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GM 5M Long Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade + long impulse + SOS level + support level + 1/2 correction + Sp Calculated affordable stop limir 1 to 2 R/R take profit 1H Trend "+ long impulse + volumed SOS test / T2 level + support level + 1/2 correction + biggest volume Sp + weak test + first buying bar closed" 1D CounterTrend "- short balance - unvolumed expanding T1 + volumed 2Sp+ + test" 1M Trend "+ long impulse - below 1/2 correction + SOS test level?" 1Y Trend "+ long balance - neutral zone"
NYSE:GMLong
by MishaSuvorov
F 5M Long Conservative Trend DayTrade Conservative Trend Trade + long impulse + SOS level + 1/2 correction + support level + biggest volume 2Sp+ Calculated affordable stop limit 1D T2 take profit 1H Trend "+ long impulse - before 1/2 correction + SOS test level" 1D Trend "- short impulse + exhaustion volume + volumed TE / T1 level + biggest volume 2Sp+ + test" 1M CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1/2 correction - unvolumed T1 + support level + reverse volume approach + volumed manipulation" 1Y Trend "+ long impulse + volumed T2 level + volumed 2Sp+ + weak test"
NYSE:FLong
by MishaSuvorov
GM 1H Long Swing Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade + long impulse + volumed SOS test / T2 level + support level + 1/2 correction + biggest volume Sp Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R above 1D T1 before 1/2 1M Daily CounterTrend "- short balance - unvolumed expanding T1 + volumed 2Sp+ + test" Monthly Trend "+ long impulse - below 1/2 correction + SOS test level?" Yearly Trend "+ long balance - neutral zone" Will add more if 5M corrects to 1/2 or 1H doest weak test and resumes buying
NYSE:GM
by MishaSuvorov
BTC. Weekly Candle Hints at New ATHHey traders and investors! The closing of the weekly candle increases the likelihood of updating the all-time high (ATH). Weekly Timeframe Analysis On the weekly chart, the price has formed a range with boundaries: Lower boundary: 89,256 Upper boundary: 109,588 The weekly candle with a large selling wick within the seller's vector 5-6 dropped below the lower boundary of the range (89,256) but closed above this level. At the same time, this candle had the highest volume in 2025 (!). The key volume of this candle is concentrated below 89,256 (!) in the 87,000-84,000 range (highlighted by a blue band on the chart). Another important fact is that the 87,000-84,000 range is within the key candle of the penultimate buyer's impulse on the weekly timeframe (!). This candle had an even larger volume (KC on the chart), which increases the significance of this zone. The price has reached the level of 50% (78676) of the last impulse on the monthly TF (!). 4 key signals (!) indicate a higher probability of updating the ATH: the candle closing above 89,256, the concentration of volume in the 87,000-84,000 range, and the presence of even greater volume in the key candle of the previous impulse. Within the range, the current buyer's vector is 6-7, with potential targets at 99,550, 102,500, and 109,588. To refine entry points, let's analyze the hourly timeframe. Hourly Timeframe Analysis The hourly chart shows a strong buyer impulse. The key candle (KC on the chart) is highlighted on the chart. The priority zone for identifying buy patterns is within the key candle range or near 50% of the buyer's impulse, as this level often serves as a support point after a strong movement. It represents a balance between buyers and sellers, where major market participants may show interest in continuing the trend, which corresponds to the 91,200 – 85,100 range (marked with a rectangle on the chart). I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Bullish behaviour on NEM stockThe price of Newmont Corporation shares retraced to the areas where professional buying took place in the past (blue rectangles). The volume during that move down is decreasing, which, according to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), is bullish behaviour. Also, given that today's bar penetrates the recent demand zone and the professionals were buying there again, this stock looks very strong and has a high chance of reversal. Closing above the $43.72 level followed by its testing on daily or lower (1H, 15 minutes) timeframes might start the rally towards $55.13 - $55.89 with resistance around $49.27 - $50.12. If today's bar is tested and supply reappears during this process, we may expect an extension of the ongoing correction to the $37.53 - $38.37 area and another surge of buying there.
