BDL - An update and a VSA Learning ExerciseThis is just a learning exercise. We had anticipated a good move from this stock. However, 1230 was the trigger point for the Up move Now let us do a bar to bar analysis.
Refer the box marked “A”. We can see there was a sideways move or a consolidation happening. We can see the prices clustering together and the volume became low. It Indicated accumulation going on.
Refer to the bar marked “B”. It is an up bar with increased volume. This bar was an indication that things are about to change.
Refer to the Bar marked “C”. The next bar is a wide spread bar going past the trigger point, ending near the top. Also, we can see the volume increased volume indicating a high probable Breakout.
And today's bar (marked “D’) opened up above the previous close. The bar did see some selling, but finally it overcame the selling and closed up. Of course, the spread was not, the spread was narrow indicating selling pressure still present.
We can see the stock has started its up move and it is all supported by increased volume and the momentum. The price action momentum is also driven by volume and we can see increased relative strength. All that support further up move and the first obstacle we could see would be 1365, where we may see some more consolidation before further up move. This whole exercise is just for learning purpose.
Volumespreadanalysis
BDL - On the Recovery ModeCurrently we can see many of stocks which had substantially come down from their highs are in the recovery mode. We will be covering some of these in the coming few days. We will start with the first one which is Bharat Dynamics Ltd.
The stock saw a bearish down move of more than 15% and ended up below the 200 DMA. Now it looks like it is on the recovery mode. It has crossed above the 200 DMA and the short-term moving averages. Also, it has broken the supply line as well. We can see good volume support coming in. All key parameters like the relative strength, money flow, buying pressure and the volume adjusted momentum all seem to be favouring the up move. The stocks saw a quick up move, then it saw a small consolidation and has started resuming the up move. We can see a break of structure on the daily time frame. Now the stock is making a higher high and higher low structure and is likely to continue the up move. We could see a substantial up move and the stock could test the previous high of 1770. Of course, the overall market situation should also support the move. However, the downside is now capped and we can see more upside only.
HUDCO - On the recovery Path ? The next recovery stock which we are going to look at is HUDCO or the Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited. The stock saw a drop or reversal of 15% and was pushed below the 200 DMA and from there it has been recovering. As you can see now, it is above the 200 DMA and also the short-term moving averages. It has started making a higher high on the daily. It is also making a higher high on the weekly as well. All the supporting key parameters are all positive, the relative strength, the money flow, buying pressure, all are quite positive and is supporting further up move. We can see good increase in the delivery volumes indicating committed buying. So, the stock could test the previous high of 350 levels. Of course, it is not going to be a quick up move, it is going to be a grinding up move, but definitely it is likely to move up. The risk reward ratio also is looking quite good at this moment. So, this is a stock to be watched.
ALRS 5M Conservative CounterTrend DayTradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
- long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- SOS level
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp+
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit slightly above 1 H range
Transferrable to Swing after closes test and resumes buying on 1H
Transferrable to Investment trade after ends test and resumes buying on 1D
1H CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
- volumed 2Sp-
+ test"
Daily CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test"
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed Sp
+ test"
Yearly trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ manipulation"
AMT 1D Investment Aggressive trend TradeAggressive trend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1M Trend Trade
"+ long impulse
- far below SOS level
+ 1/2 correction"
1Y Trend Trade
"+ long balance
+ ICE level
+ support level
- too far before 1/2 correction
+ volumed Sp
+ test"
AFKS 5M Daytrade Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ extra volume T1
+ weak approach
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first buying bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1H CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume maniulation
- one bar reversal"
1D Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 weak correction
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ reverse volume distribution
+ volumed manipulation"
1M Trend
"+ long impulse
- below 1/2 correction
+ expanding T2 level
+ support level
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
1Y Countertrend
"- short impulse
- neutral zone"
Ultimate Strategy ScreenerThis Strategy Screener is the ultimate tool which screens 40 instruments with a single strategy.
The Basic concept of using this is to create a strategy that has high win rate and screener scans for the required conditions and generate a buy or sell signals. The signals are valid for a short period. After which they disappear. Only the Strategy Entry point or Buy/Sell Signals are indicated in the screener.
