Natural gas short tradeShorted Naturalgasm @ 309.5 looking at recent double top. The major trend in natural gas is downtrend. This trade is in confluence with major trend. The volume is also supporting the trade.
Volumeanalysis
Why Volume Bar Colors Can Mislead You█ The Truth Behind Volume Bars — What Do Green and Red Actually Mean?
Most traders learn early on that green volume bars mean bullish activity, and red bars mean bearish pressure. But is it really that simple? What does volume truly reflect, and are we making assumptions that can mislead us?
█ What Volume Actually Is
Volume represents the number of shares/contracts traded during a specific time interval. Every transaction includes both a buyer and a seller. So, volume itself doesn’t distinguish whether a trade was bullish or bearish. Instead, platforms color volume bars based on price movement:
Green: If price closed higher than it opened.
Red: If price closed lower than it opened.
Some platforms, like TradingView, allow you to color volume based on whether the price closed higher or lower than the previous candle’s close.
So YOU, as a trader, have the chance to decide whether to assign volume bars either bullish or bearish! It’s a setting parameter anyone can change. Traders around the globe might look at the same volume bar, but some interpret it as bearish, while others interpret it as bullish. What is the most correct way?
█ The Assumption Behind the Color
This coloring assumes that:
A rising price means buyers were more aggressive (lifting the ask).
A falling price means sellers were more aggressive (hitting the bid).
This is a proxy — an approximation. It simplifies market pressure into a binary outcome: if price goes up, it's bullish volume; if it goes down, it's bearish. But the market isn't always so binary.
However, the assumption is only an approximation of buying vs. selling. In reality, every single trade involves both a buyer and a seller, so volume itself isn’t inherently “buy” or “sell” – what matters is who initiated the trades. As one trading expert explains, talking about “buying volume” vs “selling volume” can be misleading: for every buyer there is a seller, so volume cannot be literally split into purchases and sales. Instead, what traders really mean by “bullish volume” is that buyers were more aggressive (lifting offers) and drove the price up, whereas “bearish volume” means sellers were more aggressive (hitting bids) and drove the price down. The colored volume bar is essentially a proxy for which side won the battle during that bar.
█ Why This Can Mislead You
Price might close higher, not because there were more buyers than sellers (there never are — every trade has both), but because buyers were more urgent. And sometimes price moves due to other forces, like:
Short covering.
Stop-loss runs.
Liquidity vacuums.
This means a green bar might not reflect strong demand, just urgency from the other side closing their positions.
⚪ Example:
Take the well-known GameStop short squeeze as an example. If you looked only at the volume bars during that rally, you’d see a wall of strong green candles and high volume, which might suggest aggressive bullish buying.
However, that interpretation would be misleading.
Under the surface, the surge wasn't driven by fresh bullish conviction — it was massive short covering. Traders who were short were forced to buy back shares to cover their positions, which drove prices even higher. The volume was categorized as bullish, but the true intent behind the move had nothing to do with new buying pressure.
This demonstrates why relying solely on volume color or candle direction can lead to false conclusions about market sentiment.
Does this simple up/down volume labeling truly reflect buying vs. selling pressure? To a degree, yes – it captures the net price outcome, which often corresponds to who was more aggressive. For example, if many buyers are willing to pay higher prices (demand), a bar will likely close up and be colored green, reflecting that buying interest. Conversely, if eager sellers are dumping shares and undercutting each other, price will drop, yielding a red bar that flags selling pressure. Traders often use rising volume on up-moves as confirmation of a bullish trend’s strength, and high volume on down-moves as a warning of distribution, which indeed aligns with traditional analysis
That said, the method has important limitations and nuances, documented both anecdotally and in research:
⚪ Volume is not one-dimensional: Since every trade has both a buyer and seller, one cannot literally count “buy volume” vs “sell volume” without more information. The green/red coloring is a blunt classification based on price direction, not an actual count of buys or sells. It assumes the price change direction is an adequate proxy for the imbalance of buying vs. selling. This is often true in a broad sense, but it’s not a precise measure of order flow.
⚪ Intrabar Dynamics Are Lost: A single bar’s color only tells the end result of that interval, not the story of what happened during the bar. For instance, a 4-hour candle might be red (down) overall, but it could have contained three hours of rally (buying) followed by a steep selloff in the final hour that erased the gains. The volume bar will be colored red due to the net price drop, even though significant buying occurred earlier in the bar. In other words, a large red bar can mask that there were pockets of bullish activity within – the selling just happened to win out by the close of that period. Without looking at smaller time frames or detailed data, one can’t tell from a single color how the buying/selling tug-of-war progressed within the bar.
