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IHDG: A Rising Dollar is No Problem For This Foreign ETFThe US Dollar Index (DXY) has gotten off to a rip-roaring start to 2024. Up more than 2% on the year, the greenback’s ascent comes after significant declines over the final handful of months in 2023. That is usually a headwind for equities, particularly shares of companies domiciled overseas. Not surprisingly, we’ve seen many foreign index funds suffer relative to the S&P 500 thus far in January. To combat these currency concerns, hedging FX exposure reaps rewards in these environments. The WisdomTree International Hedged Quality Dividend Growth Fund ETF (IHDG) does just that. In addition to mitigating the risks of a rising dollar, the strategy aims to own high-quality dividend growth companies. While this ETF can be a replacement for a high-yield or large-cap position among long-term investors, technicians might look at its chart and see an intriguing development. My featured chart is a breakout in IHDG. A rally above the key $41 level tells me there is plenty of strength away from the US mega-cap tech stocks. IHDG features a rising 200-day moving average with its price above both the 200dma and nearer-term 50dma. What’s more, following the breakout above $41, next resistance could come into play around its late 2021 highs above $46, while ample volume by price in the $36 to $41 range should offer cushion on any pullbacks. So, don’t discount non-US equities even as the SPX and QQQ lead the global markets. If the trend of a stronger DXY continues, IHDG may keep on shining versus foreign index equity ETFs.
AMEX:IHDGLong
by mikezaccardi
Macro Monday 26~Global Indexes Breaking OutMacro Monday 26 Global Index’s Breaking Out As its Christmas Eve I wanted to do an early release for tomorrow and share something positive and Christmassy but at the same time share something of value, so here is a look at some of the major global ETF index’s and how promising they appear towards the end of 2023. A clear sector stands out. Vanguard Total World Stock Index ETF - AMEX:VT In brief this Exchanged Traded Fund (ETF) seeks to track the performance of the FTSE Global All Cap Index (the “Index”) which consists of 99% stocks. The top three portfolio components consist of: 1. 61% in U.S. stocks – The top 5 holdings within this segment are Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia and Future on E-mini S&P Futures. 2. 7.6% stocks in the Eurozone 3. 6.1% stocks in Japan The overall VT portfolio is typically weighted as follows: Cyclicals (34%), Sensitive (46%) and Defensive (20%). This ETF attempts to provide an economy weighted global ETF product by leveraging the worlds largest economy, the U.S. with some protection against downside risk with defensive and cyclical plays taking up over 50% of the portfolio exposure. FYI – This index is extremely similar both on the chart and in price to the iShares MSCI ACWI ETF ( NASDAQ:ACWI ). This ETF aims to track the MSCI All Country World Index also. You can look this up and add it to your ticker list for a general sense of the direction of global markets much like the Vanguard Total World Stock Index ETF covered here today. The Chart - chart features in heading of this article Again, in brief you can see that we have a major breakout of a 3 year long pennant which is a bullish formation. We are also above the 200 day moving average which is slanting upwards (positive). This Chart/ETF product gives a broad based view on the global economy at present however is obviously strongly reliant on the U.S. economy with 61% of the portfolio in U.S stocks so we will also have a look at a few other index’s that are looking positive at present. iShares Global Energy ETF - AMEX:IXC This index seeks to track the S&P Global Energy Sector Index and appears is primarily invested in the Oil and Gas sector. This index is designed to measure the performance of 52 companies in the global energy sector. The company sectors include the following: 1. Oil & Gas Exploration and Production Companies 2. Integrated Oil & Gas Companies 3. Oil Equipment, Services & Distribution Integrated Oil and Gas makes up 53% of the portfolio, with Oil and Gas Exploration making up another 22%, and Oil and Gas Storage & transportation 10%. The remainder of the portfolio is other Oil & Gas equipment, services and derivatives. The Chart As you can see the chart is forming an ascending triangle and has made a series of higher lows due to upwards price pressure. Should this continue we should eventually have a breakout above the ascending triangle. We are now above the 200 day moving average however it has plateaued and thus we do not want to lose the $39.41 level which would mean we have lost our most recent higher low and would also confirm we have lost the diagonal support line. For now it is positive and we have price pushing higher with higher lows each month. Global X FinTech ETF - NASDAQ:FINX The Global X FinTech ETF (FINX) is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of the Indxx Global FinTech Thematic Index. These are companies that are involved in the development and use of financial technology (FinTech). The ETF seeks to provide exposure to companies at the forefront of financial technology innovation, including those involved in payment processing, digital banking, blockchain technology, peer-to-peer lending, and other disruptive financial services. Interestingly, Coinbase Global NASDAQ:COIN is its largest holding at 9%, then Intuit Inc NASDAQ:INTU at 8% and Fiserv Inc NYSE:FI at 6%. Other notables are PayPal, Fidelity and Block which are