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VIX – “Liquidity Pool Bounce & Reversal Setup”🟢 VIX – “Liquidity Pool Bounce & Reversal Setup” 📅 Date: April 22, 2025 ⏰ Multi-Timeframe Analysis (12h, 1D, 1h, 30m, 5m) 🔎 Global Context: The Volatility Index (VIX) is reacting to a clear institutional liquidity zone (blue area) across multiple timeframes (12h, 1D, 1h), aligning with a mean reversion move following the explosive rally earlier this month. We’re seeing multiple signs of a potential bullish reversal: Previous lows + demand zone confluence Multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) events on lower timeframes Implied divergence from equities (not shown here, but inferred) Strong rejection from the institutional block (26.345–26.600) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Justification: 📌 Wyckoff & Smart Money Concepts (SMC): On 30m and 1h charts, we observe several CHoCH and BOS events suggesting a transition from redistribution into accumulation. The latest bearish move failed to break the weak low zone (26.345), indicating a liquidity grab trap. 📌 Fibonacci & Moving Averages: Price touched the 78.6%–88.6% retracement from the previous bullish leg. EMAs 8/21 (Orange/Blue) are about to cross bullish on 5m and 30m – a typical trigger for a new impulsive move. EMA200 (White) still hovers above – likely target of the first bullish push. 📌 Volume Profile (implicit): Most of the recent consolidation occurred in the 27.00–27.40 imbalance zone, which now acts as a magnet for price during retracement. 📌 Liquidity & Order Flow Concepts: The 26.345–26.600 range served as a Weak Low and was swept clean – classic liquidity trap behavior. 📈 Trade Parameters: 🟢 Entry (Buy): 26.795 🔒 Stop-Loss (SL): 26.345 (below last liquidity sweep) 🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 27.390 (inefficiency zone + EMA200) 🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 28.150 (1h/30m order block) 🧮 Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): TP1: ~1.6 TP2: ~3.0 📊 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High-probability setup) 🧠 Strategic Summary: This is a classic reversal play based on liquidity absorption and structural shift (CHoCH), supported by multi-timeframe alignment. A bullish engulfing or strong reaction inside the blue zone confirms the entry bias. If price breaks above 27.00 with volume, momentum may carry it towards 28.00+ swiftly. ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always manage your exposure wisely. 💬 What do you think of this setup? Do you see confluence with your strategy? Let’s discuss below! 👇
VANTAGE:VIXLong
by VidaDeTraderPT
VIX Hits 27-Year Extreme. Is the Market About to CRASH or SOAR?The Volatility Index (VIX displayed by the blue trend-line) has entered a level that has visited only another 5 times in the last 27 years (since August 1998)! That is what we've called the 'VIX Max Panic Resistance Zone'. As the name suggests that indicates ultimate panic for the stock markets, which was fueled by massive sell-offs, leading to extreme volatility and uncertainty. So the obvious question arises: 'Is this Good or Bad for the market??' The answer is pretty clear if you look at the chart objectively and with a clear perspective. In 4 out of those 5 times, the S&P500 (SPX) bottomed exactly on the month of the VIX Max Panic signal. It was only during the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis that VIX hit the Max Panic Zone in October 2008 but bottomed 5 months late in March 2009. As a result, this is historically a very strong opportunity for a multi-year buy position. If anything, today's VIX situation looks more similar to September 2011 or even the bottom of the previous U.S. - China Trade war in March 2020. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
Trading UVIX for Effective Hedge📊 Trade Idea: UVIX Multi-Layered Entry Strategy (Scalping Volatility Spikes) The current market environment presents a unique opportunity to trade the Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX), which has surged nearly 50% on Thursday and 124% over the last week. With ongoing fears surrounding President Trump's reciprocal tariffs, volatility is expected to remain elevated. 🔍 What Is UVIX? UVIX is a leveraged ETF designed to provide twice (2x) the daily return of the Long VIX Futures Index. Unlike the VIX itself, which measures expected market volatility, UVIX holds futures contracts on the VIX, aiming to profit from both upward spikes in volatility and the structure of the futures market. Pros of UVIX: High Return Potential: Can deliver significant gains when market volatility spikes. Effective Hedge: A powerful tool to offset losses during broad market declines. Liquidity: Offers easy access to volatility exposure without directly trading VIX futures. Cons of UVIX: High Volatility: Amplified moves can result in large gains or substantial losses. Decay & Compounding Issues: Daily rebalancing and futures roll costs can erode value over time. Not Suitable for Long-Term Holding: Designed for short-term plays, not buy-and-hold investing. Here’s my detailed risk-managed trading plan to profit from continued volatility. 