⚪ Gap Effects and Criteria Choices: The choice of using open vs. close or previous close can alter the interpretation of volume. As discussed, a day with a big gap can be labeled differently under the two methods. Neither is “right” or “wrong” – they just highlight different perspectives (intraday momentum vs. day-over-day change). Traders should be aware that colored volume bars are an approximation. A green volume bar under one method might turn red under the other method for the same bar. This doesn’t mean volume changed – it means the classification scheme changed. For example, a stock that closes below its open but still higher than yesterday will show a red volume bar by the intraday method but would be considered an “up-volume day” in OBV terms (previous close method).
⚪ No Indication of Magnitude or Commitment: A single color also doesn’t convey how much buying or selling pressure there was, only which side won. Two green volume bars might both be green, but one could represent a modest uptick with tepid buying, whereas another could represent an aggressive buying spree – the color alone doesn’t distinguish this (other than one bar likely being taller if volume was higher). Traders often need to consider volume relative to average (e.g. using volume moving averages or looking for volume spikes) to judge the significance of a move, not just the color.
█ Summary
The coloring of volume bars is a visual shortcut, not an exact science. It’s a guess based on price direction — useful, but imperfect. Understanding this helps traders avoid reading too much into what a green or red volume bar actually means.
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
#M30 BUYING MODULEIn this analysis we're focusing on M30 time frame for GOLD. Here we see clearly that price creates Bullish trendline and also price give respect to the trendline. According to price action and my analysis I'm expecting that price come back and retest my zone, and observe the reaction of price. If price give any bullish confirmation than we'll execute our trade. This is M30 time frame analysis once price reaches our zone switch to the lower time frame to find perfect entry point. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is my analysis.
#XAUUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
#GBPJPY UPDATES AND ANALYSISGBPJPY 4H Chart Analysis
GBPJPY is exhibiting strong bullish structure on the 4H timeframe, with price currently forming higher lows and holding above a key ascending trendline. The marked demand zone around 189.94 has acted as a support area, suggesting potential accumulation before the next leg up.
A bullish continuation is anticipated with three structured targets aligned at:
Target 1: 191.773
Target 2: 193.320
Target 3: 194.832
The setup provides a favorable risk to reward scenario. A break and close below the demand zone and ascending trendline support would invalidate this bias. This is a higher time frame key levels. When price enters in our zone, look for confirmation in smaller time frame before executing your trades. Confirmation is key.
This just my analysis. Use proper stoploss and proper money management for your trade.
#GBPJPY 4H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Indicators that Warn of a Top or Bottom Before It HappensHybrid Leading Indicators use all 3 data sets from each transaction that occurs in the stock market. Today this lesson talks about Chaikin Oscillator and Chaikin MFI. Both are used on the same chart as the volume oscillator reveals the volume and price correlation to what the Dark Pool Buy Side institutions are buying or selling for long term holds. The oscillator also shows pro trader activity and indicates with a spike to the top or bottom of its chart a probable reversal of the trend the next day. When the Oscillator spikes to the top, then a profit taking day by pros or a run down is likely the next day.
When the oscillator hits a V shape at the bottom of the chart, the stock price is likely to move up the next day, warning those selling short to exit quickly. The oscillator also shows topping price and volume changes before the Flat Top forms. It also shows Bottoming development before the recent rebound in $NASDAQ:PYPL.
Money Flowing into or out of a stock is also a critical analysis for swing traders as it confirm whether you should continue swing trading to the upside OR if you should switch quickly to selling short. MFI in this chart is harmonious with the oscillator, both confirming a strong indication of the direction the stock will take over the next few days.
A bottoming formation starts well ahead of the actual final low. This is important to recognize early when selling short, to avoid a huge whipsaw day that can cause huge sell short losses.
When you can read the chart as easily as you read a book, your Spatial Pattern Recognition Skills are finely tuned and you can be proud to be a member of the semi-professional retail swing traders. Let that be your goal, along with consistent profits with minimal losses.
Raise your expectations.
Trade Wisely,
Martha Stokes CMT
Cup and handle pattern in CartradeCup and handle pattern observed in Cartrade. The handle is of sideways action with decreasing volume during handle progression suggesting sellers are drained out and buyers are taking control. Sustainable breakout might be observed.
