Spot Vix - 22.05 VXZ - 21.45 VXF - 23.70 _________________________________________________________________ Tomorrow the New Continuous Contact for the VIX will begin trading. To project Price we need to consider the VXZ / VXF Spread (Roll Yield) and use Draws for both months to determine the Point of Convergence for Price based upon Draws for both...
The NQ will have the wider swings into Year-End as the Range has expanded from 150616 to 16302. The VIX may range into Year-End permitting the ES to build out the Symmetry. The NYSE Remains collared at the Lower end of the Range. VX has been compressing into Year-End. Wednesday will confirm as 96% of m1 is loaded on the CM-30...
Over 23.60 and the VIX remains in a Bid and a Long. It has become far less technical than the Indexes. Roll to settle is creating an Arbitrage which is suppressing the VXZ VXF VXX. VX Complex collared by the Operators. VXF continues to struggle at Cloud Momentum. ______________________________________________ 4X Expiry and enormous Ranges on each...
240 Ticks to Gap Fill. Settlement Wednesday. FOMC Wednesday. ______________________ Short Term, Gap Fill Probability is increasing on ES Symmetry. A Full Retracement could be in Trade.
2.14 P/C at present which should peak near 2.24. Many Traders believe the FED will Punt. We do not. The VIX itself, being left for dead during a rollover. Meanwhile, CALLs are selling at 354% to 427% prem to PUTs. ____________________________________________ INdices are rallying, as they do ahead of the FED. Money Flows are positive into Equities, into...
There are complications into next week. In order to avoid the Dramas associated with these opposing forces - permit me to infer the extremes have never quite been this degree of a Cluster F_ck. Fail on Drama, apologies _____________________________________________________________________ An "offsides trade" is again forming as I see 4X Negative Divergences...
By the numbers, the VIX has repeatedly moved to Extension Price Objectives. In addition, each has been exceeded signaling a move higher. Pullbacks are limited to Globex. High are made during RTH. __________________________________________________________________ Important SMAs Crosses... they ere a sign as well.
As Breath began to indicate an overall collapse in August, narrowing of each successive move high in the NQ & ES were driven by the heavy weights within each Index. The "7" held their ground after Q3 reporting led to some clawback. AMZN was the first to decline, signaling trouble ahead.
APEX Key - Protection remains Bid out to January 2022. It can Pullback today or tomorrow. It will depend on whether the Indies begin to converge on Lower POs below, by example, the NQ can drop 300+ Points today... No rush, patience wins here. Entries will be provided. _______________________________________________ Sobering up underway - Rehab T4ades are...
The directors of all twelve Federal Reserve Banks favored maintaining the current primary credit rate at the existing level (0.25 percent). In light of the uncertainties associated with the economic outlook, the directors judged that it would be appropriate for the FOMC to maintain the current stance of...
What is encouraging after Sunday GLOBEX: The VIX exceeded the 50% of 2021 and although it did not make a new high against the Prior Spike High On a Percentage Basis it was the 4th Largest Percentage Spike The Prior Spike did NOT. _________________________________________________________ Use the VIX Pullback for RT Targets for ES YM RTY. VXN for NQ. VIX...
Down form 398 of the prior Settle. Contango in the Curve remains strong but coming in 26% Month over Month. The VIX Range 20.35 is the LIS 19.70 a break.
Unfortunately, although the Spread has been cut in half, there will remain the usual Gap Fill to complete as VIX INDEX (Cash/Spot) will square Price at the end of tomorrow's Session. VXX will equal the VIX Index. _________________________________________________________ Wednesday's will show, surprise, another Gap on the Continuous Contract. The Gap will be at...