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Trading Idea of week 35 - S&P500 - TradingMasteryHubWelcome to the TradingMasteryHub Trading Ideas! Are you ready to gear up for the upcoming week? Join us as we dive into a detailed analysis to uncover top trading opportunities that could potentially boost your trading account. We’ll break down our strategy, defining precise Entries, managing Risk, and pinpointing the optimal Exit zones—steps that can transform your trading performance. Whether you’re just starting out or looking to fine-tune your approach, these insights are crafted to help you on your path to mastering the markets. S&P 500 Poised to Break New All-Time Highs! The S&P 500 has climbed back above its long-term uptrend (green trend line) that’s been in play since early November 2023. The current all-time high (ATH) of 5,680.4, set on July 16th, also marked the beginning of a mid-term downtrend (red trend line). However, two weeks ago, we witnessed a significant breakout from this downtrend, accompanied by high volume, which also reestablished the long-term uptrend. The last four trading days have been range-bound between key support (green) and resistance (blue) zones, with a stable volume profile (orange box) in between. If the price manages to break through the key resistance zone (blue), new ATHs are highly likely. This presents a clear and compelling trading opportunity that we’re excited to share with you. How to Turn This into a 5-Star Setup! Before we rush into a trade, excited by the prospect of bullish momentum, it’s crucial to do our homework. This means waiting for multiple confirmations before entering the trade: 1. The Trend is Your Friend: The chart shows different trends depending on the time frame. We’re trading on a 15-minute chart, where the uptrend is clear. But we also need to confirm that the higher time frame (above our execution trend) is in an uptrend and not in a consolidation phase following a longer-term downtrend. - Box Checked: We saw a breakout from the mid-term downtrend on August 15th with high volume (RVOL > 3) and a 15-minute close above the last higher low of that downtrend on August 19th, also with high volume. 2. We Need New Bullish Momentum: To hit new ATHs, we require strong buying pressure. This could come from a catalyst like favorable news (e.g., interest rate cuts by the Fed) or a technical breakout above the key resistance zone (blue). - Box Checked: We’ll look for a 15-minute close above the blue zone, RVOL > 3 at the breakout, and ideally, a U.S. market opening above the previous day’s Volume Profile high to confirm a trending day. - Plus: Price must be above both the session VWAP and 2-day VWAP. - Bonus: An additional catalyst in the form of a market-moving news event. 3. We Need Patience: Only when all the above criteria are met should we enter the trade. - Entry: After a 15-minute candle closes above the blue zone, but only if the risk/reward ratio is >1.3 up to Target 1. - Risk Management: Stop Loss (SL) at 5,624.7, just below Friday’s Pivot R1 minus 6 points for market noise. Take Profit (TP) Target 1 is set at 5,678, just below Pivot R2 (also the 1.618 Fib Extension), where we’ll scale out 50% of the position and move the SL to the entry level, making the trade risk-free. - Profit Target 2 (50%): This will likely be around 5,730, just below the 2.618 Fib Extension. If we don’t see new ATHs, TP Target 2 will be triggered by a close below the highest green 15-minute candle. 4. We Need Discipline: Trading only when all conditions are met will give us an edge in the long run. - Discipline: Sticking to your rules is crucial for consistent trading. Without discipline, you lose the ability to analyze and refine your edge, leaving you at the mercy of emotional decisions. 5. We Need to Review Our Trades: Keeping a Trading Journal is essential for learning from both mistakes and successes. We’ll provide another e-Learning session focused on this vital topic. A simple journal can significantly improve your trading. Always Have a Plan B! Sometimes Plan A doesn’t play out. That’s why it’s important to have a Plan B—a slightly less optimal, but still viable, 4-star setup. In this case, if the breakout above the blue zone doesn’t occur and the market reverses towards the green zone, we might consider a short trade instead. But again, we need a separate checklist: 1. Range Trades Need a History: The market must test key zones (green and blue) more than twice each to confirm a range. - Confirmation: More than two touches of the green and red zones have already occurred. 2. We Need Bearish Momentum: A bearish environment is necessary for a return to the range. This could be triggered by a negative catalyst (e.g., lower unemployment rates) or a breakdown below VWAP. - Box Checked: We need a 15-minute candle close below both session VWAP and 2-day VWAP, RVOL > 3, and the market ranging within the Volume Profile. 