🚀 Entry Strategy: Layered Buy Entries with Trailing Stops 🎯 Initial Entry: Entry Price: 80.00 (Just above the breached Supply Zone 0: 56.80 - 66.38) Stop Loss: Below the lower trend line from the recent parabolic move (For example, around 70.00). 📈 Position Scaling: Adding to Winning Positions Use Buy Stop Orders: As the price breaks above significant supply zones, place Buy Stop Orders to add positions. Scale in positions at: Level 1: Above 89.20 (Top of Supply Zone 1) Level 2: Above 113.25 (Top of Supply Zone 2) Level 3: Above 147.24 (Bottom of Supply Zone 3) Level 4: Above 182.36 (Bottom of Supply Zone 4) Manual Entries: Alternatively, you can manually add positions on strong breakouts during or outside Regular Trading Hours (RTH) to catch volatility spikes. !!!Use Limit Orders Outside RTH!! Place limit orders during off-hours to capture sharp volatility moves when liquidity is lower. Market volatility often increases during pre-market or post-market sessions. Capitalize on these moves with well-placed limit orders. 🛡️ Risk Management: Trailing Stops & Break-Even Protection Initial Stop Loss: Set below the lower trend line (e.g., 70.00). This provides a wide margin for market fluctuations while still protecting your position. Trailing Stop Loss: As the price progresses upward, move your stop loss to higher levels to secure profits. Use a dynamic trailing stop that follows major support levels or recent lows. Break-Even : Once UVIX has moved 10-20% above your entry point (80.00), move your stop loss to break even (80.00) for a risk free trade. 📌 Profit Targets Target 1: 130.79 (Historical 350% level from July 2024 move) Target 2: 165.46 (Top of Supply Zone 3) Target 3: 210.30 (August 2024 High) Adding positions as the price moves in your favor allows for maximum profit potential while limiting risk on initial entries. Moving the stop loss to break-even creates a risk-free trade, allowing you to ride the momentum without worry. Continually adjusting stops protects profits as they accumulate, ensuring that gains are secured even if the market turns sharply. 📣 Final Thoughts The Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX) is a powerful instrument for profiting from short-term volatility spikes. Given the current geopolitical and economic uncertainty, this setup offers a strong risk-reward opportunity. 💡Advice: Avoid Greed & Gambling in Volatility Trading Trading the Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX) offers tremendous profit potential during periods of heightened market volatility. However, the same leverage that can generate huge gains can just as easily cause significant losses. Avoiding greed and gambling behavior is crucial for your long-term success.
CBOE:UVIXLong
by MESHANL
1
Will the Fear Gauge Flash Red?The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street's closely watched "fear gauge," is poised for a potential surge due to US President Donald Trump's assertive policy agenda. This article examines the confluence of factors, primarily Trump's planned tariffs and escalating geopolitical tensions, that are likely to inject significant uncertainty into the financial markets. Historically, the VIX has proven to be a reliable indicator of investor anxiety, spiking during economic and political instability periods. The current climate, marked by a potential trade war and heightened international risks, suggests a strong likelihood of increased market volatility and a corresponding rise in the VIX. President Trump's impending "Liberation Day" tariffs, set to target all countries with reciprocal duties, have already sparked considerable concern among economists and financial institutions. Experts at Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan predict that these tariffs will lead to higher inflation, slower economic growth, and an elevated risk of recession in the US. The sheer scale and breadth of these tariffs, affecting major trading partners and critical industries, create an environment of unpredictability that unsettles investors and compels them to seek protection against potential market downturns, a dynamic that typically drives the VIX upward. Adding to the market's unease are the growing geopolitical fault lines involving the US and both China and Iran. Trade disputes and strategic rivalry with China, coupled with President Trump's confrontational stance and threats of military action against Iran over its nuclear program, contribute significantly to global instability. These high-stakes international situations, fraught with the potential for escalation, naturally trigger investor anxiety and a flight to safety, further fueling expectations of increased market volatility as measured by the VIX. In conclusion, the combination of President Trump's aggressive trade policies and the mounting geopolitical risks presents a compelling case for a significant rise in the VIX. Market analysts have already observed this trend, and historical patterns during similar periods of uncertainty reinforce the expectation of heightened volatility. As investors grapple with the potential economic fallout from tariffs and the dangers of international conflicts, the VIX will likely serve as a crucial barometer, reflecting the increasing fear and uncertainty permeating the financial landscape.
