Volkswagen (VOW3): Potential Climb to €150Volkswagen AG is currently a highly interesting stock for us, especially given that it is a massive enterprise and the European market has seen significant sell-offs, in contrast to most American automakers which remain relatively high. However, it's important to note that automakers are typically quite volatile. If not for the high dividend yield, which currently stands at 15%—exceptionally high for a company of this size—it might not even be worth considering. Looking at the daily chart, we've observed a decline from 252€ to a low of 97.83€, marking the nadir of the overarching Wave II.
We placed our very first entry at the start of this cycle at 101€, which is now at 121€. We have yet to break out from the major trend channel. A new, smaller trend channel has formed, suggesting that an upward breakout could potentially lead us out of both channels, providing a short-term boost. This could bring us to the level of Wave (X), around 150€, concluding the Wave (1).
We successfully entered a new position on the 2-hour chart for Volkswagen, as we placed a limit order at the 50% retracement level, which was reached yesterday. This entry should give us a significant boost, aiming to challenge the trend channel line again and potentially reaching new local highs around 130€. There's also a dividend distribution coming up next month for Volkswagen, which might influence market behavior as investors could decide to take profits afterwards.
We are not trying to predict short-term movements; instead, we aim to position ourselves for the long term and hold our investments for extended periods. We have strategically placed our stop-loss below Wave ((ii)) to only get stopped out if the scenario is invalidated. However, we see theoretically huge potential upwards, with 150€ being just an initial target.
Vw
Volkswagen in Focus: Analysis and Initial SuccessesVolkswagen's chart has been performing well, aligning nicely with our expectations, though it might not apply universally for all Elliott Wave Analysts. We've made three entries into Volkswagen, closing one while still holding two. Our first buying decision was timed during significant pressure on the German stock market, particularly impacting the automotive sector. Since then, the movement has been favorable, and broadly speaking, we believe we entered near what appears to be a foundational low. Whether this proves to be the absolute bottom or if a new bottom emerges in the years ahead remains to be seen. However, we can confidently state we entered at a local low, with our positions showing a 12% increase since the last entry and a 23% increase from the first open entry.
We're keenly interested in how Volkswagen's dividend yield will play out and what the future holds, which looks promising at this stage. We'll continue to closely monitor and analyze this stock, keeping our positions open without any current reason to close. Having already secured some profits and adjusted our stop-loss to our entry price, we're well-positioned. Should any changes be made, we'll certainly keep you informed.
Changes in the EU's Green Deal could spur growth for VolkswagenVolkswagen’s shares have been on a downward trajectory for about three years now, dropping by more than 50%. However, after finding a bottom (presumably) in October 2023, the company’s stock has been ticking higher and forming an upward-sloping channel. While it is yet to be seen whether these shares have really bottomed out, certain developments might boost the company’s outlook going forward. Due to mounting protests from farmers and others, discussions about the European Union’s Green Deal and its feasibility have emerged recently. It is becoming increasingly apparent that ambitious plans might not be achievable within the initial deadline set in the deal. Furthermore, the question of the cost of achieving these goals has become a major subject of talks among members of the European Parliament. So far, European lawmakers have scrapped some of the initial rules, mainly affecting the agricultural sector. Nevertheless, it is possible that phasing out of combustion engine cars and reducing emissions will undergo a similar reassessment that could positively affect European carmakers, including Volkswagen, which is somewhat behind in electrifying its fleet compared to its competitors.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of Volkswagen stock. Currently, the price is trading near the lower bound of the upward-sloping channel that acts as a support. If this support holds, it will be positive for the stock in the short term.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Slightly bearish
Weekly time frame = Neutral
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
XPEV collaborating with VW = China EV on fire !XPEV is trending up. It is Chinese in the biggest EV market on the planet.
No import duties. Low-interest rates on debt and consumer auto loans here
as the government is doing the opposite as the US fed. Now the collaboration
with VW which has legacy excellence in manufacturing with XPEV whose
forte may be technology and autonomous driving innovation. On the 2H
chart, the stock price jumped fast and hard on the news catalyst. The
MACD launched signals over the histogram and the Volume Price Trend
screamed higher. This all spells momentum. While there is a risk of a downfall
reversal and drop as they saying goes make hay while the sun shines.
