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Vwapbands

NVDA Breaking Out from Consolidatiom LONGNVDA has been in consolidation for two weeks. On the 1H chart, yesterday, the MTF RSI indicator shows that the lower TF RSIc rossed over the 50 level and then crossed over the higher TF RSI a clear and convincing sign of rapidly increasing relative strength. Price is in a VWAP breakout now having crossed from the mean VWAP anchored into mid- June and up crossing over the one and two standard deviation lines. The zero-lag MACD shows a line cross under the histogram occurred in the after-hours trading on Tuesday evening. Price has crossed over the POC line of the visible range volume profile yet another sign of bullish buying pressure and momentum. Overall, my analysis is that NVDA is set up for a long swing trade which I will take today.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by AwesomeAvani
5
NFLX setting up Fib retracement level bounce LONGNFLX up trended starting June 1st through an upper long term anchored VWAP to the next higher VWAP line coinciding with earnings. NFLX dropped after good earnings probably because investors expected even better. On the 30 minute chart, NFLX has more or less completed a 45-55% retracement of that trend up and is now sitting on the VWAP line that it crossed back in early June. Volumes are decent above their moving average. The zero-lag shows a line cross under the histogram which just converted to positive. I analyze this as suitable for a long entry targeting that higher VWAP band line at 495 with a stop loss at 415, the recent pivot low. I will take both a stock trade of 10 shares and a call option striking 475 expiring 8/18 NFLX calls have treated Nancy and Paul Pelosi quite well for a long period and I have enjoyed smaller profits from smaller positions in the same time frame . This looks like another opportunity.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by AwesomeAvani
TSLA setting up a long tradeTSLA on the 2H chart has been trending up since the earnings in April with minor corrections along the way including this past week after favorable earnings. The news of the massive pre-orders of Cybertruck has permeated the trader and investor community that follows TSLA. On the chart, TSLA broke down the anchored VWAP bands to settle on the support of the first standard deviation above the mean VWAP. On the MACD indicator, the lines have crossed while under the histogram which changed from red negative to green positive. On the dual time frame RSI both the lower (blue) and higher ( black) are now showing bullish divergence as the blue line has inflected its descent and crossed above the black line. I am expecting a swing trade of 2-4 weeks which could also be entered with a call option striking close to the target. Overall, I see a long trade here with a stop loss under the VWAP band at 255 and the target at 295 just below the next higher VWAP band. This is about a profit of $35 for a risk of $5 and so a very acceptable ratio. I will zoom down to a 15-30 minute time frame to accurately select and entry from a pivot low.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by AwesomeAvani
5
SOFI channeling but rising LONGShown on a 15-minute chart, SOFI is seen slowly rising in a parallel channel bounded by a pair of anchored VWAP bands - the first and second deviations above the mean VWAP from anchors back in mid-June. Fundamentally, SOFI has been challenged by another round of student loan forgiveness by our President as well as the instability in the prime rates ongoing. On the chart, price is near to the bottom support of the mean VWAP lines coming back to them since rising above them about July 10th. The trend index indicator is neutral having resolved a minor trend down. Price dropped today with the bond auction fiasco and general market downturn. the RS indicator shows both low and high time frame lines bounced from the lows and the lower time frame green line now crossing over 50. I see SOFI as ripe and ready for a long trade to exploit this dip and the overall long trend in a slowly rising channel I will set a stop loss under VWAP at 8.97 and the target of 9.45 , the first standard deviation blue lines and the POC line of the volume profile, and the secondary target of 9.95 below the second deviation red lines . I see that as a buy the low dip and sell upon the reversion to the mean.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by AwesomeAvani
3
TLT Short term Treasuries Bullish LONGTLT as shown on a 30 minute chart shows TLT in a narrow range last week and then a pivot down to begin this week followed by a downtrend and a small correction until then the fed news of the rate hike came out. Today the general market dropped after some federal financial data came out and a treasury auction was a dud bond auction with little transactions occurring confounded by Bank of Japan actions inconsistent with the path of the US Fed. The mass index indicator has signaled a reversal as the signal rose above the reversal zone and then dropped below the zone thus triggering. The Relative Trend Index documents the end of the red downtrend with the signal line nearly returning above zero. Overall, I think TLT traders overreacted to the federal news and the catalyst from Japan. I believe this to be a good point to enter long using the pivot low as the stop loss. Targets are 100.5 just below the mean anchored VWAP and 101.5 just below POCl line volume area of the intermediate term volume profile. This offers modest potential profile for a relatively low risk. However, I intend to trade this intraday as a same day expiration (0DTE) option striking 101. I will set a set a stop-loss on the option of 15% while expecting potentially 50-200% ROI making for an acceptable ratio.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by AwesomeAvani
Is the SNAP Sell Off overreaction a Reversal Setup?Yes, I think that it is. On the 15-minute chart, the price action of the post-earnings drop is seen The earnings beat the analysts. Price has started a low momentum recovery. The dual time frame RSI shows the low/blue line RS rising above the high/black line. SNAP is in the deep oversold and undervalued territory in the area of the lowermost intermediate-term anchored VWAP lines. The mass index indicator triggered a reversal in the pre-market hours today. I will take a cautious long trade here expecting a price appreciation to 11.8 at or below the mean black VWAP.or about 10%.