NYSE:NEMLong
by VSA_Home
MGNT 1H Long Investment Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade + long impulse + SOS level + 1/2 correction + volumed 2Sp- - day will close without test Calculated affordable stop limit 1/2 1M take profit Daily Trend "+ long impulse + SOS test / T2 level + support level - strong approach from volume zone + biggest volume manipulation" Monthly Trend + long impulse + expanding biggest volume T2 + support level + 1/2 correction + unvolumed 2Sp- + strong buying bars + weak selling bar / test Yearly no context
RUS:MGNTLong
by MishaSuvorov
BTCUSDT. We can start looking for medium-term purchases.Hey traders and investors! Looks like price is close to downside targets as expected in the linked post. I assume that the most capitalized coins have not yet reached their short targets (for example BTC, BNB, SOL). This means that there will probably be further price reductions. The price has almost reached the level of 50% of the last impulse on the monthly TF. We can start looking for medium-term purchases. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
PFE 1H Long Swing Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade + long impulse + SOS level + support level + 1/2 correction + biggest volumed Sp Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit before 1/2 of the Month Expandable to 1/2 of the Year Daily Trend: "+ long impulse + neutral zone + close to 1/2 correction" Monthly CounterTrend "- short balance + unvolumed expanding ICE + volumed 2Sp- + weak test" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + exhaustion volume?" Will add more if corrects to 1/2 of 1H wave.
NYSE:PFELong
by MishaSuvorov
OGKB 5M Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + biggest volume T1 level + biggest volume 2Sp- + weak test + first bullish bar close entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1/2 yearly level take profit at 0.459 1H Counter Trend "- short impulse + biggest volume TE / T1 level + support level + volumed 2Sp-" 1D Trend "+ long impulse + JOC level + support level + 1/2 correction + volumed manipulation" 1M Trend "+ long impulse (in 1d 4h) + neutral zone" 1Y CounterTrend """- short impulse + 2Sp- + perforated support level"""
RUS:OGKBLong
by MishaSuvorov
Ford 1D Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + exhaustion volume + 1/2 correction Calculated affordable stop limit Take profit: 1/3 to 1/2 Month Trend 1/3 to Month T2 1/3 to Year 1/2 Sell F Limit at $14.95 (Good 'til Canceled) Sell F Limit at $11.57 (Good 'til Canceled) Sell F Limit at $10.21 (Good 'til Canceled) Monthly CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1/2 correction - unvolumed T1 + support level + reverse volume approach + volumed manipulation" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse + volumed T2 level + volumed 2Sp+ + weak test"
NYSE:FLong
by MishaSuvorov
Strength on HPQ ChartHP Inc., stock approaches the bottom of the sideways channel (black horizontal lines) from which it may bounce again. During the May 29, 2024 bar, professionals bought (blue rectangle), and since then, whenever the price reached this zone, they were buying more. It should be noted that the buying around the bottom of the sideways is much bigger than the selling around its top which is bullish behaviour. Wyckoff's Spring on the recent activity adds to strength too. Another good sign for bulls is the decreasing volume on the down move, which indicates an absence of professional interest in lowering prices. The testing process is ongoing as of today. If the price reaches the buying zone and no supply reappears, there is a big probability for a move up towards $37.30 - $ 39.29 with minor resistance around $34.62 - $34.72. If supply reappears and the price breaks the bottom of the sideways channel ($32.41) we may see another leg down to $29.00 - $30.00 for more buying.
NYSE:HPQLong
by VSA_Home
MRK 5M Long Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + exhaustion volume + volumed T1 + volumed 2Sp- + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1/2 1M take profit Hourly CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1D SOS level" Daily Trend "+ long impulse + SOS level - before 1/2 correction" Monthly CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1/2 correction + exhaustion volume?" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + exhaustion volume?"
NYSE:MRKLong
by MishaSuvorov
POSI 1H Investment Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade - short impulse + volumed T1 level / SOS test level + volumed 2Sp- + weak test Calculated affordable stop limit 1/2 Monthly wave take profit Daily Trend "+ long impulse? - resistance level - short volume distribution" Monthly Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + volumed expanding T1 + support level + biggest volume manipulation" Yearly Trend + long impulse Weird set up. Market is strong and Monthly look a lot like exhaustion!
