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Strength on PCAR stock Paccar Inc. stock looks strong. We can see that since October 2024, the largest volume occurred after publishing earnings reports or on ex-dividend dates. Please note that: - All bars on those days are down with the closing price in the middle of the bar which in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) indicates strength. - The volume on the October 22nd 2024 daily bar is the largest till now and the current price is above it. - All professional activity after October 2024 is happening around the buying zone created during the October 22nd bar (blue rectangle $104.38 - $104.91). - Recent buying (February 12th) breaks the previous low ($102.64) and recovers above that level which is a Wyckoff's Spring. This all is very bullish. Still, the last testing showed the presence of supply. If professionals can absorb the supply, we may expect a rally towards $116.01 - $117.83 with potential resistance in the $112.18 - $114.73 zone. Otherwise, another leg down to $100.01 for more buying is possible.
NASDAQ:PCARLong
by VSA_Home
Strength on FMC stockAfter publishing the February 5th 2025 earnings report, the FMC Corporation stock gapped down, losing almost 34% of its value. Moreover, nowadays, the company is under serious pressure after being accused of publishing false Sales and Inventory information and downgrading shares from "Buy" to "Neutral" by some analytic companies (e.g. Redburn). Logically, in such circumstances, prices should continue down, but as a matter of fact, it is not the case. Why? First, the February 5th bar is a down bar on a huge (largest in the last 15 years) volume, which, according to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), indicates professional buying. Then, 2 days later, professionals bought again and the market responded by the higher prices. Finally, the gapped-down bar reached the level of the previous support (blue rectangle on the daily and weekly charts), which adds strength. Even though it looks very bullish on the daily chart, the price should be tested before the rally. Therefore, we may expect a shallow correction to $35.13 - $36.34 or, if supply is still there, to $30.80-33.73. If testing is successful and the up move begins, the potential resistance on the way up will be around $48.06-$48.73 and $52.65 - $54.54 areas.
NYSE:FMCLong
by VSA_Home
Weakness on HOOD stockRobinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) shares appear to have sold off after publishing its February 12th earnings report. Following the report's good news, the market gapped up on opening and triggered a buying surge, allowing professionals to sell. The next day, the price recovered on a significantly lower volume, indicating absence of the professional interest on the upside (weakness). Then, on February 18th, another selling took place, which absorbed the remaining demand and pushed the price below the low of the gapped-up bar. This is bearish behaviour. It has to be noted that there were a few more selling activities in December 2024/January 2025 (red rectangles), making the overall situation on the stock even weaker. Despite the serious weakness, we may still see a retracement up into the $62.09 - $65.21 area for either more selling or retesting of demand, after which a move down to the $41.04-$42.66 zone could be expected. In this case, the support might reappear around the $52.96 level and at the $49.56 - $50.19 area.
NASDAQ:HOODShort
by VSA_Home
Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in VSAMastering Institutional Trading: Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) Observation – Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in Market Structure A buying climax (BC) occurs when price surges sharply alongside high trading volume, signaling strong buying activity. However, this aggressive move often exhausts demand, leading to a stop, where price movement either pauses or begins to reverse. At this point, the market assesses whether buyers can sustain the uptrend or if selling pressure will take over. In Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), a classic sequence is: 1. Buying Climax (BC): A sharp move up with high volume. 2. Stop Bar: Price consolidation or minor pullback after the climax. 3. Spring Bar: A downward shakeout followed by a reversal, indicating the presence of renewed buying interest. A spring bar after a stop is a bullish signal, suggesting that previous selling pressure has been absorbed and institutions may be accumulating positions. If confirmed by a strong up bar with high volume, this signals a potential breakout, as it demonstrates that buyers are stepping back into the market. The strength of the bar following the spring is crucial. A wide-range bullish candle with rising volume confirms that buying pressure is resuming, increasing the probability of an uptrend continuation. However, weak volume or failure to clear key resistance levels can indicate a fakeout, leading to further downside. 🔥 XAUMO Institutional Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD) Tokyo Session (Feb 18, 2025) Market Context – Tokyo Session vs. Prior Market Structure 📍 Current Price: $2,902.98 📍 Key Institutional Levels from Yesterday: • Resistance Rejection: $2,906.30 (VSA Liquidity High) • Support Zone: $2,891.67 - $2,888.11 (Institutional Demand Area) • XAUMO 2RC/Black Swan Stop Zones: $2,892.92 (Key Bullish Trigger or Stop Hunt Zone) Tokyo Session Key Observations ✅ Buying Climax (BC) → Strong price rally with high volume. ✅ Stop Bar Formation → Market paused following the aggressive buying. ✅ Spring Bar Emergence → Potential bullish reversal structure forming. ✅ VSA Condition: Neutral → The market is in transition; no clear trend yet. ✅ Volume Change: -10.7% (Slight decline, indicating caution among buyers). ✅ Spread Change: +23.27% (Wide price movements suggest liquidity testing by institutions). 📊 XAUMO Institutional Breakdown – Understanding Buying Climax & Spring 1️⃣ Buying Climax (BC) – Institutional Aggression & Liquidity Test 🔹 Yesterday, price reached resistance at $2,906.30 and pulled back. 🔹 A sharp rally (BC) on high volume suggested aggressive buying by institutions. 🔹 Liquidity was likely absorbed in the $2,892.92 - $2,891.67 range before the price pushed back up. 📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways: • A buying climax signals strong demand, but the pause suggests Smart Money is evaluating the next move. • The next confirmation move is crucial—continuation or reversal depends on volume and structure. 2️⃣ Stop Bar – Institutional Liquidity Testing 🔹 After the BC, price stalled and formed a stop bar (consolidation). 🔹 This stop represents either accumulation (buying) or distribution (selling). 📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways: • Break below $2,892.92 → Indicates deeper liquidity absorption; potential downside continuation. • Holding above $2,891.67 → Suggests institutions are accumulating for a bullish breakout. 3️⃣ Spring Bar – The Institutional Shakeout Before a Move? 🔹 Price dipped towards $2,891.67 before rebounding—forming a spring bar. 🔹 This can be a bullish signal, but confirmation is needed. 📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways: • If the next candle is a strong up bar with increasing volume → Confirms bullish continuation. • If the price struggles above $2,905+ or volume remains weak → Expect a fakeout and potential dump. 🚀 XAUMO Institutional Trade Plan – Tokyo Session Execution 📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Spring Confirmation & Volume Increases) 💰 Buy XAU/USD @ $2,903.50 - $2,905 📍 Stop Loss: $2,892.92 (Institutional Stop Zone) 🎯 Target Levels: 1️⃣ $2,910 2️⃣ $2,916 3️⃣ $2,923 ✅ Probability: 75% 📌 Why? • The spring bar bounced from liquidity → Possible upside confirmation. • If the next bar shows strength, buyers are stepping in → Expect breakout above $2,906. 📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection (Failure at $2,905 - $2,906 Again) 💰 Sell XAU/USD @ $2,905 📍 Stop Loss: $2,910 🎯 Target Levels: 1️⃣ $2,895 2️⃣ $2,892 3️⃣ $2,888 ✅ Probability: 70% 📌 Why? • If price rejects resistance at $2,906.30, Smart Money is distributing positions. • Volume drop (-10.7%) suggests buyers aren’t fully committed. • Break below $2,892.92 could trigger more sell pressure towards $2,888. 📢 XAUMO Execution Strategy – Final Institutional Outlook ✅ Next hourly bar confirmation is critical → The spring must be followed by a strong up bar for a bullish breakout. ✅ If price holds $2,892 - $2,891.67, upside potential remains valid. ✅ If price fails at $2,906 and volume weakens, expect another rejection and potential downside move. 🔥 Smart Money moves strategically—wait for confirmation before entering! 🚀 📖 XAUMO Institutional Strategy – Simplified for Beginners 1️⃣ Buying Climax (BC): The price surges fast, attracting late buyers, but Smart Money is already planning their next move. 2️⃣ Stop Bar: The price pauses or reverses. This is where institutions test liquidity to see if there’s enough demand for a move higher. 3️⃣ Spring Bar: A small drop that shakes out weak traders before a possible reversal. If confirmed, it means Smart Money is accumulating. 🔹 Next Step? • If buyers come back strong, price breaks higher (bullish). • If volume remains weak, Smart Money sells into the rally, and price drops again (bearish). 💡 Tip: Don’t rush in! Institutions don’t reveal their moves immediately—wait for confirmation before entering a trade. 🚀
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Strength on MRNADespite negative news, Moderna, Inc. stock is in a good position to rally. Its price has been falling since August 2021, but relatively big buys have begun to emerge since August 2024. It has to be noted that on every bar with buying, volume is increasing, which is usually a sign of accumulation on a down move. If the price breaks the $40.83 level (the high of the bar with the largest volume), then tests it on low volume later, and supply does not re-emerge in the $49.94 - $56.70 zone, this would signal the end of accumulation. In such a case, we could expect the move towards $102.90 - $118.10, and if shares would not be sold off there, it might go even higher to $156.94 - $163.19. At the same time, if accumulation has not been finished yet, we may still see another leg down for more buying.