NYSE:SNAPLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
AMZN a long reversal tradeAMZN on the 30 minute chart has descended from a double top / head and shoulders pattern in early to mid July and is now set up in the lowest VWAP bands in oversold undervalued territory. The RSI shows lines bounced from the lowest green line set at 20. the low time frame blue- 5 minute line has crossed above the higher 60 minute black line time frame and they are both above the 50 level demonstrating bullish momentum in the early reversal. The mass index indicator crossed above the reversal zone and then down triggering the signal. I will take a long trade on AMZN seeking to profit from this reversal with about 8% near term upside. The trading plan's targets are in the text boxes on the chart.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
XAGUSD bounces up from VWAP LONGXAGUSD on the 15 minute chart- bounced off an intermediate term anchored VWAP during the middle of the NY session. The Relative Trend Index indicator and the Z-score are confirmatory. Price is now trending on the line of 2 standar deviations above the mean VWAP line . I will open a trade here targeting 25.25 expecting a rise to the third deviation line in green before price should hit some dynamic resistance. This would be about 1% ROI but leveraged on forex several multiples of that. At the same time, I will review the AGQ ETF. I expect the majority of the price rise to be at the overlap of the upcoming London and NY sessions when trading volumes and volatility will be at their highest.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
BA after earnings pop. Will it drop?Boeing had a big pop from very favorable earnings today. So far there has not been a fade or retracement. The relative strength lines however topped out and then retreated a bit signaling bearish divergence with the lower TF below the higher black TF line. Likewise, the MACD indicator is showing a line cross above the histogram whose amplitude has dropped to zero then changed to red / negative. Lastly, the mass index indicator shows a rise above the reversal zone then with a trigger signal in dropping below the zone. I conclude that BA over-extended and is now setup for a short trade which could be either stocks or a put option. For the stock the stop loss is 232 the swing high and the target is 223.25 at the mean VWAP line. If price can cross under that line, the target for the remaining runners will be 217 just above a lower VWAP line. I will buy the strike $225 expiring 8/4 to potentially exploit this expected quick retracement.
NYSE:BAShort
by AwesomeAvani
FFIE an EV Sector Penny Stock LONGFFIE is part of the EV Sector but marches to its own drum and cadre of investors and traders ( speculators). On the 15-minute chart the MACD has signaled an entry with the green dot. Price is sitting on the support of the intermediate term anchored mean VWAP lines. The low and high time frame RS lines have bounced off the lows and are in good mid-range. I will take a long trade with a stop loss at the pivot low immediately left. I have targets of 10% and 20% as noted on the chart. I expect the first target this week for half of the position and to carry the rest into next.
NASDAQ:FFIE
by AwesomeAvani
GOEV a niche EV manufacturer LONGGOEV does not compete with TSLA. It makes special use electric vehicles including a NASA contract apparently for vehicles to be used upon the return to moon exploration. As a penny stock, GEOV has weak fundamentals coupled with high trader and investor interest. Large capital institutions have a predominant portion of the shares. On the 15 minute chart. GOEV trended up from July 14th to Ju;y 19th and then down to about the same price as before then trend. This was a range of 50% demonstrating the typical high volatility of penny stocks. Based on a set of anchored VWAP bands originating in mid- April, GOEV is currently near the mean long multi-session VWAP. Since many shares are held by institutions this is a price level where trading volume and volatility are expected. I will take a long trade here. The stop loss is the recent swing low at $0.59 with a target at $0.737 just below the POC line of the related volume profile from an entry-by-limit order at $0.613 making for a projected profit of 20% with a much lower risk. For chartists who follow chart patterns, in the interval under analysis, GOEV fell from a head and shoulders pattern. My target is the neckline of that pattern. GOEV benefits from the general interest and trading volumes in the EV sector at large as well as its niche with little competition.
