KOINUSDT - Visible Range Volume ProfileWhat is the Visible Range Volume Profile Indicator?
The Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) indicator calculates the volume profile within the visible range of prices, making it an ideal tool for traders who want to analyze the most recent market trends.
Observations
70% of the volume was traded between $0.09~$0.55 (shown on the chart by the 2 horizontal blue lines (Volume Area High, Volume Area Low).
The biggest trading volume was between $0.09~$0.18.
On the right-hand side, you can see the VRVP indicated by green and red horizontal bars. Most of the time in this period it is quite even, besides one bar ($0.28~$0.37) that shows a much higher Value Area Up.
Personal Opinion
In my opinion, what we can see in the VRVP indicator adds weight to the theory that during these low prices, there has been massive distribution and accumulation from a few whales to the ever-growing Koinos community. This of course, is great news for the future of Koinos Blockchain!
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below and thanks for reading.
Volumeanalysis
Tata Motors (Daily Timeframe) AnalysisChart Pattern & Trend:
Primary Trend: The stock previously followed a rising channel pattern, peaking near ₹1,176.50. After breaking the channel's lower boundary, it entered a significant downtrend.
Current Trend: Bearish, as the stock has consistently been making lower highs and lower lows.
Fibonacci Levels:
The Fibonacci retracement tool highlights key levels:
61.8% Level (₹880.35): This level acted as a minor support before breaking down.
50% Level (₹788.85): The stock is hovering around this level, attempting to stabilize.
38.2% Level (₹697.40): If the downtrend continues, this could be the next key support.
23.6% Level (₹584.20): A deeper correction might test this level in a prolonged bearish scenario.
Volume Analysis:
Declining volumes suggest weakening momentum on the downside.
A volume spike at key support levels could indicate buying interest.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is in the oversold zone or nearing it, indicating potential for a short-term pullback or consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: ₹880 (61.8% Fibonacci) and ₹900 are immediate resistance zones.
Support: ₹788 (current level) and ₹697 (38.2% Fibonacci) are critical supports.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Reversal: A breakout above ₹880 with increasing volumes could signal the beginning of a recovery.
Continued Bearishness: A breakdown below ₹788 could lead the stock toward ₹697 and ₹584.
Trading Strategy:
For Long Positions: Look for reversal patterns around ₹788 or ₹697, supported by RSI divergence and volume confirmation.
For Short Positions: Consider selling near resistance levels like ₹880 with a stop-loss above ₹900.
DYDX/USDT Trading ScenarioDespite the recent significant rise in BTC, most altcoins continue to trade near their historical lows. For instance, the DYDX token is currently priced at $1.2065, which is close to its minimum value of $0.8176.
Trading volumes have been gradually increasing, and the volume profile indicates prolonged accumulation of the asset since the beginning of 2022. There is a possibility of a decrease in BTC dominance, which could signal the start of an altseason.
In such a market condition, DYDX has the potential for significant growth.
BTC Trading in Price Discovery Zones (Price analysis)Bitcoin in Price Discovery: Understanding and Trading in Uncharted Territory
When Bitcoin or any asset reaches an all-time high (ATH), it enters a phase known as price discovery. In this phase, the market operates without historical price references, navigating uncharted territory to determine fair value. For traders and investors, this presents both an opportunity and a challenge. Employing techniques like Elliott Wave Theory and analyzing price and volume dynamics can help strategize trades during this unique phase.
What is Price Discovery?
Price discovery occurs when an asset ventures into price levels it has never reached before—most often at its ATH. Without prior data for resistance or support, the market relies on demand, supply, and speculation to set new price benchmarks. Understanding how price reacts in this phase requires both macro and micro analysis.
Elliott Wave Theory in Price Discovery
Elliott Wave Theory offers a framework for understanding market psychology and price movements. In the context of price discovery, the B Wave of an Elliott Wave formation plays a pivotal role:
Identifying the B Wave and Pullback Zones
The B Wave represents a pullback into a range after an impulsive move upward (Wave A).
Mark the peak of the impulsive move (A) and the bottom of the pullback (B).
Project this range forward in time to identify potential support zones.
Support Zones in Price Discovery
The previous high (Wave A peak) forms the top of the support zone.
The B Wave low forms the bottom of the support zone.
Once the price pulls back into this zone, it signals a potential retest of the support, offering opportunities for reentry into the trend.