Chart structure reacts to memory. Momentum + reaction zones! BTCWhat you're seeing isn’t just price action—it's memory in motion.
🟥 Prior momentum shifts marked critical turning points where sellers temporarily dominated.
🟩 Support responses signaled reactive strength, giving early signs of accumulation.
📘 Consolidation zones show where price "remembered" to pause—these often act as launchpads or traps.
🟧 Swept demand cleared out weak hands before a sustained move.
📈 Historical resistance, once broken, becomes memory-based support.
Each label isn't a signal—it's a story.
This chart reminds us:
👉 Before price moves, it tests memory.
👉 Before breakouts, it absorbs emotion.
👉 And before trends, it reacts to old battles.
🧠 The more you study structure, the more you see intention—not randomness.
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup: Capitalizing on Key Support LevelsThis setup is based on a combination of technical indicators and key support levels, which suggest a potential bullish movement in the near future.
Chart Analysis:
Price Action: The price of gold has been consolidating around the $3,230 level, forming a potential support zone. This consolidation phase often precedes a breakout, and we are looking for a bullish breakout from this range.
Volume: The volume indicator shows a decrease in selling pressure, which is a positive sign. Increased volume on upward price movements would confirm the bullish sentiment.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently hovering around the 50 level, indicating a neutral momentum. However, a break above 50 would signal bullish momentum, and we are looking for a move towards the overbought zone (above 70).
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is approaching a bullish crossover with the signal line, which is a strong indication of a potential upward trend. The histogram is also showing positive divergence, adding to the bullish case.
Support and Resistance Levels: Key support levels are marked at $3,187.75 and $3,236.44. A break above these levels would confirm the bullish setup. Resistance levels are at $3,310.55 and $3,379.27, which could act as targets for the long position.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Look for a bullish breakout above the $3,236.44 support level.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent low at $3,187.75.
Target: Aim for the resistance levels at $3,310.55 and $3,379.27.
I invite all traders to share their thoughts and insights on this setup. Your feedback and additional analysis can help refine this strategy and improve our collective understanding of the market. Let's discuss the potential outcomes and any additional indicators or patterns that could support or contradict this setup.
Don't forget to follow me for more detailed analyses and trade setups. Together, we can navigate the markets and capitalize on profitable opportunities.
Happy Trading! 🚀💸
KRYSTAL Integrated Services LtdTechnical View: KRYSTAL is consolidating between ₹520–₹550 after a rally from March lows. A breakout above ₹560 could target ₹600+, while a dip below ₹500 may weaken momentum. RSI shows moderate bullishness.
Fundamental View: FY24 revenue grew ~44% YoY to ₹981 Cr; net profit rose ~26% to ₹48 Cr. ROE ~18%, ROCE ~20%. Recently secured a ₹349 Cr 3-year contract from Tamil Nadu Medical Services.
Action Plan:
Short-term: Buy above ₹560, target ₹600.
Long-term: Attractive valuation; accumulate on dips ₹450–₹500 zone.
Gold 4H – Big vs Little: The Conflict That Created ClarityJust price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Trend Reclaim (Early March) — Entered just after price bounced from the 200 EMA. Both systems aligned: Big Brother reversal and Little Brother trend crossover. I trusted the signal and it ran clean.
⛔ False Top (Late March) — Big Brother printed a red arrow under resistance. Little Brother still looked bullish, but I paused. That caution kept me out of the trap.
✅ Re-entry Confirmation (Early April) — Green triangle fired again after a textbook pullback. Bullish volume returned, and Little Brother confirmed. I re-entered long.
⛔ True Top (Mid-April) — Volume faded. Big Brother gave a second red warning. I exited longs here — structure rolled over fast after that.
🚨 Breakdown Confirmed (May 1–2) — The flush sealed it. Both systems aligned bearish. Structure broke. No more guessing — this trend has shifted.
This is how I trade with conviction. Tools don’t replace decisions — they sharpen them.
Gold 1H Breakdown: Top Confirmed, Trend ReversedJust price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Trend Start / Structure Reclaim — Price regained key support and moving averages with momentum. Structure flipped bullish and trend began.
⛔ Top Exhaustion — Price reached new highs but began to stall. Volume dropped, and candles began curling — signaling a loss of momentum.
⚠️ Bounce Setup — After the pullback, buyers attempted to step back in — but structure never confirmed. No follow-through = no entry.