NASDAQ:GOEVLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
Macys ( M ) Pre-earnings LongAs can be seen on the 2H chart, Macy's last earnings on June 5th was afavorble beat resulting in first an uptrend and then a sideways price movement for a month and a half. Earnings are expected on 8/22/23. Price has had dynamic support at the mean VWAP anchored in April while the dynamic resistance has been two standard deviations above that represented by the thin red line. Price is currently midway between resistance and support. Additional support is the POC line ( with the highest trading volumes ) of the volume profile beginning at the prior earnings date. Overall I see this as an opportunity to take an options trade with an expiration a couple of weeks after expected earnings to strike the thin red line of dynamic resistance at 17 expiring September 1st. Depending on price action in the days leading up to earnings I may take off half the contracts if they are in decent profit while letting the other half run through the post earnings period figuring that M could repeat and jump after earnings.
NYSE:MLong
by AwesomeAvani
Can NFLX rebound from the down turn after earnings?NFLX started a good trend up about June 25 and then pulled back in the day after the earnings report. Although the earnings beat expectations, price continued to drop in a VWAP breakdown shown here on a 2 hr chart. Over the 2 days that followed, price has continued down at a slower rate and candle ranges are diminished. Importantly, the zero=lag MACD shows a line cross under the histogram which has changed from red /negative to green/positive. The lines have inflected upward. I see this as demonstrative of bullish divergence and predictive of a reversal. Overall, I see NFLX rebounding with a potential 15% upside. My target is 480 in consideration of the swing high on July 18th with a stop loss of 415 the swing low of late June.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
Can AMC continue the bullish momentum?AMC popped over 50% on the last trading day. So questions arise could include whether there is an juice left in the move? Are there short sellers now buying to cover to cut their losses? On the 15 minute chart, the parabolic move is obvious. The volume profile shows the highest volume of trading at 7.42. A typical end of the trading day and week fade is seen with volume falling as well. Price is now getting support at the first VWAP band above the mean line somewhat confluent with the POC. A reasonable target is the high of Friday's trading session at 8.75 but bullish momentum could push price above that resistance. The is a major VWAP band breakout. a parabolic move that potentially could continue. Accordingly, I will take a risky trade with a limit order at 7.45 where AMC will be above its POC line as an sign of a potential resurgence of bullish momentum. I will watch for a volume spike showing that new buyers like myself and short sellers liquidating are combining in selling pressure. I anticipate great price action and a quick profit. The trick is knows when to sell to realize profits I will sell one-tenth of the position for every 3% in profit unrealized and could find an overall profit of 15-25% which would be a great way to start the trading week. Some might call this chasing and I understand that. I see it has high risk with higher potential reward especially if a short squeeze kicks into the higher gears.
