Volkswagenlong
Volkswagen: Limit Order Set for Surge to €200!At Volkswagen, we're now placing a limit order for Wave (ii), as we've once again failed to master and reclaim the trend channel. Consequently, we've fallen below it again. However, we believe we're dealing with Wave (ii) and anticipate a significant push upwards after a bit more selling pressure. This situation has a somewhat sour aspect, as it's possible we're facing an unfinished Wave ((ii)). In such a scenario, we should form a double bottom, given that the currently assumed Wave (i) is precisely at 100% of the overarching Wave ((ii)). Therefore, we want to set an relatively larger stop-loss to ensure safety and avoid being stopped out. Looking upwards, we have high expectations for Volkswagen and therefore have no concerns about sacrificing a few percentage points downward, as the upward potential is significant, with a minimum level of euros up to 200€. Hence, we see no issue in slightly increasing the stop-loss.
Changes in the EU's Green Deal could spur growth for VolkswagenVolkswagen’s shares have been on a downward trajectory for about three years now, dropping by more than 50%. However, after finding a bottom (presumably) in October 2023, the company’s stock has been ticking higher and forming an upward-sloping channel. While it is yet to be seen whether these shares have really bottomed out, certain developments might boost the company’s outlook going forward. Due to mounting protests from farmers and others, discussions about the European Union’s Green Deal and its feasibility have emerged recently. It is becoming increasingly apparent that ambitious plans might not be achievable within the initial deadline set in the deal. Furthermore, the question of the cost of achieving these goals has become a major subject of talks among members of the European Parliament. So far, European lawmakers have scrapped some of the initial rules, mainly affecting the agricultural sector. Nevertheless, it is possible that phasing out of combustion engine cars and reducing emissions will undergo a similar reassessment that could positively affect European carmakers, including Volkswagen, which is somewhat behind in electrifying its fleet compared to its competitors.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of Volkswagen stock. Currently, the price is trading near the lower bound of the upward-sloping channel that acts as a support. If this support holds, it will be positive for the stock in the short term.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Slightly bearish
Weekly time frame = Neutral
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
VOLKWAGEN moving up towards $126 in new impulse up.The stock displayed an impulsive rise between Oct-Dec 2023 and a subsequent correction of the same through the months of dec-jan.
The correction was almost an 61.8% retracement of the impulse and the price shot up quite strongly as soon as the corrective wave was over.
Now the stock is already in wave 3 structure and with sub-divisions or without them $126 is the projected target zone for the stock.
Volkswagen it's about time to buy!Hello traders,
I hope you are doing great!
I know it's been a long time since the previous trade idea here in Trading view but a lot is going on with "The Greek Traders" community along with the V.I.P trading mentorship programme.
We can see a trade we have also shared on the V.I.P group since the previous week.
We are reffering to the "Volkswagen" stock trade of course, let's see why we are long on the stock as always combining fundamental analysis with technical analysis!As noted in the "The Greek Trader" seminars also, if fundamental analysis doesn't align with technical analysis we don't enter any trade!
Firstly we are in clear bear market in Volkswagen stock since almost 2 years now from the high of 357.40 euros at 15/03/2021, as uncertainty from Covid-19 hit the markets.Also less incetives from the governments for the purchase of an EV vechicle as the maket is entering a more mature stage along with supply chain bottlenecks, rising inflation and geopolitical uncertainty also took a toll on many companies in 2022.
Technical Observations
1.As we can see after that 2 year downtrend RSI has already started to build a bullish divergence on the weekly timeframe since June of 2022, that's very strong indication of the slowly shifting momentum especially when we are reffering to the weekly timeframe!
2.We can seet the 5 Elliott waves since the high, we are currently on the 3rd wave and we can trade the counter trend 4th wave to the upside.
3.The 4th Elliott wave that's an equal projection of the 1st wave we can see that coincides perfectly with the Fair value gap that has not been filled and with a previous support/resistance level that has been respected multiple times.That's the reason we will have our TP in that area (162-167 Euros).
4.We have also put the FIbonacci timezones and fibonacci retracements levels and we can see that both of the are aligned with the previous Elliott wave theory.
5.We are waiting a double bottom to be formed or a lower low with bullish divergence and a bullish candlestick formation to enter long at 113-116 Euros area.
