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NOT will get a new impulse.I bided my time to share my thoughts. 1. The crowd started reacting to Durov's arrest as if the whole life of the crypto project is equal to the fate of a media person. And the people who shouted the loudest, they don't even realise that they themselves believe in this connection. all is well with Durov, so all is well with NOT. These people are a long way from the philosophy of libertarians, much less anarchists. Contempt for the hysterical. By the way, the most important tech evangelist of Telegram is not Pavel Durov himself. It's his brother Nikolai Durov. World champion student coder. Durov is a visible public face. They're like Oskar Schindler and Itzhak Stern. One creates the presentation, the other creates the ideas. 2. I assumed that the absurdity of the charges (failed to help disclose a protected communication = helped distribute drugs, nonsense) would run into very expensive lawyers that Durov could afford. I'm sure the fact that he's out on bail shows that the charges were met with a decent defence. Complicity sounds ridiculous. 3. Important detail. Many people noticed this in Russia, but I'm not sure it was noticed elsewhere. On the eve of his arrest, Durov flew to Azerbaijan. The Russian press leaked versions that he would meet with Putin there (he was there on a state visit these days). Analysts speculated that since another Telegram blockade had just begun in Russia, Durov was travelling to try to negotiate something with Putin. Soon a report appeared ‘Vladimir Putin did not meet with Pavel Durov in Baku.’ It was only after that that Durov flew to Paris, where he is arrested. What if this is a necessary step by Durov to dismiss the stupid charges through the court, to find a new formula for co-operation with the authorities and to better protect his business? If these arrest warrants are in place, then there must be some way to prove that they are ridiculous. Because he clearly lacked the support he may have been looking for from Putin. So he took the risky step of coming to France. Somehow people thought it was a colossal mistake. Not a calculated business risk. So he needed business in Europe. Durov's already out on bail. Being under court supervision doesn't stop him from doing business. He's not in jail. What if tomorrow we find out that Telegram changed its protocol for co-operating with the police on child pornography? And in court, the prosecution's case would be shattered by the defence? Therefore, the whole thing was worthless. 4. people who are completely confused in their heads are despicable. They write NOTcoin and mean TONcoin. They write TONcoin and mean NOTcoin. And all this only because they heard somewhere that all this is somehow connected with Pavel Durov, and therefore it is the same thing. Such guys not only can't be trusted with the keys to cryptocurrencies, they can't even be trusted with the key to their own flat. Exaggerating concepts and meanings is disgusting. NOTcoin is not TONcoin. Yes, it is an asset integrated into the TON system. But TRON has a lot of things integrated into it as well. However, some coins on TRX are rising, others are falling. No need to generalise. NOTcoin is related to gaming. TONcoin is a more universal currency, more like classic money. 5. VFI LF on the 4 hour timeframe is showing increasing volume flow, and even the slow volume EMA is about to move to the upside from zero. To watch. 6. In Russia there is a saying ‘Fear has big eyes’. This is the very case, as they are now looking at NOT. Forget about Durov. He is not a tsar or a god or a hero. An asset is an asset. 7. As with the rest of the market, we need a falling bitcoin dominance. This is far more important than whether Durov is in jail or not.