Drilling Down: Smaller Timeframes for Confirmation
When Bitcoin retests these support zones, zoom into smaller timeframes to assess price reaction and volume behavior. Look for:
Bullish Change in the State of Delivery: This includes higher highs and higher lows, increased buying volume, and bullish candlestick patterns such as engulfing candles or hammer formations.
Volume Confirmation: Strong volume on upward moves and decreasing volume during pullbacks indicate sustained bullish momentum.
At these support zones, the price is likely to resume its bullish trend if the market shows these signs of strength.
Managing Risk in Price Discovery Zones
Despite bullish setups, price discovery is volatile, and false breakouts can occur. To safeguard trades:
Watch for Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
Look for large, unfilled price gaps from prior resistance areas.
These gaps might signal areas where the price could retrace deeper before confirming support.
Adjust Entries and Stop Losses
If price breaks below the initial support zone (top of Wave A), it may retest the bottom of the B Wave for further consolidation.
Set stop losses below the bottom of the B Wave to protect against unexpected reversals.
Evaluate Volume-Driven Moves
Weak volume during a retest could indicate insufficient demand to support the price, suggesting a deeper pullback or reversal is more likely.
--------------------------
Price discovery is one of the most exciting and rewarding phases for traders who know how to approach it. By using Elliott Wave Theory, you can pinpoint key support zones, especially around the B Wave pullbacks, and then confirm your setups by analyzing price action and volume.
The key here is patience and precision. Let the price come to those critical zones you’ve marked, watch how it reacts, and make your move confidently. Stay flexible, though—price discovery is unpredictable, and managing your risk is crucial if you want to make the most out of this high-potential phase in Bitcoin’s journey.
Ethereum (ETH/USD): Bullish Momentum Building Ethereum is currently trading within a rising channel pattern, indicating sustained bullish momentum. Here's the breakdown:
1.Support Levels:
Strong support at $3,080 (marked as 4H Support) has held firm, preventing further downside.
The ascending trendline is providing consistent upward pressure.
2.Resistance Zones:
Immediate resistance at $3,143 (30m Resistance).
Key level to watch is $3,224 (4H Resistance), which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel.
3.Volume & RSI:
Volume is gradually increasing, indicating renewed buyer interest.
RSI is rising from oversold levels, supporting a bullish outlook.
4.Target Levels:
A breakout above $3,143 could propel ETH towards $3,224, the next significant resistance.
Bullish Scenario:
If ETH holds above $3,114 and breaks $3,143 decisively, expect a swift move toward $3,224. Beyond this, a continuation within the channel could aim for $3,280.
Risk management is key—watch the $3,080 support zone closely for invalidation of the bullish setup.
MANA/USDT Trading ScenarioDespite the rapid growth of BTC and many popular assets in the crypto market, some altcoins from promising projects remain heavily oversold and undervalued. One example is the native token of the Decentraland metaverse — MANA. It is currently trading 95% below its all-time high and is near a local minimum.
From a volume profile perspective, the asset is attracting market participants in the current price range, and the accumulation phase has been ongoing for almost two years. If liquidity starts to shift from BTC into altcoins during an altseason, this token could experience significant growth and provide investors with a solid profit.
How to Use Stock Volume in CFD TradingHow to Use Stock Volume in CFD Trading
Volume is one of the fundamental aspects of all markets. If you're wondering, "What does volume mean in the stock market?," you're about to discover how this critical measure of shares traded can unlock deeper insights into market trends and investor behaviour. We delve into how to use stock volume to improve your trading, offering practical approaches for confirming market sentiment, trends, reversals, and more.
What Is Volume in the Stock Market?
The volume in the stock market definition refers to the total number of shares traded during a specific time frame. It's a vital indicator of market activity and investor interest in a particular stock.
High volume often signals strong investor interest and market movement, either upward or downward. Conversely, low volume may indicate decreased interest or uncertainty in a stock. In essence, it provides insights into sentiment, helps confirm trends, and aids in identifying potential reversals or breakouts.
As we walk through the varying insights volume offers stock traders, you may gain the best understanding by applying your knowledge to real-time charts. Head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform to see how volume affects hundreds of unique stocks.
Volume and Market Sentiment
When considering volume in a stock, meaning its traded shares, its relationship with market sentiment becomes pivotal. This sentiment, essentially the collective attitude of traders towards a stock, is often inferred from volume patterns.
At its most basic, high trading activity during a stock's price increase is often seen as a confirmation of positive sentiment, showing trader confidence. Such a scenario often reflects a robust demand overpowering supply.
