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Why eurgbp will sell this newyork session!!In my analysis, we are observing signs of weakness in the Euro, as indicated by recent candlestick formations that reflect a notable lack of buying pressure. This behavior appears to be aligning with key Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a potential transition towards lower price levels. I anticipate that in the pre-New York session, we may witness a temporary fake-out before a subsequent downward movement. Traders should exercise caution and consider these factors in their decision-making process Follow me for more breakdown!!
by ShinForex1
#BTC/USD ANALYSIS. (BULLISH)Bitcoin Price Action Analysis. The Next Big Move? Bitcoin is moving within an ascending channel, showing strong bullish momentum! However, a key decision point is approaching as the price nears a critical support zone (highlighted in blue). If BTC holds above this level, we could see a strong push towards the $91,500 resistance and potentially break into the $94,700 range. A well structured risk-to-reward setup is in play, with a potential bullish breakout targeting new highs. Will BTC sustain its momentum, or will we see a retracement before the next leg up? Stay sharp and trade wisely! We will execute our trades only after receiving bullish confirmation. Use proper stoploss and proper money management. This is just my analysis. Observe the behavior of price how it will react. #BTCUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
1
ES Futures Weekly Trade Plan & Navigating Turbulent Waters CME_MINI:ES1! Macro Analogy The current market landscape and macroeconomic environment can be compared to the dynamics of "sticks and carrots." The market is largely headline-driven, responding to the shifting expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve's stance, political events (such as the ongoing influence of the Trump administration), and sidelined investors who are waiting for a clearer signal on where to allocate capital. Looking at the market action, the low on March 13th, 2025, could mark a point of sector reallocation. Specifically, the Russell 2000 index is currently leading, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq trailing behind. This suggests a shift in investor sentiment from large-cap stocks to smaller, potentially more dynamic sectors. In the backdrop, Federal Reserve speakers scheduled throughout the week may help clarify their position on the evolving macroeconomic situation, notably the persistent risk of stagflation. The challenge for central banks is becoming increasingly apparent: balancing rising inflation, increasing unemployment, and slowing growth while striving to meet their dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment. These pressures are intensifying the difficulty of effective policymaking. If we liken the US administration to a ship navigating through turbulent waters, the Federal Reserve could be seen as a submarine working behind the scenes to stabilize and support the administration. Chair Jerome Powell, at the controls, is leveraging all available tools to ensure financial stability. Meanwhile, at the helm of the ship is the US President, whose decisions and actions impact the broader economic environment, either calming or exacerbating the turbulence. The new adventures of the Gulf of America have entered uncharted territory. In this context, last week's actions, slowing the pace of Quantitative Tightening (QT)served as the "carrot," aimed at cushioning the economic pain despite worsening economic forecasts. However, the message that FED sounded was that, due to uncertainty, our forecasts are subject to change. Take them with a pinch of salt. ES Futures Big Picture: The ES futures market is currently testing key resistance levels, and this zone will serve as a critical inflection point for both bulls and bears. The next steps will likely hinge on the clarity emerging from both macro events and Fed commentary. Key Levels to Watch: • Yearly Open 2025: 6001.25 • Key LIS (Last Important Support/Resistance): 5850–5860 • Low Volume Node (LVN): 5770–5760 • Neutral Zone: 5705–5720 • Key Support Mid-Range 2024: 5626.50 • 2024-YTD mCVAL (Market Composite Value): 5505.25 • 2022 CVAH (Composite Value at High): 5341 Scenario 1: Rejection at Key Resistance In this scenario, we expect rejection at the key LIS levels, with further consolidation below the 5850–5860 range before the April 2nd reciprocal tariff deadline. This could lead to a retracement back toward the LVN area (5770–5760) and a potential drop to the neutral zone around 5705–5720. Scenario 2: Market Participants Expecting Less Severe Tariffs Should market participants anticipate less severe reciprocal tariffs than initially planned, but remain uncertain about the broader macroeconomic picture, we could see the price push above the key LIS levels. This would likely result in a consolidation phase until more clarity emerges, with the market continuing to trade in a volatile range above key LIS.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeClear
USDJPY SELL SETUP!!From a technical perspective, examining the USD/JPY chart, we might notice that prices are forming a lower high, which often indicates a potential downtrend. The price respecting Fibonacci retracement levels can also suggest that the market is reacting to key support and resistance levels. When traders see the price approaching these levels and behaving predictably, it can bolster their confidence in the direction of their trades. Overall, the expectation is for a continuing strength in the yen, especially if the market sentiment remains focused on potential rate hikes from the Fed. This scenario might lead to more bearish moves for the USD/JPY pair, making it important to watch for any significant economic data releases or comments from central bank officials that could signal changes in monetary policy.