RUS:POSI
by MishaSuvorov
Why the Piercing Line Failed to Reverse the Trend?Why the Piercing Line Failed to Reverse the Trend? A Piercing Line pattern is a bullish reversal signal that appears after a downtrend. However, this pattern failed to reverse the bearish trend in today’s price action due to the following key reasons: 1. Lack of Follow-Through Buying • A strong Piercing Line requires the next candle to be bullish, closing above the previous day’s high, confirming a shift in momentum. • Instead, today’s candle is a strong bearish engulfing bar, completely wiping out the bullish intent. This shows sellers overpowered buyers immediately. 2. Rejection at Key Resistance (Supply Zone) • The price attempted to push higher but got rejected at 2,956-2,972 (VWAP Upper Band & VSA Resistance). • Liquidity absorption at this level suggests smart money selling into strength, not accumulation. 3. Weak Volume Confirmation • A strong Piercing Line should come with increasing volume, indicating strong buying pressure. • Volume was weak (-5.8%), meaning there was no real commitment from buyers. • A spread increase (+74.95%) without volume support suggests a liquidity grab rather than true demand. 4. Order Flow Shows More Aggressive Selling • Delta is negative, indicating more market sells than buys. • The footprint chart shows large sell orders dominating, meaning big players are still offloading. 5. Bearish Momentum Dominates Lower Timeframes • 1H, 4H, and 8H charts show bearish continuation patterns with price breaking key VWAP levels. • No higher highs or strong demand zones were created, meaning bulls are not defending. Conclusion: No Bullish Confirmation → Bearish Continuation A Piercing Line is only valid if buyers sustain momentum. Since today’s session completely erased the bullish signal, this is a failed reversal and more downside is expected. Trade Plan (Bearish Bias) • Sell Below: 2,891 • Stop Loss: 2,920 • Target 1: 2,863 • Target 2: 2,850-2,810 👉 Key Takeaway: Price action alone is not enough. Volume, order flow, and momentum must align for a true reversal.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Strength on PCAR stock Paccar Inc. stock looks strong. We can see that since October 2024, the largest volume occurred after publishing earnings reports or on ex-dividend dates. Please note that: - All bars on those days are down with the closing price in the middle of the bar which in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) indicates strength. - The volume on the October 22nd 2024 daily bar is the largest till now and the current price is above it. - All professional activity after October 2024 is happening around the buying zone created during the October 22nd bar (blue rectangle $104.38 - $104.91). - Recent buying (February 12th) breaks the previous low ($102.64) and recovers above that level which is a Wyckoff's Spring. This all is very bullish. Still, the last testing showed the presence of supply. If professionals can absorb the supply, we may expect a rally towards $116.01 - $117.83 with potential resistance in the $112.18 - $114.73 zone. Otherwise, another leg down to $100.01 for more buying is possible.
NASDAQ:PCARLong
by VSA_Home
DXY. Attempt to change the trendHey traders and investors! In a recent analysis of the AUDUSD currency pair (available in related posts), I mentioned a high probability of a reversal forming on the weekly timeframe. This conclusion was also supported by the situation on the daily timeframe. Currently, a similar situation is observed with the US Dollar Index. This review illustrates the relationship between different timeframes, aiding in making better decisions in asset analysis and entry point identification. 1D Timeframe The US Dollar Index (DXY) is in a downtrend on the daily timeframe after breaking down from a consolidation range. The boundaries of this range are marked by black lines on the chart. A key level protecting the breakout from the range is 106.957, which marks the beginning of the last seller's impulse. At the start of this impulse, a seller's zone formed (red rectangle on the chart). At the end of the impulse, there was a buyer's bar with increased volume, indicating buyer interest at these price levels. The volume in this bar is concentrated in its upper part (blue line on the chart), suggesting potential seller interest. Key Levels on 1D Timeframe: Key resistance (start of the last seller's impulse): 106.957 50% of the last impulse: 106.435 Last impulse low: 105.913 Trading Recommendations: Selling: Look for selling patterns near resistance levels, especially around 106.957. Buying: Currently, there are no conditions for buying (bearish trend). Buyers need to consolidate above 106.957 to change market dynamics and create opportunities for buying patterns. Now let's analyze a higher timeframe to understand potential downward targets and obstacles. In my opinion, the 11-day timeframe shows the situation best. 11D Timeframe On the 11-day timeframe, the price is moving within a sideways range, with the upper boundary at 106.952 (close to the daily level of 106.957) and the lower boundary at 99.099. The last realized vector in the range is a buyer's impulse 7-8. The key bar of this impulse (highest volume) is located in its middle (marked as KC on the chart). The price broke above the upper boundary of the range during this impulse. However, the seller returned the price into the range, forming a seller's zone above the upper boundary (red rectangle on the chart). This seller's zone corresponds to the daily range. All of this appears as manipulation (false breakout) of the upper boundary of the range. The current seller's vector is 8-9, with a potential target of 99.807 (99.099). Obstacles for sellers include the key bar of the buyer's impulse, inside of which is the 50% retracement of the last impulse. I expect the first buyer reaction (long bar on the 11D timeframe) after the price declines to the range of 105.112 - 104.843. Thus, the 11-day timeframe supports the conclusion on the daily timeframe about the advisability of searching for short positions. Similarly, one can analyze a smaller timeframe, for example, the hourly, to look for short entry patterns. Key Levels on 11D Timeframe: Upper boundary of the range: 106.952 50% of the last buyer's impulse: 104.843 First target for selling (PT Short): 99.807 Lower boundary of the range: 99.099 I wish you profitable trades!
