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Volitility

strategy over next 3 weeks should be profitable (volatility)INTRO 15 year old trader in England comment your ideas want to know what u think Over the next 3 weeks I believe if you wait for volatility peaks or volatility consolidation trading sideways basically and then take a short or long position depending on economic data coming over this week this will create vol in the markets which will help the strategy create the ideal market conditions to take a position. This week many economic events are happening meaning markets will correlate to these events meaning there will be a reason behind the madness meaning before the data is released equites could trade sideway and then react to the data released going long or short. This strategy should be profitable while taking other fundamental and technical factors into account IS THE STRATERGY GOING TO BE SUCCESFUL volatility should increase over this week because traders will want to trade the economic data coming in this week which will mean either two things equites will consolidate or there will be a burst of liquidity over this week which could be crushed if the fed decide to hike rates even further which will cause liquidity to deuterate even further causing markets to consolidate. this means extended high volatility periods are inevitable which could mean a hard week for traders as there is no liquidity for them to exit their positions. the strategy i have outlined could be affected by this but by taking the money flow index into account before taking a trade it will mean if there is a extended period of volatility liquidity should follow but we could be trading sideways for the next few week. as i have shown here their are so many possible outcomes this week because of the pure amount of variables but if I believe this strategy will mean all of these possible situations will be tradable meaning it could be profitable over the next 3 weeks MAIN ECONMIC EVENTS THAT WILL IMPACT THE STRAT Over the next week we have the producer price index data this measures the change in input price of goods and services, it measures the input costs. if the input costs rises it will mean a decrease in profit margin for business and rising costs for the customer and if it falls decreasing costs for the customer and increasing profit margins for the business. this will impact the strategy because if the data is better investor confidence will increase in the current health of the business which will mean and increase of buyers providing liquidly to the market and of course the opposite for if the data is worse than we expected. as well as the core retail sales date which basically measures the sales at the retail level in the us which will be impacted by current consumer spending with credit spending be very high at the moment the forecast is higher than the previous. but it should be the opposite because of recessionary fears which shows a slight bit of compliancy by the American consumer. if the forecast is positive as expected it should be bullish for equites especially retail stocks such as WMT. As well as large decisions coming from the fed with the interest rate decision coming in which could completely change the markets liquidity and direction in addition to the FOMC economic projections which will affect investor confidence for the good or bad we will see. all off these factors will affect the market deeply. which will be a perfect condition for the strategy to operate
NASDAQ:NVDA
by harrybergin
🗣 O I L These are levels that I'll be keeping an eye on when dealing with USOIL, and I'll revise as price action progresses. I adapt to the change in money flow. This is a representation of greed in play when it comes to oil. However, I do believe in the coming months things will get very interesting due to price action's placement in the market, things that have taken place in the past that left clues for what can possibly come in the near future along with any fundamentals that can play a part in this as well. As of right now I feel as though it wouldn't be smart to execute any short orders due to the higher perspective showing strong bullish sentiment. I did notice that P.A. is currently in between two daily ranges, so it's not entirely impossible to sell, but I'm sure some would agree to stay on bull's side. What am I waiting to see happen? I'm anticipating for price to reach around $140 per barrel (can possibly take place between July/August) which will then form a double-top from a monthly perspective. That's also where price pivoted back in 2008, the potential profit margin stretches down to the $40 range which can be seen from the 3 & 6 month perspectives. The 1st area where I would look to lock in some profits would be around the $80 price point. Why? That's right above EQ within the monthly ranges that can be seen on the chart. In conclusion, at this time I would simply sit on my hands and wait until price reach key levels I'm interested in to then zero in on smaller perspectives in order to receive the "signal" to execute. Just my thoughts..
TVC:USOIL
by ChrisJTradesFX
DASH - Think Of It As a Revolutionary Buying Opportunity DASH has been a little scary over the last capitulation. It has broken below summer lows just like EOS did even earlier. I would not worry about that too much as we have to know that market cap is not that big, so price can be much more volatile. Just like with btc we can still form a double bottom, but i highly doubt we will go any more lower as we are already as low as we were before the alt season of 2021. B8ig buying opportunity imo as right now more 3000% gain is shining. I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise. Be well. KRAKEN:DASHUSD
KRAKEN:DASHUSDLong
by AVA37
CROThese are levels that I'll be keeping an eye on when dealing with CROUSD, and I'll revise as price action progresses. I adapt to the change in money flow. I see a nice setup forming on this crypto from the higher perspective. I'm anticipating further movement to the downside, and looking for money flow to change hands between the $0.36 - $0.45 range. *Indecision/bullish impulse @ $0.42 *Bear trap @ $0.48 *Liquidity (potential) between $0.36 - $0.45 * Sprinkle some fundamentals in the mix for extra seasoning 😎 Just my thought's and nothing more, nothing less. We shall see..