Fundamentals Observations
1. The Covid-19 pandemic and subsequent global lockdowns in 2020 saw the stock's price fall to its lowest level in almost five years. After starting at €175.60 on 19 March 2020, it sank to €79.38. Over the later months of the year, as economies began opening up, VOW3 seemingly began to recover and closed the year at €152.40.
2. In 2021, the carmaker announced it was increasing its EV capacity and scaling up MEB (modular electric drive matrix) use. In March, the company stated it planned to deliver a total of 450,000 EVs to customers – more than twice the figure delivered the year before. Volkswagen’s EV sales during the first three-quarters of the year put it in third place, with a 10.1% market share compared to 21.5% for Tesla, reaching an all-time high of 357.40 euros at 15/03/2021.
3. VW group had invested a lot on biofules but as part of the revision of the Renewable Energy Directive (RED), the European Commission proposed reducing the contribution of conventional biofuels in transport from a maximum of 7% in 2021 to 3.8% in 2030, that was a blow for the VW group.Now with the FY23 budget VW is turning it's main focus on the EV sector with more than 200$ billions investments for the next 5 years.
4. 2022 proved to be interesting for the EV market, Iola Hughes of Rho Motion told INN at last year’s Benchmark Week. Headwinds for the sector came following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and China’s lockdowns in the first few months of the year.EV-volumes.com sales data shows that the global total for last year came in at 10.5 million units across BEVs and PHEVs.
“An impressive growth of 55,4 percent in a difficult vehicle market as a whole. BEV sales increased by 59 percent to 7,65 million units, PHEVs by 46 percent to 2,86 million units,” the firm states. “The global EV share in light vehicle sales is 13 percent for 2022.”
5.Supply chain constraints appear to be easing and sales expectations for 2023 for passenger cars and light-duty vehicles, Rho Motion forecasts over 14 million global BEV and PHEV sales in 2023.
6.(Reuters) - South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster on Monday signed legislation approving $1.29 billion in state incentives for Volkswagen's off-road brand Scout Motors to build a $2 billion manufacturing plant for trucks and SUVs.
The project could also receive up to $180 million in job development tax credits based on hiring, said South Carolina Commerce Secretary Harry Lightsey.
In May, VW said it would reintroduce the Scout off-road brand in the United States, offering new electric pickup and sport-utility vehicles. Scout said it hopes to eventually create 4,000 jobs and produce 200,000 Scout vehicles annually.
Groundbreaking is planned for mid-2023 and production is projected to begin by the end of 2026.
7.Earlier this month Volkswagen said 2023 sales will rise by between 10-15%, and the operating profit margin will be between 7.5 and 8.5% compared with 7.9% in 2022.
POSSIBLE LONG TRADE
ENTRY AT THE RETEST OF 113-1.116 EUROS LEVEL
TP1 163 EUROS
TP2 167 EUROS
STOP LOSS 111.80-112 EUROS
RISK/REWARD 17.60-17.70 !
THANK YOU ALL FOR SUPPORT!!
KEEP FOLLOWING AND SUPPORTING MEANS A LOT TO OUR ME!
Happy profits everyone!!
THE GREEK TRADER
Will Volkswagen earnings satisfy?Volkswagen - 30d expiry- We look to Buy a break of 134.02 (stop at 127.96)
We are trading at oversold extremes.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
Posted a Double Bottom formation.
A break of the recent high at 133.46 should result in a further move higher.
The bias is to break to the upside.
Our profit targets will be 149.48 and 157.48
Resistance: 133 / 140 / 150
Support: 127 / 120 / 115
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Volkswagen going wild soon Germany's largest carmaker and DAX40 group Volkswagen did not perform well on the stock market in recent months and the share price went south. Since the beginning of the Ukraine war, the price lost slightly over 50% or 126€.
On the overarching chart picture, however, this sell-off is only part of an overarching correction according to my assessment. The market is catching its breath to be able to survive the upcoming wave 3 well.
Due to the current market situation on the indices, especially the strong sell-off in the German economy, the price will probably come down to the 0.887 retracement at the 99€, before the trend direction of the market turns.
From there, a price increase of at least 300% is possible on a multi-year level. The 1.618 extension is at 396€ per share.
VWAGY Volkswagen a real Tesla competitorIf you haven`t bought the dip of my first idea, at $141:
Or you haven`t seen the sales comparison of these giants:
Then you should know that Volkswagen could surpass Tesla in electric-car sales as soon as next year.
