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SM: Poised for Silver Alpha? - A Producer's Growth StorySierra Madre Gold and Silver (TSXV: SM) is shaping up to be a prime candidate for significant upside in a rising silver market. Having recently transitioned to commercial production and achieved positive cash flow in Q1 2025, SM has moved past the riskiest development hurdles and is now firmly in the "Production & Growth" phase of the Lassonde Curve. Why SM Stands Out for Potential Upside: - Operational Momentum: In Q1 2025, SM achieved positive cash flow with sales of 165,000 ounces of silver equivalent (AgEq), a critical milestone that validates the Guitarra project's viability. - Improving Cost Structure: All-in Sustaining Costs (AISC) have been brought down to approximately $29/ounce AgEq. This efficiency directly translates to expanded margins as silver prices climb. - Exponential Leverage to Silver Price: At a $40/ounce silver price scenario, SM's margin would jump to over $11/ounce AgEq. This significant increase in profitability is a powerful catalyst for share price appreciation, generating robust free cash flow for reinvestment. - Clear Growth Catalysts: The company has ambitious plans to optimize operations, implement new flotation systems, and expand mill capacity to 1,200-1,500 tonnes per day. This could boost annual production to 2.5-3 million ounces of silver, creating substantial organic growth. - Supportive Environment: A observed positive shift in the Mexican regulatory environment towards mining further enhances investment appeal. Technical Analysis Snapshot: SM's chart shows promising technical signs. After a period of consolidation (akin to a "valley" in the Lassonde Curve), the stock has recently experienced a breakout above a long-term downtrend line, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. Volume accompanying this breakout is crucial for conviction. The stock appears to be establishing new support levels, indicating a potential accumulation phase. Investors should monitor for sustained trading above key moving averages and continued volume confirmation as indicators of a strengthening trend. Risk-Reward Profile: - Risk Profile: Medium to High (as a new, smaller producer with expansion execution risks) - Potential Return at $40 Ag: Very High (due to dramatic profitability increase and accelerated growth) Conclusion: Sierra Madre Gold and Silver is well-positioned to capitalize on a bullish silver market. Its proven production, cost efficiency, and clear expansion roadmap make it a compelling candidate for significant price appreciation as silver prices head towards $40/ounce. For investors seeking "alpha" with a calculated approach to risk, SM offers a compelling growth story.
TSXV:SMLong
by dimzh
BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Weekly Elliott Wave StructureIn this video, we analyze the weekly chart of Bitcoin ( BYBIT:BTCUSDT ) using Elliott Wave theory. The current structure suggests the beginning of a new bullish impulse (waves 0, 1, and 2) following a clearly completed and technically correct corrective phase. We explore potential impulsive scenarios starting from wave 2, using Fibonacci extensions to project possible targets and identifying key support zones and invalidation levels. This analysis aims to provide a macro perspective based on price action, helpful for traders and investors following BTC from a medium- to long-term technical view. 🛑 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Each user is responsible for their own trading decisions.
Long
by Zky17
OKLO — when nuclear momentum breaks resistanceSince late 2024, OKLO had been consolidating inside a clear rectangle between $17 and $59. The breakout from this long-term range triggered a new bullish impulse. The price has since returned to retest the breakout zone, now aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $51.94. The retest has completed, and the price is bouncing upward, confirming buyer interest. Technically, the trend remains firmly bullish. The price closed above the prior range, EMAs are aligned below, and the volume spike during breakout supports genuine demand. The volume profile shows a clean path toward $100, indicating limited resistance ahead. The structure suggests a controlled rally rather than an exhausted move. Fundamentally, OKLO is a next-generation SMR (Small Modular Reactor) company focused on delivering compact, efficient nuclear power solutions. Following its public debut via SPAC and recent capital injection, OKLO is transitioning from development to implementation. Institutional interest is holding strong, and the broader move toward decarbonization and energy independence places the company in a strategic position. Target levels: — First target: $100 — psychological and technical resistance — Second target: $143 — projected from prior range breakout OKLO isn’t just another clean energy ticker — it’s a quiet disruptor with nuclear potential. The chart broke out. The volume confirmed. Now it’s time to see if the market follows through.
