Volume
$BTC Bull Trap Clear As DayI’m probably the biggest 3-Year perma-bull on this app, and even I can tell this is most likely a bull trap.
This is either the beginning of the long awaited parabola, or else we’ll correct back down to at least the 200DMA in the next week, or the 50DMA within the next month.
Lack of volume on the move and RSI becoming overheated gives me feels for the latter
Remember, never trust a weekend pump 💯
Bookmark this.
Gold to be Bullish - 700 Pips Move Expected 1:7 RRGold Closed with a high momentum Bullish Engulfing Candle on H4 around the support area on Friday failing to break the last swing low/support area around 3260. This indicates the price wants to target the higher price and hunt for some liquidity around 3370 area.
If we more to m15 to refine our entry analysis we can see that price has changed its course from bearish to bullish with "Change of Character" and "Break of Structure" already happened during the Friday session.
keeping in mind the above I am bullish on gold from a confluence area of 3297. and target the resent H4 highs at 3370 area (700 pips). Our Stop loss will be around resent m15 lows at 3286 area giving 1:7 Risk Reward.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as a financial advise.
ANGEL ONE - Potential Cup Pattern Breakout!Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Pattern: Cup Formation (shown with arc)
Setup:
Price is forming a classic cup pattern.
The neckline (arc resistance) is near 2538.40.
Price has recently approached but faced resistance around the neckline.
Once the price breaks above the arc line with strong volume, a bullish breakout could be confirmed!
Targets After Breakout:
🎯 Target 1: 2800
🎯 Target 2: 3000
Stop-loss suggestion: As per your risk management.
Notes:
Price is currently below the 200 EMA. For a strong confirmation, look for a close above the arc and the 200 EMA with volume spike.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading involves substantial risk.
Bullish set up is breaking out.... BUT, we have a gap to close.At the very moment we saw big rejection in this golden pocket zone were in right now from the descending channel its been in for a while.
This tells me that the market makers are creating liquidity at this level potentially to revisit at a later date.
We could quickly see this go to $6.35 or $5.40 which I would be a major buyer at.
Still in the longer term bullish trend... for now.
Option contract positions from institutions are primarily short at 5-6 strike. BUT something very interesting to me is that the $8.50 strike has a lot of puts at open interest which might squeeze it over that level if they have to cover.
Most people are saying $50... I think $65 after a little bounceI am seeing put open interest and volume spike for PUTS expiring 04/25 for a strike price of $55 that were opened YESTERDAY...
There is over 60,000 contracts open and rarely do these not play out.
It has been my long term target to hit $65 - $60 even before NVDA split there shares.
Lets see tho, the tape for options expiring in late June look bullish at the moment
Tesla: At a Crossroads – Accumulation or Breakdown?One of the most talked-about stocks right now — Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA . And for good reason. Between the constant media buzz around Elon Musk and the recent surge in vandalism against Tesla vehicles, it’s been getting plenty of attention. But I’m not here to talk politics or headlines — I’m here for the chart.
And honestly? It’s looking better than you’d think. Despite all the noise, price has held steady in the $225 to $270 range, showing signs of a sideways accumulation phase — right at the Point of Control (POC) since 2021. That’s a pretty strong area, technically speaking.
Over the next few weeks, we’re likely to get clarity:
Either we break above $350, which opens up serious upside potential,
Or we break down toward the Volume Area Low — specifically the 2024 VAL at $161.18.
The real danger zone? Below $138. If price breaks that level, we have to assume that Wave 2 isn’t done yet — even though it was originally considered complete in 2023.
Until then, the structure actually looks constructive: we’ve been putting in higher lows and higher highs since 2023, which signals a potential uptrend.
How far that uptrend goes is hard to call. But if we break and hold above $325, then a pullback toward $300–$270 could offer a clean entry opportunity.
On the flip side, yes — if the market collapses and Wave II is still unfolding, we could be staring at $175, $125, or even as low as $75–$50 in an extreme scenario. And that would be wild for a stock that once touched $485.