There may be shadows of short selling squeezing here. Time will tell. For
sure being late to the party is sometimes a waste of time. The real show
will be watching XPEV/ VW competing with both NIO and TSLA in China.
To the victor goes the spoils. Hold on as the ride will have some bumps.
VW BULLISH SENTIMENTVolkswagen plans to focus solely on profitability amid cutthroat competition from the Chinese automakers. Volkswagen said it would not participate in the discount battle like its Chinese competitors. Instead of expanding its market share and sales volume, the German carmaker plans to leverage its strong market position to build a sustainable business.
The company's deliveries for April 2023 jumped 39% year-on-year to 720,200 cars.
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Trading Idea - #Volkswagen #VWMy trading idea for #Volkswagen #VW - LONG
Entry: 122.80 EUR
Target: 197.00 EUR (profit +58%)
- So far, there are few affordable small electric cars on the market. Volkswagen wants to change that and presents the ID.2all for less than 25,000 EUR. According to VW, the fully electric compact car will have a range of up to 450 km and will be launched on the market in 2025. The quick charge is supposed to take only 20 minutes.
- Volkswagen is pushing ahead with the electrification of its vehicles and plans to invest a total of 180 billion euros by 2027. With net liquidity of 43 billion euros, including 16 billion from the IPO of the Porsche sports car division, the Wolfsburg-based company considers itself in a solid position to handle the investments.
- Record profit at Audi! They sell fewer cars but earn more money.
Trading Idea - VW/PORSCHE Pair Trade Pair Trade:
#VW (Vz) LONG
#Porsche SHORT
VW and PORSCHE have a correlation of 84%. Reason enough to try out a pair trade. Currently the values have drifted apart by approx. 7%!
Porsche is currently performing better (relatively), which means a SHORT signal. VW, on the other hand, is lagging somewhat behind!
#NNOMF_NANO $NANO will the share price go up?#NanoOneMaterials has signed some great deals this year:
#RioTinto
#EuroManganese
#JohnsonMatthey
I'm curious if the share price will take some positive action in this years last quater?
After touching a 2 years low in May it did a good run till August. Since than the share price was cooling down and tries the next run to the resistance at about CAD 3,3x
If the price can sustainably brake through that resistance again, it could become a nice run. Specially if more positive news will arrive! But first it has to defeat the support at about CAD 2,57
No financial advice - just my opinion.
Volkswagen stuck in reverse?Volkswagen - Short Term - We look to Sell at 145.76 (stop at 152.42)
The medium term bias remains bearish. Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. We have a Gap open at 145.76 from 19/08/2022 to 22/08/2022. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 120.52 and 115.00
Resistance: 145.76 / 151.50 / 160.86
Support: 137.68 / 128.10 / 120.56
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Upsize potential for VAG (VOW) due to EV salesVAG shows potential for doubling its share value in the next year due to EV sales.
Fundamentals:
VAG outplaced TSLA in Europe by sales of EVs in 2022 and has strong momentum which is backed by models ID.4 and ID.3 will continue.
eu-evs.com
Technicals:
- potential ending C (from ABC) -wave on weekly
- with the potential to end at the top of the channel on weekly - about 400 EUR/share
- 0.382 retracement from the spake in 2008 is at the same 399 level.
Trading Idea - #VolkswagenMy trading idea for Volkswagen - Buy / LONG
Target: EUR 143.00 (+8% gain)
VW has sold more electric vehicles worldwide than in the first quarter of the year. This is a positive business development despite supply bottlenecks.
It is becoming apparent that many automotive suppliers have reached a low point in their business development. Nevertheless, the car manufacturers themselves continue to act very strongly.
In the second half of the year, profit momentum could pick up again as China plans tax reductions. From today's viewpoint, VW would be one of the biggest beneficiaries.
Better outlook for the second half of the year is expected due to the end of the semiconductor shortage, which is becoming more and more apparent.
