Volume
MKL - Markel Group Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long PositionMKL - Markel Group Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.21
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 1793
Entry limit ~ 1793 on April 28, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 1835 (+2.34%; +42 points)
2. Target limit ~ 1855 (+3.46%; +62 points)
Stop order limit ~ 1765 (-1.56%; -28 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
SUI SHORTRecently, SUI has failed to break structure and to make a higher yet hence made a lower high and displaced its bullish fvg with a bearish one. Making a footprint which I will utilize. On the graph you can see my entry as well as my target. A untapped 4h OB
Goodluck !
I always appreciate a follow, thanks :)!
Going long on SolanaBINANCE:SOLUSDT
Solana has experienced climatic volume to the downside, bullish RSI divergence, and now it seems ready for a big bounce. Also, there is a Hammer candlestick at the bottom of the decline.
Good luck to you
NIFTY Index View - May 02, 2025The index has been moving sideways since last few days this week but has moved upwards with fine volume as we had analyzed on Tuesday (April 29th).
The index still looks strong enough to continue the trend further upwards.
SPY at 3 important event! POC, 200 ema and 30 days reversalHi All SPY is at an interesting intersection:
1) a month from where it crashed and reversed entirely
2) At point of control (POC) from the top in Feb
3) at 200 ema
In Aug 22 SPY reversed from POC, at other times it found support or broke out with a gap
My opinion is, it will continue going up till 13th May (date when CPI is published). Nobody knows for sure how much tariff will impact CPI. It cannot as bad as we had during covid.
NVDA LTFLocal price action - the gap from 4/29 was filled in, but it left another gap on 4/30. During aftermarket hours, the price jumped up and approached the weekly level above but got rejected and finished the day red. We got a naked untapped pivot point below along with the range POC point of control.. not a bad week of price action.
From a range perspective price deviated to both sides and finisheded the day seemingly falling back into range. Let's see how the week ends.
Nvda low time frameLocal price action - the gap from 4/29 was filled in, but another was left on 4/30. During aftermarket hours the price jumped up to approach the weekly level above and dropped back down. We got a naked untapped pivot point below along with the range POC point of control, not a bad week of price action.
First lookFirst look at CRWV, some basic monthly weekly daily levels, range POC point of control, and a speed resistance fan, which price shot up into at the moment. If I was looking to get involved I'd wait for a slight retrace into the SP below left behind because of the gap that was left from the day before
NZD / CHF I will wait for the breakout of the volume zone and the moving averages and close below them to sell.
CAD / CHF SELL NOWWe can sell now after breaking the uptrend line and closing below the volume zone.
Gold — Buyer Power or Pause?The monthly candle closed as a strong buyer candle with significant volume.
This shows strong interest from both buyers and sellers at current levels.
Yesterday, on the daily timeframe, a seller-side IKC appeared (IKC or decision candle — the highest-volume candle within initiatives inside a sideways range).
That puts the current long targets into question — we now need to see a clear show of buyer strength.
📉 The price is currently near the 50% level of the weekly initiative — 3228.382, which could attract buyers.
Below that, daily support zones are marked on the chart at 3193 and 3167, where the buyer may regain initiative.
🔎 To consider long entries, we need to see:
• Buyer strength, and
• Price returning above 3260.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
MLM - Martin Marietta Material, Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - LongMLM - Martin Marietta Material, Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.79
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 490
Entry limit ~ 485 on April 22, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 504 (+3.92%; +19 points)
2. Target limit ~ 524 (+8.04%; +39 points)
Stop order limit ~ 471 (-2.89%; -14 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Carnival Corporation (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long PositionCCL - Carnival Corporation (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.33
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 18.53
Entry limit ~ 18.30 to 18.10 (Avg. -18.20) on April 24, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 19.20 (+5.49%; +1 point)
2. Target limit ~ 19.60 (+7.69%; +1.4 points)
Stop order limit ~ 17.6 (-3.3%; -0.6 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
AUDUSD - Daily chart, OANDA) - Long; Mid-term research idea.AUDUSD - Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar (Daily chart, OANDA) - Long Position; Mid-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.5
Entry limit ~ 0.63800 on April 30, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 0.67800 (+6.27%; +0.04000 points)
2. Target limit ~ 0.65715 (+3%; +0.01915 points)
Stop order limit ~ 0.62200 (-2.51%; -0.01600 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
M&M -Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (2 hours chart, NSE) - LongM&M -Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 4.78
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 2935
Entry limit ~2930 to 2910 (Avg. - 2920) on April 30, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 3015 (+3.25%; +95 points)
2. Target limit ~ 3135 (+7.36%; +215 points)
Stop order limit ~ 2875 (-1.54%; -45 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
QCOM Q1 EARNINGSQCOM is currently between two strong resistance levels above, and has solid support around the 120 level. If earnings are strong and he beats expectations, it's very likely the price will retest the upper range. If earnings miss, it would likely drop down to the double bottom.
