US 100 Technical Analysis – March 12, 2025 (15-Min Chart)1. Trend Identification
Bearish Bias:
The price is trading below the 200-period moving average (red line), indicating overall bearish momentum.
The Point of Control (POC) at 19,449.24 represents a high liquidity area, acting as a strong resistance level.
Short-Term Consolidation:
The price is oscillating around 19,375, suggesting market indecision before a breakout or breakdown.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: 19,400 - 19,450 (POC and recent highs).
Immediate Support: 19,300 (lower consolidation boundary).
Stronger Support: 19,000 (psychological level & lower trend channel).
Upside Target: 19,500 - 19,600 (breakout scenario).
3. Volume Analysis
Last 120 Bars: Up Volume < Down Volume by -15.53%, indicating stronger selling pressure.
Last 60 Bars: Up Volume < Down Volume by -10.28%, reinforcing short-term bearish dominance.
Interpretation:
Bearish Sentiment Dominates: Selling pressure is higher, increasing the probability of a breakdown below 19,300.
If buyers regain control near 19,300, a bounce toward 19,450 is possible.
4. Chart Patterns & Projections
Bearish Breakdown Scenario: If price fails to hold 19,300, it could drop to 19,000 (blue channel projection).
Bullish Reversal Scenario: A breakout above 19,450 could trigger a move toward 19,500 - 19,600.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
1. Short Trade Setup (Bearish Breakdown)
Entry: Sell below 19,300 (confirmed breakdown).
Stop-Loss: Above 19,400 (previous resistance).
Targets:
First Target: 19,150 (mid-support).
Final Target: 19,000 (key support).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better.
2. Long Trade Setup (Bullish Breakout)
Entry: Buy above 19,450 (confirmed breakout).
Stop-Loss: Below 19,375 (recent consolidation zone).
Targets:
First Target: 19,500 (local resistance).
Final Target: 19,600 (upper channel).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 or better.
Volume
Sweet Spot To Sell The BTC Pullback In a strong downtrend. Every pullback on the 4hr and Daily chart will be hyped by the bulls & super cycle evangelists as a "WE'RE BACK" moment.
I will continue to take this same setup, selling Major swing highs on 4HR & Daily chart on BTC until the Daily Chart flips bullish. Until then or some news come out, we will remain in the downtrend until we hit the target shown in my last analysis, see link below.
Technical Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart1. Trend Identification
Transition from Consolidation to Uptrend:
The price has broken out of a prolonged consolidation phase around the Point of Control (POC) at 2911.933.
The 200-period moving average (blue line) was previously acting as resistance but now appears to be flipping into support.
Short-Term Bullish Momentum with Caution:
The projected price path (blue and red channels) suggests an uptrend toward the 3,020 - 3,060 zone but with potential retracements.
However, recent volume analysis suggests short-term selling pressure is increasing, which could lead to a pullback before continuation.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 2,900 - 2,911 (POC and recent breakout zone).
Immediate Resistance: 2,920 - 2,930 (current price range resistance).
Stronger Resistance: 3,000 - 3,020 (psychological level & upper channel).
Downside Risk: If price falls below 2,900, it may test 2,880 - 2,860.
3. Volume Analysis
Last 120 Bars Volume:
Up Vol < Down Vol by -0.28% (neutral to slightly bearish sentiment).
Last 60 Bars Volume:
Up Vol < Down Vol by -23.28%, showing short-term selling pressure dominance.
Interpretation:
The long-term volume trend is neutral, but short-term volume suggests sellers are controlling the market, which could lead to a temporary pullback before continuation.
4. Chart Patterns & Projections
Bullish Scenario: If the price sustains above 2,911, it could trend toward 3,020 - 3,060 within the ascending channel.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below 2,900 could lead to a correction toward 2,880 - 2,860.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
1. Long Trade Setup (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: Buy on breakout above 2,930 (confirmation of strength).
Stop-Loss: Below 2,900 (previous support zone).
Targets:
First Target: 2,980 (mid-channel resistance).
Final Target: 3,020 - 3,060 (upper channel boundary).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 or better.