NYSE:AMCLong
by AwesomeAvani
19
Is JD a Chinese economy equity setting up a reversal?JD on the long term weekly chart appears to be in a descending wedge pattern which would generate a bias for a breakout upside. Price is now supported by the one standard deviation line below the VWAP bands anchored to 2019. The analysis of the ultralong term volume profile is that the Point of Control is just below price and that the vast majority of trading volume has been above the current price. I can readily presume that JD is at or near a bottom and most certainly the 1, 2, and 3 year lows. Analysis on higher time frames such as the weekly are more likely to be accurate with good signals. On the MACD signals have crossed in mid-May and now ascending in parallel toward the zero line while price is bouncing around at what I will call the bottom. Said another way, the MACD is showing bullish divergence. The upside here over a long term could be as much as 250% and much much more with a long expiration options contract. I will open a long trade here in a small position with a stop loss below the POC line and DTA into it over time whenever there is a pivot low on the weekly chart. I am confident that the Cinese economy with supposedly zero inflation will be an excellent backdrop for Chinese stocks to run higher in due time.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by AwesomeAvani
4
GLD is the high volume EFT that is tracking the gold bullrun which started two weeks ago on July 3rd after a downtrend for two months starting on May 2nd. This is not a leveraged ETF as so a bit less volatile than JNUG or GDXU. On the 2H chart, I have added a VWAP band line setup anchored into the pivot high. On my analysis: 1. GLD is ascending through VWAP band lines in a VWAP breakout. 2. Volume is steady 3. The Price Volume Trend Oscillator went from a diminishing negative/red histogram into green on July 5th. 4. On the zero-lag MACD, the lines crossed while under the histogram reversing a descent on July 17th and marking the end of a minor correction of the uptrend then confirmed by those lines crossing the zero-line the following day. I conclude that GLD is set up for a long trade. While others might simply take a trade of stocks I will use call options to take a long position. My target is $190 between the second and third positive standard deviations of the mean VWAP. I will purchase 50 options contracts for about $37 each expiring August 4th. I will hold all of them until July 27th and liquidate half of them at the high of day on that Thursday expecting Friday to be a down day. The remaining 25 contracts will be sold at the rate of 6 contracts per day until the overall position is closed. Overall, I expect to realize 200% in profits over the 12-13 trading days in the trade. I plan for a 15% stop loss and expect the trade to be above break-even with the first stop loss advance which I expect will be on Friday.
AMEX:GLDLong
by AwesomeAvani
GOEV pulled back and is re-entry ready LONGGOEV on the 30 min chart had a big trend up from June 30th through July 5th- then pulled back for two day before a huge momentous move up on Friday July 7th. where it moved from the support of the mean VWAPs anchored in mid June into overbought territory two standard deviations above that level. On Monday July 10, price dropped precipitiously back to those mean anchored VWAPs. The past day was marked by sideways consolidation. The volume profile shows the heaviest trading volume at just below the VWAPs which is cross-validating. The Chris Moody MTF RSI indicator shows the lower TF RSI in the past day has crossed above 50 and now at 60 meeting the higher TF RSI. The zero-lag MACD has the lines crossing over the zero horizontal line and parallel suggesting a bullish continuation. Overall, I see a long trade setup with possible significant price movement anticipated perhaps in the range of 20% targeting the pivot high last Friday.
NASDAQ:GOEVLong
by AwesomeAvani
RIVN is showing a pullback for a long entryRIVN on the 2H chart rose 67% to begin July as part of the larger EV sector rally which included several other tickers including those from UK and China. It has pulled back significantly since completing a double top on July 13th. Price is now hovering over and supported by the mean VWAP line anchored to July 1st. The two time frame RSI indicator shows both lower (blue line) ane higher time frame ( black line) RSIs at 50 or higher with the blue line closer to that transition zone. The zero-lag MACD shows the subtle cross under the histogram which has changed from negative to positive. Overall, although the best entry is at $20 from a very deep pullback, I believe that RIVN is now setup for a long trade following a continuation or even a call option contracts trade. I will take a position in call options at this time.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
Will JPM higher after earnings ?JPM is in an uptrend since earnings the morning of July 14th at the end of the trading week. On the 1H chart with VWAP band lines anchored to a week before earnings as a dynamic support and resistance reference shows a rise from below the first standard deviation above the mean VWAP to above it with a pullback after the earnings and then a continuation at the depth of the pullback today July 17th. The two-time frame RSI indicator shows the lower TF blue line moving lower despite the uptrend today. This is suggestive of bearish divergence. The zero-lag MACD shows a cross of the lines above the histogram suggesting a reversal as does the green to red and positive to negative on the histogram. As a result, I will watch JPM for reversal and a put option or short sell stock trade.
NYSE:JPMShort
by AwesomeAvani
GS Pre Earnings LONGGoldman Sachs pivoted from a low on July 11th into a trend up until July 14th during which it pulled back. Since earnings are on July 19th, I see room now for a pre-earnings long entry. The MTF RSI indicator shows the lower TF RSI in blue reflecting the pullback while the higher TF RSI in black shows the longer trend up with the RSI holding support at 50. The zero-lag MACD shows a line cross under a slightly positive histogram suggesting the pullback will reverse to continuation. Overall, I see GS as being suitable for long entries which I will take as call options. I will zoom into the 5 or 15 minute chart and look for a pivot low as the ideal entry. I will set a stop loss of 10% while taking one contract as a strike $330 expiring July 21st and another $330 expiring July 28th. I have picked targets based on the upper standard deviations of the VWAP bands anchored back to the pivot low on July 11th. Overall, I am expecting a 100% ROI on the two contracts.
