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Volumeprofileanalysis

BTC/USDT - Short term SHORT with 2 Target ZonesThere is a potential for a short term SHORT trade on BTC/USDT. If todays bar closes < 34.7k (~3.5 hours till close) there is potential for a short. There are two target zones: Yellow zone, this is the most likely zone it may dump to between 32.5 and 32.8k White zone, between 30.3k and 31.8k, this may happen if the lower level of 32.5k in the Yellow zone fails to hold. Please note that the upper level of this zone at 31.8k may also act as a Support. There are many reasons why this short may happen: The price faced resistance at the trend line. The price has closed above the upper purchase zone level since October 16th, and it MAY close below it today. We are currently in a Blood Diamond which has been confirmed (white circle within the YinYang Momentum Oscillator). YinYang RSI is at 98.08 and very Overbought and is closing in with the YinYang RSI MA which is now at 94.94. The Buy Volume is bending towards the Sell Volume. YinYang Momentum is very Overbought, the predictive mountain is already angling towards the regular and may dump inside of it soon. Likewise we can see the Confirming Blood Diamond appeared on the current bar (white circle). YinYang Momentum Trend Line has turned Bearish. The reason it may correct to these zones specifically: Yellow Zone: The Basis line is here. There is a Downwards Trend Line within here. The Fourth level of the Purchase Zone is there. White Zone: The high of 31.8k was a long lasting Resistance Pivot. the low of 30.3k is where the Volume Profile is. the low of 30.3k faced lots of resistance recently. Please note this is a short term short, on the long term BTC may remain bullish. Indicators used to make this analysis: YinYang Trend YinYang Volume YinYang Momentum YinYang RSI
Short
by YinYangAlgorithms
Consolidating?Practicing my crayons skills... Don't judge :) Fixed range VP setup near breakout zones Things of interest - Previous dips chopped before the next leg up - Currently just outside high volume zones. Low vol = consolidation potential? - Holding, so far, previous resistance zone - Sideways moves could give time for breadth to improve - Oil appears to be going up --> good for the markets? - 'Triangle pattern' kinda interesting Position : If asked, I'd say wait for a trend. Full/final position for the year will be initiated on trend confirmation via private scripts, MAs, etc. Not financial advice. Good luck and don't risk what you can't lose!
SKILLING:SPX500
by bluesky509
SILVER – 30$ COULD BE JUST AN APPETIZERObviously the re-accumulation is done. NASDAQ:XAG has found its Climax around 14$, played in Phase B for 6 years with an attempt to 21$ thus creating an UpThrust, till “COVID”, where price collapsed to 11$, found “some” buyers that sent price to the opposite direction. As you can see JAC is obvious ; BU seems to be done as well, bullish divergence confirmed. This “b shape” is clearly identified, with a SOS scenario definitely confirmed, 30$ seems to be just an appetizer. If we zoom out on a bigger TF, it looks like MM rushed out PA for 6 years before it re-integrated the Fork, kissed the Mid Range (what we called JAC), sitting on the “Preliminary supply” (what we call the UpThrust). What next ? Little flashback. 2022 was a year of sharp contrasts between silver’s fundamentals and institutional investor attitudes towards the metal; while the silver market saw what may well have been the largest deficit on record, professional investors were indifferent or bearish for much of the year. This year was not lost for Bears. blacksquare.finance The downward pressure on silver prices from this further boosted physical demand. This was perhaps most pronounced in India, where on top of already exceptionally strong demand, low prices encouraged the entire supply chain to replenish its stocks. This followed two pandemic-hit years of inventory draw-downs. There were other, price agnostic, drivers of demand growth last year. Most notable among these was the strength of industrial fabrication, in large part linked to the robust solar industry, but also reflecting a postpandemic recovery in a number of other markets. Indeed, were it not for China’s zero-COVID policies, global silver demand would have likely been even greater than the all-time high of 1,242.4Moz (38,643t) it realized in 2022. A lack of supply gains was another factor contributing to last year’s deficit. Limited organic growth, project delays and disruptions resulted in a marginal decline in mine production while recycling barely rose. All this culminated in a 237.7Moz (7,393t) deficit, most likely also an all-time record. (There is some uncertainty, as differences in definitions, coverage and methodology between Metals Focus and past data providers to the Silver Institute complicate