But that’s why it’s crucial to zoom out. Ask yourself:
What do I want from Tesla — long-term conviction or short-term plays?
Then build your view. If the macro fits, dial into the lower time frames to find your edge. The setup is building — and it’s looking like Tesla is prepping for a big move.
Question is: which direction are you positioned for?
CMI - Cummins Inc. (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long PositionCMI - Cummins Inc. (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {support & market structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~2.53
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 293.45 {pre-market}
Entry limit ~ 288.50 to 285.50 (Avg. - 287) on April 25, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 294.50 (+2.61%; +7.5 points)
2. Target limit ~ 306 (+6.62%; +19 points)
Stop order limit ~ 279.50 (-2.61%; -7.5 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Gold in a Sideways RangeHello traders and investors!
The 3283 level, which was the sellers’ target on the daily timeframe, was confidently defended by buyers.
The attacking seller’s candle at this level showed high volume but was absorbed by buyers.
On the 1H timeframe, the market is moving sideways, with active buyer initiative.
The boundaries of the range are marked on the chart with black lines.
It is reasonable to expect the price to move toward the upper boundary of the range at 3363–3370.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
SPY EARNINGS WEELY AAPL AMZN MSTR METASPY WEELY - Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta will report earnings.
This week we have important earnings from Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, and Meta. We believe there could be a strong move in the SPY driven by the earnings reports, as well as by key economic data like unemployment figures, GDP, and Consumer Confidence. Based on these factors, we expect high volatility and see the potential for the SPY to move within the range of 530–520 on the downside and 560–580 on the upside.
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H Timeframe1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,327.65
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,287.37
Point of Control (POC): 3,325.89
High-Volume Nodes: 3,325–3,328 zone (significant consolidation & absorption).
Low-Volume Gaps: 3,280–3,290 zone (potential for fast price movement if re-tested).
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters: Near 3,340 (previous highs), and below 3,280 (recent swing lows).
Order Absorption Zones: Strong absorption around POC (3,325), indicated by multiple rejections and volume stacking.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 3,382 (volume spike + reversal).
Swing Low: 3,275 (volume increase on bullish reversal).
Current Range: Consolidation between 3,280–3,328.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Range-bound (CVD mixed; recent sharp upward CVD move neutralized by selling at resistance).
ADX Strength:
ADX < 20: Suggests weak trend, confirming range-bound environment.
DI+ ≈ DI-: No dominant directional strength.
CVD Confirmation:
Recent Rising CVD + No breakout above resistance = Hidden supply
Earlier bullish CVD divergence at 3,275 led to minor recovery
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3,287.37
Swing Low Support: 3,275
Resistance:
VAH: 3,327.65
POC: 3,325.89
Swing High: 3,382
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent Gann Swing High: 3,382
Recent Gann Swing Low: 3,275
Key Retracement Zones:
1/2 retracement: 3,328
1/3 retracement: ~3,311
2/3 retracement: ~3,345
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Range-bound (confirmed by low ADX & choppy CVD)
b) Notable Patterns:
Potential Bullish Flag within a Rising Channel (purple zone)
Channel Support: Near 3,280
Channel Resistance: 3,360–3,390
Retest of POC (3,325.89) with multiple failed attempts to close above = key resistance validation
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 3,287–3,292
Targets:
T1: 3,325
T2: 3,360
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,275 (below recent swing low)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 3,325–3,328
Target: T1: 3,287
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,340 (above recent rejection zone)
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
MCX - Multi Commodity Exchange (Daily chart, NSE) - LongMCX - Multi Commodity Exchange (Daily chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume structure integrity & volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 4.25
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 5930
Entry limit ~ 5925 to 5775 (Avg. - 5850) on April 25, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 6201 (+6%; +351 points)
2. Target limit ~ 6700 (+14.53%; +850 points)
Stop order limit ~ 5650 (-3.42%; -200 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
BSE - BSE Ltd. (45 mins. chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-termBSE - BSE Ltd. (45 mins. chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 3
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 6480
Entry limit ~ 6370 to 6430 (Avg. - 6400) on April 23, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 6500 (+1.56%; +100 points)
2. Target limit ~ 6700 (+4.69%; +300 points)
Stop order limit ~ 6300 (-1.56%; -100 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
TRENT - Trent LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositionTRENT - Trent LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 5140
Entry limit ~ 5080 to 4940 (Avg. - 5010) on April 25, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 5145 (+2.69%; +135 points)
2. Target limit ~ 5280 (+5.39%; +270 points)
Stop order limit ~ 4875 (-2.69%; -135 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
MANA at a Crucial Support | Bullish Reversal in Play?Hey traders!
