JSE:MEI Mediclinic Being AbsorbedMediclinic is showing signs that the stock is being absorbed. Volume has been declining since the trading ranged (TR) started in January. There are some signs of strength and recent minor signs of strength. Watch for the jump out of the TR.
Volume Indicator
BTCUSD 1D IS IN TWO CONFLICTING CHART PATTERNS1 minute ago
Price is in two conflicting chart patterns
Bullish flag is a bullish continuation range pattern
Descending Triangle is a bearish pattern
We are able to let the market decide this conflict and trade on a daily close in the markets direction.
Ranges, Descending Triangles, Triangles, & Ascending Triangle are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Triangles and ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Ascending and descending chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart ).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending volume bars and descending atr line (which indicates volatility ) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size.
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
XRPBTC Potential Bounce!Hello Traders,
Today's chart will be on XRP's current price action,
Points to consider
- Overall trend is bearish
- Major structural support broken
- RSI coming out of oversold conditions
- Both EMA's acting as resistance
- Below average volume
- Potential bullish divergence
- VPVR showing low volume of transaction at current area and resistance
The probability of XRP to have a bounce from this area is more favorable as we can see a potential bullish divergence forming, where the RSI is putting in higher highs and the price is putting in lower highs. It is noticeable that the price action is leaning into a wedge formation, with support (green zone) being in confluence helps with the bounce. The current volume is below average and tapering of rapidly which signify a move is about to happen in the near future...
what are your thoughts ? please leave a like and comment
and remember,
"Limit your size in any position so that fear does not become the prevailing instinct guiding your judgment''' - Joe Vidich
BTCUSD 1D BULLISH PENNANT CHART PATTERNPennant is a Triangle form chart pattern. It is a continuation chart pattern and this one is Bullish.
Ranges, Descending Triangles, Triangles, & Ascending Triangle are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Triangles and ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Ascending and descending chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart ).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending volume bars and descending atr line (which indicates volatility ) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size.
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
MCRB - Bounce Trend In Flow - Can It Carry On?Seres Therapeutics, Inc. operates a microbiome therapeutics platform company, which engages in the development of biological drugs. The firm creates medicines using live bacteria to treat diseases resulting from functional deficiencies in the microbiome, a condition known as dysbiosis. It focuses on implementing microbiome therapeutics platform to develop ecobiotic microbiome therapeutics that treats dysbiosis in the colonic microbiome. The company was founded by Geoffrey von Maltzahn, David A. Berry and Noubar B. Afeyan on October 18, 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.
SHORT INTEREST
4.91M 07/31/19
P/E Current
-1.22
P/E Ratio (with extraordinary items)
-1.71
Average Recommendation: OVERWEIGHT
Average Target Price: 9.60
JSE:COH Curro Climatic ActionCurro has been in a markdown for some time (see previous post below). We now see some buying volume stoping the decline. Following the Wyckoff theory, the selling climax (SC) indicates the start of a trading range (TR). This could be another stepping stone in the markdown or is it the start of an accumulation TR. But for now, we can expect the stock to be range-bound for some time. After the SC we can expect an automatic rally (AR) back to the previous breakout level.
JSE:VOD Vodacom Ready to Move LowerVodacom has required some time but it seems ready to take the next step down of the overbought line of the downward stride. After the redistribution, range has played out and with the market turning down Vodacom may follow the market down.
JSE:TRU Truworths Breaking Below Trading RangeTruworths is breaking below the distribution trading range (TR) that was started in 2013. We have seen a backup (BU) to the TR and now the markdown is getting going.
JSE:SUR Spur RedistributionWe have seen a long distribution trading range (TR) which formed from 2013 to 2018 that is now playing out to the downside. The markdown has now had a redistribution TR form and has reached the overbought line of the downward stride. Expecting the markdown to continue with a break of the TR.
JSE:SPG Super Group the Markdown has StartedSuper Group has undergone distribution since 2016. After a backup to a Last Point of Supply (LPSY) and the 200 Week MA the markdown is starting. There is divergence with the volume RSI and it seems that there is more downside to come.
Bull Trap? Bitcoin To Drop?Lower volume is showing possible fake price action with a possible bull trap in play.
I'd be very careful over the next few days with this. We believe a possible drop due to a rejection here because the volume has been a lot lower than previous rallies. However, a surge could create a FOMO rally back up to 11K + levels.
JSE:TCP Transaction Capital OverboughtFollowing a repeating pattern, this trade has played out nicely (See links below). We have now reached the overbought line of the trend channel. With a throw-over and volume increase, this looks very climatic. This could possibly indicate the start of a trading range.
JSE:GFI Goldfields ReaccumulationGoldfields has broken out of a two (2) year TR and after a backup (BU) has started the markup. Recently after a buying climax, we are seeing a possible reaccumulation range. Some volume is again stepping up and we are looking for a break of the smaller TR for the next step up.
