Volume
Gilead Sciences (GILD): Will Support Hold or Will We See a Drop?We've neglected Gilead Sciences for a while, but it's time for an update. Unfortunately, our entry looking back wasn't ideal, as the stock has fallen below the 61.8% retracement level. It found support just below the 78.6% level, which marks the bottom of our range. This level was precisely touched, and we saw a relatively good movement upward from there.
However, the outlook remains uncertain. We hope that the stock does not fall below this range bottom, as it would prompt us to consider cutting it. Our first take-profit target is at the range high around $86.5, but reaching this level will take time as Gilead Sciences is currently underperforming.
Unlike most other stocks, Gilead Sciences operates in the research sector, not the tech sector. This means it follows a different cycle and is influenced by different capital flows. It tends to perform well when tech stocks do poorly. If tech stocks remain bullish, Gilead Science might continue to struggle. However, if there's a shift, Gilead Science could reverse and potentially reach up to $123, though this is quite far off.
We are holding our position for now, hoping not to cut if the stock falls out of the range. If it does, we will take necessary action.
Applied Digital Pulls Back After September AI SurgeApplied Digital rallied sharply last month. Now, after a pullback, some traders may look for potential continuation.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bullish gap on September 5 after Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA participated in a $160 million funding round. That event boosted overall activity in the name, roughly tripling its average daily volume. TradeStation data also shows a big increase in options turnover. Those points suggest the provider of datacenter-equipment has attracted a new cohort of investors.
Second is the July 8 close of $7.14, APLD tested and held that level this week. Has old resistance become new support?
Prices also tested and held their rising 21-day exponential moving average. That may suggest an uptrend is in place.
Next, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is above the 100-day SMA. Both are above the 200-day SMA. That relatively new condition, with faster SMAs above the slower, may suggest its longer-term trend is getting more positive.
Finally traders may watch the January high of $8.65 for signs of a potential breakout.
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AUDUSD OCT Week 2Hello guys - Peace be upon you
it is pretty clear sign. so i'm just wait for break out tonight on the CPI event.
EURUSD. Medium term analysisHello traders and investors!
The previous medium-term analysis can be found in the related idea. Some new interesting information has emerged, which I would like to share with you.
Weekly Timeframe Analysis
On the weekly timeframe, a sideways movement has been forming since October 2023 (with point 4 established). The upper boundary is 1.12757, and the lower boundary is 1.04485. The current seller’s vector is 7-8, with a potential first target of 1.06011. Last week, the seller resumed activity. A potential threat for the seller is the buyer's zone (marked by a green rectangle on the chart), with its upper edge at 1.08851.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily timeframe, there was a sideways movement starting from August 2024 (point 4 was established). The upper boundary was 1.12142, and the lower boundary was 1.10002. The seller's vector 9-10 broke below the lower boundary, initiating a short trend. The beginning of the last seller's impulse is 1.09973. The end of the impulse will be confirmed when we see the first daily candle of the buyer. The end of the previous seller's impulse was at 1.09514.
Highlights
The priority is to look for sell opportunities.
Purchases should be considered if the price returns above 1.09973, and the buyer protects this level.
If we look at the average time taken for vectors in the sideways movement on the weekly timeframe, it generally takes about 15 weeks for the price to realize the vector, meaning that by approximately January 2025, the seller might reach their target. If we account for a mathematical progression (+3 weeks to the next vector), it may take around 21 weeks to achieve this.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
It has chance to push up to the Mondays highsIt has a chance to push up to the Monday highs
I will be looking to position myself with my students and followers as highlighted on the chart if we get the confirmation.
Accumulation / Manipulation / Distribution
- No liquidity raid = No trade
- Never buy high and never sell low
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Dave FX Hunter ⚔
BTC Longterm playWhile there is optimism for BTC this year, it seems the asset can only realistically reach 67,800 due to a lack of buying that would be willing to expose themselves to that level of risk. On the technical side BTC also seems prime for a retracement down to the $37k region which goes against a majority of majority of prediction including the 100k end of year assessment made by some economist. Considerations were also made for the war in the Middle East, Ukraine and Africa.
