175B.Hello.
This is an indicator I don't use too often.
It catches whale buying and selling.
Whalemap.
But in this case, I found something interesting.
Big altcoin buy level at about ~175B with a retest.
And a bounce.
The boldness of the green line and the magnitude of the dot
radius show that this is a very large volume.
I think that's a pretty strong argument that the alts have passed
the bottom of the market.
They may not necessarily rise rapidly right away.
But they've already pushed off and consolidated.
The market bottom has been there.
However, there are a lot of other faithers like bitcoin dominance,
USDT dominance. And the Fed's base rate.
Follow the volume.
Volume
MCX - Multi Commodity Exchange (45 minutes chart, NSE) - LongMCX - Multi Commodity Exchange (45 minutes chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 1.35
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 6490
Entry limit ~ 6400 on May 16, 2025
Target limit ~ 6680 (+4.38%; +280 points)
Stop order limit ~ 6192 (-3.25%; -208 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
WIPRO - Wipro Ltd. (45 minutes chart, NSE) - Long PositionWIPRO - Wipro Ltd. (45 minutes chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 254.4
Entry limit ~ 254 on May 16, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 258.5 (+1.77%; +4.5 points)
2. Target limit ~ 263 (+3.54%; +9 points)
Stop order limit ~ 249.5 (-1.77%; -4.5 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
SQQQ | Im Very Bearish the Markets Going into Q1 - 2025How I see It: (The commentary is purely my own thoughts based on my research comparing it to what I've seen in the media and other social media sites)
SQQQ smooths out the noise and shows me if we are in a bearish scenario in the technology sector.
This ETF has been in a bullish divergence for the last 6 months, and it showing signs its time to pop higher.
That equates to the QQQ's going into a correction mode over the next 3 - 6 months.
Be careful as profit taking will come hard, and margin calls will run crazy.
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the NASDAQ-100 Index. The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the fund's investment objective. The index includes 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial companies listed on The Nasdaq Stock Market based on market capitalization. The fund is non-diversified.
Thyssenkrupp earnings coming. Tales of two rises?1. Fundamentals:
Thyssenkrupp have suffered a lot. In 7 years it lost 90% of the market cap!
Early 2018 the stock price was €26, and it fell under €3 in 2024.
Slowdown in European industry, especially car manufacturing, and the idea of 'green steel' did hurt the price.
A quick recovery happened to €11, as European spending picked up steam. Especially, defense spending and the recovery in the car industry give hope to the car industry. Continental delivered good earnings last week.
However, the defense part might not be help earnings as soon 2025 Q1, and the car industry alone don't justify the €11 price.
2. Technicals
The first rally in one month was fast, but had volume under it.
The price of €2.768 in 2024 september was clearly a nonsense, shorters exited the stock and accumulation started.
In one month, February to March it went bananas, +140%, then Liberation day came and it fell, like everything else.
It rose again, but this time, the volume is declining.
My hunch is, a spike to 10.9-11.6 on earnings (15. May), and then straight down under €6.
Can be a good long on long-term, but it's overbought now.
Can be a good short idea on earnings, if it opens green.
ES: Testing Yearly Open at 5950Current Market Structure
Market completed successful retest of 2024 value area low (~20% correction from ATH)
We are currently engaged in value discovery journey back toward developing POC near ATH
Yearly open at ~5950 serves as current battleground level.
Friday's Action Analysis
Multiple rotations between yearly open (5950) and value area low (5925-5930)
Staying within and expanding above yesterdays upper distribution
Bulls eventually won the day, pushing +20 points to 5975
Key concern: Post-close liquidation break erased gains, returning to 5950
Suggests weak hands accumulated during the drift higher
Technical Structure Issues
White House announcement-driven moves created weak structure below current levels
Multiple unfilled gaps and single prints underneath
Weekly & Monthly VPOCs (virgin points of control) present structural vulnerabilities
Path of least resistance technically up, but lacking conviction
While the path of least resistance is upward, we really don't have a lot of people looking to start new positions here. Unless other timeframe traders come in and start finding value, we're just going to chop around. The market wants to get back to that POC near the highs, but it's getting artificial help every time we hit a pivotal point which is creating weak structure underneath us.