by averkie_skila
5
How I used Volume Spread Analysis to avoid FOMO trading!As a trader, I often battle with the fear of missing out (FOMO), a common pitfall among traders that can lead to impulsive, unprofitable trades. After reviewing my journal, I determined that chasing breakouts was costing me a significant portion of my account, so I studied Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) to help me reduce my urges. Here is how is used VSA to avoid FOMOing a trade. Before we get started, let's clarify two definitions: Volume: Measures the number of times buyers and sellers exchange 1 unit of an asset at an agreed-upon price. It doesn't inherently indicate whether a trend is bullish or bearish, but rather that a trade has occurred. Low volume suggests that few transactions have taken place because buyers and sellers couldn't agree on price. High volume suggests that buyers OR sellers felt they were getting a bargain at the current price, leading to many transactions. Spread/Range: The difference between the high and low of a candlestick. A narrow spread indicates little variance between what someone is willing to buy for and what someone is willing to sell for. A wide spread suggests that buyers and sellers have significantly different ideas of what the fair price is. In short, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) interprets the relationship between trading volume and candle spread. When volume and spread agree, they are considered harmonious, and the trend will probably continue. If volume and spread disagree, there is a divergence, and the trend may be weak or could even reverse. In general, there are three main harmonious conditions: Narrowing spread should have narrowing volume. Average spread should have average volume. Widening spread should have widening volume. I spotted a bear flag consolidation on QQQ and decided I would trade the breakout to the downside. I took a break and came back to the chart just after the breakdown had occurred, missing my ideal entry. The candle spread was widening and my first thought was "I have to get in! This thing is free falling!" PAUSE! I reminded myself that I cant make every dollar in the market. If I miss this trade, there will always be another. "Be patient and wait for the market to come back to you." This is the chart after the initial break. What can we observe? QQQ broke the low of day with high volume and a widening red candle. Based on our definitions from earlier, we know that high volume means that buyers or sellers think they are getting a bargain so they are willing to transact as much as they can at current price. Given that price is falling, we can assume that the volume is due to aggressive selling. We remain patient and continue to watch for something to trade against. Next, we see a narrower range candle with a long lower shadow and above average volume. By definition, strong volume with a narrow range is a possible divergence. We know that narrow range candles mean that buyers and sellers generally agree on current price, but why would it close near the highs if the selling was so aggressive? Given that there is a long lower shadow and then a bullish candle close, we can infer that sellers were not willing to sell below $467.89. The buyers absorbed the selling at those prices. Fast forwarding, we notice that the volume and candle size has shrunk back to the average meaning buyers and sellers are in agreeance. The number of people willing to transact is decreasing. We also notice that a small range has formed. Buyers have not stepped in to buy above the previous low of day at $469.35 and the sellers have shown no effort to get back below $467.89. Now we have something to trade against instead of FOMOing in! We will look for a break of this range with increased volume. On the next candle we see bulls break out of the range with aggressive volume and a wide spread candle. Something of note is that the volume on this bull candle is less that the volume of our initial sell candle. If those sellers were still present, wouldn't they be selling at these higher prices and forcing the candle range to be narrow? This shows us that bulls are now in control and the selling from earlier was just a hoax. As we can see, the rest is history. If I FOMOed into the short as I had planned, this trade would have resulted in a loss. Being patient allowed me to realize that there was nothing to miss out on and actually allowed me to find a better trade. Key Notes Always journal your trades and review them Never FOMO into a trade. Be patient and wait for the trade to come to you! You dont need to take every trade to make money in the market. It is okay to miss a trade if it means protecting your account. Volume spread analysis is not 100%, but it can be useful in determining the strength of a trend.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by Decam9
31
AAVE. Trading opportunityHello traders and investors! The token has reached all targets, and the previous analysis is no longer relevant. It's time to create a new one. Daily Timeframe On the daily timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range, which started in March. The upper boundary is at 133.94, and the lower boundary is at 70. The current seller's vector is 12-13, with a potential target of 71.06 (70). On August 21, the price broke above the upper boundary of the range with significant volume. However, the seller pushed the price back into the range and established a seller's zone at the upper boundary of the range on August 27 (red rectangle on the chart). At the same time, the seller tested the buyer's candle from August 19 (which was on increased volume) at the test level of 117.15. Yesterday, the buyer moved up to test the seller's zone, and the seller resumed from the 129 level. This might become the test level if a bearish candle forms today. Hourly Timeframe On the hourly timeframe, the price has also formed a range. The upper boundary is at 129, and the lower boundary is at 117.15 (which coincides with the daily test level). The current seller's vector is 6-7, with a potential target of 121.32. In ranges, it's advisable to trade from boundary to boundary if the boundary is defended. Sell opportunities can be looked for from the seller's defense of the upper boundary at 129. Buy opportunities can be considered from the buyer's defense at 121.32 and 117.15. Good luck with your trading and investing!