In contrast, if a stock declines on high volume, this may signal negative sentiment, suggesting a strong selling pressure. This situation typically indicates that investors and traders are actively offloading their shares.
Volume and Price Movement
So, how does volume affect stock prices? Volume acts as a force behind price movements, as discussed.
However, its impact isn't always straightforward. A stock might rise on low volume, which can be a sign of caution, as it may indicate a lack of conviction among traders, potentially making the price rise unsustainable. Similarly, a drop on low volume might not necessarily signify a bearish trend but rather a temporary lack of interest.
Additionally, the number of shares traded can be crucial in identifying a stock’s tops or bottoms. For instance, a sudden spike after a long period of price increase might signal a top, as it could represent a final push by exhausted buyers before a reversal. Similarly, a significant increase in market activity at a low could indicate a bottom.
Identifying Trading Signals with Volume
Learning how to trade volume involves recognising nuanced trading signals that volume fluctuations can offer. Beyond the basic interpretations of high or low volume, traders look for specific patterns or anomalies in activity data to make informed decisions.
One key signal is the volume spike. A sudden increase in trading activity, especially when it deviates notably from the norm, may indicate a significant event or sentiment change. For instance, a volume spike accompanying a breakout from a consolidation pattern might confirm the strength of a new trend, offering a buying opportunity for traders.
Conversely, an unexpected, sustained drop in interest during a steady trend might be a warning sign. This could suggest that the current trend is losing momentum and might be nearing its end, reflecting a potential exit point or even a reversal opportunity.
Another aspect to consider is the trend over time. Gradually increasing volume in a trending market reinforces the trend's validity and vice versa.
Overall, trading volume isn't just about high or low numbers. It's about understanding the context of these changes and how they align with price movements.
Volume Indicators and Tools
When exploring how to use volume in trading, several key indicators and tools stand out. These provide insights into market dynamics, aiding in decision-making:
- On Balance Volume (OBV): OBV totals volume during up periods and subtracts it during down periods. A rising OBV usually suggests bullish trends, while a falling OBV indicates bearish trends. It's used to confirm movements or spot divergences.
- Volume Price Trend (VPT): VPT combines volume and price change to assess the strength of price moves. An increasing VPT usually indicates strong buying pressure, while a decreasing VPT suggests selling pressure.
- Accumulation/Distribution Line: This indicator considers the trading range and the volume. It helps identify whether a stock is being accumulated (bought) or distributed (sold). A rising line usually suggests accumulation, while a falling line indicates distribution.
- Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): CMF combines price and volume to measure buying and selling pressure over a set period. A positive CMF usually demonstrates buying interest, while a negative CMF suggests that sellers are in charge.
Volume as an Indicator of Liquidity
Lastly, volume is a key indicator of liquidity in the stock market. High trading activity reflects that a significant number of shares are being bought and sold, which typically indicates good liquidity. This liquidity may help traders execute trades quickly and at prices close to the market rates, reducing the cost of transactions.
Conversely, low volume signals poor liquidity, where fewer shares are traded. In such scenarios, executing large orders may be challenging without significantly impacting the stock. Such a lack of liquidity can lead to larger bid-ask spreads and potentially less favourable execution prices for traders.
The Bottom Line
As we've journeyed through the intricate world of stock volume, it's clear that understanding volume is more than a skill – it's an essential aspect of savvy trading. From recognising sentiment to navigating various market conditions, volume serves as a powerful tool in your trading arsenal.
To put this knowledge into practice and experience the dynamic world of trading, consider opening an FXOpen account. Once you do, you'll have the opportunity to apply these insights in real-time, potentially enhancing your trading journey with informed decisions driven by volume analysis. Happy trading!
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
United Spirits Ltd. (NSE: MCDOWELL-N) - Technical AnalysisKey Observations:
1️⃣ Bullish RSI Divergence:
The RSI indicates a bullish divergence, suggesting potential reversal or upside momentum.
2️⃣ Breakout from Descending Channel:
After a period of consolidation within the descending channel, the stock has broken out, supported by improving momentum.
3️⃣ Volume Profile Support:
Strong accumulation zone observed between ₹1,440-₹1,490, indicating demand at these levels.
4️⃣ Fibonacci Levels:
Resistance levels are identified at ₹1,491, ₹1,541, ₹1,591, and ₹1,634 based on Fibonacci retracements.
5️⃣ Moving Averages:
The stock is trading above key short-term moving averages, reinforcing the positive trend.