NYSE:OKLOLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Mastering Delta–Volume Divergence 🎓 Mastering Delta–Volume Divergence: How to Read Institutional Absorption and Trap Setups ⸻ 1️⃣ What Is Delta? Delta measures the net aggression between buyers and sellers: • Market Buys: traders lifting the ask • minus • Market Sells: traders hitting the bid ✅ Positive Delta indicates stronger buying pressure. ✅ Negative Delta indicates stronger selling pressure. Delta shows who is initiating trades, not just that trading is occurring. ⸻ 2️⃣ What Is Volume? Volume measures the total number of contracts traded, regardless of who initiated them. Every matched buy and sell contributes equally to volume. Volume reveals activity, but not who controls the move. ⸻ 3️⃣ What Is Delta–Volume Divergence? Delta–Volume Divergence occurs when: ✅ Volume is high (lots of trades happening), ✅ But Delta is near zero (neither side dominates). This signals: • Intense two-sided activity between buyers and sellers, • Strong participation on both sides, • Passive absorption—institutions quietly filling large orders without moving price significantly. ⸻ 4️⃣ Chart Breakdown – Bar by Bar Below is a clear example of this concept in practice, reviewing each daily bar from your footprint chart: ⸻ 🔴 June 24 • Delta: -8,240 (strong net selling) • Volume: 575,720 (very high) • Interpretation: • Heavy, aggressive selling. • Clear trend-confirming action. • No divergence. ⸻ 🟢 June 25 • Delta: +4,650 (net buying) • Volume: 343,990 (moderate) • Interpretation: • Counter-trend buying or short covering. • Less volume and less conviction. ⸻ 🟢 June 26 • Delta: +2,690 (mild net buying) • Volume: 416,820 (higher) • Interpretation: • Rising volume but weaker delta. • Early sign of balance developing. • Possible absorption beginning. ⸻ 🟨 June 27 (Critical Bar) • Delta: +272 (near zero) • Volume: 540,310 (very high) • Interpretation: • Huge volume churn. • Neither buyers nor sellers in control. • Likely institutional absorption of aggressive orders. ✅ This is a textbook example of Delta–Volume Divergence. ⸻ 5️⃣ Why This Matters Professional Insight: • Sellers had been aggressive for several sessions. • Suddenly, volume remained elevated, but delta flatlined. • This suggests: • Exhaustion of selling aggression, or • Institutional accumulation and passive positioning. This often sets the stage for: • A trap reversal (short squeeze), or • A continuation flush if sellers regroup and push lower. ⸻ 6️⃣ Confirmation Scenarios Scenario A: Bearish Continuation • Watch for renewed strong negative delta (e.g., -5,000 or worse). • Price remains below the last support (~3,250). • Confirms absorption failed and sellers remain dominant. Scenario B: Short Squeeze Reversal • Price reclaims the VAL (~3,285–3,300). • Delta flips strongly positive (+5,000 or more). • Trapped shorts begin covering, driving price back toward supply. ⸻ 7️⃣ Common Misinterpretation ⚠️ High volume alone does NOT mean momentum. Key Point: If delta is flat, high volume simply means churn, not directional energy. This is why inexperienced traders often get caught: • They see heavy volume and assume a breakout is underway. • In reality, the market is absorbing liquidity to trap both sides. ⸻ 8️⃣ Professional Tips for Trading Divergence ✅ Wait for confirmation before entering: • Clear delta shifts, and • Price reclaiming or rejecting key levels. ✅ Be aware of stop zones: • Under recent lows if buyers fail, • Above recent range if sellers get exhausted. ✅ Avoid trading during pure churn without clear follow-through. ⸻ 9️⃣ Quick Recap ✅ Delta–Volume Divergence: High volume, flat delta, no clear directional control. ✅ Typically signals absorption and position buildup. ✅ Requires confirmation before committing to trades. ✅ Recognizing it helps you avoid traps and false breakouts. ⸻ 🔟 Final Thought Learning to read divergence is what separates professional traders from retail: “Volume tells you how hard the market is working. Delta tells you who’s winning.” Combine both to see the hidden game behind every price bar. ⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This lesson is for educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial advice.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
3
GOLD 4H: not all that glitters is bullish...The 4H chart shows a clean descending triangle breakdown. Price failed to reclaim the trendline and was rejected under both MA50 and MA200. The bounce into 3325–3340 was absorbed — classic liquidity sweep and fade. Volume confirms bearish control. Technically, the breakdown below 3320 opens the way toward $3293 (1.0 Fibo), $3250 (1.272 extension), and final target at $3195 (1.618), where buyers might step in. RSI supports the continuation without signs of reversal. Structure broke — and the market is telling us where it's heading. Tactical plan: — Entry at market or on a retest of $3325–3335 — Targets: $3293 → $3250 → $3195 — Stop: above $3340 (above MA50 and broken trendline) When gold looks shiny, smart traders look deeper. This breakout isn’t golden — it’s a trap for late bulls.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Long & Short Entry Forecast For GoldCooling war tensions seem to be cooling the Gold bullish rally as well. But we're still in the same range since April 15th and will likely stay in the range until further notice *or the next tweet* The Sell entry is great now cos we're near the top of the high volume node, so even if we consolidate around that POC this sell entry will still be putting us closest to the top of the node. Hold your sell and TP at the VAL . We have a very deep low volume area there and its being a point of support since April. So we can place bets with small risk on hoping it holds cos if it doesn't, it wont be pretty. That is still the best place to buy regardless. So manage your risk accordingly TP 1 for the Buy trade is at the POC , which also happens to be the top of the huge volume node. Totally make sense to take a decent chunk of profit of your position there, then move you stop loss into profit and grab some pop corn. Depending on the news , the best case scenario of for the uptrend is to continue all the way up to TP2 which is at the VAH Secure the bag :) Enjoy