by AlexeyWolf
Ambiguous situation Gold. H4 28.08.2024Ambiguous situation Gold There is an ambiguous situation on gold. We are trading close to the nearest buyers' zone, but there are no volumes of buybacks and on the contrary bids are pushing down. Can go up to 1/2 margin, and from there make a rebound. That is why I will be out of the market on gold until the situation becomes clearer. If they can completely cover the segment down with fixing under 2470, then we will get repositioning downwards and look for sales from the pullback. But we have not done it yet, the priority is to work on the bullish trend.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by KovachTrader
$PEGA, AI Stock Set to Rip Apart The BearsIn the rapidly evolving landscape of artificial intelligence (AI), few companies have made as significant a mark as Pegasystems Inc. (NASDAQ: PEGA). Known for its cutting-edge software solutions, PEGA stands out for its robust AI capabilities, making it a compelling choice for investors looking to capitalize on the future of technology. PEGA has a particular focus on its strong AI presence and innovative concept of AI factories. A Leader in AI and Automation Pegasystems, commonly referred to as Pega, has established itself as a leader in business process management (BPM) and customer relationship management (CRM). However, its true strength lies in its AI-driven automation solutions. Pega's AI technology is designed to streamline complex business processes, enhance customer engagement, and drive operational efficiency. The company's commitment to AI innovation is evident in its comprehensive suite of tools that leverage machine learning, natural language processing, and predictive analytics. The Concept of AI FactoriesOne of Pega's most groundbreaking initiatives is the concept of AI factories. These AI factories are essentially integrated environments where AI models are created, trained, deployed, and continuously improved. The idea is to industrialize the production of AI models, much like traditional factories produce goods. This approach allows businesses to scale their AI capabilities efficiently and effectively, ensuring that AI applications are not just one-off solutions but part of an ongoing, iterative process.How AI Factories WorkPega's AI factories operate on a continuous feedback loop, where data is constantly fed into the system, and AI models are iteratively refined and redeployed. This cycle ensures that the AI models remain relevant and accurate, adapting to new data and changing business conditions. The key components of Pega's AI factories include:Data Ingestion and Preparation: Raw data from various sources is collected, cleansed, and prepared for analysis. This step is crucial for ensuring that the AI models are trained on high-quality data.Model Development and Training: Using machine learning algorithms, models are developed and trained on the prepared data. Pega's platform supports a range of algorithms, allowing for tailored solutions to specific business problems.Deployment and Integration: Once trained, the AI models are deployed into production environments. Pega's solutions are designed to integrate seamlessly with existing IT infrastructure, ensuring minimal disruption to business operations. Monitoring and Refinement: Post-deployment, the AI models are continuously monitored and refined. This involves tracking performance metrics, identifying areas for improvement, and updating the models as necessary.The Impact on Business Performance The implementation of AI factories can have a transformative impact on business performance. By automating routine tasks, optimizing processes, and providing actionable insights, Pega's AI solutions help businesses reduce costs, increase efficiency, and enhance customer satisfaction. The scalability of AI factories means that these benefits are not limited to large enterprises but can be realized by businesses of all sizes.PEGA Stock: A Compelling InvestmentGiven Pega's strong AI presence and innovative approach to AI development, PEGA stock represents a compelling investment opportunity. The company's consistent focus on innovation and its ability to deliver tangible business results through AI make it a standout in the tech sector. Moreover, Pega's commitment to continuous improvement and scalability ensures that it remains at the forefront of AI advancements, positioning it for long-term growth.ConclusionPegasystems Inc. is a beacon of innovation in the AI landscape. Its concept of AI factories exemplifies its forward-thinking approach, offering businesses a scalable and efficient way to harness the power of AI. For investors, PEGA stock provides a unique opportunity to invest in a company that is not only leading in AI technology but also driving meaningful business transformation. As the demand for AI-driven solutions continues to grow, Pega's strong AI presence and pioneering initiatives make it a stock worth considering for any investment portfolio.
