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VSA

XAUUSD. The Leap. Where will the price go?Hi traders and investors! More than 13,000 traders have registered for The Leap paper trading competition. One of the assets of the competition is XAUUSD. Perhaps this analysis will help you make the right decision (the SPX500 analysis is available in the linked idea). In a related idea, XAUUSD predicted that if the buyer defends the $2378 - $2383 range, then the likelihood of the buyer reaching $2431.59 and $2450.125 will increase. The buyer has reached $2450.125, time to update the analysis. Daily Timeframe Analysis: On the daily TF, the price formed a sideways pattern, now the current seller vector is 7-8 with potential targets of $2286.83, $2277.345. The seller's vector interacted with the first obstacle of $2391.520, where the buyer won, forming a buyer's zone (blue rectangle on the chart, upper limit $2401.31). The volume of the seller's candle from July 25, which was absorbed by the buyer, is the largest in the last 3 months. Now the price has reached the upper limit of the sideways trend at $2450.125. Let's note the surge in volume on the buyer's candle from July 31 and the closing of this candle above the test of the seller's zone ($2432.065) at the upper border of the sideways band (red rectangle on the chart). Now all attention is focused on the struggle between buyer and seller for the level of $2432.065. To consider the fight, let's consider the lower TF. Hourly Timeframe Analysis: On the hourly TF, the price formed a sideways pattern near the upper bounder of the sideways trend of the daily TF. $2437.32 is the lower bounder of the sideways trend, $2458.465 is the upper bounder of the sideways trend. Selling opportunities: If the price exits the sideways trend downwards, below $2432.065, and the seller protects this exit, you can look for selling opportunities. The goal is to choose the closest one and follow the deal (monitor how the price passes the range of 2428-2419). Buying opportunities: If the buyer protects the lower border of the sidebar (up to $2432.065), you can look for buying opportunities. The goal is the upper limit of the hourly sideways trend and possibly a new ATH.  
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
STLA Long Swing 1H Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse - unvolumed TE / T1 + support level + biggest volume Sp Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Daily CounterTrend "- short impulse + volumed TE/T1 level + support level - 1 bar reversal? Monthly trend "+ long impulse + T2 level + 1/2 correction + support level" STLA @NYSE Sell Limit 17.00, GTC Sell Stop 16.61 LMT 16.75, GTC I don't want to run it more than 1 to 2 R/R since 1 bar reversal on daily.
NYSE:STLALong
by MishaSuvorov
SPX500. Where to look for purchases and sales.Hello traders and investors! Let's analyze the SPX500. Weekly Timeframe Analysis: A buyer's impulse has formed on the weekly TF with an impulse base of $5193.1. The seller performed well, showing a good spread and volume. Key impulse candle from 06/10/24 (candle with the highest volume in the impulse, “KC” on the chart), its close is slightly below 50% of the impulse. I assume that the seller will lower the price to the key candle, where it will be necessary to evaluate the buyer’s actions to search for purchases. Daily Timeframe Analysis: On the daily timeframe, the seller broke through the bottom of the buyer's last impulse ($5577.4). The seller's impulse is not over yet, since there has not been a buyer's candle yet. The base of the seller's momentum is $5680.4. While the seller is protecting the $5577.4 level, it is advisable to look for sales. 2H Timeframe Analysis: On the 2-hour time frame, the price formed a sideways movement (the lower border of the sideways movement is $5577.4). Then the seller broke through the lower border of the sideways movement and launched a short trend. The base of the seller's last impulse is $5568. 50% of the seller's last impulse – $5536.1. On the 8-hour timeframe and the 4-hour timeframe, the price situation is similar to the 2-hour timeframe. The initial level of the seller's last impulse is $5568. 50% of the seller's last impulse – $5536.1. Thus, in the range of $5577.4 - $5568 there is a context for searching for sales on the daily, 8-hour, 4-hour and 2-hour timeframes . Selling Strategy: Seller protection levels $5577.4 or $5568. Seller protection 50% of last impulse - $5536.1 Buying Strategy: When the price reaches the range of $5328 - $5436, look for patterns for purchases. If the buyer returns the price above $5577.4 and protects this level.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by AlexeyWolf