🚨 Breakdown Trigger — Sellers regained full control. Price broke below key levels with conviction. Volume confirmed the shift.
👀 Current Move — Price is pushing into new lows. Breakdown structure remains active until proven otherwise.
Always happy to be helpful.
Gold: Breakdown in Motion (15m Chart)Just price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Momentum Long — Price broke out from a base with clean volume. MA structure aligned, and bulls had control early.
⛔ Top Reversal — Price peaked and printed a clean rejection. Volume faded. Sellers rotated in.
⛔ Lower High Rejection — Attempt to reclaim highs failed fast. Fib and MA structure stacked against continuation.
⚠️ Temporary Recovery Attempt — Brief bounce off support, but no structure regained. No follow-through = no entry.
🚨 Breakdown Confirmed — Price lost all support levels with conviction. Volume backed the flush. Breakdown held and extended.
👀 Current Pressure Point — Price still pressing lows. Watching to see if momentum continues or if we get exhaustion behavior.
Always happy to be helpful.
SPX Play-by-Play: From Trap to Trend and Back AgainJust price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Early Short Trap / Failed Breakdown — Sellers tried to press lower early, but price held key levels and reversed. That shift became the foundation for the entire move that followed.
✅ Breakout Long Trigger — After reclaiming structure, price drove into new highs with strong follow-through. Volume confirmed the breakout.
⛔ Top Rejection — Price pushed into resistance but couldn’t hold. Momentum faded, candles hesitated, and sellers stepped in.
✅ Fib-Based Bounce — After the pullback, price responded cleanly off fib-based support. The bounce was sharp, and volume backed it.
✅ Steady Uptrend Structure — Price moved in an orderly fashion. Small pullbacks held structure, and volume stayed supportive — a textbook controlled climb.
⛔ Range Resistance — Price returned to a previously rejected zone. Wicks and hesitation reappeared.
👀 Current Breakout Watch — Price is testing that resistance again. A reclaim with strength signals continuation. Another fade? Let it go.
Always happy to be helpful.
XRP/USDT — Structure-Driven Strategy (1H Chart)Just price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Reversal Buy — Price flushed, then snapped back into the range with follow-through. That became the base structure for everything that followed.
⛔ Top Exhaustion / Rejection — Clean reversal after a strong rally. Volume dropped off, candles showed hesitation, and sellers stepped in.
⚠️ Small Rejection Mid-Range — Structure failed to push higher. This area marked a trap — no volume confirmation, no continuation.
🚨 Major Breakdown & Recovery Setup — Price dropped hard but reclaimed key levels quickly. The recovery candle and volume spike were the first clues buyers were stepping in again.
👀 Current Watch Point — Price is now pressing back into that same resistance zone. The structure here is everything — a clean reclaim could mean trend continuation. But hesitation again? Fade it.
Always happy to be helpful.
Is Nasdaq still bullish? Steep correction today as expectedIf you look at my last post, you can see where I explained the expectation.
As range theory would state, the rejection from the bottom of a range creates a target in the high of the range. I have identified the candle top that I believe is the target for this rally.
If the bearish imbalance is stacked with too many orders we will not make it there. We are sitting right around the 50EMA for hourly as well as retesting the break point and bottom of the hourly bearish orderblock as I have marked.
It is in my opinion that the Void will act as a magnetic anomaly and assist in pulling price up as many institutional orders will be in that range, but we'll see 🔑
Share with a friend in need of real guidance 🫡
#BEARISH MOVE EXPECTEDIn this analysis we're focusing on 1H time frame for gold. In this analyze we are using downward trendline along with the combination of price action. When price enter in our supply area, so our first step is to observe how price will react and if price give any bearish confirmation then we'll execute our trade. Confirmation is very important.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper R:R ratio.
This is my analysis not a financial advice.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GOLD ANALYSISIn this analysis we're focusing on 1H time frame for Gold. Today I'm expecting bullish momentum and my bias was bullish. On the basis of SMC concept and price action when price reach my zone and give any bullish confirmation, after observing strong confirmation. I'll trigger my trades. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us.
This is a higher time frame outlook. Let's analyze more deeply in smaller time frame for finding ideal and crucial entry point. Confirmation is very important.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
TSLA: Low Is In , Rally IncomingTSLA is showing signs of strong accumulation, with buyers consistently stepping in and volume expanding on up-moves. Price structure is improving, breakouts further confirm strength, increasing the likelihood that bears have been left behind. Based on the price action and volume alone, TSLA looks ready for a potential sustained move higher.
