inversion reflects a market bracing for immediate shocks, a perception of heightened risk that overshadows longer-term outlooks. In essence, fear is front-loaded. The implications are profound. This surge in short-term implied volatility, driven by a desperate scramble for immediate protection via options, can trigger dramatic price swings. In its heightened state, the market often succumbs to panic, driving asset prices lower. Yet, the contrarian thesis finds its footing in this very panic, this acute manifestation of fear. The core argument rests on the dichotomy between panic and fundamentals. While short-term volatility spikes may reflect a visceral reaction to immediate threats, the longer-term view, as expressed by VIX 3M, suggests a belief in the eventual dissipation or moderation of these uncertainties. Thus, the inversion becomes a signal, a potential harbinger of near-term capitulation. Historically, when spot VIX eclipses VIX 3M to levels associated with market troughs, astute observers recognize an opportunity. The logic is compelling: once the immediate storm passes, spot VIX should revert, realigning with or falling below VIX 3M. This normalization and the potential for a stock market rebound form the basis of the contrarian play. The underlying principle is that volatility, by its nature, exhibits mean reversion. Extreme deviations, such as a significantly elevated spot VIX relative to longer-term measures, are often unsustainable. The expectation is that volatility will normalize, paving the way for market stabilization or a resurgence. However, a critical caveat remains. The backwardated curve is not a panacea. It can reflect genuine, persistent risks. Major unforeseen events can sustain or even amplify the inversion. Therefore, a contrarian stance is inherently risky. Yet, for those who believe in the market's tendency to overreact, the inverted volatility curve transcends a mere threat. It becomes an opportunity, a moment where the market's fear, though palpable, may be fleeting, paving the way for potential gains. This thesis invites a nuanced perspective, urging traders to discern between transient panic and enduring risk and to recognize the potential for opportunity within perceived chaos.
CLong
by JonLamb
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/7/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 20225.75 - PR Low: 20168.00 - NZ Spread: 129.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings - Nonfarm Payrolls - Unemployment Rate 11:00 | Fed Monetary Policy Report 12:30 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks AMP temporary margins increase for tomorrows economic events - Immediate response front running 20000 supply - Holding above previous session close Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 3/7) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 445.63 - Volume: 29K - Open Int: 279K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -10.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
C
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/6/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 20643.50 - PR Low: 20589.00 - NZ Spread: 122.0 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims Maintaining previous 2 session range, daily inside print - Still advertising rotation off 20200 inventory - Auction hovering at previous session close Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 3/6) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 431.72 - Volume: 20K - Open Int: 280K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -8.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
C
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/5/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 20595.25 - PR Low: 20531.75 - NZ Spread: 142.0 Key scheduled economic events: 08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories Heavy swings previous session but closed practically unchanged - Clearing key long-term zones between 20900 to 20672 - Advertising rotation to 20800 off 20000 to 20200 inventory Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 3/5) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 434.50 - Volume: 44K - Open Int: 287K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -8.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CShort
by mv3trader5
Bank Nifty Key Levels for the First 10 Days of March### **Bank Nifty Key Levels and Market Outlook for the First 10 Days of March** **Current Position:** Bank Nifty is currently trading near a significant support level at **48,300**. If this level is breached, the index may move toward the **47,750–47,500 range**. **Potential Upside:** If Bank Nifty holds above **48,300**, it could test the **48,750–48,900 zone**. A sustained breakout above this range might push it further towards **49,125 and 49,500**. ### **Market Observations (For Learning Purposes Only):** - **In a bearish scenario**, if Bank Nifty moves below **48,300**, it may decline toward **47,750**, with a logical risk management approach considering a stop-loss slightly above the breakdown level. - **In a bullish scenario**, if the index remains above **48,300**, it could aim for **48,750–48,900**, where market participants often consider trailing stop-loss strategies to manage risk. This analysis is intended purely for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice.
N
by tusharbedekar
1
S&P500 $SPY | SPY’s All-Time High - Where to Next? | Feb23'25S&P500 AMEX:SPY | SPY’s All-Time High - Where to Next? | Feb23'25 AMEX:SPY BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $597.50 - $613.23 AMEX:SPY DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $584.88 - $597.50 AMEX:SPY SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $574.00 - $584.88 AMEX:SPY Trends: AMEX:SPY Weekly Trend: Bullish AMEX:SPY Daily Trend: Bullish AMEX:SPY 4H Trend: Bullish AMEX:SPY 1H Trend: Bearish AMEX:SPY just reached a new all-time high! How did price get there? AMEX:SPY experienced a small range between 602.45 – 604.00, followed by bearish momentum, leading to a 3% drop in price. However, bullish momentum quickly stepped in, pushing the price up before continuing downward again. This bearish trend was short-lived and appears to have formed a developing range rather than a sustained downtrend. Shortly after, price broke back above 597.50, signaling the start of a new bullish trend. SPY then established a ranging pattern between 597.50 - 608.00 before ultimately breaking out to a new all-time high of 613.23. Despite the breakout, price action has now dropped back into the range between 597.50 - 608.00. Where to next? Will SPY hold its new highs, or is this the start of a reversal? This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, spy, sp500, s&p, fed, federalreserve, fedrate, AMEX:SPY , snp, snp500, usmarket, usmarkets, stockmarket, overallmarket, spyath, spyalltimehigh, all-time high, price action, bullish trend, bearish momentum, trading range, breakout, support and resistance, choppy market, untradable zone, stock market, technical analysis, market trends, price breakout, volatility, trend reversal, stock trading, SPY analysis, market momentum, trading strategy, sparros, sparrosexchange,
ALong
by TonyAiello
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/4/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 20557.75 - PR Low: 20490.00 - NZ Spread: 151.25 No key scheduled economic events Friday range supply sweep, placing auction at the lows of previous 2 sessions - Rotating off 20400 inventory - Advertising continued selling into new week lows Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 3/4) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 418.05 - Volume: 52K - Open Int: 287K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -8.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
C
by mv3trader5