NASDAQ:PEGALong
by montiai
2
The #1 Catalyst : 3 Reasons Why Insider Selling HappensAs I was from watching some videos online, on my mobile phone device, about the current economy we are facing I later on turned my P.C. on and found this stock which follows the rocket booster strategy. So what is the rocket booster strategy? 1-The price has to be above the 50 MA 2-The price has to be above the 200 MA 3- The price should be in an uptrend. Furthermore when I checked the breaking news right here on trading view I found the #1 catalyst for this stock and it is called "Insider selling" And so below is my research on 3 Reasons Why Insider Selling Happens: Insider selling, where company executives or other insiders sell shares of their company's stock, can occur for various reasons. Here are three common reasons: - 1. Diversification of Investment Portfolio: Insiders often have a significant portion of their wealth tied up in their company's stock. To reduce risk, they may sell some shares to diversify their investment portfolio and spread their wealth across different assets. - 2. Personal Financial Needs: Insiders might sell stock to meet personal financial obligations, such as buying a house, funding education, or other large expenses. The sale is not necessarily indicative of negative sentiment toward the company. - 3. Tax Planning: Insiders may sell shares as part of their tax planning strategy. For instance, they might sell shares to pay taxes on stock options or other forms of compensation that have been granted to them. Timing the sale to coincide with a lower tax rate can also be a reason. - These reasons do not necessarily imply a lack of confidence in the company, though they can sometimes be perceived that way by the market. - WARNING!: Trading is risky and you will lose money wether you like it or not please learn risk management and profit taking strategies
NYSE:PGLong
by lubosi
Will there be a false breakdown WTI ? H4 20.08.2024Will there be a false breakdown WTI ? H4 20.08.2024 Oil is in an interesting situation right now. Initially I was waiting for repositioning to buy, however the price went lower. As a result, I closed my purchases on be and now the question is whether or not there will be a false breakdown of the support zone 71.30-72.40. The poured volume in the margin at 73.50 did not give a buyback reaction, but oil moves very insidiously. It could do a false breakdown and then come back on volumes and form a delayed culmination. In any case, the rebound is somewhere near, so watch carefully.
THINKMARKETS:WTILong
by KovachTrader
Possible correction WTI. H4 27.08.2024Possible correction WTI Oil has now approached the marginal resistance zone 77.41-77.97, as shown in the previous analysis. Large point volumes have appeared in the zone and may mean fixation of purchases and the beginning of accumulation of corrective sales. The question is whether the pullback will be and how deep it will be. In general, I expect an approach around 1/2 of the margin and then up again from there. That's why yesterday at 77.40 I closed 50% of buys and I'm still in the waiting mode. Oil after filling volumes likes to make gains and then go into a reversal.
THINKMARKETS:WTILong
by KovachTrader
Adani Enterprises (ADANIENT) for swingOrder flow analysis indicates strong buying pressure with a positive delta divergence, signaling potential bullish momentum. Additionally, there’s a gap fill due at ₹3522, which could act as a key target level. Notably, the volume profile shows a spike followed by contraction, typically a precursor to a significant price move. With these factors combined, an upward move is expected in the near term. Traders should watch for price action around the ₹3522 level, as it could confirm the continuation of the bullish trend.
NSE:ADANIENTLong
by Shivam_Bhanot
Trading Idea of week 35 - S&P500 - TradingMasteryHubWelcome to the TradingMasteryHub Trading Ideas! Are you ready to gear up for the upcoming week? Join us as we dive into a detailed analysis to uncover top trading opportunities that could potentially boost your trading account. We’ll break down our strategy, defining precise Entries, managing Risk, and pinpointing the optimal Exit zones—steps that can transform your trading performance. Whether you’re just starting out or looking to fine-tune your approach, these insights are crafted to help you on your path to mastering the markets. S&P 500 Poised to Break New All-Time Highs! The S&P 500 has climbed back above its long-term uptrend (green trend line) that’s been in play since early November 2023. The current all-time high (ATH) of 5,680.4, set on July 16th, also marked the beginning of a mid-term downtrend (red trend line). However, two weeks ago, we witnessed a significant breakout from this downtrend, accompanied by high volume, which also reestablished the long-term uptrend. The last four trading days have been range-bound between key support (green) and resistance (blue) zones, with a stable volume profile (orange box) in between. If the price manages to break through the key resistance zone (blue), new ATHs are highly likely. This presents a clear and compelling trading opportunity that we’re excited to share with you. How to Turn This into a 5-Star Setup! Before we rush into a trade, excited by the prospect of bullish momentum, it’s crucial to do our homework. This means waiting for multiple confirmations before entering the trade: 1. The Trend is Your Friend: The chart shows different trends depending on the time frame. We’re trading on a 15-minute chart, where the uptrend is clear. But we also need to confirm that the higher time frame (above our execution trend) is in an uptrend and not in a consolidation phase following a longer-term downtrend. - Box Checked: We saw a breakout from the mid-term downtrend on August 15th with high volume (RVOL > 3) and a 15-minute close above the last higher low of that downtrend on August 19th, also with high volume. 