CBOE:VIXLong
by UDIS_View
Nasdaq 100 Volatility. US Tech Stocks Remain 'Runoff Smelling'It's gone two months or so... (Duh..? WTF.. only two monts, really? 😸) since comrade Trump entered The White House (again). Everyone was on a rush, chatting endless "Blah-Blah-Blah", "I-crypto-czar", "crypto-capital-of-the-world", "we-robot", "mambo-jumbo", "super-duper", AI, VR and so on hyped bullsh#t. - And now?.. - It's gone. It's absolutely gone..! Leveraged bets and crypto assets turned into Bearish market; all four major US indices (S&P500, DJIA, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000) are negative over the past two months, while Gold OANDA:XAUUSD has doubled in price over the past 5 years (4th time in history ever), and remain the only is premium positioned. This is why we at our 💖 Beloved @PandorraResearch Team decided to paint this idea for Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index CBOE:VXN to emphasize (again) that nothing last forever and no one should chase a feather, or dust in the wind. Broadly-known ominously among investors as the "fear index" and launched by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (now the Cboe) in 1993, the Volatility Index (VIX) is meant to present the market's expectation of volatility over the coming 30 days. The metric is derived from options prices on the S&P 500 Index and captures the anticipated swings that drive investor sentiment. In recent years, the VIX has become a far more central index, especially during periods of financial turbulence, such as the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. During these stretches, spikes in the VIX reflected widespread anxiety; during others, it's been a crucial barometer for market participants seeking a glimpse into investors' collective psyche. When the VIX is low, this suggests calm seas ahead. When it spikes, it signals approaching storms. Every single stock index do have its own volatility. This story (again) is about Cboe NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index CBOE:VXN The Cboe NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index (VXN) is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by NASDAQ-100 Index (NDX) option prices. It measures the market's expectation of 30-day volatility implicit in the prices of near-term NASDAQ-100 options. VXN is quoted in percentage points, just like the standard deviation of a rate of return, e.g. 19.36. Cboe disseminates the VXN index value continuously during trading hours. The VXN Index is a leading barometer of investor sentiment and market volatility relating to the NASDAQ-100 Index. Learn more about Methodology for Calculation of the VXN Index, using official CBOE website. Technical observations The main technical graph indicates that CBOE:VXN Index has recently jumped to current 'above 20' basic points. In nowadays 'above 20' VXN levels indicate on further potentail Bearish progress in US Tech Stocks (Nasdaq 100 Index NASDAQ:NDX ). -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
CBOE:VXN
by PandorraResearch
Greatest Volatility of all times is approaching...#vix the volatility index has been accumulating since covid 2020 crash. In higher time frame, TVC:VIX has broken out in 5th August 2024 and it was just a test!.. Then continued consolidation till this time , also doing the retest. at this zone, accumulation of the 2020 covid crash for a new impulsive wave!.. In lower time frame , several days ago VIX broke out the accumulation zone coming from 5th August and this warns you about your greedy positions my friends. We haven' t seen a real great volatility since covid crash and VIX chart is getting alarming. You' ve been warned. Not financial advice. Temporary INVALIDATION: If VIX dumps below 13 zone , this will be more secure. Below 10 is the main invalidation.