NASDAQ:MRNALong
by VSA_Home
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XAUMO Live Market Analysis – London to NYC Overlap🔥 XAUMO Institutional Signature – Precision Trading for XAU/USD 🔥 🚀 Smart Money Doesn’t Chase – It Positions. 📌 XAUMO Live Market Analysis – London to NYC Overlap 📍 Current Price: $2,901 📍 Active Sessions: London → Pre-NYC Overlap 📍 Liquidity Map: • Key Resistance: $2,939 - $2,942 (Institutional Sell Zone) • Key Support: $2,878 - $2,850 (Liquidity Pool) • Volume Profile Imbalance Below: $2,850 - $2,820 🔍 XAUMO Institutional Volume Flow – Smart Money’s Next Move ✅ Low institutional participation pre-NYC: Market is setting up a stop hunt. ✅ Volume divergence confirms waiting game before liquidity grab. ✅ Retail is entering early – expect a fake move before real breakout. 📌 What This Means? • If price holds above $2,878, accumulation for bullish continuation is likely. • If price breaks $2,878, expect a liquidity flush toward $2,850 - $2,820. 📊 XAUMO Liquidity Zones & Order Blocks 📌 Liquidity Traps Identified: • Below $2,878 → Stop Hunt Zone (Retail stop-losses stacked). • Above $2,939 → Liquidity Pool for Institutional Selling. 📌 What This Means? 🔹 Above $2,878: Still within Smart Money’s Fair Value Range. 🔹 Below $2,878: Market Makers will target $2,850 liquidity. 📈 XAUMO VWAP, POC & Value Areas – Price Efficiency Levels 📌 Institutional Key Levels: • VWAP Pivot: $2,902 (Fair Value Mean Reversion Level) • POC (Point of Control): $2,906 (High Volume Node – Institutional Bias Confirmation) • Value Area Low (VAL): $2,878 (Liquidity Pivot – Break or Hold Decision Zone) 📌 What This Means? 🔹 Below VWAP ($2,902): Bearish pressure remains dominant. 🔹 VWAP Reclaim: Momentum shift toward $2,939. 📉 XAUMO Fibonacci Confluence – Precision Entry & Reversal Zones 📌 XAUMO Key Fibonacci Levels: • 38.2% Fib: $2,878 (Fair Value Pivot) • 61.8% Fib: $2,850 (Liquidity Grab Zone – Institutional Buy Area) • 78.6% Fib: $2,820 (Extreme Liquidity Sweep Before Reversal) 📌 What This Means? • If price dips to $2,850, expect institutional entry. • If $2,878 holds, bullish continuation likely. 🚀 XAUMO Institutional Trade Plan – Smart Money Execution 📉 Scenario 1: Institutional Short Setup – If $2,878 Breaks 💰 Sell XAU/USD @ $2,875 📍 Stop Loss: $2,910 🎯 Take Profit: $2,850 - $2,820 ✅ Probability: 85% 📌 Why? 🔹 Market Makers will sweep liquidity below $2,878 before reversal. 🔹 Institutional rebalancing to $2,850 - $2,820 expected before reversal. 📈 Scenario 2: Institutional Long Setup – If $2,850 Holds 💰 Buy XAU/USD @ $2,850 📍 Stop Loss: $2,835 🎯 Take Profit: $2,920 - $2,939 ✅ Probability: 80% 📌 Why? 🔹 Liquidity Trap Setup: Market Makers will flush weak hands before rallying. 🔹 61.8% Fibonacci Confluence at $2,850 = Institutional Buy Zone. 📊 Scenario 3: Breakout Confirmation – If Price Moves Above $2,939 💰 Buy XAU/USD @ $2,942 📍 Stop Loss: $2,920 🎯 Take Profit: $2,975 - $3,000 ✅ Probability: 75% 📌 Why? 🔹 If Smart Money confirms breakout, expect strong momentum continuation. 🔹 Watch for fakeout wicks before committing to breakout play. 📢 XAUMO Execution Strategy – What to Do NOW? ✅ Wait for Smart Money to Make Their Move. ✅ Do Not Enter Prematurely – Liquidity Grab Expected. ✅ Monitor NYC Session for Institutional Execution Timing. 📌 If price stays between $2,878 - $2,906: Wait for liquidity confirmation. 📌 If price drops to $2,850: Watch for rejection wicks + institutional buy entry. 📌 If price breaks $2,939, volume must confirm breakout before execution. 🚀 Smart Money Doesn’t Chase – It Positions. 🚀 Retail gets baited. XAUMO waits for confirmation. 🚀 Your edge is patience + disciplined execution.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Weakness on DIS stockThe stock of Walt Disney Company looks interesting from the VSA point of view. The monthly chart shows that the price is now around the top of the horizontal channel formed after a year of down move (blue lines). On one side, there is professional buying in the background, which might resolve this sideways to the upside, but there is much more supply around market peaks from the other side, and that might lead to a down move. Deeper analyses of the price action over the last few months on the daily chart show massive supply. Moreover, the price went below the selling zone (red rectangle) and returned to its bottom on a low decreasing volume, showing an absence of professional interest to participate in an up move. So, to summarise it together: As of now, this stock is weak . With a big probability, the price may fall to the bottom of the monthly sideways channel first and if no buying suddenly appears while the price breaks the $79.24 level, it could reach the $20.0-$30.0 area then. If professionals buy around the channel bottom, the move-up will depend on the size of that buying, but will most probably push the price back to the monthly channel's top.