COINBASE:CROUSD
by ChrisJTradesFX
2
ELONThese are levels that I'll be keeping an eye on when dealing with ELONUSDT, and I'll revise as price action progresses. I adapt to the change in money flow. I'm making a published idea about this crypto due to all of the noise I've been hearing on social media. Price is currently at the high end of the curve which typically means we can potentially see a reversal to the downside. However, the fact that price deviated to the upside breaking structure can be looked at as a precursor for what's to come in the near future. I would actually wait to see if price will come down to the low end ($0.0----1035) which is nestled between an untouched range. If the bullish momentum is strong enough that might not happen so then I would wait for a break in structure to the upside, retest and then I would look for opportunities. Just my thought's and nothing more, nothing less. We shall see..
by ChrisJTradesFX
SHIBThese are levels that I'll be keeping an eye on when dealing with SHIBUSD, and I'll revise as price action progresses. I adapt to the change in money flow. It always amazes me when certain news drops come around when price is at key levels. If price action happens to keep forming LHs & LLs I would like to see bearish momentum down to the $0.0--2800 - $0.0--3067 range, and bullish momentum after the 2nd dip & breakthrough diagonal resistance. *Indecision *Bullish impulse *Flag formation *Liquidity (potential) between $0.0--2800 - $0.0--3067 *Add the fundamentals in for some razzle dazzle 😁 Just my thought's and nothing more, nothing less. We shall see..
FTX:SHIBUSD
by ChrisJTradesFX
Gold (XAU) Long Entry Gold has seen a big sell-off towards the regions of $1763 and seems like it's formed support here. There has been a 1.57% drop in price over the last 2 days and markets are very volatile right now. The RSI levels are oversold at 24.45 and considering the volatility of the market, a price increase to the target of $1785 resistance zone seems likely. Tomorrow a heap of high-risk economic data is released, if the results are bearish for the Dollar Gold could see a change of sentiment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Orion-Markets
4
Basic Conclusion and ConfusionI have questions about perdicting an asset/commodity deflation event or crash below If you have time. Prices are through the roof right now making the entire investing world to seem speculative. I think the market is showing weakness and there may be a crash around the corner, I'm looking at patterns to see if there's any similarities between the build up to a crash and seeing where volition is creeping towards a big leap before a significant increase in volition such as the red bar pattern over today's current situation (from a jump in 2018) where I found similarities with other minor jumps in volition and a pull back in a bullish pattern, given that a majority of the market can see inside before retailers is it possible that these build up events where fear becomes the headline for few weeks to months ends up being a sudden crash in value. Professionals and "Professionals" have said time and time again that the build up is here, it's been happening for months to years given assets are up at record highs and inflation is going now where anytime soon, our supply chain will only get worse till February I hope, even then it'll take years before we see commodities stabilize and by then the value of the dollar will not be what was, oh also the richest minority own the largest majority of everything still.. is there much of a pattern and what are some of your ideas? I hope we both learned something? Is there a way of timing a economic crash? Is the 36 month trading period a thing? Is it best not to worry about the crash? it'll happen eventually as time has proven again and again. Best case scenario I reposition some previous sales and some savings. If a company doesn't rally back to it previous average after crash, is it still worth it to invest into said company since it is sustainable and growing a dedicated user base?
