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PFE 1H Long Swing Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade + long impulse + SOS level + support level + 1/2 correction + biggest volumed Sp Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit before 1/2 of the Month Expandable to 1/2 of the Year Daily Trend: "+ long impulse + neutral zone + close to 1/2 correction" Monthly CounterTrend "- short balance + unvolumed expanding ICE + volumed 2Sp- + weak test" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + exhaustion volume?" Will add more if corrects to 1/2 of 1H wave.
NYSE:PFELong
by MishaSuvorov
MRK 5M Long Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + exhaustion volume + volumed T1 + volumed 2Sp- + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1/2 1M take profit Hourly CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1D SOS level" Daily Trend "+ long impulse + SOS level - before 1/2 correction" Monthly CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1/2 correction + exhaustion volume?" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + exhaustion volume?"
NYSE:MRKLong
by MishaSuvorov
F 5M Long Conservative Trend DayTrade Conservative Trend Trade + long impulse + SOS level + 1/2 correction + support level + biggest volume 2Sp+ Calculated affordable stop limit 1D T2 take profit 1H Trend "+ long impulse - before 1/2 correction + SOS test level" 1D Trend "- short impulse + exhaustion volume + volumed TE / T1 level + biggest volume 2Sp+ + test" 1M CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1/2 correction - unvolumed T1 + support level + reverse volume approach + volumed manipulation" 1Y Trend "+ long impulse + volumed T2 level + volumed 2Sp+ + weak test"
NYSE:FLong
by MishaSuvorov
Bullish behaviour on NEM stockThe price of Newmont Corporation shares retraced to the areas where professional buying took place in the past (blue rectangles). The volume during that move down is decreasing, which, according to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), is bullish behaviour. Also, given that today's bar penetrates the recent demand zone and the professionals were buying there again, this stock looks very strong and has a high chance of reversal. Closing above the $43.72 level followed by its testing on daily or lower (1H, 15 minutes) timeframes might start the rally towards $55.13 - $55.89 with resistance around $49.27 - $50.12. If today's bar is tested and supply reappears during this process, we may expect an extension of the ongoing correction to the $37.53 - $38.37 area and another surge of buying there.
NYSE:NEMLong
by VSA_Home
MGNT 1H Long Investment Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade + long impulse + SOS level + 1/2 correction + volumed 2Sp- - day will close without test Calculated affordable stop limit 1/2 1M take profit Daily Trend "+ long impulse + SOS test / T2 level + support level - strong approach from volume zone + biggest volume manipulation" Monthly Trend + long impulse + expanding biggest volume T2 + support level + 1/2 correction + unvolumed 2Sp- + strong buying bars + weak selling bar / test Yearly no context
RUS:MGNTLong
by MishaSuvorov
Ford 1D Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + exhaustion volume + 1/2 correction Calculated affordable stop limit Take profit: 1/3 to 1/2 Month Trend 1/3 to Month T2 1/3 to Year 1/2 Sell F Limit at $14.95 (Good 'til Canceled) Sell F Limit at $11.57 (Good 'til Canceled) Sell F Limit at $10.21 (Good 'til Canceled) Monthly CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1/2 correction - unvolumed T1 + support level + reverse volume approach + volumed manipulation" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse + volumed T2 level + volumed 2Sp+ + weak test"
NYSE:FLong
by MishaSuvorov
Strength on HPQ ChartHP Inc., stock approaches the bottom of the sideways channel (black horizontal lines) from which it may bounce again. During the May 29, 2024 bar, professionals bought (blue rectangle), and since then, whenever the price reached this zone, they were buying more. It should be noted that the buying around the bottom of the sideways is much bigger than the selling around its top which is bullish behaviour. Wyckoff's Spring on the recent activity adds to strength too. Another good sign for bulls is the decreasing volume on the down move, which indicates an absence of professional interest in lowering prices. The testing process is ongoing as of today. If the price reaches the buying zone and no supply reappears, there is a big probability for a move up towards $37.30 - $ 39.29 with minor resistance around $34.62 - $34.72. If supply reappears and the price breaks the bottom of the sideways channel ($32.41) we may see another leg down to $29.00 - $30.00 for more buying.