NYSE:DISShort
by VSA_Home
Strength on AMD stockAfter almost a year of down move, on February 5th 2025 a huge professional buying took place on Advanced Micro Devices Inc. stock (Ticker NASDAQ: AMD). Even though we've seen professional buying on that move before, the volume there was much lower and, as a result, caused small retracements up only. The volume on the February 5th daily bar has much bigger potential. Moreover, a few things are adding to the strength: - Recent buying appeared on the market opening after the earnings report with an immediate price rise. - The price returned into the area of big volume (blue rectangle) on relatively low volume, showing no professional interest in the downside (testing). Therefore, if no supply reappears below or around the $116.37 level, we may see a rally towards $150.37 - $153.03 and even higher to $166.10 - $167.08 zone. In case supply hits the market in the mentioned area, another professional buying could take place around $95.61.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by VSA_Home
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) with Fibonacci on Large Candles Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) with Fibonacci on Large Candles (Bullish & Bearish) If you spot a large candle with high volume, whether bearish or bullish, you can use Fibonacci retracement on the candle itself to determine potential reversal or continuation zones. Here’s how to apply it in both scenarios: 1️⃣ Large Bearish Candle (Bearish Bar) 📉 (Red candle with high volume closing near the low) How to Identify a Bearish Candle? ✅ The candle has a large body and closes near the low (strong selling signal). ✅ The volume is significantly higher than previous candles → Institutional Selling (Smart Money Selling). ✅ If volume is high but the candle doesn’t close at the low, it could indicate hidden buying (stopping volume). How to Draw Fibonacci on a Bearish Candle? 1️⃣ Identify the high and low of the bearish candle: • High = The top of the candle. • Low = The bottom of the candle. • This represents the range of the selling pressure in the market. 2️⃣ Draw Fibonacci levels between the high and low: • 0% = Low (Bottom of the bearish bar). • 100% = High (Top of the bearish bar). • Key levels to watch: • 38.2% → Weak retracement, market may continue down. • 50% → Balance point, strong resistance possible. • 61.8% → Potential reversal zone; if price fails to break it, the downtrend may continue. • 78.6% → If price breaks this, trend may change. 3️⃣ If the market continues downward, check Fibonacci extensions: • 127.2% & 161.8% → Downside targets if the bearish trend continues. Confirming Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) for Selling ✅ Sell Entry: If the price retraces to 38.2% - 50% and rejects with weak volume. ❌ Stop Loss: Above 61.8% or the last swing high. 🎯 Targets: • Break of the large candle’s low. • Fibonacci extensions 127.2% or 161.8%. 2️⃣ Large Bullish Candle (Bullish Bar) 📈 (Green candle with high volume closing near the high) How to Identify a Bullish Candle? ✅ The candle has a large body and closes near the high → Strong buying signal. ✅ The volume is significantly higher than previous candles → Institutional Buying (Smart Money Buying). ✅ If volume is high but the candle doesn’t close at the high, it could indicate supply absorption. How to Draw Fibonacci on a Bullish Candle? 1️⃣ Identify the high and low of the bullish candle: • High = The top of the candle. • Low = The bottom of the candle. • This represents the range of the buying pressure in the market. 2️⃣ Draw Fibonacci levels between the high and low: • 0% = High (Top of the bullish bar). • 100% = Low (Bottom of the bullish bar). • Key levels to watch: • 38.2% → Shallow pullback, market may continue up. • 50% → Balance point, potential bounce area. • 61.8% → Strong support zone; if price holds with weak volume, an uptrend may continue. • 78.6% → If broken, trend may reverse. 3️⃣ If the market continues upward, check Fibonacci extensions: • 127.2% & 161.8% → Upside targets if the bullish trend continues. Confirming Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) for Buying ✅ Buy Entry: If price retraces to 38.2% - 50% and bounces with high volume. ❌ Stop Loss: Below 61.8% or the last swing low. 🎯 Targets: • Break of the large candle’s high. • Fibonacci extensions 127.2% or 161.8%. 🎯 Quick Summary: When to Enter? 🔴 Sell: • Large red candle, price retraces to 38.2% - 50% with weak volume. • Stop loss above 61.8%, target at 127.2% & 161.8% extensions. 🟢 Buy: • Large green candle, price retraces to 38.2% - 50% with strong volume. • Stop loss below 61.8%, target at 127.2% & 161.8% extensions.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Bullish behaviour on ADBE stockIt looks like, after half a year of retracement, Adobe Inc. stock (Ticker NASDAQ: ADBE) is now setting up for longs again. On the gap-down daily bar following the December 11th 2024 earnings report, professionals bought. Then, over December and January 2025, more buying can be seen. It has to be noted that recent professional activity took place around the previous level of support ($433.97) which adds to the strength. By January 10th supply has been absorbed, in February the price pushed above the support level and has been tested with relatively low volume creating conditions for the move up. Today's bar is a positive reaction to the recent testing and might be the beginning of the rally towards $566.79 - $576.30 with minor resistances around $482.66 - $489.52 and $541.74 on the way. At the same time, as we've seen a high volume around the support level (January 27th, 28th and 31st bars), there is still the possibility of its re-testing and the beginning of the rally from there.
NASDAQ:ADBELong
by VSA_Home
NVS 1H Swing Long Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade + long impulse + 1/2 correction + T2 level + support level - biggest volume 2Sp- Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R within 1H range take profit Daily Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + JOC level + support level - above 1/2 of entire 1D wave at the support level of 1M" Monthly Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + support level + JOC level - unvolumed manipulation" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse - resistance level + less than a month left and it looks to break + long volume distribution" NVS @NYSE Bought NVS Market, Day Filled 8:27 AM 104.89325 Profit Taker Sell NVS Limit 105.87, GTC Submitted 8:27 AM
NYSE:NVS
by MishaSuvorov
VSA Rays: Mastering the Art of Predicting Future Price MovementsThe cryptocurrency PUFFER/USDT.P has captured our attention today as it flirts with a critical moment of decision. Currently trading at $0.5659, the price reflects a staggering 44% deviation below its all-time high of $1.0122, achieved just 50 days ago. Yet, it has also soared over 138% from its absolute low, a testament to its volatility and potential for rapid moves​. With a Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering near a neutral 50, and buy volume patterns increasingly dominant over the past 24 hours, the market appears to be in a state of consolidation​​. The Moving Average 50 (MA50) at $0.5752 suggests minor overhead resistance, while psychological resistance levels are forming near $0.5961, possibly triggering the next rally​. Fundamentally, macroeconomic whispers of liquidity adjustments and renewed interest in altcoin markets are setting the stage for a bold shift. The big question remains: Is this your chance to ride the wave up, or will the bears claw back dominance at this critical threshold? For both traders and investors, the stakes couldn't be higher. The coming days will determine whether PUFFER/USDT.P’s momentum builds into a breakout or fades into retracement. Are you ready for the ride? The clock is ticking, and this could be your chance to capitalize on a decisive market move. Stay tuned for our detailed analysis on key levels and patterns shaping this opportunity. PUFFER/USDT.P Roadmap: Decoding the Patterns for Success Understanding the flow of market movements is crucial for both traders and investors. Here’s a detailed roadmap of the key patterns recently observed in PUFFER/USDT.P, using historical data to confirm their validity and align with anticipated price directions. January 25, 2025 – VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th Direction: Buy Trigger Point: Low of the last 3 bars ($0.5514) Outcome: The market closed slightly higher at $0.5564, hinting at a bullish impulse. This aligns with the main direction, as the next pattern confirmed upward movement to a high of $0.5777. This is a textbook pattern execution, showing strong buyer momentum. January 26, 2025 – Increased Buy Volumes Direction: Buy Trigger Point: Open price ($0.5628) Outcome: This pattern delivered as expected, with a close above the open at $0.5768. The immediate next high of $0.5777 supports this buy direction, emphasizing consistent buyer dominance. January 25, 2025 – Increased Sell Volumes (Skipped) Direction: Sell Trigger Point: High of the last 3 bars ($0.6345) Outcome: Contrary to the sell direction, subsequent price action leaned bullish. This pattern did not trigger effectively, and its impact is minimal in the broader roadmap. January 24, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st Direction: Buy Trigger Point: Not applicable Outcome: The market moved consistently higher, with the high extending to $0.6112 shortly after. This pattern highlighted the continuation of a buying trend, supported by increasing volume and a steady climb. January 22, 2025 – Sell Volumes Take Over (Skipped) Direction: Sell Trigger Point: Low of the last 3 bars ($0.5873) Outcome: While sell volumes showed a momentary dip to $0.5873, the market rebounded quickly, invalidating the sell direction and confirming a persistent bullish bias. January 23, 2025 – Buy Volumes Take Over Direction: Buy Trigger Point: Open price ($0.6024) Outcome: The price continued upward to $0.6094, marking this as a clean execution of a bullish pattern. Traders who spotted this transition capitalized on the trend. Key Takeaways from the Roadmap Bullish patterns like VSA Buy Pattern 4th and Buy Volumes Take Over consistently outperformed, confirming strong market optimism. Sell patterns were largely invalidated, indicating underlying buyer control over the asset during the observed period. Trigger points proved reliable markers for entry, with clear follow-through seen in consecutive highs. This roadmap demonstrates how understanding pattern execution and aligning with validated directions can significantly enhance trading success. Watch for future VSA Buy Patterns—they've consistently marked golden opportunities for upward momentum. Stay sharp, and ride the trend! Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch When it comes to trading, knowing your levels is half the battle. Below are the critical support and resistance zones for PUFFER/USDT.P, straight from the charts. If these levels fail to hold, you can expect them to flip and act as resistance in the future. Mark these on your radar—miss them at your own risk! Support Levels 0.5201 – Your first line of defense; a break below could open the door to further downside. 0.2934 – A deeper support level that traders should keep an eye on if the price dives lower. Resistance Levels 0.5961 – The immediate overhead barrier. Bulls need to clear this for any meaningful push higher. 0.6934 – A higher resistance zone that could attract sell-side interest. 0.7277 – A strong ceiling to watch, marking the upper range of current price action. 0.8881 – A psychological level that’s likely to be a battleground for bulls and bears alike. Powerful Resistance Levels 1.0122 – The absolute high. Breaking and holding above this level would signal a major trend reversal. What Happens If These Levels Fail? If support levels crumble under selling pressure, they’ll likely become resistance as sellers defend their positions. The same goes for resistance—if bulls break through, it flips to support, creating a solid base for further upward momentum. Keep these levels in mind to navigate the chop and make informed decisions in this dynamic market. This is your roadmap to the action—stay sharp, and let the levels guide your trades! Trading Strategies Using Rays: From Concept to Actionable Scenarios The Rays from the Beginning of Movement concept provides a systematic approach to predicting price reactions based on Fibonacci-based geometrical rays. These rays, combined with dynamic factors like moving averages, offer traders a reliable method to identify high-probability trade setups. Below, we outline the framework and suggest two scenarios—optimistic and pessimistic—to align with potential market conditions. Concept of Rays in Action Fibonacci Rays and Their Purpose: Each ray defines key dynamic levels derived from the beginning of the price movement. They help map the probable path of the price and identify zones for potential reversals or continuations. Dynamic Factors: Moving averages (e.g., MA50, MA100, MA200) act as secondary confirmation tools. When price interacts with a ray and aligns with a moving average, the probability of a valid move increases. Actionable Levels: Traders focus on interactions between rays, moving averages, and VSA patterns on the chart. After a confirmed interaction, the price typically moves from one ray to the next, presenting opportunities for profitable trades. Optimistic Scenario: A Breakout with Momentum Initial Interaction Zone: $0.5752 (MA50) First Target: $0.5862 (MA100, next ray level) Second Target: $0.6272 (MA200, upper ray boundary) Third Target: $0.6468 (Extended ray, potential continuation) Commentary: In this scenario, the price demonstrates bullish momentum after interacting with the MA50 and first Fibonacci ray. Buyers take control, driving the price to subsequent ray levels. Pessimistic Scenario: A Controlled Decline Initial Interaction Zone: $0.5752 (MA50) First Target: $0.5201 (Key support level) Second Target: $0.2934 (Lower ray boundary) Third Target: $0.2375 (Absolute low) Commentary: Here, the price fails to sustain above the MA50, leading to a downward interaction with Fibonacci rays. Sellers dominate, targeting progressively lower levels. Potential Trade Setups Based on Ray Interactions Bullish Entry: After price confirms an upward bounce from $0.5752, enter long, aiming for $0.5862 (first target). Place a stop-loss below $0.5730 to manage risk. Bearish Entry: If the price rejects $0.5752, consider a short position targeting $0.5201 with a stop-loss above $0.5770. Breakout Trade: Watch for a breakout above $0.5862 with strong volume. Enter long with targets at $0.6272 and $0.6468. Range Trade: If the price oscillates between $0.5752 and $0.5862, use the range to buy near support and sell near resistance. Final Notes The combination of Fibonacci rays and moving averages creates a robust system for identifying dynamic trade zones. Remember, trades should only be entered after clear interaction and validation from the rays and dynamic factors. Whether the market trends bullish or bearish, these scenarios provide a clear framework for traders to follow and adapt as conditions unfold. Your Turn to Join the Conversation Hey traders and investors! Let’s make this space interactive. If you’ve got questions about the analysis, specific levels, or just want to dive deeper into the strategy—drop them right in the comments. I’ll be happy to answer and discuss with you. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to hit Boost and save the idea to revisit later. Watching how price reacts to these levels is the best way to learn and grow as a trader. Remember, understanding entry and exit points is key to consistent success. For those interested, my proprietary indicator automatically maps out all the rays and levels you see here. It’s available privately, so if you’re curious about using it, feel free to send me a message directly. Have a specific asset in mind? I’m open to providing analysis! Some ideas I’ll post here for everyone to benefit from, and for others, we can discuss more personalized setups. Whether it’s public or private, we can figure out the best approach together. Lastly, don’t forget to follow me here on TradingView. This is where I post all my insights and updates, and I’d love to have you as part of my trading community. Let’s keep learning and growing together—one chart at a time. 🚀
Education
by brandlabelden
FLOCKUSDT: Can Bulls Hold After a 60% Slide?Introduction : The cryptocurrency market never rests, and today, all eyes are on FLOCKUSDT, currently trading at $0.1439, down a sharp 60.88% from its all-time high of $0.3679 set just 16 days ago​. After bouncing 29.17% from its absolute low of $0.1114 just five days ago, the question looms: is the asset primed for recovery, or are sellers merely taking a breather? Technical indicators present a mixed narrative. The RSI14 sits at an oversold 29.81, signaling potential upward momentum, but MFI60 at 44.23 suggests a lack of significant inflows​. Meanwhile, the MA50 has dipped below the price, currently at $0.1611, posing a looming resistance zone​. Adding to the intrigue, recent candlestick patterns, such as "Sell Volumes Take Over," indicate heightened sell pressure, yet directional cues hint at bullish reversals​. With resistance looming at $0.1757 and strong support at $0.1355, the stage is set for a decisive move. Could this be a pivotal moment for traders to capitalize on a reversal? Or does the market have further downside risk before a meaningful bounce? Either way, this could be the key moment to act, as the opportunity may not wait for long. Stay tuned for the in-depth breakdown. Roadmap of Recent Patterns: FLOCKUSDT Action Sequence Sell Volumes Take Over (2025-01-26 11:00 UTC) The session started with a "Sell Volumes Take Over" pattern, hinting at a Buy direction. This was validated as the price ticked up slightly, opening at $0.1459 and closing at $0.1461, above the low of $0.1432. While movement was minimal, the bulls attempted to reclaim momentum. Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-26 10:00 UTC) A bearish setup followed, forecasting a Sell. Price action aligned with this, as it opened at $0.1460, dipped to $0.1453, and closed marginally lower at $0.1459. Bears gained slight traction, confirming the pattern’s effectiveness. Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-26 04:00 UTC) The selling spree continued, with another Sell setup. However, the low remained consistent at $0.1481, suggesting consolidation. The lack of strong directional movement hinted at the market waiting for a more decisive trigger. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-25 12:00 UTC) This pattern marked a pivotal point, suggesting a Buy movement. The price closed at $0.164, slightly higher than its open of $0.1651, signaling accumulation and anticipation of a bullish breakout. VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 3rd (2025-01-23 09:00 UTC) This powerful Buy pattern forecasted a strong upside. The price soared from $0.2048 to $0.2251 within hours, breaking resistance and confirming the main direction. Bulls dominated, as the predicted movement unfolded with textbook precision. Sell Volumes Take Over (2025-01-23 05:00 UTC) Despite a Buy setup forecast, the price trajectory shifted to a retracement phase. Closing at $0.2251, this marked the beginning of consolidation, showing the pattern’s partial alignment. Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-23 04:00 UTC) This Sell pattern demonstrated textbook accuracy as the price opened at $0.2246 and fell to $0.2135, confirming bearish pressure. Increased Buy Volumes (2025-01-23 03:00 UTC) A Buy direction emerged, and the price shot up from $0.2137 to $0.2246. This movement strongly aligned with the predicted direction, showcasing an excellent opportunity for short-term bulls. Technical & Price Action Analysis Support Levels: 0.1355 – A key area for buyers to step in. If it doesn’t hold, expect it to flip into resistance. 0.1257 – The last line of defense before sellers take full control. Resistance Levels: 0.1757 – A significant ceiling for bulls to conquer; failure here means this level becomes a hard barrier. 0.2525 – Watch closely; breaking this could ignite strong momentum. 0.2829 – A formidable wall for buyers; bears likely waiting to defend. 0.3042 – If bulls reach here, it’s a breakout or bust situation. Powerful Support Levels: Currently, no additional zones stand out, but stay alert for any emerging price action signals. Powerful Resistance Levels: None observed at the moment, leaving room for price discovery if major resistance levels are breached. Note: If these levels fail to hold or break, expect them to act as reversal zones, flipping from support to resistance or vice versa. Use these levels to plan entries and exits, and don’t forget to manage your risk – the market loves to test traders' resolve! Concept of Rays: Precision in Probabilities Optimistic and Pessimistic Scenarios Optimistic Scenario: If price interacts with the 0.1355 support level, marked by a descending Fibonacci ray, and shows a bullish confirmation, the movement is expected to test the next ray intersecting at the 0.1757 resistance level. This would serve as the first target, with subsequent moves aiming for 0.2525 and 0.2829, correlating with additional ray intersections. Pessimistic Scenario: If price fails to hold at 0.1355 and breaches downward, interaction with the next Fibonacci ray near 0.1257 may indicate continuation of the bearish momentum. In this case, price could trend lower, with further ray intersections marking potential interaction zones for reversals or corrections. How Rays Work in Practice Fibonacci Rays are dynamic tools that adjust based on emerging patterns, enabling real-time tracking of price movements. When combined with Moving Averages (MA50: 0.1611, MA100: 0.1765), these rays become more predictive by indicating areas of confluence where price momentum is likely to shift. The key principle is to monitor price interaction with the rays. Once price touches a ray and confirms direction with a dynamic factor (such as candlestick patterns or volume spikes), traders can position for movement toward the next ray or level. Each ray-bound move represents a minimum target, with further levels extending the trade’s profit potential. Suggested Trades Long Trade from 0.1355 to 0.1757: Look for bullish interaction at 0.1355 and confirmation through volume analysis (VSA). Target the ray at 0.1757 as the first milestone. Short Trade from 0.1757 to 0.1355: If price rejects 0.1757 and bearish patterns emerge, this could signal a reversal back to 0.1355. Long Trade from 0.1757 to 0.2525: A breakout above 0.1757, confirmed by interaction with ascending rays and a crossover of MA50 and MA100, targets 0.2525 as the next ray-defined resistance. Short Trade from 0.2525 to 0.1757:** Failure to sustain above 0.2525 could lead to a retracement back to 0.1757, presenting a swing opportunity. Dynamic Levels in Context These levels are projected on the chart, visible alongside the VSA Rays. The interplay between price, rays, and moving averages provides a high-confidence framework for trading decisions. Remember, position entry is most effective post-interaction with rays and the onset of movement. Trades are managed step-by-step from one ray to the next, ensuring clear targets and minimal risk. Flexibility in scenarios empowers traders to adapt to market dynamics while aligning with the structured insights provided by Fibonacci Rays. Trading is all about understanding key levels and making informed decisions, and I’m here to help you navigate that. If you have questions or need clarification, drop them right in the comments—I’ll be glad to respond! If this idea resonates with you, don’t forget to Boost it and save it for later. Tracking how price reacts to the levels I’ve outlined is one of the best ways to learn and improve your trading strategy. The rays and levels you see in this analysis are automatically plotted using my custom indicator. It’s available privately, so if you’re interested in using it, feel free to reach out via direct messages—I’ll be happy to share details. Have another asset in mind? Let me know in the comments! I can create a detailed analysis, either publicly for everyone’s benefit or privately, if you’d prefer to keep your strategy confidential. The rays work on all assets, and I can tailor them specifically to your needs. Finally, if you find value in my ideas and want to stay updated, make sure to follow me here on TradingView. This is where I publish all my insights, and I’d love for you to be part of the journey. Trade smart, stay informed, and let’s grow together! 😊
Short
by brandlabelden
1
Nvidia. Analysis and Price Forecast: A Strategic OutlookIntroduction: Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to be at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor revolution, showcasing robust innovation and a compelling business model. This analysis leverages advanced tools such as TheWaved™ and utilizes VSA Analysis, Technical Indicators, Price Action, and Fundamental Analysis to craft a comprehensive forecast. Recent Price Movements and Key Patterns: 1. Candle Pattern Analysis: From the provided patterns sequence data: January 13, 2025, 14:00: Pattern: "Increased Buy Volumes" Movement: +6.69% from open to close, suggesting strong buyer activity and market confidence. January 10, 2025, 16:00: Pattern: "Buy Volumes Take Over" Movement: -5.7%, indicating potential sell-offs after profit-taking. These patterns highlight the recent tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, creating opportunities for strategic entries and exits. 2. Key Levels and Trend Analysis: From technicals: Current Price: $135.19 Resistance Levels: Short-Term: $139.48 (MA200 on the hourly chart) Mid-Term: $141.15 (MA100) Support Levels: Immediate: $127.30 Key Support Zone: $123.69-$127.30 Nvidia's price is trading below critical moving averages (e.g., MA50 and MA200), suggesting a potential rebound or consolidation phase before further directional movement. Multi-Dimensional Analysis: 1. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Analysis: Strong buy patterns are evident, with significant volume upticks near critical support zones. This implies institutional interest in accumulation phases. Prediction: Anticipate continuation of buying pressure if price stabilizes above $135. Resistance at $140 may pose challenges in the short term. 2. Fundamental Insights: Nvidia’s Q4 earnings report showed record revenue driven by AI GPU demand. Major customers in cloud computing and automotive industries continue to bolster growth. However, rising interest rates and potential geopolitical risks (e.g., China’s tech policies) might pressure valuations. 3. Price Action Analysis: Recent bullish engulfing candles near $127 indicate buyer confidence. Price may revisit $130 before testing $140. Breaking $140 could pave the way to retest $150 (January’s absolute high). Projections: Short-Term (1 Week): Target: $138.50 Stop-Loss: $132.00 Rationale: A breakout above MA50 ($136.93) will signal short-term bullish momentum. Mid-Term (1 Month): Target: $145.00 Stop-Loss: $130.00 Rationale: Stabilization above $140 supported by institutional buying and potential macroeconomic support. Long-Term (3-6 Months): Target: $160.00 Stop-Loss: $125.00 Rationale: Continued demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in AI and automotive applications combined with broader tech sector recovery. Strategic Recommendations: Support Levels: - 1. 127.3 2. 123.69 3. 113.9 4. 90.4855 5. 87.88 Resistance Levels: - 1. 127.3 2. 123.69 3. 113.9 4. 90.4855 5. 87.88 Powerful Support Levels: - Powerful Resistance Levels: - 1. 89.599 2. 89.599 3. 63.974 4. 63.974 5. 48.462 Above $160: Consider reducing positions to hedge against potential market corrections. 3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management: Strict stop-loss at $130 for short-term trades. Trail stops to lock profits as price moves favorably. Tools and Insights: Analysis powered by TheWaved™, leveraging decades of professional experience and cutting-edge analytics. Key insights have been shared to align with both retail and institutional perspectives. Call to Action: For personalized queries or deeper insights into Nvidia’s price action, feel free to reach out via direct message. Explore our tools and indicators through the link in our profile. Concept of Rays Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept Core Idea My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns. Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement. Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the author’s perspective based on available data and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risks; ensure proper due diligence. Follow TheWaved for more actionable insights!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by brandlabelden
1
SMLT 1D Aggressive Investment CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + biggest volume T1 + support level + biggest volume 2Sp+ + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit CounterTrend 1M "+ short impulse + biggest volume TE / T1 level + support level + biggest manipulation?" Trend 12M "+ SOS test level - far below 1/2 correction + support level + biggest volume manipulation?" They say company is going to bankruptcy, but why would it concern technical analysis?!
