$BTC Bull Trap Clear As DayI’m probably the biggest 3-Year perma-bull on this app, and even I can tell this is most likely a bull trap.
This is either the beginning of the long awaited parabola, or else we’ll correct back down to at least the 200DMA in the next week, or the 50DMA within the next month.
Lack of volume on the move and RSI becoming overheated gives me feels for the latter
Remember, never trust a weekend pump 💯
Bookmark this.
Volume
Tesla: At a Crossroads – Accumulation or Breakdown?One of the most talked-about stocks right now — Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA . And for good reason. Between the constant media buzz around Elon Musk and the recent surge in vandalism against Tesla vehicles, it’s been getting plenty of attention. But I’m not here to talk politics or headlines — I’m here for the chart.
And honestly? It’s looking better than you’d think. Despite all the noise, price has held steady in the $225 to $270 range, showing signs of a sideways accumulation phase — right at the Point of Control (POC) since 2021. That’s a pretty strong area, technically speaking.
Over the next few weeks, we’re likely to get clarity:
Either we break above $350, which opens up serious upside potential,
Or we break down toward the Volume Area Low — specifically the 2024 VAL at $161.18.
The real danger zone? Below $138. If price breaks that level, we have to assume that Wave 2 isn’t done yet — even though it was originally considered complete in 2023.
Until then, the structure actually looks constructive: we’ve been putting in higher lows and higher highs since 2023, which signals a potential uptrend.
How far that uptrend goes is hard to call. But if we break and hold above $325, then a pullback toward $300–$270 could offer a clean entry opportunity.
On the flip side, yes — if the market collapses and Wave II is still unfolding, we could be staring at $175, $125, or even as low as $75–$50 in an extreme scenario. And that would be wild for a stock that once touched $485.
But that’s why it’s crucial to zoom out. Ask yourself:
What do I want from Tesla — long-term conviction or short-term plays?
Then build your view. If the macro fits, dial into the lower time frames to find your edge. The setup is building — and it’s looking like Tesla is prepping for a big move.
Question is: which direction are you positioned for?
CMI - Cummins Inc. (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long PositionCMI - Cummins Inc. (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {support & market structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~2.53
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 293.45 {pre-market}
Entry limit ~ 288.50 to 285.50 (Avg. - 287) on April 25, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 294.50 (+2.61%; +7.5 points)
2. Target limit ~ 306 (+6.62%; +19 points)
Stop order limit ~ 279.50 (-2.61%; -7.5 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
MANA at a Crucial Support | Bullish Reversal in Play?Hey traders!
#MANA is currently testing a strong historical support zone and has shown signs of a bullish bounce, holding above key levels. This could be the beginning of a trend reversal if momentum continues.
Technical Highlights:
Strong support holding firm
Bullish wick rejections near support
Watching closely for a break above the entry/resistance level for confirmation
Trade Idea: We're waiting for a clean breakout above the resistance to confirm the bullish trend. Once we get that, it's a green light for a long trade setup — with tight risk management of course!
Key Levels:
Support: 0.1820
Resistance/Entry Zone: 0.3050
Risk Management Tip:
Never chase the market. Let the price come to you and confirm the setup.
Drop your thoughts in the comments:
Are you bullish on #MANA?
What’s your target for the next move?
Follow for more real-time setups, chart breakdowns, and trade ideas!
#MANA #CryptoTrading #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoSetup #BullishBreakout #RiskManagement #ChartPatterns #SupportAndResistance
Gold. Further downside is possible.Hey traders and investors!
Gold price bounced from a contextual level 3283 — the correction low within the dominant buyer’s initiative on the daily timeframe.
Further downside is possible. Watching levels 3381 and 3283.
The structure in this post is based on the logic of Initiative Analysis (IA).
BSE - BSE Ltd. (45 mins. chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-termBSE - BSE Ltd. (45 mins. chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 3
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 6480
Entry limit ~ 6370 to 6430 (Avg. - 6400) on April 23, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 6500 (+1.56%; +100 points)
2. Target limit ~ 6700 (+4.69%; +300 points)
Stop order limit ~ 6300 (-1.56%; -100 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Technical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD | 1H Timeframe1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 18,758.52
Value Area Low (VAL): Approx. 18,259.03
Point of Control (POC):
Recent Session POC: 18,758.52
Previous Session POC: 18,259.03
High-volume nodes: Clustered around 18,600–18,750 – area of high interest and possible re-accumulation.
Low-volume gaps: Below 18,300 – could act as fast-move zones on breakdown.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters:
Above 18,800 (recent swing high).
Below 18,250 (previous swing low).
