Long & Short Entry Forecast For GoldCooling war tensions seem to be cooling the Gold bullish rally as well.
But we're still in the same range since April 15th and will likely stay in the range until further notice *or the next tweet*
The Sell entry is great now cos we're near the top of the high volume node, so even if we consolidate around that POC this sell entry will still be putting us closest to the top of the node.
Hold your sell and TP at the VAL . We have a very deep low volume area there and its being a point of support since April. So we can place bets with small risk on hoping it holds cos if it doesn't, it wont be pretty. That is still the best place to buy regardless. So manage your risk accordingly
TP 1 for the Buy trade is at the POC , which also happens to be the top of the huge volume node. Totally make sense to take a decent chunk of profit of your position there, then move you stop loss into profit and grab some pop corn. Depending on the news , the best case scenario of for the uptrend is to continue all the way up to TP2 which is at the VAH
Secure the bag :)
Enjoy
Volume
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week.
On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25.
We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear.
In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
Raymond Lifestyle is looking good!NSE:RAYMONDLSL
- After a 5 month long consolidation now breaking out.
- This is looking like a stage 2 breakout.
- Relative strength turned positive.
- RSI is above 70 indicating very high momentum
- Volume is also very good on the break out candle. Also we can observe that volume is higher on the green candles and lower on the red ones.
- Today it closed above its 100 day exponential moving average as well.
Silver - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
Hourly Timeframe
📍 Context
The hourly chart is in a sideways range.
Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.55.
📊 Key Actions
The 35.30 level on the hourly timeframe has worked well. This level marks the correction extreme within the dominant buyer initiative (i.e., an initiative where the correction is less than 50%).
A seller attack bar (IKC) targeting the lower boundary of the sideways range was absorbed by the buyer, and this absorption led to a renewed buyer. Targets visible on the chart - Hourly and daily timeframe: 36.55 and 36.89
Daily Timeframe
📍 Context
Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.89.
📊 Key Actions
On the daily timeframe, there was also a seller IKC bar attacking the lower boundary of the buyer's initiative, which was bought back by the buyer.
🎯 Trade Idea
Potential buying patterns can now be monitored at: 36.20, 36.05, 35.67, 35.458
With targets set at: 36.55, 36.89, 37.32.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
GOLD 4H: not all that glitters is bullish...The 4H chart shows a clean descending triangle breakdown. Price failed to reclaim the trendline and was rejected under both MA50 and MA200. The bounce into 3325–3340 was absorbed — classic liquidity sweep and fade. Volume confirms bearish control.
Technically, the breakdown below 3320 opens the way toward $3293 (1.0 Fibo), $3250 (1.272 extension), and final target at $3195 (1.618), where buyers might step in. RSI supports the continuation without signs of reversal. Structure broke — and the market is telling us where it's heading.
Tactical plan:
— Entry at market or on a retest of $3325–3335
— Targets: $3293 → $3250 → $3195
— Stop: above $3340 (above MA50 and broken trendline)
When gold looks shiny, smart traders look deeper. This breakout isn’t golden — it’s a trap for late bulls.
BTC/USD 1h Chart Analysis: BTFDBitcoin is showing a bullish structure on the 1h timeframe with a potential move towards $109,000.
On smaller timeframes, it exhibits a clear "buy the dip" profile.
Key Levels:
$109,000: Potential upside target.
$107,000: Resistance/Support zone to watch for rejection.
$105,000: Low Volume Node (LVN*) a possible good long entry zone.
$102,000 - $100,000: Support levels to monitor if $105,000 fails.
Currently it have bullish trend with a potential dip near $105,000 showing good entry point.
XAUUSD DAILY, TRIPLE TOP? DIVERGENCE VOLUME?Hello everyone, how are you?
How’s your day going?
Let’s talk about XAUUSD on the Daily timeframe.
As we can see, XAUUSD has attempted several times to break out from the TRIPLE TOP trendline,
but it hasn’t been successful. Looking at the volume, there is no increase in buying—
on the contrary, there’s an increase in selling volume, which can be considered a FAKE OUT.
So, in my opinion, XAUUSD has the potential to return to the support area,
around the psychological level of $3,300 - $3,000,
or as shown in the chart, a weekly candle closed with high volume.
Well, that’s my take. Good luck!
Remember, trading carries high risk—don’t be reckless.
Waiting for the best opportunity is never a bad idea, right?
Bitcoin - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
📍 Context
On the daily timeframe, the market is in a sideways range.
The boundaries are marked with black lines.
Buyer initiative is currently active.
Targets: 108,952; 110,530; 111,980.
