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Vwapbands

Bitcoin & Ethereum - Morning Update Bitcoin and Ethereum Morning Update Good morning, we are back close to the MarchVWAP on ETH 🚨 Still needs to be flipped for the trend to reverse on the higher time frame, if we get this reclaim we are looking for scalps on some assets but thats for later. This setup on ETH with the multiple retests on the cluster reminds me of another setup on ETH just close before we saw the big increase before the ETF happening. On BTC things are looking good as we held the most important level for now the MarchVAL. But on BTC the MarchVWAP is getting problematic too. We are still thinking that ETH is going to outperforme BTC in the next months in either direction. The 4H close on BTC above the MayVWAP is important and not just a fakeout, if we get a reversal in the next 30min we could be in light troubles but as long the MarchVAL holds everything is fine. We are looking for possible setbacks before breaching the next key levels on Bitcoin and Ethereum.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by stromm_by_wmc
GE is GEAerospace a buy 5% below its ATH? - LONGGE is now priced at 5% below its recent ATH. The daily chart shows it to be on a VWAP breakout over two standard deviations above the mean anchored VWAP originating in 2 and a half years ago. Price has dipped and pulled back to the midline of the Bollinger Bands and buying volatility is fading as can be seen on the indicators. I see this as a safe point to add to my GE long positions of shares and call options. Having trimmed some of those positions 4 weeks ago, I will add the same amount back in along with 20% extra. When earnings are upcoming in August I will again look for a pivot high from which to trim again.
NYSE:GE
by AwesomeAvani
Ethereum & Bitcoin - NFP Market Thought With the NFP data coming in hot for the USD, which is unfavorable for all assets trading against it, we are closely monitoring both Bitcoin and Ethereum. We anticipate a sweep of the lows to clear out some liquidity before the uptrend continues. For Bitcoin, we believe the current weekly VWAP or the current weekly VAL, supported by the pwVAH, should hold BTC. There might be a liquidation around 70k after a drop followed by a V-shaped recovery. Regarding Ethereum, we've been ranging since the start of June between the March VAH and the pmVAH. Given the sharp rise in the last week, it seems likely we'll retest the March VWAP or even the cluster around 3.4k, which we consider the "worst-case" scenario in the near term. To turn bullish, we need to reclaim the March VAH and hold it as support. If this happens, ETH and altcoins should have the momentum to surge, pushing ETH to 4k relatively quickly.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by stromm_by_wmc
1
UNG Natural Gas ETF now rising from its reversal LONG (XNGUSD )UNG on a 120-minute chart has reversed from a long trend down which started in mid -January. This was a steep trend down from the start into mid- March where the trend angle lessened in a period of relative consolidation until May 1st where the reversal occurred. This is a falling wedge breakout with the trendlines of the wedge in thick red and thick green for resistance and support respectively. The VWAP band lines have been downsloping. Price is breaking through the lower band lines and heading toward the mean anchored VWAP line. Price is now above a EMA 100 Keltner Channel which is now trending up. I will take long trades here of both shares and call options. The targets are marked with black horizontal lines from pivots in Jnauary. The are in the levels of 21 and 26 for now. I would not be surprised if UNG moves up and targets the highs of last October at 30 in the upcoming months. Many utility companies this summer will be burning gas to generate electricity needed for air conditioning and demand should be rising.
AMEX:UNGLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
CAKE rises on VWAP bounce LONGCAKE on a 30-minute chart with a set of VWAP band lines anchored back one month shows the cycle of a trend up from a good earnings report into the uppermost band lines followed by a retracement down to the slowly rising mean VWAP where after consolidation and testing of that support, price has begun a new trend up. This is confirmed by EMA line convergences as well as RSI strength bullish divergence prior to the price action reversal. I will take a long trade here targeting 39 and 41 price levels reflecting the upper VWAP band lines. These are roughly 5 and 10% as realistic targets with a stop loss below the mean VWAP line at 36.8.