SPX500. The Leap paper trading competitionHi traders and investors! In the previous idea, I analyzed the weekly and daily TF to find price zones for sales and purchases. In terms of sales, the idea worked. In terms of purchases, the pattern has not yet formed. It's time to update analysis. Daily Timeframe Analysis: There is a short trend on the daily TF. The last impulse of the seller is from the level of $5594.4. The key impulse candle is located at the bottom of the impulse (the candle with the highest volume, marked on the chart "KC") This is the daily candle from 07/25 and is the one with the highest volume over the last 3 months. What is interesting is that most of the body of the candle is below 50% of the last buyer impulse on the weekly TF (see the related idea, where there is an analysis of the weekly TF). Hourly Timeframe Analysis: On the hourly timeframe there were more than 3 price touches of 50% of the seller’s last impulse on the daily timeframe; the seller failed to update the minimum, which may indicate the seller’s weakness. Selling opportunities: There is a high probability that the buyer will reach $5504.1 (the minimum of the seller’s previous impulse on the daily timeframe) and $5511 (50% of the seller’s last impulse on the hourly timeframe), where I will watch the seller’s reaction to look for sales. Buying opportunities: It is advisable to search for purchases when the price returns above $5504 and the buyer protects this level. On a 30-minute time frame, this will mean an upward exit from the sideways trend and the protection of this exit by the buyer.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by AlexeyWolf
KNR CONSTRUCTION - Moving to next orbit ?The stock, after a long consolidation of more than 2 years, made an impressive up move in late May, early June period. Then it met with supply around 344-410 levels. Then again it consolidated for almost 2 months taking support in the previous Major PRZ. Now it is trying to move out of this supply zone. All the other parameters like relative strength, money flow, buying pressure, the volumes, all look positive and likely to aid further up move. So, looks like the stock is going to go into the next higher orbit.
NSE:KNRCONLong
by karthikmarar
GEHC 1H Swing Long Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade - short impulse - unvolumed T1 level + biggest volume 2Sp+ + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry Calculated affordable stop limit Take profit: - 60% 1 to 2 R/R - 40% daily T1 Daily context "- short impulse - unvolumed T1 level + biggest volume 2Sp+ + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry" Monthly context "+ long impulse + T2 level + 1/2 correction + support level + volumed manipulation" GEHC @NASDAQ.NMS Sell Limit 83.59, GTC Sell Stop 79.59 LMT 80.69, GTC GEHC @NASDAQ.NMS Sell Limit 82.85, GTC GEHC @NASDAQ.NMS Sell Stop 79.59 LMT 80.69, GTC
NASDAQ:GEHCLong
by MishaSuvorov
MCD 1H Swing / Investment Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade + long impulse + expanding T2 + volumed 2Sp- + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry Calculated affordable stop limit Take profit: 1/3 1 to 2 R/R 1/3 daily T1 level 1/3 monthly 1/2 Daily trend "+ long impulse + expanding T2 + volumed 2Sp- + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry" Monthly trens "+ long impulse + volumed T2 level + support level + 1/2 correction + biggest volume Sp + weak test" MCD @NYSE Sell Limit 261.99, GTC Sell Stop 250.94 LMT 253.18, GTC Sell Limit 257.63, GTC OCO 2A: Sell Shares of MCD Limit at $271.49 (Good 'til Canceled) OCO 2B: Sell Shares of MCD Stop at $250.94 Limit at $251.94 (Good 'til Canceled)
NYSE:MCDLong
by MishaSuvorov
XAUUSD. There is a context for searching for salesHello traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis: The daily TF is sideways movement. Buyer vector 6-7 achieved all goals, going beyond the upper border of the sideways movement at point 5 ($2450.125). The seller returned the price to the sideways movement, forming a seller zone with a lower border of $2420.08 at the upper boundary of the sideways (red rectangle on the chart). Seller vector 7-8 is relevant with potential targets $2286.83, $2277.345. In the $2420 -$2450 zone, you can look for a pattern for selling an asset. Obstacles on the seller’s path – $2391.52 (minimum of the last buyer subvector in the sideways vector 6-7), $2349.485 (test of the buyer zone formed in vector 6-7) Hourly Timeframe Analysis: There is a short trend on the hourly timeframe. Beginning of the seller's last impulse at $2421.7. 4-hour Timeframe Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, the seller broke through the bottom of the buyer's last impulse at $2419.84. Thus, in the range of $2419 - $2422 there is a context for searching for sales on the daily, 4-hour and hourly timeframes.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
