DPST- Banks will thrive if rate hikes are over LONGDPST is shown here on the 15- minute chart- This triple leveraged bank stock hit
a double bottom in late June and early July with a double bounce from the lines one
standard deviation below the mean VWAP lines anchored at pivots in mid-May. These
lines provide dynamic support and resistance unlike vertical lines from pivots. From
the VWAP breakout, price has crossed over the mean VWAPs and is not at the level of
the volume profile's POC line and the one standard deviations above the mean VWAP.
The two time frame RSI indicator shows the lower time frame rising from below 20
to over 50 and crossing over the higher black line TF RSI is for me a clear and convincing
sign of bullish momentum in its extreme form.
Fundamentally, bank stocks are gaining in the federal news data regarding CPI and PPI.
Based on this analysis, I will take a long trade here targeting the second deviation lines
at about $70.5 representing about a11% upside in one week or less.
Vwapbounce
BTCUSDT - Price Analysis Week Ending 28 May 2023BTCUSDT - Price Analysis Week Ending 28 May 2023
Trading flat channel 26,300 low to 27,400. Nice breakout from middle of the channel, both flat and descending.
Resistance levels
- Massive daily (3d time frame) at 27,230 and nPoc at 27,300 as well as 0.618 resistance.
- Weekly 27,572
- Point of control of visible range at 28k
Support levels
- Local support at time of writing, the vWAP at 27,080, looking at back test
- Daily (3d time frame) at 26,800 and slightly below a weekly at 26,600
Trading levels
Upside
- Looking at back testing vWAP and a nPoc at approx 27,133 to break support and take out previous highs
- Probable price move up breaking resistance could see a rejection at point of control to back test top of current flat channel
Downside
- Failing this look at support back down towards the middle of the channel
- If price breaks down further then retesting lower of the range with support of previous higher lows
Macro mini analysis for week ahead
- Bullish if the bulls can finish this week of above 27,600. Looking at retesting all previous highs, in mind a possible and very probable 5th Eliiott Wave
- Failing this could result in testing lower 0.618 at 25,400. with a macro range between 25,400 and 27,500.
Price action very choppy hence the line chart.
Bullish Movement "Off" the Volume Profile. In this scenario, I'm using the DMI in conjunction with the AO,
& I've tried to pick a reasonable time frame on the days to analyze.
I tried to isolate a DMI "Wave" from any DMI (+) or DMI (-) to a next peak/trough.
This is to try isolate the market participants and try to capture both their participation in the market.
Once located, I take a Volume profile and Anchor the Volume Weighted Average Prices (with their deviations) to the beginning.
Next I simply tried to evaluate what the price averages were doing, (using the AO & DMI) I tried to gauge if there was a dominant or clear trend.
Rather I tried to also find any time cyclical patterns of those trends.
Using this quick evalution "technique". Here were my results.
MGRX Biotech Penny Stock Pullback for Continuation LONGMGRX with some FDA news catalyst got a lot of action on the last session of the week.
With the pullback and overwhelming volume during the session, a continuation into
the upcoming week is entirely reasonable. ( see also the link)
MGRX had a last price of about $1.50 about a 50% retracement from the high of the day.
I will take a position at market price in the pre-market opening the week. The
target will be $2.25 or midway between the current price and the high of the last session.
This will represent a 50% Return on Trading Position. I will set a stop loss at $ 1.40
representing a 10% loss. Price at present is sitting on a confluence of support of
both the 20 and 50 HMAs along with the lowermost VWAP band. The reward for risk is 5X.
MGRX does not have options. I expect the long trade to hit the continuation target
in less than 5 days. I will set a buy-stop order to take a position when the price exceeds
$ 1.55 with a stop loss of $0.15 to account for the expected volatility.
LABD 3X BEAR BIOTECH LONG DAYTRADEAs shown on the 15-minute chart, LABD is bouncing between stardard deviations of the VWAP in a 6% price range
fluctuation day to day. At the upper end it is reversing at the POC of the volume profile confluent with one
standard deviation above VWAP while at the bottom it is bouncing from the bottom of the lower high volume area
of the profile and two standard deviations below VWAP. I see this as an opportunity for a 6% upside long day
trade especially if the general market is uptrending after the weekend. Alternatively, a 5 DTE call option
with a strike of $ 15.50 or $16.00 looking for a 30-40% return on the premium over the upcoming week. ( The
zero lag MACD confirms the buy signal.)
