TATN 1H Swing Long Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ long impulse
+ expanding volumed T2 level
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Day trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction?"
Month trend
"+ long balance
+ expanding T2 level
+ support level"
VSA
VZ 5M Long Daytrade Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume weak attempt manipulation
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Hour Trend
"+ open gap with retest
+ long impulse
+ SOS test level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ volume zone"
Daily CounterTrend
"- short impulse
- biggest volume TE / T1"
Monthly Trend
"+ long balance
+ historical 1/2 correction
with exhaustion volume in the end
+ initiative take over
+ ICE level
+ volumed? 2Sp
+ weak test"
VZ @NYSE
Sell Limit 40.22, GTC
Sell Stop 39.89 LMT 40.01, GTC
SLB 5M DayTrade Long Aggressive CounterTrend tradeAggressive CounterTrend trade
- short impulse
- unvolumed T1 level
+ volumed Sp?
+ support level
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Hourly context
"- short impulse
+ volumed T1 level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction"
Daily context
"+ long impulse
+ above JOC SOS level?
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction"
Monthly context
"+ long balance
+ expanding ICE level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed Sp"
SLB @NYSE
Sell Limit 48.70, GTC
Sell Stop 47.68 LMT 48.03, GTC
JNJ Swing Long Conservative Trend Trade 14Conservative Trend Trade 14
+ long impulse
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ biggest volume 2Sp
+ test
Calculated affordable stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily chart context
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
Monthly chart context
- short impulse
+ biggest volume Sp
+ test
+ 1/2 correction
FAST 1H Swing Long Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
- expanding ICE
+ volume 2Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily context
"+ long impulse
+ SOS test level
+ right volume distribution"
Monthly context
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ 1/2 correction?
+ right volume distribution"
Sell Stop 67.15 LMT 67.84, GTC
Sell Limit 69.19, GTC
HBL POWER - High Probability for further up MoveThe stock faced price rejection around 612 on its upward journey and it was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. And it moved almost sideways for 6 months. Multiple attempts to take out the rejection zone failed and recently it did succeed in moving out of the rejection zone. But it again went back to test the rejection zone. Now again it is moved up above the rejection zone and also the supply shadow of the BC bar of the 15th of July. As you can see the money flow is positive and the relative strength is also positive now. Th e volume has substantially increased and also the delivery volumes have increased in the recent past. All this does indicate that this current breakout of the rejection zone will sustain and it is highly probable that the stock will move up further.
TM 5M Long Daytrade Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
- above first closed bullish bar level entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Hourly context counter trend
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume transitory extremum / T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
Daily context (trend)
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation
+ 1/2 correction"
Monthly context (trend)
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ weak approach
+ volumed manipulation"
TM @NYSE
Sell Limit 200.85, GTC
Sell Stop 199.53 LMT 199.97, GTC
Trading opportunity. ETH, BNB, NEAR, RNDRHi traders and investors!
I have chosen 4 assets on which to look for purchases.
The price of each asset formed a sideways trend on the daily TF and is now at the lower boundaries of these sideways (above the lower boundaries).
ETHUSDT. Current buyer vector 10-11 on the daily TF. Potential target – 3977.
On the hourly timeframe, the price has formed a sideways trend and now the buyer is attacking the upper boundary of the sideways trend. You can search for purchases:
after the launch of a long trend on the hourly timeframe (the buyer protects the exit from the sideways trend on the hourly timeframe and the formation of a new buyer impulse)
from protection by the buyer of the lower boundary of the sideways trend 2822 -2810.
BNBUSDT. Current buyer vector 10-11 on the daily TF. Potential target – 645.2
On the hourly time frame, the price has formed a sideways trend and now the price is near the upper boundary of the sideways pattern. You can search for purchases:
after the launch of a long trend on the hourly timeframe (the buyer protects the exit from the sideways trend on the hourly timeframe and the formation of a new buyer impulse)
from protection by the buyer of the lower boundary of the sideways trend 471 - 454.
NEARUSDT. Current buyer vector 5-6 on the daily TF. Potential target – 6.89
There is a short trend on the hourly timeframe. It is advisable to look for purchases when the buyer overcomes the beginning of the last impulse of the seller 5.003, protects this level, and forms a new impulse.