Absorption Zones (Delta Volume Focus):
Strong absorption around 18,580–18,600; price has consolidated here indicating order filling.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
High-volume swing low: 18,259.03 (POC) – strong buying response seen post drop.
High-volume swing high: 18,758.52 – rejection seen here on low follow-through.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently Range-bound (CVD not showing clear accumulation/distribution trend).
ADX Strength:
ADX ≈ 18–20: Suggests weakening trend; possible sideways movement.
DI+ ≈ DI-: Confirms indecision.
CVD Confirmation:
CVD flattening at resistance suggests equal pressure from buyers and sellers.
No strong rising or falling trend in CVD; supports ranging bias.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 18,259.03
Previous swing low/absorption: 18,300
Resistance:
VAH: 18,758.52
Rejection level: 18,800
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann Lows: 18,259
Key Retracement Levels:
1/3 retrace from recent high: ~18,430
1/2 retrace: ~18,500
2/3 retrace: ~18,580
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Range-bound (confirmed by ADX near 20 and mixed CVD).
b) Notable Patterns:
Bearish rejection at VAH zone.
Potential descending channel forming from highs.
Fake-out above 18,750 followed by rejection – possible liquidity grab.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: Near 18,300–18,350 (absorption + VAL zone)
Targets:
T1: 18,580
T2: 18,750
Stop-Loss: Below 18,250
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: Near 18,750–18,800 (rejection area)
Target:
T1: 18,300
Stop-Loss: Above 18,850
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of total capital per trade for optimal drawdown management.
ANGEL ONE - Potential Cup Pattern Breakout!Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Pattern: Cup Formation (shown with arc)
Setup:
Price is forming a classic cup pattern.
The neckline (arc resistance) is near 2538.40.
Price has recently approached but faced resistance around the neckline.
Once the price breaks above the arc line with strong volume, a bullish breakout could be confirmed!
Targets After Breakout:
🎯 Target 1: 2800
🎯 Target 2: 3000
Stop-loss suggestion: As per your risk management.
Notes:
Price is currently below the 200 EMA. For a strong confirmation, look for a close above the arc and the 200 EMA with volume spike.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading involves substantial risk.
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H Timeframe1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,327.65
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,287.37
Point of Control (POC): 3,325.89
High-Volume Nodes: 3,325–3,328 zone (significant consolidation & absorption).
Low-Volume Gaps: 3,280–3,290 zone (potential for fast price movement if re-tested).
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters: Near 3,340 (previous highs), and below 3,280 (recent swing lows).
Order Absorption Zones: Strong absorption around POC (3,325), indicated by multiple rejections and volume stacking.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 3,382 (volume spike + reversal).
Swing Low: 3,275 (volume increase on bullish reversal).
Current Range: Consolidation between 3,280–3,328.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Range-bound (CVD mixed; recent sharp upward CVD move neutralized by selling at resistance).
ADX Strength:
ADX < 20: Suggests weak trend, confirming range-bound environment.
DI+ ≈ DI-: No dominant directional strength.
CVD Confirmation:
Recent Rising CVD + No breakout above resistance = Hidden supply
Earlier bullish CVD divergence at 3,275 led to minor recovery
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3,287.37
Swing Low Support: 3,275
Resistance:
VAH: 3,327.65
POC: 3,325.89
Swing High: 3,382
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent Gann Swing High: 3,382
Recent Gann Swing Low: 3,275
Key Retracement Zones:
1/2 retracement: 3,328
1/3 retracement: ~3,311
2/3 retracement: ~3,345
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Range-bound (confirmed by low ADX & choppy CVD)
b) Notable Patterns:
Potential Bullish Flag within a Rising Channel (purple zone)
Channel Support: Near 3,280
Channel Resistance: 3,360–3,390
Retest of POC (3,325.89) with multiple failed attempts to close above = key resistance validation
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 3,287–3,292
Targets:
T1: 3,325
T2: 3,360
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,275 (below recent swing low)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 3,325–3,328
Target: T1: 3,287
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,340 (above recent rejection zone)
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
MCX - Multi Commodity Exchange (Daily chart, NSE) - LongMCX - Multi Commodity Exchange (Daily chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume structure integrity & volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 4.25
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 5930
Entry limit ~ 5925 to 5775 (Avg. - 5850) on April 25, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 6201 (+6%; +351 points)
2. Target limit ~ 6700 (+14.53%; +850 points)
Stop order limit ~ 5650 (-3.42%; -200 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
TRENT - Trent LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositionTRENT - Trent LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 5140
Entry limit ~ 5080 to 4940 (Avg. - 5010) on April 25, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 5145 (+2.69%; +135 points)
2. Target limit ~ 5280 (+5.39%; +270 points)
Stop order limit ~ 4875 (-2.69%; -135 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Carnival Corporation (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long PositionCCL - Carnival Corporation (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.33
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 18.53
Entry limit ~ 18.30 to 18.10 (Avg. -18.20) on April 24, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 19.20 (+5.49%; +1 point)
2. Target limit ~ 19.60 (+7.69%; +1.4 points)
Stop order limit ~ 17.6 (-3.3%; -0.6 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTools Used: Volume Profile, Gann Levels, Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,390.67
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,277.14
Point of Control (POC): 3,309.96
High-volume nodes: Prominent between 3,300–3,340 zone, where price consolidated and re-accumulated.