NYSE:HPQLong
by VSA_Home
POSI 1H Investment Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade - short impulse + volumed T1 level / SOS test level + volumed 2Sp- + weak test Calculated affordable stop limit 1/2 Monthly wave take profit Daily Trend "+ long impulse? - resistance level - short volume distribution" Monthly Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + volumed expanding T1 + support level + biggest volume manipulation" Yearly Trend + long impulse Weird set up. Market is strong and Monthly look a lot like exhaustion!
RUS:POSI
by MishaSuvorov
Why the Piercing Line Failed to Reverse the Trend?Why the Piercing Line Failed to Reverse the Trend? A Piercing Line pattern is a bullish reversal signal that appears after a downtrend. However, this pattern failed to reverse the bearish trend in today’s price action due to the following key reasons: 1. Lack of Follow-Through Buying • A strong Piercing Line requires the next candle to be bullish, closing above the previous day’s high, confirming a shift in momentum. • Instead, today’s candle is a strong bearish engulfing bar, completely wiping out the bullish intent. This shows sellers overpowered buyers immediately. 2. Rejection at Key Resistance (Supply Zone) • The price attempted to push higher but got rejected at 2,956-2,972 (VWAP Upper Band & VSA Resistance). • Liquidity absorption at this level suggests smart money selling into strength, not accumulation. 3. Weak Volume Confirmation • A strong Piercing Line should come with increasing volume, indicating strong buying pressure. • Volume was weak (-5.8%), meaning there was no real commitment from buyers. • A spread increase (+74.95%) without volume support suggests a liquidity grab rather than true demand. 4. Order Flow Shows More Aggressive Selling • Delta is negative, indicating more market sells than buys. • The footprint chart shows large sell orders dominating, meaning big players are still offloading. 5. Bearish Momentum Dominates Lower Timeframes • 1H, 4H, and 8H charts show bearish continuation patterns with price breaking key VWAP levels. • No higher highs or strong demand zones were created, meaning bulls are not defending. Conclusion: No Bullish Confirmation → Bearish Continuation A Piercing Line is only valid if buyers sustain momentum. Since today’s session completely erased the bullish signal, this is a failed reversal and more downside is expected. Trade Plan (Bearish Bias) • Sell Below: 2,891 • Stop Loss: 2,920 • Target 1: 2,863 • Target 2: 2,850-2,810 👉 Key Takeaway: Price action alone is not enough. Volume, order flow, and momentum must align for a true reversal.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Strength on PCAR stock Paccar Inc. stock looks strong. We can see that since October 2024, the largest volume occurred after publishing earnings reports or on ex-dividend dates. Please note that: - All bars on those days are down with the closing price in the middle of the bar which in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) indicates strength. - The volume on the October 22nd 2024 daily bar is the largest till now and the current price is above it. - All professional activity after October 2024 is happening around the buying zone created during the October 22nd bar (blue rectangle $104.38 - $104.91). - Recent buying (February 12th) breaks the previous low ($102.64) and recovers above that level which is a Wyckoff's Spring. This all is very bullish. Still, the last testing showed the presence of supply. If professionals can absorb the supply, we may expect a rally towards $116.01 - $117.83 with potential resistance in the $112.18 - $114.73 zone. Otherwise, another leg down to $100.01 for more buying is possible.