Short
by ShinForex1
3
GOLD 1-H ROUTE MAPToday, we are analyzing the 1-hour time frame chart for Gold. My bias for today is on the buy side, based on market structure mapping and the SMC concept. Once the market price reaches my key levels, I will wait for confirmation according to my rules and strategy. At the same time, I will keep an eye on the volume and RSI indicators to find a strong confirmation and execute my trade with precision. The market will not move higher until it hunts its full SSL. And if we decide to buy from here, the first resistance we will face will be around the 2888-90 area, and the second resistance will be near the 2895-2900 price range. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential out comes. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis not financial advice. #XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
1
GBP/JPY TODAY EXPECTED MOVERight now, we are analyzing the GBPJPY 1-hour time frame chart. My bias for today is towards the sell side, and I will be looking to sell the market today. As you can see on the chart, these are our key levels. Once the market price reaches our key levels and POI, we will wait for confirmation whether the price shows a bearish confirmation or forms a reversal candlestick pattern, so we can find the ideal entry point for our trade and execute it with precision. The most important thing to remember is to always wait for confirmation. Make sure to always use a stop loss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis. Let's see what happens. #GBPJPY 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Short
by TradeTacticsreal
1
End of hibernation for the bears?AMEX:SPY is at a pivotal point and could potentially be at the top of the bullish cycle that began in October 2022. If this prediction proves accurate, I think we could see a maximum low of $510 for this year. There are a couple of caveats, including one that will be a clear indicator of whether or not this wave count is accurate, which I will explain later. On the 1000R chart ($10), this uptrend was confirmed by Supertrend and volume activity. Volume drastically increased at the start of Wave (3) in March 2023 and did not taper off until the start of Wave (4) in July 2024. This was the strongest impulse in the trend, which is common for Wave 3. You can also see the ADX line of the DMI indicator (white line) was at its highest level during that period. Assuming Wave (5) is already complete, we can observe that the volume in Wave (3) was considerably less than Wave (5). Other observations supporting this wave count: - Wave (4) retracing into the territory of Wave 4 of (3) - Alternation in corrective patterns between Wave (2) and Wave (4); flat in (2) and straight down in (4) - Wave (5) extending to nearly 1.618 of (1) While the points I’ve made so far suggest that the market may be on the verge of a crash, the image gets more complicated when you take a closer look on the 250R chart ($2.50). I’ll start with what I’m counting as Wave 4 of (5). The price ended at ATH in Wave 3 and then corrected in an unmistakable five wave descending wedge pattern. This can only be a fourth wave of a larger impulse, so we can conclude with a fair amount of confidence that the wave that follows will be the last. Here is where things get interesting. The price moved from $575 on January 13th to a slightly higher ATH of $609.24 on January 24th before being rejected again. This uptrend unfolded in a typical bullish pattern and left a notable gap at $584, which is the only gap still left unfilled. The trend change is confirmed on the moving averages. Notice the serious drop in volume that followed as well. Despite the shift in volume, there are two issues I have with this wave count that are preventing me from calling this a confirmed correction: 1. Wave 5 of (5) was awfully short and only extended roughly $2 above the end of Wave 3 of (5). This does not break any rules, but it is unusual. 2. What I have labelled as Wave B of Wave (1) or (A) of the correction made a new ATH on Friday February 14th, which should invalidate this wave count since the end of Wave 5 of (5) should be the peak. The second point is why some may think that we are about to resume the larger bull trend, however there is a possibility that they are mistaken based off the PA on the actual index SP:SPX and futures CME_MINI:ES1! . On the SP:SPX chart, we can see that the index did not break the ATH at $6128.18 set on January 25th, and instead rejected at $6,127.24. CME_MINI:ES1! also failed to notch a new ATH on Friday and I have observed the price action create a nearly perfect bearish butterfly pattern. Also notice how the volume is significantly lower than in the uptrend that began on January 31st. So the question remains: are we at a tipping point or will the bulls regain control? Right now it’s unclear, but I will keep my bearish sentiment until SP:SPX makes a new ATH, which will invalidate this theory. Since only the ETF that tracks it only made a slightly higher high on low volume, I’m skeptical of the PA on AMEX:SPY at the moment. This is why I entered puts on Friday. If the trade plays out, I expect the price to quickly move to fill the gap at $584, which is still conveniently located at what I cam considering the 1.236 extension of Wave A, which is a common target extension in flat corrections. I will keep my puts open until this idea is invalidated, as the Wave C drop will likely be caused by a news event that could come at any time. Let me know if you guys are seeing the same thing or something different. Good luck to all!