ES: Testing Yearly Open at 5950
Current Market Structure
Market completed successful retest of 2024 value area low (~20% correction from ATH)
We are currently engaged in value discovery journey back toward developing POC near ATH
Yearly open at ~5950 serves as current battleground level.
Friday's Action Analysis
Multiple rotations between yearly open (5950) and value area low (5925-5930)
Staying within and expanding above yesterdays upper distribution
Bulls eventually won the day, pushing +20 points to 5975
Key concern: Post-close liquidation break erased gains, returning to 5950
Suggests weak hands accumulated during the drift higher
Technical Structure Issues
White House announcement-driven moves created weak structure below current levels
Multiple unfilled gaps and single prints underneath
Weekly & Monthly VPOCs (virgin points of control) present structural vulnerabilities
Path of least resistance technically up, but lacking conviction
While the path of least resistance is upward, we really don't have a lot of people looking to start new positions here. Unless other timeframe traders come in and start finding value, we're just going to chop around. The market wants to get back to that POC near the highs, but it's getting artificial help every time we hit a pivotal point which is creating weak structure underneath us.
[𝟬𝟱/𝟭𝟮] 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗦𝗣𝗫 𝗚𝗘𝗫 𝗣𝗹𝗮𝘆𝗯𝗼𝗼𝗸🔍 IF/THEN QUICK GAMMA PLAYBOOK
IF > 5825 THEN path to 5900 → stall/profit-taking likely
IF > 5900 THEN path to first 5950, then 6000 → gamma squeeze extension zone
IF < 5825 THEN path to 5700 → test of transition zone support
Chop Zone: — re-entry = short-term balance/testing zone
IF < 5700 THEN path to 5500 → gamma flush / dealer unwind risk
🧭 𝗘𝗫𝗧𝗘𝗡𝗗𝗘𝗗 𝗭𝗢𝗡𝗘 𝗠𝗔𝗣/b]
✅ Gamma Flip Level
5700 → This is the confirmed Gamma Flip level = High Volatility Zone = HVL. We are comfortably above it, confirming positive gamma environment.
🧱 Major Call Walls / Resistance to upside from here
5900 → Significant call resistance zone (highlighted across GEX, profile, and /matrix command). 5825–5900 = Current rally zone → expected stall at 5900 (Profit-taking zone)5950 → Next mid-large positive gamma wall to the upside, mid-station between mounts. Dealers short gamma, adding fuel to breakout.6000 → Positive Gamma squeeze continuation target. Gamma squeeze intensifies → likely extends to 6000.🟦 Transition / Chop Zone
5700–5825 → Previous chop range. Retrace could test this before renewed upside.Currently outside and breaking up from this zone, indicating trend initiation.
Balance zone from prior structure.
Expect fade setups if price dips back in.
Needs catalyst or strong sell flow to re-enter meaningfully.
🛡️ Major Put Supports to the downside
5700 → = HVL, also aligned with pTrans and Put support.Dealer unwind risk, downside opens.5500 → Key level if the 5700 zone fails — “total denial zone” of current FOMO.
-----------------------------
This week’s SPX setup remains decisively bullish from a gamma perspective. The GEX profile shows strong positive gamma, with institutional and dealer hedging flows firmly positioned to support continued upside—especially into Friday’s OPEX. The environment is ideal for a controlled melt-up: volatility is softening, implied volatility is trending lower, and there’s no sign of panic in the options market.
Put pricing skew is also declining, which suggests reduced fear and a shift toward more aggressive call buying—another sign of bullish sentiment. Dealer positioning implies that any upward momentum is likely to be chased and hedged into, reinforcing the trend.