META Q1 EARNINGSMeta reports earnings today. The stock is positioned between two possible EPS outcomes. If the company reports strong results and achieves an EPS of $5, it could break through the intermediate resistance level. If the results are not favorable, the stock may retest the double bottom.
MSFT Q1 EARNINGSMicrosoft Earnings Presentation. We have a strong resistance area that we need to break. If we break through that area, we would move toward the second resistance zone, with strong support at 355.
If MSFT report strong earnings, the stock could move toward the $420 area, where it reached during the last earnings release.
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H Timeframe
Here’s the detailed breakdown of the Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) 1H Chart based on Volume Profile, Gann analysis, and custom indicators (CVD + ADX):
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
• Value Area High (VAH): 3325.00
• Value Area Low (VAL): 3302.00
• Point of Control (POC): 3314.58
• High-volume nodes: Notable clustering around 3310–3325 zone, suggesting accumulation.
• Low-volume gaps: 3340–3360 zone shows thin profile—potential breakout area if breached.
b) Liquidity Zones:
• Liquidity Clusters:
o Upside: Prior highs near 3360 and 3380 may have stop orders.
o Downside: 3280–3290 (recent swing lows) likely holding short-term stops.
• Absorption Zones: Strong absorption observed just below POC (3305–3310), indicating defense by buyers.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
• Swing High (Volume Spike): 3360 on April 26 – high rejection with strong sell volume.
• Swing Low (Volume Spike): 3285 on April 25 – major buying tail, reversal support zone.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
• Trend Direction: Currently range-bound; no clean directional move post 28th April.
• ADX Strength:
o ADX < 20: Weak trend environment
o DI+ ≈ DI-: Confirms lack of clear directional bias
• CVD Confirmation:
o Neutral to slightly rising CVD, indicating moderate demand but not dominant
o No divergence between price and CVD—suggests indecision
________________________________________
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
• Support:
o VAL: 3302.00
o POC: 3314.58
o Swing low: 3285.00 (with high delta absorption)
• Resistance:
o VAH: 3325.00
o Swing highs: 3360.00 and 3380.00
b) Gann-Based Levels:
• Gann Swing High: 3360 (April 26)
• Gann Swing Low: 3285 (April 25)
• Key Retracements:
o 1/2: 3322.5
o 1/3: 3310
o 2/3: 3340
________________________________________
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Range-bound (confirmed by flat ADX and neutral CVD)
b) Notable Patterns:
• Descending triangle forming between 3325 (horizontal resistance) and lower highs
• Potential breakout scenario if price clears 3325 with volume
• Retests of POC at 3314 providing short-term scalping setups
________________________________________
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
• Entry Zone: 3310–3315
• Targets:
o T1: 3340
o T2: 3360
• Stop-Loss (SL): 3295 (below VAL)
• RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
• Entry Zone: 3325–3330
• Target:
o T1: 3285
• Stop-Loss (SL): 3345 (above recent swing high)
• RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade
APOLLOTYRE - Apollo Tyres Ltd (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositiAPOLLOTYRE - Apollo Tyres Ltd. (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.68
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 470
Entry limit ~ 464.50 on April 30, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 481 (+3.55%; +16.5 points)
2. Target limit ~ 498 (+7.21%; +33.5 points)
Stop order limit ~ 452 (-2.69%; -12.5 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