If the market were to apply multiples similar to Tesla and Nio Inc. to VW’s battery-electric vehicle business, it would be worth about 195 billion euros ($230 billion), more than all of the company is worth now, analysts led by Tim Rokossa wrote in a report Monday. They lifted their price target for VW shares by 46% to 270 euros. (bloomberg.com)
The indicators are bullish on all timeframes!
If you are also interested to test some amazing BUY and SELL INDICATORS that i use, which give the signal at the beginning of the candle, not at the end of it, just leave me a message.
OVERALL LONG - FACTORY ROOF CYCLES - VOLKSWAGEN AG - VWAGY - 1HThank you for your likes and shares! Really appreciated!
________________________________________________________
VWAGY stock price shows interesting patterns. Here we will focus on them rather than volumes.
The grey square gives you an overview of the probable overall behave of this stock price. Think at the "roof of a factory" as an image. Goes up slowly for long time, then suddenly falls in a very steep angle.
Beware: Probably with this stock the volumes doesn't really reflect in the price action. We have noticed recently some huge volumes but no real movement in price.
Overall, even if we might notice a retreat, the price has possibly entered in a "long" direction cycle again. The target is the top red line.
Under the actual price, the green line shows the potential realistic uptrend, therefore, the probable best place to enter from for a long direction investment. Is is a strong line, so if it breaks, probably people holding losing positions could use the blue line as an exit point.
VWAGY - its a RUNNER. Sputnik! Raketa!This is the most beautiful chart I have seen this week. Its a boner. To the fucking moon! Lets Gagarin this bitch!
400% run this year. It will blow every EV fucker out of the water. EV VW bus wagon thing that hippies drive? SIGN ME THE FUCK UP! Yes PLEASE! Put me in one of these and take me to the MedMen store (MMNFF - this fucker will rip too).
I see fucking Moons everywhere this evening.
[VW 10% LONG] Buy Alert w/ Spectro™ M This is a signal using Spectro™ M
The blue background means a reversal zone.
Now it turned green, which means a bullish trend is beginning.
Also, we see many of those "GREEN TRIANGLES" which mean that Spectro™ M confirmed a consensus on more than 20 indicators.
So after this long downtrend and since we are close to a strong support around 32.5, those are 3 good sings for a long.
We just had the buy alert on the weekly trigger, which means it's a solid buy, so we can expect bullish movement.
Targets around 2-3% and 7-11% from entry.
Liked it? Give it a shot at, it's really affordable - you wouldn't believe if I told you: hypester.org
Volkswagen long entryBased on previous touches this support line has held 8 times when price touched it.
One time it failed and took around 9 weeks to recover,
the fact that price moved back above the line is more proof to me that the line is valid.
Like in the past there is a reasonable chance that price will wick down maybe 5-6% and still recovers afterwards.
Keep this in mind when placing your stop.
I will enter a spot long position here and am prepared to add to it if it wicks down near the horizontal line.
Disclaimer:
This is me experimenting with trading and sharing my charts.
I am not a proven profitable trader so take that into account.
If you have questions or advice please let me know.
Volkswagen - uptrendAfter the breakout of the price through the descending trendline, price moved constantly up and bounced back on the upper line of the ascending trend channel.
Two days ago, the price just responded to lower trendline of the channel and is probably going to continue this bullish movement, heading for the upper trendline where it is likely to reverse its direction again.
VOLKSWAGEN @ daily @ BreakedUp of (15 month old) triangleUntil the market VOWD trading between MONSTER GAP of 143.55 & 160.20 (sep`15) again traders have still to overcome only one hurdle. The MINI GAP between 141.40 & 142.45 (which was created between last trading day `15 & first trading day `16) & 1st Quartal`16 high (139.35).
All in all VOWD got a flat year 2016!
And therefore have a argusauge on the downside, that the breakout confirms :)
Yesterday moday close was 139.55 VOWD
139.35 1st Quarter`16 high
137.50 3rd Quarter`16 high
136.60 4th Quarter`16 high (before breakout)
134.25 & 133.35 little JULY GAP
1133.50 & 132.75 little NOVEMBER GAP
132.55 & 129.45 little JUNE GAP
130.70129.40 little JUNE GAP
need to be defend - to get enough power - to rise into MONSTER GAP back again (while 1st quarter`17).
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
Best regards
Aaron