#MANA is currently testing a strong historical support zone and has shown signs of a bullish bounce, holding above key levels. This could be the beginning of a trend reversal if momentum continues.
Technical Highlights:
Strong support holding firm
Bullish wick rejections near support
Watching closely for a break above the entry/resistance level for confirmation
Trade Idea: We're waiting for a clean breakout above the resistance to confirm the bullish trend. Once we get that, it's a green light for a long trade setup — with tight risk management of course!
Key Levels:
Support: 0.1820
Resistance/Entry Zone: 0.3050
Risk Management Tip:
Never chase the market. Let the price come to you and confirm the setup.
Drop your thoughts in the comments:
Are you bullish on #MANA?
What’s your target for the next move?
Follow for more real-time setups, chart breakdowns, and trade ideas!
#MANA #CryptoTrading #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoSetup #BullishBreakout #RiskManagement #ChartPatterns #SupportAndResistance
Gold. Further downside is possible.Hey traders and investors!
Gold price bounced from a contextual level 3283 — the correction low within the dominant buyer’s initiative on the daily timeframe.
Further downside is possible. Watching levels 3381 and 3283.
The structure in this post is based on the logic of Initiative Analysis (IA).
Carnival Corporation (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long PositionCCL - Carnival Corporation (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.33
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 18.53
Entry limit ~ 18.30 to 18.10 (Avg. -18.20) on April 24, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 19.20 (+5.49%; +1 point)
2. Target limit ~ 19.60 (+7.69%; +1.4 points)
Stop order limit ~ 17.6 (-3.3%; -0.6 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTools Used: Volume Profile, Gann Levels, Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,390.67
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,277.14
Point of Control (POC): 3,309.96
High-volume nodes: Prominent between 3,300–3,340 zone, where price consolidated and re-accumulated.
Low-volume gaps: Seen between 3,365–3,385 and under 3,277, ideal for fast moves if broken.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stops Likely Clustered:
Above 3,390 (last high).
Below 3,277 (recent low and VAL).
Absorption Zones (based on delta volume):
Notable order absorption around POC (3,309.96) – heavy trade activity and hold in down move.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
High-volume swing low: 3,277.07 – price bounced with demand pick-up.
High-volume swing high: 3,427.04 – volume faded after breakout, leading to rejection.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently uptrend forming, CVD rising slightly with bullish structure.
ADX Strength:
ADX ~22 and DI+ > DI-: Confirms beginning of a potential uptrend.
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD + bullish candles: Demand increasing, especially around POC reclaim.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3,277.14
POC: 3,309.96
Swing low: 3,277.07
Resistance:
VAH: 3,390.67
Recent rejection zone: 3,342–3,350
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann High: 3,427.04
Confirmed Gann Low: 3,277.07
Key Retracement Levels:
1/3 retrace: ~3,335
1/2 retrace: ~3,352
2/3 retrace: ~3,370
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Bullish, supported by ADX > 20 and rising CVD confirming new leg up.
b) Notable Patterns:
Falling wedge breakout confirmed from 3,277 support.
Channel projection points to potential continuation toward 3,370–3,390.
POC retest success showing strong reaccumulation.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 3,310–3,320
Targets:
T1: 3,350
T2: 3,390
Stop-Loss: Below 3,277
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If trend invalidates):
Entry Zone: 3,390–3,400 (retest rejection)
Target:
T1: 3,310
Stop-Loss: Above 3,427
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1–2% of total capital per trade.