📊 Key Actions
The seller attempted twice, on increased volume, to break down below the range, but both times the buyer brought the price back inside. Only seller wicks remained below the lower boundary.
🎯 Trade Idea
🔹 Look for long setups from 105 500 -104,622 or the 103,400–100,718 zone.
There is no context for short trades at the moment.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
SMALL RETEST on BTC and continuation of BTC TrendThe small range forming just under local resistance is weak and showing signs of exhaustion. Despite a possible red dot printing soon, volume is not confirming a strong bearish divergence, so don’t assume a major drop is guaranteed just yet.
The “Uneven Butcheeks” pattern visually highlights imbalance
A fakeout back into the range, or
A flush to grab liquidity sitting beneath key demand zones.
Key Scenarios
Scenario A (Orange Path)
A breakout through the overhead supply zone could trigger upside continuation toward $111,850.
But unless it’s backed by strong volume and broader BTC strength, I’ll be fading this move.
Right now, this doesn’t look like conviction from bulls — it looks like exhaustion.
Scenario B (Purple Path)
A rejection at current levels or a weak fakeout could break back into the demand zone.
With thin structure below and low buy-side aggression, price could sweep down toward $102.9k–$101.1k, or even lower.
If we get this move, I’ll be watching how buyers behave around the lower demand — that’s where bulls need to prove themselves.
⚠️ Strategy:
Don’t front-run this — let the price confirm or invalidate.
Watch volume. Watch BTC dominance.
Until then, this zone is chop-heavy, and patience = protection.
GOLD. Daily Timeframe overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
Daily Timeframe
Market phase : sideways. Seller's initiative.
Boundaries marked with black lines.
Gold followed an alternative scenario from the previous review toward 3435. The buyer played out the 8-9 vector of the range on the daily timeframe, and now the initiative has shifted to the seller. The seller's targets are 3245 and 3201 — areas to watch for potential buy patterns aiming for a new ATH. The price might get stuck in the 3293–3271 zone. If a strong buyer reaction occurs, a reversal may happen in this range.
The ideal area to look for buy patterns is around 3201.
Selling is risky.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Gold:bullish wedge inside a rising channel-double trap for bearsInside the major upward channel, gold formed a falling wedge — and, of course, faked a breakdown. But the move reversed quickly: price reclaimed the wedge, surged on volume, and held above the key 3363–3368 area. This isn't just a bounce — it's a structural reclaim in line with the broader trend.
Price is now in the upper part of the rising channel and has broken a local downtrend line, reinforcing the bullish signal. Consolidation around 3380–3395 might be the last pause before acceleration. Above that lies a volume gap — no resistance until 3452.
MACD is flipping bullish, RSI turning upward, and volume confirms smart money presence. Classic: trap below, breakout above. As long as 3363 holds — longs remain in control.
EURUSD -> Bullish Idea 22/06/2025(ICT x Volume Profile)OANDA:EURUSD 🎯 Bias: Bullish
🕒 Timeframe: H1 primary, H15 confirmation
Happy sunday traders!
Following President Trump’s strikes on Iran, I expect an initial bearish reaction in the Asian and London Sessions, then a bullish reaction in the NY sessions as sellers push the USD lower. However, the prevailing trend context remains bullish: the hourly chart has shifted structure (MSS) and broke structure to the upside. I anticipate a liquidity sweep below the recent lows, before a retracement into the 15-minute fair value gap (FVG) which aligns with the volume profile, then continuation higher to target the weak high and into the swing highs marked.
BTC MACRO PLAY - SHORT TRADE SETUP📉 BTC/USDT SHORT TRADE SETUP – WEEKLY TIMEFRAME
🔍 Trade Idea Overview:
We are seeing a bearish divergence between price and volume on the weekly chart — while price makes higher highs, volume is decreasing, signaling a potential reversal or weakening trend.
Further confluence is seen with the VMC Cipher indicator. If a red dot prints, it will confirm the short entry. If not, the trade idea should be abandoned.
📊 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: Around $106,300–$107,000 (wait for confirmation)
TP 1 🎯: $102,000
TP 2 🎯: $97,500
TP 3 🎯: $93,000
🛑 Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: Above recent highs at $111,800 (or adjusted based on your entry)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Once TP 1 is reached, move stop-loss to breakeven to protect capital and eliminate risk.
TP 3 may never be reached, but it remains part of the plan to capture extended downside if momentum continues.
If no red dot prints, there is no confirmation — be ready to abandon the trade.
BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical AnalysisBTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical Analysis
Market Structure & Trend
Overall Trend : Bearish (clearly defined by a consistent downtrend channel).
Current Structure : Price is in a corrective downtrend within a descending channel, after multiple rejections from the supply zone.