Low-volume gaps: Seen between 3,365–3,385 and under 3,277, ideal for fast moves if broken.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stops Likely Clustered:
Above 3,390 (last high).
Below 3,277 (recent low and VAL).
Absorption Zones (based on delta volume):
Notable order absorption around POC (3,309.96) – heavy trade activity and hold in down move.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
High-volume swing low: 3,277.07 – price bounced with demand pick-up.
High-volume swing high: 3,427.04 – volume faded after breakout, leading to rejection.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently uptrend forming, CVD rising slightly with bullish structure.
ADX Strength:
ADX ~22 and DI+ > DI-: Confirms beginning of a potential uptrend.
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD + bullish candles: Demand increasing, especially around POC reclaim.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3,277.14
POC: 3,309.96
Swing low: 3,277.07
Resistance:
VAH: 3,390.67
Recent rejection zone: 3,342–3,350
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann High: 3,427.04
Confirmed Gann Low: 3,277.07
Key Retracement Levels:
1/3 retrace: ~3,335
1/2 retrace: ~3,352
2/3 retrace: ~3,370
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Bullish, supported by ADX > 20 and rising CVD confirming new leg up.
b) Notable Patterns:
Falling wedge breakout confirmed from 3,277 support.
Channel projection points to potential continuation toward 3,370–3,390.
POC retest success showing strong reaccumulation.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 3,310–3,320
Targets:
T1: 3,350
T2: 3,390
Stop-Loss: Below 3,277
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If trend invalidates):
Entry Zone: 3,390–3,400 (retest rejection)
Target:
T1: 3,310
Stop-Loss: Above 3,427
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1–2% of total capital per trade.
TOTAL2 / BTC - Majority of Alts Look BearishDon't shoot the messenger, but the MAJORITY of your Alts need to NUKE ~25% before Alt Season 🫨
This lines up with prior cycle support before Alt Season blastoff.
First step is to reclaim the EMA9, which they have failed to against BTC.
The lack of buying Volume supports this thesis for the trend to continue downwards.
It's a trapThe break above the 200 SMA is hopeful for bulls, but it was not on high volume. My simple position trading strategy has not indicated to re-enter, it looks for both a cross of the 200 SMA and a cross on the MACD. The former has happened but the MACD crossed on the 12th and has stayed above since. It uses conservative values to avoid entering into bear market rallies. Trend reversal to the upside could be real, but the probability of a sucker's rally is greater.
Enhanced Trend Indicator – Bullish Continuation Setup on BTC/USDThis chart highlights a bullish continuation setup on BTC/USD using the Enhanced Trend Indicator – Reversal & Volume Logic (invite-only).
After a period of sideways price action and accumulation, the price began to shift upward with confirmed volume, moving average alignment, and multiple confluence-based green triangle signals. These signals only print when trend, structure, and volume agree — filtering out false entries in low-conviction zones.
Thought Process:
Trend Confirmation – The EMA20/SMA50/SMA200 alignment shifted bullish after reclaiming structure near the $91,500–$92,000 range.
Signal Confluence – Multiple green triangle entries occurred along the rising support zone, showing synchronized strength.
Volume Backing – Breakouts occurred on higher-than-average volume, increasing the quality of each signal. BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Trade Setup (Hypothetical):
Entry Zone: $93,000–$93,200 (confirmed continuation signal on MA reclaim)
Initial Target: $94,500–$95,000 based on prior swing high and trend slope
Stop-Loss Area: Below $91,500 trendline support and MA cluster zone
This setup favors continuation as long as BTC remains above the rising trendline and the moving averages hold structure. A breakdown below $91,500 could invalidate the setup or transition into a consolidation range.
This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own analysis and use risk management.
Going long on BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin has made a 5 wave move to the downside, it is forming a bullish RSI divergence on the 4-hour chart, it already shown climatic volume on the recent bounce, seems like downside should be limited from here in the short to mid-term. Long term, the trend is still down.
I expect a multi-week bounce from here, probably to the 50% retracement, around 92k, before continuing to move down to a deeper lower-low.
Good luck to you