CBOE:VIXLong
by hooligan99
Big weekend leading up to Jackson HoleWow! Markets are coming to a head fast! S&P futures have been low volume and ripe with volatility growth. Jackson Hole approaches and hedging / volatility futures have priced in movement to the downside. Bears are waking up from a long 1.5Y nap after feasting in March of 2020. China Tech sector continues to get pounded. Why is China Tech sector so important? Like the QQQ & Mega Caps led the S&P growth, so has the China's tech sector. The TVC:NI225 has been in decline since Feb as a result of several controversial decisions the Chinese Gov have made including the crack down on crypto and US listed companies. Last Friday the TVC:NI225 crossed over the 50/200MA death cross and a descending wedge breakout. Yesterdays close was the first close below the breakout line and last night the decline continued its breakout downward. This is important because of the gap that has formed between the S&P 500/QQQ/DIA and recently rejected the top of the TVC:NI225 descending wedge. I'm starting to think the bulls have ran out of steam and will continue to get pulled down by the declining Chinese tech sector and unwinding volatility into September that could put the markets into a 10-12% correction territory sooner than later.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SPYvsGME
Disney To Hit $180 This Week Disney is looking to hit and even pass $180 this week, even with earnings approaching. I will divide this analysis into 3 sections; Technical Analysis, Earnings, Fundamentals. Technical Analysis: -45min candle stick chart shows a green candle in the latest 45min segment. -Divergence+ Shows growing bullish divergence as indicated by green shadow between latest candles, based on this shadow there is indication that there is still room to fall as the cloud does not have an outline ( below 40 RSI ) and does not yet have a buy signal. -Elliot wave analysis shows that our second wave may have been broken and will be safe to make a decision about buying after 2 45min segments to make sure this is indeed a break. -MACD shows weakening bearish divergence & signals that bulls are taking control, something to watch Monday. -Guth 3x Confirm shows that price and volume are low in comparison to MA and is about to initiate a buy signal Earnings: Trading near and during earnings is extremely risky as investors could increase their position ahead of earnings or decrease their positions. Especially institutional investors trying to avoid volatility. However DIS has a track record of beating earnings. Fundamental analysis: Do you think the Delta Variant of covid will impact the market this week? Or will investors shrug this off? Would love to hear your thoughts in the comments.
NYSE:DISLong
by Myantman101
11
SPX & S&P 600 & RUSSEL 2000,which is a leading indicator "2.0"Indexes "Band of Brothers Edition 2.0 " Decoding the relation!!! (No copyrights here feel free to redistribute and spread the knowledge) In a nutshell, divergences between small caps and SP500 index has a kind of leading volatility relation " Heads up" kind of a signal !!! *** When you see minus " -.59 / -.62 " Divergence's reading between SPX & SLY You need to be out of the market period. *** When you see minus " -.48/ -.65 " on RUSSELL 2000'S INDEX you need to be out of the market period. *** SPX 600 has 10 signals Vs. 7 for RUSSEL. ( 3 more signals for SP600) ***SPX 600 has 4 lagging signals VS. 6 for RUSSEL 2000. ( 2 less lagging signals) *** SPX 600 has a Median of 36 days Vs. 57 for RUSSEL 2000. ( SP600 better Median) *** ETFs are slightly better than indexes in the sense that they are more "SENSETIVE. -----------------------------------------DATA------------------------------------------------------------------- Lagging Lagging # SINGNALS # SINGNALS MED.RUS Med.SPX russel spx 600 6 4 6 10 57 36.5 62 2 Percentage SPX'S DAYS FOR A PULLBACK RUSSELL 2000 SPX'S DAYS FOR A PULLBACK S&P SMALL CAP 600 61 36 10% Laggeing by 3 days 2 Days heads up 36 13 35% NO SIGNAL !!! 36 days before Covid 19 57 91 20% Double signals 62 days & 8 days 13 days 28 37 12% 61 days Triple signals: 91 days & 81 days & 38 days 48 35 3% Lagging by 1 day NO SIGNAL 91 28 3% Lagging by 9 days Lagging by 8 days 67 3% NO SIGNAL !!! 37 Days 61 5% Lagging by 7 days Lagging by 7 days 91 13% 36 Days 35 days 4%+10% 1 day + 57 days from double pullback NO SIGNAL 2% Lagging 1 day Lagging 1 day 11% 28 days 28 days 21% NO SIGNAL !!! 67 days 6% 48 days 61 days SLY STOPPED HERE 8% 91 days 91 days IJR USED HERE INSTEAD 31% Lagging during a crash 35 day lagging during a crash 35 day During a crsh NO SIGNAL During a crash During a crash
TVC:SPX
by samitrading
2
Broadening wedge pattern - calm before the storm...?We can make out a broadening wedge pattern going forward as we have established diagonal support along the lower red line and resistance under the green heartline. A broadening wedge typically indicates increased volatility and with Elon Musk putting bitcoin in his twitter bio and January options expiring it might be that we're in for a crazy week. Our local region of lows and highs might be increased for this next week which is good for swing traders. Be careful not to get chopped up though.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by gwfarrow96