3. We Need Patience: Enter the trade only when all conditions are met. - Entry: After a 15-minute candle closes below both VWAPs, with a risk/reward ratio >1.7 up to TP Target 1. - Risk Management: SL at 5,647, just above Friday’s Pivot R1 plus 6 points for noise. TP Target 1 at 5,602, just above Pivot P (0.382 Fib retracement), where we’ll close 100% of the position. 4. We Need Discipline: As always, sticking to the plan is key. 5. We Need to Review Our Trades: Keeping track of your trades ensures you learn and improve over time. --- Conclusion and Recommendation By focusing on clear trends, momentum, and discipline, you can capitalize on high-probability trading setups like the ones we’ve outlined here. However, it's crucial to understand that not every 5-star setup will be a winner. Even the most promising setups don’t guarantee success every time. The true key to long-term profitability lies in consistently following a well-defined strategy and maintaining a favorable risk/reward ratio. Over time, this disciplined approach can lead to steady profits, helping you grow your trading account while minimizing losses. Having a solid Plan B also keeps you prepared for whatever the market throws your way. With these strategies, you’re not just following the market—you’re mastering it. Can’t Get Enough? Don’t Miss Out! Subscribe to stay updated on all our latest trading ideas and strategies. Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s build a community of traders who are committed to learning, growing, and succeeding together. Your journey to market mastery is just beginning, and we’re here to guide you every step of the way! What You’ll Learn: - In-depth market analysis - Proven trading setups - Effective risk management techniques - The importance of discipline in trading - How to adapt to changing market conditions - And much more!... Best wishes, TradingMasteryHub
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by TradingMasteryHub
QQQ rangbound bearish bias SHORTQQQ on the daily chart hit a hpivot high on 3/21 followed by a slight downtrend of 1-1.5 % overall this past week. Buying volumes are low. The Price Momentum Oscillator has reversed to bearish and the Raltive Trend Index has entered the chop zone and is heading bearish. Price is presently one standard deviation above the intermediate-term anchored VWAP. Reversion to the mean suggests another 1% move downside before VWAP support exerts itself. Price is compressing in a symmetrical triangle. Accordingly, I am expecting a move down before a potential reversal in a VWAP bounce from that support.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by AwesomeAvani
ESPR a penny and medtech stock LONGESPR on the 120-minute chart is surging with momentum from an FDA approval for a new cholestrol and lipid medication which will be an alternative to the at statin class which has side effects and can cause diabetes. I am familar with a few of the professionals on the science advisory board they are researchers and academics of the highest claiber. The chart shows price testing and getting support from the mean VWAP and a little bit of resistance from the first upper VWAP line. I have added to my existing position at the consolidation at VWAP. I am well informed on ESPR market prospects; this could be disruptive. The dual time frame RSI of Chris Moody has curled up and validates the idea. My interim target is the double top of this past winter. I do expect increasing volume in time with the price action that follows. Disclaimer This a hot penny stock highly volatile - you could lose on this trade. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. You must manage the trade well to realize profit. There are options if the put to call ratio is rising big money is pushing a reversal
NASDAQ:ESPRLong
by AwesomeAvani
Positive Earnings Gaps Seldom Fill: NFLXTo follow up on my analysis of NFLX from Wednesday ... Despite the market moodiness and selling, NASDAQ:NFLX reported well above estimates. HFTs triggered a huge gap up on heavy pre-open order flow yesterday. Volume was also huge, so smaller funds' VWAPs triggered and retail traders chased the stock while Pro Traders and HFTs made some big profits. Gaps up on positive earnings seldom fill completely. There is a strong support level at $350 which the gap up now confirms.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
How to Profit from Trend Exhaustion - XAGUSDHow much ... and when? What else is there to know? Enjoy this multi-timeframe tour of the XAGUSD chart to learn how I find MAJOR reversals and targets BEFORE price action reaches them. As always, I strive to produce charts that speak for themselves, and yet this is my video debut here on Tradingview, and I could not be more pleased to narrate this unusual experience. If you enjoy it or, better yet, if you learn from it, then consider this a preview of forthcoming weekday morning livestreams, which I hope you will follow. Until then, be liquid!
