Irregular Volume22% on 50x leverage will make millions. The 22% downside is solely based off my model prediction and current volatility measurements.
Volume
Going long on BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin has made a 5 wave move to the downside, it is forming a bullish RSI divergence on the 4-hour chart, it already shown climatic volume on the recent bounce, seems like downside should be limited from here in the short to mid-term. Long term, the trend is still down.
I expect a multi-week bounce from here, probably to the 50% retracement, around 92k, before continuing to move down to a deeper lower-low.
Good luck to you
NQ KEY LEVELS - 9th APRIL 2025Here are the key levels marked by using low volume nodes for potential key levels where we may see price react.
WOO Price Action Update – Major Breakout Incoming?Current Market Structure:
🔹 #WOO is trading in a perfect Accumulation Phase after a prolonged downtrend. Smart money seems to be accumulating, and a strong breakout could be on the horizon!
Bullish Confirmation:
🔹 A bullish divergence is forming on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling potential upside momentum. However, confirmation will come when #WOO breaks out and closes above the Accumulation Phase.
Trade Plan:
🔹 Wait for a break and retest above the accumulation zone.
🔹 Look for a strong bullish candle closure to confirm momentum.
🔹 Target key resistance zones while maintaining proper risk management.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Resistance: $0.14 (Breakout Zone)
🔹 Support: $0.1350 - 0.09 (Accumulation Support)
What’s Your Take?
Are you bullish or bearish on #WOO? Drop your analysis in the comments below! Let's discuss.
SPX WEEKLY SUPPORTIn this chart, you can see the weekly volume supports and the key support points for each bounce and buy. We have not yet completed the weekly selling to determine the distribution
Potential Targets:
August 2023 Volume Area – ~5,076
2020 COVID Lows / Support Zone – ~4,370
2016 Trump Tariffs Level – ~3,641
2008 Financial Crisis Support – ~2,308
BTC. Where to Look for Long Entries?Hey traders and investors!
In the Initiative Analysis (IA) concept, which I recently introduced (link in related posts), there's a key structure called the market block. On the chart, we see the current market block on the daily timeframe — it's a buyer’s market block.
Inside a buyer’s market block, there are two types of key contextual zones where it's logical to look for trade entries:
Dominant buyer initiatives — initiatives where the correction didn't reach 50% of the initiative’s range. It's reasonable to look for bullish patterns when the price returns below the correction point in these initiatives.
Seller initiatives located at the base of the market block or at the base of a trend movement that led to the formation of the market block.
In our case, there is a dominant buyer initiative. The correction low in that initiative is 85072 — a level from which buyers have tried to rebound for the third time, without success.
That’s why the price may likely fall to contextual zones inside the seller initiative. There are 4 possible types of such zones:
upper and lower boundaries of the seller initiative;
extreme point (low) within the initiative;
the seller’s target level that hasn’t yet been reached.
All four levels are marked on the chart.
👉 If you want to understand how this works in practice — keep reading.
To everyone else — I wish you profitable trades!
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📘 What is a Market Block?
Buyer and seller initiatives create chart structures that include ranges, transitions, and trend phases. As one side gains momentum, it breaks the previous extreme — this signals a shift in the market balance.
It’s important that the breakout happens not from simply expanding a range but as part of a structured directional move (trend).
The sequence of initiatives that leads to such a breakout is called a market block or trading segment. A market block ends when the opposite side forms the first counter-initiative. A market block includes all initiatives starting from the maximum correction point after the previous market block up to the first counter-initiative following the breakout.
The start and end of a market block usually coincide with consolidation phases. On lower timeframes, a market block may appear as a single initiative on a higher timeframe.
• If the upper extreme is broken — it's a buyer’s block.
• If the lower extreme is broken — it's a seller’s block.
📊 Visual examples:
• Both blocks below start and end with ranges. Both are buyer blocks:
When we look at four buyer market blocks that pushed price toward 109,000, the structure of buyer and seller initiatives clearly shows how the strength of buyers gradually faded:
• First two blocks: seller initiatives only at the base, dominant buyer initiatives where corrections didn’t reach 50%.
• Third block: seller initiatives not only at the base, and more of them.
• Final buyer block: seller initiatives cover 75% of the block’s price range.
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🔎 Let’s move from history to the current chart:
If every contextual zone worked perfectly, price would always move up. In reality, such zones only increase the probability of a good entry if supported by confirmation — but they do not guarantee results.
Here’s the latest market block on the hourly chart — a seller’s block:
The initiatives between the last buyer block and the seller block do not form a proper market block, because the breakout above and below happened as a result of sideways expansions, not trend structure:
The current seller block looks structurally similar to the third buyer block:
So the seller isn’t as strong as the buyer was in the first and second blocks — but there’s also no active buyer, since the last correction ended near resistance at 93388.
A new seller block is now forming on the hourly chart. Once a buyer initiative appears, the block will be considered complete. For now, it structurally resembles the fourth buyer block:
Will the buyer initiative in this new seller block take up ~75% of the range — like it did before the 109K reversal? If so, the maximum expected drop could be the lower edge of the rectangle (72800–72700).
👉 This is the power of IA: instead of random candles, you see a structured narrative of buyer and seller actions.
Clarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions
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✅ Try it Yourself
You can test these models on charts of different assets, practice identifying structures — and only then consider using IA as part of your strategy.