TVC:VIXLong
by naphyse
12
BTC Short SqueezeBitcoin is currently trading green for the week, where it currently sits at US$96,700. The Bollinger bands are continuing to compress, indicating that the price range of which Bitcoin is trading is narrowing. Should we get a kick in volatility in the coming days, below are some potential outcomes. Sentiment in crypto markets have taken a hit in recent weeks, with the fear and greed index currently indicating market sentiment as fearful. Global exchange data from Coinglass suggests that if Bitcoin surges to US$100,000, up to $5 billion in short leveraged positions could be liquidated, triggering a potential short squeeze as traders rush to cover their positions. Bitcoin volatility has also dropped to its lowest point since August 2024. Bullish Scenario Price may head towards $102k which is the February monthly open; this could be fuelled by a short squeeze – based on what we know from the exchange data referenced earlier. Bearish Scenario Price failing to remain above the yearly open of circa $93k could result in a move back towards the January low of $89k.
Long
by PHundal
VIX ready to explode higherLook at the last 2 Monthly candles. They are bullish candles and short term volatility would explode higher in Feb 2025. All the best. Marketpanda Disclaimer: The information provided is for general informational and educational purposes only, and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. None of the content shared should be relied upon as the sole basis for making investment decisions. Prior to making any financial or investment decisions, it is strongly recommended that you consult with a qualified financial advisor, accountant, or other professional who is familiar with your individual circumstances and risk tolerance. Any reliance you place on the information presented is strictly at your own risk, and we are not responsible for any losses, damages, or liabilities resulting from your investment or trading activities.
CBOE:VXXLong
by marketpanda123
$UVXY: the next move, to $50?I've been watching the CBOE:UVXY for months now trying to anticipate the next large move. Throughout September and October I was anticipating a larger move to play out, but we ended up just trading in a range. Luckily got a few profitable moves in the chop and got out at the high right before the election. Then I thought there would be a larger drop. I entered in the low FWB:20S earlier this week and sold my spot position today on the move higher. Now what I'm anticipating from here is a decline in vol early in the week and a rally in the market. On Tuesday or Wednesday, I'd be looking to go long volatility again as I think the NVDA reaction after market close Wednesday is going to cause some volatility in the markets. Lots of reasons are lining up to believe the outcome of NVDA earnings will be bearish. I have a pivot on the chart on Wednesday. The NVDA chart has stalled at resistance and gapped lower. Etc. I think this will be the last large move in vol until early 2025 (Feb-March).So in other words, after this selloff the market rallies into Q1 2025. In 2025, we will make volatility great again. I think we're going to see a resurgence of vol and we're going to see covid style numbers get printed in vol with 200-400% moves. However, let's wait until this move plays out first before we focus on 2025. I'm looking to enter calls early next week for 12/20 $30C.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by benjihyam
27
Two Different Paths For ^VIXweve set lower daily highs aince the last major volatility event, and trended lower weekly to averages. the uptrend is not lost for vix and uvxy threatens to break out of tightening range or wedge/triangle. ive marked out what a test and failure of the trendline would look like, and ive also bar patterned the breakout scenario. im leaning short because i think the election result will be volatile, but have a buy the news impact on broader markets. this is bearish for vix in both scenarios.
CBOE:UVXYShort
by cerealindicator
normal election volatilityim buying the election outcome for either candidate. heres my reasoning. both are proposing fiscal spending. both are campaigning on tax cuts. both candidates are contributing to a loosening monetary policy and impact on competition to us ai or agi and semiconductors. big tech runs on venture capital and both candidates are leveraging some form of trade war. here im looking at svxy for clues about how recession proof the s&p500 is to large cap volatility. based on the recency of the top in svxy i dont think were going to begin a broader market stock recession near all time highs without setting a lower quarterly high that fails to bring us a new weekly uptrend. this looks like selling in the leadup to the election which should be bought whenever the index sets a clear rebound level weekly.
CBOE:SVXYLong
by cerealindicator