RUS:SMLTLong
by MishaSuvorov
1
CRYPTO. Buying opportunitiesHello everyone! Let's take a look at the following crypto assets. They have formed patterns that increase the likelihood of price growth. Buyer zones have formed on all assets (green rectangles on the charts) and buyer's current vectors. The nearest targets are indicated on the charts: 1. BTCUSDT Potential long target: 102,724.38. +2.94% 2. ADAUSDT Potential long target: 1.1819. +11.63% 3. AAVEUSDT Potential long target: 390.15. +24.67% 4. LINKUSDT Potential long target: 25.99. +19.58% 5. AVAXUSDT Potential long target: 45.05. +14.68% 6. TRXUSDT Potential long target: 0.2596. +9.26% Wishing you all successful trades and a profitable day!
by AlexeyWolf
XRP: Poised at the Edge of Momentum – What's Next?The cryptocurrency market never sleeps, and XRP is the perfect reflection of this restless spirit. Currently trading at $2.8295, XRP finds itself teetering on the brink of a crucial breakout, with just a 2.9% gap from its all-time high of $2.9138, achieved 43 days ago​. The question on every trader's mind: is this the moment of ignition, or will the asset take a breather? Recent patterns highlight a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns reveal the persistence of increased buy volumes, though intermittent sell-offs indicate a battle for control​. From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 74.95, signaling that XRP is flirting with overbought territory​. Yet, this could either confirm a surge or warn of an impending pullback. Fundamentally, Ripple’s ongoing legal clarity and the adoption of RLUSD stablecoin are boosting market confidence​. Combined with the upward trend supported by key moving averages—MA50 at $2.5597 and MA100 at $2.5201—XRP could be primed for its next big leap​. Your Move: XRP's future is a coin flip between testing its psychological barriers at $3.00 and retracing to stronger support at $2.66. Are you ready to seize the opportunity as XRP prepares to define its next chapter? Stay tuned, as the market reveals its hand. XRP Tradingmap: Patterns in Motion Step 1: The Build-Up Begins - Buy Volumes Max (01:00 UTC) The sequence kicks off with the "Buy Volumes Max" pattern. At this point, the price opened at $2.6765 and closed higher at $2.7918, signaling strong buying momentum. The main_direction was bullish, validated by the immediate follow-up pattern. This set the stage for the next price action. Step 2: Rally Confirmed - Increased Buy Volumes (02:00 UTC) True to the bullish call of the previous pattern, the price climbed further, opening at $2.7918 and closing higher at $2.8474. This confirms the integrity of the earlier pattern and keeps the bullish sentiment alive. Trigger points were respected as prices didn’t dip below the lows of the previous three bars ($2.6383). Confidence grows as buyers continue to dominate. Step 3: Profit-Taking Warning - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (03:00 UTC) Here comes a shift. The market signals caution with a "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern." Despite opening high at $2.8474, the price closed lower at $2.8304. The main_direction flipped bearish, and this was confirmed as the subsequent pattern saw a slight price drop. Traders who spotted this sell signal had a chance to lock in gains before the retracement deepened. Step 4: Brief Reprieve - Increased Buy Volumes (17:00 UTC) Bulls briefly regained control, as prices opened at $2.6146 and closed higher at $2.6553. However, the movement lacked the strength seen in earlier buy patterns. While the main_direction of this pattern was bullish, subsequent price action indicates that this bounce was fleeting—a classic bull trap for unprepared traders. Step 5: The Market Takes a Turn - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (19:00 UTC) The sell-off resumes with another VSA sell pattern. The price slid lower, respecting the bearish direction outlined earlier. Opening at $2.682 and closing at $2.6626, this pattern further solidified bearish control. Trigger points were cleanly activated as prices failed to regain previous highs, providing traders with an opportunity to ride the downtrend. Step 6: Strategy Reset - The Bigger Picture Emerges The sequence highlighted above demonstrates the power of reading patterns within a cohesive framework. Early buy signals paved the way for strong upward momentum, but the subsequent sell patterns hinted at deeper corrections. By following the roadmap, investors could have avoided traps and maximized profits during the transition from bullish to bearish phases. What’s Next? XRP’s roadmap reveals its inherent volatility. Each pattern offers insight into market behavior, but success comes from aligning these signals with a broader strategy. Stay tuned for the next move—will bulls or bears take the crown? Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Support Levels: $2.6666 – First line of defense. If this level doesn’t hold, it’s likely to flip into resistance, attracting sellers like bees to honey. $2.5783 – A deeper support level where buyers might regroup. If broken, expect it to act as a ceiling for any bounces. $2.2748 – Critical zone for bulls to keep control. If this level is lost, momentum shifts decisively in favor of the bears. $2.1349 – The market’s last-ditch effort to keep things afloat. Failure here could open the floodgates. $1.9667 – A psychological barrier where value hunters might step in. But remember, if it cracks, it’s a wall on the way up. Resistance Levels: While the chart doesn’t scream significant resistance levels, any failed support will naturally transform into tough barriers for a comeback rally. Powerful Resistance Levels: $1.1047 – A long-term level where sellers are likely to dig in their heels. Watch for strong rejections here. $0.5538 – Key zone for the long game. If this level is reached and rejected, the bears could strengthen their grip. $0.5032 – An area that will attract big players if prices retrace this far. Keep an eye on the price action here. $0.3646 – The fortress of resistance. If bulls manage to breach this, it’s a signal of a major shift in market sentiment. Trading Strategies Using Rays: A Path Through the Fibonacci Framework Concept of Rays The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" approach is a unique method that applies Fibonacci-based geometric principles to map the dynamics of price movement. These rays act as predictive tools, marking zones where significant price interactions occur—either signaling a continuation or a reversal. By focusing on interactions with these rays, traders can better gauge probabilities without attempting to pinpoint exact levels in a nonlinear financial system. How Rays Work Fibonacci Rays: Constructed at mathematically significant angles starting from the initial movement, not extremum points. This increases accuracy in trending or corrective phases. Dynamic Levels: These rays adapt to new patterns, automatically updating ranges for potential price movements. Moving Averages as Dynamic Factors: Key levels align with Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200), providing strong zones of interaction. Ascending and Descending Rays: These define movement boundaries, marking pathways for price to travel from one ray to another. Optimistic Scenario Entry Point: Interaction with a descending ray around $2.6666 (support). If the price bounces above this ray and confirms with a close above MA50 at $2.5597, the movement could head upward. Target 1: $2.8295 – Interaction with the next ray above creates an opportunity to scale out partial profits. Target 2: $2.9138 – Absolute high from recent history; a breakout here could extend gains toward higher Fibonacci levels. Dynamic Factors: If RSI remains above 70 while interacting with ascending rays, the bullish scenario strengthens. Pessimistic Scenario Entry Point: Price interaction with an ascending ray near $2.6666, but fails to close above MA50, confirming bearish sentiment. Target 1: $2.5783 – Initial support zone becomes the first profit target in the downtrend. Target 2: $2.2748 – Second ray below and the next potential reaction level for a partial exit. Target 3: $2.1349 – A critical area where price may consolidate or reverse. Dynamic Factors: Watch for Moving Averages flipping into resistance zones, confirming further downward pressure. Trade Ideas Using Rays Long Trade from $2.6666 to $2.8295: Enter long when price interacts with the ray at $2.6666, confirming with a bullish close above MA50. Scale out at $2.8295, targeting the upper ray. Short Trade from $2.6666 to $2.5783: Enter short if price interacts with $2.6666 but fails to break above MA50. Target $2.5783 for a clean exit at the next ray. Breakout Trade above $2.9138: Go long if price cleanly breaks $2.9138, with a tight stop below the breakout candle. Use dynamic Fibonacci rays to set extended targets. Reversal Trade at $2.1349: A bounce off the $2.1349 ray could signal a countertrend move. Enter with confirmation from price closing above MA200, targeting $2.2748. Trading is all about finding those key levels where the magic happens, and now it's your chance to engage. Have questions about the analysis? Drop them right in the comments—I’m here to discuss, clarify, and brainstorm with you! Found this idea helpful? Don’t forget to hit Boost and save it for later so you can track how price moves along the rays. Observing these levels in real-time will not only sharpen your skills but also deepen your understanding of how market dynamics work. Curious about my indicator? The strategy you see here, drawing all the rays and levels automatically, is part of a private setup. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to reach out to me via direct message—I’ll explain how we can make that happen. Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? Whether you want it shared publicly or kept private for your eyes only, I’m open to discussing options. Just let me know in the comments or via DM, and I’ll do my best to help. Remember, these rays work across all assets, and the price often respects them like clockwork. If you want me to mark up specific assets for you, write in the comments and don’t forget to hit Boost. I’ll tackle requests as time permits. Finally, make sure to follow me here on TradingView for more in-depth ideas and strategies. This is where I share all my updates, and I’d love to have you as part of my trading community. Let’s trade smarter together! 🚀