NYSE:GSLong
by AwesomeAvani
KO trending up LONGKO as a long standing Buffet holding- is a slow mover with a decent dividend. For stock and especially options traders like myself, it is now well positioned for a long trade. KO's recent pivot highs were early to mid May with the highest trading volume at $64 according to the interval volume profile. KO descended mid-May into June 1st and then had a Fib. retracement and reversal. On the 2H chart, KO price has risen ifrom the bottom of the high volume area of the overall while the RSI / MTF ( Chris Moody) shows relative strengths in the range of 50-70 with the one hour TF RSI higher than the 4H TF RSI as a sign of bullish momentum. The triple indicator shows money flow and price momentum both with bullish signals. The Lorentzian AI indicator with machine learning printed a buy signal on July 12th The have added to the chart two VWAP sets of bands anchored about May 1st and June 1st. Price is in a VWAP band breakout moving from between the second negative deviation lines in red and the first negative deviation lines in blue to the current position between the first negative deviation blue lines and the black mean aVWAP lines I see this as a classical opportunity to buy low and sell high. Trade specifics are a stop loss of 60.15 at the first negative deviation bands while the targets are one third of the position at 61.6 ( mean aVWAPs) another third at 63.0 ( first deviation band above aVWAPs) and the final third at 64.4 ( the second upper deviation band ) I will raise the stop loss to break even upon price reaching 61 and in doing so, the trade becomes risk-free. I will devote 3 % of the account to this trade and may opt to take a call options trade as well striking $163 with a DTE of 9-10. I will select an entry buy zooming into onto the 5-15 minute time frame. Profits from a low risk trade like this will be re-deployed into others a bit riskier as a means of stratifying and rebalancing risk and its managment.
NYSE:KOLong
by AwesomeAvani
WMT benefits from consumer confidence LONGWMT may be benefiting from the potential suspension of federal rate hikes potentially giving consumers more buying confidence and maybe a stabilization of credit card rates as another form of relief. On the 4H chart, WMT is showed with a pair of anchored VWAP bands set at the beginning of a prior breakout on June 30th and the pivot high on July 5th. Price had descended to the third deviation green lines below the mean VWAPs zone ( black lines) but has now ascended to the first deviation blue lines below the mean VWAPs. WMT is in an early VWAP breakout at this point as price approaches the mean VWAP. The MFT RSI indicator of Chris Moody shows both low and high TF RSIs now above the 50 level and the low higher than the high demonstrating bullish momentum. The zero-lag MACD is also confirmatory showing a line cross under the histogram on July 11th. I find WMT suitably set up for a swing long trade. I will seek out the best entry on the 15-30 minute time frame by identifying a privot low from which to enter. The target is the red second deviation lines above the mean VWAP zone at $158.25. A call options trade would be for $157.00 with a 9-10 DTE.
NYSE:WMT
by AwesomeAvani
GME- Pullback completed Re-Entry REady?GME trended up from the 1st of May into a V shaped retracement and boune from June 7th to 14th finally crossing over the 2nd STD of the full range anchored VWAP before a standard 50% Fib. retracement bottoming 2 days ago as seen by the Fib. retracment tool. Price has now reversed to an uptrend and is crossing both the full range mean anchored VWAP and the POC line of the full range volume profile. The confluence of the mean VWAP and the POC line cross-validates them both and adds strength to the thesis of a a return of bullish momentum. I see this as suitable for a long trade targeting first the red line of the 2nd standard deviation above aVWAP for 75% of the position and then the blue line of the 3rd standard deviation above mean a VWAP for 25% of the position. The MTF RSI indicator of Chris Moody shows two low and high TF RSIs in the mid range. The Lorentzian an AI based machine learning backtesting indicator has printed a buy signal yesterday morning. About the same time the low time frame RSI crossed over the higher TF RSI and the 50 level then MACD lines crossed while underneath the histogram. Confirmations and validations found, I will zoom into a 5 or 15 minute time frame for a pviot low from which to enter the trade long.
NYSE:GMELong
by AwesomeAvani