Trading Strategy:
🚀 For Long Positions:
Entry Zone: ₹1,440–₹1,460 (if price sustains above breakout level).
Targets: ₹1,491, ₹1,541, ₹1,591.
S top-Loss: ₹1,430 (below support zone).
⚠️ Risk Management:
If the stock re-enters the descending channel, it could invalidate the bullish outlook. Monitor price action and volume closely.
Outlook:
With the RSI divergence, breakout confirmation, and strong support at ₹1,440, United Spirits Ltd. presents a promising bullish setup for short- to medium-term gains. Watch for sustained volume as the price approaches resistance levels.
💬 Your Thoughts?
What’s your take on this setup? Share your views below! 🚀
MINDA CORP 61% retrace with Decrease in volumeHello Everyone,
Minda Corp Trading at 494 after making lifetime high oe 645 its retrace fibbo 61% also trading at EMA 200 levels at daily timeframe, Decrease in price with decrease in volume wit RSI oversold and Positive divergence goood long set up possibility for swing as well as positional.
SWING IDEA - KEC INTLKEC International , a key player in the infrastructure sector, is presenting a swing trade opportunity with strong technical indicators.
Reasons are listed below :
950 Zone Tested Multiple Times : The price has tested the 950 resistance zone multiple times, and it is now breaking out, signaling potential for an upward move.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart shows strong buying momentum, indicating a possible continuation of the upward trend.
Spike in Volumes : Increased trading volume supports the breakout, confirming strong market participation and investor interest in the stock.
All-Time High Close : The stock closed at an all-time high, which is a bullish signal and suggests potential for further gains.
Target - 1070
Stoploss - daily close below 880
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - INDIGO PAINTSIndigo Paints , known for its innovative product offerings in the Indian paint industry, is displaying promising technical indicators for a swing trade.
Reason are listed below :
1600-1650 Resistance Zone : This significant resistance level, tested multiple times, is now possibly ready for a breakout, suggesting upward momentum.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The strong bullish candle reinforces buyer interest and strength.
Breaking 2.5+ Years of Consolidation : The stock is moving out of a prolonged consolidation phase, hinting at a potential long-term trend change.
Trading Above 50 and 100 EMA on Weekly Timeframe : This indicates sustained bullish strength, with price action above critical moving averages.
Target - 1950 // 2250
Stoploss - weekly close below 1400
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
RDNT/USDT Trading ScenarioAs a result of the cyberattack on Radiant Capital's protocol in October, their token RDNT lost value significantly, hitting an all-time low of $0.0375. According to the volume profile, many participants are actively accumulating the token at discounted prices, and the current decline is not deterring buyers. The protocol developers are also working on eliminating the consequences of the attack and strengthening security.
In the long term, the price is expected to recover and RDNT is to continue to grow during the altcoin season. Such situations with fundamental protocols often provide an opportunity for high returns over the medium to long term.
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 10/21/2024Good morning,
I will be monitoring the daily candle close today, anticipating a bullish pullback or reversal to develop over the next few weeks.
Several indicators have pointed to this:
1. The weekly chart has surpassed the previous high established on December 25, 2023. Currently, the price is attempting to retest the Demand zone that led to the breakout of that high..
2. The weekly demand zone is identified between 1.0775 and 1.0825. Pay attention to the key level at 1.080, as it appears to be setting up as a robust support level for the currency pair.
3. The market has declined approximately 400 points since September 27, 2024, showing minimal pullbacks on a daily basis. Notably, this price drop has formed a double top without a genuine next line test. I anticipate that prices will rebound to around 1.100 in the coming weeks. A break below 1.100 could trigger a long-term retracement back to the highs at 1.200.
Volume signature indicates that market makers are gradually exiting the trend. The weekly outlook remains bullish and is expected to dominate. It's important to note that the weekly chart is currently retesting the bearish flag it broke out of between June 24, 2024, and August 19, 2024.
TVC:DXY
OANDA:EURUSD
XETR:DAX
Groupon long position/swing trade idea - $NASDAQ:GRPNNASDAQ:GRPN may be a long from here. It put in a monthly indecision candle last month, along with a relative volume per range signal, after sweeping below a pivot near an area of interest. Also swept under prior weekly low and reversed, heading back toward prior week high.
I've started a tiny feeler position today looking for a potential weekly breakout and run up toward the highs around 19-20 and beyond, perhaps even starting a long run back up to the IPO price. I will tighten and add more if it takes out the weekly high.