JSE:ANG AngloGold Lots StrengthAngloGold has been the strongest stock of the gold miners and the strength continues. There have been some reaccumulation ranges that have formed. The latest range has been an upsloping range with institutional buying on the way up seen by the increased volume on the increases. We have seen a spring and break of the recent TR with volume pushing it along. Negative divergence points to effort to push the stock down but with no response due to institutional buying. Good times for ANG.
JSE:GLN Glencore Markdown Gaining MomentumI have been watching the distribution of Glencore stock unfold since October 2018 (See post below) and the markdown is now in full swing. Lots of pain for Glencore still to come.
JSE:DRD DRD MarkupFollowing a Wyckoff analysis of DRD phase E markup is now in full swing. In 2018 institutions started slowly to accumulate the stock at low prices. Early this year there was some heightened interest seen with increases in volume with institutions stepping up the pace of accumulation. With a spring the markup started in phase D and after a backup, to the TR we are now seeing the markup taking place in phase E. We are looking for resistance areas around R7 for the first target and then possibly R9 and then we will see if there is enough gas to reach previous highs.
JSE:AGL Anglo American Approaching OversoldAnglo American has been trading in a well-defined advancing channel (See the previous post following this advance below). Every time it has reached the oversold line there has been a spring type action and institutional buying indicated by volume increases. The difference with the previous occasions this occurred is that the volatility is greater and has occurred a shorter perioded of time after the previous event. So watch for a reaction from the oversold line on a lower timeframe but apply good risk management due to the volatility.
FOMX - Bulls Arrive As Big Investment HappensFoamix Pharmaceuticals Ltd. is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company. The Company is engaged in the development and commercialization of foam-based formulations, using its technology, which includes its foam platforms. It is focused on developing and commercializing its minocycline foam for the treatment of acne, rosacea and other skin conditions. Its product candidates include FMX101, FMX102, FMX103 and FDX104. Its lead product candidate, FMX101, is a topical foam formulation of the antibiotic minocycline for the treatment of moderate-to-severe acne. FMX102 is a formulation of its minocycline foam being developed for the treatment of impetigo. FMX103 is a topical foam formulation of minocycline for the treatment of moderate-to-severe Papulopustular rosacea. FDX104 is a topical foam formulation of the antibiotic doxycycline for the treatment of severe acne-like rashes induced by chemotherapy. It has conducted one Phase II clinical trial for each of FMX101, FMX102, FMX103 and FDX104.
Foamix Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (FOMX), (“Foamix”), a clinical stage specialty pharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing proprietary topical therapies to address unmet needs in dermatology, today announced that it has secured up to $64 million in financing from Perceptive Advisors and OrbiMed. The financing consists of term loans of up to $50 million under a Credit Agreement, with $15 million provided immediately upon satisfaction of certain closing conditions, $20 million available upon the achievement of certain regulatory milestones and $15 million available upon the achievement of certain revenue milestones. Additionally, the Company will receive $14 million in gross proceeds from Perceptive Advisors through a direct registered offering of the Company’s ordinary shares. Proceeds from the transactions are expected to be used to fund the Company’s filing of a New Drug Application (“NDA”) with the FDA for FMX103 for the treatment of papulopustular rosacea as well as, assuming FDA approval is received, the anticipated product launches of FMX101 for the treatment of moderate to severe acne and FMX103, as well as for working capital and general corporate purposes. The FDA has established October 20th, 2019 as the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) action date for FMX101, and Foamix is in the final stages of preparation for the NDA submission for FMX103. (Source finance.yahoo.com)
SHORT INTEREST
2.11M 07/15/19
Average Recommendation: BUY
Average Target Price: 15.60
P/E Current
-1.26
P/E Ratio (with extraordinary items)
-1.84
JSE:TBS Tiger Brands Backup CompleteIt has taken some time to finish but the backup is now complete and the markdown can begin as previously expected (see post below).
JSE:RNI Reinet Breaking Out of Re-accumulationI have been watching the accumulation of Reinet since the beginning of the year (see post below). After an extended re-accumulation, it is breaking out with some volume and sign of strength. Watching for markup to previous highs
JSE:RMI Following the DistributionI have been following the distribution of Rand Merchant Inv play out since October 2018 (See posts below). The distribution and backup seem to be complete and the markdown seems to be starting.
JSE:J200 Top 40 Markdown About to StartAfter a backup to the TR we see some supply volume pushing the price down. There is a negative divergence on the RSI. We have been waiting for the breakdown (See posts below) which finally seems to have started.
JSE:AMS Anglo American Platinum Re-accumulation Trading RangeAnglo Plat has had a good run but has now started to form a trading range. I have been following the accumulation of Anglo Plat since 2018 (See post below). It has had a great run after breaking the accumulation trading range (TR). We have seen a buying climax (BC) signalling the start of a smaller TR during the markup phase E. This could be a re-accumulation and backup to the breakout that is forming. Will watch for the action during the TR to time going long again when this is done. It may take a little time before this happens.
