S&P 500 E-mini Futures volume profile zonesNext week will be very rich in fundamentals, with the trial of a major Chinese developer scheduled, and the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. All these events are likely to have an impact on the market. Here are the key zones for the upcoming week based on the volume profile.
The first zone is 4916, where the market closed. There is a local point of control according to the volume profile, suggesting that the price may tend to oscillate here and determine the direction for this week. The key level of 5000 is relatively close, and if positive market conditions persist, we could reach that level very soon.
If the market declines, there are other important support/resistance zones at 4785. This zone has been strong, forming from mid-December to mid-January, and the price is likely to react to it as support. If the Fed makes negative comments and the market interprets it that way, the price could potentially drop to 4705, which is the low for this year.
Volumepriceanalysis
CROMPTONThe stock is recovering a big down move. Making Higher Highs and Higher Lows. Also moving above the moving averages. Relative strength and Money Flow turning positive. The stock making higher high and higher low in the weekly as well. Breaking past the previous rejection zone as well. Could move to 400 plus levels.
UNI - Wyckoff Accumulation SOS/LPS + Volume#UNI
I love to see these #Wyckoff Schematics play out, so profitable if you just add patience to your toolkit.
This is exactly what we want to see, after the breach of the heaviest #resistance on chart, then that coil up resting on top of the now #support followed by that retest with heavy #volume sling shotting PA into infinity.
If you missed the Spring and Adam & Eve at the bottom, and somehow all the signs before this, you still have time, you know what to do...
CENTURY PLY – Poised to move higher?Almost six months of consolidation. Now moved out of the consolidation zone with volume support. The Relative strength is turning positive. Money flow and buying pressure is also positive adding to the strength. Increased delivery-based buying is also seen.
Interestingly, in the weekly TF we can see a nice volatility contraction pattern, making the probability of up move higher. However, 744 is a last point of supply on the weekly TF.
Once the stock moves above 744 it will move much higher. The probability of that happening is quite High. A stock to track.
RADICO - Update Early November we saw that that the stock was recovering and at 1284 levels, we anticipated that the stock will test 1450 levels. Now that stock has tested 1450 levels and also crossed the Price Rejection zone and the last point of supply of 1475 as well. The stock looks poised to move higher. Relative strength, Buying pressure and Money flow all are positive and rising. But we need to see more supply. If volume comes in the next of couple of Bars the stock will move much higher.
CRWD - US cybersecurity play If this market will find traction and have a follow-through day, I will bet on CRWD being one of the next up-cycle leaders.
IBD 94 Relative strength and 99 Composite and EPS ratings are markers of a superb company. The industry group is 35 out of 197. High double and triple quarter earnings growth and stable 40+ sales growth for 3 qrts in a row; with stable 35+ ROE; Up/Down volume of 1.5; double digits analyst estimates of 24/25 EPS growth and increasing number of institution last qrt... all these make me call this stock a perspective leader.
From the technical perspective, notice how well the stock price holds and builds the high-handle close to 2023 highs, while general index (line above) is in a downward momentum being almost 10% of the highs. Unfilled gap-up on 31Aug (green circle) is also a sign of strength to me.
I want the price to subside more in volatility to the right side of the handle, creating a tight 3-4% risk pivot and maybe an inside day before breaking out above 172 pivot. That would signal and ideal entry point for my strategy with very tight risk. Although if price decides not to wait and will proceed with definite move above 172 pivot with supportive volume and will be hesitant to buy/add to the position, expecting the price to move to next resistance 194-206 target area.
Trading thesis is wrong if price moves bellow: 157 area
JUBILANT FOOD
The stock was recovering from a big down move. Then it encountered a BC bar. It took more than three months to come out of the supply shadow of the BC bar. Now it has succeeded to come out of the supply shadow and cleared the last point of supply as well. This accumulation of three month has given enough strength to the stock to move up further. All key supporting parameters like Relative strength, buying pressure and Money flow are positive. A loo at the delivery volumes also indicates committed buyers accumulating the stock. Chances of the stock testing the supply zone cannot be ruled out. Anyway, the stock is poised to move higher. In the weekly chart as well the stock is making Higher Highs and Higher lows. The next target is likely to be 650
MRPL - A stock to WatchThe stock up move was stopped by a "BC" bar. Then the stock was push down to the 50 DMA. Taking support from there the stock started to recover. Now seems to succeed in crossing above the the supply shadow of the "BC" bar in the second attempt. Money Flow and Buying Pressure were already positive . The Relative strength is also turning positive. A good close above 122 with volume support will take the stock to the next lap of the up Move up. A stock to watch.
BHEL - Ready for the next lapWe have been following this stock from 83 levels in July when it formed a nice VCP pattern and was ready to move up. Then after a encountering a “BC” bar the stock was stuck inside the supply shadow of the “BC” Bar. After some consolidation and a “spring’ the stock started to recover. Now it has come out of the shadow of the “BC” bar and has crossed above the previous Rejection zone with good volume support. All key parameters like Relative Strength, Buying pressure and Money Flow are positive. Now the stocks is ready to go to the next lap of the up move.