However, traders should stay alert: if SPX slips back below 5825, we may see a pause or retracement back into the 5700–5825 transition zone. Only a decisive break below 5700 would flip the gamma regime back to negative and open the door to real downside volatility.
HAL -Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (45 minutes chart, NSE) - LongHAL -Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (45 minutes chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.05
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 4740
Entry limit ~ 4665 on May 14, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 4780 (+2.47%; +115 points)
2. Target limit ~ 4880 (+4.61%; +215 points)
Stop order limit ~ 4560 (-2.25%; -105 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
5/15 Gold Trading Signals🌇Good afternoon, everyone!
Yesterday, gold broke the support after some sideways movement and touched the buy zone near 3170, but profit was limited.
Today, after opening, gold rebounded to above 3190 but faced resistance and started dropping again. Notably, the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence, and although not yet corrected, such divergence usually leads to a rebound of at least $60 — a potential opportunity worth watching.
🗞 News Highlights:
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
Research conference on monetary policy and economy
These events may significantly impact gold, so stay alert.
📌 Today’s Trading Strategy:
🟢 Buy Zone: 3113 – 3076
🔴 Sell Zone: 3208 – 3223
🔄 Flexible Trading Ranges:
▫️3123-3152-3168-3187-3198
✅ Maintain cautious, flexible positioning. Watch for divergence correction opportunities for a potential sharp rebound.
Technical Breakdown on US100 (1H) TIME FRAMETechnical Breakdown on US100 (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 21,280
Value Area Low (VAL): 21,190
Point of Control (POC): 21,259.75
High-Volume Nodes: Dense volume between 21,200–21,260 indicating consolidation and potential distribution.
Low-Volume Gaps: Below 21,100 down to 20,800 — fast movement zones with limited participation.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters:
Above 21,300 (recent swing high zone and consolidation top)
Below 21,190 (VA Low, likely stop cluster from long positions)
Absorption Zones:
Strong absorption near 21,000 and again around 20,800 (marked by reversal attempts with high delta volume)
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing Highs: 21,291 (confirmed by peak CVD and high rejection)
Swing Lows: 20,060 (prior major volume base and support)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Bearish Bias emerging (CVD divergence at highs, falling structure)
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20 + DI- > DI+ → Confirmed downtrend in progress
CVD Confirmation:
Falling CVD + Bearish Price Action = Clear supply dominance
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 21,190
Lower POC: 20,060.91
Resistance:
VAH: 21,280
POC: 21,259.75
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann Swing High: 21,291
Confirmed Gann Swing Low: 20,060
Retracement Levels:
1/2 = 20,675
1/3 = 20,537
2/3 = 20,812 → aligns with minor absorption
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bearish (confirmed by ADX > 20 + falling CVD and price)
b) Notable Patterns:
Distribution Zone forming at highs (flat top)
Descending Channel (Bear Flag) forming after topping — potential continuation lower
Rejection from POC + VAH convergence = strong signal for supply takeover
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (watch for reversal confirmation):
Entry Zone: 20,800 (channel bottom/absorption + Gann 2/3)
Targets:
T1: 21,000
T2: 21,190 (VAL retest)
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,600
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (confirmed trend setup):
Entry Zone: 21,250–21,280 (POC + VAH)
Target:
T1: 20,800
Stop-Loss (SL): 21,320
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of capital per trade to maintain long-term equity curve health
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 1H Timeframe Using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,240.00
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,180.00
Point of Control (POC): 3,235.17
High-Volume Nodes: Around 3,220–3,240, suggesting heavy trading and possible resistance.
Low-Volume Gaps: Near 3,100–3,120, hinting at inefficient price action and potential magnet zones.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Potential Stop Clusters:
Above 3,240 (recent highs)
Below 3,100 (recent swing lows)
Order Absorption Zones:
3,180–3,200 showed high CVD divergence, signaling passive buy support.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing Highs with Volume Spike: 3,240.00
Swing Lows with Volume Spike: 3,100.00 (confirming reversal support)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently range-bound, with attempts at both upside and downside breakouts.