all in the top 10 holdings making up about 4 – 5% of the portfolio each. This is a fascinating little index that gives you exposure to some of the more established financial entities whilst also providing exposure to the trending innovative financial tech plays. One extra thing I like about this tracked Index is that it is 51% exposed to Information Technology but then you have c.40% in Financials, something people just cannot do without. The Chart We have a breakout of a long running descending wedge. Price has fallen c. 65% from the highs made a series of lower lows and has now broken out of the wedge and strongly broken above the 200 day moving average. As I always say, an entry off the 200 DSAM is usually ideal but we have a long term potential change of direction here on the chart could be a signal for FinTech playing a major role over the coming decade in finance. This leads me to my last chart of the day. Global X Blockchain ETF - NASDAQ:BKCH The Global X Blockchain ETF ( NASDAQ:BKCH ) is an exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of the Indxx Blockchain Index. This ) The ETF seeks to invest in companies positioned to benefit from the increased adoption of blockchain technology, including companies in digital asset mining, blockchain & digital asset transactions, blockchain applications, blockchain & digital asset hardware, and blockchain & digital asset integration. Earlier this year I spotted a very promising opportunity in the Cleanspark Inc NASDAQ:CLSK Chart, I checked the major components of this ETF only to find CLSK as a top three holding making up 12% of the portfolio weighting in the ETF, this helped confirm my conviction to place a trade. Since investing and sharing the original chart this stock has increased >100%+. As I noted above, when you see large institutional indexes/or tracked indexes showing a lot of faith in a company and putting their money where their mouth is with these sorts of weightings, it can be a confirmation signal after finding a brilliant looking chart. Marathon Digital NASDAQ:MARA is the largest holding in the ETF at 17% and Coinbase comes at 2nd place at 14%. The remainder of the portfolio is collection of other blockchain related firms including PayPal, Block, Cipher Mining, Nvidia, Robinhood, Bakkt holdings, Galaxy Digital…I think you get the picture. The Chart This chart is very similar to the Fintech Chart however it has some subtle differences that make it a more favorable chart. The 200 DSMA is clearly on the ascend for a number of months and appears to have demonstrated itself as support. We have higher lows and now a higher high…. which says a lot. We also have the obvious breakout from the pennant. All in All this is beautiful looking chart however we should note that we had a strong pull back in summer 2023 and we could have another from the $60 level. If you are placing bids on this chart it should be for the long haul and as always, an ideal entry is off the 200 DSMA or your Dollar Cost Averaging for a long term hold. These are a few of the charts that I track closely but rarely talk about, some of the major holdings in these stocks helped lead some of my investment decisions this year. If big money and funds are investing in a company or sector where the chart is also looking good, its was always an indication to me that money could be flowing towards these stocks, especially when making up such large positions within these large index funds. If you enjoyed me covering index and the inferences drawn from them let me know and I’ll share some of the others I track. Folks things are looking really good for the long term on all the above global indexes Happy Christmas Everyone PUKA
AMEX:VTLong
by PukaCharts
updated nyse chart target for panic lows oct 2022Final low is in DEC at 8909/9223 I am working on the spirals still from past I will have that within this week . The chart posted is that of the NYSE I use this over all to give me a much clearer view as it is ALL the data . in 1987 panic the market dropped to a near perfect .382 from peak to low oct 1932 . and then again in 2009 the drop from 2000 to 2002 times 1.618 gave us the low .Then again in march 23/2020 from the peak in 2020 to the 1974 low a perfect .382 drop to the low . . I am of the view we will return to the level of the 4TH wave which is the march 23 low 2020 soon . Best of trades WAVETIMER ! I am 75 % net short see posts and aug 16/25 turn . or you should be in 100 % cash and should remain until US $ reaches 128 area . Most of you just want to H>O>P>E> that we will be off to the races after this low. I can tell you based on the debt cycle and after a 40 year bull market in expansion of debt that just started a long term BEAR MARKET . I have stated for the record we will see a P/E of lower that 14 and unemployment to see well above 6.3 % I stated by year end if I am off it will be by march 2023
TVC:NYAShort
by wavetimer
2
updated NYSE PANIC AND TARGET OCT 4TH/20TH 10781/9609 Final low is in DEC at 8909/9223 I am working on the spirals still from past I will have that within this week . The chart posted is that of the NYSE I use this over all to give me a much clearer view as it is ALL the data . in 1987 panic the market dropped to a near perfect .382 from peak to low oct 1932 . and then again in 2009 the drop from 2000 to 2002 times 1.618 gave us the low .Then again in march 23/2020 from the peak in 2020 to the 1974 low a perfect .382 drop to the low . . I am of the view we will return to the level of the 4TH wave which is the march 23 low 2020 soon . Best of trades WAVETIMER ! I am 75 % net short see posts and aug 16/25 turn . or you should be in 100 % cash and should remain until US $ reaches 128 area . Most of you just want to H>O>P>E> that we will be off to the races after this low. I can tell you based on the debt cycle and after a 40 year bull market in expansion of debt that just started a long term BEAR MARKET . I have stated for the record we will see a P/E of lower that 14 and unemployment to see well above 6.3 % I stated by year end if I am off it will be by march 2023