CELH pivoted near the triple bottomI am glad I entered this trade with a few medium/long term setups, the stock had a nice rally today. That flow of buy side volume is reassuring and the stochastic RSI is jumping on the daily. The stochastic is still dead on the weekly so there is a lot of room to run. I will sell my Jan 2025 calls when we reach 37.66$.
My setups is as follows
Jan 2025 40$ calls exit at 37.66$
June 2025 35$ calls hold and possibly exercise next year depending on price action
Jan 2026 40$ calls sell at 50$
NASDAQ PUMP repeat pattern over last 3 days >> algos? CTAS? Fed?Check out the last 3 days of a very similar repeated pattern (3PM buy volume) that suggests some sort of mechanical trading. Is this algorithms, CTAS or the Fed?? (click link for better image) docs.google.com
Bitcoin falling to 59K??? Short-term prediction!!Hey guys!
Many interesting things happening at the market right now, and here are my thoughts about BTC.
So in quick we have a red cross on 4H, so seems like we at least can see BTC around 59K, cause also this is important Fib 0,618 level.
The volumes are still descending, plus the green line was broke, which means that we have a convergence with volume.
For me, for sure we gonna touch 59K zone and after we will see.
What's your thoughts?
Rebound correction Silver. H4 09.10.2024Rebound correction Silver
Silver made a reversal downwards, which I wrote about in the last post Now the price has approached the margin zone and local support 30.20 from which they can make correction upwards. However, I believe that the fall will continue to the strong support zone 28.06-28.86 and in this zone I will look for culmination and a buy signal. Also, silver is now trading in the past profile accumulation area and if there is no reaction up, it will confirm the thoughts of a deeper decline.
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
Simple13 Trading IdeaTechnical Setup:
The stock is trading near its 52-week low, which suggests it might be oversold.
The RSI is also in the oversold area, increasing the likelihood of a potential rebound.
Financial ratios show PE at 21 and ROE at 22%, indicating that the stock’s fundamentals remain strong, and it may be undervalued at current levels.
Entry Strategy:
The buy zone between RM 1.10 and RM 1.16 represents a favorable entry point based on current support levels and the stock’s oversold condition.
Profit Taking:
If the price rises to RM 1.35, take profit as this represents an approximately 16.4% upside from RM 1.16, a reasonable resistance level in the current market condition.
Profit-taking decisions should also consider individual trading goals and risk tolerance.
Risk Management:
If the price drops below RM 1.00, consider cutting losses, as the pullback could extend further than expected and breach important support levels.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a professional before making any trading decisions, as market conditions can change rapidly.
MYX:CTOS
PDD to benefit from China StimulusPDD growing 60%+ this year, 100% LTM, on revenue. $50B+ revenue expected for 2024. Trades at 2-4x NTM revenue which is at least 10 lower than US Tech --- (NVDA 14x for example)
The Mickey Mouse ShortHurricane Milton Landfall + Disney theme park = The Perfect Storm(No pun intended)
AMD set to gain I'm eagerly anticipating AMD's Advancing AI Event. If the event reveals any information that could spark investor interest, I'll be purchasing the stock with a target price of $230. Any gains beyond that will be a bonus.
EURJPY OCT Week 2 Hello guys - Peace be upon you.
We are waiting for heavy break out to take out some opportunity.
Correction and rebound down EURUSD. H4 08.10.2024Correction and rebound down EURUSD
The euro has pushed down and formed a sellers zone at 1.1045-1.1085 from which I recommend to look for selling on the fall to the margin and option support at 1.0880. Also 1/2 margin zone falls into the sellers' zone and judging by the growing cumulative on the price drop, we will continue to fall after the pullback, so I do not change the priority. Keep in mind that within the medium term this is a general downward correction as the more global up trend continues.
OANDA:EURUSD
payo are you gonna correct?after the great boom payo brought us some great profits. tbh i havent closed anything and i am still bullish on payo.
payo accumulation and bingbongdingdong has been formed for 3 years as of this moment we are attempting to turn previous critical resistance into support.
2 scenerios according to wykoff theory.