RNDRUSDT. Current buyer vector 8-9 on the daily TF. Potential target – 11.88
There is a short trend on the hourly timeframe. It is advisable to look for purchases when the buyer overcomes the beginning of the last impulse of the seller 8.273, protects this level, and forms a new impulse.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Volume and Price DynamicsVolume Spread Analysis (VSA): Understanding Market Intentions through Volume and Price Dynamics.
█ Simple Explanation:
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) is a trading technique that identifies key market patterns and trends by analyzing the relationship between volume and price spread, revealing traders' actions and market behavior.
Essentials in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA):
Laws.
VSA Indicator.
Signs of Strength.
Signs of Weakness.
Note that while the provided examples are excellent for illustrating the points, they are unlikely to play out perfectly in most scenarios.
█ Laws
Three basic laws forming the foundation of Volume Spread Analysis (VSA).
The Law of Supply and Demand
This law states that supply and demand balance each other over time. High demand and low supply lead to rising prices until demand falls to a level where supply can meet it. Conversely, low demand and high supply cause prices to fall until demand increases enough to absorb the excess supply.
The Law of Cause and Effect
This law assumes that a 'cause' will result in an 'effect' proportional to the 'cause'. A strong 'cause' will lead to a strong trend (effect), while a weak 'cause' will lead to a weak trend.
The Law of Effort vs Result
This law asserts that the result should reflect the effort exerted. In trading terms, a large volume should result in a significant price move (spread). If the spread is small, the volume should also be small. Any deviation from this pattern is considered an anomaly.
█ VSA Indicator
This indicator simplifies the identification of Volume and Spread Levels. It provides options to display volume and/or spread bars. An enhanced version of the indicator auto-scales both volume and spread for optimal chart presentation, reloading every time the chart is moved.
Levels: Representing the levels of both volume and spread using the terminalogy of low, normal, high, and ultra.
Indicator Version 1: Display volume and/or spread bars. When both are displayed, the spread bars are shown in a fixed quantity.
Indicator Version 2: Display both volume and spread bars, with the spread bars scaled to the volume bars.
█ Signs of Strength
Indicates that the market is likely to experience bullish behavior.
Down Thrust: Indicates strong buying interest at lower prices, suggesting a potential upward reversal.
Selling Climax: Signifies a reversal point as panic selling exhausts and smart money starts accumulating.
Bear Effort No Result: A large downward price move without strong selling effort (volume) indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting the down move may be unsustained.
No Effort Bear Result: Strong selling effort (volume) fails to push prices down indicating an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting a potential lack of downward momentum.
Inverse Down Thrust: Shows buyers overpowering sellers, likely leading to a bullish market reversal.
Failed Selling Climax: Failed selling effort suggests strong buying support and a possible upward trend reversal.
Bull Outside Reversal: Indicates strong buying reversing a downtrend, confirmed by higher close.
End of Falling Market: Signifies strong buying absorbs panic selling at new lows, likely leading to stabilized price or reversal.
Pseudo Down Thrust: Suggests weakening of the downward momentum with a potential upward continuation if broken above high.
No Supply: Indicates a lack of selling interest at lower prices, potentially setting up for a price rise.
█ Signs of Weakness
Indicates that the market is likely to experience bearish behavior.
Up Thrust: Indicates sellers overpowering buyers during a price rise, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Buying Climax: Represents peak buying, typically at price highs, with potential for reversal as sellers take control.
No Effort Bull Result: A large upward price move without strong buying pressure (volume) indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting the up move may be unsustained.
Bull Effort No Result: Strong buying (volume) fails to drive prices higher indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting a potential lack of upward momentum.
Inverse Up Thrust: Increased selling pressure during an uptrend suggests a possible shift to a downtrend.
Failed Buying Climax: High buying volume fails to sustain higher prices, indicating a potential reversal to downtrend.
Bear Outside Reversal: Strong selling pressure reversing an uptrend, signaling a potential downtrend.
End of Rising Market: Indicates buying saturation at market peaks, suggesting a possible reversal as demand exhausts.
Pseudo Down Thrust: Indicates weakening upward momentum with potential for downward continuation if broken below low.
No Demand: Indicates reduced buying interest at higher prices, possibly leading to a price decline.