OANDA:XAGUSDEducation
by TheLeadingIndicator
4
"A Dangerous Tool" - Palantir Rally Ends w/ 6.66:1 Short A detailed look at the weekly price action history of PLTR indicates that the recent rally has come to end ... but I've been wrong before, so I welcome your tough questions and chart-based counterarguments. The strongest confluence supporting my conclusion is the simultaneous retest of the Euler Trend Exhaustion Limit and the 2nd Standard Deviation of the VWAP anchored at the Swing Low. As always, I strive to render these ideas of mine so obviously that their explanation will require no words, and this forecast is no exception. My trading tactics - including the beauty of Tradingview and how it makes me look good - are based on identifying the opportunities within VOLUME, VOLATILITY and TREND EXHAUSTION. In this case, it is the last of those, TREND EXHAUSTION, and specifically the use of Euler's number as a ratio in the Pitchfork to estimate the major inflection points in advance, that makes this chart unusual, and explains why it must be viewed in the weekly timeframe. This technique has appeared before (Bluzelle, for example) and will appear again in my ideas and videos. Notice how price interacted with the Limit before, when it passed thru it for the first time in August of 2022 ... The Short position is placed in the future, as I expect price to range and even retest the aforementioned AVWAP one last time before falling into the trade. If you zoom in carefully, you will notice that the Stop Loss and Profit targets are discretionary and based on dynamic levels within the AVWAP Array. The Risk:Reward ratio is arbitrary, and 6.66 is merely a measure of my esteem for this beastly "business" and the product that it sells. As Gandalf said, "If all the Seven Stones were laid out before me now, I should shut my eyes and put my hands in my pockets." The overlapping S-Curves indicate a price squeeze followed by a breakout, which I anticipate will be upward. If price rise to the highest potential shown, that would only improve the Short entry as opposed to negating my opinion, which is, of course, subjective. The fact that this company and others like it (BAH, for example) are so enthusiastically traded by a sheltered public foretells of a troubled future, which I look forward to discussing in forthcoming livestreams. Again, I welcome your best questions. Until then, be liquid !!! . . . movie-sounds.org
NYSE:PLTRShort
by TheLeadingIndicator
4
VWAP explanation, description and usage examples.Hello Traders:) Enjoy this small tutorial about VWAP 1. Definition: VWAP is a popular technical indicator used in trading to assess the average price at which a security has traded throughout the required time range, weighted by the volume of each trade. It provides a reference point for traders to evaluate whether they are buying or selling at a favorable price relative to the average market price. 2. Using VWAP: - Trading Decisions: Traders use VWAP as a benchmark to make informed trading decisions. They may aim to buy when the current price is below VWAP, indicating a potential value opportunity, and sell when the price is above VWAP, suggesting potential overvaluation. - Order Execution: VWAP can help traders with large orders execute trades efficiently. By splitting the order into smaller portions and executing them at intervals close to the VWAP, traders can minimize market impact and obtain more favorable prices. - Identifying Trend Strength: VWAP can be used in combination with other technical indicators to assess the strength of price trends. When the price consistently stays above VWAP and VWAP slopes upward, it suggests a strong bullish trend, and vice versa for a bearish trend. 3. Different Types of VWAP and their purpose: - Intraday VWAP: This calculates the VWAP over a single trading session, typically from market open to close. - Rolling VWAP: It calculates the VWAP over a specified rolling time period, such as the past 20 days, providing a longer-term average. - Volume Profile VWAP: It calculates the VWAP for specific price levels within a range, giving insights into the distribution of volume at different price levels. - Additional option available on TradingView: Fixed Range Volume Profile. We can set the VWAP from literally any time and select only part of the intraday session. Useful, for example, to track your VWAP trade from the start of our trade. This allows us to determine the strength of the trend during our open trade. 4. Settings for Different Purposes: - Timeframe: Traders can choose different timeframes for VWAP calculations based on their trading strategies. Shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute) provide a more granular view of intraday trading, while longer timeframes (e.g., 1-hour or daily) capture broader trends. - Volume Weighting: Traders may consider using different volume types, such as total volume, buy volume, or sell volume, depending on their specific objectives and the information they want to incorporate into the VWAP calculation. 5. Visual Possibilities: VWAP can be plotted on trading platforms as a line or a ribbon overlaying the price chart. It is often displayed alongside other indicators, such as moving averages or Bollinger Bands, to provide additional context and facilitate analysis. 6. Additional Ranges of VWAP: - Standard Deviation Bands: Traders may add standard deviation bands around the VWAP line to identify potential overbought or oversold conditions. These bands help highlight when the price is deviating significantly from the average and can signal potential reversals or mean reversion. - Multiple Timeframe VWAP: Traders may plot VWAP calculations for different timeframes on the same chart to gain insights into intraday and longer-term trends simultaneously. This allows for a comprehensive view of price dynamics across different time horizons. Remember to adjust the settings and interpret VWAP in the context of specific trading strategies, market conditions, and the characteristics of the securities being traded. Additionally, it's recommended to backtest and validate any trading strategy before applying it in live trading. If you enjoy this tutorial please follow for more content and live trading:) At the end example of how I am using VWAP with Heikin Ashi on BTC:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Vezzeris
2
DAX Monday SHORT setup. 200 points range. Market Profile/ VWAP Hello Traders:) I expect a morning rebound after the market opens to the red line levels. Hence, I will look for an opening of shorts with targets marked with green lines. The first level of short is the upper limit of the market profile for both Thursday and Friday. This level has been tested many times. The second level of potential short play is the upper limit of the weekly VWAP, which was tested on Thursday with a dynamic decline. Take profit first is the middle level of Thursday's Market Profile, while my second target is the bottom level of Thursday's Market Profile. I am planning to enter a small position at level 1, with a stop loss above the 2nd target. The rest of the items I include only after testing the second level. Depending on the situation, I can exit 50% after reaching target 1, or hold 100% of the position until target 2. The planned range of a potential trade - 200 points. I wish you all a great trading week!