2. Short Trade Setup (Bearish Pullback Scenario)
Entry: Sell below 2,900 (confirmed breakdown).
Stop-Loss: Above 2,920 (previous support turned resistance).
Targets:
First Target: 2,880 (key support).
Final Target: 2,860 (lower channel boundary).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better.
LinkedIn Post: Professional Market Insight on Gold (XAU/USD)
📊 Gold (XAU/USD) – Technical Outlook & Trade Setup 📊
Gold has broken out of a consolidation phase around $2,911 and is now trading near resistance at $2,920 - $2,930. While the long-term trend remains bullish, short-term volume indicates increasing selling pressure (-23.28%), suggesting a possible pullback before continuation.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Support Zone: $2,900 - $2,911 (Point of Control).
✅ Resistance Zone: $2,920 - $2,930 (immediate breakout level).
✅ Potential Bullish Move: If Gold sustains above $2,930, we could see a rally toward $3,020 - $3,060.
✅ Potential Bearish Pullback: A rejection at $2,920 could lead to a retest of $2,880 - $2,860.
📈 Trade Setup:
Bullish Play: Buy above $2,930, stop below $2,900, targets $2,980 - $3,060.
Bearish Play: Sell below $2,900, stop above $2,920, targets $2,880 - $2,860.
🔑 Risk Management: Disciplined trade execution and strong risk-reward ratios are key! Always protect capital first.
What’s your outlook on Gold? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇 #Gold #Trading #XAUUSD #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis
Technical Analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) – 1H Chart1. Trend Identification
Medium-Term Bullish Trend: The price has been rising since early March, reclaiming the 200-period moving average (blue line), a sign of renewed buying strength.
Short-Term Consolidation: The price is currently testing resistance near the Point of Control (POC) at 32.551, indicating an important decision point for the next move.
Bearish Short-Term Volume Shift: The last 60 bars show higher selling volume (-33.63%), suggesting potential weakness in the short term before a breakout or pullback.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: 32.55 - 32.60 (POC and recent highs).
Immediate Support: 32.00 - 32.20 (recent demand zone).
Stronger Support: 31.80 - 31.50 (lower channel boundary).
Upside Targets: 33.00 - 33.20 (upper channel projection).
3. Volume Analysis
Last 120 Bars Volume: Up Vol > Down Vol by 12.95%, showing medium-term buying dominance.
Last 60 Bars Volume: Up Vol < Down Vol by 33.63%, indicating short-term selling pressure, which may lead to a minor pullback before continuation.
4. Chart Patterns & Projections
The projected path (blue and red channels) suggests two scenarios:
Bullish Breakout: Above 32.55, targeting 33.00 - 33.20.
Bearish Pullback: A rejection at 32.55 could push the price toward 31.80 - 31.50 before a potential recovery.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
1. Long Trade Setup (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: Buy on breakout above 32.60 (confirmation of resistance breach).
Stop-Loss: Below 32.20 (to avoid false breakouts).
Targets:
First Target: 33.00
Final Target: 33.20 (upper channel boundary).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 or better.
2. Short Trade Setup (Bearish Pullback Scenario)
Entry: Sell below 32.20 (confirmed breakdown).
Stop-Loss: Above 32.60 (recent resistance).
Targets:
First Target: 31.80 (lower channel mid-support).
Final Target: 31.50 (strong support zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better.
Technical Analysis of EUR/USD (1H Chart)1. Trend Identification
Bullish Trend: The price has been in a strong uptrend, trading well above the 200-period moving average (blue line), indicating continued buying interest.
Current Consolidation: The price is moving sideways near 1.0844 (Point of Control - POC), suggesting accumulation before a potential breakout or breakdown.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: 1.0885 - 1.0900 (recent highs).
Immediate Support: 1.0844 (POC level) – a crucial liquidity zone.
Stronger Support: 1.0800 (psychological level and near the moving average).
Upside Targets: 1.1000 - 1.1100 (upper channel projection).
3. Volume Analysis
Last 120 Bars Volume: Up Vol > Down Vol by 37.23%, indicating strong bullish dominance.