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by ExoProtocol
8
XAUUSD DAILY, TRIPLE TOP? DIVERGENCE VOLUME?Hello everyone, how are you? How’s your day going? Let’s talk about XAUUSD on the Daily timeframe. As we can see, XAUUSD has attempted several times to break out from the TRIPLE TOP trendline, but it hasn’t been successful. Looking at the volume, there is no increase in buying— on the contrary, there’s an increase in selling volume, which can be considered a FAKE OUT. So, in my opinion, XAUUSD has the potential to return to the support area, around the psychological level of $3,300 - $3,000, or as shown in the chart, a weekly candle closed with high volume. Well, that’s my take. Good luck! Remember, trading carries high risk—don’t be reckless. Waiting for the best opportunity is never a bad idea, right?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RCT8
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week. On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25. We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear. In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
COMEX:GC1!Short
by LeapTrades
7
BTC/USD 1h Chart Analysis: BTFDBitcoin is showing a bullish structure on the 1h timeframe with a potential move towards $109,000. On smaller timeframes, it exhibits a clear "buy the dip" profile. Key Levels: $109,000: Potential upside target. $107,000: Resistance/Support zone to watch for rejection. $105,000: Low Volume Node (LVN*) a possible good long entry zone. $102,000 - $100,000: Support levels to monitor if $105,000 fails. Currently it have bullish trend with a potential dip near $105,000 showing good entry point.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ArtemFuturesTrading
Silver - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors! Hourly Timeframe 📍 Context The hourly chart is in a sideways range.   Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.55. 📊 Key Actions The 35.30 level on the hourly timeframe has worked well. This level marks the correction extreme within the dominant buyer initiative (i.e., an initiative where the correction is less than 50%). A seller attack bar (IKC) targeting the lower boundary of the sideways range was absorbed by the buyer, and this absorption led to a renewed buyer. Targets visible on the chart - Hourly and daily timeframe: 36.55 and 36.89 Daily Timeframe 📍 Context Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.89. 📊 Key Actions On the daily timeframe, there was also a seller IKC bar attacking the lower boundary of the buyer's initiative, which was bought back by the buyer. 🎯 Trade Idea Potential buying patterns can now be monitored at: 36.20, 36.05, 35.67, 35.458 With targets set at: 36.55, 36.89, 37.32. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAGUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Bitcoin - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors! 📍 Context On the daily timeframe, the market is in a sideways range. The boundaries are marked with black lines. Buyer initiative is currently active. Targets: 108,952; 110,530; 111,980. 📊 Key Actions The seller attempted twice, on increased volume, to break down below the range, but both times the buyer brought the price back inside. Only seller wicks remained below the lower boundary. 🎯 Trade Idea 🔹 Look for long setups from 105 500 -104,622 or the 103,400–100,718 zone. There is no context for short trades at the moment. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
SMALL RETEST on BTC and continuation of BTC TrendThe small range forming just under local resistance is weak and showing signs of exhaustion. Despite a possible red dot printing soon, volume is not confirming a strong bearish divergence, so don’t assume a major drop is guaranteed just yet. The “Uneven Butcheeks” pattern visually highlights imbalance A fakeout back into the range, or A flush to grab liquidity sitting beneath key demand zones. Key Scenarios Scenario A (Orange Path) A breakout through the overhead supply zone could trigger upside continuation toward $111,850. But unless it’s backed by strong volume and broader BTC strength, I’ll be fading this move. Right now, this doesn’t look like conviction from bulls — it looks like exhaustion. Scenario B (Purple Path) A rejection at current levels or a weak fakeout could break back into the demand zone. With thin structure below and low buy-side aggression, price could sweep down toward $102.9k–$101.1k, or even lower. If we get this move, I’ll be watching how buyers behave around the lower demand — that’s where bulls need to prove themselves. ⚠️ Strategy: Don’t front-run this — let the price confirm or invalidate. Watch volume. Watch BTC dominance. Until then, this zone is chop-heavy, and patience = protection.