comparing balances over the past few decades.) Importantly, the combined 2021 and 2022 deficits more than offset the cumulative surpluses of the previous 11 years. blacksquare.finance India WSS published last year a Changing Landscape of Indian Investment. India was currently the world’s third largest silver physical investment market after the US and Germany. The bar market in particular has been extremely successful, with around 500Moz (16,000t) bought cumulatively over the last 10 years. This partly reflects a lack of other silver investment vehicles, such as ETPs and digital products, both of which are available in the Indian gold market. For instance, digital gold was introduced in 2016, while mutual funds first launched gold ETPs in 2007. That said, the silver investment market is slowly changing, with digital silver and silver ETPs both launched last year. Looking at these themes in more detail, the growing popularity of e-commerce apps has meant that the likes of Amazon and Flipkart have been selling silver bars online, which can be physically delivered. However, holding physical silver comes with space constraints and security issues. To address these points, digital silver was launched by DIGIGOLD and Kredx; more will no doubt follow should their popularity grow. These allow silver to be bought online, and then have it stored in a vault. Once purchased, the silver can be sold directly for cash, or redeemed in physical form. In addition, the ability to invest as little as one rupee, the ease of transacting, transparency, and the ability to buy/sell at any time make it an attractive product. That apart, in 2021 the Securities and Exchange Board of India, the securities and commodities market regulator, allowed the launch of silver ETPs. Although several mutual funds issued silver ETPs, three are active, Aditya Birla Sun Life, Nippon India and ICICI Prudential, with a combined AUM of Rs 6.3bn ($82m) as of February 2022. Silver ETP fund-of-funds (a fund that invests in its own ETP) were also launched by Nippon India and Aditya Birla Sun Life. Other asset management companies have also filed scheme information documents (SIDs) to launch ETPs. Even though these products are relatively new, as retail investors become more comfortable with them and as financial literacy improves, we expect such products to become more popular. Although there will be some market share loss for bar demand (religious motives drive coin purchases), ultimately, we expect total Indian silver investment to grow. Russia-Ukraine Among the key drivers of the silver price in 2022 was the jump in geopolitical concerns following the start of the Russia-Ukraine SMO. This in turn exacerbated inflationary pressures as commodity prices soared, particularly in the energy complex. Likewise Cryptoassets, precious metals investment continued to benefit from nominal rates still being low and real rates negative at the beginning of the year. This, combined with worries about stagflation or even a recession, kept price expectations positive and in turn encouraged retail investors to buy hard assets including physical silver. The steep decline in LBMA silver stocks, along with the phenomenal jump in Indian silver imports, also gained much attention last year, contributing to the positive retail sentiment. The outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine issue in early 2022 initially benefited both gold and silver; the gold/silver ratio was stable in a 75-80 range for much of Q1. Precious metals came under pressure, however, from late April as aggressive rate hikes by the Fed pushed the US dollar and Treasury yields higher. This raised the cost of holding precious metals for institutional investors and, with silver’s higher beta, the ratio widened to over 85. Expectations of sharply higher interest rates in the US were also joined by growing recessionary concerns and this fueled more underperformance by silver, as the metal suffered both as a precious and an industrial commodity. These pressures saw the gold/silver ratio touching 95 by September. A pullback to back below 80 then emerged towards the end of the year amid expectations that the Fed would slow its pace of rate hikes. Silver underperformed early on in 2023 despite tailwinds from China’s re-opening and the benefit provided to industrial metals as expectations that the Fed would adopt a more dovish stance encouraged investors to buy into gold. Amid all this, institutional and retail investment sentiment diverged at times during 2022. Geopolitical uncertainties, concerns about growth and inflation, all supported retail interest throughout the year. This was especially true when professional activity weighed on silver, as retail investors, particularly in North America and Europe, took advantage of ensuing low prices to purchase silver coins and bars, pushing