Last 60 Bars Volume: Up Vol > Down Vol by 3.44%, showing that buyers are still in control, but with less dominance than the broader trend.
4. Chart Patterns & Projections
The projected path (blue and red channels) suggests two scenarios:
Bullish breakout above 1.0900, with a move toward 1.1000 - 1.1100.
Bearish breakdown below 1.0840, leading to a retracement toward 1.0700 - 1.0600.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
1. Long Trade Setup (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: Buy on breakout above 1.0900.
Stop-Loss: Below 1.0840 (previous support).
Targets:
First Target: 1.1000 (psychological level).
Final Target: 1.1100 (upper channel boundary).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 or better.
2. Short Trade Setup (Bearish Breakdown Scenario)
Entry: Sell below 1.0840 (confirmed breakdown).
Stop-Loss: Above 1.0900.
Targets:
First Target: 1.0700 (mid-channel support).
Final Target: 1.0600 (lower channel boundary).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better.
BTCUSD.P Binance Futures, Bullish Reversal🔹 Mid-Term (1D) Analysis:
Trend and Patterns:
Falling Wedge lower touch – A bullish reversal signal.
Breakdown of the previous Rising Wedge – There was strong selling pressure in the past, but now signs of stabilization are emerging.
VWAP and Volume Profile – Strong resistance is visible around $100,000.
Key trend reversal levels – Support at $74,000–76,500, while strong resistance lies between $90,000–100,000.
🔹 Key Levels:
Support: $74,500–76,500
Resistance: $90,000–94,000, then above $100,000
Mid-term target: $100,000–108,000
🔹 Mid-Term Forecast:
If Bitcoin successfully breaks out of the Falling Wedge and surpasses $90,000, the next target could be $100,000. However, if the $74,500 support level fails, further correction down to $72,000 or even $68,000 is possible.
✍️ Important Note: The above post provides general information and should not be considered specific investment advice. All investments carry high risk, especially in volatile cryptocurrency markets. Every investment decision should be based on thorough market analysis and an individual’s risk tolerance!
Nasdaq short-term long: Bounce off Trendline, RSI DivergenceIn summary, I think that there is a good odds that Nasdaq will rebound in the short-term because it has bounced off a 2-year trendline and RSI has diverged with price. Using QQQ to gauge volume, I can also see that there is a healthy volume to support a reversal. However, take note that as of now, I will still consider this to be a corrective wave up and not a major trend reversal to the upside. Meaning, the major trend is still down.
EUR/USD continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.07080 and 1.06270.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
NQ - Volume cluster On NQ , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 19880.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Strong rejection of lower prices and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
ES - Strong rejection of lower prices On ES , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 5697.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Strong rejection of lower prices and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
SPY and QQQ at MAJOR LevelsThe charts shown are highlighting the 12 month periodic volume profile chart. Currently, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are bouncing off major 2024 value areas.
Nasdaq 100:
Last week we can see how bulls lost the 2024 value area high (VAH) and couldn't reclaim. As a result we swiftly moved down to the point of control (POC) where we found buyers show up.
S&P 500:
Coincidently, the S&P 500 moved down to the 2024 VAH where it also found buyers show up.
Moving Forward:
These areas remain very important and should be monitored going forward. If a bounce is to happen here, bulls would like to see the Nasdaq reclaim the 2024 VAH and even work back into the current 2025 VAL.
Bitcoin Approaches Strong Support ZoneA double top has been confirmed on a daily chart with a downside target around 74550. This corresponds nicely with previous resistance turning potential support (73794-71958) and an upward sloping trend line. Below this zone are two overlapping volume profile ledges (70721-57340). I expect buyers to enter and hold 65k+. However, if 56k is taken out significant chart damage will be done for bulls.
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 1H Chart1. Trend Identification
The price is currently in a consolidation phase after a recent downtrend, with potential for reversal based on the projected price movement within the ascending channel.
The 200-period moving average (blue line) is acting as dynamic support. A breakout above it could confirm bullish momentum.
Point of Control (POC) at 86,086.63: This suggests a high liquidity zone where price is likely to react.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: 86,000 - 86,500 zone (aligned with POC and previous consolidation).