AMEX:SPYShort
by ap769
3
BTCUSDT: Signals a 2-Week Retest—Trend Still Alive BTC’s been wild, but zoom out to the 2-week chart— we’ve got a solid uptrend with higher highs and lows. Last week’s dip isn’t a reversal—it’s a retest of the 50-day EMA (around $64.8k as of March 10, 2025). Volume’s thinning, RSI’s looks oversold. Indicators flashed a ‘hold’ here—no sell signal yet, which tells me the trend’s got legs or at least a bounce. Bullish Case : If BTC holds the retested level (e.g., a prior resistance-turned-support), it could resume upward momentum. A two-week stabilization suggests accumulation, and a break above the recent high could target the next psychological level (e.g., $90,000). Bearish Risk : If the retest fails—price breaks below the key level with high volume—it could signal a deeper correction, potentially revisiting lower supports (e.g., $70,000 or $60,000). A two-week trend turning into a failed retest might indicate profit-taking or macroeconomic pressure with all the news. It's worth just taking a zoomed out look, no panic just yet and let it play out a little more.
by rarePear93026
GBPUSD FORECASTIn this analysis we're focusing on 4H time frame for GBPUSD. As we know that market trend was bullish and today I'm looking for a buy side opportunity. According to my analysis, if the market price wants to continue its move to the upside, it will need to first retest the key levels drawn on the chart before it can continue its upward movement. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us. Always remember when price reaches our key levels wait for confirmation. After confirmation execute your trades. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis or prediction. #GBPUSD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Long
by TradeTacticsreal
1
BankNifty Technical analysis - Mar 3 2025RED UMVD flashed warning sign back in Oct. I hope some of you were able to use this signal to cash out. Bars are red and we are approaching immediate support again, lets see how it handles. As long as UMVD is Red , I wouldn't buy. TrapZone has thinned now and market will most likely get volatile and sideways, unless we enter another wave of selloff. In that case we will see Red TrapZone and all hell will break. lol will post an hourly for short term players.
NSE:BANKNIFTY1!Short
by SnowflakeTrader
Bullish behaviour on NEM stockThe price of Newmont Corporation shares retraced to the areas where professional buying took place in the past (blue rectangles). The volume during that move down is decreasing, which, according to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), is bullish behaviour. Also, given that today's bar penetrates the recent demand zone and the professionals were buying there again, this stock looks very strong and has a high chance of reversal. Closing above the $43.72 level followed by its testing on daily or lower (1H, 15 minutes) timeframes might start the rally towards $55.13 - $55.89 with resistance around $49.27 - $50.12. If today's bar is tested and supply reappears during this process, we may expect an extension of the ongoing correction to the $37.53 - $38.37 area and another surge of buying there.
NYSE:NEMLong
by VSA_Home
BTC/USDT 4H – Breakdown & Key Levels 📉 **BTC/USDT 4H – Breakdown & Key Levels** Bitcoin has **broken down from a prolonged consolidation range** (blue zone), failing to reclaim the key resistance at **~$96,858**. The rejection from the **200 EMA (blue)** confirmed bearish momentum, leading to a sharp decline. 🔹 **Support Levels:** - **$82,222** (recent low) – Held briefly. - **$78,000 - 80,000** (thick blue line) – Major support area from historical price action and VWAP levels. 🔹 **Bearish Case:** - Breakdown from $82,222 could open the door to **$78K-$80K**. - Volume is increasing on the dump, confirming strong selling pressure. 🔹 **Bullish Case:** - Bulls need to reclaim **$91,800+** for a reversal. - A bounce from $78K-$80K could trigger a relief rally. ⚠️ **Watch for reactions at the next support level!**
by zakalj
2
Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming – Gold Breakdown Soon?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is currently near the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) . Gold attacked the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) several times but failed to break it and even created a Bull Trap . Regarding Classical Technical Analysis , Gold seems to be completing the Head and Shoulders Pattern . If Gold reaches the Neckline of this pattern , it seems to succeed in breaking it. One of the signs of the validity of the Head and Shoulders Pattern is to see a Regular Divergence(RD-) between the two shoulders, which we see here. According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing corrective waves. The structure of correction waves is Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Gold to reach the Neckline of the Head and Shoulders Pattern in the coming hours, and if it breaks , it will drop to at least $2,901 . Note: If Gold can go over the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940), we can expect more pumps. Note: If Gold touches $2,934, we can hope for a drop. Do you think that Gold succeeds in forming a new All-Time High(ATH) or does it need to be corrected? Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 30-minute time frame. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
7
Strength on FMC stockAfter publishing the February 5th 2025 earnings report, the FMC Corporation stock gapped down, losing almost 34% of its value. Moreover, nowadays, the company is under serious pressure after being accused of publishing false Sales and Inventory information and downgrading shares from "Buy" to "Neutral" by some analytic companies (e.g. Redburn). Logically, in such circumstances, prices should continue down, but as a matter of fact, it is not the case. Why? First, the February 5th bar is a down bar on a huge (largest in the last 15 years) volume, which, according to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), indicates professional buying. Then, 2 days later, professionals bought again and the market responded by the higher prices. Finally, the gapped-down bar reached the level of the previous support (blue rectangle on the daily and weekly charts), which adds strength. Even though it looks very bullish on the daily chart, the price should be tested before the rally. Therefore, we may expect a shallow correction to $35.13 - $36.34 or, if supply is still there, to $30.80-33.73. If testing is successful and the up move begins, the potential resistance on the way up will be around $48.06-$48.73 and $52.65 - $54.54 areas.