Normally in this distribution I would only look for a long if it first dropped to $7.5, and it may still do that or continue lower, but the monthly relvol signal made me want to make an attempt at this one from here. Monthly and quarterly relvol signals tend to lead to the best trends.
GBP/USD: PAT + VPA 11/02/2024Good morning,
The GBP/USD currency pair continues to exhibit characteristics indicative of a sustained bearish trend, currently favoring the U.S. Dollar.
Several analytical indicators support this assessment:
1. The weekly chart for GBP/USD has been in a downward trajectory since September 30, 2024. Candlestick patterns suggest that "Market Makers" are gradually entering the market, purchasing at lower price levels. The weekly low is established at 1.26650, with a demand zone identified between 1.26650 and 1.2815.
2. On the daily chart, GBP/USD appears to be approaching a support level at 1.28168, coinciding with an untapped supply zone in that vicinity.
3. Since September 30, 2024, the market has experienced a decline of approximately 600 points, characterized by minimal daily pullbacks. This downward movement occurred following the formation of a new weekly high. I project that prices will descend to the 1.28168 level, where support may be found on the daily chart. This area could serve as a critical juncture for a potential pullback. Should the 1.28168 level hold, targets may extend to 1.132, representing the last significant low breached prior to the bearish trend that commenced on September 30, 2024, and continues to the present date of November 2, 2024.
Volume analysis indicates that market makers are incrementally entering long positions, although they are not yet prepared to fully influence the market direction. The overarching weekly outlook remains bearish, yet a corrective pullback appears necessary.
OANDA:GBPUSD
TVC:DXY
ThePipAssassin
EUR/GBP: PAT + VPA 11/2/2024Good morning,
I will be closely observing the EUR/GBP currency pair on a daily basis, as I expect a bullish pullback or reversal to materialize in the forthcoming weeks.
- 1W / Weekly Analysis: The market has recently dipped to a low of 0.839, with current support established at 0.832. The price has tested the 0.832 level multiple times without breaching it, suggesting a diminished appetite for selling at this juncture. Additionally, the presence of significant wicks accompanied by relatively smaller bodies may indicate a potential selling climax.
- 1D / Daily Analysis: The daily time frame reveals the formation of a double bottom pattern at the weekly support level of 0.0832. Presently, the price is retesting the recent swing high of 0.84, which represents the latest peak. The price has demonstrated its capacity to remain above the 0.84 threshold, and I anticipate a continued upward movement towards 0.846 in the upcoming weeks.
OANDA:EURGBP
XETR:DAX
TVC:BXY
ThePipAssassin
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 9/24/2024Good evening,
Today served as a solid confirmation that we might be experiencing a buying climax.
Several indicators have pointed to this:
1. We are observing a bearish pin-bar that is accompanied by significant trading volume.
2. Additionally, there is an evening star pattern present, featuring a prominent long-legged doji at its center.
3. Two weeks ago, we broke through a low, and now retail sentiment is beginning to shift towards long positions. It's common for retail traders, myself included in the past, to chase the highs and make purchases at elevated levels.
I believe the first key level market makers are going to push for is 1.088.
Best, The Pip Assassin!
TVC:DXY XETR:DAX
Birlasoft Ltd - Technical Analysis and Potential Trade IdeasPrice Structure and Fibonacci Analysis:
Birlasoft's stock is currently in a descending triangle pattern, with price approaching a critical support level around ₹523, which aligns with the 0% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent peak of ₹859.55.
The Fibonacci levels on this chart highlight major retracement zones:
23.6% Fibonacci level at ₹602.60 served as previous support but has now turned into resistance.
The 50% level at ₹691.35 and the 61.8% level at ₹731.05 acted as strong resistance levels during past retracements.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
The stock has a key support zone around ₹523, which has been tested multiple times (green arrows on the chart), indicating a possible demand zone.
If this level fails, there is further support around ₹512.40 and a long-term support zone near ₹476.30.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is seen near the 23.6% Fibonacci level at ₹602.60, where previous breakdowns occurred.
A descending trendline (marked with red arrows) indicates continuous selling pressure around this level.
Volume Profile Analysis:
The Volume Profile on the right shows a high-volume node around ₹570-₹600, suggesting strong historical trading interest in this area.
If the price breaks out of the descending triangle pattern, this zone could act as an initial resistance on a potential upward move.
Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is near the oversold region, which could indicate a potential rebound if buying interest emerges at the support levels.