Immediate Support: 84,000 - 84,500 (current trading range).
Stronger Support: 80,948 (purple line, potential demand zone).
Upside Targets: 90,000 - 95,000 (upper boundary of projected channel).
3. Volume Analysis
The last 60 bars’ volume profile shows selling pressure slightly higher than buying pressure (-5.65%), suggesting potential short-term bearish movement before a bounce.
If price holds above 84,000 and buying volume increases, it strengthens the bullish case.
4. Chart Patterns & Projections
The projected path (red and blue lines) suggests a potential bullish breakout into an ascending channel, targeting 95,000.
A potential double bottom is forming around 84,000, which could act as a reversal signal.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
1. Long Trade Setup (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: Near 84,500 - 85,000 (buying into support).
Stop-Loss: Below 83,800 (to protect against a breakdown).
Targets:
First Target: 86,500 (POC zone).
Second Target: 90,000 (psychological level).
Final Target: 95,000 (upper channel resistance).
Risk-Reward Ratio: At least 1:3 (depending on position sizing).
2. Short Trade Setup (Bearish Breakdown Scenario)
Entry: Below 83,800 (breakdown confirmation).
Stop-Loss: Above 85,000 (previous support turned resistance).
Targets:
First Target: 82,000
Second Target: 80,948 (key support level).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better (depending on volatility).
Buy Render**Buy Render (RNDR)**
The weekly RSI has dropped below 40, signaling oversold conditions and a potential buying opportunity.
Beyond technicals, Render is fundamentally strong:
✅ **Leader in Decentralized GPU Rendering** – The network provides scalable GPU computing power for rendering graphics, AI, and metaverse applications.
✅ **Rising Demand for AI & 3D Workloads** – As AI, virtual reality, and 3D content creation grow, Render’s decentralized model offers cost-effective and efficient solutions.
✅ Strong Partnerships & Adoption**—Backed by major industry players, the Render Network is gaining traction in the creative and enterprise sectors.
With technicals aligning with a fundamentally bullish long-term outlook, this could be an attractive entry point.
Buy EthereumAltcoin season has been delayed, with prices seeing a sharp decline over the past couple of months.
However, Ethereum is flashing a potential buy signal with:
1. Increasing trading volume
2. RSI dropping below 40, indicating oversold conditions
These factors suggest a possible rebound ahead.
Technical Analysis of Dow Jones Industrial Average Index - 1H 1. Trend Identification
The price action is currently within a range-bound consolidation phase (highlighted by the blue box), oscillating between 42,600 - 42,800.
A volume profile analysis reveals a strong point of control (POC) at 42,639.47, indicating a key level where most volume has been traded.
There are two potential future scenarios illustrated by the bullish (blue) and bearish (red) channels.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
42,600 (POC & previous demand zone)
42,200 (lower bound of projected bearish channel)
Resistance Levels:
42,800 (current upper range resistance)
43,200 - 43,600 (upper bound of the bullish channel)
3. Chart Patterns & Volume Analysis
Volume Analysis:
The last 60-bar volume comparison shows a slight bullish bias (Up Vol > Down Vol by 1.97%), but the price remains indecisive.
A breakout of the 42,800 resistance or 42,600 support with a volume surge would confirm the next trend direction.
Possible Patterns:
Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below 42,600 may lead to a decline towards 42,200.
Bullish Scenario: Breakout above 42,800 can drive the price to 43,200 - 43,600.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
🔵 Bullish Trade Setup (Breakout Play)
Entry: Above 42,820, upon a confirmed breakout with volume.
Stop-Loss: 42,600 (below POC).
Take-Profit Targets: 43,200, then 43,600 (upper channel).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔴 Bearish Trade Setup (Breakdown Play)
Entry: Below 42,580, upon breakdown with volume.
Stop-Loss: 42,800 (above POC).
Take-Profit Targets: 42,400, then 42,200 (lower channel).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5
BILI | China's Gaming Industry will RiseBilibili, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of online entertainment content. The firm enables broad video-based content consumption scenarios centered around professional user generated videos supplemented with live broadcasting, occupationally generated videos, or occupationally generated videos. The company was founded by Xu Yi in June 2009 and is headquartered Shanghai, China.