SBUX 1H Long Swing Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ long impulse
+ volumed T2 level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ biggest volume Sp
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit after volumed zone
before 1/2 monthly
Daily context trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- before volume zone"
Monthly context countertrend
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ manipulation"
Exit strategy:
SBUX @NASDAQ.NMS
Sell Limit 76.55, GTC
Sell Stop 73.76 LMT 74.69, GTC
Continuation of selling of SPXAs we confirmed the trend reversal for the moment, we might have possible two scenarios:
We might have similar push up during the night before continuation of a drop
Secondly, if we get higher prices during the night or at NYSE open, we might continue our way down until we got extended.
Gold Continuation lowerAs we recieved signals coming off the weekly and monthly channels, we might see a continuation of a trend for lower prices.
Best setup would be entering at pullbacks into 0.61 area and getting the system from the signal at lower timeframe channels before we can have another leg down. and breaking 4hr EMA supports.
TTE 1H Long Swing Conservative Trend tradeConservative Trend trade
+ long balance
+ ICE level
- above 1/2 correction
+ biggest volume 2 Sp
+ support level
Calcualted affordable stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily context:
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ SOS level
+ unvolumed 2Sp"
Monthly context:
"Trend Trade
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ SOS level
+ support level
- historical high"
OCO 4A: Sell Shares of TTE Limit at $70.83 (Good 'til Canceled)
OCO 4B: Sell Shares of TTE Stop at $68.76 Limit at $69.19 (Good 'til Canceled)
SBER 1H Long Swing Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
- above 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Sp-
Calculated affordable stop limit loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily context:
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume transitional extremum / T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2S-"
Monthly context:
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction"
SBER 5M Long Daytrade Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
- above 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Sp+
Calculated affordable stop limit loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Hourly context:
'"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp-"
Daily context:
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume transitional extremum / T1
+ support leve
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly context:
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction"
CVS Long Swing 1H Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ long balance
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ ICE level
+ volumed 2Sp-
+ volumed bullish bars
+ unvolumed bearish bars
Calculated affordable stop limit
25% 1 to 2 R/R
25% 1/2 of the daily range
25% Daily T1 level
25% Monthly 1/2
Daily context
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ exhaustion volume below"
Monthly context
"- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
TM Daytrade M5 Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed transition extremum / T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation
- no trading signal (last M5 of the day)
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit $205.59
Hourly context:
"- short impulse
- unvolumed transitory extremum / T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Daily context:
"+ long impulse
- biggest volume on top
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation
- 1/2 correction?"
Monthly context:
" + long impulse
+ SOS level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ weak approach
+ volumed manipulation"
OCO 4A: Sell Shares of TM Limit at $205.99 (Good 'til Canceled)
OCO 4B: Sell Shares of TM Stop at $201.58 Limit at $201.70 (Good 'til Canceled)
TGT Swing 1H Long Conservative TradeConservative Trade
+ long impulse
+ Daily 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily context:
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ 1/2 correction"
Monthly context:
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ close to 1/2 correction"
TGT @NYSE Bought Market, Day
Profit Taker Sell Limit 150.02, GTC
Profit Taker Sell Stop 144.77 LMT 146.70, GTC
BTC. Buying opportunitiesHi traders and investors!
The price followed the bearish scenario from the previous review and reached the anticipated target of 60200. It's time to update the possible scenarios.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
Let me remind you that on the daily timeframe, the price has been in a sideways range since February 2024. The buyer's vector 10-11 is currently relevant with a potential target of 72797. The buyer has not yet been able to reach this target. The seller formed a selling zone at the end of the incomplete buyer's vector 10-11 (red rectangle on the chart, lower boundary of the selling zone 66060.31) and pushed the price down to the lower boundary of the sideways range at 59005. Since the price is near the lower boundary of the sideways range, the priority is to look for buying opportunities. Let's look at the lower timeframes.
Hourly Timeframe Analysis
On the hourly timeframe, the buyer is currently trying to start a long trend. The price has overcome the beginning of the last seller's impulse (60548.46). This level is currently key. Protecting this level by the buyer and/or forming a new impulse will start a long trend, confirming the presence of the buyer. A move below 60548.46 and protection of this level by the seller will form a sideways range where intraday trades can be sought from one boundary to the other.