NASDAQ:CAKELong
by AwesomeAvani
SBUX found bottom and may reverse LONGSBUX on a daily chart with two sets of VWAP bands anchored to dates back in one year ago and two years ago shows SBUX to be at the same price level as the low pivot of 2022. Price has bounced off the lower most of the VWAP bands and moved up in the past three trading days with higher than usual volume. I believe that short traders are buying to cover and take realized profits in their trades. The more price moves up the more likely short traders will liquidate their positions and contribute to buying volume. A short squeeze could potentially set up here. I will take a long trade of shares and call options to profit from the price movement I anticipate. I will set a stop loss at 71.75 the piot low and a target of 93 under the mean VWAP black lines. The trade is anticipated to last 2-3 months and so the call options wll be taken with a four- month expiration.
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by AwesomeAvani
RBLX Deeply Undervalued LONGRBLX on the 4H chart is presently at the low extreme in its trading range over the past six months with the VWAP bands and volume profile overleaid. Pivot highes in the winter were in the 46-47 range while the 2023 pivot low was 25. RBLX is a kid's favorite and compets well with the other competing gaming setup. At present price touched 26.75 on 4X relative volume ( selling). This is an obvious bottom. I will puck up a long trade here targeting the VWAP and POC lines at the range of 37.50 to 39.50 and so seeking a profitable trade of 20- 25% overall in two pieces at the respective levels. Call options will be entertained if there is sufficient volume to support ease of liquidity.
NYSE:RBLXLong
by AwesomeAvani
RIVN a trade from deeply undervalued LONGRIVN on a 60 minute chart with set of anchored VWAP lines appears to be finishing a double bottom at the 8.5 level and making a move higher in a VWAP band breakout potnetially rising to the mean anchored VWAP and beyond it into the upper bands. I will take a long trage here with the targets in a textbox on the chart. I am interested in the action of the lesser EV stock while TSLAs fundamentals are challenged by earnings constraints in the face of downward pricing and whether discounting will stimulate demand or instead accelerate the path down as investors may perceive the pricing scheme as a sign of weakness ( or even desperation).
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by AwesomeAvani
19
LCID Long Trade Setup VWAP and Falling Wedge BreakoutsLCID on a 30 minute chart showed a falling wedge from mid-December to late January then with breakout which took it 30% in one and a half days. This was a previous idea. I believe the news catalyst from Saudi Arabia prompted a burst of trader interest. The following day, the price began another falling wedge pattern for one week. It then broke out for a 10 % move in a short time interval. The chart also demonstrates the bigger moves are centered around VWAP band lines where trading volume and volatility are the greatest. The relative volume and volatility indicators help emphasize this point. At this point, LCID may be turning down into another albeit smaller and lower-duration falling wedge and is well positioned for a brief short trade. The target would be the mean anchored VWAP at 3.25. For a better entry selection, a zoom into 3-10 minutes would be helpful
NASDAQ:LCIDShort
by AwesomeAvani
TQQQ Tech 3X levarged ETF LONGOn this 15 minute chart, TQQQ is in an anchored VWAP band and volume profile breakout. Near to the end of the regular market, the RSI indicator ran from deep oversold. After hours, NVDA reported a sizable earnings beat. The AI machine learning and backtesting indicator forecasts and uptrend continuation. I will get call options targeting $58 for Friday's expiration. This is a risky play, price trend could reverse and there could be no time left to recover from that reversal. The rewards for the trade going right could easily exceed 100%.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by AwesomeAvani
ACB Cannabais Peeny Stock with News LONGCannabis socks got a boost in the past day as the Biden administration seeks a reclassification of cannabis with the Drug Enforcement Agency ( DEA) This will likely give the entire sector some momentum. Here on a 60 minute chart, Aurora ACB is seen in a VWAP band breakout, crossing over the fair vlaue area of the mean VWAP accompanied on the indicators with confirmatory volume and volatility. On the zero lag MACD, the lines have crossed above the zero horizontal and above the histogram. I see this as an excellent long entry targeting 4.35 which was the pivot high after the last earnings. This represents a conservative 17-20% upside with potential upside beyond that price level given the potential impact of the federal news.