NASDAQ:PCARLong
by VSA_Home
Strength on FMC stockAfter publishing the February 5th 2025 earnings report, the FMC Corporation stock gapped down, losing almost 34% of its value. Moreover, nowadays, the company is under serious pressure after being accused of publishing false Sales and Inventory information and downgrading shares from "Buy" to "Neutral" by some analytic companies (e.g. Redburn). Logically, in such circumstances, prices should continue down, but as a matter of fact, it is not the case. Why? First, the February 5th bar is a down bar on a huge (largest in the last 15 years) volume, which, according to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), indicates professional buying. Then, 2 days later, professionals bought again and the market responded by the higher prices. Finally, the gapped-down bar reached the level of the previous support (blue rectangle on the daily and weekly charts), which adds strength. Even though it looks very bullish on the daily chart, the price should be tested before the rally. Therefore, we may expect a shallow correction to $35.13 - $36.34 or, if supply is still there, to $30.80-33.73. If testing is successful and the up move begins, the potential resistance on the way up will be around $48.06-$48.73 and $52.65 - $54.54 areas.
NYSE:FMCLong
by VSA_Home
Weakness on HOOD stockRobinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) shares appear to have sold off after publishing its February 12th earnings report. Following the report's good news, the market gapped up on opening and triggered a buying surge, allowing professionals to sell. The next day, the price recovered on a significantly lower volume, indicating absence of the professional interest on the upside (weakness). Then, on February 18th, another selling took place, which absorbed the remaining demand and pushed the price below the low of the gapped-up bar. This is bearish behaviour. It has to be noted that there were a few more selling activities in December 2024/January 2025 (red rectangles), making the overall situation on the stock even weaker. Despite the serious weakness, we may still see a retracement up into the $62.09 - $65.21 area for either more selling or retesting of demand, after which a move down to the $41.04-$42.66 zone could be expected. In this case, the support might reappear around the $52.96 level and at the $49.56 - $50.19 area.
NASDAQ:HOODShort
by VSA_Home
Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in VSAMastering Institutional Trading: Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) Observation – Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in Market Structure A buying climax (BC) occurs when price surges sharply alongside high trading volume, signaling strong buying activity. However, this aggressive move often exhausts demand, leading to a stop, where price movement either pauses or begins to reverse. At this point, the market assesses whether buyers can sustain the uptrend or if selling pressure will take over. In Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), a classic sequence is: 1. Buying Climax (BC): A sharp move up with high volume. 2. Stop Bar: Price consolidation or minor pullback after the climax. 3. Spring Bar: A downward shakeout followed by a reversal, indicating the presence of renewed buying interest. A spring bar after a stop is a bullish signal, suggesting that previous selling pressure has been absorbed and institutions may be accumulating positions. If confirmed by a strong up bar with high volume, this signals a potential breakout, as it demonstrates that buyers are stepping back into the market. The strength of the bar following the spring is crucial. A wide-range bullish candle with rising volume confirms that buying pressure is resuming, increasing the probability of an uptrend continuation. However, weak volume or failure to clear key resistance levels can indicate a fakeout, leading to further downside. 🔥 XAUMO Institutional Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD) Tokyo Session (Feb 18, 2025) Market Context – Tokyo Session vs. Prior Market Structure 📍 Current Price: $2,902.98 📍 Key Institutional Levels from Yesterday: • Resistance Rejection: $2,906.30 (VSA Liquidity High) • Support Zone: $2,891.67 - $2,888.11 (Institutional Demand Area) • XAUMO 2RC/Black Swan Stop Zones: $2,892.92 (Key Bullish Trigger or Stop Hunt Zone) Tokyo Session Key Observations ✅ Buying Climax (BC) → Strong price rally with high volume. ✅ Stop Bar Formation → Market paused following the aggressive buying. ✅ Spring Bar Emergence → Potential bullish reversal structure forming. ✅ VSA Condition: Neutral → The market is in transition; no clear trend yet. ✅ Volume Change: -10.7% (Slight decline, indicating caution among buyers). ✅ Spread Change: +23.27% (Wide price movements suggest liquidity testing by institutions). 