combined sales in these two regions to the highest total in Metals Focus’ series. Indian physical investment saw a stunning recovery after two-years of below par demand, as lower prices and investment holdings starting the year at a low level led to renewed buying. blacksquare.finance Mexico – The Catalyst. Mexico just reported its steepest decline in annual production of silver in 4 years, which is notably worse than during the Covid lockdowns. Not forget that Mexico is by far the largest producer of the metal in the world today. The supply of silver remains remarkably constrained, and if this is indeed the beginning of another gold cycle, the metal could be worth multiples of its current price. Otavio (Tavi) Costa (CRESCAT CAPITAL) confirmed that Gold is about to reach record prices on a monthly basis. If historical correlations matter, it is hard to believe silver won’t follow the same path. That alone would imply a 110% return from its current levels. Relative to M2 money supply, silver remains one of the cheapest tangible assets in markets today. If the current inflationary issues prove to be structural, we are likely entering a secular bull market for precious metals. Key Level If we consider this a failed structure, it is no less that PA is out of the Fork (MarkDown). What we have consider as a BackUp few charts above, could be called a Spring, with a pull back on the MidRange (as luck would have it on 0.618 Fibo18 retracement!) – LPS. And once again, it JAC, plus 3 taps on 0.618. With the reduce of the volume, could be a Sign of the insistence to break it definitely. Mid Range might be the 1st Target, 50$ the second. 26.9$ (VAH19 might be the Key) If it happen, the journey still remains long. This is not crypto, this is a commodity. Even if PA has re-integrated the range, it currently trading below the POC20 (23.89$). 26.9$ (VAH) should be broken. This will confirm a definitive exit and here the “Creek” (BU) could be the LPS before take off to 30$. If it fail with a clear re-integration, it should drop below 20$ to confirm any Bear scenario.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by UnknownUnicorn6367453
Trader's Guide: Volume Range Profile 📊Welcome, traders! In this guide, we'll explore a tool that can significantly enhance your trading skills - the Volume Range Profile. You'll learn how to use it to identify key support and resistance levels, trend reversals, and execute successful trades. 📊💹 Key Learning Points: Understanding Volume Range Profile: The Volume Range Profile is a tool that displays trading volumes at various price ranges. It helps identify where the market has the highest volume and where key support and resistance levels are formed. Volume Analysis: The first step in using Volume Range Profile effectively is to analyze the volume data. Look for price areas with significant spikes in volume as these often indicate areas of interest to traders. Identifying Key Levels: Using Volume Range Profile, you can identify the Point of Control (POC), which is the price level with the highest volume. Additionally, you can spot the Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL), which represent price ranges where the majority of trading activity occurs. Support and Resistance Levels: The POC, VAH, and VAL can serve as dynamic support and resistance levels. When the price approaches these levels, it's essential to watch for potential reversals or breakouts. Trading Strategies: Volume Range Profile can be used in various trading strategies, including range trading, breakout trading, and trend confirmation. For example, a breakout above the VAH may indicate a bullish move, while a breakdown below the VAL could signal a bearish trend. Risk Management: Always implement proper risk management strategies in your trades. Consider placing stop-loss orders below support levels and take-profit orders near resistance levels identified using the Volume Range Profile. Continuous Learning: Practice using the Volume Range Profile in different market conditions to enhance your skills. Stay updated with market news and trends to adapt your trading strategies accordingly. By incorporating Volume Range Profile analysis into your trading routine, you can gain valuable insights into market sentiment and make more informed trading decisions. Happy trading! 🚀📊
Education
by AlexWhale
XRPBTC Possibly The Most Bullish Chart In Crypto!I applied the fixed range volume profile tool to the history of XRPBTC pair on Bittrex on a weekly timeframe. It shows a very well defined clear level of support and resistance formed by the POC. This has to be the most bullish chart out there. No doubt once XRPBTC breaks out of this zone, it will significantly outperform BTC. This is a regular scale / nonlogarithmic chart, which I think gives you a better image of what XRP can do once it breaks out of this range.
