Volume
SMCI: Bullish Momentum Building Amid Key Resistance?This chart shows the price action of Super Micro Computer (SMCI) stock on a 1-day timeframe. Below is a detailed interpretation based on the elements present in the chart:
---
1. Price Action:
Current Price: $34.04, up +1.08% for the day.
The price has been on a downward trend previously but has made a recent "Bullish" move, which is indicated by a rally from the lows.
Resistance Levels:
Around $41.90 and higher at $66.18 (major price zones with previous selling interest).
Support Levels:
Around $33.80 and below at $20 (historical areas where buyers showed interest).
The "Discount" zone highlighted at the lower price levels suggests value buying.
2. Moving Averages:
The orange line represents the 200-day Moving Average around $66.18, which acts as a long-term resistance.
The blue line (possibly the 50-day Moving Average) around $36.52 serves as a more immediate resistance level.
3. Volume Profile:
The Volume Profile (on the right) shows areas where significant trading occurred.
The high-volume nodes around $34.00 and $41.00 indicate key price levels with significant interest.
The low-volume zones above suggest that a breakout might face less resistance.
---
4. Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI) - Middle Panel:
The RSI is currently showing a bullish move:
Yellow line: Trending upwards and currently near 46.82 (neutral territory).
A move above 50 signals strength; below 50 is weak.
The recent "Bull" signal suggests potential upward momentum.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) - Bottom Panel:
The MACD line (blue) is above the signal line (orange), which is bullish.
Histogram bars: The green bars indicate positive momentum but are starting to flatten, suggesting a slight pause in upward movement.
---
Key Observations:
1. Short-Term Bias: Slightly bullish as the indicators (RSI and MACD) are showing momentum shifting upward.
2. Resistance Levels: Watch the $36.52 and $41.90 price zones for possible rejection.
3. Long-Term Resistance: The 200-day Moving Average around $66.18 will likely act as a strong resistance.
4. Volume Support: The price is currently supported around $34, and any drop below could lead to a revisit of the discount area below $30.
---
Conclusion:
The stock appears to be attempting a recovery after a strong downward trend. Bulls need to maintain the price above $34.00 and push through $36.52 for confirmation of a reversal. Watch for volume and momentum to confirm further upward moves, while downside risks remain if the price falls below $33.80.
Technical Analysis for Gold Spot/USD (1-Hour Chart)Current Market Overview
Current Price: $2,646.34
Market Trend: Bearish with a range-bound consolidation phase after a strong decline.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: $2,646.34 (current zone), $2,692.50, and $2,725.84
Support: $2,632.71, $2,613.26, and $2,602.79
Bullish Scenario
Technical Factors
Price Action:
Price is stabilizing above $2,632.71, a key support level, with a small bounce attempting to hold around the current range near $2,646.
Multiple rejection wicks below $2,640 signal buyers defending this region.
Volume Profile:
The green delta volume spike near $2,632.71 (41.54K volume) suggests buyers stepped in at this support.
Indicators:
The pink EMA cloud still indicates bearish pressure, but it is flattening, suggesting the bearish momentum is losing steam.
A close above the bearish cloud and price sustaining above $2,646 could signal a reversal.
Support Zone:
Strong buying demand is seen between $2,632.71 and $2,613.26.
Probable Entry Points
Entry:
Early Entry: Near $2,640 to $2,646 once price consolidates and shows bullish candle formations (hammer, engulfing).
Confirmed Entry: Break and close above $2,652 with strong volume.
Take-Profit Targets
Short-term TP1: $2,660 (recent minor resistance).
TP2: $2,692.50 (15% delta volume zone).
Extended TP3: $2,725.84 (higher resistance and key supply zone).
Stop-Loss
Place SL below $2,632 to protect against further downside.
Bearish Scenario
Technical Factors
Price Action:
Price remains under pressure below the pink EMA cloud and has struggled to close above it since December 16th.
Lower highs continue to form, confirming bearish structure.
Volume Analysis:
Strong selling pressure is evident near $2,646.34, shown by red bearish delta volumes.
Sell zones around $2,646 to $2,660 are seeing repeated rejections.
Resistance Zone:
$2,646 to $2,652 acts as immediate resistance, and failure to break above this level could trigger further selling.
Bearish Continuation Signal:
A close below $2,632.71 will confirm bearish continuation to lower support zones.
Probable Entry Points
Entry:
Aggressive Entry: Near $2,646 (sell at rejection or bearish engulfing candles).
Confirmed Entry: Breakdown and close below $2,632.71.
Take-Profit Targets
Short-term TP1: $2,632.71 (immediate support).
TP2: $2,613.26 (key support zone).
Extended TP3: $2,602.79 (final strong support and green demand zone).
Stop-Loss
Place SL above $2,652 or $2,660 to protect against a bullish reversal.