📊 XAUMO Institutional Breakdown – Understanding Buying Climax & Spring 1️⃣ Buying Climax (BC) – Institutional Aggression & Liquidity Test 🔹 Yesterday, price reached resistance at $2,906.30 and pulled back. 🔹 A sharp rally (BC) on high volume suggested aggressive buying by institutions. 🔹 Liquidity was likely absorbed in the $2,892.92 - $2,891.67 range before the price pushed back up. 📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways: • A buying climax signals strong demand, but the pause suggests Smart Money is evaluating the next move. • The next confirmation move is crucial—continuation or reversal depends on volume and structure. 2️⃣ Stop Bar – Institutional Liquidity Testing 🔹 After the BC, price stalled and formed a stop bar (consolidation). 🔹 This stop represents either accumulation (buying) or distribution (selling). 📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways: • Break below $2,892.92 → Indicates deeper liquidity absorption; potential downside continuation. • Holding above $2,891.67 → Suggests institutions are accumulating for a bullish breakout. 3️⃣ Spring Bar – The Institutional Shakeout Before a Move? 🔹 Price dipped towards $2,891.67 before rebounding—forming a spring bar. 🔹 This can be a bullish signal, but confirmation is needed. 📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways: • If the next candle is a strong up bar with increasing volume → Confirms bullish continuation. • If the price struggles above $2,905+ or volume remains weak → Expect a fakeout and potential dump. 🚀 XAUMO Institutional Trade Plan – Tokyo Session Execution 📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Spring Confirmation & Volume Increases) 💰 Buy XAU/USD @ $2,903.50 - $2,905 📍 Stop Loss: $2,892.92 (Institutional Stop Zone) 🎯 Target Levels: 1️⃣ $2,910 2️⃣ $2,916 3️⃣ $2,923 ✅ Probability: 75% 📌 Why? • The spring bar bounced from liquidity → Possible upside confirmation. • If the next bar shows strength, buyers are stepping in → Expect breakout above $2,906. 📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection (Failure at $2,905 - $2,906 Again) 💰 Sell XAU/USD @ $2,905 📍 Stop Loss: $2,910 🎯 Target Levels: 1️⃣ $2,895 2️⃣ $2,892 3️⃣ $2,888 ✅ Probability: 70% 📌 Why? • If price rejects resistance at $2,906.30, Smart Money is distributing positions. • Volume drop (-10.7%) suggests buyers aren’t fully committed. • Break below $2,892.92 could trigger more sell pressure towards $2,888. 📢 XAUMO Execution Strategy – Final Institutional Outlook ✅ Next hourly bar confirmation is critical → The spring must be followed by a strong up bar for a bullish breakout. ✅ If price holds $2,892 - $2,891.67, upside potential remains valid. ✅ If price fails at $2,906 and volume weakens, expect another rejection and potential downside move. 🔥 Smart Money moves strategically—wait for confirmation before entering! 🚀 📖 XAUMO Institutional Strategy – Simplified for Beginners 1️⃣ Buying Climax (BC): The price surges fast, attracting late buyers, but Smart Money is already planning their next move. 2️⃣ Stop Bar: The price pauses or reverses. This is where institutions test liquidity to see if there’s enough demand for a move higher. 3️⃣ Spring Bar: A small drop that shakes out weak traders before a possible reversal. If confirmed, it means Smart Money is accumulating. 🔹 Next Step? • If buyers come back strong, price breaks higher (bullish). • If volume remains weak, Smart Money sells into the rally, and price drops again (bearish). 💡 Tip: Don’t rush in! Institutions don’t reveal their moves immediately—wait for confirmation before entering a trade. 🚀
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Strength on MRNADespite negative news, Moderna, Inc. stock is in a good position to rally. Its price has been falling since August 2021, but relatively big buys have begun to emerge since August 2024. It has to be noted that on every bar with buying, volume is increasing, which is usually a sign of accumulation on a down move. If the price breaks the $40.83 level (the high of the bar with the largest volume), then tests it on low volume later, and supply does not re-emerge in the $49.94 - $56.70 zone, this would signal the end of accumulation. In such a case, we could expect the move towards $102.90 - $118.10, and if shares would not be sold off there, it might go even higher to $156.94 - $163.19. At the same time, if accumulation has not been finished yet, we may still see another leg down for more buying.