AAL LONG American AirlinesAAL is shown here on a one hour chart with anchored VWAP bands shown.
The anchoring is set for the beginning of the year. Based on the price action
drawn in are support and resistance zones. When price is one or more standard
deviations below the mean VWAP, the stock is undervalued and institutional buyers will
set buy orders. ( Short sellers will close there position to provide shares to
the buyers and take their profit off the table
(When the price is one or more standard deviations above the mean
VWAP, the stock is overvalued. Institutional sellers will sell their shares ( either
shares at a profit or short sell )
At present price, action has retreated to the upper part of the support zone.
AAL is getting to a buying point.
The relative volume indicator shows huge increases in volume compared with the
rolling average volume of the past 50 days. Essentially current volume is 10X
that average meaning there is extreme interest in this stock and great liquidity.
Fundamentally, AAL has had two prior quarters of earnings reports and the upcoming
earnings could be fueling volatility and potential price surge.
I see this as reversal setup for great entry for a 45-60 DTE call option at or in the money or a
long swing trade targetting just below the resistance zone or one standard deviation
above the VWAP.
DYDX Long
DYDX Long Immediate input or limit to the value indicated for 1 input.
]You can make a 2 enter mai above and share the amount so as not to pay a expensive myth stop.
Input above the weekly VWAP, already broke the downtown trendline then and good signal.
Output in the largest volume area in the volume profile with confluence of Fibonacci Areas.
Not the finance Advice
BTC Bearish divergence and VWAP rejectionThis morning I drew this rising wedge and clear and long-lasting bearish divergence on my waves trend oscillator. I used a 30m time frame for better resolution, which also applies to the 4h chart. It was clear we had to break out today or tomorrow, so it happened while I was asleep. I would be so angry because I missed this dip if it wasn't for perfect VWAP rejection on the price bounce back. We can see here that price is struggling to go over bigger history volume action, shown on VRVP. And the hole on VRVP that I explained in my previous idea - remains. Smaller time frames will push the price as much as possible, but I believe we are looking at lower tops and bottoms from now on. 1D was overbought at a 100 level two days ago. 100!!!
GME - RSI indicating near term POPJumping on the band-wagon with a long here on the Game Stop.
GME daily chart with RSI and VWAP indicators showing that a potential near term rise in price is anticipated. The approx. 10 week down cycle is perhaps ending today with the last interim high occurring on Halloween 2022.
Last two times the RSI volume indicator was this low (Dec 2021 and March 2022) Game Stop had a nice POP. Expecting a price jump to occurr fairly soon to corelate with the middle of RSI channel and perhaps more. Long Jan and March monthly calls. NFA.
LYFT continuing a BreakoutLYFT beat earnings by 4X this past week and so brokeout.
On the cloud indicator, the conversion line has diverged above
the baseline.
LYFT could be watched for breakout continuation.
The Awesome Oscillator and VWAP Oscillators validate the breakout,
Added to watchlist for Monday, Aug 8th
Plan to check UBER. NASDAQ:LYFT
$spx $amzn bull trap of the decade setup?made a vid for a friend, thought I'd make public to get feedback (on the analysis, the vid's my first so take it easy! :)
both amazon and the market as a whole are due for a leg lower but one that could occur in a stand-out fashion, befitting the historic significance of this moment from multiple perspectives.
The Bullish Month of April [ ETH ]Crypto Traders,
Appreciate you taking the time to view my TA, which hopefully provides an alternative perspective. Please be sure to “LIKE” if you indeed find my analysis useful and/or want to share your opinion.
Analysis:
@ $3044 to $3000
Need support validation, which we have multi bullish confluence if support holds w/in region.
If support is validated, would need to see closure above $3360, in which TP would be around $3940. If
the opposite holds true and support is not conf. , next support level that would need to be validated would be around
$2875 to $2780
Entering bearish control on Money Flow Index, in conjunction w/ TSI crossover to the downside due to over-hanging resistance.
Also, TSI is falling below 25, which can be seen as a sell signal.
Cheers & Happy Trading!