Buying opportunities
Buying opportunities can be sought from the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 10-11 in the sideways range on the daily timeframe:
the buyer protecting the level 60548.46 (aggressive strategy),
forming a new buyer's impulse on the hourly timeframe and the buyer protecting this impulse (semi-aggressive strategy),
after the buyer absorbs the daily candle of June 24, 2024 (conservative strategy).
The potential target is 72797.
AFFLE - A stock to watchThe stock has been moving almost sideways for more than two years. Early this year it attempted to take out the old price rejection zone of two years at 1336 level, it failed and it was pushed down again below the 200 DMA. From there it started recovering and in the month of May the stock did make an attempt to take out this price rejection zone. It failed and again was pushed down below the 200 DMA. Now again it is making an attempt and it is crossed the rejection zone with a “Buying Climax” like Bar with a with widespread up bar on very high volume. Now the level 1390 is very significant now because once the price goes above this level it would cross the previous resistances from 2022 and also it would go above the supply shadow of the “BC” like bar which happened today. A bullish close above 1390 will take the stock higher. All other parameters like Relative strength, Money Flow, Buying Pressure and Momentum seem to support. The up move could struggle till 1510 level above which the ease of movement would be much better.
CME 1H Long Swing Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1 level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
Takle profit:
+ 1/3 1 to 2 R/R
+ 1/3 to a Daily CREEK
+ 1/3 to a monthly 1/2
Daily Context
"- short balance
- unvolumed ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volumed of the Day wave"
Monthly context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- volumed T2
+ support level
- unvolumed manipulation"
ETHUSDT. Trading opportunityDaily Timeframe Analysis:
The price formed a sideways movement on the daily timeframe starting in February 2024. The buyer's vector 8-9 reached its mandatory target, and now the seller's vector 9-10 is relevant with a potential target of 3301.9 (the upper boundary of the buyer's zone, which was formed at the base of vector 8-9, indicated by the blue rectangle on the chart). The seller initiated their vector and formed a seller's zone at the beginning of the vector (red rectangle on the chart, lower boundary at 3624.28).
Sales Strategy:
Sales can be considered as an idea of realizing the seller's vector 9-10 from the seller's defense of the level 3659.01, which is a test of the buyer within the formed seller's zone. The potential target is 3301.9. On the hourly timeframe, the level 3659.01 serves as the seller's defense level for the breakout from the sideways movement. So on this timeframe, you can look for signs of the seller defending the level. If the seller does not defend this level, there is a high probability that the buyer will reach 4000.
Purchases Strategy:
Purchases are advisable to consider after the price interacts with the buyer's zone at the base of vector 8-9 (blue rectangle on the chart, upper boundary at 3301.9).
ETH. Buying opportunitiesHi traders and investors!
The seller's vector 9-10 reached its mandatory target in the sideways range on the daily TF from the previous review. It's time to update the possible scenarios.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range that began in February 2024. The seller's vector 9-10 reached its mandatory target with a low of 3240, and now the buyer's vector 10-11 is relevant with a potential target of 3977. The first obstacle for the buyer is the high of the last seller's bar at 3435. The price has not yet interacted with this level. Since the price is at the lower boundary of the sideways range on the daily timeframe, it makes sense to start looking for buying opportunities. Let's look at the lower timeframe.
Hourly Timeframe Analysis
On the hourly timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range. The seller's vector 4-5 exited the boundary of the range, and then the buyer absorbed the attacking range boundary candle of the seller, forming a buyer's zone at the end of the seller's vector (blue rectangle on the chart). Currently, the buyer's vector 5-6 is relevant with a potential target of 3653. The price is at the lower boundary of the sideways range on the hourly timeframe, so it makes sense to start looking for buying opportunities.
Buying opportunities
Buying opportunities can be sought from the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 10-11 in the sideways range on the daily timeframe or from the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 5-6 in the sideways range on the hourly timeframe.
From the protection by the buyer of the lower boundary of the sideways range at 3362 on the hourly timeframe.
From the protection by the buyer of the level 3345, which is the test of the seller of the formed buyer's zone at the end of the seller's vector 4-5 on the hourly timeframe.
From the protection by the buyer of the level 3240, which is the test of the seller of the formed buyer's zone at the base of the buyer's vector 8-9 on the daily timeframe.
After the buyer absorbs the daily candle of June 24, 2024 on the daily timeframe (conservative strategy).
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