NASDAQ:MRNALong
by VSA_Home
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XAUMO Live Market Analysis – London to NYC Overlap🔥 XAUMO Institutional Signature – Precision Trading for XAU/USD 🔥 🚀 Smart Money Doesn’t Chase – It Positions. 📌 XAUMO Live Market Analysis – London to NYC Overlap 📍 Current Price: $2,901 📍 Active Sessions: London → Pre-NYC Overlap 📍 Liquidity Map: • Key Resistance: $2,939 - $2,942 (Institutional Sell Zone) • Key Support: $2,878 - $2,850 (Liquidity Pool) • Volume Profile Imbalance Below: $2,850 - $2,820 🔍 XAUMO Institutional Volume Flow – Smart Money’s Next Move ✅ Low institutional participation pre-NYC: Market is setting up a stop hunt. ✅ Volume divergence confirms waiting game before liquidity grab. ✅ Retail is entering early – expect a fake move before real breakout. 📌 What This Means? • If price holds above $2,878, accumulation for bullish continuation is likely. • If price breaks $2,878, expect a liquidity flush toward $2,850 - $2,820. 📊 XAUMO Liquidity Zones & Order Blocks 📌 Liquidity Traps Identified: • Below $2,878 → Stop Hunt Zone (Retail stop-losses stacked). • Above $2,939 → Liquidity Pool for Institutional Selling. 📌 What This Means? 🔹 Above $2,878: Still within Smart Money’s Fair Value Range. 🔹 Below $2,878: Market Makers will target $2,850 liquidity. 📈 XAUMO VWAP, POC & Value Areas – Price Efficiency Levels 📌 Institutional Key Levels: • VWAP Pivot: $2,902 (Fair Value Mean Reversion Level) • POC (Point of Control): $2,906 (High Volume Node – Institutional Bias Confirmation) • Value Area Low (VAL): $2,878 (Liquidity Pivot – Break or Hold Decision Zone) 📌 What This Means? 🔹 Below VWAP ($2,902): Bearish pressure remains dominant. 🔹 VWAP Reclaim: Momentum shift toward $2,939. 📉 XAUMO Fibonacci Confluence – Precision Entry & Reversal Zones 📌 XAUMO Key Fibonacci Levels: • 38.2% Fib: $2,878 (Fair Value Pivot) • 61.8% Fib: $2,850 (Liquidity Grab Zone – Institutional Buy Area) • 78.6% Fib: $2,820 (Extreme Liquidity Sweep Before Reversal) 📌 What This Means? • If price dips to $2,850, expect institutional entry. • If $2,878 holds, bullish continuation likely. 🚀 XAUMO Institutional Trade Plan – Smart Money Execution 📉 Scenario 1: Institutional Short Setup – If $2,878 Breaks 💰 Sell XAU/USD @ $2,875 📍 Stop Loss: $2,910 🎯 Take Profit: $2,850 - $2,820 ✅ Probability: 85% 📌 Why? 🔹 Market Makers will sweep liquidity below $2,878 before reversal. 🔹 Institutional rebalancing to $2,850 - $2,820 expected before reversal. 📈 Scenario 2: Institutional Long Setup – If $2,850 Holds 💰 Buy XAU/USD @ $2,850 📍 Stop Loss: $2,835 🎯 Take Profit: $2,920 - $2,939 ✅ Probability: 80% 📌 Why? 🔹 Liquidity Trap Setup: Market Makers will flush weak hands before rallying. 🔹 61.8% Fibonacci Confluence at $2,850 = Institutional Buy Zone. 📊 Scenario 3: Breakout Confirmation – If Price Moves Above $2,939 💰 Buy XAU/USD @ $2,942 📍 Stop Loss: $2,920 🎯 Take Profit: $2,975 - $3,000 ✅ Probability: 75% 📌 Why? 🔹 If Smart Money confirms breakout, expect strong momentum continuation. 🔹 Watch for fakeout wicks before committing to breakout play. 📢 XAUMO Execution Strategy – What to Do NOW? ✅ Wait for Smart Money to Make Their Move. ✅ Do Not Enter Prematurely – Liquidity Grab Expected. ✅ Monitor NYC Session for Institutional Execution Timing. 📌 If price stays between $2,878 - $2,906: Wait for liquidity confirmation. 📌 If price drops to $2,850: Watch for rejection wicks + institutional buy entry. 📌 If price breaks $2,939, volume must confirm breakout before execution. 🚀 Smart Money Doesn’t Chase – It Positions. 🚀 Retail gets baited. XAUMO waits for confirmation. 🚀 Your edge is patience + disciplined execution.