TVC:NYAShort
by wavetimer
TOP WAVE STRUCTURE AVG BEAR MARKET 120 YEARS OF DATA CYCLES We have now most likely seen the turn . we will for the most part have the Bulls staying it is a re test and a bear trap into this OCT . But it is not most of the rallies going forward until we drop in 2700 to 1890 on the sp 500 will at most be.382 to 50 % . The Battle between Inflated assets { Debt based } And Food costs due the Drought cycles and Population and coming default cycles . Did I mention the Baby boomers are at 26.7% of USA Population . and that this JAN 2023 SSA IS GOING UP A SMALL 9.8 TO 11.5 % . SO the standard of living of our children is about to break down . You will own Nothing and be happy !! . DID any of you think the war in eastern UKRAINE is about PUTIN . is is about RESOURCES NAT GAS and WHEAT aka FERTILE lands . The Water wars are set to begin . FARM LAND OIL N GAS and WATER are the only assets of VALUE . fiat money and Crypto are only used as a balance sheet . new home sale are breaking down due the steady increase of interest rates 40 year Bubble see Tulip mania and those who have a low rate are trap unable to sell as they would just be hot with the higher rates in the new purchase trapped as well as housing and stock prices over 120 of data we Always revert back to the MEAN..I have always lived by a few rules in investing my 40 plus years . 1] Never use debt in your life live well below your means 2] treat money like water in the desert 3 know that every Bull market is induced by the expansion of a form of DEBT and or the devalue of a fiat currency . to create employment to CONTROL the masses . see cares act 2020 expansion Money velocity to a total of 40 % of ALL money in US history . I learned at a young age from one of the riches men in the US from strong hands to weak and from weak hands back to strong on the CHEAP see 1907 1929 1973 2000 2007 2022 charts . I also asked him how do people get rich > He told there are two ways Inherit it and steal others people money .! he asked me what did I think So I said to him . then the simple life and man is the richest man for he does not want but to live a life of peaceful and simple for the GIFT OF LIFE n time are the true riches . I MENTION 1960 TIME VS NOW for GOOD REASON YOUNGEST USA PRESIDENT WAS LIGHT Till he Talked of the Secret Societies . That COVERT its citizens AND WAS SLAIN 3 weeks later . To Now The OLDEST US PRESIDENT A Time of DARKNESS AND DIVIDE AND CONTROL EVERYTHINK FROM WHAT IS A MALE OR FEMALE TO THE COLOR OF EACH OTHER SKIN FROM LAW N ORDER N PEACE TO HATE FEAR ALL . IN LATE 2021 I DID TELL YOU THE WAR CYCLE IS NEAR . 1917 10 % DIED in that revolution 1945 revolution 45 million died US CIVIL WAR NEAR 3% . And in Nov we will start to see a battle over the next two years with the Promises . this battle is Communism within the USA it is all based on the growth of the population exceeding. its natural growth and depletion of water . . remember this nov VOTE no matter what . if you DO NOT then stand ready to have everything you think cant happen in AMERICAN IS ABOUT TO . BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER !!!
SP:SPXShort
by wavetimer
4
NEW WAVE B LOW COMING 3588/3490 FOCUS 3511 So far the first leg of the bear market has come to an end we had a very clear abc rally for wave A up we should now see an abc drop into a new low at which time I will be going long once again the last wave gave us my 10 to 14 % based in the trow and qqq and perfect in spy target 393 . I have taken profits on ALL trades and will wait till july 5th . once the next shoe falls this will then see the next rally to 4110 to 4180 that will mark the summer peak then the CRASH WAVE into the week of OCT 4TH .THAT WILL BE THE LOW . BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER ! GOD BLESS THESE UNTIED STATES
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
4
The Dow Jones's Weekly RSI is overbought and turning downThe Dow Jones's Weekly RSI is Turning Down From Overbought Territory. I went short one DJI future last week which did well. I opened an SDOW position in my 401k which got stopped out around breakeven after the overnight rally extending into Friday's daytime rally. I went short another future Friday at $23410. The US central bank has stopped quantitative easing and is supposed to be slowly unwinding their massive balance sheet in US Treasuries. In my 401k I will open a half SDOW position today and then add to it during a rally. I remember the 2007-2008 crash well. Please see my other posts on the Global Stock etfs VT and VEU.
TVC:DJIShort
by haug01
The Global Stock Market's Monthly RSI is Hitting a TopThe Global Stock Market's Monthly RSI is Hitting a Top in an Overbought Position. This is dominated by US equities. There is no etf to short this index in my 401k. I am currently short one Dow future. Trying to short the US market has not been very rewarding so far. I will start shorting it more going forward. I watched my 401k fall a lot in 2008 and watched it recover over 9 years. I am currently all in cash in my 401k. I am long 2 corn futures and 2 soybean meal futures in my margin account.
AMEX:VTShort
by haug01