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AlexeyWolf
USDJPY. The price is at a key level – shorts might be relevant!Hey traders and investors! An interesting situation in the currency pair. The price has returned below the upper boundary of the range at 149.4. Is all the traded volume above this level fueling further price decline? There is a lot of volume up there... We are watching how the price interacts with 148.644. A breakout of this level by sellers and its defense would be a strong signal to look for selling opportunities. Potential target: 142-139. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Strength on FMC stockAfter publishing the February 5th 2025 earnings report, the FMC Corporation stock gapped down, losing almost 34% of its value. Moreover, nowadays, the company is under serious pressure after being accused of publishing false Sales and Inventory information and downgrading shares from "Buy" to "Neutral" by some analytic companies (e.g. Redburn). Logically, in such circumstances, prices should continue down, but as a matter of fact, it is not the case. Why? First, the February 5th bar is a down bar on a huge (largest in the last 15 years) volume, which, according to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), indicates professional buying. Then, 2 days later, professionals bought again and the market responded by the higher prices. Finally, the gapped-down bar reached the level of the previous support (blue rectangle on the daily and weekly charts), which adds strength. Even though it looks very bullish on the daily chart, the price should be tested before the rally. Therefore, we may expect a shallow correction to $35.13 - $36.34 or, if supply is still there, to $30.80-33.73. If testing is successful and the up move begins, the potential resistance on the way up will be around $48.06-$48.73 and $52.65 - $54.54 areas.
NYSE:FMCLong
by VSA_Home
Weakness on HOOD stockRobinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) shares appear to have sold off after publishing its February 12th earnings report. Following the report's good news, the market gapped up on opening and triggered a buying surge, allowing professionals to sell. The next day, the price recovered on a significantly lower volume, indicating absence of the professional interest on the upside (weakness). Then, on February 18th, another selling took place, which absorbed the remaining demand and pushed the price below the low of the gapped-up bar. This is bearish behaviour. It has to be noted that there were a few more selling activities in December 2024/January 2025 (red rectangles), making the overall situation on the stock even weaker. Despite the serious weakness, we may still see a retracement up into the $62.09 - $65.21 area for either more selling or retesting of demand, after which a move down to the $41.04-$42.66 zone could be expected. In this case, the support might reappear around the $52.96 level and at the $49.56 - $50.19 area.
NASDAQ:HOODShort
by VSA_Home
Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in VSAMastering Institutional Trading: Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) Observation – Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in Market Structure A buying climax (BC) occurs when price surges sharply alongside high trading volume, signaling strong buying activity. However, this aggressive move often exhausts demand, leading to a stop, where price movement either pauses or begins to reverse. At this point, the market assesses whether buyers can sustain the uptrend or if selling pressure will take over. In Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), a classic sequence is: 1. Buying Climax (BC): A sharp move up with high volume. 2. Stop Bar: Price consolidation or minor pullback after the climax. 3. Spring Bar: A downward shakeout followed by a reversal, indicating the presence of renewed buying interest. A spring bar after a stop is a bullish signal, suggesting that previous selling pressure has been absorbed and institutions may be accumulating positions. If confirmed by a strong up bar with high volume, this signals a potential breakout, as it demonstrates that buyers are stepping back into the market. The strength of the bar following the spring is crucial. A wide-range bullish candle with rising volume confirms that buying pressure is resuming, increasing the probability of an uptrend continuation. However, weak volume or failure to clear key resistance levels can indicate a fakeout, leading to further downside. 🔥 XAUMO Institutional Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD) Tokyo Session (Feb 18, 2025) Market Context – Tokyo Session vs. Prior Market Structure 📍 Current Price: $2,902.98 📍 Key Institutional Levels from Yesterday: • Resistance Rejection: $2,906.30 (VSA Liquidity High) • Support Zone: $2,891.67 - $2,888.11 (Institutional Demand Area) • XAUMO 2RC/Black Swan Stop Zones: $2,892.92 (Key Bullish Trigger or Stop Hunt Zone) Tokyo Session Key Observations ✅ Buying Climax (BC) → Strong price rally with high volume. ✅ Stop Bar Formation → Market paused following the aggressive buying. ✅ Spring Bar Emergence → Potential bullish reversal structure forming. ✅ VSA Condition: Neutral → The market is in transition; no clear trend yet. ✅ Volume Change: -10.7% (Slight decline, indicating caution among buyers). ✅ Spread Change: +23.27% (Wide price movements suggest liquidity testing by institutions). 