Key Technical Zones
1. Supply Zone
Strong rejection zone where the price previously reversed sharply.
Still acting as resistance, located around the upper range.
2. Demand Zone
Currently being retested for the fifth time, weakening its strength.
Recent price action shows liquidity sweep and swing low break inside this zone, potentially trapping early longs.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) & Fibonacci Levels
1D FVG sits below the current demand, aligning with:
Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65 Fib).
Acts as a high-probability bounce zone for long entries if demand fails.
A break below this FVG could open up deeper downside toward the 0.786 Fib or beyond.
Psychological Levels
105,000 – Major resistance & potential take-profit area for long positions.
100,000 – Key support and liquidity magnet if the demand zone fails.
Volume Profile
High Volume Node: 102,000 – 106,800 — price tends to gravitate here, indicating potential consolidation or resistance.
Low Volume Area: Below 100,500 — suggests thin liquidity, which may cause sharp moves if price drops into this range.
Scenarios & Trade Ideas
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the demand zone (after multiple retests) and confirms on LTF:
Potential Long to local resistance.
On breakout, target the 105,000 psychological level.
Confluence: High volume area offers both support and a magnet.
Bearish Scenario
If price fails to hold the demand zone:
Enter short position targeting the 1D FVG and 100,000 psychological level.
If that breaks, expect sharp continuation due to low volume below.
Conclusion
Price is at a pivotal point — currently balancing on weakened demand after multiple retests. Watch for LTF confirmation:
Above demand = bullish recovery setup.
Below demand = bearish continuation toward 100,000 and the FVG.
Manage risk tightly due to the proximity of both key zones.
Ethereum – 1D timeframe overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
The price has reached the lower boundary of the range. There is no volume spike.
I expect a further decline toward 2184 and 2100. The 2100 level is a contextual area to look for buying patterns.
As part of a correction, the price could potentially drop to 1800. Monitoring.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Swing the TORNTPOWER (NSE)🔍 **Technical Analysis Summary:**
✅ **Trendline Support:**
* The weekly chart shows a **well-respected ascending trendline** stretching from early 2023.
* The current price action at ₹1,390 is approaching this **long-term support zone**, which has consistently provided **bullish rebounds** in the past.
* Price action continues to form **higher lows**, confirming a structurally bullish pattern.
📊 **MACD on OBV (Volume Strength Indicator):**
* The **MACD applied on On-Balance Volume (OBV)** is showing early signs of **bullish divergence**.
* This is particularly important as OBV integrates volume with price movement, and **MACD crossover at low levels** typically indicates accumulation and **potential trend reversal**.
* A bounce in OBV would further confirm strength backed by **smart volume participation**.
⚠️ **Caution Point:**
* The recent candles have shown some **indecision and consolidation**, indicating market participants are awaiting a catalyst.
* **Global cues or negative macroeconomic factors** could temporarily break the trend, but unless a strong bearish breakdown with volume occurs, this trendline remains **technically intact and valid**.
---
💡 **Investment Thesis:**
TORNTPOWER is currently trading near a **strong, multi-touch ascending trendline** that has provided reliable support for over 18 months. The **MACD on OBV** is hinting at a **volume-backed trend reversal**, suggesting a **bullish bounce is likely** if macro sentiment remains neutral or positive.
🎯 **Trading Strategy:**
* **Entry Zone:** ₹1,370–₹1,400 (near the trendline support)
* **Stop Loss:** Below ₹1,300 (on weekly closing basis)
* **Upside Targets:**
* ₹1,550 (short-term resistance)
* ₹1,750+ (medium-term target if the trend continues)
🧠 Final Word:
This setup offers an attractive **risk-reward ratio** for swing traders and positional investors. Technicals favor a bounce — **stay cautious on macro cues**, but the **structure favors accumulation on dips** near the trendline.
BTC 4H SCALPBTC/USDT Scalp Setup – 4H Chart
Entered a scalp position with TP1 aligned at the Fibonacci extension near 105,652. The first take-profit has been secured, and the remainder of the position is being left to ride — no emotional attachment. If invalidated, the trade will be abandoned without hesitation.
Technical Overview:
Price broke out of the local downtrend channel
Watching for a potential green dot on the volume oscillator to confirm upward continuation
VMC Cipher B shows early signs of a shift; confirmation is still pending
That said, short-term caution is warranted.
Bearish Considerations:
On the higher timeframes, there’s a visible bearish divergence between price and volume — price continues to push higher, while volume fades, indicating a potential trend exhaustion.
Thanks for your support.
If you found this idea helpful or insightful, feel free to leave a like or comment, open to your thoughts and perspectives.