Volume Trends: A noticeable increase in selling volume has been observed during the recent downtrend, highlighting persistent selling pressure.
Trading Ideas and Strategy:
Bullish Scenario:
A bounce from the ₹523 support level, accompanied by a volume spike, could present a buying opportunity for a short-term recovery to ₹602.60 or higher.
Confirmation of a reversal at this level could open the path towards ₹651.70 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement), where further resistance is expected.
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below ₹523, especially with high volume, could lead to further downside toward ₹512.40 or even the long-term support at ₹476.30.
Traders may consider short positions below ₹523, targeting lower support levels with proper risk management.
Conclusion:
Birlasoft is currently at a critical juncture. Traders should keep an eye on the ₹523 support level for potential bullish setups or watch for a breakdown below this level to consider bearish trades. This analysis highlights both opportunities and risks, depending on the upcoming price action around these crucial levels.
BTC Short Trade Opportunity and SetupBYBIT:BTCUSDT.P / BYBIT:BTCUSDT / CRYPTO:BTCUSD Bitcoin/BTCUSD has recently hit the resistance level of a pattern that has generally held true since mid March 24 (4 preceding resistance and support confirmations).
Furthermore, it has started a return downward move following on from a 3 day filter for confirmation of the resistance level (an example of how a 3/5 day filter is an important tool for crypto trading).
Additionally:
The RSI resistance level of 70 has been recently reached and the RSI is trending downwards - a usually statistically significant indicator
The downward return move is supported by reasonable (although not enough on it's own) volume
A 3 bar pattern (downward move, pause, further downward move for confirmation)
A rate of change approaching and trending negative
A MACD also approaching negative
It's always important to assess the risk that might prove the thesis wrong. And they are:
Today's candlestick pattern is close to a dragonfly, i.e. there might be a return upwards move imminent (although this is unlikely to constitute a beginning of a move beyond the previous high as an actual dragonfly candlestick is at the end of a downtrend)
The MACD is trending down but has not actually turned negative yet, i.e. it is a bit early to say this indicator is stating a downward trend
The ROC hasn't turned negative yet either (but is trending downwards for sure)
This all leads to the following conclusion: For those with a high enough risk appetite (and usually crypto traders are those with the highest :-)) this is a good entry point for a short trade.
Using the (admittedly early but still reasonable) trend for the past three days to determine the final take profit point of 45500 (blue arrow) by approx. 19 Nov 24, the following can be set as a guide for a trade:
Entry: Now or latest tomorrow in case today's candlestick is an indicator of a minor move upwards
SL: $70,500
TP1: $63,450 - based on the first potential moving average being a resistance (200 MA)
TP2: $60,500 - based on the previous move's consistent (and twice confirmed) low
TP3: $54,500 -based on a previous historic low (i.e. psychologically important price point) which also acts as a confirmation of support to a previous move
TP4: $45,500 - The approximate price point of an estimated downward trend
Exit date (independent of TP level): 19 Nov 24
NOTE: the 19 Nov date here is important. It is the forecasted date by which the current downward price trend would linearly reach the support level. This date would be used as a checkpoint to exit the entire trade to safeguard against the normal, usually dramatic and beyond rational calculation price gyrations of crypto.
Technical Analysis on Visa (V)Visa's stock ( V ) shows a clear long-term uptrend.
Following a decline in 2022, it regained its 2021 highs in early 2024, breaking through resistance and continuing its upward trend.
The stock reached new highs around the $290 area, then retraced, forming a bullish flag pattern, down to a support area near $250.
Currently, it is testing the highs again in the $290 area, reached via a gap up after positive earnings and revenue announcements. If it confirms a breakout above resistance, with a potential retest, the stock could continue its bullish trend.
Technical Analysis on Cloudflare (NET)Cloudflare ( NET ) experienced exponential growth between 2020 and 2021, followed by a sharp decline in 2022. This decline halted around a support level at approximately $40, which has been tested multiple times as a key level.
Recently, the stock broke through a significant volume area, also surpassing a key resistance level that had been tested multiple times in the past.
Bullish Scenario
Currently, it appears to be in a retest phase. If this level can hold as new support, the stock could continue its upward trend, with an initial target around $130.
Bearish Scenario
If the retest fails, as it did in April 2024, the stock may retrace toward the POC area, located around $60. A move below this key level would increase the likelihood of a further decline toward the critical $40 support, previously tested multiple times, where it could attempt to stabilize once again.