The combination of Indicators used are displayed on the screener. Additionally the outcome of all unused indicators are also displayed as signals in the form of Direction Arrows below the Instrument Strategy Data.
You can get the Buy/Sell Signals Based on the settings of indicators you combine. Also you can filter out the unwanted signals using the Trend filter.
Zigzag Levels and Donchian Channel with Fibonacci Value are provided for entry and exit levels and stop loss values.
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The indicators that one can combine are as below.
EMA200
VWAP
Supertrend
UT Bot
SSL Hybrid
QQE
MACD
Stochastic
PSAR
Stochastic RSI
RSI
Awesome Oscillator
Linear Regression Candles
EMA Crossover
ADX
Directional Index
MACD
Momentum Oscillator
HVSA (hybrid Volume Spread Analysis)
Williams % Range
More Indicators can be added based upon requirements.
SLB 5M Daytrade Long Aggressive CounterTrend tradeAggressive CounterTrend trade
- short impulse
+ support level
- unvolumed T1 level
+ volumed 2Sp-
- weak test closed below T1
+ first bullish bar closed entry
- target beyond 5M / 1H range
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit expandable to swing / investment trade
1 Hour CounterTrend
"- short balance
+ expanding ICE
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
1 Day Trend
"+ long impulse
+ SOS test level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction"
1 Month Trend
"+ long balance
+ expanding ICE level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed manipulation"
Sell SLB Limit 44.54, GTC
Sell SLB Stop 42.29 LMT 43.06, GTC
BLS INTL SERVICES - Ready for a short term Up MoveThe stock had undergone a big correction even before the recent small cap index correction. The stock fell almost 28% from 475 to 340. It was pushed below the 200 DMA, from where it has been recovering. Even during the recent correction in the small cap index, the stock was in fact showing lot of strength and the relative strength compared to the small cap index is positive now. It is also making higher highs in the daily frame while it is still continuing to make the higher highs and higher lows in the weekly time frame as well. Now, it has also crossed above the short-term moving averages and the previous daily pivot. So, the stock looks likely to test 475 levels. So, I am looking at 15% returns in the short term from the stock. Of course, one has to always keep in mind the overall market weakness.
TM 1D Investment Long Conservative TradeConservative Trade
+ long balance
+ 1/2 correction
+ ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
- not waiting for a test
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test?"
Calculated affordable stop limit at $168.93
Take profits
20% at 1 to 2 R/R
20% at 1/2 1D
20% at 1D Creek
20% at 1/2 1M
20% at 1M T1
AFKS 1D Long Investment Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ long balance
+ 1/2 correction
+ ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
- above the manipulation level entry point
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R (less for missed entry)
Monthly Trend Trade
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
I will double up if it gives me a better entry on hourly.
BOMBAY DYEING - Ready to Move to the Next OrbitThe stock after facing price rejection in the range of 224 to 241 was pushed down to the 50 DMA. It moved almost sideways in the last three months. Recently we saw some interest coming back into the stock with the relative strength and the money flow turning positive and the volume was also increasing. The stock remained very strong during the recent weakness we saw in the overall market. Now finally it has crossed above the price rejection zone with good volume support. The delivery volumes saw substantial increase recently. All other parameters like the buying pressure, volume adjusted momentums, absolute momentum everything seem to be favouring further up move. Looks like the stock is ready to move to the top into the next orbit.
TDPOWER SYSTEMS - Likely to resume the Up Trend?The stock was in an uptrend and met with some price rejection in the range of 436 to 451, then it was pushed down to below 50 DMA. Then we saw some strength coming back below the 50 DMA and then today we saw an “Effort to move up” bar. Now the price is at the supply line and once the supply line is broken then we can see the stock testing the previous rejection zone and with some momentum it could take out the Price Rejection Zone and move up. Now the buying pressure and the money flow are positive while the relative strength is on the verge of turning positive. There is some good volume support as well. We also could see some committed buying coming in terms of delivery volumes. So, looks like the momentum is building up and this should see a stock being pushed up to test the rejection zone and further up. In other words the stock look likely to resume the Up Trend.