Gold Futures (COMEX) - 1H Chart Technical Analysis1. Price Action & Trend Analysis
The current price is $2,917.7, showing a slight decline of -0.02%.
The chart reflects a sideways consolidation phase, as seen within the highlighted blue rectangular range.
A support zone is forming around $2,900 - $2,910, while resistance appears near $2,930 - $2,940.
There are two possible price projections:
Bullish Scenario (Red Projection): If price sustains above the Point of Control (POC: $2,927.8), it could move upwards toward $2,950 - $2,980.
Bearish Scenario (Blue Projection): If price fails to hold $2,910, further downside toward $2,870 - $2,850 is likely.
2. Volume Profile & Point of Control (POC)
POC: $2,927.8 is the area with the highest traded volume, acting as a key resistance level.
Volume Analysis:
Last 60 bars show up volume (295.541K) < down volume (243.149K), suggesting bearish dominance with 15.47% more selling pressure.
If price remains below POC, a bearish breakdown is possible.
3. Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: $2,927 - $2,930 (POC level)
Next Resistance: $2,950 - $2,980 (Projected upside)
Immediate Support: $2,910 - $2,900 (Lower range)
Key Support Zone: $2,870 - $2,850 (Bearish target if breakdown occurs)
4. Trend Channels & Market Structure
Two projected channels are present:
Bullish Channel (Red) suggests an upward breakout could lead to $2,950 - $2,980.
Bearish Channel (Blue) shows a breakdown could target $2,870 - $2,850.
5. Trading Strategy Suggestions
Bullish Bias:
A breakout above $2,930 - $2,940 could push price toward $2,950 - $2,980.
Buy if price sustains above POC ($2,927.8) with a stop-loss below $2,910.
Bearish Bias:
A breakdown below $2,910 could trigger a drop to $2,870 - $2,850.
Sell if price fails at $2,927.8 and breaks below $2,910, with a stop-loss above $2,930.
Conclusion
POC ($2,927.8) is the key level to watch for direction.
If price stays below POC, expect further bearish movement.
A breakout above $2,930 could trigger bullish continuation.
The volume analysis favors bears slightly, but confirmation is needed.
Gold Futures (COMEX) - 1H Trade Setup & Risk Management
Since the market is in consolidation near the Point of Control (POC: $2,927.8), we will set up both bullish and bearish trade scenarios based on price action.
📈 Bullish Trade Setup (Breakout Above $2,930 - $2,940)
Entry:
Buy above $2,932 - $2,935 (Confirmation of breakout & retest).
Wait for a strong candle close above resistance ($2,930) with increasing volume.
Target Levels:
Target 1: $2,950
Target 2: $2,970
Target 3: $2,980
Stop-Loss:
Place SL below $2,910 (Strong support level).
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Target 1: ~1:2
Target 2: ~1:3
Target 3: ~1:4
📉 Bearish Trade Setup (Breakdown Below $2,910)
Entry:
Sell below $2,907 - $2,905 after a clear breakdown with strong volume.
Ideally, wait for a retest of $2,910 as resistance before shorting.
Target Levels:
Target 1: $2,880
Target 2: $2,870
Target 3: $2,850
Stop-Loss:
Place SL above $2,930 (Key resistance level & POC).
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Target 1: ~1:2
Target 2: ~1:3
Target 3: ~1:4
🔹 Risk Management Tips
✅ Trade only after confirmation (Breakout or breakdown with volume).
✅ Risk per trade: Keep it 1-2% of your capital.
✅ Avoid trading inside the range ($2,910 - $2,930) unless there's a strong move.
✅ Use trailing stop-loss to secure profits once price moves in favor.
🔥 Final Thoughts
If price holds above POC ($2,927.8) → Expect bullish move toward $2,950 - $2,980.
If price rejects POC & breaks $2,910, expect bearish drop to $2,870 - $2,850.
Volume favors bears slightly, but confirmation is key before taking trades.