Summary: Trading Plan
Scenario Entry Zone Stop-Loss Take-Profit Targets
Bullish $2,640 - $2,646 Below $2,632 TP1: $2,660, TP2: $2,692, TP3: $2,725
Bearish $2,646 - $2,652 Above $2,660 TP1: $2,632, TP2: $2,613, TP3: $2,602
Conclusion
Bullish Bias: If price closes above $2,652 with strong volume, expect a move toward $2,692 and higher.
Bearish Bias: A rejection at $2,646 - $2,652 or a breakdown below $2,632.71 will likely push prices toward $2,613.26 - $2,602.79.
Recommendation: Watch price behavior at $2,646 and $2,632.71 for confirmation. Use proper risk management and wait for clear breakouts or rejections.
BTCUSDT. Where to expect the buyer’s resumption?Hey traders and investors!
On the 4-hour timeframe, there is a sideways range. The lower boundary is 90,500, and the upper boundary is 104,088.
The buyer effectively broke out above the upper boundary in the 12-13 vector. The seller returned the price to the range, and the buyer resumed from the 103,333 level, forming a test level. Below this test level is the buyer’s zone (green rectangle on the chart, upper boundary of the zone is 102,540).
If the buyer does not defend the 103,333 test level, the next buyer resurgence is possible from the buyer’s zone, most likely in the 100,500-102,000 range.
The third possible place for a buyer’s resurgence is around 50% of the last buyer’s impulse: 98,574 on the 4-hour timeframe and 99,426.5 on the daily timeframe.
Considering the three buyer interest zones and the buyer's trend on the daily timeframe, searching for sell opportunities based on the 13-14 vector within the sideways range, with a potential target of 94,150 (90,500), is risky.
I wish you profitable trades.
Bitcoin's Next Move: Key Levels to Watch and Strategy InsightsWe anticipate Bitcoin to rise from $93,526.2 to $111,949.0 based on volume analysis
Plan Based on Closing Near the Target Level
Closing Above the Target ($111,949.0):
If a daily candle closes above this level, further upside is expected, with the price continuing to rise by the same percentage increase as the current move.
We will update the targets and strategy accordingly if this scenario unfolds.
Closing Below the Target ($111,949.0):
If a daily candle closes below this level, the price is likely to retest the target level.
In this case, it is advisable to exit the position to avoid risks associated with increased market volatility.
Risk Management and Trade Discipline
Stop Loss:
Always adhere to the predefined stop-loss level, regardless of the scenario, to protect your capital and avoid significant losses.
Trade Management:
Consider splitting the target into partial levels to secure profits incrementally during the move.
Use support and resistance zones as additional confirmation signals to manage risk.
Conclusion:
The current price action suggests a strong opportunity for an upward move, but the success of the plan depends on closing near the specified targets. Strict discipline and effective risk management are crucial for achieving positive results in this trade.
Stock Analysis: Marine Electrical (I) Lt• The stock has broken out above a resistance level near ₹300.
• Price currently trades at all time high level.
• Strong bullish candle with an 8.21% increase today and high volume (2.48M), indicating buying strength.
• The breakout above ₹298 with strong volume and upward sloping EMAs supports bullish continuation.
• Price remains above the 9 EMA, indicating a strong uptrend.
Position Entry:
• If the price remains above the breakout level (₹298–₹300) or retests it, it could provide a better risk-reward entry.
• Enter 5% of capital as an initial position.
Pyramiding Positions:
• Add smaller positions on pullbacks to the 9 EMA or 21 EMA & in the daily time frame.
Stop-Loss:
• Cut half of your position if the price closes below the 21 EMA for 2 consecutive days.
• Place a stop-loss below the 50 EMA or exit if the price closes below the 50 EMA for 2 consecutive days.
Disclaimer:
This technical analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct further research and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Investing in the stock market involves risk, and any decision you make is at your own discretion and responsibility.
Neither I nor this platform shall be liable for any financial losses incurred.
Stock Analysis: Marine Electrical (I) Lt• The stock has broken out above a resistance level near ₹300.
• Price currently trades at all time high level.
• Strong bullish candle with an 8.21% increase today and high volume (2.48M), indicating buying strength.
• The breakout above ₹298 with strong volume and upward sloping EMAs supports bullish continuation.
• Price remains above the 9 EMA, indicating a strong uptrend.
Position Entry:
• If the price remains above the breakout level (₹298–₹300) or retests it, it could provide a better risk-reward entry.
• Enter 5% of capital as an initial position.
Pyramiding Positions:
• Add smaller positions on pullbacks to the 9 EMA or 21 EMA & in the daily time frame.
Stop-Loss:
• Cut half of your position if the price closes below the 21 EMA for 2 consecutive days.
• Place a stop-loss below the 50 EMA or exit if the price closes below the 50 EMA for 2 consecutive days.