LAURAS LABS - A Stock to WatchThe stock has been moving up slowly and on the weekly, it has been making higher highs and higher lows. Also, it has been repeatedly bouncing from the 200 DMA. Currently after making a higher high on the weekly, it was pushed down back to the 200 DMA from where it has been bouncing. Now it has moved past the short-term moving averages as well. In the last few sessions, we saw good buying up bars. However, the key parameters like relative strength, money flow and the volume driven momentum are still in the negative territory tending to move to the positive side. Ideally this stock should make another higher high surpassing the earlier higher high which was around 520 levels. Ideally one should wait till it crosses 477 levels and all key parameters turn positive. This will also help to confirm that there is follow up bullishness. Hence this is a stock to watch.
MAZAGON DOCKS - ON A RECOVERY PATH ?The stock after a buying climax bar in the month of July was overwhelmed with the supply of the BC bar and was pushed down to below the 50 DMA levels. Then it started accumulating around the 50 DMA and now it's finally getting pushed above the short-term moving averages. And all the key parameters like the relative strength, absolute strength, the money flow, buying pressure are all nicely stacked up favouring further up move. So, this could move up again. Another 1000 points testing 5400 levels. However, it is better to watch the next couple of bars to see if there is follow-up support coming.
TATN 5M Daytrade Short Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- long impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weakness
- didn't wait for test to complete
+ target before 1/2 of hourly wave
Calculated affordable stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1H Trend
"+ exhaustion volume
+ short impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ SOW / T2 volumed level
+ volumed manipulation"
1D CounterTrend
"- long impulse
- T1 level
+ resistance level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
1M Trend
"+ short impulse
+ SOW level
+ 1/2 correction
+ resistance level"
Convertible to Swing / Investment trade if 1H and 1D close right.
Watch out for the gap since it's a stop market!
We are we doiiiingggg lol ?Daily: Tuesday trading was bearish pushing into the weekly low. Wednesday's price failed to take out Tuesday's daily low creating indecision. For me, that's giving the idea that Thursday can go either way
4hr: RTH shows that the NY session had mostly bullish volume but still a bearish presence at the highs. Longs will be favored if we can get above 20.266.00
M15: After the NY session on Tuesday, the price went into accumulation and attempted the expansion today leaving behind a m15 imbalance that I will be curious how the price reacts to if retested
If it holds we can see long stepping back in, but if it fails price might push back to the lows
I want to see how the overnight session trades to see if it gives any sentiment of price moving higher or lower in the Asian and London sessions.
SMLT 1H Swing Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed T1
- support level???
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit expandable to Investment trade
Daily CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed Sp
+ weak test"
Monthly CounterTrend
"+ short balance
+ ICE level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
Cautionprevious day indecision candle shows that
we have some uncertainty at the highs
4hr market structure is still bullish but we acre consolidating
4hr Fixed Volume profile shows the POC is at the highs meaning fair value for price
I will not be considering buys just yet unless price breaks 20107.25 on the 4hr or
we have a market structure shift
on the m15 from 19,934.00
Since NQ is typically correlated with ES I will monitor both for direction confirmation and divergences and convergences
update as price develops
Bullish Outlook this week last week closed price closed bullish after Fed rate cut news, therefore possible draw on liquidity could be towards previous weeks high
4hr price action is bullish respecting bullish imbalances, created an area of resistance
4hr Fixed Volume profile shows the two highest volume nodes and buyers could still be in control
but we are waiting 4hr bullish close to confirm that price may want continue higher from this area
Since NQ is typically correlated with ES I will monitor both for direction confirmation and divergences and convergences
SWING IDEA - AGSTRAWeekly MACD Crossover is in play and also very good volumes in the Stock off late.
Expect the Stock to rally to its next leg up provided our Indices are stable and low volatile.
Any big move in market can take the stock down faster.
Ensure to follow Strict Risk Management when trading this stock.
If all is well, the stock can easily rally up to its Swing High levels.