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VRX

VRX imminent attack to 18 dollarsVRX after the correction largly expected, yesterday as demostrated a strong bullish counterattack closing the session slightly less than the short entry recovering mostly 100%. The pattern therefore shows clearly the uptrend line in place. Investors are considering a Q4 better than Q3 looking for new confirmation about debit reduction, so I expect price will move up, breaking down the barrier set at 18 dollars. In case of confirmation this would be a strong signal as Valeant is gaining back attention and potential turn around. Still there is a long way to go through, but what is important right now to highlight is that the trend has been confirmed.
VLong
by TRADOMICS_
VRX, Another trade for risk lovers.CMG did bounce off the support and a 2618 trade is just on the mark; while another stock that is hated for quite a long time gives a long opportunity for risk lover, too. It's rare to see 2 harmonic patterns suggesting similar entries, which makes it worth watching carefully! It still better to wait for reversal sign in smaller time frame instead of put a buy limit to create liquidity for it. And of course, a VRX long, actually a VRX trade means HUGE RISK including the overnight gap , so don't try this trade if you don't position yourself a risk lover kind of trader. *Educational use only
VLong
by Trader_Joe_Lee
3
THE WEEK AHEAD: IT'S EYEBALLS ON THE FEDUgh. Doing my weekly market review/screening and there is literally nothing high IVR/high IV to play ... . Nada ... . Zilch ... . One option is to sell puts in one of these "just high IV" underlyings: VRX: April 21st 11 goes for .56 AKS: April 21st 7 goes for .31 AMD: April 21st 13 goes for .66 WLL: April 21st 8 goes for .28 CLF April 21st 8 goes for .34 X: April 21st 32 goes for 1.25 These are all at or around the 30 delta ... . Those plays, however, are not my "favorite girls to dance with at the ball." For earnings, what little "quality" stuff is left to this season is still a few days out: FDX (IVR 92/IV 30) (3/21 AMC) GME (IVR 73/IV 46) (3/23 AMC) MU (IVR 76/IV 47) (3/23) VIX: For a "Term Structure" play,* the earliest expiry where the 50 delta strike is at 16 or greater and pays ~2.50/contract is June, and that's 101 DTE ... . Of course, we have that little Fed shindig going on next week. Implied volatility and the VIX can turn on a dime, but I've been waiting for VIX to turn on a dime for weeks ... .
TVC:VIX
by NaughtyPines
2
WEEK OF 11/20: HIGH IV IN PETRO UNDERLYINGS; NOT MUCH ELSEWHEREAfter having gone through my usual routine of screening for high implied volatility rank/high implied volatility underlyings for plays this coming week, one thing stands out: the implied volatility is in petro, with stocks like CHK, SDRL, WFT, PBR and the like rounding out my top 10 IV list.* With OPEC talks approaching here, and "friskiness" in petro-based underlyings likely to ensue, I'm loathe to pile into more petro, particularly if it involves a bullish assumption. The "more likely than not" outcome is no meaningful OPEC agreement as to cuts, which means oil down, which means further long opportunities below somewhere. If the contrarian outcome comes to pass (i.e., "meaningful cuts"), well, then I've just plain ass missed an opportunity to add long positions here and will have to make do with the bullish assumption positions I've got on here. That being said, the "Top 10" list isn't entirely bereft of possibilities, depending on your risk tolerance and aversion to roller coasters. For example, GPRO may be worth a bullish assumption play here on the notion that Christmas sales of its drones will be "brisk," something we probably won't know unless GPRO discloses its unit sales before its Q4 earnings announcement next year. The nearest to the 20-delta strike short put, 45 DTE, however, is the Dec 30th 8.5, which would bring in .36 ($36)/contract at the mid -- not exactly something that gets me excited. Even assuming I wanted to go nondirectional (short strangle/straddle, iron condor/fly), I can't squeeze enough out of those setups premium wise to make it worthwhile. VRX is, well, VRX. The Dec 30th 14.5 short put (currently the 19 delta) goes for .66 ($66) at the mid price. That isn't bad, but I have to put up with sitting on pins and needles for 5 weeks or more with that setup. The alternative would be to go with a defined risk setup (not keen on being caught undefined in a potential whipsaw). Even there, however, an iron condor won't pay out at least 1.00 in credit without forcing the wings in beyond the 1 SD (I prefer more room with volatile biotech), and I'm not sure that I would want to go with the narrower breakevens of a fly, in spite of the fact that the credit I'd receive at the door would be more than sufficient. (A Dec 30th 13/18/18/23 iron fly would bring in 2.78, for example). Well, what about AMD? That's in the list ... . Like its semicon counterpart, NVDA, AMD's been on a rip and the place to have gotten in was lower for a bullish assumption play (scratches "short put" off his list). And nondirectional doesn't pay enough: the Dec 30th 8.5 short straddle would bring in a 1.44 credit at the mid (I like to get at least 2.00 out of those); the 7/10.5 short strangle, .40 at the mid. Defined risk (flies, condors) will bring in even less. CLF? Same deal (can't get much out of the 45 DTE 20 delta short put; short straddle/strangle, iron condor/fly bring in too little premium). Ugh. Sometimes, these holiday weeks are best for hand sitting ... . Looks like this is going to be "par for the course." * -- The top 10 implied volatility stocks (in descending order): CHK, WFT, VRX, CLF, AMD, GPRO, PBR, RIG, VALE, CX, UNG.
AMEX:XOP
by NaughtyPines