#XAUUSD 1H ANALYSISXAUUSD 1H Supply & Demand Analysis
In this analysis we're focusing on 1H time frame, for finding upcoming movement and changes in Gold prices. Price action shows a clear bearish structure following a strong upside move that was met with resistance near the 3370–3380 supply zone. After two Breaks of Structure (BOS), price is retracing toward a premium level where supply is expected to be reactivated.
Marked areas:
🔴 Supply Zone: 3370–3380 (potential short-entry zone)
🔵 Demand Zone: 3260–3290 (reversal or TP zone)
Target 1: 3315
Target 2: 3305
Target 3: 3292
This setup suggests an ideal Sell from Supply once price reacts and confirms bearish intent with internal structure shifts. Patience is key wait for price to tap the zone and show signs of weakness before entering. Confirmation is very important.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis not financial advice.
#GOLD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
LINK’s Swing Setup Could Push Past $15LINK bounced right off the $10 mark, charging upward toward the monthly open before slamming into resistance around $13.25. But now what?
Let’s break it down — because the next high-probability setup is taking shape, and it’s one you don’t want to miss.
The Current Situation:
LINK is:
Below the Point of Control (POC) of this trading range (~$11.35).
Below the monthly open at $13.5.
Still in a bearish trend on the 4H, showing lower highs.
Facing decent rejection from the monthly level.
We’re currently trading below the weekly open at $12.62, now sitting right on the Value Area Low (VAL) at $12.36. That puts us in a precarious spot and sets the stage for the next move.
Bearish, bearish, bearish. When bullish sir? Staying patient and waiting for a real shift in market structure is key.
The Bearish Play: Liquidity Grab Incoming?
There’s a liquidity pocket waiting below at $11.68, the most recent swing low. If LINK loses VAL and bearish pressure kicks in, this becomes the next logical target.
But here's where things get interesting...
The Bullish Setup: Confluence-Backed Long Opportunity
This isn’t just any random support zone — there’s a perfect confluence stack forming:
Swing low: $11.68
Daily support level: $11.45
Weekly support level: $11.28
POC of trading range: ~$11.35
0.618 Fibonacci retracement lands in this zone as well
That’s four layers of support in one tight cluster. This is where we want to scale into longs.
The Play: Scaling In
Entry: Ladder long positions from $11.68 down to the 0.786 fib (near $11.2)
Stop Loss: Below $10.35 for invalidation
Target: 0.786 fib retracement of the previous downward wave at ~$14.5
R:R: Approx. 3:1, with a potential +30% gain
The trend remains bearish but the chart is setting up a prime reversal zone. Patience is key here.
🔔 Set alerts. Watch for volume spikes. Look for SFPs or bullish engulfing candles etc.
The next move on LINK could offer one of the best swing setups especially since this trade could extend past the $15 mark, putting you ahead of the curve.
💬 Found this helpful? Drop a like and comment below. Want TA on another coin? Let me know and I’ll break it down for you.
Happy trading everyone! 💪
Ethereum Hits Support – Time to Load Up?🎢 The Great 112‑Day Drop
What happened? Over the past 112 days, ETH tumbled –66%, sliding from $4109 down to $1383 and oh yeah, it even poked its nose below the January 2018 all-time high. 7 years ago!
Support Zone: 0.786 + Volume Profile
0.786 Fib: $1,570.85 (drawn from the 2022 low $870.80 to that $4109 high).
5‑Year POC: $1565
Hold Tight: For 2 weeks, the 0.786 level has acted as support, bouncing price right back up.
Sell in May and go away? Rather buy in May and grab some gains on the way?
Trade Blueprint: Your Ethereum Game Plan
Entry Zone: $1570.85
Stop Loss: Below $1369.79
Profit Targets: $1800, $2000 ,$2500, $3000
Risk/Reward: Risk ≈13%, Reward ≈91%, a solid 7:1 R:R
DCA
Missed the perfect entry? No drama... dollar‑cost average between $1700 and $1500.
Keep an eye on the monthly open at $1822. Bulls need to break this resistance zone.
Bottom Line
Ethereum’s –66% dive has handed us a golden ticket at the 0.786 fib and 5‑year POC. This is one of those “buy the dip” moments.
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💬 Found this helpful? Drop a like and comment below. Want TA on another coin? Let me know and I’ll break it down for you.
Happy trading everyone! 💪