From a technical chart perspective, we are in a support area both in the short term (15M) and in the long term (1D), which makes buying the share attractive.
Auto Industry Stock. Ford, VW, BMW, Toyota, Honda, and TESLA?In this video, I do a quick breakdown of a few major automotive stocks. I wanted to mention their Earnings per share (eps), P/E Ratio, and dividend percentage. Ford is at a longer-term PE ratio low right now. Watch the video for more details. I get into Toyota, Ford, Honda, Tesla, BMW, and VW (Volkswagen).
Volkswagen (VOW3.de) bearish scenario:The technical figure Rising Wedge can be found in the German company Volkswagen AG (VOW3.de) at daily chart. Volkswagen AG, known internationally as the Volkswagen Group, is a German multinational automotive manufacturing corporation. It designs, manufactures, and distributes passenger and commercial vehicles, motorcycles, engines, and turbomachinery, and offers related services, including financing, leasing, and fleet management. The Rising Wedge has broken through the support line on 25/01/2022, if the price holds below this level you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 12 days towards 164.62 EUR. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 195.00 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
Volkswagen Group posted its lowest sales figures in 10 years in 2021 at 8.9 million deliveries, the carmaker said last Wednesday, and it said it expected supply chain conditions to remain volatile in the first half of this year. The Volkswagen brand saw an 8.1% drop in sales to just under 4.9 million units, with the biggest fall in China at 14.8%, although battery-electric vehicle sales in the country quadrupled.
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BRUMM OR BRUH?A few days ago Porsche Holding presented their earnings and today we will find out if this company is a good buying opportunity, or not.
Buying points:
-close to a break out above the triangle
Indicators:
-> strong support in the 88.96 area (->fib 0.618)
-> hit the SMA 100 several time
-> relativ % divergence between VW shares which indicates a gap upwards (orange line)
Selling points:
-couldn’t stay above the 100 SMA
-MACD weekly, monthly indicate slow down
Fundamentals
-great earnings (estimates 4,3 -> got 8)
-Volkswagen EV (electric vehicle) trend
Conclusion
The technical analysis gives us too little information about the further course of events. But the fundamental data gives us a clear tendency where it is going, namely upwards, because the Porsche Holding gives you the VW shares more cheaply than to buy them directly. Looking at the orange line both share acted same where as now there is a gap to fill. Therefore, I want you to know that you are not buying the brand Porsche but also VW and other companies shares.
GME Potential Dead Cat BounceHi everyone,
This idea is a follow-up on the previous one "GME GAME OVER" where we discussed the potential bubble structure phase "return to the normal".
If that phase is in development via upcoming bullish engulfing patterns, we might try to close the previous bear gaps and thus rallying to the upside.
www.google.com
The moment the potential rally would lose any strength via a decrease in volume followed by bearish engulfing patters, or any type of bearish price action,.. we could go over in the "fear" and later on "capitulation" phase.
How High can this go?
I don't know but a retest of the 90-100 dollar zone with be more or less in line with the VW short squeeze.
VWAGY - its a RUNNER. Sputnik! Raketa!This is the most beautiful chart I have seen this week. Its a boner. To the fucking moon! Lets Gagarin this bitch!
400% run this year. It will blow every EV fucker out of the water. EV VW bus wagon thing that hippies drive? SIGN ME THE FUCK UP! Yes PLEASE! Put me in one of these and take me to the MedMen store (MMNFF - this fucker will rip too).
I see fucking Moons everywhere this evening.
Volkswagen w47 2020. WOW from 2021-2022. 350 in 2030Monthly
Price finishing its range correction and will head to 350Euro in 2030 year
Weekly
Price in Uptrend
price in range 125-155
Daily
Close to SR 155
Buy on pullback to 145-147 Fin 0.382
VW is the 1st car producer for EU.
It will develop EV to be competitve with TSLA
Cheap EV from VW will be best to sale in EU.
Since that i will bullish for VW
it will growth in 2021-2022 but faster, then better to have it now for long period.
From 200 of 2021 to 350 of 2030
OPEN 145
SL 116
TP 200
TP 350
The faster market implement EV technology quicker VW wil take position.