1. correction then big money needs to defend its positions and at a reasonable price.
fundementally that could be previous value area high (vah upper white line) because we need to create a new value range it would only make sense to turn vah to the new point of control (poc) or the new value area low (where price is traded the most e.g mid range val bottom area)
another point to consider for the correction is the gap, so previous point of control to turn value area low or a sweep to that level would provide 4 things
first it will close the gap and get rid of that imbalance.
2nd it will shake off weak hands and get rid of breakout traders when it
grabs the single print
3rd it will provide a decent price for big money to enter at.. liquidity liquidity liqduidity.
4th provide the oprotunity for hedge shorting and basically thats more fuel to the upside when said shorts close. (so basically proffesionals get paid to pump the market for free)
2. leave everyone behind everyone whos waiting for the correction. that scenerio is less likely to anticipate, depends more on the company preformance and has less upside for big money that wants to accumulate low and provide big gains.
i believe the first scenerio is more likely that the other one.
the teal circles on the green lines are where i am looking to see reactions for swing fail patterns and adding to my positions
luckily i already have an open position on payo for quite a while now, so im chilling.
AUDCHF OCT Week 2Hello guys - Peace be upon you.
The bias is still strongly at the bearish momentum however we found those volume is changing slowly at the bullish momentum. Just wait for another confirmation of Reversal.
Because it is reversal i'm going to more carefully.
Kindly Regards
im still bullishlast daily deviated from my trendline. to me that could be a swing fail and a shakeout to shake weak hands.
reasons to consider: there is CPI data today and on 10/10 theres the tesla robot event a big fail could prove to be a priced in scenerio and the start of the nuke today with the following nuke tomorrow.
for me i am a big believer of tesla so im bullish for me i may have another buy oprotunity on the vola vola today.
as for the pattern in question we have a 48% on the cup depth 32% on the handle depth 44% on the parallel channel that is still part of the handle.. make of it what you will.
i dont believe tesla will break out before the 10/10 but will swingfail the down level even (especially) on bullish cpi data (if anyone knows how hedge funds like to operate).
there are bad lows at our current level and at 226 (which is also previous resistance)
a sweep would be an amazing bullish retest that may or may not fail but the oprotunity is there and it all depends on how aggressive you'd like to trade or invest.
Trendlines are current value ranges
The upper teal drawings are potential double top that has formed and if we reject a potential double bottom (rsi will print an rsi div on 30 mins and may potentially swing up to the upper part of the channel causing an overbought on 4hours and daily)
Vwap will confluence with the 100 daily ema that could potentially be a good entry but there's also the potential of the 150 and 200 bullish retest even though in my opinion that would ruin the cup and handle entirely although the liquidity idea would stay the same i'd be sad to see the pattern go.
if we dont swing fail the bullish retest i will look to swing fail the lower trendline for another liquidity pool grab which is also the yearly value area poc.
if all fails and we go bearish on tesla i will trade the consolation prize from valow to vahigh (a lower high and on the higher timeframe and a full rotation play)
the bullish idea is if tesla preforms and the vah turns into the new poc/val and said new value range would be between current to 400-500
i hope i made enough sense and that my ideas are interesting for you. good luck to everyone.
Structure Break and Retracement at 0.618 Fib level After structure breakdown and low volume towards up, clearly showing in picture that market will fall further after Retracement 0.618 level on my chart.
USDCAD 2-hour cycle short sellingThe first target is to look around 1.35270,reduce the size of the warehouse by half,and promote protection.
Look around 1.34222 for the second target position,then halve the position and push for protection.
If the price does not break a new low in the later stage,find opportunities to enter the market and go long.
NZDUSD 2-hour cycle level longNZDUSD 2-hour cycle level long
Reason for Going Long:Harmonic Trading System (bullish shark form) +SMC order principle (bullish order block) + Trading Volume distribution + price trading behavior (bullish engulfment) = Go long
NZDUSD 2-hour level cycle,current price around 0.61425,enter the long position directly,stop loss level at 0.61000.
The first target is around 0.62420,halving the warehouse and promoting protection.
Look around 0.63666 for the second target position,then halve the position and push for protection.
Follow the tail position and reduce the position for protection.
