Settlement for VIX today. VXF moves to CC VXG. VIV Index 22.79 VXF Settle 22.625 VXG Settle 24.475 185 Ticks of Roll Yield.
The VIX is inside its Intea-Day Uptrend. The ES is inside ita Intra-Day downtrend. ___________________________________ Countertrends will move price to the VIX squeeze providing a Lower Low for the Indies. 8 AM Bond Open will provide some clues. Vix Support is 19.70 4645.25 and 4638.75 remains the Micro Support for the ES. 4691.74 remains overhead MIcro...
Not ready for Prime Time, but then with Lower Objectives below and Daily Lows day after day with lower Yearly Lows... It is beginning to look as if the VFX could trade into the 15s at this rate - currently 19.05. Volatility continues to be beaten with the Ugly Stick. ___________________________________________________________ There has not been a Retacement...
The VIX Guy, 50 Cents isn't present. Implied VX is SKY HIGH. __________________________________ The Illusion continues to Live. A great many are going to pay the Price for being dead-ass wrong. __________________________________ I'm going to be as Subjective as the mood suits today. QE Breeds Instability Conditions under QE - the substantive change may...
We will see how low this can be shoved lowered. A Counter-Trend is possible, but the MIcros have held for the continued Down Trend. Far lower Targets Exist on the Daily TF.
Volatility remains compressed with a slow and steady move lower on declining volumes. Protection is being bid at levels out the VX Curve at levels for February and March Expiries. It appears the Operators are beginning to Position ahead of the FOMC Meeting - January 25-26 (Tuesday-Wednesday). _________________________________________________________ Price...
VX Complex has a bit more work to do to the Lower end of the Range. Year-End it is quite easy for the ALGOs to compress the Range into a Full Retracement after continued failures to move and close above the .618 @ 22.90. There remains a concerted effort to continue the compression leading the ES YM RTY to a Lift. Of concern for January, China is amassing...
Stealth Accumulation. AO showing signs of Indecision. Next few Sessions - RT. ____________________________ 8:30 AM EST provides the Direction. Bonds Falling again.
Once this completes, rising Bond VX and Elevated Vol of Vol... A Very Bad Sign as Santa presses his Luck. The Operators have the ALGOs tee'd up to reverse this absurd non-sense once we see VX Vol crushed to Support. Should be a stunning reversal. ______________________________________________________ Depression Trade needs to be priced in... Then another...
ES makes a Lower Low, VIX Higher Low. Sounds about correct for the VX Complex. Trading the 50 with no break yet implies a RAT for Indexes. .382s remains the RT POs as weakness is prevalent. __________________________________________________ Keeping VX collared is not working, the E YM NQ RTY continue to sell to lower POs. Proximity to Margin Calls is the...
The NQ will have the wider swings into Year-End as the Range has expanded from 150616 to 16302. The VIX may range into Year-End permitting the ES to build out the Symmetry. The NYSE Remains collared at the Lower end of the Range. VX has been compressing into Year-End. Wednesday will confirm as 96% of m1 is loaded on the CM-30...
Over 23.60 and the VIX remains in a Bid and a Long. It has become far less technical than the Indexes. Roll to settle is creating an Arbitrage which is suppressing the VXZ VXF VXX. VX Complex collared by the Operators. VXF continues to struggle at Cloud Momentum. ______________________________________________ 4X Expiry and enormous Ranges on each...
2:30 to 3:00 PM EST today will provide indications for Globex this evening. Should they follow the usual suit, the Indexes will begin to grind higher into the Close. All of the leaders, with the exception of FB - were sold. Continued Distribution. __________________________________________________________________ With VXZ and SPOT/CASH VIX near Par and 100%...
200+ Ticks to Gap Fill VXZ M1 / V1 lower Gap Fill Continuous Contract simulated in next Commentary. _____________________________________________ ES breaks ATH this week and M1 will correct sharply.
2.14 P/C at present which should peak near 2.24. Many Traders believe the FED will Punt. We do not. The VIX itself, being left for dead during a rollover. Meanwhile, CALLs are selling at 354% to 427% prem to PUTs. ____________________________________________ INdices are rallying, as they do ahead of the FED. Money Flows are positive into Equities, into...
There are complications into next week. In order to avoid the Dramas associated with these opposing forces - permit me to infer the extremes have never quite been this degree of a Cluster F_ck. Fail on Drama, apologies _____________________________________________________________________ An "offsides trade" is again forming as I see 4X Negative Divergences...