VZ 5M Long Daytrade Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade - short impulse + volumed T1 level + support level + biggest volume weak attempt manipulation Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Hour Trend "+ open gap with retest + long impulse + SOS test level + 1/2 correction + support level + volume zone" Daily CounterTrend "- short impulse - biggest volume TE / T1" Monthly Trend "+ long balance + historical 1/2 correction with exhaustion volume in the end + initiative take over + ICE level + volumed? 2Sp + weak test" VZ @NYSE Sell Limit 40.22, GTC Sell Stop 39.89 LMT 40.01, GTC
NYSE:VZLong
by MishaSuvorov
SLB 5M DayTrade Long Aggressive CounterTrend tradeAggressive CounterTrend trade - short impulse - unvolumed T1 level + volumed Sp? + support level + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Hourly context "- short impulse + volumed T1 level + support level + 1/2 correction" Daily context "+ long impulse + above JOC SOS level? + support level + 1/2 correction" Monthly context "+ long balance + expanding ICE level + support level + 1/2 correction + volumed Sp" SLB @NYSE Sell Limit 48.70, GTC Sell Stop 47.68 LMT 48.03, GTC
NYSE:SLBLong
by MishaSuvorov
HBL POWER - High Probability for further up MoveThe stock faced price rejection around 612 on its upward journey and it was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. And it moved almost sideways for 6 months. Multiple attempts to take out the rejection zone failed and recently it did succeed in moving out of the rejection zone. But it again went back to test the rejection zone. Now again it is moved up above the rejection zone and also the supply shadow of the BC bar of the 15th of July. As you can see the money flow is positive and the relative strength is also positive now. Th e volume has substantially increased and also the delivery volumes have increased in the recent past. All this does indicate that this current breakout of the rejection zone will sustain and it is highly probable that the stock will move up further.
NSE:HBLENGINELong
by karthikmarar
TM 5M Long Daytrade Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade - short impulse + volumed TE / T1 + support level + volumed 2Sp+ + weak test - above first closed bullish bar level entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Hourly context counter trend "- short impulse + biggest volume transitory extremum / T1 + support level + biggest volume manipulation" Daily context (trend) "+ long impulse + T2 level + support level + volumed manipulation + 1/2 correction" Monthly context (trend) "+ long impulse + SOS level + 1/2 correction + support level + weak approach + volumed manipulation" TM @NYSE Sell Limit 200.85, GTC Sell Stop 199.53 LMT 199.97, GTC
NYSE:TMLong
by MishaSuvorov
Trading opportunity. ETH, BNB, NEAR, RNDRHi traders and investors! I have chosen 4 assets on which to look for purchases. The price of each asset formed a sideways trend on the daily TF and is now at the lower boundaries of these sideways (above the lower boundaries). ETHUSDT. Current buyer vector 10-11 on the daily TF. Potential target – 3977. On the hourly timeframe, the price has formed a sideways trend and now the buyer is attacking the upper boundary of the sideways trend. You can search for purchases: after the launch of a long trend on the hourly timeframe (the buyer protects the exit from the sideways trend on the hourly timeframe and the formation of a new buyer impulse) from protection by the buyer of the lower boundary of the sideways trend 2822 -2810. BNBUSDT. Current buyer vector 10-11 on the daily TF. Potential target – 645.2 On the hourly time frame, the price has formed a sideways trend and now the price is near the upper boundary of the sideways pattern. You can search for purchases: after the launch of a long trend on the hourly timeframe (the buyer protects the exit from the sideways trend on the hourly timeframe and the formation of a new buyer impulse) from protection by the buyer of the lower boundary of the sideways trend 471 - 454. NEARUSDT. Current buyer vector 5-6 on the daily TF. Potential target – 6.89 There is a short trend on the hourly timeframe. It is advisable to look for purchases when the buyer overcomes the beginning of the last impulse of the seller 5.003, protects this level, and forms a new impulse. RNDRUSDT. Current buyer vector 8-9 on the daily TF. Potential target – 11.88 There is a short trend on the hourly timeframe. It is advisable to look for purchases when the buyer overcomes the beginning of the last impulse of the seller 8.273, protects this level, and forms a new impulse.