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Weakness on DIS stockThe stock of Walt Disney Company looks interesting from the VSA point of view. The monthly chart shows that the price is now around the top of the horizontal channel formed after a year of down move (blue lines). On one side, there is professional buying in the background, which might resolve this sideways to the upside, but there is much more supply around market peaks from the other side, and that might lead to a down move. Deeper analyses of the price action over the last few months on the daily chart show massive supply. Moreover, the price went below the selling zone (red rectangle) and returned to its bottom on a low decreasing volume, showing an absence of professional interest to participate in an up move. So, to summarise it together: As of now, this stock is weak . With a big probability, the price may fall to the bottom of the monthly sideways channel first and if no buying suddenly appears while the price breaks the $79.24 level, it could reach the $20.0-$30.0 area then. If professionals buy around the channel bottom, the move-up will depend on the size of that buying, but will most probably push the price back to the monthly channel's top.
NYSE:DISShort
by VSA_Home
Strength on AMD stockAfter almost a year of down move, on February 5th 2025 a huge professional buying took place on Advanced Micro Devices Inc. stock (Ticker NASDAQ: AMD). Even though we've seen professional buying on that move before, the volume there was much lower and, as a result, caused small retracements up only. The volume on the February 5th daily bar has much bigger potential. Moreover, a few things are adding to the strength: - Recent buying appeared on the market opening after the earnings report with an immediate price rise. - The price returned into the area of big volume (blue rectangle) on relatively low volume, showing no professional interest in the downside (testing). Therefore, if no supply reappears below or around the $116.37 level, we may see a rally towards $150.37 - $153.03 and even higher to $166.10 - $167.08 zone. In case supply hits the market in the mentioned area, another professional buying could take place around $95.61.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by VSA_Home
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) with Fibonacci on Large Candles Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) with Fibonacci on Large Candles (Bullish & Bearish) If you spot a large candle with high volume, whether bearish or bullish, you can use Fibonacci retracement on the candle itself to determine potential reversal or continuation zones. Here’s how to apply it in both scenarios: 1️⃣ Large Bearish Candle (Bearish Bar) 📉 (Red candle with high volume closing near the low) How to Identify a Bearish Candle? ✅ The candle has a large body and closes near the low (strong selling signal). ✅ The volume is significantly higher than previous candles → Institutional Selling (Smart Money Selling). ✅ If volume is high but the candle doesn’t close at the low, it could indicate hidden buying (stopping volume). How to Draw Fibonacci on a Bearish Candle? 1️⃣ Identify the high and low of the bearish candle: • High = The top of the candle. • Low = The bottom of the candle. • This represents the range of the selling pressure in the market. 2️⃣ Draw Fibonacci levels between the high and low: • 0% = Low (Bottom of the bearish bar). • 100% = High (Top of the bearish bar). • Key levels to watch: • 38.2% → Weak retracement, market may continue down. • 50% → Balance point, strong resistance possible. • 61.8% → Potential reversal zone; if price fails to break it, the downtrend may continue. • 78.6% → If price breaks this, trend may change. 3️⃣ If the market continues downward, check Fibonacci extensions: • 127.2% & 161.8% → Downside targets if the bearish trend continues. Confirming Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) for Selling ✅ Sell Entry: If the price retraces to 38.2% - 50% and rejects with weak volume. ❌ Stop Loss: Above 61.8% or the last swing high. 