NYSE:FMCLong
by VSA_Home
Trading with multiple VAMAsI want to show you how to analyse multiple timeframe VAMAs for trading opportunities. This is an interesting approach that can reveal valuable market structure information. For this example I am using a 15m, 1h and. 4h VAMA, but you can use this on lower or higher timeframes as well. First, let's understand what each timeframe VAMA represent in this case: The 15-minute VAMA indicates short-term trends and momentum The 1-hour VAMA reveals intermediate trend direction The 4-hour VAMA represents the broader market structure When these VAMAs overlap on your lower timeframe chart (15m in this case), they create what we might call "zones of interest." Think of it like layers of support and resistance that have different degrees of significance based on their timeframe. Here's how we can interpret and use this information: Convergence Zones When multiple VAMAs cluster in a tight price range, this creates a significant zone of interest. For example, if your 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour VAMAs are all within a narrow price band, this often indicates a strong support or resistance level. These zones typically exhibit one of two behaviors: Price Bounces: When price approaches a convergence zone from above or below, it often respects these levels. The more timeframes that have converged, the stronger the zone becomes. A bounce from such a zone with corresponding volume can present a high-probability trade opportunity. Zone Breaks: If price successfully breaks through a convergence zone, especially with increased volume, this often signals a strong trend continuation or reversal, depending on the direction of the break. Hierarchical Trending You can identify the strength and maturity of trends by examining how the different timeframe VAMAs are arranged: Strong Uptrend Structure: 4H VAMA lowest 1H VAMA above 4H 15min VAMA above 1H This "stacking" of VAMAs shows a healthy trend structure. The higher timeframe VAMAs act as dynamic support levels in an uptrend (or resistance in a downtrend). Trade Entry Opportunities Alignment Trades: Look for moments when all VAMAs are pointing in the same direction and properly stacked. These situations often present high probability setups. For example: In an uptrend Price pulls back to test the 15-minute VAMA while the 1H and 4H VAMAs continue trending up.This creates a "buy the dip" opportunity with multiple timeframe confirmation. Divergent Zone Trades: When the faster VAMAs (1min, 15min) show divergence from the slower ones (1H, 4H), this can indicate potential reversal points: If the 1min and 15min VAMAs start curling up while price is testing the 1H VAMA as support. This divergence in shorter timeframes while respecting longer timeframe support can signal a reversal opportunity. Breakout Confirmation: Use the multiple timeframes to confirm breakout trades: When price breaks above a convergence zone Look for the faster VAMAs (1min, 15min) to cross above the slower ones Volume should increase during the break The previous resistance zone (marked by the VAMAs) should become support
Education
by jpkxyz
Weakness on HOOD stockRobinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) shares appear to have sold off after publishing its February 12th earnings report. Following the report's good news, the market gapped up on opening and triggered a buying surge, allowing professionals to sell. The next day, the price recovered on a significantly lower volume, indicating absence of the professional interest on the upside (weakness). Then, on February 18th, another selling took place, which absorbed the remaining demand and pushed the price below the low of the gapped-up bar. This is bearish behaviour. It has to be noted that there were a few more selling activities in December 2024/January 2025 (red rectangles), making the overall situation on the stock even weaker. Despite the serious weakness, we may still see a retracement up into the $62.09 - $65.21 area for either more selling or retesting of demand, after which a move down to the $41.04-$42.66 zone could be expected. In this case, the support might reappear around the $52.96 level and at the $49.56 - $50.19 area.
NASDAQ:HOODShort
by VSA_Home