EXIDE - Attempting to go to next levelAfter facing Rejection around 280 levels, the stock retreated to below 50 DMA levels. After taking support from a previous Support Zone, the stock started to recover. Now the stock is attempting to take out the previous Price rejection Zone. The up move is supported by a positive Relative Strength, Volume and Money Flow. The Buying pressure is also positive. A good close will take the stock to next new level. Looks good to close.
L_TFH - A stock to WatchA stock to watch. In the month of July when we encountered a BC bar, We did expect that the stock will face supply and struggle to move up. The stock did face lot of supply within the "Shadow of the BC bar". After getting pushed below the 50 DMA the stock was on the recovery move. Finally it is attempting to move past the shadow of the "BC" bar. Relative strength and buying pressure remains positive. However the volume and money flow is still lacking. A good move past with volume support will propel the stock into a higher trajectory.
Also look at the below chart as well
BRIGADE – Poised to Go Higher ?The stock after facing a “BC” bar retraced to the sub 50 DMA levels. Then recovered and moving past the supply shadow of the “BC Bar and making a new high. The relative and absolute strength are positive. There is also Money coming into the stock. The delivery volumes are high indicating committed buying. The poised to go higher.
Positive Earnings Gaps Seldom Fill: NFLXTo follow up on my analysis of NFLX from Wednesday ...
Despite the market moodiness and selling, NASDAQ:NFLX reported well above estimates.
HFTs triggered a huge gap up on heavy pre-open order flow yesterday. Volume was also huge, so smaller funds' VWAPs triggered and retail traders chased the stock while Pro Traders and HFTs made some big profits.
Gaps up on positive earnings seldom fill completely. There is a strong support level at $350 which the gap up now confirms.
2023 True Market Leader - Does it has more potential? VRT has been up more than 200% since late April 2023 bottom, demonstrating key true market leader characteristics in terms of price advance, volume profile and fundamentals.
Look at how well and orderly price was following along the 8 EMA and later 21 EMA since the break-out from a large 195 days base (with two unfilled gaps first in Apr and in later in May).
On the fundamental side, one my notice:
Exceptional relative strength to the SNP500;
Top EPS and IBD Composite Index;
Triple digit growth in analyst estimates for EPS for 23 and double digits for 24;
Jaw-dropping triple digits earnings growth for 3 qrt in a raw;
Continues double digits sales growth;
Improving ROE;
And doubling amount of institutional sponsorship by Sep23;
Management owns 10%
I don't have reliable ElliotWave pattern on VRT, but from the market symmetry concept, I see the next important macro resistance zone at 47-51 area, where 47 is the 100% extension of the move from the bottom of 2020 to the top of 2021.
The history of true market leaders teaches us, that the stocks the doubles and triples have a higher historical odds of doing it again in the next bull-cycle.
It this correction in the indexes is over and the general market has a plan to continue its advance in Q4, my thesis is that VRT shall continue being the top choice for the growth investors and trader.
Trading parameters:
actionable if price breaks out the 39 pivot with volume. Short-mid term long thesis is wrong bellow 36 and fully invalidated bellow 35 areas.
YNDX - Ideal support zone to start the launch YNDX has landed perfectly into the lowest border of my ideal support zone of my wave (iv) projection.
Until 2320 holds, I will expect the price to:
1. Move above the short-term 8/21 EMA and long 50D MA and 10W MA;
2. Form the right side of the cup with buying volume predominating above any selling volume;
3. Any low-cheat/cheat or handle area break-out pivot to emerge, providing the low-risk entry point.
What also provides me with confidence to expect the re-launching of the upward moving trend (although price is bellow the 10w MA) is the absence of any meaningful selling volume. The correction so far is below 20% and looks orderly.
The analysis and the investment thesis is fully wrong bellow 2320 area.
TSLA - Price action and Volume are trending oppositelyBased on analysis of Price Action and Volume together, we can see that current volume is trending higher while the Price has Red TrapZone formed. Therefore there is NO VALID Trade Bias. Price action analysis is performed by TrapZone Pro.
I published a "Volume Only" analysis using the Unusual Market Volume Detector as well to form a contrast. Price action only tells one half of the story, the other half is Volume. So when we put both together we get the complete picture.
Short-Term Trend Pattern!The candlestick pattern indicates a price action to break out R1 price resistance without volume support which shows low conviction and interest from buyers. Therefore, the price is more likely to continue moving up because of the less resistance from the seller.
The price action uptrend move is not in tandem with the positive trend where MACD and RSI didn't indicate a supportive technical reading. Therefore, details technical analysis is required.
Let's save SJC in WL and watch out for price action uptrend move with support from volume together aligned with positive technical reading from MACD and RSI.
R 0.545, 0.570
S 0.455