ADX Strength:
ADX < 20: Weak trend – indecisive market phase.
CVD Confirmation:
Previous CVD downtrend aligned with price drop → Strong supply
Latest CVD slight uptick, price holding = potential demand returning, but not yet confirmed.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3,180
Recent swing low: 3,100 (with absorption)
Resistance:
VAH: 3,240
POC: 3,235
Channel top (3,200–3,220 zone)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing High (Gann): 3,240
Swing Low (Gann): 3,100
Retracements:
1/2 Level: 3,170
2/3 Level: 3,180–3,190 → aligns with VAL
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Range-bound (confirmed by weak ADX and opposing CVD moves)
b) Notable Patterns:
Falling Wedge in play, bullish breakout potential above 3,160
Parallel Channels diverging: one bullish correctional channel, one bearish continuation
Breakout Attempt: Minor bullish breakout from micro-channel underway (watch volume follow-through)
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (pending CVD confirmation):
Entry Zone: 3,140–3,150 (on breakout retest)
Targets:
T1: 3,200
T2: 3,235 (POC)
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,100
RR: ~1:2 minimum
b) Bearish Entry (if rejection at POC/VAH):
Entry Zone: 3,230–3,240
Target:
T1: 3,180
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,260
RR: ~1:2 minimum
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1–2% of total capital per trade
ADITYA BIRLA CAPITAL LTD – Trend Reversal Breakout Trade🧠 Technical Highlights:
Downtrend Channel Breakout: Clear breakout from a falling channel pattern
Resistance Break: Strong breakout above supply zone of ₹204–₹210
Volume: Massive volume spike validates bullish strength
RSI: Above 70, indicating strong momentum but not overbought yet
🟢 Buy Setup
Buy Above: ₹219 (today's close confirms breakout)
Stoploss: ₹204 (below the previous resistance/new support)
Target 1: ₹235
Target 2: ₹248
Target 3: ₹260+ (swing/high-risk high-reward)
🔻 Sell/Short Setup (only if reversal)
Sell Below: ₹203
Stoploss: ₹210
Target: ₹190, ₹178
📅 Timeframe: Short-to-Medium Term (2–6 weeks)
📊 Risk-Reward: ~1:2.5
For Education Purposes Only
APLAPOLLO- All time high possible!!!APLAPOLLO is nearing its all time high level. Stock is nearing this level with relatively higher volume.
Stock has recorded double digit growth in last consecutive 2 quarters.
Margins have also expanded by roughly 40%.
Company has also expanded its CAPEX budget in coming years.
Overall it's a good technofunda stock to watch. Add to watchlist.
MSTR 2025 PROJECTION Technical Summary – MSTR (1D)
🔹 Current Price: $421.84
🔹 Trend: Bullish with strong momentum from key support zones.
Key Support Zones
$350–320 Zone: Recent consolidation area. Could act as support on a pullback.
Unfilled GAP: Between roughly $300–320. Price may gravitate here if $350 support breaks.
Weekly Bottom: $236.01 – strong structural support.
Institutional Buys:
"BOUGHT 4.3B" indicates institutional demand around $240.
Historical accumulation around $100–80.
Major institutional demand between $80–60.
Sell Zones / Resistance Levels
SOLD 6.3B (red box): Prior distribution area between ~$460 and ~$520.
TARGET 475 USD: Strong technical resistance.
TARGET 800 USD (Block W-D): Extended upside target if price breaks above $475 with conviction.
Possible Scenarios and Key Levels
Bullish Scenario:
A break and hold above $475 → likely path toward $800.
Watch for confirming volume.
Bearish / Pullback Scenario:
Rejection at $460–475 could lead to:
Retest of $350–320 zone.
Gap fill near $300–320.
If momentum fades, next strong support is $236 (weekly bottom).