2. We Need New Bullish Momentum: To hit new ATHs, we require strong buying pressure. This could come from a catalyst like favorable news (e.g., interest rate cuts by the Fed) or a technical breakout above the key resistance zone (blue). - Box Checked: We’ll look for a 15-minute close above the blue zone, RVOL > 3 at the breakout, and ideally, a U.S. market opening above the previous day’s Volume Profile high to confirm a trending day. - Plus: Price must be above both the session VWAP and 2-day VWAP. - Bonus: An additional catalyst in the form of a market-moving news event. 3. We Need Patience: Only when all the above criteria are met should we enter the trade. - Entry: After a 15-minute candle closes above the blue zone, but only if the risk/reward ratio is >1.3 up to Target 1. - Risk Management: Stop Loss (SL) at 5,624.7, just below Friday’s Pivot R1 minus 6 points for market noise. Take Profit (TP) Target 1 is set at 5,678, just below Pivot R2 (also the 1.618 Fib Extension), where we’ll scale out 50% of the position and move the SL to the entry level, making the trade risk-free. - Profit Target 2 (50%): This will likely be around 5,730, just below the 2.618 Fib Extension. If we don’t see new ATHs, TP Target 2 will be triggered by a close below the highest green 15-minute candle. 4. We Need Discipline: Trading only when all conditions are met will give us an edge in the long run. - Discipline: Sticking to your rules is crucial for consistent trading. Without discipline, you lose the ability to analyze and refine your edge, leaving you at the mercy of emotional decisions. 5. We Need to Review Our Trades: Keeping a Trading Journal is essential for learning from both mistakes and successes. We’ll provide another e-Learning session focused on this vital topic. A simple journal can significantly improve your trading. Always Have a Plan B! Sometimes Plan A doesn’t play out. That’s why it’s important to have a Plan B—a slightly less optimal, but still viable, 4-star setup. In this case, if the breakout above the blue zone doesn’t occur and the market reverses towards the green zone, we might consider a short trade instead. But again, we need a separate checklist: 1. Range Trades Need a History: The market must test key zones (green and blue) more than twice each to confirm a range. - Confirmation: More than two touches of the green and red zones have already occurred. 2. We Need Bearish Momentum: A bearish environment is necessary for a return to the range. This could be triggered by a negative catalyst (e.g., lower unemployment rates) or a breakdown below VWAP. - Box Checked: We need a 15-minute candle close below both session VWAP and 2-day VWAP, RVOL > 3, and the market ranging within the Volume Profile. 3. We Need Patience: Enter the trade only when all conditions are met. - Entry: After a 15-minute candle closes below both VWAPs, with a risk/reward ratio >1.7 up to TP Target 1. - Risk Management: SL at 5,647, just above Friday’s Pivot R1 plus 6 points for noise. TP Target 1 at 5,602, just above Pivot P (0.382 Fib retracement), where we’ll close 100% of the position. 4. We Need Discipline: As always, sticking to the plan is key. 5. We Need to Review Our Trades: Keeping track of your trades ensures you learn and improve over time. --- Conclusion and Recommendation By focusing on clear trends, momentum, and discipline, you can capitalize on high-probability trading setups like the ones we’ve outlined here. However, it's crucial to understand that not every 5-star setup will be a winner. Even the most promising setups don’t guarantee success every time. The true key to long-term profitability lies in consistently following a well-defined strategy and maintaining a favorable risk/reward ratio. Over time, this disciplined approach can lead to steady profits, helping you grow your trading account while minimizing losses. Having a solid Plan B also keeps you prepared for whatever the market throws your way. With these strategies, you’re not just following the market—you’re mastering it. Can’t Get Enough? Don’t Miss Out! Subscribe to stay updated on all our latest trading ideas and strategies. Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s build a community of traders who are committed to learning, growing, and succeeding together. Your journey to market mastery is just beginning, and we’re here to guide you every step of the way! What You’ll Learn: - In-depth market analysis - Proven trading setups - Effective risk management techniques - The importance of discipline in trading - How to adapt to changing market conditions - And much more!... Best wishes, TradingMasteryHub
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by TradingMasteryHub