EUREX:FDAX1!Short
by Vezzeris
2
NIKE: A POST EARNINGS PLAYNike reported earnings on the 20th after the market close. The stock increased by more than 12% the following day. The price of the stock revisited the resistance level that was rejected in June and August of 2022. Before the rejections, this level acted as a support as seen in March and April of 2022. In this chart, the support/resistance zone is marked by the yellow box. Additionally, this zone currently coincides with a VWAP anchored back to November of 2021. We observed that the price action rejected at both the anchored VWAP and the yellow box zone of resistance on December 21st of 2022. If price revisits this level, look for price action consistent with what we have observed in the previous rejections.
NYSE:NKEShort
by jasongoldman1
How to Short TSLA with a the SV-X strategy CONSISTENT , SIMPLE & CLEAR THE SV-X & LV-X strategies. This is a very well known pattern among HRTs. High resource traders. basically, the few 10%. The highly leveraged traders, utilize this strategy very often. - You can trade this with any account , so as long as it covers the cost to trade. - You will find these patterns occur between 2 - 3 x per week, that's 8 - 12 times per month. - If you have an account size of $25k USD or more , our experience has shown a monthly gross income of or about $7,436/mo or $89,232/Year trading just these 2 setups SV-X & SV-LONG . Short strategy = SV-X , S.V. stands for SHORT THE VWAP. Long strategy = LX-X , Long the vwap. simple. THIS EXAMPLE : Short on $TSLA ( Details can be explained ) Begin to pay more attention just after 9:45 am ET. Just around/after this time, the price action will decide the move for the day. TRADE MGT : - Stop loss must be pre-determined before 9:30am ET ( we provide a reliable SL ) - Entry = $ 157.58 - I call this Backside entry* - Exit = $ 151.15 - I call this a clear exit. 1. Watch closely to see price action confirm to you that p/a is headed south and NOT a fake-out to the NORTH. Your 2. Learn about my method in risk mgt. 3. The stop loss is key. That zone will determine whether you make money , lose money. get faked , & more! 4. Your entry is an agreement , between your logic to GO and the reality of NO GO. 5. Think like an Ai machine learning trader . 6. You must agree with your logics' reasoning as well as your personal experimental knowledge. 7. Do all of this FAST! like 1.1 sec FAST. Real FAST. 8. Trade with a plan. Plan your trades. #ProfitsPlanned NASDAQ:TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by NASDAQSNIPER_
Circular Decomposition of Harmonic Pattern & 3:1 Long of CD LegThe long position in XRP is merely incidental. The emphasis is on using clean line work to discover areas where price is more likely to reverse. In this example, which includes a bearish harmonic pattern , decreasing volatility is visible to the naked eye, even without the compression of the MA ribbon or the decreasing ATR. Some unusual arrangement of pitchforks suggests that a lower time frame trend is breaking out and may retest diagonal support. If this occurs, a long entry presents itself, which would complete the CD Leg of the pattern and set up a Short at the D point. Trading the CD Leg is NOT recommended because it often fails the test that comes at this level; the pattern is NOT considered confirmed until reaching point D. The incidental long shown here AWAITS the resolution of the test, as suggested by the S-Curve. Fibonacci ratios are used not only to establish a potential action space for longer range forecasts but also to measure a profit target at point D, on the 1h chart. Although less obvious, but they are used also to estimate Trend Exhaustion (diagonals) and, hence, time. In addition to more common elements of a Volume Spread Analysis, a series of overlapping VWAPs interacts with the action space implied by the Fibonacci ratios to reveal what might be described as the "grain" in the price history. Of especial importance is how certain VWAPs anchored to real-world events (as opposed to swing highs and lows, or opening bells) predict otherwise invisible volatility when either price or other VWAPs cross them.
BINANCE:XRPUSDLong
by TheLeadingIndicator
2
ETCUSDT (2H) VWAP StrategyThe information contained herein has been prepared for general information purposes only. The comments and recommendations contained herein are based on the personal opinions of commenters and recommenders. It should not be interpreted as a buy-sell recommendation or a promise of return on any investment instrument. These views may not be suitable for your financial situation and risk and return preferences. Therefore, making an investment decision based solely on the information contained herein may not yield results that meet your expectations.
Long
by Fibo114
2