Disclaimer:
This technical analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct further research and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Investing in the stock market involves risk, and any decision you make is at your own discretion and responsibility.
Neither I nor this platform shall be liable for any financial losses incurred.
Technical Analysis on Kadant (KAI)Kadant ( KAI ) has maintained a clear upward trend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. Throughout its bullish phase, the stock experienced periodic pullbacks between 20% and 30%.
After recently hitting its all-time highs, the stock is currently undergoing a retracement, approaching potential support zones.
Bullish Scenario
The first potential support levels are close to the current price:
SUP 1 around $304
POC 1 around $320
Another possible support zone is POC 2 near $280, which could provide a significant base if the price continues to drop.
Bearish Scenario
For a bearish outlook, key levels to monitor include:
A breakdown below POC 1 ($320)
A trendline break (green line)
A breach of POC 2 ($280), indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend.
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/17/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
$SOL Breakout could be soon, 3 Opportunities SOL Has been consolidating since Mid-December, and now it could be gearing up for a bullish continuation to the upside.
I have provided three potential paths for the chart, red being most degenerate, and green being the best long opportunity in my eyes. If SOL was to retest the range lows, it would be a beautiful setup for a long, but I don't think it is likely to happen, nor do I expect the red path to happen. Yellow, a breakout and retest of the current channel, would set us up well in the macro timeframe, with a potential scalp short when we near the POC at $240.3 USD
Key Points:
- 50D SMA- SOL is pushing to reclaim the 50D SMA, ~$228, if it gets to $228 I think one could go long with a stop loss at $223
- 100D SMA- $233, given the momentum on the short term, I think if SOL reclaims the 50D, it is likely to take the 100 as well as potentially push to range highs near $263 with a potential short scalp at the POC @$237.2
NFA DYOR Let me know your thoughts
Platinum in deep consolidation TerritoryThe 70% to drop after my Nov 18th post turned out to be 100%
Now we are in deep consolidation going into the closing of this yearly candle
I predict we will drop further coming into the year but a sweep of the highs first.
There is actually no real way to predict which side will unload 1st to start the volatility so we remain cautious and super suspicious of the low volume going into the new year
#008 NEW DCA USDCAD Buy Up TrendI bought USDCAD just because I saw that it has been trending.
No other reasons. I think sometimes no reason but because it is trending is a very good reason.
Just like duolingo, godaddy, marriott, tesla. Don't question. No need for question.
Obviously if something is going to go upwards and it has been going upwards, plus being strongly going up, you would want to take a piece out of it. You dont question why its going up. You just grab that wall flower and begin peddling. Once the trend dies, and you give it logic, you kill yourself with the logic when the logic doesn't work out the way you thought.
So, don't think. theres nothing to think about.
1547SGT 13122024
$AMD Forms Another Double Bottom – Will History Repeat Itself?I wanted to share an interesting setup I’ve noticed on NASDAQ:AMD daily chart. The stock just completed what looks like a classic double bottom pattern—something it’s done before with impressive results.
What I’m Seeing:
Double Bottom Revisited:
We can see that AMD has formed another “W” shaped bottom, where price tested a support zone twice and successfully bounced.
Historical Precedent:
The last time AMD completed a double bottom, the subsequent breakout and follow-through rally were significant. After the neckline breakout, price continued to move higher, rewarding patient traders and confirming the pattern’s bullish nature.
Volume & Confirmation:
It’s worth looking closely at volume to confirm the pattern. In many textbook double bottoms, volume often increases on the breakout, signaling that buyers are stepping in. If we see heavier trading volumes as AMD breaks through the neckline, it could be an indication that a similar move might unfold.
Potential Price Target:
A common way to project a double bottom target is to measure the height of the “W” and add it to the breakout point. If this pattern performs similarly to the last one, we could see a significant upside move. Of course, there are no guarantees, but patterns like these give traders a framework to manage risk and set objectives.
What to Watch For:
Neckline Break: A clean move above the neckline (resistance area) would be a key bullish signal.
Volume Expansion: Higher volume on the breakout adds conviction.
Market Conditions: Broader market health and sentiment can affect whether the pattern plays out as expected.
AMD has shown us before that this pattern can precede major rallies. As always, manage your risk appropriately—no matter how promising a setup looks, it’s wise to confirm with price action and volume before jumping in.
EUR/CHF Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn EUR/CHF , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 0.92860 and 0.93450.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Weekly POC, Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/16/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
Technical Analysis for Gold Spot/USD (1-Hour Chart) Current Market Overview
Current Price: $2,659.07
Market Trend: Mixed with a recent bearish move, but a recovery seems to be emerging.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: $2,624.09 and $2,613.26
Resistance: $2,686.70 and $2,725.84
Bullish Scenario
Technical Factors
Price Action:
Price shows a rebound after testing the NY Midnight Open near $2,653.70.