Long
by petermichalides
2
GOLD. Daily Timeframe overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Market phase : sideways. Seller's initiative. Boundaries marked with black lines. Gold followed an alternative scenario from the previous review toward 3435. The buyer played out the 8-9 vector of the range on the daily timeframe, and now the initiative has shifted to the seller. The seller's targets are 3245 and 3201 — areas to watch for potential buy patterns aiming for a new ATH. The price might get stuck in the 3293–3271 zone. If a strong buyer reaction occurs, a reversal may happen in this range. The ideal area to look for buy patterns is around 3201. Selling is risky. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Gold:bullish wedge inside a rising channel-double trap for bearsInside the major upward channel, gold formed a falling wedge — and, of course, faked a breakdown. But the move reversed quickly: price reclaimed the wedge, surged on volume, and held above the key 3363–3368 area. This isn't just a bounce — it's a structural reclaim in line with the broader trend. Price is now in the upper part of the rising channel and has broken a local downtrend line, reinforcing the bullish signal. Consolidation around 3380–3395 might be the last pause before acceleration. Above that lies a volume gap — no resistance until 3452. MACD is flipping bullish, RSI turning upward, and volume confirms smart money presence. Classic: trap below, breakout above. As long as 3363 holds — longs remain in control.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
2
EURUSD -> Bullish Idea 22/06/2025(ICT x Volume Profile)OANDA:EURUSD 🎯 Bias: Bullish 🕒 Timeframe: H1 primary, H15 confirmation Happy sunday traders! Following President Trump’s strikes on Iran, I expect an initial bearish reaction in the Asian and London Sessions, then a bullish reaction in the NY sessions as sellers push the USD lower. However, the prevailing trend context remains bullish: the hourly chart has shifted structure (MSS) and broke structure to the upside. I anticipate a liquidity sweep below the recent lows, before a retracement into the 15-minute fair value gap (FVG) which aligns with the volume profile, then continuation higher to target the weak high and into the swing highs marked.
Long
by bobphamm
BTC MACRO PLAY - SHORT TRADE SETUP📉 BTC/USDT SHORT TRADE SETUP – WEEKLY TIMEFRAME 🔍 Trade Idea Overview: We are seeing a bearish divergence between price and volume on the weekly chart — while price makes higher highs, volume is decreasing, signaling a potential reversal or weakening trend. Further confluence is seen with the VMC Cipher indicator. If a red dot prints, it will confirm the short entry. If not, the trade idea should be abandoned. 📊 Trade Plan: Entry Zone: Around $106,300–$107,000 (wait for confirmation) TP 1 🎯: $102,000 TP 2 🎯: $97,500 TP 3 🎯: $93,000 🛑 Risk Management: Stop-Loss: Above recent highs at $111,800 (or adjusted based on your entry) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Once TP 1 is reached, move stop-loss to breakeven to protect capital and eliminate risk. TP 3 may never be reached, but it remains part of the plan to capture extended downside if momentum continues. If no red dot prints, there is no confirmation — be ready to abandon the trade.
Short
by petermichalides
2