Long
by jaepayne
BATT an ETF for Lithium / Battery Technology LONGBATT here is on a daily chart with a demand /support zone and resistance. supply zone both drawn in along with a long-term volume profile showing the POC line at the top of the latter zone. A triple Bollinger Band is overlaid showing price currently two standard deviations below the mean VWAP which is more or less horizontal with little slope The ZL MACD lines crossed one week ago and are upgoing about the same time as the 3H RS line bottomed and reversed while the longer TF 7D RS line stays horizontal just below the 50 level. Overall, I see that the BATT price will rise targeting the supply zone above which is about 15% upside or more. I will take a long trade here with the first target the midline of the Bollinger Bands and the second target the flat top of July 12 through 30, a strong resistance level. This is a safe trade while the general market gets figured out. This is akin to selling picks and axes at the Gold Rush of 1849.
AMEX:BATTLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
IGMS a cash burning biotechnology stock SHORTIGMS is down about 70% YTD with no end is sight as the cash burn is greater than the analyst's estimates.On the 2H chart, the midline of the Bollinger Bands has had a persistent negative slope. Overall, IGMS is very shortable if shares can be found at a low cost. I will watch for a correction of the upgoing price toward the middle of the Bollinger Bands especially on a lower time frame such as 30-60 minutes and then target the bottom of the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart for an estimated 25-30% profit. The entry would be at the confluence of the POC line and then BB midline as a bounce down from that resistance. This will be a great trade if S & P / SPY makes a deeper correction than already seen. There was an opportunity one week ago and I think it will come again.
NASDAQ:IGMSShort
by AwesomeAvani
HE- Hawaii Power responsible for the fires LONGAs seen on the 2H chart HE has been trending down since July 28th and the recent earnings miss and devastating fires caused by faults in its electric distribution system. There will be lawsuits which will drag on for years. No matter this is a regulatory protected monopoly. It will be rescued by the consumers through the regulators. Price is reversing to the upside. Price is now at or above the POC line of the volume profile I will take a large long trade. If you want my ideas as to a stop loss and targets or the selected call option, please leave a comment. As an aside profits in this trade will be donated to the survivors and victims of this unnatural disaster.
NYSE:HELong
by AwesomeAvani
6
GNC penny stock LONGIn circumstances similar to May GDC on a1`5 minute chart pumped today for 60% and then faded to the middle basis band of the Bollinger Bands below the mean VWAP and POC line of the short term volume profile. The MACD is showing bullish divergence. THE RS lines are above the 50 level. I have GNC on watch in the after-hours and tomorrow's pre-market to resume bullish momentum and will enter if price gets over the VWAP/POC at 4.17 especially if volume returns.
NASDAQ:GDCLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
SLB a rising biotechology stock LONGSLN has appreciated 70% in the past month largly on the strength of an earnings beat. Unlike many small cap biotechnology companies, SLN is actually making money and beating analyst's estimates. On the 3O minute chart, price is just below the POC line of the near term volume profile and sitting on the dynamic support of a VWAP line. Strength lines are above 50 and the low time frame green line is above its counterpart. Ovreall, I see SLN rising more after a little more consolidation. I will enter a long trade with a buy stop at 9.18 to catch a trade when price crosses over the POC line, I will set the stop loss at 9.14 below that line and target both 20% and 30% ROI in equal halves of the position.
NASDAQ:SLNLong
by AwesomeAvani
YANG China Leveraged Bearish LONGYANG benefits when the China factories slow down and the economy stagnates which is the present situation. The weekly chart shows YANG at its highest before and after covid in 2019-2020. The volume profile shows over the 3+ years most shares have traded at the present price levels. Price is rising above the POC line of the volume profile and approaching the long term mean VWAP. The RS indicator shows sideways strength movement in the mid-ranges. The MACD is curling upward over a low amplitude histogram. The Asexome Oscillator is sideways. Overall, I will place a long trade here and then supplement it with an add when the trend direction is stronger and the Average Directional Index gains amplitude.