🎯 Targets: • Break of the large candle’s low. • Fibonacci extensions 127.2% or 161.8%. 2️⃣ Large Bullish Candle (Bullish Bar) 📈 (Green candle with high volume closing near the high) How to Identify a Bullish Candle? ✅ The candle has a large body and closes near the high → Strong buying signal. ✅ The volume is significantly higher than previous candles → Institutional Buying (Smart Money Buying). ✅ If volume is high but the candle doesn’t close at the high, it could indicate supply absorption. How to Draw Fibonacci on a Bullish Candle? 1️⃣ Identify the high and low of the bullish candle: • High = The top of the candle. • Low = The bottom of the candle. • This represents the range of the buying pressure in the market. 2️⃣ Draw Fibonacci levels between the high and low: • 0% = High (Top of the bullish bar). • 100% = Low (Bottom of the bullish bar). • Key levels to watch: • 38.2% → Shallow pullback, market may continue up. • 50% → Balance point, potential bounce area. • 61.8% → Strong support zone; if price holds with weak volume, an uptrend may continue. • 78.6% → If broken, trend may reverse. 3️⃣ If the market continues upward, check Fibonacci extensions: • 127.2% & 161.8% → Upside targets if the bullish trend continues. Confirming Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) for Buying ✅ Buy Entry: If price retraces to 38.2% - 50% and bounces with high volume. ❌ Stop Loss: Below 61.8% or the last swing low. 🎯 Targets: • Break of the large candle’s high. • Fibonacci extensions 127.2% or 161.8%. 🎯 Quick Summary: When to Enter? 🔴 Sell: • Large red candle, price retraces to 38.2% - 50% with weak volume. • Stop loss above 61.8%, target at 127.2% & 161.8% extensions. 🟢 Buy: • Large green candle, price retraces to 38.2% - 50% with strong volume. • Stop loss below 61.8%, target at 127.2% & 161.8% extensions.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Bullish behaviour on ADBE stockIt looks like, after half a year of retracement, Adobe Inc. stock (Ticker NASDAQ: ADBE) is now setting up for longs again. On the gap-down daily bar following the December 11th 2024 earnings report, professionals bought. Then, over December and January 2025, more buying can be seen. It has to be noted that recent professional activity took place around the previous level of support ($433.97) which adds to the strength. By January 10th supply has been absorbed, in February the price pushed above the support level and has been tested with relatively low volume creating conditions for the move up. Today's bar is a positive reaction to the recent testing and might be the beginning of the rally towards $566.79 - $576.30 with minor resistances around $482.66 - $489.52 and $541.74 on the way. At the same time, as we've seen a high volume around the support level (January 27th, 28th and 31st bars), there is still the possibility of its re-testing and the beginning of the rally from there.
NASDAQ:ADBELong
by VSA_Home
NVS 1H Swing Long Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade + long impulse + 1/2 correction + T2 level + support level - biggest volume 2Sp- Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R within 1H range take profit Daily Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + JOC level + support level - above 1/2 of entire 1D wave at the support level of 1M" Monthly Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + support level + JOC level - unvolumed manipulation" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse - resistance level + less than a month left and it looks to break + long volume distribution" NVS @NYSE Bought NVS Market, Day Filled 8:27 AM 104.89325 Profit Taker Sell NVS Limit 105.87, GTC Submitted 8:27 AM
NYSE:NVS
by MishaSuvorov