📊 XAUMO Institutional Breakdown – Understanding Buying Climax & Spring 1️⃣ Buying Climax (BC) – Institutional Aggression & Liquidity Test 🔹 Yesterday, price reached resistance at $2,906.30 and pulled back. 🔹 A sharp rally (BC) on high volume suggested aggressive buying by institutions. 🔹 Liquidity was likely absorbed in the $2,892.92 - $2,891.67 range before the price pushed back up. 📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways: • A buying climax signals strong demand, but the pause suggests Smart Money is evaluating the next move. • The next confirmation move is crucial—continuation or reversal depends on volume and structure. 2️⃣ Stop Bar – Institutional Liquidity Testing 🔹 After the BC, price stalled and formed a stop bar (consolidation). 🔹 This stop represents either accumulation (buying) or distribution (selling). 📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways: • Break below $2,892.92 → Indicates deeper liquidity absorption; potential downside continuation. • Holding above $2,891.67 → Suggests institutions are accumulating for a bullish breakout. 3️⃣ Spring Bar – The Institutional Shakeout Before a Move? 🔹 Price dipped towards $2,891.67 before rebounding—forming a spring bar. 🔹 This can be a bullish signal, but confirmation is needed. 📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways: • If the next candle is a strong up bar with increasing volume → Confirms bullish continuation. • If the price struggles above $2,905+ or volume remains weak → Expect a fakeout and potential dump. 🚀 XAUMO Institutional Trade Plan – Tokyo Session Execution 📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Spring Confirmation & Volume Increases) 💰 Buy XAU/USD @ $2,903.50 - $2,905 📍 Stop Loss: $2,892.92 (Institutional Stop Zone) 🎯 Target Levels: 1️⃣ $2,910 2️⃣ $2,916 3️⃣ $2,923 ✅ Probability: 75% 📌 Why? • The spring bar bounced from liquidity → Possible upside confirmation. • If the next bar shows strength, buyers are stepping in → Expect breakout above $2,906. 📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection (Failure at $2,905 - $2,906 Again) 💰 Sell XAU/USD @ $2,905 📍 Stop Loss: $2,910 🎯 Target Levels: 1️⃣ $2,895 2️⃣ $2,892 3️⃣ $2,888 ✅ Probability: 70% 📌 Why? • If price rejects resistance at $2,906.30, Smart Money is distributing positions. • Volume drop (-10.7%) suggests buyers aren’t fully committed. • Break below $2,892.92 could trigger more sell pressure towards $2,888. 📢 XAUMO Execution Strategy – Final Institutional Outlook ✅ Next hourly bar confirmation is critical → The spring must be followed by a strong up bar for a bullish breakout. ✅ If price holds $2,892 - $2,891.67, upside potential remains valid. ✅ If price fails at $2,906 and volume weakens, expect another rejection and potential downside move. 🔥 Smart Money moves strategically—wait for confirmation before entering! 🚀 📖 XAUMO Institutional Strategy – Simplified for Beginners 1️⃣ Buying Climax (BC): The price surges fast, attracting late buyers, but Smart Money is already planning their next move. 2️⃣ Stop Bar: The price pauses or reverses. This is where institutions test liquidity to see if there’s enough demand for a move higher. 3️⃣ Spring Bar: A small drop that shakes out weak traders before a possible reversal. If confirmed, it means Smart Money is accumulating. 🔹 Next Step? • If buyers come back strong, price breaks higher (bullish). • If volume remains weak, Smart Money sells into the rally, and price drops again (bearish). 💡 Tip: Don’t rush in! Institutions don’t reveal their moves immediately—wait for confirmation before entering a trade. 🚀
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Strength on MRNADespite negative news, Moderna, Inc. stock is in a good position to rally. Its price has been falling since August 2021, but relatively big buys have begun to emerge since August 2024. It has to be noted that on every bar with buying, volume is increasing, which is usually a sign of accumulation on a down move. If the price breaks the $40.83 level (the high of the bar with the largest volume), then tests it on low volume later, and supply does not re-emerge in the $49.94 - $56.70 zone, this would signal the end of accumulation. In such a case, we could expect the move towards $102.90 - $118.10, and if shares would not be sold off there, it might go even higher to $156.94 - $163.19. At the same time, if accumulation has not been finished yet, we may still see another leg down for more buying.
NASDAQ:MRNALong
by VSA_Home
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