Long
by brandlabelden
1
Bitcoin Inches Closer to Breaking Point: What’s Next?Bitcoin Faces a Decisive Moment: Will It Break Through? Bitcoin is trading at 96,829.3, marking a 10.7% drop from its all-time high of 108,421.6, achieved just 29 days ago. Market indicators paint a mixed picture: RSI14 at 60.2 signals an approach to overbought territory, while MFI remains steady at 54.8, hinting at moderate market momentum. Adding to the tension, a VSA Sell Pattern 2 has emerged, suggesting a potential short-term pullback. The critical levels to watch are 94,568 as support and 100,606 as resistance—key points that could determine the direction of Bitcoin’s next major move. Will the bulls regain control and push Bitcoin beyond its resistance, or will the bears drive a correction toward the lower support levels? The stakes are high, and today could set the stage for weeks to come. Are you ready to navigate this pivotal moment? Bitcoin Pattern Roadmap: Key Moves and What They Mean Understanding Bitcoin’s recent price movements through the lens of patterns provides traders with valuable insights into the market's rhythm. Below is a detailed roadmap based on the sequential analysis of VSA and volume-based patterns. Only the patterns that correctly confirmed their trigger points and main directions are included to give you a focused view of the market’s true behavior. January 13, 2025 – VSA Sell Pattern 2 : This sell pattern emerged with a main direction of downward pressure, starting from an open of 97,150.0 and closing at 96,655.5. The next price action confirmed the bearish sentiment as the market continued to dip, validating this signal. January 13, 2025 – Increased Buy Volumes : Just hours later, buy volumes spiked, signaling potential recovery. The open at 91,080.9 led to a close of 91,784.8, and this bullish momentum carried through the following session, reinforcing confidence in this pattern’s accuracy. January 13, 2025 – Sell Volumes Takeover : Although the main direction suggested bullish activity, this pattern didn’t fully validate, as subsequent candles demonstrated indecision. This indicates it might have been a false signal. January 12, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 1 : This key pattern predicted upward momentum with an open at 93,862.8 and a close at 93,973.9. Its main direction played out as expected, with prices climbing steadily in subsequent bars, cementing its effectiveness. January 11, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 3 : Marking another bullish signal, this pattern triggered upward movement from 94,024.2 to 94,323.5. The continuation of this trend confirmed it as a reliable forecast for the short term. What Does This Mean for Traders? Each pattern, when validated by subsequent price action, adds to the roadmap of Bitcoin’s trajectory. The market’s consistent respect for key support and resistance levels underscores the reliability of technical patterns. Use this roadmap to position yourself strategically, keeping an eye on similar setups to anticipate the next big move. Are you ready to align with the market’s flow? Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels When it comes to Bitcoin, traders know the game revolves around critical support and resistance zones. These levels act as battle lines between bulls and bears, determining the market’s next big move. Let’s break them down: Support Levels: 94,568 – A short-term safety net; losing this could bring the price closer to bearish territory. Resistance Levels: 100,606 – The immediate hurdle for bulls; cracking this will likely spark another rally. 106,064.7 – A critical zone, closely tied to Bitcoin’s previous highs. Powerful Support Levels: 76,701.7 – A major fallback point for long-term bulls; losing this would signal deeper corrections. 67,838.7 – A heavy-duty level that has historically held strong. 60,295.6 – The last line of defense before bears fully take over. Powerful Resistance Levels: 47,122.4 – A significant cap that has consistently rejected upward momentum in prior moves. 28,696.9 – The line in the sand for lower-range movements. What Happens If Levels Break? In trading, it’s all about respecting the levels. If these supports don’t hold, you can bet they’ll flip to resistance zones, making it harder for bulls to reclaim lost ground. Conversely, breaking through resistance means these levels often become strong floors, giving momentum traders something solid to lean on. Always keep an eye on these key points—they’re your roadmap to understanding where the action will heat up next. Concept of Rays: Precision Trading with Dynamic Levels The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept revolutionizes technical analysis by leveraging Fibonacci-based rays that dynamically adapt to market conditions. Unlike traditional methods, these rays are drawn from the origin of a movement pattern, allowing traders to anticipate price reactions with unmatched precision. Let’s dive into how this works and explore two trading scenarios for Bitcoin using data from the latest analysis. Core Concept: Trading with Rays Price interactions with rays signal high-probability zones for either reversals or continuations. These interactions, combined with moving averages and VSA patterns, create a powerful framework for identifying entry and exit points. The first movement usually extends from one ray to the next, offering defined profit targets at each level. Two Scenarios for Trading Rays Optimistic Scenario: Bitcoin breaks through resistance at 100,606 (MA50 intersection) after interacting with an ascending ray. This move could target the next ray and establish: First target: 106,064.7 (Resistance Level). Second target: A retest of the 108,421.6 all-time high. If momentum sustains, price may form a new trend, requiring recalibration of rays to extend future targets. Pessimistic Scenario: Bitcoin fails to hold support at 94,568 and interacts with a descending ray, initiating a deeper correction. Likely targets: First target: 76,701.7 (Powerful Support Level). Second target: 67,838.7, marking a significant bearish continuation zone. In this case, descending rays will guide the market lower, adjusting with each corrective phase. Trade Opportunities Based on Rays Long Trade : Enter at 94,568 support after confirming interaction with an ascending ray and bullish VSA pattern. First target: 100,606; Second target: 106,064.7. Short Trade : Enter below 94,568 after interaction with a descending ray and bearish VSA confirmation. First target: 76,701.7; Second target: 67,838.7. Breakout Long : Position after a confirmed breakout above 100,606, targeting 106,064.7 as the next ray intersection. Reversal Short : Look for rejection at 106,064.7 and enter a short trade, targeting a return to 100,606. Key Insights for Traders The power of rays lies in their adaptability. Whether in bullish or bearish conditions, rays dynamically update to reflect new patterns. Traders can confidently position themselves after price interaction with these rays, knowing that the movement will likely extend to the next ray. Each target is clearly defined, providing a structured path for managing risk and reward. Combine these strategies with the VSA patterns visible on your charts to sharpen your execution and stay ahead of the market. Are you ready to trade with precision? What’s Next? Let’s Talk and Trade Together If you’ve got questions or want to dive deeper into this analysis, drop them in the comments below—I’m always happy to discuss and share insights. Don’t forget to give this post a Boost and save it to revisit later. Watching how the price respects the rays and levels is one of the best ways to truly understand trading and refine your strategy. My proprietary indicator draws all the rays and levels automatically, but it’s available only privately. If you’re interested in using it, just send me a message—I’ll walk you through how it works. And yes, the same approach applies to any asset, not just Bitcoin. If there’s a particular market you’d like analyzed, let me know! Some analyses I can share openly, while others can be done privately, tailored to your needs. Finally, if you’re curious about how price moves along these rays or want me to chart a specific asset for you, make sure to Boost this idea and share your request in the comments. I’ll do my best to cover as many as possible. Follow me here on TradingView to stay updated—this is where I share my ideas and insights regularly. Let’s trade smarter, together!