AMEX:YANGLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
AFRM Can it continue the move after earnings ?AFRM jumped about 27% from a decent earnings beat on Thursday August 24th. It is now sitting in the tip of a bullish pennant pattern and at the POC line of the volume profile. The dual time frame RS indicator suggests strength is above 50 after the close of the week fade. The MACD lines crossing and above the horizontal . zero suggests this is simply a rest in bullish momentum Price is above then mean VWAP and tracking one standard deviation above it. My trade plan is long or short depending on how price moves off the POC line. I have drawn entry levels for a market or buy stop order. The stop loss would be the opposite blue line. Targets start out at 19.5 and upside from there.
NASDAQ:AFRM
by AwesomeAvani
WBA in a long trend down SHORTWBA is Walgreens. On the daily chart it is down about 50% from the highs of late 2019, the summer of 2021 and winter of 2021. WBA may be suffering from not keeping up with online mail-order prescription filling and online in general. Like others, it may be suffering from potential downside of litigation related to the opioid epidemic. Mark Cuban and his Cost Plus Drugs may be having an impact on WBA . Merely a reasonable conjecture on my part. WBA beat earnings for three years of quarters prior to this most recent one. Importantly, on the long-range volume profile WBA is below the POC line where most traders prefer to trade. It is even farther below the POC line of the near term volume profile. The other indicators show ongoing or even accelerating bearish momentum. I will short WBA in what I think will be a long-duration swing trade. I will look into put option contracts as well.
NASDAQ:WBAShort
by AwesomeAvani
1
RAD - Is there such a thing as a safe SHORT?If there was ever a thing such as a safe short- I think it would be Rite Aid (RAD) As shown on a monthly chart, RAD triple topped in 2015=2017 and has been in a decline every since. It has shed 90% of its market cap in the intervening 6-8 years. Now, it is fundamentally fighting for survival. This is because as a weaker drugstore retailer and the rise of Walgreens, CVS and others as well as RAD's role in the opioid epidemic ( I have insider knowledge) RAD is now filing for bankruptcy protection against claims and litigation which will vastly outstrip its liability protections. All confirmations on the monthly chart ( high validity given the time frame) considered in context, RAD is near to its death bed. The judge will be ing the rights of shareholders against the rights of litigants ( which include Medicare, Medicaid and state governments). The shareholders will loose and loose very badly. I will go short in a stock trade and take a large put option position. There is no need to buy call options here for backside protection. The writing is on the wall.
RShort
by AwesomeAvani
BA VWAP bounce LONGBA on the 1H chart put in a double top. Given the heavy volumes on the volume profile, BA was shorted heavily at the top. Those shorts have rode the profit train down to the mean VWAP. At this point they are buying to cover and taking profit and are joined by new buyers. BA has reversed and pivoted up. the MACD is confirmatory. Volume is adaquate and steady albeit without any spikes. BA is a low mover. Price has about 5% upside to the double top and POC line of the volume profile. This is most suitable for a call option trade to follow this megacap up. Please leave a comment if you would like to query my ideas as to a good option for this trade.
NYSE:BALong
by AwesomeAvani
WOOF dropped after an earnings beat now setup REVERSALOPRA on the 30-minute chart dropped after an earnings beat as apparently a lot of traders expected better. The volume profile shows the vast majority of the trading occurred in the 5.05 to 5.25 range. This heavy accumulation should result in price movement in due time per Wycoff. I believe that a long trade is setup for a Fibonacci retracement of the drop into the middle levels and so 5.85 as shown by the indicator on the chart. The mass index indicator reached the reversal zone and then triggered with a drop below it confirming a probable reversal. The MACD is showing bullish divergence. I will place a buy stop order above the POC line of the volume profile with a stop loss at 12.0 just below the POC line is a safe 10-13% trade which may take into the beginning of next week. I will take call option contracts as well. If you want to know the details of those, please leave a comment.
NASDAQ:WOOFLong
by AwesomeAvani
4