Bullish candles are starting to form on the right side of the chart, suggesting a potential reversal.
Volume Profile:
Delta volume is indicating positive activity at lower price levels, hinting that buyers are stepping in near $2,653 and below.
Indicators:
The pink shaded bearish momentum (likely a short-term EMA cloud) appears to be weakening.
Price is attempting to push above this bearish cloud, which could act as a trigger for further bullish momentum.
Support Zone:
Strong support exists near $2,624 to $2,613, where price previously reversed on Dec 6th and 10th, as seen by the green demand zone.
Probable Entry Points
Entry: Around $2,655 - $2,660 once price consolidates above the NY Midnight Open ($2,653.70).
Confirmation: Look for price closing above $2,666 (the nearest mini-resistance).
Take-Profit Targets
Short-term TP1: $2,686.70 (key resistance zone marked by 16% delta volume).
TP2: $2,710 - This is a zone where previous bearish pressure emerged.
Extended Target: $2,725.84 (higher timeframe resistance).
Stop-Loss
SL: Below $2,650 or $2,645 to minimize risk.
Bearish Scenario
Technical Factors
Price Action:
Despite the current bounce, the overall structure remains bearish, with lower highs forming after the drop from $2,725.84.
Bearish momentum (pink shaded region) remains active on the larger downtrend.
Volume Analysis:
Negative delta volume around $2,686.70 suggests sellers are still defending that level.
Resistance Zone:
$2,666 to $2,686 is a key supply zone; a rejection here would confirm bearish continuation.
Moving Averages/EMA Cloud:
Price has yet to break convincingly above the pink bearish cloud, meaning the trend still favors sellers.
Probable Entry Points
Entry: Near $2,666 to $2,670 if the price fails to break above resistance. Look for rejection candles.
Confirmation: Bearish engulfing or a sharp pullback below the NY Midnight Open ($2,653).
Take-Profit Targets
Short-term TP1: $2,640 (previous swing low).
TP2: $2,624 - This level is the lower support zone with previous demand.
Extended Target: $2,613 - A breakdown of this level could lead to further bearish momentum.
Stop-Loss
SL: Above $2,675 or $2,680 to protect against a bullish breakout.
Summary: Trading Plan
Scenario Entry Zone Stop-Loss Take-Profit Targets
Bullish $2,655 - $2,660 Below $2,645 TP1: $2,686.70, TP2: $2,710, TP3: $2,725
Bearish $2,666 - $2,670 Above $2,675 TP1: $2,640, TP2: $2,624, TP3: $2,613
Conclusion
Bullish Bias: If price sustains above $2,666 and breaks resistance near $2,686, a bullish move to $2,710 - $2,725 could unfold.
Bearish Bias: Rejection at $2,666 - $2,686 would likely lead to a pullback targeting $2,640, $2,624, and potentially $2,613.
Recommendation: Wait for confirmation around key levels ($2,653.70 and $2,666) before entering a trade. Use proper stop-losses to manage risk.
Gold and silver have corrected to the first targetsHey traders and investors!
Gold and silver prices have reached the buyer's interest zones: 2650-2627 for gold and 30.3165 for silver.
Let’s see if the buyer is strong at these levels or if the price will continue to decline.
A deeper correction would be preferable. Detailed analysis in related posts.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
USD/CHF continue with the UptrendOn USD/CHF , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 0.88900.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
USD/JPY continue with the UptrendOn USD/JPY , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 152.890.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
BTC Surges on Signal of Trump's US Strategic ReserveWith market reactions trending very positive, COINBASE:BTCUSD saw a big surge today as investors were encouraged by Trump's signaled support for large investments in a US BTC Strategic Reserve fund to back up the Treasury Department and their indicators of a more supportive environment for crypto investors and holders in the United States of America. This comes as a welcome change for residents and businesses engaged with building the ever growing crypto economy which will empower free markets, free thinking, and free people.
With over $200M USD positive BINANCE:BTCUSD inflows to Binance in the last 12hr, we can only guess what the total inflows look like right now on an hourly or even minute-by-minute basis across all exchanges worldwide. A large spike in trading volume during the day Sunday fueled traders excitement as many were attracted to the market over the weekend.
Your reaction to this good news might depend on what kind of trader you are. Are you Microstrategy? Your stock just went up! Personal investors - "this is great! lets see more!". Well a lot of times people expect good and underestimate the downside. It is a great opportunity here to apply reverse psychology and short the market. This strategy is not right for everyone but there could definitely be opportunity for both long and short entry points when using the informative and actionable MACD Strategy indicator on your charting. Perhaps even learnings will come from this.
Have a beautiful day, and remember Habibi, the desert tests your will, not your strength.
messari.io