NASDAQ:ACBLong
by AwesomeAvani
VTYX- Buy the Pullback after a massive Bullish Surge LONGVTYX is an illustrative case in the trend is your friend. VTTX warmed up on Frbruary 20th and went parabolic on the next day and then faded while the moving averages and VWAP lines caught up. This is a buyable dip. It has now printed a couple of engulfing bullish candles. VTYX did less than a full 0.5 retracement as a sign of strength. I will take a long trade here targeting 16% upside to the top pivot of the recent price action. If the price can reach the target I will take half screening for higher-than-normal volatility. At present the volatility has mildly popped over the running mean telling me the continuation is on the ready. The plus here is earnings will report on March 24th so there is one month for traders to run the price up on this stock in that anticipation. Options are avaiable for call contracts expiring March 15th.
NASDAQ:VTYXLong
by AwesomeAvani
WM Waste Management ( Garbage Collector / Recycler ) LONGWM on a 180 minute chart shows a trend up since the October earnings. The January earnings substantially beat the earnings from the October report and the uptrend accelerated. The chart shows both VWAP band and volume profile breakouts persisting over 5 months. I have added to my long-term position in WM with call options for January 2026 striking $200. These have expensive premiums but I believe there is high value showing on the chart. I have taken partial significant profits from the $190 calls for January 2025 and am rolling the remaining a year forward. I will also buy a lot of shares now and hold them for about 4 weeks closing out most of the position a few days before earnings and hold the remainder through the earnings. Profits will be used to buy another call option.
NYSE:WMLong
by AwesomeAvani
BTCUSD retraced its trend down of mid January LONGBitcoin has retraced the trend down from the January 11 pivot high. The retracement is 0.5 Fib level. The zero-lag MACD and dual TF RSI both show bullish momentum. I believe BTCUSD may consolidate here and then at least by the Luxalgo Echo indicator bullish continuation will restart. I see a good entry at 43800 with a stop loss below the 0.5 Fib level at 43250 which would be about 1.25% My target at the second upper VWAP band line is 47800 or about 8% upside. This is confluent with the 0.618 Fib extension. The reward to risk would be 4000 / 550 or about 7.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
BBAI - a penny stock in a hot sector LONGBBAI fell on an earnings miss on Thursday March 7th. The downtrend of 30% was basically a slow flush. Penny stocks are volatile to begin with; this one is in the hottest of subsectors. Price is in the hard oversold area just above the second lower VWAP line on this 15 minute while the RSI lines are in the mid-30s showing the price weakness. A predictive forecasting algo from Luxalgo suggests a bounce from the present price. I will take a long trade targeting a return of 25% over the next week with three targets and partial closures of 25% , 50 and 25% respectively with the targets shown on the chart. The stop loss is 2.50 just below the pivot low of 2.5. This trade idea demonstrates how penny stocks have great volatility and how if entered well can result in 25% weekly which if compounded regularly can result in rapid account balance growth overall. The trade is to be managed with partial closures directed by alerts and notifications as well as a trailing stop loss of 5% once the price gain has reached 10-15%. This minmizes effort and screen time so that they can be spread across a wider variety of trades.
NYSE:BBAILong
by AwesomeAvani
1
SOFI flat to slightly negative YTD LONGSOFIR showed here on the 30 -minue chart has had great volatility in going no where since the start of the year. Volatility can be harnessed for profit. This is the essence of swing trading. With an intermediate term anchored VWAP band and line setup, it can be readily seen that price first was resisted by the second lower band line in purple then broke out through the band lines to meet resistance at the second upper band line ( again in purple) and broke down through the band lines to get support at the first lower band and then reversed and returned to the second upper band where it was rejected and fell into the support of the second lower band from which it is now bouncing. This is a VWAP band oscillation pattern which can be traded. I will take a long trade of SOFI here, first targeting the mean VWAP at 8.05 and then 8.6 below the first band and finally 9.05 below the second upper band. Partial closures at 25%, 50% and 25% respectively. I see this as a way to exploit SOFI volatity in swing trade profits which can also setup as short trades.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by AwesomeAvani
PHUN Long Trade Expecting Continuation PHUN is in the advertizing business specializing in targeting consumers with smart filterning of the ads tailored to their websurfing and data history. That said, it competes with Google, Facebook, Snapchat and all the rest. it is far more volatile than them as a small cap company. The trade is in capturing the volatility. On a 120-minute chart, PHU was in a state of dormancy and almost no range in late 2023 but awoke in the current year. The all-the-highs are in the 80 range back in 2022. From the highs of January to the recent low on March 1st, PHUN dropped more than 70% in 40 days or so. On the chart, it has broken out of deep undervalued territory and is not situated near the anchored mean VWAP and is at the POC line of the volume profile. It traded nearly 70 million shares about 20X the running average. I see this as an opportunity for a long trade at or near the VWAP where institutionally based traders are likely to trade. The volume and volatility make this obvious. A similar combination of volume and volatility last occurred about January 16 and propelled the price more than 250% in 4 days. While a similar move should not be expected, even 50% in 4 days is an excellent return for the risk taken. I will set a stop loss of 10% for this volatile stock while targeting 18 and 22 from the VWAP band lines on the chart.