Long
by brandlabelden
Apple Inc. (AAPL) Comprehensive Market Analysis and StrategyGreetings traders and investors! Denis Mikheev here with an in-depth analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) using advanced tools from TheWaved™. Buckle up as we dive into the technical, fundamental, and price action analysis to forecast price movements and provide actionable trading strategies. Current Market Overview Apple’s current price stands at $235.43, approximately 9.48% below its absolute high of $260.10 reached on December 26, 2024. Despite this pullback, the stock shows strong resilience, supported by robust fundamentals and technical setups. Support and Resistance Levels Support Zones: $228.75 $224.05 $217.13 Resistance Zones: $237.05 $242.41 $244.67 Key Levels for Monitoring: Powerful Resistance at $258.55 Critical Support at $217.55 Technical Indicators Analysis Moving Averages (1-hour interval): MA50: $238.39 MA100: $241.09 MA200: $247.59 Relative Strength Index (RSI): 1-hour RSI: 49.41 (neutral zone) Daily RSI: 34.6 (oversold zone suggests potential reversal) Volume Indicators: MFI60 (Money Flow Index): 49.28 (neutral, no divergence noted). Key Patterns and Historical Analysis From recent pattern sequences: January 13, 2025: Increased Sell Volumes with a 6.84% movement, indicating short-term bearish pressure. January 10, 2025: Multiple “Sell Volumes Take Over” patterns with mixed buy and sell signals. January 8, 2025: VSA Buy Pattern Extra suggests a medium-term bullish rebound pending confirmation. These patterns align with a potential range-bound movement in the near term before a decisive breakout. Price Action Analysis Apple’s price action over the past week has formed a consolidative structure near key support levels. Observations include: Lower highs and consistent testing of the $228.75 support. A potential inverted head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the 1-hour chart, with a neckline at $237.05. Price tightly correlates with the 50-day MA, suggesting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Fundamental Insights Apple’s upcoming quarterly results are projected to beat consensus estimates, driven by robust iPhone and service segment sales. Furthermore, macroeconomic conditions, such as softening interest rate hikes, could favor tech stocks in the medium term. Trading Strategy Short-Term Strategy: Entry: Buy near $228.75 support level. Stop Loss: $224.05 to minimize downside risk. Targets: $237.05 $242.41 Confirmation: Look for RSI divergence or a bullish engulfing candle. Medium-Term Strategy: Monitor breakout above $237.05 for long positions. Resistance to Watch: $244.67 and $250.34. Use trailing stops to secure profits. Long-Term Strategy: Accumulate near $217.13 if tested, considering its historical significance as a strong support level. Target: $258.55 with a 6-12 month horizon. Risk Management Employ disciplined risk management: Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Maintain a minimum of 1:2. Position Sizing: Limit exposure to 2% of your trading capital per trade. Stop-Loss Placement: Use dynamic stop-loss levels based on ATR (Average True Range). Market Outlook 1. Short-Term: Expect consolidation between $228.75 and $237.05, with potential for a breakout. 2. Medium-Term: A bullish continuation is likely if $242.41 resistance is cleared. 3. Long-Term: A test of the $258.55 resistance is probable, contingent on broader market sentiment. Concept of Rays Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept Core Idea My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns. Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement. How Rays Work Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement. Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases. Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray. Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel. How to Use Rays Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes. Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely. Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior. Conclusion Apple remains a solid investment with clear technical setups and a favorable long-term outlook. Utilizing TheWaved™ tools, we’ve pinpointed actionable strategies to navigate its price movements effectively. Remember to follow your trading plan and adapt to market conditions. For any queries or further clarifications, feel free to reach out via direct messages. All our professional-grade indicators are accessible via the link in our profile. Let’s trade smarter, not harder! Stay disciplined and trade safely, Denis Mikheev TheWaved™
NASDAQ:AAPL
by brandlabelden
GOOGLE INC. (NASDAQ: GOOG) ANALYSIS AND TRADING PLANWelcome to a detailed analysis of Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). Using advanced analytical tools, including the proprietary TheWaved™ platform, this report dissects recent market behavior and provides actionable insights for traders and investors. Let’s explore the technical and fundamental dynamics of the stock and forecast future price movements with key support and resistance zones. Overview of Current Market Position Ticker: NASDAQ-GOOG Current Price: $193.52 52-Week High: $202.88 (28 days ago) 52-Week Low: $83.45 (803 days ago) Key Indicators: RSI (14): 54.92 (neutral) MFI (60): 41.67 (indicating low buying pressure) Moving Averages (Daily): MA50: $183.31 MA100: $173.39 MA200: $172.54 Technical Analysis Support Levels: 187.16 | 185.08 | 181.41 | 176.09 | 173.53 Resistance Levels: 202.88 | 197.62 | 194.55 Moving Averages Insight: The stock trades slightly below the MA50 and MA100 on the daily chart, indicating a potential bearish short-term outlook. However, the long-term trend remains intact as the price remains above MA200. VSA Patterns: Recent trading sessions highlighted critical Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns: Sell Volumes Max (2025-01-13 14:00 UTC): Increased sell volumes pushed prices down by 4.42%. VSA Buy Pattern 3 (2025-01-13 10:00 UTC): Signals potential for a rebound after testing lower supports. Trendline and Channel Analysis: GOOG’s price action is constrained within an ascending channel since October 2024. The lower boundary aligns with the $188.00 support zone, while the upper resistance lies near $202.00. Price Action Insight: The recent lower highs and consistent rejection at $194.71 suggest a strong overhead supply zone. A break and close above $195.00 will be a decisive bullish trigger. Key Oscillators: RSI indicates no overbought/oversold condition, leaving room for directional moves. Stochastic cross above 50 strengthens the probability of an upward trajectory. Fundamental Analysis Google continues to show robust performance driven by its advertising and cloud businesses. Recent developments include: Q4 Earnings are expected to show a revenue growth of 11% YOY, boosted by robust ad demand and cloud service expansion. Strong financial metrics: Cash reserves of $130 billion with minimal debt. AI innovations: Google’s advancements in AI-based ad targeting offer a competitive edge over rivals. Market sentiment: Increasing institutional accumulation as hedge funds position for long-term growth. Forecast and Trading Plan Short-Term Projection: Price action indicates consolidation within $188.00-$195.00. Traders should monitor the $195.00 breakout level closely. Medium-Term Projection: Given the strength in fundamentals and supportive technicals, we anticipate an upward breakout, testing $202.88. Long-Term Projection: Once the stock decisively clears $202.88, a rally towards $215.00-$220.00 could unfold, aligning with the next Fibonacci extensions. Trade Levels: Entry: Buy at $188.00-$189.50 after confirmation of support. Stop-Loss: Place at $185.00. Take-Profit Targets: Target 1: $195.00 Target 2: $202.88 Target 3: $215.00 Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $185.00 could accelerate selling pressure towards $176.00. In this scenario, adopt a defensive approach or short-term bearish bias. Risk Management: Maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:3. Leverage smaller position sizes when trading near key support or resistance levels. Conclusion The technical and fundamental landscape for GOOG appears balanced, with bullish potential outweighing downside risks. Short-term traders can capitalize on the current consolidation phase, while long-term investors may find value in accumulating positions near support zones. Using TheWaved™’s advanced analytics, we’ll provide real-time updates as price action unfolds. Concept of Rays Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept Core Idea My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns. Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement. How Rays Work Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement. Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases. Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray. Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel. If you have questions or need personalized analysis for other stocks, feel free to reach out in direct messages. All indicators and tools mentioned are available via our profile link. Thank you for reading, and as always, trade safely and strategically! Denis Mikheev - TheWaved™
NASDAQ:GOOG
by brandlabelden