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD – 1H Chart Analysis using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 21,250
Value Area Low (VAL): 20,850
Point of Control (POC): 20,847.54 (Previous), 20,084.76 (Earlier POC)
High-volume nodes:
Strong cluster near 20,850–21,000: confirmed price acceptance.
Minor node around 21,235–21,250: current area being tested.
Low-volume gaps:
Between 21,050 and 21,150 – fast move area if price breaks.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Upside:
21,250 (new high, recent wick rejection) – likely stop clusters above.
Downside:
21,000 – last breakout consolidation zone.
20,850 – absorption and prior POC zone.
Absorption Zones:
Significant delta volume activity near 20,850 – signs of large orders being filled.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Volume spike reversal high: 21,250 (upper wick + rejection)
Volume spike reversal low: 20,850 (strong bounce)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Confirmed uptrend, now showing signs of range-bound behavior post-breakout.
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20, DI+ > DI- earlier = strong uptrend.
Currently flattening, indicating possible transition to range/consolidation.
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD during breakout leg, now diverging (sideways/slight dip) = demand exhaustion possible.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 20,850
POC: 20,847.54
Psychological & structural: 21,000
Resistance:
VAH: 21,250
Previous intraday top: 21,243–21,250
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing High: 21,250
Swing Low: 20,084
Key retracement levels (from 20,084 to 21,250):
1/2: 20,667
1/3: 20,472
2/3: 20,889
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Bullish overall, transitioning into range-bound consolidation at the top.
b) Notable Patterns:
Channel/Wedge forming above 21,000 with downside risk to mid-level support.
Potential double top near 21,250 with divergence in CVD.
Volume gap retest likely if price slips below 21,100.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend continuation):
Entry Zone: 21,000–21,030 (retest support + consolidation base)
Targets:
T1: 21,200
T2: 21,250
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,850
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm trend reversal):
Entry Zone: 21,240–21,250 (supply zone + divergence)
Target:
T1: 21,000
Stop-Loss (SL): 21,300
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of trading capital per trade for optimal capital preservation.
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart Analysis using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,260
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,217
Point of Control (POC): 3,234.27
High-volume nodes: Around 3,234 – confirms consolidation and price acceptance.
Low-volume gaps: Below 3,210 and above 3,275 – potential zones for fast moves.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters Likely At:
Upside: 3,260 (prior swing highs).
Downside: 3,200 & 3,175 (multiple swing lows).
Order Absorption Zones (Delta Spikes):
Near 3,234 and 3,217 – large volume with minimal price movement (potential absorption).
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (Volume Spike): 3,275 (bearish rejection)
Swing Low (Volume Spike): 3,200 (bullish absorption)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently range-bound, with a possible bullish structure forming (wedge channel).
ADX Strength:
ADX < 20: Weak trend, range likely.
CVD Confirmation:
Recent rising CVD + price holding above POC = early demand signs
Watch for breakout above 3,240 for stronger confirmation.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3,217
POC: 3,234
Swing Low: 3,200 (absorption)
Resistance:
VAH: 3,260
Swing High: 3,275 (recent rejection zone)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann Swing Low: 3,200
Confirmed Gann Swing High: 3,275
Key Retracements from 3,275 to 3,200:
1/2: 3,237.5
1/3: 3,250
2/3: 3,225
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Neutral to Bullish Bias – structure forming higher lows within ascending channel.
b) Notable Patterns:
Falling wedge breakout attempt.
Retest of POC zone (3,234) – critical for bullish continuation.
Potential double bottom formation near 3,200.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 3,234–3,230 (POC support zone)
Targets:
T1: 3,250 (Gann 1/3 retrace & mid-channel)
T2: 3,275 (swing high resistance)
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,215 (below VAL + structure invalidation)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If breakdown below 3,217 confirmed):
Entry Zone: 3,215–3,217
Target:
T1: 3,200
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,235 (above POC)
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of trading capital per trade.