NASDAQ:PHUNLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
NOW is a buy after a down tech stock day LONGNOW is on 15 minute chart with a volume profile overlaid and relative volume and volatility indicators below the chart. NOW had a good earnings beat late January. It is halfway to the next earnings. I think right now software stocks are hotter than hardware/ networking stocks. NOW got dragged down by technology headwinds into its support and the fall got rejected by buyers near to the close of the regular market hours. The lower VWAP bands are confluent with the support zone and confirm deep oversold and undervalued stock price. I believe this is excellent for a long trade perhaps lasting until the run-up before earnings is 6-7 weeks through the buy of a small lot of shares or a call option expiring at the May or June monthly in the range of $750 ( OTM). This will complement existing positions in CRM CRWD and PLTR.
NYSE:NOWLong
by AwesomeAvani
GE Buy the Pullback ( Flip the switch) now LONG I previously published the idea of shorting GE. It has now pulled back more than 4% on the retreacement. The short idea paid well using put options to profit from the pump of earnings expectations. Earnings were great but the run up was too much for traders. GE has now retreated and is ready for a long entry. Price is now in the undervalued range of both the short and intermediate term VWAP bands. The target is $99.99which is basically the price immediately before the earnings report. Confirmation is tbe zero lag MACD where the K/D lines crossed under the histogram and are heading together to cross over the zero line while the histogram flipped from negative to positive. Call options in the money expiring 5/5 are considered.
NYSE:GELong
by AwesomeAvani
4
NCLH - Can this travel /cruise stock rise into earnings. LONGThe cruise line subsector is surging. Apparently Royal Carribean is doing better than Norweigan but both a having a busy 20214. Earnings are around the corner. On the 60 minute chart the lower anchored VWAP bands are all trending down as is price overall. Of late from underneather price has tested the mean VWAP line and than did a test of resistance at the first lower VWAP bandline where it still sits at the underside. The "Next Pivot" AI indicator suggests a hard uptrend heading into earnings. The RSI indicator shows both fast and slow lines under the 50 level. Based on everything here knowing earnings are coming ;they likely will be good with the AI indictor predicting a 7-8% jump in the run up to earnings. I am fairly smart but well aware not so much compared with the predictive modeling of an AI indicator with its lookback and pattern matching routines. I will take a long trade here confident that the risk has been somewhat mitigated by an AI indicator, industry trending and the chart itself.
NYSE:NCLHLong
by AwesomeAvani
SOUN might be overbought and overvalued for a reversalSOUNDHound AI on the 15 minute on Wednesday 60 hours ago, broke out after a trend down to begin the year. The tailwinds of the technology stock earnings and their tailwinds pushed hard. SOUN broke out through the entire high volume area and then rose above it. Pretty much the same from the lower aVWAP bands into the uppers after crossing over the mean line. On the three indicators, RSI , MACD and the Chop index bearish diveragence is seen. This may be an early reversal in progress but then again it might just be prudent traders liquidating to take full or partial profits to close out the week. I am running full on this, I will watch the price action early next week to determine a continuation vs a reversal. Relative volume and relative volatility may show long traders closing with targets reached and shorts taking their positions causing a pivot high of even a " long squeeze". Alerts and their notifications are set on a 5-minute time frame to allow for some early warning. On the other hand it SOUN can put out some higher decibels I may decide to look at the 2/16 options chain and chart for an OTM call in the $2.5 or $3 range.
NASDAQ:SOUNLong
by AwesomeAvani
4