by AlexeyWolf
2
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Volume and Price DynamicsVolume Spread Analysis (VSA): Understanding Market Intentions through Volume and Price Dynamics. █ Simple Explanation: Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) is a trading technique that identifies key market patterns and trends by analyzing the relationship between volume and price spread, revealing traders' actions and market behavior. Essentials in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Laws. VSA Indicator. Signs of Strength. Signs of Weakness. Note that while the provided examples are excellent for illustrating the points, they are unlikely to play out perfectly in most scenarios. █ Laws Three basic laws forming the foundation of Volume Spread Analysis (VSA). The Law of Supply and Demand This law states that supply and demand balance each other over time. High demand and low supply lead to rising prices until demand falls to a level where supply can meet it. Conversely, low demand and high supply cause prices to fall until demand increases enough to absorb the excess supply. The Law of Cause and Effect This law assumes that a 'cause' will result in an 'effect' proportional to the 'cause'. A strong 'cause' will lead to a strong trend (effect), while a weak 'cause' will lead to a weak trend. The Law of Effort vs Result This law asserts that the result should reflect the effort exerted. In trading terms, a large volume should result in a significant price move (spread). If the spread is small, the volume should also be small. Any deviation from this pattern is considered an anomaly. █ VSA Indicator This indicator simplifies the identification of Volume and Spread Levels. It provides options to display volume and/or spread bars. An enhanced version of the indicator auto-scales both volume and spread for optimal chart presentation, reloading every time the chart is moved. Levels: Representing the levels of both volume and spread using the terminalogy of low, normal, high, and ultra. Indicator Version 1: Display volume and/or spread bars. When both are displayed, the spread bars are shown in a fixed quantity. Indicator Version 2: Display both volume and spread bars, with the spread bars scaled to the volume bars. █ Signs of Strength Indicates that the market is likely to experience bullish behavior. Down Thrust: Indicates strong buying interest at lower prices, suggesting a potential upward reversal. Selling Climax: Signifies a reversal point as panic selling exhausts and smart money starts accumulating. Bear Effort No Result: A large downward price move without strong selling effort (volume) indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting the down move may be unsustained. No Effort Bear Result: Strong selling effort (volume) fails to push prices down indicating an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting a potential lack of downward momentum. Inverse Down Thrust: Shows buyers overpowering sellers, likely leading to a bullish market reversal. Failed Selling Climax: Failed selling effort suggests strong buying support and a possible upward trend reversal. Bull Outside Reversal: Indicates strong buying reversing a downtrend, confirmed by higher close. End of Falling Market: Signifies strong buying absorbs panic selling at new lows, likely leading to stabilized price or reversal. Pseudo Down Thrust: Suggests weakening of the downward momentum with a potential upward continuation if broken above high. No Supply: Indicates a lack of selling interest at lower prices, potentially setting up for a price rise. █ Signs of Weakness Indicates that the market is likely to experience bearish behavior. Up Thrust: Indicates sellers overpowering buyers during a price rise, suggesting a potential downward reversal. Buying Climax: Represents peak buying, typically at price highs, with potential for reversal as sellers take control. No Effort Bull Result: A large upward price move without strong buying pressure (volume) indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting the up move may be unsustained. Bull Effort No Result: Strong buying (volume) fails to drive prices higher indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting a potential lack of upward momentum. Inverse Up Thrust: Increased selling pressure during an uptrend suggests a possible shift to a downtrend. Failed Buying Climax: High buying volume fails to sustain higher prices, indicating a potential reversal to downtrend. Bear Outside Reversal: Strong selling pressure reversing an uptrend, signaling a potential downtrend. End of Rising Market: Indicates buying saturation at market peaks, suggesting a possible reversal as demand exhausts. Pseudo Down Thrust: Indicates weakening upward momentum with potential for downward continuation if broken below low. No Demand: Indicates reduced buying interest at higher prices, possibly leading to a price decline.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by TanHef
9
SBUX 1H Long Swing Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade + long impulse + volumed T2 level + support level + 1/2 correction + biggest volume Sp Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit after volumed zone before 1/2 monthly Daily context trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction - before volume zone" Monthly context countertrend "- short impulse + biggest volume T1 + support level + manipulation" Exit strategy: SBUX @NASDAQ.NMS Sell Limit 76.55, GTC Sell Stop 73.76 LMT 74.69, GTC
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by MishaSuvorov
TTE 1H Long Swing Conservative Trend tradeConservative Trend trade + long balance + ICE level - above 1/2 correction + biggest volume 2 Sp + support level Calcualted affordable stop loss 1 to 2 R/R take profit Daily context: "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + SOS level + unvolumed 2Sp" Monthly context: "Trend Trade + long impulse + 1/2 correction + SOS level + support level - historical high" OCO 4A: Sell Shares of TTE Limit at $70.83 (Good 'til Canceled) OCO 4B: Sell Shares of TTE Stop at $68.76 Limit at $69.19 (Good 'til Canceled)
NYSE:TTELong
by MishaSuvorov