Start by:
1. Choosing an asset
2. Marking buyer and seller initiatives
3. Identifying dominant and counter-initiatives
4. Observing how often corrections pause at contextual zones
📌 The more you train your eye, the more clearly you'll see price logic through the lens of IA.
If you enjoyed this post — like it, share it, and leave a comment with your thoughts or questions.
And if you missed the original post introducing the Initiative Analysis method — check the link in related posts!
I wish you profitable trades!
Most people are saying $50... I think $65 after a little bounceI am seeing put open interest and volume spike for PUTS expiring 04/25 for a strike price of $55 that were opened YESTERDAY...
There is over 60,000 contracts open and rarely do these not play out.
It has been my long term target to hit $65 - $60 even before NVDA split there shares.
Lets see tho, the tape for options expiring in late June look bullish at the moment
Need clarity on what's most likely to come? I got u!Price has followed my path to a tea (Not exact prices but more of the cycles of price movement)
We will hit 450 on QQQ by Tuesday and Trump is most likely to back peddle on tariffs for select countries.
TARIFFS ARE ONLY MEANT TO REDUCE THE 10 YY FOR TRUMP TO REFINANCE OUR NATIONAL DEBT.
Nothing else.
Please see my black line of what I think price action will do.
NQ KEY LEVELS - 8th APRIL 2025Here are the key levels marked by using low volume nodes for potential key levels where we may see price react.
Shorting BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin put a massive Bearish Engulfing Candle yesterday, with high volume, which is very bearish, and now I’m expecting it to continue to decline.
It also tends to follow the US Indices, which are heading lower.
My target is about 70k, maybe even lower.
Good luck to you
Bullish set up is breaking out.... BUT, we have a gap to close.At the very moment we saw big rejection in this golden pocket zone were in right now from the descending channel its been in for a while.
This tells me that the market makers are creating liquidity at this level potentially to revisit at a later date.
We could quickly see this go to $6.35 or $5.40 which I would be a major buyer at.
Still in the longer term bullish trend... for now.
Option contract positions from institutions are primarily short at 5-6 strike. BUT something very interesting to me is that the $8.50 strike has a lot of puts at open interest which might squeeze it over that level if they have to cover.
NQ KEY LEVELS - 7th APRIL 2025Here are the key levels marked by using low volume nodes for potential key levels where we may see price react.
XRP long (20%) gainthe markets again had a nice drop today. xrp is now at the level i was looking for a long, just for a small bounce to 2.27 in the next couple days or weeks. i dont believe its gonna loose this level yet. not yet.
entry 1.87
stoploss 1.75
take profit 2.27
XAU/USD analyzeWhile uncertainty in global markets increases, demand for gold — seen as a safe haven — is also rising. However, some investors facing difficulties in the stock or futures markets are selling gold to maintain their positions. In your opinion, which side will prevail?
BTCUSDT: key pointsI think the price is going to go from here to $82000 and then to $85000. There's liquidity at the $85,000 level, so I expect it to take the liquidity there and try the $82,500s again. But if it doesn't return from $85,000 and breaks directly, it may work as in option 2. this isn't investment advice.
AMD - Will Buyers Show Up at Longterm VAL???With the markets getting oversold, does AMD, who has been in a long downtrend, finally find buyers at its longterm VAL? This is the area to see if buyers finally show up in my opinion.
Market Review Week Ending 4th April- Part 2Continuing our review of the current market situation, this video goes through our trading plans for our chosen watchlist of shorts (marked red). We review trading plans and validate any shorts potential coming from these pairs chosen.
US is going to lose this to ChinaWhilst Trump is playing his full on MAPA (Make America Poor Again) game, there is one candidate who will benefit from the new world order.
US won't be a reliable partner for anyone as long as Trump is talking and pulling the strings, whilst China is in a very good place to simply re-route exports to other nations and avoid the US craziness.
I reckon that this chart will break to the upside, although to trade it we should wait for the breakout confirmation. Once that happens, we can go long in there and let the US cripple on their own with nice tariff phantasies.
Where's the bottom? Nobody knows but this could be relevant. No one knows where the bottom is, we can only speculate. Here are my very quick and very GENERAL thoughts based mostly on volume nodes.
S&P 500 to tank to 5,100 pointsPEPPERSTONE:US500
The S&P 500 broke below critical support after Trump announce massive tariffs on everyone, worst than expected. Volume is increasing to the downside, and it looks like the next wave down has already started.
Wave C is supposed to be equal or larger than wave A, and reach the next critical support, which will lead us to 5,100 points in the next couple of weeks.
I heard that net tariffs on China are 54%, does than means that iPhones are going to rise in price 54%?
Maybe it will be reconsidered later, and the market will bounce in the future, but not likely in the short term.
Good luck to you
Bitcoin volume exploding todayBitcoin volume is exploding today. The Maxi's are trying to close it green on the day to advertise it as a "Safe Haven Asset." We are watching an All-In to keep it above 79k Support.
Will they win?
$540 incoming put trade expiring 4/4 or 4/11
AMEX:SPY
I start these Anchored VWAPs where the volume was the lowest before a major upside or downside.
When I entered this trade $540 expiring 4/4 was at $.5 on 3/27 on Thursday around 9.55am currently $2.06 closing week, however I want to highlight that the $540-$530 would be the major leg down and we might see the $570-$580 levels for first week of June imo.
Note: I am heavily comparing price actions for nowadays with 2022 first half drawdown.
